The Politics of Environmental Policy in China

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    U6110 Politics of Policymaking| POP Final Exam

    To: Senator Harry Reid (Enrique Ku)

    From: Anna Chen, ac3080

    Date: 10 May 2010Subject: *Confidential* Strategy to Use Comprehensive Immigration Reform for Electoral Success inNovember

    Senator Reid, there is no better time than now throw your support behind Senator Graham andSchumer and their immigration plan. The president is calling on Congress to work towards a federalimmigration reform plan to prevent misguided efforts to deal with immigration such as the recentbill in Arizona that undermines the notions of fairness we expect as Americans. We have thesupport of Speaker Pelosi who has stated the House will stand behind an immigration reform bill

    coming from the Senate. We must capitalize on the goodwill associated with the passage of healthcare reform and show the public the very real benefits in terms of safety and economics that will come from immigration reform. However in order to be successful, you must be proactive incontrolling the debate on the reform in the media and sharing the success of the bill with thesupport we will need from key Republican senators. Your part in the passage of a progressive bill tobe more inclusive to immigrants will provide the boost you need for electoral success in November.In addition because immigration supports job creation and is a large part of Nevadas labor force,you support will also play a major role in the long term economic recovery of Nevada from thecurrent recession.

    Congress has tried and failed to pass immigration reform in 2007 and the divisions that caused thatfailure are still very clear. The majority of Republicans are focused on border security and mostDemocrats are seeking a broader plan for a path to citizenship for immigrants. The GOP oppositionremains quite divided with the ultra conservative Tea Party leading the anti-immigration opposition.However the growing popularity of the Tea Party is also showing the ever-growing chasmthreatening the unity of the GOP. The other arm of the GOP is much more moderate than the TeaParty faction and will do what they can to distance themselves from the ultra-conservative arm tohold onto their moderate bases. In fact it is likely that with Obamas support some moderateRepublicans can be swayed to vote for the bill. Despite this promise we must also address theRepublicans claims that the focus of Congress should be on fixing the economy and creating jobs,rather than immigration. The ability to show framing that debate that will be key to winning thedispute on immigration reform.

    Should we not make every effort to push immigration reform now, you may not get the supportfrom the Hispanic community that you need in November for re-election. In addition we may cedethe position of the progressive party on immigration to the Republicans if the Democrats do not actnow. The Tea Party darling Sarah Palin has already softened her tone on immigration and thoughLatino voters currently vote democrat, they can be swayed to the GOP, especially if they can makeus look weak on the current inaction on immigration. The GOP knows that whichever party cansway Latino voters is well positioned for the future since Latinos are the fastest growing populationin the US. Not only is your political future at stake, but the possibility of the Republicans gaining the

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    majority in Congress is also another real threat if you dont help create a coalition for theimmigration reform bill.

    In the fight for comprehensive immigration reform, we have the support of the major labor unions AFL-CIO, Change to Win, and the SEIU. The US Chamber of Congress, a business organizationhas also thrown its weight behind comprehensive reform. We must leverage their support as well asthe evidence from progressive think tanks to show voters that in fact comprehensive reform is goodfor labor and is also good for business and the economy. With that evidence and a subtle reminderto Rahm Emanel how much the President gained from the Latino vote in the 2008 election and theirimportance in the 2010 elections, I am confident we will get him on our side to push the reformthrough.

    One major argument of Republican opposition is that we must focus on border control to keep ournation safe. In addition they claim legalization of illegal immigrants lowers the wages of Americansand that immigrants occupy jobs needed by unemployed Americans. Perhaps their most powerfulargument is that illegal immigrants are a fiscal drain on America with their children in our educationsystem and their inclusion in the Healthcare bill could cost billions.

    We must remind the public that the comprehensive immigration reform bill will have a very strong component towards border control and also remind them that border control without immigrationreform is not effective. This is clearly demonstrated by the weak sanctions and failure of theImmigration Reform and Control Act of 1986. In addition we must point out that immigrants may only depress wages because when they are off the books they are more likely to accept lower paid

    work that employers offer to immigrants with no other choices. Including immigrants into a legalframework will help to ensure low skilled wages rise. Another point to highlight is that immigrantsare taking jobs that US born workers dont want thus the charge that immigrants are taking jobsfrom Americans is misleading. Lastly we must point to the economic gains that immigrants bring tothe American economy and the estimates that comprehensive immigration reform can generate anincrease of US GDP of .84%, about $1.5 trillion over 10 years as opposed to the temporary workerprogram favored by most republicans which would only increase GDP by .44%. An even moreinteresting statistic to show is that mass deportation of immigrants would reduce GDP by 1.46%,thus when looking at the numbers, the economy will actually be best off with comprehensiveimmigration reform and it can serve as a boost to the economy in the current recession.

    With the strategy and arguments set forth the path towards immigration reform and electoralsuccess November is yours for the taking.

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