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The U.S. Food and Fiber Industry Chapter 2

The U.S. Food and Fiber Industry

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The U.S. Food and Fiber Industry. Chapter 2. Discussion Topics. Review of key measurement concepts before we start What is the food and fiber industry? Changing complexion of farming Other sectors in the food and fiber industry. Output and Price Indices. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

The U.S. Food and FiberIndustry

Chapter 2

Page 2: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Discussion Topics

Review of key measurement concepts before we start

What is the food and fiber industry?Changing complexion of farmingOther sectors in the food and fiber

industry

Page 3: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Output and Price IndicesApple Production Price of apples

Year (million pounds) Output Index ($/pound) Price index

1985 4,222 0.76 $0.68 0.94

1990 5,515 1.00 0.72 1.00

1997 5,832 1.06 0.91 1.26

1990 is the base year

Page 18

Page 4: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Output and Price IndicesApple Production Price of apples

Year (million pounds) Output Index ($/pound) Price index

1985 4,222 0.76 $0.68 0.94

1990 5,515 1.00 0.72 1.00

1997 5,832 1.06 0.91 1.26

1990 is the base year

1.06 = 5,823÷5,515Output 6% higher in1997 than it was in1990…. Page 18

Page 5: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Output and Price IndicesApple Production Price of apples

Year (million pounds) Output Index ($/pound) Price index

1985 4,222 0.76 $0.68 0.94

1990 5,515 1.00 0.72 1.00

1997 5,832 1.06 0.91 1.26

1990 is the base year

1.06 = 5,823÷5,515Output 6% higher in1997 than it was in1990…. Page 18

1.26 = 0.91÷0.72 Price 26% higher in 1997 that it was in 1990….

Page 6: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Nominal and Real ExpendituresNominal Expenditures CPI Real Expenditures

Year (million dollars) 1982-84=100 (Million dollars)

1980 120.3 0.868 138.6

1985 170.5 1.056 161.5

1990 252.7 1.324 190.8

1995 354.4 1.611 219.9

1982-84 average is the base year for the CPI

Page 19

Page 7: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Nominal and Real ExpendituresNominal Expenditures CPI Real Expenditures

Year (million dollars) 1982-84=100 (Million dollars)

1980 120.3 0.868 138.6

1985 170.5 1.056 161.5

1990 252.7 1.324 190.8

1995 354.4 1.611 219.9

1982-84 average is the base year for the CPI

CPI was 61.1% higher in 1995 than it was in1982-84 period Page 19

Page 8: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Nominal and Real ExpendituresNominal Expenditures CPI Real Expenditures

Year (million dollars) 1982-84=100 (Million dollars)

1980 120.3 0.868 138.6

1985 170.5 1.056 161.5

1990 252.7 1.324 190.8

1995 354.4 1.611 219.9

1982-84 average is the base year for the CPI

CPI was 61.1% higher in 1995 than it was in1982-84 period

219.9 = 354.4÷1.611 The increasing CPI eroded the purchasing power of the dollar….

Page 9: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Characteristics of the Food and Fiber System

Page 10: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

The Nation’s food and fiber system consists of four sectors that providefood and fiber products to their ultimate consumer. Page 21

Page 11: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

The Nation’s food and fiber system consists of four sectors that providefood and fiber products to their ultimate consumer. Page 21

Page 12: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

The Nation’s food and fiber system consists of four sectors that providefood and fiber products to their ultimate consumer. Page 21

Page 13: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

The Nation’s food and fiber system consists of four sectors that providefood and fiber products to their ultimate consumer. Page 21

Page 14: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

The Nation’s food and fiber system consists of four sectors that providefood and fiber products to their ultimate consumer. Page 21

Page 15: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Changing Complexion of Farming

Physical structure• Fewer number of farms but larger-sized farms• Increasing use of capital relative to labor• Increasing productivity or output per unit of input

Financial structure and performance• Volatility of net farm income reduced by by subsidies• Declining debt use strengthens equity position• Recovering real estate values after sharp declines during the

financial crises in the mid-1980s

Pages 22-32

Page 16: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Page 29

Year

Expansion of Agricultural ProductionO

utpu

t Ind

ex 1

996=

1.0

Page 17: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Page 27

Inde

x of

Inpu

ts 1

996=

1.0

Declining Role of Hired Farm Labor

Page 18: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Farm Profitability Cash receipts from farm marketings

+ Government payments

+ Other income from farm sources

= Gross farm income

Page 29

Page 19: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Farm Profitability Cash receipts from farm marketings

+ Government payments

+ Other income from farm sources

= Gross farm income

– Production expenses

= Nominal net farm income

Page 29

Page 20: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Farm Profitability Cash receipts from farm marketings

+ Government payments

+ Other income from farm sources

= Gross farm income

– Production expenses

= Nominal net farm income

÷ Broadly-based price deflator

= Real net farm income Page 29

Page 21: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Page 30

Nominal Net Farm Income

Instability of Net Farm Income

Real net farm income in 1983 had the same purchasing power as 1933

Page 22: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Financial Structure Value of real estate assets

+ Value of nonreal estate assets

+ Value of financial assets

= Total assets

Page 31

Page 23: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Financial Structure Value of real estate assets

+ Value of nonreal estate assets

+ Value of financial assets

= Total assets

– Total liabilities or debt

= Equity or net worth

Page 31

Page 24: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Page 31

LiabilitiesOr debt

Assets

Equity or net worth

Start of FarmFinancial crisis

Page 25: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Page 31

LiabilitiesOr debt

Assets

Equity or net worth

Duration of FarmFinancial crisis

Page 26: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Other SectorsFarm input suppliers

• Providers of variable production inputs• Providers of fixed production inputs

Page 33

Page 27: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Relative Importance of Farm Input Expenditures

Page 33

Page 28: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Other SectorsFarm input suppliers

• Providers of variable production inputs• Providers of fixed production inputs

Food processors, wholesalers and retailers• Agent middlemen firms• Speculative middlemen firms• Processors and manufacturers• Facilitative organizations

Pages 33-34

Page 29: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

The bulk of farm production flows through assemblers and brokersto food manufacturers and processors….

Agriculture

Assemblers,Brokers, etc.

Food manufacturersAnd processors

Page 37

Page 30: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

After value is added by food processors and manufacturers, the next stop is wholesalers, brokers and chain warehouses...

ImportsFood manufacturersand processors

Wholesalers, brokers,Chain warehouses

Page 37

Page 31: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Finally, the bulk of value added production flows through grocery stores to consumers…..

Consumers

Institutionalmarket

Grocerystores

Specialtyfood

stores

Wholesalers, brokers,Chain warehouses

Page 37

Military

Page 32: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Page 39

Where a food dollar goes

Page 33: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Only 20 percent of each dollar spent on food products goesto farmers and ranchers…

Page 39

Where a food dollar goes

Page 34: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

In SummaryIncreasing role of capitalProductivityWeak real profitabilityGovernment subsidiesInterrelationship among

sectors in the food and fiber industry

Farmers/ranchers share of food dollar

Page 35: The U.S. Food  and Fiber Industry

Chapter 3 starts a series of three chapters that focus on the demand curve for food and fiber products….