Theories of Change John Young. A Theory of Change is… locates a programme or project within a...
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Theories of Change John Young. A Theory of Change is… locates a programme or project within a wider analysis of how change comes about; draws on external
A Theory of Change is locates a programme or project within a
wider analysis of how change comes about; draws on external
learning about development. articulates our understanding of change
- but also challenges us to explore it further. acknowledges the
complexity of change: the wider systems and actors that influence
it often presented in diagrammatic form with an accompanying
narrative summary Comic Relief, 2011 2 An ongoing process of
reflection on how change happens, and the role we can play:
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A bit like (a proper) log frame 3 Goal IndicatorMoV Purpose
IndicatorMoVAssumptions/Risks Output 1IndicatorMoVAssumptions/Risks
Output 2IndicatorMoV Output 3IndicatorMoV Output 4IndicatorMoV
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Types Causal Chain - succession of elements with logical links
(eg log- frame approach) Dimensions of influence - overlapping
domains which interact, where it is possible to influence (eg RAPID
CEL Framework) Actor-centred theories - where the behaviour of
actors can be influenced (eg Outcome Mapping) 4
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How to do it 1.Identify what want to achieve. 2.Identify the
people / organisations / processes are involved and how they
influence change. 3.Map them. 4.Identify how you can influence
them. 5.Identify which options will provide most value for money.
6.Decide what to monitor to see if you are on track. 7.Identify the
resources and management processes do you need. 5
Slide 6
RAPID Outcome Mapping Approach Start by defining your policy
objectives constantly review them during the process 6
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www.theoryofchange.org 7
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Ecosystems for Poverty Alleviation 9
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Ecosystems for Poverty Alleviation 11
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Ecosystems for Poverty Alleviation 12
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Ecosystems for Poverty Alleviation 13
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DFID Research & Evidence Division 14
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Resources Comic Relief Theory of Change Review 2011 -
http://dmeforpeace.org/sites/default/ files/James_ToC.pdf A Guide
to monitoring and evaluating policy influence. Harry Jones. ODI
Background Note 2011- http://www.odi.org.uk/resources/
details.asp?id=5252&title=monitoring-evaluation-me-policy-influence
Research to Action listing of resources on Theories of Change:
http://www.researchtoaction.org/theory-of-change-useful-resources/
Keystone Accountabilities Guide to Developing a Theory of Change:
http://www.researchtoaction.org/theory-of-change-useful-resources/
Key questions to ask when putting together a Theory of Change for
Research Uptake by Andrew Clappison: http://
www.researchtoaction.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/Key-questions-to-ask-when-
putting-together-a-Theory-of-Change-for-Research-Uptake-by-Andrew-Clappison.pdf
DFID Guide to Managing the Inception Phase of Research Programme
Consortia - http://www.dfid.gov.uk/R4D/PDF/Publications/
RPC_Inception_Guidance.pdf Ecosystem Services for Poverty
Alleviation Theory of Change -
http://www.espa.ac.uk/sites/all/modules/pubdlcnt/pubdlcnt.php?file=http://www.esp
a.ac.uk/files/espa/ESPA-Theory-of-Change.pdf&nid=37183 15