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The Ten Wort Prediction Of The2012 lectionZ ACK AUCHAMPNOV 7 , 2 0 1 2 , 2 : 0 4 PM

Not everone predicted Preident arack Oama’ victor in the 2012 election. Infact, though the poll howed Oama gaining team in the nal da of theelection, man pundit claimed that the numer overampled Democratic voterand explained that voter were more enthuiatic for Mitt Romne. It’ worthimmortalizing who aid what, and wh the did. Here’ a lit of ten of the motegregioul lown call:

1. Dick Morri: “Thi i going to e a landlide.” The former Clinton advierpredicted a dominant Romne win, calling it “the igget urprie in recentAmerican political hitor.” Claiming that poll were overampling Democrat,

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Morri wondered if “it will rekindle the whole quetion on wh the media plaedthi race a a nailiter.”

2. Roger Kimall: “Oama i toat.” The puliher of prominent right-wingook imprint ncounter ook and a frequent contriutor to conervativeoutlet, Kimall oldl predicted that Romne “i going to win, ig time.” It waea, he could “tell ou in three llale and a few numer…en-gha-zi.”Though the enghazi tor plaed ig in right-wing media efore the election, avanihingl mall numer of voter reported foreign polic eing the top prioritin the election — let alone the ma iue, which the Romne campaign hadcompletel dropped in the tretch.

3. Karl Rove: “At leat 279 electoral vote.” “It come down to numer. And inthe nal da of thi preidential race, from polling data to earl voting, the favorMitt Romne,” Rove wrote in a WJ op-ed ignoring the fact that mot pollhowed growing momentum for the preident. He predicted that Romne will win51 percent of the popular vote and “at leat 279 electoral vote.”

4. Pegg Noonan: “There i no dening the Repulican have the paionnow.” Noonan i one of the mot repected political columnit in the countrdepite her penchant for deciding thing aed on her gut rather than actualdata. ut her Romne prediction wan’t exactl well thought out even her owntandard. According to Noonan, “all the viration [were] right” for a Romne winecaue “omething old wa roaring ack.” While thi might e the right wa to

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open an H.P. Lovecraft novel, it proal in’t the et wa to think aoutpreidential election.

5. Larr Kudlow: “Ye, that’ right: 330 electoral vote.” CNC peronalitLarr Kudlow et Romne would “weep the Midwet,” a point on whichMichigan, Wiconin, and Ohio eg to dier. He wa o excited aout hiprediction that Romne would get 330 vote that he repeated it twice — depitethe fact that he wa making the call two week out from the election.

6. Fred arne: “Romne will e elected the 45th preident of the Unitedtate.” arne, the editor of the Weekl tandard, didn’t attach a particularnumer to hi prediction, ut hi reaoning for etting on Romne wa eondill. According to arne, depite the fact that “there’ no empirical evidence”that undecided voter reak for the challenger efore the election, “it helpRomne.” He alo et that Romne would win ecaue of ignicant advantageamong enior, evangelical, and gun owner — that i to a, Repulican.

7. Michael arone: “Fundamental uuall prevail in American election.”Conidered man to e the dean of Wahington politic coverage, aronepredicted a 315–223 Romne lowout in which Romne took ea Oama tatelike Pennlvania and Wiconin. arone’ principal reaon for calling it huge forRomne, the economic fundamental, look even tranger, a the actuallfavored Oama.

8. Dean Chamer: “The race ha hifted profoundl in favor of MittRomne.” It appear the election ha unkewed the unkewer. Chamer, theproprietor of the famou “correcting iaed poll” UnkewedPoll.com, made twoprediction efore the election. While oth ovioul called a Romne win, thert one predicted a landlide — 359 electoral vote, even larger than arone’ — the econd, more oer aement called a more modet 275. Chamer ma

2/11/2018 The Ten Worst Predictions Of The 2012 Election – ThinkProgress

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owe Nate ilver, whom he decried a “a man of ver mall tature, a thin andeeminate man with a oft-ounding voice that ound almot exactl like the‘Mr. New Catrati’ voice ued Ruh Limaugh on hi program” in whatappeared to e a takedown piece, omething of an apolog.

9. Newt Gingrich: “A Romne landlide.” The former Houe peaker predictedthat Romne will take 53 percent of the popular vote and at leat 300 electoralcollege vote. “M peronal gue i ou’ll ee a Romne landlide, 53 percent-plu . . . in the popular vote, 300 electoral vote-plu,” Gingrich aid. He alopredicted that Repulican “ma come ver cloe to capturing control of theenate.” He apologized for the fault call the morning after the election.

10. Jim Cramer: “The preidential race i nowhere a cloe a the pollugget.” The Mad Mone nance “expert” famou for eing humiliated Jontewart predicted an Oama landlide, 440–98 in the electoral college and 55–45 in the popular vote. To put thi in perpective, Oama would have had to winever emi-competitive tate and, er, Texa, Georgia, Indiana, Neraka,Kentuck, Miouri, and Wet Virginia.

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