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The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands 4th International Hybrid Power Systems Workshop Helma Maria Tróndheim Industrial Ph.D. student

The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

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Page 1: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the

Faroe Islands 4th International Hybrid Power Systems Workshop

Helma Maria Tróndheim Industrial Ph.D. student

Page 2: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Outline

• Background

• The Faroese Power System

• Energy demand

• Renewable resource potential

• Energy mixture optimisation

• The optimal energy mixture

• Conclusion and future work

Page 3: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Background

SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Government • 2015 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030 • Electrification of heating (50% by 2025) • Electrification of transport

The path to a 100% renewable electricity sector

Page 4: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

The Faroese power system

The grids • Main grid (~90%) • Suðuroy (~10%) • Other grids (<0.2%)

Existing power plants Diesel (66 MW) Hydro (41 MW) Wind (18 MW) Battery System (2.3 MW/0.7 MWh)

-202468

10

Pow

er [M

W]

10 minutes

Wind farmBattery systemStabilised output

Production in 2018 (350 GWh) • Diesel: 51% • Hydro: 31% • Wind: 18%

Page 5: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

‘New’ technologies (2019-2020)

Biogas plant (1.5 MW) Solar plant (0.25 MW) Tidal demonstration project (0.2 MW)

Page 6: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Normal demand

Heating

Transport

Renewable Energy

100%

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Energy demand 2017-2030

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600 En

ergy

(GW

h)

Page 7: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Average wind speed 10 m/s

Average sun hours 1000 h/year

Peak tidal stream 3.5 m/s

Average precipitation 1300 mm/year

Renewable resource potential

Page 8: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Renewable resource potential – Monthly

Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec -

20

60

100

160

200

40

80

120

180

140

[mm

] [hr

s]

0

2

4

8

14

6

10

12

m/s

Average precipitation [mm] Average wind speed [m/s] Average sun hours [h] Average tidal stream [m/s]

Page 9: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Optimising the energy mixture

Minimise • Investment costs • Fixed O&M costs • Variable O&M costs

010203040506070

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

CO

2 em

issi

on

[kto

nne/

year

]

Investment options: Wind Solar Tidal Pumped storage Battery Cable

Optimisiation model, Balmorel • Investments (annually) • Dispatch (hourly) • 2019-2030

Constraints • Demand • Resources • CO2 emission

Page 10: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Heygadalur (107m a.s.l.) 2.1 mio. m3

Mýrarnar (240m a.s.l.) 4.1 mio. m3

Pumped storage option 1 – Main grid

Page 11: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Miðvatn (350m a.s.l.) 615.000 m3

Ryskivatn (245m a.s.l.) 415.000 m3

Vatnsnesvatn (180 m a.s.l.) 825.000 m3

Pumped storage option 2 – Suðuroy

Page 12: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

The optimal capacities

0

2

4

6

8

10

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Transmission capacity [MW]

0

100

200

300

400

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Diesel Hydro Wind Solar Biogas Battery

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

0

20

40

60

80

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Turbine [MW] Pumps [MW] Storage [MWh]

Page 13: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

The optimal annual generation

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Prod

uctio

n [G

Wh]

Diesel Hydro Wind Solar Biogas Battery Renewable

Page 14: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Conclusion and future work

• Optimal energy mixture has been defined • Obtaining more realistic results

• Continuing developing the model • Additional technical constraints • More data input (more investment options)

• Analysing the stability of the proposed energy mixture

Co-authors: Terji Nielsen, The Power Company SEV Bárður A. Niclasen, The University of the Faroe Islands Claus Leth Bak, Aalborg University Filipe Faria Da Silva, Aalborg University

Page 15: The Least-Cost Path to a 100% Renewable Electricity Sector in the Faroe Islands · 2019-06-05 · Background. SEV’s vision • 2014 • 100% renewable electricity sector by 2030

Thank you

Helma Maria Tróndheim, Industrial Ph.D. Student M.Sc. Energy Technology, B.Sc. Energy and Environmental Engineering