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The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1 , Curtis Deutsch 2 , Scott C. Doney 3 , Arne Koertzinger 4 , Doug W. R. Wallace 4 , and Rik Wanninkhof 5 Nicolas Gruber Environmental Physics, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynami ETH Zürich, Switzerland (1) IGPP, UCLA, Los Angeles, USA; (2) Univ. of Washington, Seattle, USA; (3) WHOI, Woods Hole, USA; (4) Leibniz Inst. for Marine Sciences, GER; (5) NOAA AOML, Miami, USA.

The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

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Page 1: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles

Holger Brix1, Curtis Deutsch2, Scott C. Doney3, Arne Koertzinger4, Doug W. R. Wallace4, and Rik Wanninkhof5

Nicolas Gruber

Environmental Physics, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics,ETH Zürich, Switzerland

(1) IGPP, UCLA, Los Angeles, USA; (2) Univ. of Washington, Seattle, USA; (3) WHOI, Woods Hole, USA; (4) Leibniz Inst. for Marine Sciences, GER; (5) NOAA AOML, Miami, USA.

Page 2: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

1955-1998: Rate of 3.3x1021 J yr-1 = 0.2 W m-2 = 0.1 PW

Page 3: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 4: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 5: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

APPA

REN

T O

XYG

EN

UTIL

IZA

TIO

NAAIW

MED

LAB

AAIW

NADW

MED

STMW

NADW

LAB

SPMW

SPMW

AOU = [O2sat] - [O2]

Page 6: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

AO

U C

HA

NG

ES

20

03

-19

93

Page 7: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

AO

U A

ND

DIC

CH

AN

GES

200

3-1

993

Expected change from anthropogenic CO2: max 0-8 mol/kg

Page 8: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 9: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 10: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

IMBER-SOLAS CO2/CLIVAR Repeat Hydrography Program

status ~2005

Page 11: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

ARGO: The next generation observing system

A global array of profiling floats that measure the temperature and

salinity of the upper 2000 m on a ~10 day repeat cycle.

Page 12: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 13: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

How to get oxygen on ARGO floats: Promising oxygen sensors

Electrochemical sensor(Seabird SBE 43/IDO)

Optode sensor (Aanderaa 3830)

Measurement range:120% of surface saturation

Initial accuracy:2% of saturation

Response time:6 s (e-folding time)

Measurement range:0-120% of surface saturation(0-500 µM)

Precision:<1 µM (0.4%)

Initial accuracy:8 µM or 5% (whichever is greater)

Response time:25 s (63% e-folding time)

Principle: Life time based dynamic fluorescence quenching

Principle: Clark-type polarographic membrane sensor

UW floats(S. Riser)

Page 14: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

Summary & Outlook

• Oxygen concentrations in the thermocline of the North Atlantic have decreased substantially over the last decade, accompanied by a faster than expected increase in DIC.

• The records are too short to attribute these changes to anthropogenic climate change or to natural variability.

• Oxygen is a very sensitive tracer for studying and understanding the response of ocean biogeochemistry to climate variability and global climate change.

• Most of these changes are likely due to a reduction in the circulation rate of thermocline waters, possibly related to the predominantly positive phase of NAO during the 1990s.

Page 15: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 16: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

The End.

Page 17: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 18: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 19: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

Apparent Oxygen Utilization

AOU = O2sat -O2

ΔO2 = ΔO2sat - ΔAOU

Fundamentals

(σθ)

σθ 26.8

σθ 26.4

(σθ )

Page 20: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug

DIC

CH

AN

GES

200

3-1

993

Page 21: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 22: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 23: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 24: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 25: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 26: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 27: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 28: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug
Page 29: The vulnerable ocean: Decadal changes in the ocean carbon and oxygen cycles Holger Brix 1, Curtis Deutsch 2, Scott C. Doney 3, Arne Koertzinger 4, Doug