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The story of 8 metros & 7800 towns
The Big Picture
2
522 Cities of the Future
3
Town Class Pop Strata
No.
Admin
Units
%
Distribution
of HHs
Ave
HH
Size
Top-8 Metros MDKCBHPA 8 17% 4.39
Tier 1 >10L 41 16% 4.62
Tier 2 6-10L 27 5% 4.53
Tier 3 2-6L 161 13% 4.53
Tier 4 1-2L 293 10% 4.55
Large Towns 50k-1L 659 11% 4.66
Medium Towns 20k-50k 2003 15% 4.71
Small Towns 10k-20k 2230 8% 4.62
Very Small Towns <10k 2376 4% 4.58
Urban India 7,798 100% 4.57
Source: Indicus Analytics Market Skyline of India 2013
Layered just below the Top-8 Metros are 522 Cities Accounting for 44% of Urban HHs Presenting a seamless layer of transition for marketers
41% of Rs.50 Lakh Crores form this second layer
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Source: Indicus Analytics Market Skyline of India 2013
29%
17%
5%
11% 8%
8%
12%
6% 3%
Share of Total HH Income
Top 8 T1 T2 T3 T4 LT MT ST VsT
Almost one half of Urban India’s consumer wealth is spread across 4 Tiers below the Top-8 Metros Hard to ignore, Corporate India is taking note But socio-cultural & economic variations present challenges quite different from established metros
Category consumption bases are in place
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27%
16%
24% 33%
Processed Food Rs. 1,85,931 Crs
Metros Cities >10L Cities 1L-10L Cities <1L
25%
16%
25% 34%
FMCG Rs. 2,92,240 Crs
23%
18%
26% 33%
Personal Care Rs. 31,178 Crs
Source: Indicus Analytics Market Skyline of India 2013
Accounting for almost 80% of the Urban Market
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17%
18%
27% 37%
Durables Rs. 1,57,584 Crs
Metros Cities >10L Cities 1L-10L Cities <1L
22%
17%
27% 35%
Clothing Rs. 1,80,989 Crs
22%
17%
26% 34%
Footwear Rs. 32,818 Crs
Source: Indicus Analytics Market Skyline of India 2013
Consumer essentials are falling in place
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Metros Cities >10L Cities 1L-10L Cities <1L
18%
18%
29% 35%
HHs Availing Banking Services
25%
21%
24% 30%
Education Rs. 84,062 Crs
35%
22% 25%
18%
HHs Computer with Internet
Source: Indicus Analytics Market Skyline of India 2013
Ad Volume ratio : Metro vs Unmetros
8 Source: TAM Adex
55 1:1.8
44 1:2.2
54 1:1.9
44 1:2.2
31 1:3.2
25 1:4,0
Unmetro Index (Metros = 100)
Metro Ratio
And this is the Real Story of India Unmetro’ed
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Microwave Ovens
Air Conditioners
Four Wheelers
Computers
Washing Machines
DVD Players
Refrigerators
Two Wheelers
6%
10%
9%
17%
28%
35%
54%
28%
40L+ 10L-40L 1L-10L <1L
40L+ 10-40L 1-10L <1L
Two Wheelers 4% 6% 7% 8%
Refrigerators 7% 9% 9% 12%
DVD Players 17% 18% 18% 23%
Washing Machines 10% 13% 13% 18%
Computers 14% 20% 21% 26%
Four Wheelers 8% 14% 14% 15%
Air Conditioners 12% 21% 21% 23%
Microwave Ovens 14% 28% 28% 31%
DURABLESCAGR 2007 - 2012
PENETRATION 2012
Source: IRS 2008 R1 & 2012 Q4
Lifestyle drivers are in cruise mode
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Branded Soups
Processed Cheese
Deodorants
Ketchup / Sauces
Instant Noodles
Soft Drinks
Nail Polish
Toilet Cleaners
Shampoos
6%
8%
15%
26%
51%
45%
22%
51%
75%
40L+ 10L-40L 1L-10L <1L
PENETRATION 2012
Source: IRS 2008 R1 & 2012 Q4
40L+ 10-40L 1-10L <1L
Shampoos 5% 7% 6% 6%
Toilet Cleaners 10% 12% 11% 14%
Nail Polish 8% 8% 7% 8%
Soft Drinks 3% 4% 6% 6%
Instant Noodles 14% 23% 21% 24%
Mineral Water 5% 10% 8% 11%
Chocolates 7% 10% 7% 9%
Ketchup / Sauces 7% 13% 13% 14%
Deodorants 16% 22% 14% 17%
Processed Cheese 10% 21% 15% 19%
Branded Soups 17% 27% 21% 18%
FMCGCAGR 2007 - 2012
And this is Young India territory
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Town Type
Population
aged 15-19
years
Population
aged 20-24
years
Population
aged 25-29
years
Population
aged 30-34
years
Top-8 Metros 8.47% 9.03% 8.93% 9.48%
Tier 1 9.14% 9.81% 9.12% 8.75%
Tier 2 9.05% 9.86% 9.15% 8.48%
Tier 3 9.34% 10.19% 9.21% 8.36%
Tier 4 9.45% 10.25% 9.27% 8.35%
Large Towns 9.35% 10.11% 9.22% 8.37%
Medium Towns 9.16% 9.95% 9.09% 8.31%
Small Towns 9.00% 9.84% 9.09% 8.37%
Very Small Towns 9.07% 10.00% 9.20% 8.52%
Urban India 9.1% 9.8% 9.1% 8.6%
Composition of Age-Group to Total Pop
Source: Indicus Analytics Market Skyline of India 2013
Most second layer metros and beyond posses a larger proportion of younger age groups A generational shift far more pronounced than the established metros is underway
Coupled with high growth in affluence indicators
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Not only are the 10L+ segment of Metros mirroring population profiles of the big 8, they are galloping away in the growth in affluent consumers
SEC A SEC B SEC A SEC B SEC A SEC B
Urban India 100 100 11% 17% 25% 18%
40L+ 36% 27% 16% 19% 17% 15%
10-40L 22% 16% 15% 17% 43% 24%
5-10L 10% 10% 11% 17% 20% 13%
1-5L 17% 21% 9% 17% 23% 17%
<1L 16% 26% 6% 15% 29% 19%
Urban India
Pop Strata
Distribution 2012 Composition 2012 Growth 2007-2012
Source: IRS 2008 R1 & 2012 Q4
An extremely media-mature urban India
14
Source: IRS 2008 R1 & 2012 Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
C&S AD-TR AD-AIR Radio Internet
40L+ 10L-40L 5L-10L 1L-5L <1L
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
C&S AD-TR AD-AIR Radio Internet
40L+ 10L-40L 5L-10L 1L-5L <1L
MEDIA REACH - ALL ADULTS MEDIA REACH - SEC A
Traditional media continues to hold fort very strongly across Urban Tiers
AD-TR: Any Daily–Total Readership AD-AIR: Any Daily–Average Issue Readership
Media continues to find huge room for growth
15
C&S AD-TR AD-AIR Radio Internet
40L+ 6% 0% 1% -3% 20%
10L-40L 10% 3% 4% 3% 27%
5L-10L 10% 2% 3% 1% 24%
1L-5L 10% 3% 1% -1% 28%
<1L 10% 2% 2% -6% 38%
URBAN
INDIA
CAGR 2007-2012
C&S AD-TR AD-AIR Radio Internet
40L+ 4% 2% 1% -4% 14%
10L-40L 10% 7% 7% 10% 23%
5L-10L 7% 4% 4% 4% 17%
1L-5L 7% 4% 3% 1% 23%
<1L 9% 5% 5% -1% 28%
SEC ACAGR 2007-2012
Source: IRS 2008 R1 & 2012 Q4
Doomsday prophecies not withstanding, consumption of traditional media continue to rapidly grow across every strata of Rest of Urban India
AD-TR: Any Daily–Total Readership AD-AIR: Any Daily–Average Issue Readership
Thank you
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