The Impact of Fiscal Stimulus in the Recovery

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    Nitin KirnapureYogesh KedarRaghunandanParas Gumbar

    Richa SinghNidhi Jani

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    Introduction to Fiscal Policy

    Meaning & Definition

    Objective & Tools of Fiscal Policy Fiscal Policy Types & Limitations

    Introduction to Indian Economy

    Economy Slowdown Recovery due to Fiscal stimulus

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    Fiscal Stimulus

    Fiscal StimulusGovt.Policy

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    Fiscal policy is the policy related to revenue,expenditure and debt of the government for

    achieving a set of objectives.

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    Fiscal policy is defined as the discretionary

    action by the government to change (i) the levelof government expenditure on goods , services

    and transfer payments and (ii) the yield oftaxation at any given level of output.

    -D.C. ROWAN

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    TaxationGovt.

    Expenditure

    Public DebtDeficit

    Financing

    FiscalPolicy

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    1)TAXATION POLICY:

    Govt. collects large funds from public by way oftaxes, these taxes are broadly classify as direct

    taxes & indirect taxes

    2)GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE POLICY:

    Aggregate demand is influenced by govt.expenditure. On increase in public (govt.)expenditure there is increase in aggregate demandand viceversa

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    (3) PUBLIC DEBT POLICY:

    Aggregate demand is also influenced by public debt

    policy public debt is of two kinds (i) internal debt (ii)external debt.

    (4)DEFICIT FINANCING:

    It refers to financing to financing of the deficit ofgovernments budget. when govt. meets itsbudgetary deficit by borrowing from the centralbank, it is called deficit financing.

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    Asian Development Bank(ADB)

    TheGrowth projection for India has been revised

    down to 7% in 2008 ,6.5 % in 2009 from 9% in 2007

    Inflation has been an ongoing threat in India,especially when it reached a peak of 12% in early

    August, 2008.

    Decreased Demand as the Global Down turn

    World Economic Forum (WEF)

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    Industry and Services

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    Banking and Finance

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    There are other sector like

    1)Petroleum and Natural gas

    2)Pharmaceutical

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    November 2008

    Taking actionMonetary and Fiscal action to protect the

    growth in India

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    India not in recession, but hit by

    global slowdown

    India is not in recession but has beenbadly hit by the global slowdown and the crisisin different sectors,

    said by Mr P. Chidambaram.

    This global slowdown has started from December2007 till July 2009.

    The high economic growth rate, the tremendous development in IT , a young

    population, the feeling that we are the world champions in cricket in 2010 and

    in everything else in the conceivable future that optimism has been

    tempered recently but still we are growing and considered a rising country in

    the world.

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    Consumers lose confidence in the growth of the economy and

    spend less.

    Results in decreased demand for goods and services.

    Decrease in production, lay-offs and a sharp rise in

    unemployment.

    Investors spend less as they fear stocks values will fall and thus

    stock markets fall

    on negative sentiment.

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    Reduced job opportunities

    Stock Market is lingering in the bottom.

    Inflation has increased.

    GDP has come down - the Indian GDP growth haswitnessed a slowdown from 9 percent

    in year 2008 to 6.5 to 7.5 percent by the year 2009end.

    Change in consumer behaviors and purchasingpower.

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    Pros of using Fiscal policy in global slowdown:

    Fiscal policy tool: Taxation1)Reducing income taxes- cause unemployment to decrease.

    2) Provide an optimistic financial strategy for majority of the employed

    workforce.

    3) It also increases productivity.

    4) Taxation gives the government the ability to function and the ability to

    focus on the publics' interests of expenditures in a specific sector of the

    fiscal policy.

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    When spending goes up and taxes comes down , leads to a

    budget deficit.

    Therefore, taxes can also be increased to accommodatethis.

    Increasing taxation during a global slowdown will cause

    unemployment to increase

    higher.

    Increasing taxation decreases worker productivity, income,

    and most importantly,

    the optimism of a workforce.

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    The main point offiscal policy is to keep the surplus

    or deficit swings in the economy to a minimum by

    reducing inflation and recession.

    Fiscal tools are used to boost the economy.

    The RBI has taken many measures since mid-

    September 2008.(contd.)

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    has reduced the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) from 9.0

    per cent to 5.0 per cent

    Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) from 25.0 per cent to24.0 per cent.

    during the last few months or so, have raised the

    market borrowing programme of the government

    for the year 2008-09.

    Market Stabilisation Scheme (MSS) on February

    26, 2009,

    (CONTD......)

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    an amount of Rs 45,000 crore was transferred from

    the MSS cash account to the normal cash account

    of the Government of India by March 31, 2009.

    the RBI has conducted purchase of government

    securities under its open market operations.

    The Government has given liquidity support to the

    housing sector and particularly to Housing Finance

    Companies (HFC), adversely affected by the recent

    financial market developments

    (contd)

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    World Trade Projections(percentage change)

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    World trade volume(goods and services)

    9.4 7.2 4.1 -2.8 3.2

    Import

    Advance economics 7.9 4.5 1.5 (-3.1) 1.9

    Emerging and developingeconomics

    14.9 14.5 10.4 (-2.2) 5.8

    Export

    Advance economics 8.4 5.9 3.1 (-3.7) 2.1

    Emerging and developingeconomics

    11.2 9.6 5.6 (-0.8) 5.4

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    government is also helping the overseas financial

    companies in many ways for financing imports to

    India

    Attempts are being made to ensure adequate

    liquidity in order to maintain the flow of credit for all

    productive purposes in the housing, export and

    small and medium industry sectors.

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    Content:-

    a) Report from National economic planning

    b) Report of planning Commission

    Websites:-

    a) www.wikipedia.com

    b) www.finmin.nic.inc) www.rbi.org.in

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