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Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250
www.elsevier.com/locate/econbase
The long-run stock performance of preferred stock issuers
John S. Howe a, Hongbok Lee b,Ta College of Business, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO 65211-2600, United States
b College of Business and Technology, Western Illinois University, Stipes Hall 426, 1 University Circle, Macomb,
IL 61455, United States
Received 18 November 2004; received in revised form 15 March 2005; accepted 1 August 2005
Available online 12 October 2005
Abstract
We examine the long-run common stock performance of preferred stock issuers. We find that significant
abnormal underperformance is present only for 1 year after the issue. For the longer term we do not find
consistently significant abnormal performance. This result contrasts with substantial underperformance of common
equity and debt issuers during the 3 or 5 years post-issue. The better long-run performance of preferred issuers
relative to common equity and debt issuers is driven primarily by financial firms’ motivation to issue preferred
stock to satisfy regulatory requirements of capital adequacy.
D 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
JEL classification: G12; G 14
Keywords: Preferred stock issuers; Long-run common stock performance; Capital adequacy requirement
1. Introduction
According to the annual Compustat database as of the end of 1999, 20% of NYSE listed firms, 15%
of AMEX listed firms, and 17% of Nasdaq listed firms have preferred stock in their capital structure, and
those firms raised $325 billion through preferred stock offerings and $606 billion through seasoned
equity offerings during 1985–1999 (Bajaj, Mazumdar, & Sarin, 2002).
Despite its importance in corporate financing, relatively little research has been done on preferred
stock. That research has focused on short-term valuation effects (e.g., Mikkelson & Partch, 1986; Linn
1058-3300/$ -
doi:10.1016/j.r
T Correspond
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see front matter D 2005 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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ing author. Tel.: +1 309 298 1545; fax: +1 309 298 2198.
ress: [email protected] (H. Lee).
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250238
& Pinegar, 1988; Irvine & Rosenfeld, 2000) and the motivation and characteristics of preferred issuers
(e.g., Fooladi & Roberts, 1986; Houston & Houston, 1990; Ely, Houston, & Houston, 2002). Our
paper empirically investigates the long-run common stock performance of preferred stock issuing
firms.
To investigate the long-run performance of preferred issuers, we analyze 586 preferred stock issues
over the period 1991–2000. We collect our data from the Compact Disclosure New Issues database.
Noting the unsettled debate over the measurement of long-run abnormal stock returns, we use three
calendar-time portfolio models as our primary tools to gauge long-term common stock performance after
the issuance of preferred stock. These are the Fama and French (1993) three-factor model, the Mitchell
and Stafford (2000) adjusted intercept approach, and the Fama and French four-factor model. In addition
to the calendar-time portfolio approach, for completeness we provide the traditional buy-and-hold
abnormal returns (BHARs) method. We estimate long-run abnormal returns for 1-, 2- and 3-year post-
issue horizons.
When we use equally weighted returns in the three calendar-time portfolio models, we find that for the
1-year post-issue horizon, preferred stock issuers consistently underperform. For the longer investment
horizons (2 and 3 years after the issuance of preferred stock), the three calendar-time portfolio models do
not generate consistent abnormal performance. When we use value-weighted returns, no calendar-time
portfolio approach detects abnormal performance for any investment horizon. The lack of abnormal
performance that we find when we use value-weighted portfolios reflects small firms driving the
abnormal performance of the preferred issuers for the 1-year post-issue horizon.
Our study demonstrates that the underperformance of preferred stock issuers is transient and confined
to small firms. Relative to the long-term performance of common stock and debt issuers, our sample of
preferred issuers shows better long-run performance. Most studies on the long-run performance of
common stock and debt issuers report substantial underperformance during the 3 or 5 years post-issue.
The literature proposes that management’s attempt to take advantage of bwindows of opportunityQ isassociated with the significant long-run underperformance of common stock and debt issuers.
We attribute the disparity in the long-run performance between preferred issuers and common equity
and debt issuers to a different motivation. In our sample, financial firms are the most active issuers of
preferred stock—40% of the issues in our sample are from financial firms. Our investigation by industry
(financial firms, industrial firms, and utilities) finds that financial firms do not underperform for any
investment horizon under any model. We note that financial firms use preferred stock as a means of
satisfying capital adequacy requirements.
We find that abnormal underperformance is confined to the industrial and utility firms with
underperformance that is only temporary. These nonfinancial firms have poor profitability and high debt
ratios relative to financial firms, and seem to use preferred stock to take advantage of the distinct
characteristics of preferred stock relative to other types of securities.
2. Motives for issuing preferred stock
Preferred stock is a hybrid security, both similar and dissimilar to common equity and debt. Since
preferred stock does not affect the ownership control of existing common shareholders, it is an attractive
financing tool for companies that want to avoid dilution of current shareholder interests. Preferred stock
is also less risky than debt for the issuers. Thus, companies that cannot afford to commit to a fixed
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250 239
contractual obligation and want to avoid dilution of current shareholder interests may choose to issue
preferred stock.
The issuance of preferred stock might also be motivated by regulatory considerations in the case of
financial institutions. Callahan, Shaw, and Terando (2001) investigate why firms issue non-voting,
non-convertible preferred stock over other securities and show that the regulatory requirements of
capital adequacy influence the choice by banks to issue preferred stock. They provide evidence that
banks issue preferred stock to increase their relative core capital levels. If regulatory considerations are
the dominant motivation behind the offering of preferred stock, then no abnormal behavior of common
stock price should be detected. We investigate the common stock performance of the preferred issuers,
and try to reconcile the motives for preferred issuance and the long-run stock performance of preferred
issuers.
3. Data
We use the Compact Disclosure New Issues database to identify firms that issue preferred stock
during the period 1991–2000. Initially, we find 1376 preferred stock issues whose issue date of the final
prospectus appears in the Compact Disclosure New Issues database. For these issues we search the
Compact Disclosure SEC database using the bDisclosure company numberQ to find a Committee on
Uniform Securities Identification Procedures (CUSIP) number for each preferred issuer. There are 859
issues with CUSIP numbers in the Compact Disclosure SEC database. We use the CUSIP numbers to
screen for issuing firms that appear in the Compustat database and the Center for Research in Security
Prices (CRSP) database. We eliminate 273 issues for which data on Compustat and CRSP are not
available. The remaining 586 issues constitute our final sample.
Panel (A) of Table 1 reports the annual distribution of preferred stock issues from 1991 to 2000. In our
sample, preferred stock issuance is most active in 1993, with 123 issues. 1995 shows the lowest level of
preferred stock issuance, with only 25 issues. Calendar-time clustering in the preferred issuance activity
is evident in our sample. The segmentation of the sample by industry in panel (B), which is based on the
two-digit SIC codes of the preferred issuers, shows that financial firms are the most frequent issuers
(40% of the sample), followed by industrial firms (37%), and utilities (24%).
Table 2 reports the financial characteristics of preferred stock issuers. This table confirms the earlier
research that shows that the profitability of preferred issuers is tenuous (e.g., Lee & Figlewicz, 1999;
Pons-Sanz, Zuta, Ofer, Ravid, & Venezia, 2004). The mean return on assets (ROA) and net profit margin
of preferred issuers are negative (�0.7% and �11.7%), although the median values are positive. The
mean times-interest-earned ratio is also negative (�0.2) while the median is positive (2). The mean long-
term debt-to-assets ratio and total debt-to-assets ratio for the preferred issuers are 26.3% and 36%,
respectively.
Industry comparisons show that financial firms are the soundest financially, and industrial firms are
the least sound. All three profitability ratios measured by ROA, ROE, and net profit margin for
financial firms suggest that these firms are financially sound, but those ratios for industrial firms are
much weaker. In particular, the mean net profit margin is 9.5% for the financial firms and �47.2%for the industrial firms. Financial firms show the highest mean interest coverage ratio (3.8), and
industrial firms show the lowest value (�3.8). Financial firms also show much lower mean long-term
debt ratio (9.2%) than do industrial firms (38%) and utilities (35.4%). The nonparametric Kruskal–
Table 1
Panel A: Annual distribution of preferred stock issues over the period 1991–2000
Year Issues
1991 64
1992 107
1993 123
1994 47
1995 25
1996 42
1997 37
1998 64
1999 46
2000 31
Total 586
Panel B: Preferred stock issues by industry
Industry Number of issues
Financial firms 232 (40%)
Industrial firms 215 (37%)
Utilities 139 (24%)
Total 586 (100%)
Panel (A) reports annual preferred stock issues during the period 1991–2000. We screen the new issues of preferred stocks that
we collect from the Compact Disclosure New Issues database by the availability of company data on Compustat and CRSP.
Panel (B) shows preferred stock issues by industry. We categorize preferred issuers into three industries defined by the two-digit
SIC codes of the preferred issuers: financial firms with 60–64 and 67; utilities with 49; industrial firms with all other codes.
Table 2
Financial characteristics for preferred issuers over the period 1991–2000
Item (sample size) Full sample (586) Financial firms (232) Industrial firms (215) Utilities (139)
(1) ROA (%) Mean �0.7 1.1 �5.1 3.4
Median 1.0 0.9 �0.9 3.6
(2) ROE (%) Mean 12.9 12.9 14.1 11.2
Median 11.9 14.4 1.5 12.3
(3) Net profit margin (%) Mean �11.7 9.5 �47.2 9.4
Median 7.1 9.1 �1.6 10.4
(4) Times interest earned Mean �0.2 3.8 �3.8 2.8
Median 2.0 2.0 0.9 2.8
(5) Long-term debt to assets (%) Mean 26.3 9.2 38.0 35.4
Median 25.9 6.1 33.9 34.1
(6) Total debt to assets (%) Mean 36.0 25.5 44.1 40.2
Median 35.1 19.0 37.9 39.1
The table describes the financial characteristics of the preferred stock issuing firms prior to the offering. We provide both mean
and median values. (1) Return on assets (ROA) equals net income (Compustat annual data item 172) divided by total assets (item
6). (2) Return on equity (ROE) equals net income (Compustat annual data item 172) divided by common equity (item 60). (3) Net
profit margin equals net income (Compustat annual data item 172) divided by sales (item 12). (4) Times interest earned equals
[pretax income (Compustat annual data item 170) plus interest expense (item 15)] divided by interest expense (item 15). (5)
Long-term debt to assets equals long-term debt (Compustat annual data item 9) divided by total assets (item 6). (6) Total debt to
assets equals [long-term debt (Compustat annual data item 9) plus current debt (item 34)] divided by total assets (item 6).
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250240
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250 241
Wallis H-tests of the differences in the financial characteristics of preferred issuers in different
industries confirm that financial firms, industrial firms, and utilities are significantly different in all
items at the 1% level. For all six financial characteristics, the Chi-square ranges from 89.3 to 276.2
with p-values less than 0.0001.
In measuring long-run performance, we follow the practice of earlier studies in screening our sample
(e.g., Spiess & Affleck-Graves, 1999). To reduce the effects of dependence in our statistical tests, we
choose our sample of preferred issues such that there is no overlap during the 3-year post-offering
windows for repeat issues. Therefore, once a firm offers preferred stock, that firm cannot reenter the
sample until 3 years after the issue date. We use the CRSP daily and monthly return files to compute
long-run common stock returns.
4. Research methods
We measure the long-run performance of preferred issuers for 1-, 2-, and 3-year post-issue horizons.
To mitigate the possible econometric problems arising from the use of longer horizons, we choose to use
a maximum 3-year period.
We use three calendar-time portfolio methods: the Fama and French (1993) three-factor model, the
Mitchell and Stafford (2000) adjusted intercept approach, and the Fama and French four-factor model.
Mitchell and Stafford argue that unreliable statistical inference attributable to the cross-sectional
correlations in event firm returns is the most serious problem with the BHAR approach. To avoid the
drawbacks of the traditional BHAR approach in measuring the long-run stock performance, we use the
calendar-time portfolio methods as our primary tools. Nonetheless, for completeness we also provide the
results from the BHAR approach.
4.1. Fama and French three-factor model
In Table 1, our sample shows calendar-time clustering in event firms by the number of yearly
preferred stock issues. The Fama and French (1993) calendar-time portfolio regression accounts for the
cross-sectional correlations of the individual event firm return by forming an event portfolio for each
period. Each month, we construct portfolios (both equally and value-weighted) containing all sample
firms that issued preferred shares during the [c�h, c�1] prior period, where c is the calendar month
and h is the investment horizon of interest (h=12, 24, and 36 months). We follow Mitchell and Safford
(2000) by requiring a minimum of ten firms in the event portfolio. We implement monthly rebalancing
of portfolios to add new preferred issuers and to drop preferred issuers that reach the end of the
investment horizon. We regress the portfolio excess returns on the three Fama and French factors:1
Rp;t � Rf ;t ¼ aþ b Rm;t � Rf ;t
� �þ sSMBt þ hHMLt þ et ð1Þ
where Rp,t is the month t return on the preferred stock issuing firm portfolio; Rf,t is the month t risk-free
rate (1-month Treasury bill rate); Rm,t is the month t market return; SMBt is the difference between the
average return on the small-stock portfolios and the average return on the big-stock portfolios in month t;
1Fama and French (1993) give details of the construction of these factors and Kenneth French provides these data in his Web site, http://
mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/index.html (go to DATA LIBRARY).
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250242
HMLt is the difference between the average return on the high book-to-market portfolios and the average
return on the low book-to-market portfolios in month t.
We assume that the model adequately describes returns, so that the intercept, a, measures the average
monthly abnormal return on the portfolio of preferred issuers, which is zero under the null hypothesis of
no abnormal performance. A negative intercept indicates that after we control for market, size, and
book-to-market factors in returns, a sample portfolio performs worse than expected. The estimated
average monthly abnormal return (a) translates into N-year abnormal return, which we compute as
(1+a)12N�1.
In addition to an ordinary least squares (OLS) test, to account for the heteroskedastic residuals that
may be caused by the variation in the number of preferred issuers included in the different months’
portfolio (Fama, 1998, p. 299), we also implement a weighted least squares (WLS) test using the square
root of the number of preferred issuers in the monthly portfolio as weights. Table 3 presents the
regression results using Fama and French three-factor model.
4.2. Mitchell and Stafford adjusted intercept approach
Both Fama and French (1993) and Mitchell and Safford (2000) show that the three-factor model does
not perfectly describe the cross-section of expected returns, particularly for small and low book-to-
market firms. To address the pricing deficiency of the Fama and French three-factor model, Mitchell and
Stafford suggest an adjusted intercept approach. They compute the adjusted intercept as the difference
between the originally estimated intercept from the Fama and French regression of the event firms and
an expected intercept, which they estimate as the mean of intercepts from 1000 calendar-time portfolio
regressions with randomly selected non-event firms that are in the same size/book-to-market group as the
event firms. They use expected intercept as the null to calculate a new t-statistic:
t ¼ aa � E aað Þss
ð2Þ
where a is the intercept estimate from the Fama and French three-factor regression of the event firms;
E(a) is the expected intercept estimated with non-event firms; s is the intercept standard error estimates
from the Fama and French three-factor regression of the event firms. Table 4 provides the analysis of
long-run abnormal returns using the Mitchell and Stafford approach.
4.3. Fama and French four-factor model
Since the market may see the issuing of any security as exploiting pre-issue overvaluation
opportunities (Spiess & Affleck-Graves, 1999), price momentum may relate to post-issue returns.
Incorporating a momentum factor into the Fama and French three-factor model disentangles momentum
and security issuance effects.
Rp;t � Rf ;t ¼ aþ b Rm;t � Rf ;t
� �þ sSMBt þ hHMLt þmUMDt þ et ð3Þ
where UMDt is a month t momentum factor computed as the average return on two high-prior-return
portfolios minus the average return on two low-prior-return portfolios (we obtain UMD from Kenneth
French’s website); everything else is the same as in the three-factor model. After we control for the
effects of the four pre-specified factors, the intercept of the four-factor model provides a measure of
abnormal returns. Table 5 presents the regression results from the four-factor model.
Table 3
Post-issue abnormal returns using Fama and French three-factor model
Portfolio
weighting
Model
estimated
Horizon=1 year Horizon=2 years Horizon=3 years
Intercept p-value Adjusted
R2
Intercept p-value Adjusted
R2
Intercept p-value Adjusted
R2
Panel A: Full sample
No. obs.=116 months No. obs.=116 months No. obs.=116 months
EQ OLS �0.0065 0.0013*** 0.7969 �0.0039 0.0183** 0.8447 �0.0026 0.0889* 0.8707
WLS �0.0062 0.0022*** 0.8006 �0.0041 0.0112** 0.8444 �0.0029 0.0458** 0.8679
VW OLS �0.0029 0.4372 0.6840 �0.0004 0.8833 0.7437 0.0028 0.2867 0.7312
WLS �0.0036 0.3484 0.6918 �0.0008 0.7207 0.7489 0.0025 0.2927 0.7344
Panel B: Subsamples by industry
Financial firms No. obs.=75 months No. obs.=112 months No. obs.=115 months
EQ OLS �0.0036 0.3736 0.6552 �0.0001 0.9698 0.7109 �0.0004 0.8832 0.7405
WLS �0.0028 0.4834 0.6631 �0.0001 0.9667 0.7068 �0.0001 0.9794 0.7319
VW OLS �0.0043 0.5769 0.6903 �0.0027 0.5583 0.7226 �0.0011 0.7792 0.7601
WLS �0.0056 0.4669 0.6962 �0.0027 0.5682 0.7218 �0.0008 0.8359 0.7528
Industrial firms No. obs.=92 months No. obs.=109 months No. obs.=109 months
EQ OLS �0.0138 0.0074*** 0.6593 �0.0095 0.0101** 0.6966 �0.0056 0.0598* 0.7612
WLS �0.0122 0.0110** 0.6418 �0.0089 0.0107** 0.6929 �0.0059 0.0415** 0.7592
VW OLS �0.0038 0.5543 0.5139 0.0034 0.5112 0.5231 0.0066 0.2102 0.4953
WLS �0.0027 0.6624 0.4862 0.0035 0.4693 0.5341 0.0059 0.2196 0.5175
Utilities No. obs.=38 months No. obs.=73 months No. obs.=93 months
EQ OLS �0.0098 0.0831* 0.3096 0.0003 0.9494 0.2937 0.0011 0.7521 0.3162
WLS �0.0096 0.0714* 0.3214 �0.0012 0.7599 0.3081 �0.0003 0.9389 0.3373
VW OLS �0.0120 0.0297** 0.3865 �0.0002 0.9639 0.2124 0.0014 0.7218 0.2230
WLS �0.0116 0.0255** 0.3981 �0.0018 0.6662 0.2271 �0.0001 0.9701 0.2450
We estimate abnormal returns for 1-, 2-, and 3-year horizons after preferred stock issuance. Each month, we compute equal- and
value-weighted (monthly rebalanced) calendar-time portfolio returns for all firms that issued preferred stock in the previous 12,
24, or 36 calendar months. We implement the following time-series regression based on the Fama and French (1993) three-
factor model:
Rp;t � Rf ;t ¼ aþ b Rm;t � Rf ;t
� �þ sSMBt þ hHMLt þ et ðT:3Þ
where Rp,t is the month t return on the preferred stock issuing firm portfolio; Rf ,t is the month t risk free rate (1-month Treasury
bill rate); Rm ,t is the month t market return; SMBt is the month t return difference between a small- and large-stock portfolio;
HMLt is the month t return difference between a high book-to-market portfolio and a low book-to-market portfolio. In this
framework, the intercept, a, measures the average monthly abnormal return on the portfolio of preferred issuers, which is zero
under the null hypothesis of no abnormal performance. We exclude calendar months with less than ten observations in the event
portfolio. EQ denotes an equally weighted portfolio and VW represents a value-weighted portfolio. In addition to the ordinary
least squares (OLS) test, to account for the heteroskedastic residuals that may be caused by the variation in the number of
preferred issuers in the different months’ portfolios, we also execute the weighted least squares (WLS) test, using the square
root of the number of preferred issuers in the portfolio for each month as weights. We compute p-values using White’s (1980)
heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors. The asterisks *, **, and *** indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels,
respectively.
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250 243
Table 4
Post-issue abnormal returns using Mitchell and Stafford approach
Portfolio
weighting
Horizon=1 year Horizon=2 years Horizon=3 years
Adjusted
intercept
p-value Adjusted
intercept
p-value Adjusted
intercept
p-value
Panel A: Full sample
EQ �0.0052 0.0105** �0.0030 0.0669* �0.0018 0.2306
VW �0.0033 0.3797 �0.0009 0.7101 0.0024 0.3673
Panel B: Subsamples by industry
Financial firms EQ �0.0030 0.4570 0.0010 0.7300 0.0009 0.7413
VW �0.0044 0.5643 �0.0016 0.7293 �0.0001 0.9857
Industrials firms EQ �0.0119 0.0201** �0.0087 0.0182** �0.0053 0.0731*
VW �0.0045 0.4765 0.0034 0.5209 0.0060 0.2532
Utilities EQ �0.0112 0.0491** �0.0001 0.9771 0.0010 0.7889
VW �0.0135 0.0157** �0.0006 0.8894 0.0008 0.8531
The table shows the adjusted intercept estimates and p-values using the Mitchell and Stafford (2000) method. We compute the
adjusted intercept as the difference between the originally estimated intercept from the Fama and French regression of the
sample firms and an expected intercept, which we estimate as the mean of intercepts from 1000 calendar-time portfolio
regressions with randomly selected non-issuing firms that are in the same size/book-to-market group as the sample firms. We
exclude calendar months with less than ten observations in the event portfolio. EQ denotes an equally weighted portfolio and
VW represents a value-weighted portfolio. The asterisks *, **, and *** indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels,
respectively.
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250244
4.4. Long-term buy-and-hold abnormal returns
For completeness, we also examine post-issue BHARs following the method outlined in Barber and
Lyon (1997), Loughran and Ritter (1995), and Spiess and Affleck-Graves (1999). We estimate BHARs
as follows:
BHARi ¼YTi
t¼start1þ Ritð Þ �
YTit¼start
1þ Rctð Þ ð4Þ
where Rit (Rct) is the return on the common stock of the preferred issuer (control firm) on the tth day
after the issue; start is the date of the preferred stock’s issue; Ti is the number of days from the offering
date to the end of holding period (1, 2, and 3 years). The average buy-and-hold abnormal return is:
Average BHAR ¼ 1
N
� � XNi¼1
BHARi ð5Þ
where N is the number of firms in the sample.
In calculating the buy-and-hold abnormal returns, we consider two benchmarks of post-issue
performance: an industry/size matched benchmark and an industry/size/book-to-market matched
benchmark. For the industry/size matching scheme, we first segment firms into three industry categories
based on SIC codes. Then, from the group of firms that have not publicly sold common stock, preferred
stock, and debt during the 5 years prior to the issue date of preferred issuers, we select the firm with the
market capitalization closest to that of the preferred issuer as the matching firm. For the industry/size/
Table 5
Post-issue abnormal returns using a four-factor model
Portfolio
weighting
Model
estimated
Horizon=1 year Horizon=2 years Horizon=3 years
Intercept p-value Adjusted
R2
Intercept p-value Adjusted
R2
Intercept p-value Adjusted
R2
Panel A: Full sample
No. obs.=116 months No. obs.=116 months No. obs.=116 months
EQ OLS �0.0055 0.0086*** 0.7982 �0.0020 0.2448 0.8550 �0.0019 0.2477 0.8710
WLS �0.0053 0.0123** 0.8015 �0.0023 0.1592 0.8538 �0.0023 0.1336 0.8680
VW OLS �0.0025 0.4796 0.6815 �0.0009 0.7119 0.7420 0.0008 0.7502 0.7366
WLS �0.0029 0.4120 0.6899 �0.0014 0.5306 0.7474 0.0005 0.8320 0.7422
Panel B: Subsamples by industry
Financial Firms No. obs.=75 months No. obs.=112 months No. obs.=115 months
EQ OLS �0.0043 0.3219 0.6511 �0.0009 0.7446 0.7096 �0.0005 0.8428 0.7381
WLS �0.0035 0.4166 0.6591 �0.0009 0.7488 0.7054 �0.0003 0.9036 0.7296
VW OLS �0.0023 0.7381 0.6888 �0.0005 0.9026 0.7254 0.0007 0.8665 0.7621
WLS �0.0033 0.6324 0.6958 �0.0006 0.8910 0.7242 0.0008 0.8487 0.7541
Industrial firms No. obs.=92 months No. obs.=109 months No. obs.=109 months
EQ OLS �0.0124 0.0324** 0.6574 �0.0048 0.2077 0.7241 �0.0036 0.2700 0.7651
WLS �0.0107 0.0413** 0.6408 �0.0046 0.1895 0.7200 �0.0040 0.1921 0.7635
VW OLS �0.0076 0.2521 0.5205 �0.0004 0.9289 0.5352 0.0006 0.9097 0.5296
WLS �0.0050 0.4454 0.4870 0.0002 0.9671 0.5445 0.0004 0.9416 0.5522
Utilities No. obs.=38 months No. obs.=73 months No. obs.=93 months
EQ OLS �0.0113 0.0575* 0.3096 0.0011 0.8255 0.2862 0.0008 0.8402 0.3087
WLS �0.0115 0.0376** 0.3346 �0.0010 0.8196 0.2981 �0.0011 0.7844 0.3330
VW OLS �0.0125 0.0410** 0.3697 0.0003 0.9492 0.2019 �0.0003 0.9499 0.2240
WLS �0.0125 0.0278** 0.3868 �0.0019 0.6992 0.2158 �0.0022 0.6235 0.2530
We estimate abnormal returns for 1-, 2-, and 3-year horizons after preferred stock issuance. Each month, we compute equal- and
value-weighted (monthly rebalanced) calendar-time portfolio returns for all firms that issued preferred stock in the previous 12,
24, or 36 calendar months. We estimate the following four-factor time-series regression:
Rp;t � Rf ;t ¼ aþ b Rm;t � Rf ;t
� �þ sSMBt þ hHMLt þmUMDt þ et ðT:5Þ
where Rp,t is the month t return on the preferred stock issuing-firm portfolio; Rf ,t is the month t risk free rate (1-month Treasury
bill rate); Rm,t is the month t market return; SMBt is the month t return difference between a small- and large-stock portfolios;
HMLt is the month t return difference between a high book-to-market portfolio and a low book to-market portfolio; UMDt is
the month t momentum factor, which we compute as the average return on two high-prior-return portfolios minus the average
return on two low-prior-return portfolios. In this framework, the intercept, a, measures the average monthly abnormal return on
the portfolio of preferred issuers, which is zero under the null hypothesis of no abnormal performance. We exclude calendar
months with less than ten observations in the event portfolio. EQ denotes an equally weighted portfolio and VW represents a
value-weighted portfolio. In addition to the ordinary least squares (OLS) test, to account for the heteroskedastic residuals that
may be caused by the variation in the number of preferred issuers included in the different months’ portfolios, we also execute
the weighted least squares (WLS) test, using the square root of the number of preferred issuers in the portfolio for each month as
weights. We compute p-values using White’s (1980) heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors. The asterisks *, **, and ***
indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively.
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250 245
Table 6
Post-issue buy-and-hold abnormal returns
Matching scheme Horizon=1 year Horizon=2 years Horizon=3 years
Mean Median Mean Median Mean Median
Panel A: Full sample
Ind/Size �0.0473[0.1100]
�0.0332[0.0726]*
�0.0111[0.8327]
0.0191
[0.8733]
0.0166
[0.8208]
0.0589
[0.8191]
Ind/Size/BM �0.0428[0.1487]
�0.0557[0.0443]**
�0.0166[0.7716]
0.0288
[0.4786]
0.0019
[0.9816]
0.0191
[0.9916]
Panel B: Subsamples by industry
Financial firms Ind/Size 0.0285
[0.4443]
�0.0056[0.7239]
0.0697
[0.1581]
0.0439
[0.1141]
0.1198
[0.0530]*
0.1424
[0.0358]**
Ind/Size/BM �0.0426[0.2637]
�0.0654[0.1474]
�0.0033[0.9482]
0.0372
[0.9370]
�0.0005[0.9941]
0.0010
[0.7690]
Industrial firms Ind/Size �0.1329[0.0214]**
�0.1649[0.0169]**
�0.1079[0.3272]
�0.1559[0.0620]*
�0.1291[0.4065]
�0.2647[0.0260]**
Ind/Size/BM �0.0550[0.3519]
�0.0646[0.3097]
�0.0370[0.7635]
�0.0914[0.2363]
�0.0714[0.6994]
�0.0763[0.2294]
Utilities Ind/Size 0.0043
[0.8959]
�0.0205[0.9043]
0.0565
[0.2301]
0.0940
[0.0596]*
0.1531
[0.0320]**
0.2401
[0.0110]**
Ind/Size/BM �0.0177[0.5922]
�0.0477[0.1113]
0.0027
[0.9607]
0.1044
[0.3190]
0.1587
[0.0310]**
0.2361
[0.0050]***
The table shows mean and median buy-and-hold abnormal returns (BHARs) for 1, 2, and 3 year(s) after the issuance of
preferred stock. We calculate BHARs by subtracting the holding-period return of the control benchmark from the holding-
period return of the corresponding preferred stock issuing firm. In our matching scheme of Ind/Size we use the criteria of
industry and size. In our matching scheme of Ind/Size/BM our matching design is by industry, size and book-to-market ratio.
The asterisks *, **, and *** indicate significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% levels, respectively, using two-tailed paired t-tests for
the differences in means and two-tailed Wilcoxon signed-rank tests for the differences in the probability distributions between
preferred issuers and matching firms. P-values are shown in brackets under each parameter.
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250246
book-to-market matching design, we use the same set of non-issuers as the first matching scheme, and
follow the method suggested in Spiess and Affleck-Graves (1995, 1999). We choose a control firm for
each preferred issuer such that we minimize the sum of the absolute percentage difference in the sizes
and the book-to-market ratios between the preferred issuer and the non-issuers from the same industry.
Table 6 provides mean and median BHARs for our sample of preferred issuers.
5. Findings and interpretation
5.1. Analysis of the full sample
Panels (A) in Tables 3, 4, and 5 summarize the results for the full sample from the calendar-time
portfolio models. The three calendar-time portfolio methods are consistent in showing a significant
abnormal underperformance at the 5% level or better for the 1-year investment horizon when we use
equally weighted returns. For longer post-issue horizons, the three methods conflict in detecting
abnormal performance. We find a consistent abnormal performance using the Fama and French (1993)
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250 247
three-factor model (panel (A), Table 3) for all investment horizons, 1, 2, and 3 year(s) after the issuance
of preferred stock. The Mitchell and Stafford (2000) approach (panel (A), Table 4) does not detect
abnormal performance for the 3-year post-issue horizon, and the four-factor model (panel (A), Table 5)
also suggests that the issuers’ abnormal performance for the 2- and 3-year horizons is insignificant.
In all three calendar-time portfolio models with equally weighted returns, the statistical significance of
preferred issuers’ abnormal performance declines as the investment horizon gets longer. The abnormal
returns from the Fama and French (1993) three-factor model are significant at the 1%, 5%, and 10%
levels for 1-, 2-, and 3-year post-issue horizons. The Mitchell and Stafford (2000) approach identifies
abnormal performance for 1 and 2 years after preferred stock issuance at the 5% and 10% levels. The
abnormal returns disappear 3 years after the issue. The four-factor model finds a significant abnormal
performance for the 1-year post-issue horizon at the 5% level, but fails to identify significant abnormal
returns at conventional levels for the 2- and 3-year horizons.
When we use value-weighted returns, no model shows abnormal performance for any investment
horizon, from which we infer that small firms are driving the underperformance during the first year
after preferred issuance. Fama (1998, p. 296), Loughran and Ritter (2000, p. 377), and Spiess and
Affleck-Graves (1999, p. 58) have special comments on the issue of portfolio weighting schemes for
asset pricing models. Fama argues that the bad-model problem that plagues all the common asset-
pricing models can explain why reliably negative intercepts with equally weighted portfolios turn out to
be indistinguishable from zero when value-weighted portfolios are used. Loughran and Ritter argue that
the Fama and French three-factor model using value-weighted returns tends to underestimate abnormal
performance when managerial actions involving cash flows, such as equity issues and share
repurchases, are being studied. In their simulations they find that value-weighted three-factor
regressions pick up only about half of the abnormal returns that are present when each firm is equally
weighted.
In Table 6, panel (A) provides post-issue buy-and-hold abnormal returns (BHARs) for the 1-, 2-, and
3-year post-issue horizons. Consistent with the results from the calendar-time portfolio models, we find
that for the 1-year post-issue horizon, preferred issuers significantly underperform their peers matched
by industry/size and by industry/size/book-to-market. The 1-year median BHAR of �5.57% from
industry/size/book-to-market matching is comparable to the abnormal return of �53 basis points per
month from the four-factor model (panel (A) of Table 5, WLS equally weighted portfolios), which
translates into a 12-month abnormal return of �6.18% (= (1�0.0053)12�1). For the 2-, and 3-year
post-issue horizons, we do not find abnormal returns for the preferred issuers under the BHAR approach.
This result is consistent with the results from the four-factor model.
5.2. Analysis of the subsamples by industry
We present the results for the industry-segmented samples under the calendar-time portfolio approach
in panels (B) of Tables 3, 4, and 5. We see that abnormal performance is confined to the industrial and
utility firms. Financial firms do not underperform for any investment horizon under any model. Similar
to the case of the full sample, only for the 1-year post-issue horizon do industrial firms and utilities
consistently show significant abnormal returns for all three calendar-time portfolio approaches. As with
the full sample in which only the equally weighted return metric detects abnormal performance,
industrial firms show abnormal performance only for the equally weighted portfolios. In contrast to the
total sample, utility firms’ abnormal performance is robust to the portfolio weighting schemes.
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250248
In Table 6, panel (B), the results from the BHAR approach are partially consistent with the results
from the calendar-time portfolio models. For the 1-year post-issue horizon, industrial issuers
significantly underperform their peers matched by industry/size. The 1-year mean BHAR of
�13.29% is comparable to the abnormal return of �124 basis points per month from the four-factor
model (panel (B) of Table 5, OLS equally weighted portfolios), which translates into 12-month abnormal
return of �13.91% (=(1�0.0124)12�1). The BHAR approach fails to find abnormal performance for
financial firms and utilities for the 1-year post-issue horizon.
5.3. Interpretation
Our analysis uncovers weak evidence of underperformance of preferred stock issuers. The
underperformance is transient and confined to nonfinancial firms. Relative to the long-run performance
of common stock and debt issuers, our sample of preferred stock issuers show better long-run
performance. Most studies of the long-run performance of common stock and debt issuers report
substantial underperformance during the 3 and 5 years post-issue.
The literature on the long-run performance of common stock and debt issuers associates substantial
underperformance of the issuers with management’s attempt to take advantage of bwindows of
opportunity.Q Ritter (1991) and Loughran and Ritter (1995) argue that firms take advantage of the
transitory windows of opportunity by conducting IPOs or SEOs when, on average, their firms’ stock is
substantially overvalued. Spiess and Affleck-Graves (1999) argue that overvalued firms are likely to
issue securities of any type, and that debt offerings, like equity offerings, signal overvaluation of the
issuer.
We attribute the disparity in the long-run performance between preferred issuers and common equity
and debt issuers to a different motivation behind these firms’ security issuance. In our sample, the most
active issuers of preferred stock are financial firms (40% of the issues) for which we find no abnormal
underperformance. Financial firms use preferred stock as means of satisfying capital adequacy
requirements (Callahan et al., 2001).
We see that abnormal underperformance is confined to industrial and utility firms and that their
underperformance is short-lived. These nonfinancial firms have poor profitability and high debt ratios
relative to financial firms, and seem to use preferred stock to take advantage of the distinct characteristics
of preferred stock relative to other types of securities. Underreaction to the news contained in the
announcement of preferred issuance could contribute to the transient underperformance of nonfinancial
preferred issuers.
According to the capital adequacy requirements for depository institutions in the United States based on
the Basel Accord of 1988, noncumulative perpetual preferred stock is considered as Tier 1 (core) capital,
and cumulative perpetual preferred stock and preferred stock with limited life are counted as Tier 2
(supplementary) capital.2 Callahan et al. (2001) show that the regulatory requirements of capital adequacy
influence the choice by banks to issue preferred stock and provide evidence that banks issue preferred
stock to increase their relative core capital levels. We believe that this distinct motive of financial firms, the
most active issuers of preferred stock in our sample, is the primary driver behind the relatively better long-
run performance of preferred stock issuers compared with the common stock and debt issuers.
2For the details of capital adequacy regulation, see Gardner, Mills, and Cooperman (2005) and Kidwell, Blackwell, Whidbee, and Peterson
(2006).
J.S. Howe, H. Lee / Review of Financial Economics 15 (2006) 237–250 249
6. Conclusion
We examine the long-run common stock performance of preferred stock issuers and link the
motivation for preferred stock issuance and the long-run performance of preferred stock issuers. We use
three calendar-time portfolio models and the traditional buy-and-hold abnormal returns approach to
analyze the common stock price behavior for a sample of 586 preferred stock issues over the period 1991
to 2000.
We find that when we use equally weighted portfolios, preferred stock issuers show a significant
abnormal underperformance only for the 1-year post-issue horizon. For the longer investment
horizons (2 and 3 years after the issuance of preferred stock) we do not find consistently significant
abnormal performance under the three calendar-time portfolio models. Even the 1-year post-issue
underperformance disappears when we use value-weighted portfolios, from which we infer that small
firms are driving the underperformance. Industrial segmentation of the sample detects short-lived
abnormal underperformance for industrial firms and utilities, but no abnormal performance for
financial firms.
Most studies on the long-run performance of common stock and debt issuers report substantial
underperformance during the 3 to 5 years post-issue. The literature proposes that management’s attempt
to take advantage of temporary overvaluation is associated with the long-run underperformance of
common stock and debt issuers. We believe that the long-run performance difference between preferred
issuers and common equity and debt issuers is attributable to the different motivation behind the security
issuance. Financial firms, which are the most active issuers of preferred stock in our sample, use
preferred stock as a way to satisfy the regulatory requirements for capital adequacy. We believe that this
distinct motive of financial firms is the primary driver behind the relatively better long-run performance
of preferred stock issuers compared with the common stock and debt issuers.
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