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The Use of Long Term Monitoring Data in a Decision Support System Kevin James Plant Ecologist Heartland I&M Network. Vital Signs Data Life Cycle. Effective communication of results to park managers. Summary of analysis, reporting. Data analysis. Data processing, QA/QC. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Heartland Network
The Use of Long Term Monitoring Data in a Decision Support System
Kevin JamesPlant EcologistHeartland I&M Network
Heartland Network
Vital Signs Data Life Cycle
Observations / measurements taken
Data processing, QA/QC
Data analysis
Summary of analysis, reporting
Effective communication of results to park managers
Project research and design
Heartland Network
Decision Support System
• Knowledge base– Logic model – Logical network of information
• Logic model engine– Inference engine– Evaluates the logical network
• Evaluation results – Tabular/graphical– Spatially explicit
Heartland Network
Knowledge BaseKnowledge Base
• Meta-database– formal logical representation of how
to evaluate information– Relationship of interrelated topics– Mental map– Graphic design (modularity)– Diverse topics can be analyzed
together
Heartland Network
Application Framework
Logic Model KnowledgeBase
EMDS (GIS) ProjectEnvironment
Result Tables
Attributes
Logic ModelEngine
writes
readread/write
uses
EMDS 3.1Extension
ArcGIS
Heartland Network
EMDS Development History
Ecosystem Management Decision Support
January 1994 Initial analysis phase of system developmentJanuary 1995 Initial design specifications completedMarch 1997 Release of Version 1.0September 1997 Beta release of Version 2.0February 1998 Release of Version 2.0April 2002 Beta release of Version 3.0January 2003 Release of Version 3.0
Version 3.0 User Guide (USDA Forest Service GTR, 112 pages)
Heartland Network
EMDS Resources and Support
ArcGIS Extensionwww.institute.redlands.edu/emds
Current Version: 3.1 for ArcGIS 9.1
Beta 3.2 for ArcGIS 9.2
Version 4.0 in development
Heartland Network
NPS Monitoring Program Development and Organization – I&M Networks
Heartland Network
Heartland NetworkEstablished 2001
Heartland Network
HOME Study Area: restored prairie
Heartland Network
Diversity
Structure
Grassland exotic plants
Grassland community
Composition
Heartland Network Natural Resource Monitoring Program
Heartland Network
Heartland Network Vital Sign Management Goals
Model topic Primary topic GoalPrairie Comm Prairie community has been restored(and)
Diversity Species divesity in the prairie is being maintained
Composition Composition supports a functioning prairie
Structure Structure supports a functioning prairie
Exotics Exotic species do not restrict prairie function
Heartland Network
Goal Evaluation
• Current vital signs monitoring data• 2006 vegetation monitoring data
• Evaluation parameters are derived from:
– Baseline conditions• monitoring data 1998 - 2005
– Management plans• Vegetation Management Plan goals
≤ 5% foliar cover of woody species
– Desired future conditions
Heartland Network
0
25
50
75
100
0 70 120
community richness
stre
ngth
of
evid
ence
(%
)Heartland Network Natural Resource Goal Evaluation
Heartland Network
0
25
50
75
100
0 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1
community evenness
stre
ngth
of
evid
ence
(%
)Heartland Network Natural Resource Goal Evaluation
Heartland Network
Logic Model Design
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Evaluation of management goal:Prairie community has been restored
Level of support
No support 0
Very low
Low
Undetermined 0.5
Moderate
Strong
Full support 1.0
Heartland Network
Composite Vital Signs Evaluation
Prairie community
Prairie diversity
Prairie structure
Prairie composition
Prairie exotics
Level of support
No support 0
Very low
Low
Undetermined 0.5
Moderate
Strong
Full support 1.0
Heartland Network
Species diversity is being maintained across the prairie
Level of support
No support 0
Very low
Low
Undetermined 0.5
Moderate
Strong
Full support 1.0
Heartland Network
Species composition supports a functioning prairie
Level of support
No support 0
Very low
Low
Undetermined 0.5
Moderate
Strong
Full support 1.0
Heartland Network
Vegetation structure supports a functioning prairie
Level of support
No support 0
Very low
Low
Undetermined 0.5
Moderate
Strong
Full support 1.0
Heartland Network
Exotic species do not restrict the functioning of the prairie
Level of support
No support 0
Very low
Low
Undetermined 0.5
Moderate
Strong
Full support 1.0
Heartland Network
Where to go now…
• Expand to other vital signs monitoring: aquatic, bird communities, climate
• Continued development of park management goals
• Refinement of evaluation parameters• Adaptive management and planning
