50
The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

The Use of Administrative Sourcesfor Statistical Purposes

Matching and Integrating Data from

Different Sources

Page 2: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

What is Matching?• Linking data from different sources• Exact Matching - linking records from

two or more sources, often using

common identifiers• Probabilistic Matching - determining

the probability that records from different

sources should match, using a

combination of variables

Page 3: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Why Match?• Combining data sets can give more

information than is available from individual data sets

• Reduce response burden• Build efficient sampling frames• Impute missing data• To allow data integration

Page 4: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Models for Data Integration

• Statistical registers• Statistics from mixed source models

– Split population model– Split data approach– Pre-filled questionnaires– Using administrative data for non-

responders– Using administrative data for

estimation• Register-based statistical systems

Page 5: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Statistical Register

Survey data

Geographic information

systems

Administrative Sources

Other Statistical Registers

Satellite

registers

Statistical Registers

Page 6: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Mixed Source Models

• Traditionally one statistical output was based on one statistical survey

• Very little integration or coherence• Now there is a move towards more

integrated statistical systems• Outputs are based on several

sources

Page 7: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Split Population Model

• One source of data for each unit

• Different sources for different parts of the population

Page 8: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Split Population Model

Population of Statistical Units

Estimation Administrative Data

Statistical Survey

Statistics

Page 9: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Split Data Approach

• Several sources of data for each unit

Estimation Administrative Data

Statistical Survey

Unit 1 Unit 2 Unit 3 Unit n

Statistics

Page 10: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Pre-filled Questionnaires

• Survey questionnaires are pre-filled with data from other sources where possible

• Respondents check that the information is correct, rather than completing a blank questionnaire

• This reduces response burden ...... but may introduce a bias!

Page 11: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Example

Manufacture of wooden furniture

Page 12: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Using Administrative Data for Non-responders

• Administrative data are used directly to supply variables for units that do not respond to a statistical survey

• Often used for less important units, so that response-chasing resources can be focused on key units

Page 13: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Using Administrative

Data for Estimation• Administrative data are used as

auxiliary variables to improve the accuracy of statistical estimation

• Often used to estimate for small sub-populations or small geographic areas

Page 14: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Register-based Statisti

cal System

s

Real Estate Register

Business Register

Jobs and Other

Activities

Ad

min

istr

ati

ve

So

urc

es

Sta

tist

ical

Su

rve

ys

Statistical Outputs

Statistical Registers

Population Register

Page 15: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

MatchingTerminology

Page 16: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Matching Keys

• Data fields used for matching e.g.• Reference Number• Name• Address• Postcode/Zip Code/Area Code• Birth/Death Date• Classification (e.g. ISIC, ISCO)• Other variables (age, occupation, etc.)

Page 17: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Distinguishing Power 1

• This relates to the uniqueness of the matching key

• Some keys or values have higher distinguishing powers than others

• High - reference number, full name, full address

• Low - sex, age, city, nationality

Page 18: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Distinguishing Power 2

• Can depend on level of detail– Born 1960, Paris

– Born 23 June 1960, rue de l’Eglise, Montmartre, Paris

• Choose variables, or combinations of variables with the highest distinguishing power

Page 19: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Match

• A pair that represents the same entity in reality

A A

Page 20: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Non-match

• A pair that represents two different entities in reality

A B

Page 21: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Possible Match

• A pair for which there is not enough information to determine whether it is a match or a non-match

A a

Page 22: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

False Match

• A pair wrongly designated as a match in the matching process (false positive)

A B=

Page 23: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

False Non-match

• A pair which is a match in reality, but is designated as a non-match in the matching process (false negative)

A A

Page 24: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

MatchingTechniques

Page 25: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Clerical Matching

• Expensive

• Inconsistent

• Slow

• Intelligent

Page 26: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Automatic Matching

• Cheap

• Consistent

• Quick

• Limited intelligence

Page 27: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

The Solution

• Use an automatic matching tool to find obvious matches and no-matches

• Refer possible matches to specialist staff

• Maximise automatic matching rates and minimise clerical intervention

Page 28: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

How Automatic

Matching Works

Page 29: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Standardisation

• Generally used for text variables

• Abbreviations and common terms are replaced with standard text

• Common variations of names are standardised

• Postal codes, dates of birth etc. are given a common format

Page 30: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Blocking• If the file to be matched against is

very large, it may be necessary to break it down into smaller blocks to save processing time– e.g. if the record to be matched is in a

certain town, only match against other records from that town, rather than all records for the whole country

Page 31: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Blocking• Blocking must be used carefully, or

good matches will be missed

• Experiment with different blocking criteria on a small test data set

• Possible to have two or more passes with different blocking criteria to maximise matches

Page 32: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Parsing

• Names and words are broken down into matching keyse.g. Steven Vale stafan val

Stephen Vael stafan val

• Improves success rates by allowing matching where variables are not identical

Page 33: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Scoring

• Matched pairs are given a score based on how closely the matching variables agree

• Scores determine matches, possible matches and non-matches

Page 34: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Score100

x

y

0

Matches

PossibleMatches

Non-matches

Page 35: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

How to DetermineX and Y

• Mathematical methodse.g. Fellegi / Sunter method

• Trial and Error

• Data contents and quality may change over time so periodic reviews are necessary

Page 36: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Enhancements

• Re-matching files at a later date reduces false non-matches (if at least one file is updated)

• Link to data cleaning software, e.g. address standardisation

Page 37: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Matching Software• Commercial products e.g.

Informatica, Trillium, Automatch

• In-house products– Jasper (Statistics Canada)

– Relais (ISTAT)

• Open-source products e.g. FEBRL

• No “off the shelf” products - all require tuning to specific needs

Page 38: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Internet Applications• Google (and other search engines)

– www.google.com

• Cascot – an automatic coding tool based on text matching– http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/ier/

publications/software/cascot/choose_classificatio/

• Address finders e.g. Postes Canada– http://www.postescanada.ca/tools/pcl/bin/

advanced-f.asp

Page 39: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Software Applications• Trigram method applied in SAS code

(freeware) for matching in the Eurostat business demography project

• Works by comparing groups of 3 letters, and counting matching groups

Page 40: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Trigram Method• Match “Steven Vale”

– Ste/tev/eve/ven/en /n V/ Va/Val/ale

• To “Stephen Vale”– Ste/tep/eph/phe/hen/en /n V/ Va/Val/ale– 6 matching trigrams

• And “Stephen Vael”– Ste/tep/eph/phe/hen/en /n V/ Va/Vae/ael– 4 matching trigrams

• Parsing would improve these scores

Page 41: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Matching in

Practice

Page 42: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Matching Records Without a Common Identifier

The UK Experience

by

Steven Vale (Eurostat / ONS)

and Mike Villars (ONS)

Page 43: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

The Challenge

• The UK statistical business register relies on several administrative sources

• It needs to match records from these different sources to avoid duplication

• There is no system of common business identification numbers in UK

Page 44: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

The Solution

• Records are matched using business name, address and post code

• The matching software used is Identity Systems / SSA-NAME3

• Matching is mainly automatic via batch processing, but a user interface also allows the possibility of clerical matching

Page 45: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Batch Processing 1

• Name is compressed to form a namekey, the last word of the name is the major key

• Major keys are checked against those of existing records at decreasing levels of accuracy until possible matches are found

• The name, address and post codes of possible matches are compared, and a score out of 100 is calculated

Page 46: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Batch Processing 2

• If the score is >79 it is considered to be a definite match

• If the score is between 60 and 79 it is considered a possible match, and is reported for clerical checking

• If the score is <60 it is considered a non-match

Page 47: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Clerical Processing

• Possible matches are checked and linked where appropriate using an on-line system

• Non-matches with >9 employment are checked - if no link is found they are sent a Business Register Survey questionnaire

• Samples of definite matches and smaller non-matches are checked periodically

Page 48: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Problems Encountered 1

• “Trading as” or “T/A” in the namee.g. Mike Villars T/A Mike’s Coffee Bar, Bar would be the major key, but would give too many matches as there are thousands of bars in the UK.

• Solution - split the name so that the last word prior to “T/A” e.g. Villars is the major key, improving the quality of matches.

Page 49: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Problems Encountered 2• The number of small non-matched units

grows over time leading to increasing duplication

• Checking these units is labour intensive

• Solutions

– Fine tune matching parameters

– Re-run batch processes

– Use extra information e.g. legal form / company number where available

Page 50: The Use of Administrative Sources for Statistical Purposes Matching and Integrating Data from Different Sources

Future Developments• Clean and correct addresses prior to

matching using “QuickAddress” and the Post Office Address File

• Links to geographical referencing

• Business Index - plans to link registers of businesses across UK government departments

• Unique identifiers?