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The Swiss Mayhem

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The Swiss Mayhem

The Swiss MayhemHistory of Swiss FrancSwiss Franc or CHF has always been investors safe havenStable GovernmentWell Balance BudgetHigh GDP Does not involve in Quantitative EasingHas been banker of the world for many yearsExport of goods, services and tourism = 70% of its GDP

Investors GreedInvestors Demand for CHF Market value of CHF Swiss Exports () becomes expensive Tourism () becomes expensiveSNBs SolutionReferendum 2009Introduced exchange rate peg (Sept 2011) Artificially brought down the value to CHF 1.2 /

SNB Currency Holding vs. GDP

SNBs dramatic decisionSwiss were angry that SNB has been piling up huge FX reserve ($ 480 Billion)Several Euro Zone countries have been expecting ECB to get into Quantitative Easing for Euro supply in market => value of Euro goes down => SNB again prints more Franc to maintain the cap implies CHF Cheaper Franc implies higher export to US and IN (20% of Swiss exports)SNB lifted the cap of fixed rate against on January 15, 2015

The Final Outcome

Markets Caught offguardSNB stopped controlling CHFSupply of CHF fellAlso impacted $ and which in turn impacted other currencies globallyHuge losses to banks and customers till the currency stabilized again