The Value of Property Appraisals Mark T. Hessel, Vice President
Hirons & Associates Tuesday, June 26, 2012 Break-out Sessions
217-INT and 222-INT
Slide 3
Hirons & Associates Introduction Firm Hirons Background In
business of valuing assets for 25 + years; Specializing with Public
Entities, Educational Clients; Experience with individual entities,
insurers and pools nationally Hessel 26+ years in the business of
appraising all varieties of property; Has appraised literally
thousands of public sector facilities; Extensive experience in
appraising water/wastewater facilities; Dedicated Packer fan; and,
Feel free to contact directly with questions:
[email protected] 414.906.1921 (direct)
Slide 4
I. UNDERSTANDING THE BASICS A. Objectives of an Insurance
Appraisal B. Definitions of Value; INS. vs. ACCTNG C. Appraisal
Frequency/Updating Values D. Methodology Inventory/Inspection E.
Methodology Valuation F. Break !!!
Slide 5
Common Goals of Appraisals: Insurance Placement (typically
Insureds objective) Improve rating Solid fiscal management (Job
security?) Satisfying Requirements/Requests Broker / Agent request
Insurer/reinsurer requirement Pool Board policy Clean up the SOV
Correct suspect values Identify missing property or
improvements/additions Stay current with recent cost changes
(annual updates)
Slide 6
Goals of Appraisals (cont.): Underwriting Objectives:
Accurately value property (ITV issues) Correct premium? Margin
clause issues Equitable distribution of premiums (pools) Insurers
can validate offering terms (i.e. agreed amount, blanket) Verify
the condition of the specific property Verify separation
(distance)of property issues Verify separation (distance) of
property issues Provide reinsurance carriers accurate values, other
underwriting data (C.O.P.E. ~ follows later)
Slide 7
Reinsurance Issues/Goals: Source: National Underwriter P&C;
NU Online News Service, Aug. 26, 2008 Breaking News Data Quality
Big Issue For Property Re, E&Y Finds Poor quality data
translates to increased rate to primary co. cedants: 90% apply
surcharges (70% of these, est. 20-25% premium penalty!) 92% said
strong data controls could mean 5-15% premium credits! Quote 1:
When asked which data items they consider most problematic,
reinsurers pointed to insured values, complete inventory of
locations and secondary characteristics. Quote 2: supplying better
data would benefit the primary insurers underwriting process as
well. She said critical information, such as location and number of
buildings, could be better gathered with specific data fields.
Slide 8
Definitions Of Value: How does Replacement Cost differ from
other values (Original, Market, Reproduction, etc)? Replacement
Cost - is defined as the cost to repair, rebuild or replace on the
same site with new materials of like size, kind and quality, or
with similar property intended to perform the same function when
replacement with identical property is impossible or unnecessary.
Why is the basis of value important? Fundamental starting point for
any appraisal; Defines your limit in the event of a loss.
Slide 9
Definitions Of Value (cont.): When do I use Reproduction Cost?
You may / may not have a choice Typically employed for Historic
property Review policy language, involve broker/consultant
Reproduction Cost - is defined as the cost to repair, rebuild or
replace with material of like, kind and quality compatible to those
originally used, including the cost of skilled labor and/or
authentic materials necessary to restore the property as nearly as
possible to its original condition. When do I use Actual Cash Value
(ACV)? Again, you may / may not have a choice Common for
physically/functionally obsolete or vacant property Review policy
language, involve broker/consultant when determining Actual Cash
Value - is defined as Replacement Cost less accrued
depreciation.
Slide 10
Sample Report: Reproduction Cost On National Register Ornate
construction components; Unique design; Significant variance from
standard RC value (> 50%, in this case)
Slide 11
Sample Report: Actual Cash Value Built 1925; replaced 1950s
Originally Orphanage 95% vacant Could not operate as Juvenile Det.
Center (needs major renov.)
Slide 12
Appraisal Frequency - Benchmarks: Individual entities vary
considerations include: Time since last appraisal; Growth/addition
of new properties; Transfer of assets between properties;
Geographic location and impact of local cost changes; and Internal
policies or external (insurer) requirements. Hirons clients tend to
rotate over 37 yrs (samples): LMCIT; NIRMA; LARM National Hotel
Chain Major City in NC; County in MD
Slide 13
Appraisal Updating: Desktop review (service bureau) Changes in
property submitted annually to appraiser; Trend factors applied to
unchanged Sites; Revised reports sent back to insured; typically
timed w/renewal Common solution for smaller entities or those w/few
changes Onsite Update Service Incorporates above PLUS an onsite
component for new/changed locations; Good solution for larger
entities or those who are growing rapidly w/many property
transactions Phased-in Reappraisal Schedules (combining above)
Slide 14
RC Trend Factor Sources: 1.Marshall & Swift Valuation
Service subscription Regional focus; & State/Local focus by
specific Class 2.Engineering News Record (ENR) subscription
Building Cost & Construction Cost Indexes (BCI & CCI)
3.Handy Whitman Index for Public Utilities 4.Producer Price Index
(PPI/US Bureau of Labor Statistics) http://www.bls.gov/PPI/
http://www.bls.gov/PPI/ 5.Insurers Zurich NA -
http://www.zurichna.com/zna/onlineservices/online_agent/cost_trends.htm
http://www.zurichna.com/zna/onlineservices/online_agent/cost_trends.htm
6.Major construction companies Example: Turner Const.
http://www.turnerconstruction.com/cost-index
http://www.turnerconstruction.com/cost-index Critical to
distinguish between RC and Market Value! CPI
Slide 15
Trend Factor Examples: Example: Turner Const. published rates
for > 75 years http://www.turnerconstruction.com/cost-index
http://www.turnerconstruction.com/cost-index WOW!
Appraisal Methodology - Fieldwork: BUILDINGS: Begin with
thorough inspection Begin with thorough inspection Review available
plans/blueprints (as-built)Review available plans/blueprints
(as-built) Measure each structure for GSFA; P by floor/levelMeasure
each structure for GSFA; P by floor/level Record major building
componentsRecord major building components FrameFrame Exterior
WallsExterior Walls ThicknessThickness Story HeightStory Height
Roof Construction & SlopeRoof Construction & Slope Building
Service Systems (HVAC, Plumbing, Electrical)Building Service
Systems (HVAC, Plumbing, Electrical) Interior Finishes (Flooring,
Ceiling, Partitions)Interior Finishes (Flooring, Ceiling,
Partitions) Life Safety/Protection Components (Sprinklers, Alarms,
Emergency Power)Life Safety/Protection Components (Sprinklers,
Alarms, Emergency Power) Special Building Features (mezzanines,
balconies, overhangs, special add-ons)Special Building Features
(mezzanines, balconies, overhangs, special add-ons) Create sketch
of building footprint for support, valuation phaseCreate sketch of
building footprint for support, valuation phase Separate basement,
other major sectionsSeparate basement, other major sections Take
photographs and collect GPS readingTake photographs and collect GPS
reading Conduct building walk-throughConduct building
walk-through
Slide 20
Appraisal Methodology - Contents: Detailed Physical Inventory
(This Is Your World!) Full, wall-to-wall inventory of major assets;
level of detail set at specific dollar threshold (by client)
Information collected typically includes: Full description of asset
Specific Location within Building (i.e. room, department) Asset
Classification for subsequent sorting/reporting Manufacturer,
Model, Serial Number where applicable Benefit: Proof-of-loss
determination, class schedules Downside: Most costly approach;
requires more time Tally Approach Not as widely used, but still
cost-effective option Depending on how it is performed, may lose
Proof-of-loss detail Modeling Approach Widely used with pools;
developed in the industry mid-1980s Great potential for error if
not reviewed/adjusted during walk-through % of Building Value
Approach Widely used by some insurers virtually no cost Often blind
application of value; potential for error significant
Slide 21
Appraisal Methodology - Contents: REVIEW OF EXISTING FA
SCHEDULES Recent FL Hospital ExampleRecent FL Hospital Example Two
relatively current Inventory SchedulesTwo relatively current
Inventory Schedules Capital Asset ScheduleCapital Asset Schedule
Property Control / Asset Management ScheduleProperty Control /
Asset Management Schedule Recent Manufacturing ExampleRecent
Manufacturing Example Current Inventory / Reconciliation
ProjectCurrent Inventory / Reconciliation Project Utilized their
final inventory AND our walk-through to estimate RCUtilized their
final inventory AND our walk-through to estimate RC Which Approach
Is Right For You? Budget usually dictates
Slide 22
Appraisal Methodology - Valuation: BUILDINGS Tools of the
Trade: Marshall & Swift MSB System (subscription-based)Marshall
& Swift MSB System (subscription-based) Originally E. H. Boeckh
programOriginally E. H. Boeckh program Web-enabled valuation
toolWeb-enabled valuation tool Widely accepted in insurance
industryWidely accepted in insurance industry Allows for more
detailed input of componentsAllows for more detailed input of
components Marshall & Swift Marshall Valuation Service
(subscription)Marshall & Swift Marshall Valuation Service
(subscription) Book version offers two valuation approachesBook
version offers two valuation approaches Calculator
ApproachCalculator Approach Segregated Cost ApproachSegregated Cost
Approach PC-based version = Commercial Estimator 7/Agricultural
EstimatorPC-based version = Commercial Estimator 7/Agricultural
Estimator More detailed than Calculator; less detailed than
SegregatedMore detailed than Calculator; less detailed than
Segregated Other/Newer Releases mostly online/web-enabled
solutionsOther/Newer Releases mostly online/web-enabled solutions
RS Means CostWorksRS Means CostWorks e2Value Suitee2Value Suite
Xactware Xactimate programXactware Xactimate program OthersOthers
All require proper training & experience! All require proper
training & experience!
Slide 23
Appraisal Methodology Valuation (cont.): BUILDINGS Other
Subscription-Based Sources (units-in-place)Other Subscription-Based
Sources (units-in-place) Sweets Unit Costs Guide (BNI)Sweets Unit
Costs Guide (BNI) RS Means ( http://www.rsmeans.com/)RS Means (
http://www.rsmeans.com/) http://www.rsmeans.com/ ENR Square Foot
Costbook ( http://www.bnibooks.com/)ENR Square Foot Costbook (
http://www.bnibooks.com/) http://www.bnibooks.com/ Proprietary
valuation solutionsProprietary valuation solutions Primarily
developed for unique, complex constructionPrimarily developed for
unique, complex construction Water/wastewaterWater/wastewater
Electric UtilityElectric Utility Gas UtilityGas Utility Require
extensive updating and researchRequire extensive updating and
research Old-fashioned, manual approach to pricingOld-fashioned,
manual approach to pricing All are valuable when applied correctly!
All are valuable when applied correctly! User MUST understand what
models contain!User MUST understand what models contain!
Slide 24
Sample Screen Shot - MSB Highlights: Dozens of Bldg models
Component entry Calculates Exclusions Ability to adjust by % of
material Perimeter Story Height Allows for Quality adjustments
Applies local costs by Zip code
Slide 25
Sample Screen Shot M&S Calculator Highlights: Dozens of
Bldg models Selection by Class, Quality for base Cost per SF Manual
Calculations Ability to adjust for Perimeter Story Height
Diminished ability to adjust for components, especially interior
finish Applies local costs by Region/City
Slide 26
Appraisal Methodology Exclusions: What are they????? (DONT ask
the appraiser this) Review your policy or ask your
broker/agent/pool/insurerReview your policy or ask your
broker/agent/pool/insurer Underwriting issue; not
valuationUnderwriting issue; not valuation Policy language should
clearly spell out what IS included vs. what is NOT included in
coverage.Policy language should clearly spell out what IS included
vs. what is NOT included in coverage. Typical ExclusionsTypical
Exclusions Foundations & Footings (below lowest level of
slab)Foundations & Footings (below lowest level of slab) Site
Prep & ExcavationSite Prep & Excavation Underground
Portions of PlumbingUnderground Portions of Plumbing Are these
costs material? Are these costs material? Variables
include:Variables include: Geographic region (higher N; lower
S)Geographic region (higher N; lower S) Building Characteristics (#
stories, perimeter, etc)Building Characteristics (# stories,
perimeter, etc)
Slide 27
Methodology RC vs. Contractor Cost: But we paid $$$.00! (Steps
for analyzing contract cost) Ask questions regarding the bid
process:Ask questions regarding the bid process: Unusual
circumstances in the bidding / timing of the work?Unusual
circumstances in the bidding / timing of the work? Contractor bids
reasonably spread?Contractor bids reasonably spread? How low was
the lowest bid?How low was the lowest bid? Obtain final (or last
monthly) progress pay request (AIA document)Obtain final (or last
monthly) progress pay request (AIA document) Assemble applicable
soft costs (generally not in contractor costs)Assemble applicable
soft costs (generally not in contractor costs) Engineering,
designEngineering, design LegalLegal CM feesCM fees Other (non-bond
related) costsOther (non-bond related) costs Remove interest/bond
costsRemove interest/bond costs Identify allocable hard costs from
detail, and set aside (mobilization or start-up)Identify allocable
hard costs from detail, and set aside (mobilization or start-up)
REMOVE all land costs and related land improvements (paving,
utilities, curb/gutter, etc)REMOVE all land costs and related land
improvements (paving, utilities, curb/gutter, etc)
Slide 28
Appraisal Methodology Original Cost: Example: City of Raleigh
Booster Pump Station 1) Total Project Cost - $1,273,000 (with
estimated soft costs) 2) Estimated Building - $330,700 3) Estimated
Contents - $598,400 Total Insured Amt - $929,100 (73% of total
project) When to use (or NOT to use) Great analysis forGreat
analysis for Utility projectsUtility projects Major projects with
significant improvementsMajor projects with significant
improvements This should NOT be a substitute for an appraisal of
new propertyThis should NOT be a substitute for an appraisal of new
property Not so great for additions which include renovationsNot so
great for additions which include renovations Really not so great
for renovation workReally not so great for renovation work The
older the project, the less reliable the results (trend factors)The
older the project, the less reliable the results (trend
factors)
Slide 29
Results (drum roll, please): 3 POTENTIAL SCENARIOS Little or no
change??? Overvalued Property: Property has been incorrectly
adjusted for renovations;Property has been incorrectly adjusted for
renovations; Additions have been incorrectly added to
values;Additions have been incorrectly added to values;
Over-inflation of trend valuesOver-inflation of trend values
Undervalued Property: Lack of annual adjustments to Replacement
Cost;Lack of annual adjustments to Replacement Cost; Incorrect
valuationsIncorrect valuations Wrong SFA calculations;Wrong SFA
calculations; Wrong model assumptions;Wrong model assumptions;
Incorrect component determinations;Incorrect component
determinations; Poor valuation assumptions & judgments.Poor
valuation assumptions & judgments. Missing property new items
not on SOVMissing property new items not on SOV
Slide 30
II. VALUING UNIQUE PROPERTY A. Water & Wastewater Utility
Property B. Manufacturing Concern C. Historic Property D.
Educational Structures E. Seeing Green
Slide 31
Water/Wastewater Valuation VALUATION CHALLENGES: Complexity of
Construction ~ No dedicated valuation tools for specific values
Technical process equipment Recent advancements in controls systems
Technological variances for treatment styles Significant Increases
in Cost of Materials Unique, One-of-a-kind Design Facilities
generally not cookie-cutter Fees are often
overlooked/underestimated
Manufacturing/Industrial Property Valuation Challenges
Manufacturing Higher Ratio of M&E to Building Value Highly
Technical Machinery Ex: $175m TIV; $71m = B (40%) / $104m = C
(60%)
Slide 34
Historic Property Valuation VALUATION CHALLENGES: Complexity of
Construction ~ Limited valuation tools for specific values
Reproduction vs. Replacement Models PLUS Additional Features
Appraiser must specifically identify inclusions/excl. Significant
Costs to Reproduce/Replace Materials Unique, One-of-a-kind Design
(and Materials) Facilities definitely not cookie-cutter Extra fees
often overlooked/underestimated
Educational Property Valuation Valuation Challenges Higher Ed
Space/Campus Restrictions Models PLUS Additional Features
Labs/Research Buildings Other Unique Architecture Valuation
Challenges K-12 Life Safety Considerations Perimeter Area Ratios
Need to Carefully Assess/Select Models
Slide 37
Higher Ed Property Valuation (example) Research Facility Admin
Offices Clinical Research Labs Connected to Teaching Hospital
Standard Models??
Slide 38
K-12 Property Valuation (example) Originally four (4) separate
buildings Admin Offices Shops Classroom wing Gymnasium Addition/new
gym tied all sections together New gym featured green
components
Slide 39
Which LEEDs me to our next topic Certification Process (old) US
Green Building Council (USGBC) LEED Ratings: Certified (26-32 of 69
total points) Silver (33-38) Gold (39-51) Platinum (52-69) LEED =
Leadership in Energy & Environmental Design How to Score
Points: 1.Sustainable Sites (14 Points / 20%) 2.Water Efficiency (5
Points / 7%) 3.Energy & Atmosphere (17 Points / 25%) 4.Material
& Resources (13 Points / 19%) 5.Indoor Environmental Quality
(15 Points / 22%) 6.Innovation & Design Process (5 Points / 7%)
Source: http://www.usgbc.orghttp://www.usgbc.org
Slide 40
LEED Continued 2009 Update (v3): US Green Building Council
(USGBC) LEED Ratings: Certified (40-49 of 100 total points) Silver
(50-59) Gold (60-79) Platinum (80+) How to Score Points: Commercial
School 1.Sustainable Sites 2624 2.Water Efficiency 1011 3.Energy
& Atmosphere 3533 4.Material & Resources 1413 5.Indoor
Environmental Quality 1519 6.Innovation & Design Process 66
7.(new) Regional Priority44 Source:
http://www.usgbc.orghttp://www.usgbc.org
Slide 41
Seeing Green ($$$?) Valuation Issues Green Buildings Separating
out uninsurable factors (land improvements; brownfield
redevelopment; site development) Often unique design, materials
soft costs may be relatively higher Proliferation has helped reduce
costs in recent years Increased costs? Early estimates range from
approximately 2 10% compared to non-green buildings; however, there
are extreme cases
Slide 42
Did I mention proliferation??? Source:
http://www.usgbc.orghttp://www.usgbc.org Update: 5/2012 US Only C =
9,749 R = 21,185 Update: 5/2012 LA Only C = 32 R = 190 400%
increase!
Slide 43
Seeing Green (Sample 1)
https://www.usgbc.org/ShowFile.aspx?DocumentID=3940
https://www.usgbc.org/ShowFile.aspx?DocumentID=3940
Slide 44
Seeing Green (Sample 2)
https://www.usgbc.org/ShowFile.aspx?DocumentID=3943
https://www.usgbc.org/ShowFile.aspx?DocumentID=3943 $386/SF Project
Total (2006) Trended ~ $475/SF (2012 est.) Platinum Rating (57/69)
Renovation/Addition project Notice (some obvious) features: Windows
(natural light in passive solar design) Minimal finish using
recycled and rapidly recyclable materials Extensive use of recycled
materials on exterior all added to costs.
Slide 45
III. INSURER ISSUES: A. Current Trends/Concerns CAT B.
Underwriting Data COPEing with much change C. Changes in
Coverage
Trends/Concerns: Source: AIR Currents December, 2011 US Insured
Cat Losses ($billions)
Slide 48
Trends/Concerns - 2011: Source: Munich Re January 4, 2012 US
Insured Cat Losses ($billions): Source: Swiss Re News Release,
December 15, 2011 2011 ranked second only to 2005 for total US
Insured Losses; $35.9.B Global Ins. Losses - $108B
Slide 49
Trends/CAT: Increased Technology Cat Modeling Data/Research
Coastal considerations (wind/hurricane); Flood; Quake; Hail; other
Emphasis on viewing the total exposure, predicting PML Sample Risk
Assessment / Modeling Tools (not all-inclusive): 1.Risk Management
Solutions multiple tools; v.11 RMS Hurricane Model 2.AIR Worldwide
CLASIC/2 (individual risks); CATRADER (reins.) 3.EQECAT, Inc. - RQE
software; Solvency II Model 4.CoreLogic GIS Portal / CATUM software
All vary, but offer comprehensive, location specific reports
Slide 50
Trends/CAT: Source: CoreLogic CATUM Useful for documentation of
other data, including: Flood Zone Elevation Specific GPS
Coordinates
Slide 51
COPE - What is it? COPE definition *: An acronym that stands
for the four property risk characteristics an underwriter reviews
when evaluating a submission for property insurance: construction
(e.g., frame, brick, masonry, masonry veneer); occupancy (how the
building is being used); protection (e.g., quality of the
responding fire department, adequacy of water pressure and water
supply in the community, the presence or absence of smoke alarms,
etc.); and exposure (risks of loss posed by neighboring property or
the surrounding area, taking into consideration what is located
near the property, such as an office building, a subdivision, or a
fireworks factory). * - International Risk Management Institute,
Inc. (IRMI) - Glossary of Insurance & RM Terms (www.IRMI.com)
www.IRMI.com
Slide 52
Trends Data Collection for Insurers: Standard Data pre-RMS v.11
Typical COPE data, including: Typical COPE data, including:
Specific Address Specific Address All Relative Values All Relative
Values Full Building Narrative Desc. Full Building Narrative Desc.
GPS Coordinates GPS Coordinates Elevation Elevation In all, ~ 40
fields of data In all, ~ 40 fields of data Revised Data post-RMS
v.11 Typical pre-v.11 data, PLUS info like: Typical pre-v.11 data,
PLUS info like: Wind Tier/Hazard Zone Wind Tier/Hazard Zone Quake
Seismic Zone Quake Seismic Zone Construction Quality Construction
Quality Roof Sheathing Attachment Roof Sheathing Attachment Roof
Anchor Type Roof Anchor Type Opening Protection Opening Protection
Roof Age; Roof Condition Roof Age; Roof Condition Roof Geometry
Roof Geometry Frame Foundation Connection Frame Foundation
Connection In all, > 90 fields of data In all, > 90 fields of
data
Slide 53
Trends/Concerns - Insurers: Coverage Changes Shift in focus
geographic concentration of exposures (specific location becomes
critical) Heartland vs. Coastal pricing The disappearing blanket
Higher deductibles Implementation of Margin Clauses Multiyear deals
Expansion of coverage for green issues Geothermal heat/cooling;
Roofing systems (i.e. vegetation)
Slide 54
Final Thoughts/Questions? Thank You! Trivia question: January
2, 2012 last regular season game Which Packer QB set franchise
records with 480 passing yards & 6 TDs in our 45-41 win over
the Lions?