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Page 1: THE LARGEST SHIFT IN THE WAY WE LIVE - EVERsmartgrowth.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/2020... · cities we build now will be the cities we may live with, for centuries, perhaps for
Page 2: THE LARGEST SHIFT IN THE WAY WE LIVE - EVERsmartgrowth.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/2020... · cities we build now will be the cities we may live with, for centuries, perhaps for

THE LARGEST SHIFT IN THE WAY WE LIVE - EVER

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Demographic shift. It is a remarkable thing. We are

experiencing the most rapid change in the nature of

human habitat ever seen. Within the next five decades

the average size of the world's cities will double, and then

they will likely stop growing -potentially forever. Thus the

cities we build now will be the cities we may live with, for

centuries, perhaps for millennia. As absurd as this

may seem the numbers bear this out. The birthrate is

rapidly declining around the world, and even in the

absence of any perturbations (wars, plagues, economic

collapse) the UN projects that we will hit a population peak

somewhere between 9 and 10 billion people, and then stop

adding people faster than they die. The reasons are complex but they can be simplified.

AT THE SAME TIME BIRTHRATES COLLAPSE WORLDWIDE

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AND WHILE THE MIDDLE CLASS VANISHES

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THE QUESTION: DOES THIS NEED TO BE BAD FOR CITIES?

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TWO CITY TYPES EMERGE: THE FORMAL AND THE INFORMAL

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TWO CITY TYPES : THE FORMAL

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TWO CITY TYPES : THE INFORMAL

Bo01 Malmo

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WHAT ARE THE RULES (or organizing principles) OF THIS NEW CITY

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RULE 1: THE CITY IS AN ORGANIC SYSTEM – NOT A MACHINE.

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RULE 1: THE CITY IS AN ORGANIC SYSTEM – NOT A MACHINE.

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WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?

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A MACHINE FOR LIVING

PRUITT – IGOE HOUSING 1954 PRUITT – IGOE HOUSING 1972

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ICONIC MONEY MACHINE.

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CITY SYSTEMS: URBAN CELLS SCALED TO ENTERPRISE. MANY UNITS MAKE A WHOLE

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RULE 2: RECOGNIZE AND WORK WITH THE PATTERN OF THE CITY

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RULE 2: RECOGNIZE THE PATTERN

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RULE 2: RECOGNIZE THE PATTERN

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RULE 2: RECOGNIZE THE PATTERN

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RULE THREE: APPLY LIGHTER GREENER CHEAPER SMARTER INFRASTRUCTUE

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RULE THREE: APPLY LIGHTER GREENER CHEAPER SMARTER INFRASTRUCTUE

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RULE THREE: APPLY LIGHTER GREENER CHEAPER SMARTER INFRASTRUCTUE

MENDOZA ARGENTINA

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MENDOZA SAN JUAN

RULE THREE: APPLY LIGHTER GREENER CHEAPER SMARTER INFRASTRUCTUE

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RULE THREE: GREEN INFRASTRUCTURE, WHAT 8 BILLION CAN BUY.

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RULE FOUR: STRENGTHEN SOCIAL RESILIENCE THROUGH AFFORDABLE HOUSING DESIGN

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RULE FOUR: STRENGTHEN SOCIAL RESILIENCE THROUGH AFFORDABLE HOUSING DESIGN

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RULE FOUR: STRENGTHEN SOCIAL RESILIENCE THROUGH AFFORDABLE HOUSING DESIGN

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RULE FOUR: STRENGTHEN SOCIAL RESILIENCE THROUGH AFFORDABLE HOUSING DESIGN

VIENNA NON-MARKETHOUSING

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WHERE ELSE DO WE OWN 20 BILLION WORTH OF GOOD LAND?

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RULE FIVE: ADAPT TO SHIFT IN JOBS AND WAGES

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RULE FIVE: ADAPT TO SHIFT IN JOBS AND WAGES

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RULE FIVE: ADAPT TO SHIFT IN JOBS AND WAGES

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CONTACT:[email protected]

Twitter:@pmcondon2

BOOK: https://islandpress.org/books/five-rules-tomorrows-cities