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The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

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The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution. The tightening middle-wage economy Equity roles of industrial jobs Local directions for middle-wage job growth. The tightening middle-wage economy. Source: Oregon Office of Economic Analysis. 1. Tightening middle-wage economy. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income

Distribution

Page 2: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

1. The tightening middle-wage economy 2. Equity roles of industrial jobs3. Local directions for middle-wage job growth

Page 3: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

The tightening middle-wage economy

Source: Oregon Office of Economic Analysis

1. Tightening middle-wage economy

Page 4: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Job polarization: A long-term national trend

Source: Oregon Office of Economic Analysis

1. Tightening middle-wage economy

Page 5: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Increasing job polarization

Source: Oregon Office of Economic Analysis

1. Tightening middle-wage economy

Page 6: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Wage distribution by occupations and education

Source: Oregon Office of Economic Analysis

1. Tightening middle-wage economy

Page 7: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Portland’s employment areas

Page 8: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Citywide Wage ThresholdsLow < $26,400/yearLower Middle $26,400 - $46,400Upper Middle $46,400 - $67,600High > $67,647/year

Wage distribution of employment land types

Page 9: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Wage distribution of employment land types: Industrial Areas

Citywide Wage ThresholdsLow < $26,400/yearLower Middle $26,400 - $46,400Upper Middle $46,400 - $67,600High > $67,647/year

Page 10: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Citywide Wage ThresholdsLow < $26,400/yearLower Middle $26,400 - $46,400Upper Middle $46,400 - $67,600High > $67,647/year

Wage distribution of employment land types: Central City and Campus Institutions

Page 11: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Citywide Wage ThresholdsLow < $26,400/yearLower Middle $26,400 - $46,400Upper Middle $46,400 - $67,600High > $67,647/year

Wage distribution of employment land types: Neighborhood Commercial

Page 12: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs Income distribution of residents Racial disparities Affordable neighborhoods Columbia Corridor jobs and East Portland workers

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 13: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Cities vary in income distribution

City types based on their share of households by income level (Brookings Institution)

Examples / characteristics:

Examples / characteristics:

San Jose, Charlotte / boom growth

Portland, Minneapolis / families, young

New York, Chicago / slow growth

Seattle, Phoenix / sprawling

San Francisco, Atlanta / disparities

New Orleans, Detroit / transition

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 14: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Middle class Portland is changing

Source: BPS from Census data

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 15: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Median household income by race/ethnicity, 2010, Portland, Oregon

$26,449

$33,013

$33,693

$34,466

$34,741

$36,963

$51,802

$51,823

$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000

Black alone

Pacific Islander alone

Other race alone

Two or More Races

Native American alone

Hispanic

White alone

Asian alone

Income disparities by race(Median household income, Portland, 2010)

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 16: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Source: Coalition of Communities of Color in Multnomah County

Educational disparities by race

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 17: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Source: Coalition of Communities of Color in Multnomah County

Occupational disparities by race(Multnomah County, 2008)

Page 18: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Affordable neighborhoods for middle-wage workers

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 19: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Wage distribution and housing affordability

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 20: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Transit access to family-wage jobs

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 21: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Where East Portland residents work

Source: BPS from LEHD data

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 22: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Where Columbia Corridor workers live

Source: BPS from LEHD data

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 23: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Columbia Corridor Association Employment Shed

• 52,400 Jobs in the Columbia Corridor Association Boundaries

• 39% of workers live within 5 miles of their workplace.

• 55% of workers live further than 10 miles from their workplace

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 24: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Columbia Corridor Association Employment Shed

• 52,400 Jobs in the Columbia Corridor Association Boundaries

• 39% of workers live within 5 miles of their workplace.

• 55% of workers live further than 10 miles from their workplace

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 25: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Columbia Corridor Association Employment Shed

• 52,400 Jobs in the Columbia Corridor Association Boundaries

• 39% of workers live within 5 miles of their workplace.

• 55% of workers live further than 10 miles from their workplace

2. Equity roles of Columbia Corridor jobs

Page 26: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

3. Local directions for middle-wage job growth Industrial land supply Freight infrastructure Education and training Transit access

3. Local directions for middle-wage job growth

Page 27: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Industrial land supply gap formiddle-wage job growth

3. Local directions for middle-wage job growth

Page 28: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Freight infrastructure and middle-wage job growth

Columbia Multimodal Corridor project recommendations

3. Local directions for middle-wage job growth

Page 29: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Education and training gap for middle-wage job growth

Source: National Skills Coalition

3. Local directions for middle-wage job growth

Page 30: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Transit access to middle-wage jobs

3. Local directions for middle-wage job growth

Page 31: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Portland is a middle-class city with a balanced economy, but the share of middle-wage jobs is getting smaller.

Middle-wage jobs that don’t require college degrees are concentrated in industrial districts.

Communities of color and East Portlanders rely disproportionately on Columbia Corridor/industrial district jobs.

The Comprehensive Plan Update is an opportunity to better align land use, transportation, and education with middle-wage job growth potential.

Takeaways

Page 32: The Industrial Middle of Portland’s Changing Income Distribution

Questions?