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 TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow T echnische Universität München The Normal Distribution Holly Ott 7 f(x)  x  Quality Engineering & Management – Module 3

The Normal Distribution

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The Normal Distribution

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  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    The Normal Distribution

    Holly Ott 7

    f(x)

    x

    Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    It can be shown:

    [Area under the curve = 1]

    [Mean of the distribution = ]

    [Variance of the distribution = 2]

    Parameters of the Normal Distribution

    f x( )dx =1x!

    ( ) =x

    dxxx f

    ( ) ( ) 22

    dxx fxx

    =

    Holly Ott 8 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    The net weight of nails in 20-lb boxes is normally distributed with a mean () of 20 lbs and a variance (2) of 9 lbs2. Let the random variable X represent the weights, then X ~ N(20, 9). We may want to find the proportion of the boxes that have a net weight of less than 15 lbs, the lower specification limit for net weights; that is, we want P(X 15). This probability is given by the area below 15 under the curve defined by the normal distribution function with = 20lbs, 2 = 9lbs2.

    Thus,

    Normal Distribution: Example

    Holly Ott 9 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    = the proportion of the boxes that have a net weight of less than 15 lbs.

    Normal Distribution: Example

    Holly Ott 10

    But this is not easy to calculate!!

    Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    A random variable that is normally distributed with with = 0 and 2 = 1 is called a Standard Normal Variable, denoted by Z. So, Z ~ N(0,1).

    The Standard Normal Distribution

    Holly Ott 11

    (z)

    z

    Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    The pdf of Z is given by: And its CDF is given by: The table of CDF for various values of z is called the Normal Table.

    The Standard Normal Distribution

    (z)= 12 e12 z2,< z

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    The Standard Normal Table

    Holly Ott 13 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    The Standard Normal Table

    Holly Ott 14 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    The Standard Normal Table

    Holly Ott 15 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    If Z ~ N(0,1) a) Find P(Z < 2.62) P(Z < 2.62) = 0.9956

    The Standard Normal Table: Example

    Holly Ott 16 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    If Z ~ N(0,1) b) Find P(Z < -1.45 ) P(Z < -1.45 ) = 0.0735

    The Standard Normal Table: Example

    Holly Ott 17 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    If Z ~ N(0,1) c) Find P(Z >1.45) P(Z > 1.45) = 1 P(Z < 1.45) = 1 0.9265 = 0.0735

    The Standard Normal Table: Example

    Holly Ott 18 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    If Z ~ N(0,1) c) Find P(Z >1.45) P(Z > 1.45) = 1 P(Z < 1.45) = 1 0.9265 = 0.0735

    The Standard Normal Table: Example

    Holly Ott 19

    b) Find P(Z < -1.45 ) P(Z < -1.45 ) = 0.0735

    Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    If Z ~ N(0,1) d) Find P(-1.5 < Z < 2.5) P(-1.5 < Z < 2.5) = P(Z < 2.5) P(Z < -1.5) = 0.9938 0.0668 = 0.9270

    The Standard Normal Table: Example

    Holly Ott 20 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3

  • TUM School of Management Production and Supply Chain Management Prof Martin Grunow Technische Universitt Mnchen

    Practice

    Now let's do a practice problem to work on using the standard normal tables.

    Please complete the next "Practice" module in the course before continuing with the lecture.

    Holly Ott 21 Quality Engineering & Management Module 3