The London Mayor’s Cycling Revolution

The London Mayor’s Cycling Revolution

Keith Gardner, Transport for London

IMPACTS Conference, Berlin

June 2009

2

Contents

• What is it like cycling in London today?

• How far have we come?

• How have we achieve the recent growth?

• What is our future target?

• What potential have we identified?

• What solutions have we identified?

• What gaps still remain?

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What is it like cycling in London?

• Meet Charles and find out…

4

Contents



• How have we achieve the recent growth?





55

2001 2003 2005

+91%

2007

+80%

2010

Actual growth on TLRN

London Cycling Action Plan Target

100

150

200

Over 90% growth in cycling since 2000 (beating 2010 target early, but from a low base)

Cycle trip growth on the TLRN(indexed to 2000)

Source: TfL Road Network Performance and Research (RNPR) Automatic cycle counter; LCAP (London Cycling Action Plan) targets

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Contents



• How have we achieved the recent growth?





7

Growth achieved through a combination of ‘push’ and ‘pull’ factors

• Growth not attributable to one 'silver bullet' intervention

• Key ‘push’ factors may include:– Costly and overcrowded public transport– Congested roads

• Key ‘pull’ factors include:– Visibility of physical measures (e.g. Advanced Stop Lines)– High media profile– Well organised pressure groups

88

The London cycling action plan has been a powerful framework for promoting cycling in London

• 10,000 school cycle parking spaces

• Bikeability cycle training

• London cycle guides

• 550km of LCN+ cycle lanes

• Finsbury Park secure cycle parking station

London Cycling Action Plan, 2004

Recent tailing off suggests growth from current interventions may have peaked

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Contents








1010

32% 37%

41%

5%1.2%

22%

45%

2000Mode share

1.6%

21%

32%41%

CurrentMode share

22%

2025Achievable potential

Cycling currently ~1% mode share despite 90% growth since 2000 – could be 5% by 2025 with 50% take up rate of suitable trips (a 400% growth rate from 2000-2025)

31.2mJourneys

Daily journeys (million)

Notes: 1. T2025 trip predictions: Walk 6.9m; Cycle 1.6m; Motorised 22.8m

25.5mJourneys

27.6mJourneys

Cycle

Walk

Public transport

Car

1111

Daily mechanised journeys in London 2006 (millions)

1.5

4.2m0.4m3.8m1.2m

0.9m1.2m

21.5m

3.1m

Full potential 2025

Journey stage is part of complex

multi-modal trip

All PT/Car journeys

2006

7.2m

Journey

stage >8km

4.1m

Would take >20% more time to walk

or cycle

Part of a series of trips

>8km total

Age or disability

Heavy loads

orunsocia

ble hours

Switchable mechanised journeys in

2006

Population Growth 2006-

2025

80% of trips eliminated1

20% of all current mechanised trips in London could feasibly be walked or cycled

12

1960 1970 1980 1990 20000%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Cycle trips as % of total trips

Amsterdam

Copenhagen

BerlinLondon

1960 1970 1980 1990 20000%

20%

40%

60%

80%


Amsterdam

Copenhagen

BerlinLondon0%

20%

40%

60%

80%


Amsterdam

Copenhagen

BerlinLondon

5% mode share for cycling is ambitious for London, but clearly achievable based on other cities experience!

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Contents








14

Cycling: three big opportunities

Local trips toshops, schools & work

70%

3

2 Commuters intoCentral London

15%

1 Central London

15%


70%

3 Local trips toshops, schools & work

70%


70%

3


15%


15%


15%

1 Central London

15%

1 Central London

15%

1 Central London

15%

15

Contents








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Solution 1 – Central London Cycle Hire Scheme

1 Central London

15%• For short hops in Central

London

• Expected to be used extensively by tourists and commuters

• 6,000 bikes

• 400 docking stations

• Fully automated system (using integrated public transport Oyster travelcard)

• Due to launch May 2010

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Solution 2 – Cycle Highways


15%

33


15%


15%


15%

• Concept based on home end, route and work end measures

• Aim to provide routes which are continuous, direct and safe

• Routes to join up existing good infrastructure

• Home and work end measures to focus on barriers such as perceived safety and bike storage

• 12 routes by 2012, first 2 by May 2010

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Contents








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Cycling: The challenge of Outer London


70%

3


15%

1 Central London

15%


15%


15%


15%

1 Central London

15%

1 Central London

15%

1 Central London

15%


70%


70%


70%

3

• Much of the recent growth in Cycling has been in Inner London

• A high proportion of the potential lies in local trips in Outer London

• Outer London is much more sprawling and car dependence is high

• This is the next big challenge for encouraging cycling in London

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Any Questions?

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The London Mayor’s Cycling Revolution