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The Perfect Storm. 4. Unprepared Workforce. 1. Great Recession. 3. Upskilling of Jobs. 2. Aging Population. Global economy in throes of worst economic storm in century Jobs in jeopardy Slow, faltering recovery Governments in record debt. 1 | The Great Recession. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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The Perfect Storm
GreatRecession
Aging Population
UnpreparedWorkforce
Upskilling of Jobs
12
3
4
1 | The Great Recession
Global economy in throes of worst economic storm in centuryJobs in jeopardySlow, faltering recoveryGovernments in record debt
2 | Aging Population
Declining birth rate since 1967Later marriage & fewer childrenBoomers retiring (1947-65 in 2012)Growing concern: dependency ratioImmigration cannot offset natural decline
% of Canadians Between 15-64
19501955
19601965
19701975
19801985
19901995
20002005
20102012
20152020
20252030
20352040
20452050
205550%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
YEAR
PERC
ENTA
GE
Source: Russell Barnett, Bank of Canada Review, Summer 2007, p.7
Dependency Ratio
Canada NFLD PEI NS NB QC ON MN SK AB BC0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
20102036
PERC
ENTA
GE
Rick Miner, PhD, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities
3 | Upskilling of Jobs
Rick Miner, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities
• Vast majority of 2031 work force has been born• Immigration – 280,000• Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled
The Gallup World Poll was started in 2005, covers virtually every demographic and socioeconomic group in every country in the world, and will go on for 100 years.
Biggest discovery so far:
More than anything else, the whole world wants a good job!
The countries with enough cities that pull together to ensure their citizens have good jobs and their employers have engaged employees will be the winners in The Coming Jobs War.
Agriculture: 90,000 additional workers required by 2013 Construction: 219,000 retiring workers 2012 – 2020 ECO Canada: 100,483 environmental workers in the next 10 years to replace retiring
workers Electricity: 45,000 new skilled workers required by 2016 (almost half of the existing
workforce) Food Processing: 13% (32,500) of workers in this industry will be retiring by 2115. At least
21,500 needed in the period Information & Communications Technology: 106,000 in the next 5 years Mining: About 81,000 needed in the next decade Petroleum: At least 15,000 new workers over the next four years (2012 - 2015) Printing: 41% of the industry’s labour force is nearing, or has passed, the age of early
retirement Supply Chain: 27,000 current vacancies , with an additional need for 60,000employees
annually Tourism: 114,000 unfilled jobs in 2020 and by 2030, 10.7% of labour demand (228,000 jobs)
could go unfilled Trucking: 2012-2017; projected workforce growth will be 199,800
Talent Shortages
TASC - The Alliance for Sector Councils, November 2012
4 | Unprepared Workforce
The Talent Pipeline
Leaking Pipeline
National HS graduation rate 79%
60% of HS grads (47%) register immediately for post-secondary programs
25% of post-secondary students dropout by the end of the first year. A similar percent change programs or majors
(King, 2009, Who Doesn’t Go To Post-Secondary Education?)(Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People)(Education Indicators 2011, Statistics Canada & Council of Ministers of Education Canada)
End of Pipeline
100 Grade 9 Students: 29 will graduate on schedule with post-secondary degree, diploma, certificate
14-20% youth unemployment (Statistics Canada)
39% mal-employed or underemployed (Sun Life Financial Canada Poll of 18-24 year olds, November, 2012)
90% of Youth 18-24 feel Excessive Stress. Why? Economic instability and underemployment (Sun Life Financial Canada, Nov 2012)
2012 summer jobs at lowest level since 1977 (C.D. Howe Institute)
“The linear path from school to career, home ownership, and family has disappeared.”Community Foundations of Canada, October 2012
Career Entry Fee
By 2031 approximately 77% of the workforce will require a post-secondary education or training
Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities, Rick Miner, PhD, March 2012)
Career Entry Fee
“Over the past third of a century all net job growth has been generated by positions requiring some
post-secondary education.”Pathways to Prosperity, 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education
By 2031 approximately 77% of the workforce will require a post-secondary education or training
Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities, Rick Miner, PhD, March 2012)
Generation Nixed
Young & Jobless – Neil Sandell
Generation with no Future
CBC Documentary
CBC TELEVISION’S DOC ZONEThursday, Jan 31st at 9:00 PM
“The problem of youth unemployment has been getting worse for several years. But there are at last some reasons for hope. Governments are trying to address the
mismatch between education and the labour market. Companies are beginning to take more responsibility for investing in the young. And technology is helping democratise education and training. The world has a real chance of introducing an education-and-
training revolution worthy of the scale of the problem.”
Generation Jobless
• 28% of workers are fully engaged
• About the same number are actively disengaged
• The rest are cruising on automatic pilot
Clifton, The Coming Jobs War
Employee Engagement
Economic Consequences
• Productivity $ 1.3 Trillion• Health $122 Billion• Education $100 Billion• Social Services $190 Billion• Policing & Prisons $ 51 Billion• Govt Revenues $585 Billion
Human Consequences
• Individuals• Families• Communities• Provinces• Canada
Transforming Education
Wake Forest
Harvard-led Pathways Movement
• Educators and employers must collaborate to provide work-based and project-based learning opportunities for secondary and post-secondary students.
• Career guidance must be enhanced so students choose
pathways based on their unique interests, talents, and aspirations, and on contemporary workforce needs.
• All learning pathways to career roles in demand in the workforce deserve equal priority and respect.
• The contributions of educators, parents, employers, and community agencies are all vital and must be harmonized.
Consensus Reached
The Perfect Storm makes a harmonized,
whole-community commitment to
career and workforce development an
economic imperative.
Whole Community
Athletes and Teachers
• Potential future sports stars, and teachers, are discovered young and nurtured
• Most others must find their way through the educational maze then discover if any employers want them
The ccEngage Solution
ccSpark!
Career Learning Begins
Social skills, personal strengths,
life planning, careers
Interactive game play
SparkCentral Portfolio
Learning Style Assessment
Aligned curriculum,
7+ hours per grade
ccTheRealGame
Experiential Learning
Financial literacy
Relevant
Classroom-based
Role-play
Age-appropriate
Experience impact of career
choices
Soft Skills
Complete curriculum
ccSpringboard
Engaging and Inspiring
Foundation for achievement
World renowned assessments
Multi-media career profiles
Industry’s best post-secondary
database
Communication tools
Living portfolio
ccPathfinder
Course Planning, Career Planning, Life Planning
Four year course plans
Customized
Validates against requirements
Multiple degree options
Aligns with career goals
Integrates with SIS
Streamlines course scheduling
ccInspire
Connecting Education and Industry
Employer profiles
Career Coaches
Work-based learning
experiences
Messaging tools
Local events
Social networking connection
The ccEngage Solution
Whole Community Approach
Community Organizations
Students
Employers
Parents
Educators/Trainers
Administrators