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MOBILIZING PRIVATE EQUITY AND DEBT
FUNDS FOR SME AND INFRASTRUCTURE
FINANCE IN EMERGING MARKETS AND
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Investment Funds Group Team11-11-2015
101684
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Outline
Part I: Global evolution of private equity and debt funds
• Section 1: Overall evolution of PE funds• Section 2: Emergence of private debt funds
• Section 3: Venture capital funds
• Section 4: Infrastructure funds
Part II: Mobilizing PE and debt funds in emerging markets and developing countries (EMDEs)
• Section 1: Developing ecosystem for PE/VC in EMDEs
• Section 2: Developing the PPP framework in EMDEs
• Section 3: The role of Strategic Investment Funds (SIFs)
1
Section 1: Private equity funds assets under management (AUM)
have grown from US$ 716 billion in 2000 to US$ 3.8 trillion in 2014.
2
298 377 407 402 409563
8061,011 1,075 1,067 993 1,007 941
1,074 1,144418 374 360 465 554
675
898
1,265 1,2041,413
1,7832,029
2,332
2,5462,644
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Dec-0
0
Dec-0
1
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
Dec-1
3
Ju
n-1
4
Private Equity Assets under Management December 2004 - June 2014 (US$ billion)
Dry Powder Unrealized ValueSource: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
Section 1: By geographical area, the main areas of focus are the US
and Europe, followed by Asia. The rest of the world is at a low level,
but growing slowly.
3
Source: 2014 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13
Dry
Po
wd
er
($b
n)
Private Equity Dry Powder by Primary Geographic Focus 2003 – 2013 (US$ billion)
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
Section 1: Among emerging markets, emerging Asia is the
main geographical focus area (with China and India leading),
followed by Latin America (with Brazil leading)
4
Source: EMPEA Database
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Evolution on PE investments in Emerging Markets by region, in US$ billion
Emerging Asia China India
CEE and CIS Russia Latin America
Brazil MENA Sub-Saharan Africa
Section 1: By type of fund, buyout funds dominate, followed by real
estate, venture capital and infrastructure. Mezzanine debt represents
a small share of the total, but is growing.
5
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14
Dry
Po
wd
er
($b
n)
Private Equity Dry Powder by Fund Type 2003 – 2014 (US$ billion)
Buyout Distressed Private Equity GrowthInfrastructure Mezzanine Real EstateVenture Capital Other
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
Section 1: After dropping following the international financial crisis in
2008, private equity-backed exits have rebounded sharply in the
2010-2014 period.
6
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450Q
1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Aggre
ga
te E
xit V
alu
e ($
bn
)N
o. o
f E
xits
Private Equity-Backed Exits by TypeQ1 2006 – Q4 2014
IPO Restructuring Sale to GP Trade Sale Aggregate Exit Value ($bn)
Section 1: The investor base for private equity funds has
undergone major transformation over the past 6 years.
7
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
28%
13%
3%
8%
7%
4%
6% 6%5%
4%
1% 2%
22%
13%
10%
6%
10%
6%
3%
12%
3%
5%
2% 3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Pub
lic P
ensio
nF
und
s
Fu
nd
of
Fu
nd
sM
an
ag
ers
Hig
h-N
et-
Wo
rth
Ind
ivid
uals
End
ow
me
nt
Pla
ns
Priva
te S
ecto
rP
en
sio
n F
un
ds
Fa
mily
Off
ices
Fo
un
datio
ns
Insu
ran
ce
Com
pan
ies
Ban
ks &
Inve
stm
ent
Ban
ks
Gove
rnm
en
tA
ge
ncie
s
Corp
ora
teIn
ve
sto
rs
Sove
reig
n W
ea
lth
Fu
nd
s
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f C
ap
ital C
om
mit
ted
Investor Type
Make-up of LPs in the Average Fund by LP Type (Capital Committed to Funds Closed in 2009-2014)
2009-2011
2012-2014
Section 1: In terms of performance, private equity horizon IRR
outperformed major market indices in 2014. However, this
performance was driven by buyout funds, while venture capital
underperformed market indices.
8
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
1 Year to Jun 2014 3 Years to Jun 2014 5 Years to Jun 2014 10 Years to Jun 2014
An
nu
ali
ze
d R
etu
rns
Private Equity Horizon IRRs vs. Public Indices as of 30 June 2014
All Private Equity
Buyout
Venture Capital
S&P 500
MSCI Europe
MSCI Emerging Markets
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
Outline
Section 1: Overall Evolution of PE Funds
Section 2: Emergence of Private Debt Funds
Section 3: Venture Capital Funds
Section 4: Infrastructure Funds
9
Section 2: Since the international financial crisis in 2008, private
debt funds (including mezzanine funds) have grown rapidly.
10
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Debt Report
60
8691 94
141
108
23
3946
58
79
64
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year of Final Close
Annual Private Debt Fundraising 2009 - 2014
No. of Funds Closed
Aggregate Capital Raised($bn)
Section 2: By geographical area, the main areas of focus are North
America, followed by Europe and Asia and the rest of the world.
11
Source: Preqin Special Report: Private Debt Report, November 2014
17%17%
15% 17% 13% 14%
22%
22%
20%26%
21%
33%
62%
31%
65%57%
66%
52%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f F
un
ds
Year of Final Close
Breakdown of the Number of Private Debt Funds Closed by Primary Geographic Focus 2009 - 2014 YTD (As at 11.20.2014)
North America
Europe
Asia & Rest of World
Section 2: By type of fund, mezzanine funds dominate,
followed by direct lending and distressed debt.
12
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Debt Report
23%
16%
42%
15%
4%
Primary Strategy of Private Debt Fund Managers Established Since 2008
Direct Lending
Distressed Debt
Mezzanine
Special Situations
Venture Debt
Outline
Section 1: Overall Evolution of PE Funds
Section 2: Emergence of Private Debt Funds
Section 3: Venture Capital Funds
Section 4: Infrastructure Funds
13
Section 3: After reaching a peak in 2008, venture capital fund raising
dropped significantly following the international financial crisis in
2009 and 2010. It rebounded significantly in 2011, but has tapered off
since then in 2012 and 2013 followed by another peak in 2014.
14
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
52.4
27.0 26.5
42.2
38.1
31.2
45.7
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Evolution of Venture Capital Fundraising, 2008 – 2014 (US$ billion)
Section 3: By stage, venture capital deal flow is led by angel/seed
deals, followed by round 1 deals and round 2 deals, showing the
critical role played by private equity at early stages of development of
SMEs. Venture debt represents less than 7% of the total.
15
22%
2%
25%
3%
20%
1%
13%
10%
13%
10%
16%
7%
8%
12%
8%
12%
9%
11%
4%
12%
3%
9%
5%
9%
3%
13%
3%
12%
3%
13%
2%5%
2%
3%
3%
2%
1% 2% 1%2%
1%
1%
32%27%
32%
30%
31%
22%
6%
5%
6%
9%6%
4%
8%13%
7% 10% 8%
31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
2012 2013 2014
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f To
tal
Proportion of Number and Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals by Stage 2012 – 2013
Angel/Seed Series A/Round 1 Series B/Round 2 Series C/Round 3
Series D/Round 4 and Later Growth Capital/Expansion PIPE Unspecified Round
Venture Debt Add-on & Other
Source: Preqin Global Private Equity Reports, 2014 & 2015
Section 3: By geographical area, venture capital deal flow is highly
concentrated in North America, followed by Europe and China. The
rest of the world represents a small share of the total.
16
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Private Equity Report
* Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, secondary stock purchase and venture debt
73%69%
73%69% 67%
71%67%
62%
14%13%
15%
14%11%
12% 17%
11%
8%12%
8%12% 17% 11% 7%
15%
3% 2% 2% 3% 2%3%
3%6%
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%1% 1%
1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2%4% 5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f A
gg
reg
ate
Dea
l V
alu
e
Proportion of Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals by Region, 2007 - 2014*
North America Europe China India Israel Other
Section 3: By industry, venture capital deal flow is led by
internet, followed by software, healthcare and telecoms.
17
Source: Preqin Global Private Equity Reports, 2014 & 2015
27%22% 25% 23% 26% 29%
18%
14%
21%20%
20% 17%
18%
25%
16% 22% 15% 15%
12%9%
14% 10%15% 16%
8%
8%
8% 9% 9% 7%2%
2%
3% 2% 3% 3%4%9%
3% 3% 3% 3%4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2%3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2%3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
No. of Deals Aggregate DealValue
2012 2013 2014
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f To
tal
Proportion of Number and Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals by Industry 2012 – 2014
Internet Software & Related Healthcare Telecoms
Other IT Business Services Clean Technology Consumer Discretionary
Industrials Semiconductors & Electronics Other
Outline
Section 1: Overall Evolution of PE Funds
Section 2: Emergence of Private Debt Funds
Section 3: Venture Capital Funds
Section 4: Infrastructure Funds
18
Section 4: Unlisted infrastructure funds AUM have grown from
US$ 7 billion in 2002 to US$ 296 billion in 2014.
19
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
3 4 11 15
3761 63 64 68
90 82 87105
4 56 9
16
3349
60
92
127 149157
191
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Dec-0
2
Dec-0
3
Dec-0
4
Dec-0
5
Dec-0
6
Dec-0
7
Dec-0
8
Dec-0
9
Dec-1
0
Dec-1
1
Dec-1
2
Dec-1
3
Ju
n-1
4
As
se
ts u
nd
er
Ma
na
ge
me
nt
($b
n)
Unlisted Infrastructure Assets under Management December 2002 - June 2014
Unrealized Value($bn)
Dry Powder ($bn)
Section 4: By project stage, infrastructure fund deals are led
by secondary stage, followed by greenfield and brownfield.
20
Source: 2014 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
59%
28%
13%
Breakdown of Unlisted Infrastructure Deals by Project Stage 2008 – 2013
Secondary Stage
Greenfield
Brownfield
Section 4: By geographical area, the main areas of focus are
North America, followed by Europe and Asia.
21
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
53
32
11 9
93
59
20 19
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
As
se
ts u
nd
er
Ma
na
ge
me
nt
($b
n)
Fund Primary Geographic Focus
Unlisted Infrastructure Assets under Management by Fund Primary Geographic Focus as of June 2014
Unrealized Value ($bn)
Dry Powder ($bn)
Section 4: By industry, infrastructure fund deal flow is led by
renewable energy, followed by transport, social infrastructure and
energy.
22
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
39%35% 33% 34% 36%
39%41%
15%
14% 17% 14% 13%
17%19%
8% 17%11% 16%
18%
14%
15%13%10%
14%
15%13%
13%
8%
19% 17% 20%16% 15% 12%
14%
3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1%2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f D
eals
Breakdown of Infrastructure Deals by Industry, 2008-2014
Other
Telecoms
Utilities
Energy
Social
Transport
Renewable Energy
Section 4: By type of investor, superannuation schemes dominate,
followed by endowment plans, public pension funds and private
sector pension funds.
23
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
7.0%
4.4%
3.3%
2.7%
3.1%
4.4%
9.0%
6.6%
5.2%4.9%
4.5% 4.4%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
Su
pe
ran
nu
atio
n S
ch
em
e
En
do
wm
ent
Pla
n
Pu
blic
Pe
nsio
n F
un
d
Pri
va
te S
ecto
rP
ensio
n F
un
d
Fo
un
datio
n
Asse
t M
ana
ger
Ave
rag
e I
nfr
astr
uc
ture
All
oca
tio
n
(As
a P
rop
ort
ion
of
AU
M)
Average Current and Target Allocations to Infrastructure by Investor Type, 2014
Average CurrentAllocation
Average TargetAllocation
Section 4: Since 2007, infrastructure investment funds have
outperformed the private equity class.
24
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180D
ec-0
7
Ma
r-0
8
Ju
n-0
8
Sep
-08
De
c-0
8
Ma
r-0
9
Ju
n-0
9
Sep
-09
De
c-0
9
Ma
r-1
0
Ju
n-1
0
Sep
-10
De
c-1
0
Ma
r-1
1
Ju
n-1
1
Sep
-11
De
c-1
1
Ma
r-1
2
Ju
n-1
2
Sep-1
2
De
c-1
2
Ma
r-1
3
Ju
n-1
3
Sep
-13
De
c-1
3
Ma
r-1
4
Ju
n-1
4
Ind
ex R
etu
rns
(R
eb
ase
d t
o 1
00
as o
f 3
1 D
ece
mb
er
200
7)
PrEQIn Index: Infrastructure vs. All Private Equity December 2007 – June 2014
PrEQIn All Private EquityIndex
PrEQIn InfrastructureIndex
Section 4: Following low levels of activity until 2005, unlisted private
infrastructure debt funds increased rapidly until the financial crisis in
2008. Following a sharp drop in 2009, infrastructure debt funds
recovered quickly, raising US$ 7.5 billion in 2013.
25
Source: 2014 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
5
3
6
9
1
6
7
10
7
1.81.2
3.5 3.6
0.2
1.3
6.2
3.4
7.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
199
8-2
00
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
Year of Final Close
Annual Infrastructure Debt Fund Raising, 1998-2013
No. of FundsClosed
Aggregate CapitalRaised ($bn)
Section 4: By geographical area, the main areas of concentration are
North America, followed by Europe and the rest of the world
26
Source: 2014 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
15
19 19
21
18.3
10.9
6.3
8.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
North America Europe Asia Rest of World
Breakdown of Unlisted Infrastructure Debt Fund Universe by Primary Geographic Focus, 2013
No. of FundsClosed/Raising
Aggregate CapitalRaised/Targeted ($bn)
Section 4: The number of listed infrastructure funds raised increased
from 2001 to 2011 with a drop in 2012 and peaking in 2013.
27
Source: 2015 Preqin Global Infrastructure Report
21
27
32
39 4037
3936 35
42
6
5
8
1 5 2 10
2
13
3 5
1
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
No
. o
f F
un
ds
Listed Infrastructure Fund Launches, 2005-2014
No. of FundsDe-Listed
No. of FundsLaunched
No. of FundsAlready Trading
Section 4: Listed infrastructure funds AUM have grown from US$ 4.6
billion in 2004 to US$ 21.4 billion in 2013 (valued at vintage).
28
Source: Preqin Database and staff calculations
Note: The table represents 44 listed infrastructure funds from Preqin database and AUM shown is at vintage
4.6
7.8
9
12 12 12
13.4
14.8 14.8
21.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
AUM of Listed Infrastructure Funds (US$ billion)
Part II: Mobilizing PE and debt funds in EMDEs
Section 1: Developing the ecosystem for PE/VC in EMDEs
Three pillars:
• Pillar 1: legal and regulatory framework for PE/VC operations
• Pillar 2: legal and regulatory framework for investments by
institutional investors in asset class
• Pillar 3: business enabling environment
29
Pillar 1: legal and regulatory framework for PE/VC operations
Fund regulator and capacity
PE/VC fund and fund manager regulations• fund legal structure (incl compartments)• qualified assets• qualified investors• management company legal structure• qualification of persons who conduct the business of management company• disclosure of ultimate controllers of management company• disclosure and resolution of conflict of interest• delegation of core manager functions• own funds• asset valuation rules• content of fund prospectus• disclosure to investors• auditing• reporting• depositary rules• cooperation with supervisory agency• penalties
30
Pillar 1: legal and regulatory framework for PE/VC operations
Tax treatment• tax residency for foreign investment funds• tax pass through for fund legal structures (capital gains tax, withholding tax)• double taxation agreements
Investor protection• protection of minority shareholder rights• protection for investors in funds
Interest in portfolio companies• restrictions on issue or transfer of shares
Buyouts• regulations on buyouts by public auction• regulations on buyouts of listed companies
Protection of intellectual property rights• legal and regulatory framework for patents and trademarks• international treaties• enforcement
Bankruptcy procedures/creditor rights/partner liability• legal and regulatory framework for bankruptcy
• treatment of foreign and domestic creditors• partner liability
• enforcement
31
Pillar 1: legal and regulatory framework for PE/VC operations
Exits
• listing rules on main exchange
• listing rules on SME exchange
Exchange controls
• regulations on inward investments
• regulations on outward transfers of profits and capital gains
Corporate governance requirements
• corporate governance requirements for funds
• corporate governance requirements for investee companies
Contract enforcement
• contract enforcement through court system
• contract dispute resolution framework
Perceived corruption
• transparency international index
• doing business index
Accounting
• IFRS implementation
32
Pillar 2: Legal and regulatory framework for investments by
institutional investors in asset class
Laws/regulations for investments by pension funds in PE/VC asset
class
• rules-based regime: limits on investment in asset class
• risk-based regime: benchmark portfolio
Laws/regulations for investments by insurance companies in
PE/VC asset class
• rules-based regime: limits on investment in asset class
• risk-based regime: roadmap to Solvency II/risk-based regulatory regime
33
Pillar 3: Business enabling environment
Supply side• Business incubators
• Business accelerators
• Angel investors
• Angel investor groups
Demand side• Seed co-investment funds
• Hybrid PE/VC funds
34
Section 2: Developing the PPP framework in EMDEs
Legal framework
• enable contract form encompassing multiple obligations (DBFOM: design-build-finance-operate-maintain)
• enable DBFOM contract for both user-pay and government-pay models
• enable tender model based on dialogue with prospective bidders
Selection, preparation and appraisal
• guidelines to assess and select PPP projects at all levels of government
• focus on affordability, commercial feasibility and value for money
Fiscal management
• relevance for government-pay projects
• valuation of contingent liabilities
• public debt limits
Institutional framework and architecture
• roles of procuring agency, promoter, treasury, general attorney
• creation of specialized bodies
35
Section 2: Developing the PPP framework in EMDEs
(cont’d)
Key drivers for mobilization of institutional investors including
infrastructure PE/debt funds
• Significant project pipeline
• Successful track record including resolution of disputes
• Strong process management framework
• Clarity of legal framework (PPP legality, enforceability and procurement
transparency)
• Strong political commitment and support
• Public acceptability
• Fiscal sustainability
36
Section 3: The role of Strategic Investment Funds (SIFs)
• SIFs being created by increasing number of governments and regional economic
communities to serve as anchor investors for international and domestic institutional
investors in domestic projects
• Sectors: SOE turnaround, infrastructure PPP projects, SMEs
• Original inspiration: Singapore Temasek, Malaysisa Khazanah, South Africa Public
Investment Corporation
• More recent examples:
• EU: European Fund for Strategic Investments (EFSI)
• Sénégal: Fonds Souverain d’Investissement Stratégique (FONSIS)
• Chile: Strategic Investment Fund
• Under preparation
• Indonesia, Congo, Côte d’Ivoire, Morocco
37
Section 3: The role of SIFs (cont’d)
SIF Feasibility: key elements
governance structure:
• separation between ownership and management functions
• fund board defining overall investment strategy
• fund management company responsible for investment and exit
decisions
• funds/compartments targeting specific sectors/investor risk profile
regulatory framework
• funds regulated by capital market authority
investment strategy
• SIF to invest as GP in infrastructure fund
• SIF to invest as LP in SME PE/VC funds managed by private manager
and GP
38
Section 3: The role of SIFs (cont’d)
human resource strategy
• recruitment from private sector (investment banking, project finance,
private equity/venture capital) through international private recruitment
agency
project selection criteria
• double trigger: IRR/ERR
fund manager remuneration
• fund management fees, share of carry, hurdle rate
preliminary market sounding
• international and domestic institutional investors incl pension funds,
insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds (SWFs), private equity
and debt funds
39
Investment Funds Group Team
40
Contact information:
Michel Noel
202-203-0874
Samuel Schneider
Consultant
Patrick J. McGinnis
Consultant
Sevara Atamuratova
Research Analyst
Shanthi Divakaran
Sr. Financial Sector Specialist
Michel Noel
Head
Thelma Ayamel
Program AssistantHavard Halland
Economist
Honglin (Holly) Li
Learning Analyst