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The Local Employment Dynamics Program Information for Workforce and Economic Development. Julia Lane Senior Research Fellow And the LED Staff. Overview. What is the LED program Local Data: The Quarterly Workforce Indicators Workforce Development Economic Development Next Steps. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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The Local Employment Dynamics ProgramInformation for Workforce and Economic Development
Julia LaneSenior Research Fellow
And the LED Staff
Overview
What is the LED program
Local Data: The Quarterly Workforce Indicators
Workforce Development
Economic Development
Next Steps
What the LED Program Is
What is LED?
Local – County, Sub County, WIA
Employment and Earnings – demographics (age and sex)
Dynamics – New measures of labor market dynamics
• Job Gain and Loss• Hires, Recalls, Separations• Earnings
Uses: Local Labor Market Information
Strategic Planning
LED Fills Key Data Gaps
Universal 98% of employment in partner statesLongitudinal in businesses and workersWorker Information Date of birth, place of birth,
sex, earningsFirm Information Four digit industry, turnover,
growth, salesCurrent Sent quarterly (six months after
transaction date) – start date 1990(+)Comparable Same definitions across statesDetailed Geography: place of residence and
place of work to latitude/longitude
The Local Employment Dynamics Program
Integration RecordPerson-ID Employer-IDData
Business Register Employer-IDCensus Entity-IDData
Economic Censuses and SurveysCensus Entity-ID Data
Demographic Surveys
Household RecordHousehold-IDData
Person Record Household-IDPerson-IDData
Confidentiality Protections
Anonymized data
Approved Projects only
Statistical Purposes only
Title 13 ($250,000 fine/5 years in jail if confidentiality breached)
Disclosure review
Firewall within firewall within firewall protection
Quarterly Workforce Indicators
“The outcome for Local Workforce Investment Boards..is a portfolio of never before available labor market measures at a level of geography never before available” Deputy Governor of Illinois
Businesses
Economic development agencies
Chambers of commerce
Federal, state and local agencies
Workforce Investment Boards
Chambers of commerce
School career counselors
Job search professionals
Businesses
Federal, state, and local agencies
Businesses
Transportation planners
Federal, state and local agencies
Current New
JobsTotal payroll
Jobs Total payroll
Gross job gainGross job loss
Net jobsNew hiresRecalls
Layoffs/quits Individual earnings
Current New
National
State
County
National
State
County
Sub-county
Workforce investment
area
CurrentNew
Workplace
Workplace
Residence
Where are the workers?
How much are they paid?
Where are the workers?
How much are they paid?
Where are the jobs?
How much do they pay?
Who needs training?
Where are the jobs?
How much do they pay?
Who needs training?
How can workers get to their jobs?
Where should a business locate?
How can workers get to their jobs?
Where should a business locate?
Male Female
Age categories 14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44
45-54 55-64 65+
Immigrant
Native born
None
Current
New
Indicators
Demography Location
Geography
Clients
Questions
What can QWI’s do?
Core Advances• Detailed Demographics• Detailed Geography• New Measures (hires, separations, earnings)• Historic • Relatively Current
Local Labor Market Context for Performance Evaluation
Identification of Trends for Strategic Planning
1. What are the industries that hire?
2. What are the stable industries?
3. What are the key industries for given demographic groups?
Improving performanceEconomic Development => Workforce Development
“Top Ten” list for All Workers in Denver MSA2003:1
Top Ten Employer Number of Employees
Top Ten Hirers Number of Hires
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
83,065 Administrative and Support Services 28,940
Educational Services 82,909 Food Services and Drinking Places 23,614
Food Services and Drinking Places 75,544 Food and Beverage Stores 12,467
Administrative and Support Services 71,390 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
11,861
Specialty Trade Contractors 49,498 Specialty Trade Contractors 10,244
Ambulatory Health Care Services 43,517 Educational Services 6,685
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 41,617 Ambulatory Health Care Services 6,029
Executive, Legislative, and Other Government Support
36,469 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 4,343
Hospitals 35,439 Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 4,223
Credit Intermediaries 33,519 Management of Companies and Enterprises 4,016
Employment and Hires, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau
“Top Ten” Lists for 35-44 year old women in Denver MSA 2003:1
Top Ten Employers Number of Employees
Top Ten Hirers Number of Hires
Educational Services 13,569 Administrative and Support Service 2,891
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
10,311 Food and Beverage Stores 1,691
Ambulatory Health Care Services 8,653 Food Services and Drinking Places 1,492
Administrative and Support Services 8,073 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
1,344
Hospitals 7,242 Ambulatory Health Care Services 1,142
Food Services and Drinking Places 6,003 Educational Services 975
Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 5,598 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 579
Insurance Carriers and Related Activitie 4,558 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities 541
Executive, Legislative, and Other Government Support
4,420 Management of Companies and Enterprises 508
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 3,529 Specialty Trade Contractors 464
Employment and Hires, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau
“Top Ten” Lists for 35-44 year old women in Denver MSA
Top Ten Employers Earnings Incumbent Workers
Top Ten Hirers Earnings Incumbent Workers
Educational Services $2,580 Administrative and Support Service $2,433
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
$4,244 Food and Beverage Stores $2,274
Ambulatory Health Care Services $3,230 Food Services and Drinking Places $1,454
Administrative and Support Services $2,433 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
$4,244
Hospitals $3,585 Ambulatory Health Care Services $3,230
Food Services and Drinking Places $1,454 Educational Services $2,580
Credit Intermediation and Related Activities
$4,378 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
$2,350
Insurance Carriers and Related Activitie
$4,142 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities
$4,378
Executive, Legislative, and Other Government Support
$3,222 Management of Companies and Enterprises
$3,879
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods
$4,280 Specialty Trade Contractors $2,576
Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau
1. What’s the workforce composition for key industries?
2. What’s the turnover rate in key industries?
3. What are the earnings for workers in different areas?
Workforce Development => Economic Development
Workforce Composition in Nursing and Residential Care FacilitiesDenver MSA
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99
Female Male
Employment, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau
Turnover Rates in Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Denver MSA
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99
Female Male
Turnover Rates, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau
Monthly Earnings in Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Denver MSA
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99
Female Male
Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau
Average Monthly Earnings in Nursing and Residential Care Facilities:
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
08 Colorado
Boulder--Longmont,CO PMSA
ColoradoSprings,CO MSA
Denver, COPMSA
FortCollins--
Loveland,CO MSA
GrandJunction,CO MSA
Greeley,CO PMSA
Nonmetro Pueblo, COMSA
All Workers 35-44 year old women
Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau
Economic and Workforce Development
Long term trends
1. Where are the workers located?
2. What are the looming demographic trends?
What are the Looming Trends?The Aging Population in Motor Vehicles in PA
(Proportion of Workforce over 55)
Employment by Age Category as Proportion of Total Employment for all industries: Source: US Census Bureau and CO Dept of Labor and Employment
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 20005%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
3711 MOTOR VEHICLES 3714 MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS
Next Steps
Products New indicators: multi job holding; cross state flows Tools for report writing and analysis Mapping Welfare Recipient Indicators TransportationProgram Expansion Training