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The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 ACOPC Summer Conference July 18, 2019 Karl E. Williams MD MPH Chief Medical Examiner Allegheny County

The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

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Page 1: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019

ACOPC Summer Conference July 18, 2019

Karl E. Williams MD MPHChief Medical Examiner

Allegheny County

Page 2: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

National Medical Services (NMS)

Page 3: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OFPA – Home Page

Page 4: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Find Naloxone

Page 5: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OFPA – Home Page

Page 6: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

How to Query the DatasetsStep 1: Choose “View Overdose Death Data”

Page 7: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

How to Query the DatasetsStep 2: Select County(s) and load data set.

*Counties will have variable years of data

Page 8: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

How to Query the DatasetsStep 3: Choose Desired Years

Page 9: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OverdoseFreePA Demographic Dashboard

Page 10: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OverdoseFreePA Overdoses by Resident and Incident Zip Code

Page 11: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OverdoseFreePA Overdoses by Zip Code

Allegheny Allegheny and Westmoreland

Page 12: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OverdoseFreePA Last “Static Page” – Editable Data Charts

Choose “Edit Chart”

Page 13: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OverdoseFreePA Last “Static Page” – Editable Data Charts

Page 14: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OverdoseFreePA Example - Acetyl Fentanyl and Despripionyl Fentanyl Query

Page 15: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OverdoseFreePA Example - Acetyl Fentanyl,Despripionyl Fentanyl Query, and Furanyl Fentanyl

Page 16: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny CountyOverview

Page 17: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny County 2018 Data—Total

Page 18: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny County2018 Data—Resident Zip Codes

Page 19: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny CountyZip Code with Highest Number of Overdoses (2018)

15212 = 24 Overdose Deaths in 2018 Brighton Heights

Page 20: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny County Age Breakdown

2017 2018

Page 21: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny County Top Ten Drugs 2018

Page 22: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny County Heroin vs. Fentanyl

= Fentanyl = Heroin

Page 23: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Butler County Top Ten Drugs (2018) + AC (Insert)

AC – (2018)

Page 24: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Ethanol as Overdose Drug

2008 – 2019 (4,102)

2014 (306)

2019 (32)

Page 25: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Pennsylvania Opioid & Benzodiazepine prescriptions fall while MAT treatment rises

Page 26: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

PennsylvaniaPrescription Opioids vs. Fentanyl

Page 27: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

The Future? Ten scenarios - VOX

Ten Year Projection of Opioid Overdose Deaths

Page 28: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Where are we going from here?

Worst Cast Scenario Best Cast Scenario

Page 29: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

• The best-case projection has fatal overdoses falling below 22,000 a year by 2027. But experts say reaching that level would require a major public investment in evidence-based treatment options and a concerted push among medical providers to control pain with non-narcotic therapies before trying prescription opioids

• By contrast, federal officials estimate that opioid abuse drains nearly $80 billion a year8 from the American economy because of expenses tied to health care, criminal justice, and lost productivity.

• The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091.This curve assumes opioid deaths increase until a combination of increased naloxone access, decreased prescription opioids, and increased treatment lowers fatal overdoses

https://www.statnews.com/2017/06/27/opioid-deaths-forecast/

Scenarios for the Future

Page 30: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Drug Diversity

Page 31: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Drug DiversityOverdose Death Increase Follows Increase in Drug Diversity

Page 32: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

KetamineBenefits and Risks

• Ketamine has shown clinical effectiveness for relieving treatment-resistant depression

• Within 40 minutes after a single infusion of ketamine, treatment-resistant depressed bipolar disorder patients experienced restored pleasure-seeking behavior that lasted up to 14 days (Lally et al., 2014)

• Ketamine has a history of recreational use and is a candidate for diversion

• Ketamine’s effects act through interactions with the glutamate and opioid receptor systems in the brain

Page 33: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

KetaminePresence in Pennsylvania Overdoses

Page 34: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

GabapentinBenefits and Risks

• Gabapentin is an anticonvulsant medication used to treat seizures and neuropathic pain

• ”Gabbies” are increasingly misused for euphoric recreational effects, typically alongside opioids, benzodiazepines, and alcohol (Smith et al., 2016)

• 49% higher overdose rate among gabapentin + opioid prescriptions than with opioids alone (Gomes et al., 2017)

Page 35: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

GabapentinHistory

1993

Initial FDA approval for

treatment of partial seizures.

2016

United States’ 10th most

commonly prescribed

medication.

2004

(1) FDA approval for treatment of post-

herpetic neuralgia pain.

(2) Generic gabapentin available (Neurontin®

patent expired).

2000

FDA approval for partial

seizure in children from 3–12

years old.

Page 36: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

GabapentinPresence in Pennsylvania Overdoses

Page 37: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

LoperamideBenefits and Risks

• Sold over the counter as oral treatment for diarrhea which works as a peripheral opioid and does not affect the brain at normal doses

• Increased restrictions on Rx opioids may prompt some users to use loperamide as an over-the-counter withdrawal treatment—“The poor person’s methadone”) (MacDonald et al., 2015)

• Several reports of sometimes-fatal cardiotoxicity due to high-dose loperamide misuse have been published (Egglestone et al., 2016; Mukarram et al., 2016)

Page 38: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

LoperamidePresence in Pennsylvania Overdoses

Page 39: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

National Medical Services (NMS)

Page 40: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

National Medical Services (NMS)

Page 41: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

National Medical Services (NMS)

Page 42: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

National Medical Services (NMS)

Page 43: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

References

Eggleston, William; Clark, Kenneth H.; Marraffa, Jeanna M. (2016). "Loperamide Abuse Associated With Cardiac Dysrhythmia and Death". Annals of Emergency Medicine. 69 (1): 83–86. doi:10.1016/j.annemergmed.2016.03.047. ISSN 0196-0644. PMID 27140747.

Evoy KE, Morrison MD, Saklad SR (March 2017). "Abuse and Misuse of Pregabalin and Gabapentin". Drugs. 77(4): 403–426. doi:10.1007/s40265-017-0700-x. PMID 28144823.

Gomes T, Juurlink DN, Antoniou T, Mamdani MM, Paterson JM, & van den Brink, W (2017). Gabapentin, opioids, and the risk of opioid-related death: A population-based nested case–control study. PLoS medicine, 14(10), e1002396.

Lally N, Nugent AC, Luckenbaugh DA, Ameli R, Rosier JP, Zarate CA Jr. Anti-anhedonic effect of ketamine and its neural correlates in treatment-resistant bipolar depression. Transl Psychiatry 2014 Oct 14; 4:e469. [PMID: 25313512]

Mukarram, O.; Hindi, Y.; Catalasan, G.; Ward, J. (2016). "Loperamide Induced Torsades de Pointes: A Case Report and Review of the Literature". Case Reports in Medicine. 2016: 1–3. doi:10.1155/2016/4061980. ISSN 1687-9627. PMC 4775784. PMID 26989420.

MacDonald, R; Heiner, J; Villarreal, J; Strote, J (2 May 2015). "Loperamide dependence and abuse". BMJ Case Reports. 2015: bcr2015209705. doi:10.1136/bcr-2015-209705. PMC 4434293. PMID 25935922.

Medscape. (2015).Gabapentin New Drug of Abuse?

Smith RV, Havens JR, Walsh SL (July 2016). "Gabapentin misuse, abuse and diversion: a systematic review". Addiction. 111 (7): 1160–74. doi:10.1111/add.13324. PMC 5573873. PMID 27265421.

In Pain, A bioethicists struggle with pain Travis Reider

Page 44: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

•Brendan Jeffrey Barstow

•And

• The staff at PERU

• Jan Pringle

• Lynn Mirigian

• the numerous others

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

Page 45: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Thank you! Questions are Welcome

Page 46: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny County Overdoses over Time

Page 47: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Kratom• Kratom is a tropical tree (Mitragyna speciosa) native to Southeast

Asia, with leaves that contain compounds that can have psychotropic (mind-altering) effects.

• A new study from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) found that kratom was a cause of death in nearly 100 people over a 17-month period -- a higher number than previously reported.

• dropped a plan to classify it as a controlled substance after public outcry in 2016.

Page 48: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Methamphetamine

Page 49: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

• On Wednesday and Thursday (August 15 and August 16), more than 85 people in New Haven, Connecticut, overdosed on synthetic cannabinoids. In Washington, DC, last month, more than 300 people overdosed on the drugs, commonly called K2 or Spice, with similar cases reported in Baltimore, Brooklyn, and Los Angeles

Page 50: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny County Heroin vs. Fentanyl

2008-2017 2017

Page 51: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

OverdoseFreePA Fentanyl Query

Page 52: The Overdose Crisis: Allegheny County 2019 · • The worst case scenario for opioid deaths forecast for 2027 is 40,652. The forecasted change is 23% since 2015 when it was 33,091

Allegheny CountyPrescription Opioids vs. Fentanyl