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Chapter Fifteen
The Management of Capital
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Bank Management and Financial © 2008 !e McGraw-Hill "#m$anies, Inc%, &ll 'ig!ts'eserved%
&ey Topics
• The Many Tas's of Capital
• Capital an% (is' )*pos$res
•
Types of Capital n +se• Capital as the Centerpiece of (eg$lation
• asel an% asel
• Capital (eg$lation in the a'e of the Great
(ecession.asel
• "lanning to Meet Capital /ee%s
15-2
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ntro%$ction
• hat is capital▫ F$n%s contri$te% y the owners of a financial instit$tion
• (aising an% retaining s$fficient capital to protect the
interests of c$stomers, employees, owners, an% thegeneral p$lic is to$gh
• hy is capital so important in financial-sericesmanagement▫ t proi%es a c$shion of protection against ris' an% promotes
p$lic confi%ence• Capital has ecome the centerpiece of s$perision an%
reg$lation to%ay
15-3
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The Many Tas's Capital "erforms
1! "roi%es a c$shion against the ris' of fail$re
2! "roi%es f$n%s to help instit$tions get starte%
3! "romotes p$lic confi%ence
! "roi%es f$n%s for growth4! (eg$lator of growth
5! (eg$latory tool to limit ris' e*pos$re
15-4
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Capital an% (is's
• &ey (is's in an'ing an% Financial nstit$tions6Management▫ Cre%it (is'
▫ 7i#$i%ity (is' ▫ nterest (ate (is'
▫ 8perational (is'
▫ )*change (is'
▫ Crime (is'
15-5
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Capital an% (is's 9contin$e%:
• ;efenses against (is's▫ <$ality Management
▫ ;iersification
▫ Geographic▫ "ortfolio
▫ ;eposit ns$rance
▫ 8wners6 Capital
15-6
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Types of Capital in +se
1! Common stoc'
2! "referre% stoc'
3! =$rpl$s
! +n%ii%e% profits4! )#$ity reseres
5! =$or%inate% %eent$res
>! Minority interest in consoli%ate% s$si%iaries
?! )#$ity commitment notes
15-7
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T@7) 14A1 Capital @cco$nts of F;C-ns$re% +!=!
Commercial an's, ;ecemer 31, 2010
15-8
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8ne of the Great ss$es in the History of an'ingB
How M$ch Capital s (eally /ee%e%• (eg$latory @pproach to )al$ating Capital /ee%s
▫ (easons for Capital (eg$lation1! To limit ris' of fail$res2! To presere p$lic confi%ence
3! To limit losses to the goernment an% other instit$tionsarising from %eposit ins$rance claims
15-9
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8ne of the Great ss$es in the History of an'ingB
How M$ch Capital s (eally /ee%e% 9contin$e%:• (eg$latory @pproach to )al$ating Capital /ee%s
▫ (esearch )i%ence▫ (esearch has een con%$cte% on the iss$e of whether the
priate mar'etplace or goernment reg$latory agencies
e*ert a igger effect on an' ris' ta'ing▫ Most st$%ies fin% that the priate mar'etplace is proaly
more important than goernment reg$lation in the longr$n
▫ (ecently goernment reg$lation appears to hae ecomenearly as important as the priate mar'etplace▫ )specially in the wa'e of the great cre%it crisis of 200>-200
15-10
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8ne of the Great ss$es in the History of an'ingB
How M$ch Capital s (eally /ee%e% 9contin$e%:• (eg$latory @pproach to )al$ating Capital /ee%s
▫ (esearch )i%ence▫ e are not at all s$re mar'et %isciplining wor's as well for
small an% me%i$m-siDe ins$re% %epository instit$tions
▫ =ome of the most pertinent information nee%e% to assess aan'6s ris' e*pos$re is 'nown only to goernmentreg$lators
▫ (esearch has fo$n% that increase% capital %oes notmaterially lower a an'6s fail$re ris'
15-11
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations
• The asel @greement▫ @n international agreement on new capital stan%ar%s
▫ ;esigne% to 'eep their capital positions strong▫ (e%$ce ine#$alities in capital re#$irements among %ifferent
co$ntries▫ "romote fair competition▫ Catch $p with recent changes in financial serices an%
financial innoation▫
n partic$lar, the e*pansion of off-alance-sheet commitments▫ Formally approe% in E$ly 1??▫ ncl$%e% co$ntries s$ch asB
▫ The +nite% =tates, elgi$m, Cana%a, France, Germany, taly,Eapan, the /etherlan%s, =pain, =we%en, =witDerlan%, the+nite% &ing%om, an% 7$*emo$rg
15-12
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:• asel
▫ The original asel capital stan%ar%s are 'nown to%ay asasel
▫ ario$s so$rces of capital were %ii%e% into two tiersB▫ Tier 1 9core: capital
▫ Common stoc' an% s$rpl$s, $n%ii%e% profits 9retaine%earnings:, #$alifying nonc$m$latie perpet$al preferre% stoc',minority interest in the e#$ity acco$nts of consoli%ate%s$si%iaries, an% selecte% i%entifiale intangile assets lessgoo%will an% other intangile assets
▫ Tier 2 9s$pplemental: capital▫ @llowance 9reseres: for loan an% lease losses, s$or%inate%
%et capital instr$ments, man%atory conertile %et,interme%iate-term preferre% stoc', c$m$latie perpet$alpreferre% stoc' with $npai% %ii%en%s, an% e#$ity notes an%other long-term capital instr$ments that comine oth %et
an% e#$ity feat$res
15-13
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• asel ▫ n or%er for a an' to #$alify as a%e#$ately capitaliDe%, it
m$st haeB1! @ ratio of core capital 9Tier 1: to total ris'-weighte%
assets of at least percent2! @ ratio of total capital 9the s$m of Tier 1 an% Tier 2
capital: to total ris'-weighte% assets of at least ? percent,with the amo$nt of Tier 2 capital limite% to 100 percent of
Tier 1 capital
15-14
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• Calc$lating (is'-eighte% @ssets▫ )ach asset item on a an'6s alance sheet an% each off-
alance-sheet commitment it has ma%e are m$ltiplie% y aris'-weighting factor▫ ;esigne% to reflect its cre%it ris' e*pos$re
▫ The most closely watche% off-alance-sheet items arestan%y letters of cre%it an% long-term, legally in%ingcre%it commitments
15-15
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• Calc$lating (is'-eighte% @ssets▫ To comp$te this an'6s ris'-weighte% assetsB
1! Comp$te the cre%it-e#$ialent amo$nt of each off-alance-sheet 98=: item
15-16
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:• Calc$lating (is'-eighte% @ssets
▫ To comp$te this an'6s ris'-weighte% assetsB2! M$ltiply each alance sheet item an% the cre%it-e#$ialent
amo$nt of each 8= item y its ris' weight
15-17
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• Calc$lating the Capital-to-(is'-eighte% @ssets (atio▫ +n%er asel , once we 'now a an'6s total ris'-weighte%
assets an% its Tier 1 an% Tier 2 capital amo$nts, we can%etermine its re#$ire% capital a%e#$acy ratios
15-18
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• Capital (e#$irements @ttache% to ;eriaties▫ The asel capital stan%ar%s were a%$ste% to ta'e
acco$nt of the ris' e*pos$re an's may face from%eriaties▫ F$t$res, options, swaps, interest rate cap an% floor contracts,
an% other instr$ments▫ =ometimes e*pose a an' to co$nterparty ris'
▫ The %anger that a c$stomer will fail to pay or to perform,
forcing the an' to fin% a replacement contract with anotherparty that may e less satisfactory
15-19
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• Capital (e#$irements @ttache% to ;eriaties9contin$e%:▫
asel re#$ire% a an'er to %ii%e each contract6s ris'e*pos$re into two categories1! "otential mar'et ris' e*pos$re2! C$rrent mar'et ris' e*pos$re
▫ 8nce the replacement cost of a contract is %etermine%B▫ The estimate% potential mar'et ris' e*pos$re amo$nt is
a%%e% to the estimate% c$rrent mar'et ris' e*pos$re to%erie the total cre%it-e#$ialent amo$nt of each %eriatiecontract
▫ This total is m$ltiplie% y the correct ris' weight, to fin% thee#$ialent amo$nt of ris'-weighte% assets represente% yeach contract
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:• Capital (e#$irements @ttache% to ;eriaties 9contin$e%:
15-21
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• Capital (e#$irements @ttache% to ;eriaties 9contin$e%:
15-22
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• an' Capital =tan%ar%s an% Mar'et (is' ▫ asel faile% to acco$nt for mar'et ris'
▫ The losses a an' may s$ffer %$e to a%erse changes ininterest rates, sec$rity prices, an% c$rrency an% commo%ityprices
▫ The ris' weights on an' assets were %esigne% primarily tota'e acco$nt of cre%it ris' 9not mar'et ris':
▫ n an effort to %eal with these an% other forms of mar'et
ris', in 15 the asel Committee approe% a mo%ificationto the r$les▫ "ermitte% the largest an's to con%$ct ris' meas$rement an%
estimate the amo$nt of capital necessary to coer mar'et ris' ▫ 7e% to a thir% capital ratio 9Tier 3:
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• al$e at (is' 9a(: Mo%els (espon%ing to Mar'et(is' ▫
@ statistical framewor' for meas$ring a an' portfolio6se*pos$re to changes in mar'et prices or mar'et rates oera gien time perio%, s$ect to a gien proaility
▫ a( )*ample▫ @ an' estimates its portfolio6s %aily aerage al$e at ris' is
100 illion oer a 10-%ay interal with a percent leel ofconfi%ence
▫ f this a( estimate of 100 illion is correct, losses inportfolio al$e greater than 100 illion sho$l% occ$r less than1 percent of the time
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• 7imitations an% Challenges of a( an% nternalMo%eling▫
a( estimates an% internal mo%eling are not perfect▫ nacc$rate a( estimates can e*pose a an' to e*cessie ris' so
that its capital position may t$rn o$t not to e large eno$gh tocoer act$al losses the an' faces
▫ The portfolios of the largest an's are so comple* with tho$san%sof ris' factors it may e impossile to consistently forecast a(s
acc$rately▫ "romote Iac'testingJ
▫ )en if an in%ii%$al an' is a goo% forecaster, there maystill e tro$le %$e to systemic ris'
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• asel ▫ an'ers fo$n% ways aro$n% many of asel 6s restrictions
▫ Capital aritrage▫ nstea% of ma'ing an's less ris'y, parts of asel seeme% to
enco$rage an's to ecome more ris'y▫ asel represente% a Ione siDe fits allJ approach to capital
reg$lation▫ t faile% to recogniDe that no two an's are ali'e in terms of
their ris' profiles
▫ asel set $p a system in which capital re#$irementswo$l% e more sensitie to ris' an% protect against moretypes of ris' than asel ▫ asel wo$l% e gra%$ally phase% in for the largest
international an's
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• "illars of asel
1! Minim$m capital re#$irements for each an' ase% on
its own estimate% ris' e*pos$re from cre%it, mar'et,an% operational ris's
2! =$perisory reiew of each an'6s ris'-assessmentproce%$res an% the a%e#$acy of its capital to ens$rethey are IreasonaleJ
3! Greater p$lic %isclos$re of each an'6s tr$e financialcon%ition so that mar'et %iscipline co$l% ecome amore powerf$l force compelling e*cessiely ris'yan's to lower their ris' e*pos$re
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• asel an% Cre%it (is' Mo%els▫ Cre%it ris' mo%els
▫
Comp$ter algorithms that attempt to meas$re a len%er6se*pos$re to %efa$lt y its orrowing c$stomers or to cre%it%owngra%ings
▫ Most cre%it ris' mo%els %eelop estimates ase% $ponB▫ orrower cre%it ratings▫ The proaility those cre%it ratings will change▫ The proale amo$nt of recoery sho$l% some loans
%efa$lt▫ The possiility of changing interest-rate sprea%s etween
ris'ier an% less ris'y loans
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• asel an% Cre%it (is' Mo%els▫ +n%er asel , minim$m capital re#$irements remaine%
the same for most types of loans regar%less of cre%itrating▫ +n%er asel , minim$m capital re#$irements were
%esigne% to ary significantly with cre%it #$ality
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The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• @ ;$al 97arge-an', =mall-an': =et of ($les▫ asel was %esigne% to operate $n%er one set of capital
r$les for the han%f$l of largest m$ltinational an's an%
another set for more n$mero$s smaller an'ing firms▫ (eg$lators were concerne% that smaller an's co$l% e
oerwhelme% yB▫ The heay $r%ens of gathering ris'-e*pos$re information▫ "erforming complicate% ris' calc$lations
▫asel anticipate% that smaller instit$tions wo$l% e aleto contin$e to $se simpler approaches in %etermining theircapital re#$irements an% ris' e*pos$res, paralleling asel r$les
15 30
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• "rolems @ccompanying the mplementation of asel ▫ asel was not perfect
▫ =ome forms of ris' ha% no generally accepte% meas$rement
scale▫ 8perational (is'
▫ How %o we a%% $p the %ifferent forms of ris' e*pos$re inor%er to get an acc$rate pict$re of a an'6s total ris'e*pos$re
▫ hat sho$l% we %o ao$t the $siness cycle▫ Most an's are more li'ely to face ris' e*pos$re in the mi%%le
of an economic recession than they will in a perio% of economice*pansion
▫ For e*ample, the Gloal cre%it crisis of 200>-200▫ =ome hae e*presse% concern ao$t improing reg$lator
competence
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• asel B @nother Maor (eg$latory =tep +n%erway,orn in Gloal Crisis▫ asel was neer f$lly implemente%
▫ Ha% to moe towar% asel in or%er to preent f$t$re crises
▫ &ey iss$e in asel ▫ ;etermining the ol$me an% mi* of capital the worl%6s
lea%ing an's sho$l% maintain if their tro$le% assetsgenerate massie losses
▫
Capital re#$irements lai% %own in asel an% apparently were ina%e#$ate in the face of the latest cre%itcrash▫ an'ers fo$n% ways to hol% oth less capital in total an% a
wea'er mi* of 'in%s of capital
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'eserved%
The asel @greement on nternational Capital
=tan%ar%sB @ Contin$ing Historic Contract @mong
7ea%ing /ations 9contin$e%:
• asel B @nother Maor (eg$latory =tep +n%erway,orn in Gloal Crisis▫ "roponents of asel calle% for greater total
capitaliDation, stronger %efinition of what elongs inan's6 capital acco$nts
▫ olc'er ($le was propose% in the +!=!▫ mplementation of asel co$l% ta'e many years
▫ mplementation wo$l% e phase% in slowly, eginning in 2012
an% possily e complete% close to 201▫ asel coers the capital, li#$i%ity, an% %et positions of
in%ii%$al international an's an% also roa%er iss$esassociate% with gloal $siness cycles an% systemic ris's
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Changing Capital =tan%ar%s nsi%e the
+nite% =tates• =eeral new capital r$les create% recently y +!=!
reg$latory agencies were man%ate% y the F;Cmproement @ct of 11▫ (e#$ires fe%eral reg$lators to ta'e "rompt Correctie
@ction 9"C@: when an ins$re% %epository instit$tion6scapital falls elow acceptale leels
• +!=! an' reg$lators create% capital-a%e#$acycategories for implementing "C@B
1!ell capitaliDe%
2!@%e#$ately capitaliDe%
3!+n%ercapitaliDe%
!=ignificantly $n%ercapitaliDe%
4!Critically $n%ercapitaliDe%
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"lanning to Meet Capital /ee%s
• (aising Capital nternally▫ ;ii%en% "olicy
▫ The oar% of %irectors an% management m$st agree on theappropriate retention ratio an% %ii%en% payo$t ratio▫
&ey factor - How fast the financial firm can allow its assets togrow so that its c$rrent ratio of capital to assets is protecte%from erosion
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"lanning to Meet Capital /ee%s 9contin$e%:
• (aising Capital nternally▫ ;ii%en% "olicy
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"lanning to Meet Capital /ee%s 9contin$e%:
• (aising Capital )*ternally▫ f a financial firm %oes nee% to raise capital from o$tsi%e
so$rces, it has seeral optionsB1! =elling common stoc'
2! =elling preferre% stoc' 3! ss$ing %et capital! =elling assets4! 7easing facilities5! =wapping stoc' for %et sec$rities
▫ The choice of which metho% to $se is ase% on theireffects on a financial firm6s earnings per share
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T@7) 14A2 Metho%s of (aising )*ternal Capital for a
Financial Firm
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M G Hill/I i
<$ic' <$iD
• hat cr$cial roles %oes capital play in the management an%
iaility of a financial firm
• hat are the most important an% least important forms of
capital hel% y +!=!-ins$re% an's
• hat is the rationale for haing the goernment set capital
stan%ar%s for financial instit$tions as oppose% to letting the
priate mar'etplace set those stan%ar%s
• How is the asel @greement li'ely to affect a an'6s choices
among assets it wo$l% li'e to ac#$ire• hat are the %ifferences among asel , , an%
• hat are the principal so$rces of e*ternal capital for a financial
instit$tion