The Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory The Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory CenterCenter

Presented by Jamie Kibler Presented by Jamie Kibler Operational Meteorologist/User Services LeadOperational Meteorologist/User Services Lead

June 7, 2010 June 7, 2010

Soufriere Hills Volcano

February 10, 2010 Eruption

Washington VAAC Volcano Washington VAAC Volcano Program HistoryProgram History

The volcanic ash monitoring program at the Satellite Analysis Branch The volcanic ash monitoring program at the Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB) became official in 1987 although volcano monitoring began in (SAB) became official in 1987 although volcano monitoring began in the 1970s for the entire world.the 1970s for the entire world.

The Washington VAAC was established in 1997. The United States, in The Washington VAAC was established in 1997. The United States, in agreement with the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), agreement with the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), has designated the National Environmental Satellite Data and has designated the National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Services (NESDIS), Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB), and Information Services (NESDIS), Satellite Analysis Branch (SAB), and the National Weather Service (NWS) National Center for Environmental the National Weather Service (NWS) National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) as the regional Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Prediction (NCEP) as the regional Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC).Center (VAAC).

Washington VAAC began using the NCEP – Advanced Weather Washington VAAC began using the NCEP – Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (N-AWIPS) in 2003 for the issuance of Interactive Processing System (N-AWIPS) in 2003 for the issuance of Volcanic Ash Advisories (VAAs) and Volcanic Ash Graphics (VAGs).Volcanic Ash Advisories (VAAs) and Volcanic Ash Graphics (VAGs).

Washington VAAC Volcano Washington VAAC Volcano ProgramProgram

Washington VAAC area of responsibility includes Washington VAAC area of responsibility includes the continental US, southward through Central the continental US, southward through Central America, the Caribbean, to 10S in South America America, the Caribbean, to 10S in South America and the US controlled oceanic Flight Information and the US controlled oceanic Flight Information Region (FIR).Region (FIR).

Washington is 1 of 9 VAACs that cover the globe. Washington is 1 of 9 VAACs that cover the globe. Other VAAC’s include Anchorage, Buenos Aires, Other VAAC’s include Anchorage, Buenos Aires, Darwin, London, Montreal, Tokyo, Toulouse and the Darwin, London, Montreal, Tokyo, Toulouse and the Wellington.Wellington.

Monitoring volcano’s 24 hours a day 365 days a yearMonitoring volcano’s 24 hours a day 365 days a year

Washington VAAC Volcano Washington VAAC Volcano ProductsProducts

Volcanic Ash Advisory (VAA) which contains satellite Volcanic Ash Advisory (VAA) which contains satellite information, reports of volcanic ash and a possible ash information, reports of volcanic ash and a possible ash forecast. forecast.

Volcanic Ash Graphic (VAG) – A graphic depiction of ash over Volcanic Ash Graphic (VAG) – A graphic depiction of ash over an 18 hour period showing extent, movement and size. an 18 hour period showing extent, movement and size. Graphic is only provided when ash is seen in satellite imagery.Graphic is only provided when ash is seen in satellite imagery.

Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory

(HYSPLIT) model: We provide volcanic ash parameters and data for the HYSPLIT model showing ash dispersion over a 48 hour period. hour period. HYSPLIT runs are usually needed with multiple plumes, high ash heights or ash expected to last beyond +06 hours.

WellingtonDarwin

45 30 15 0 15 30 45 6060759010512013515016518016515013512010575

60

60

45

45

30

30

15

15

0

75

90

Tokyo

Washington

MontrealLondon

Anchorage

Buenos

Aires

Toulouse

VAAC BoundariesVAAC Boundaries

Washington VAAC

Airlines

Cable TV Phone

Newsreports

e-mail,

variety of Internetsites

SIGMETs, MWOs

GTS, FOS,

phone,FAA AFTN PIREPs

WeatherObservations

GTS, FOS

AFTN=Aeronautical Fixed Telecommunications NetworkATC=Air Traffic Control

other VAACs

Phone

GTS,Phone

to GTS, FOS

Phone, fax

FOS=Family of ServicesGTS=Global Telecommunication SystemUSGS=U.S. Geological Survey

Abbreviations:

Volcanologists(Observatories, USGS, Smithsonian)

Incoming Information Used (non-satellite)Incoming Information Used (non-satellite)

Volcano cameras

Infrasound data

Numerical Weather & Dispersion Models

Washington VAAC

ACCs,FAA

Pacific NW WFOs

MWOsotherVAACs

VAAC = Volcanic Ash Advisory CenterMWO = Meteorological Watch OfficeWFO = Weather Forecast OfficeAWC = Aviation Weather CenterFAA = Federal Aviation Administration

Other U.S. government agencies including AWC, DoD (AFWA), FEMA

DoD = Department of DefenseAFWA = Air Force Weather AgencyFEMA = Federal Emergency Management AgencyACC = Area Control Center

Abbreviations:

Airlines, Aviation community

Washington VAAC CustomersWashington VAAC Customers

Volcanic Ash AdvisoryVolcanic Ash Advisory FVXX21 KNES 311614 FVXX21 KNES 311614 VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY ISSUED: 20070131/1614Z VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY ISSUED: 20070131/1614Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05 VOLCANO: SOUFRIERE HILLS 1600-05 LOCATION: N1642 W06210 AREA: W_INDIES LOCATION: N1642 W06210 AREA: W_INDIES SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M) SUMMIT ELEVATION: 3002 FT (915 M) ADVISORY NUMBER: 2007/091 ADVISORY NUMBER: 2007/091 INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12. GFS WINDS. RADIOSONDE. MONTSERRAT INFORMATION SOURCE: GOES-12. GFS WINDS. RADIOSONDE. MONTSERRAT

OBSERVATORY. PILOT REPORT. OBSERVATORY. PILOT REPORT. ERUPTION DETAILS: REPORTED ASH AT 31/1540Z ERUPTION DETAILS: REPORTED ASH AT 31/1540Z OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 31/1545Z OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL060 N1701 W06247 - OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 31/1545Z OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL060 N1701 W06247 -

N1643 W06210 - N1653 W06253 - N1700 W06255 - N1701 W06247 MOVING W 10-15 N1643 W06210 - N1653 W06253 - N1700 W06255 - N1701 W06247 MOVING W 10-15 KNOTS. KNOTS.

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 31/2200Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1651 FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 31/2200Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1651 W06304 - N1642 W06210. W06304 - N1642 W06210.

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 01/0400Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1651 FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 01/0400Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1651 W06305 - N1642 W06210.W06305 - N1642 W06210.

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 01/1000Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1641 FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 01/1000Z SFC/FL060 10NM WIDE LINE BETWEEN N1641 W06306 - N1643 W06211. W06306 - N1643 W06211.

REMARKS: AIRCRAFT REPORT OF ASH FROM FL050-060. MVO REPORTS LOW REMARKS: AIRCRAFT REPORT OF ASH FROM FL050-060. MVO REPORTS LOW ACTIVITY OVER PAST 24 HOURS. A THIN PLUME CAN BE SEEN EXTENDING 50 NMI ACTIVITY OVER PAST 24 HOURS. A THIN PLUME CAN BE SEEN EXTENDING 50 NMI MOVING TO THE WNW AT 10-15 KTS. CONTENTS OF PLUME MAY CONTAIN ASH. MOVING TO THE WNW AT 10-15 KTS. CONTENTS OF PLUME MAY CONTAIN ASH. NO HOTSPOT CAN BE SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. WILL CONTINUE TO NO HOTSPOT CAN BE SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. ...SPAMPATA MONITOR. ...SPAMPATA

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20070131/2215Z NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20070131/2215Z

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/messages.html

Volcanic Ash GraphicVolcanic Ash Graphic

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/messages.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/messages.htmlhttp://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/messages.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/SSD/LISTS/volc-list.html - Main page

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/vaac.htmlhttp://www.ssd.noaa.gov/VAAC/vaac.html

February 10, 2010 Eruption of February 10, 2010 Eruption of Soufriere Hills VolcanoSoufriere Hills Volcano

Soufriere Hills volcano located on Montserrat Island in the eastern Caribbean

Soufriere Hills Volcano

St. Helens Eruption MARCH 09 2005St. Helens Eruption MARCH 09 2005

St. Helens

.

GOES 11 ELLROD IMAGERY

Eruption of Sierra Negra Volcano in 2005. Volcano located on the Galapagos Islands

Sierra Negra

.