184
The impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 2013 Javier Olivera, PhD Geary Institute, University College Dublin INSIDE, University of Luxemburg [email protected] / [email protected]

The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

The impact of economic recession on public expenditure

on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011)

August, 2013

Javier Olivera, PhD

Geary Institute, University College DublinINSIDE, University of Luxemburg

[email protected] / [email protected]

Page 2: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Acknowledgements

I would like to thank Professor Paul De Grauwe for his invaluable advice, comments,

suggestions and encourage provided during the research. Furthermore, I wish to thank

Claudia Costa Storti, from the EMCDDA, for all her suggestions and comments that allow

me to enrich this report.

Page 3: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Contents

1. Introduction..........................................................................................................................................22. The effects of the economic crisis on macroeconomic variables........................................................6

2.1 Effects on GDP..............................................................................................................................72.2 Effects on unemployment............................................................................................................102.3 Effects on Public expenditure......................................................................................................13

3. The effects on the components of the public expenditure.................................................................19

3.1 General public services................................................................................................................203.2 Public order and safety................................................................................................................223.3 Health...........................................................................................................................................243.4 Social protection..........................................................................................................................30

4. Estimation of the impact of the economic crisis................................................................................334.1 Effects on public expenditure and first level components...........................................................354.2 Effects on second level components of the public expenditure...................................................38

4.2.1 Public order and safety (gf03)..............................................................................................384.2.2 Health (gf07).........................................................................................................................444.2.3 Social protection (gf10)........................................................................................................46

5. A classification of countries..............................................................................................................496. Conclusions........................................................................................................................................58References..............................................................................................................................................61ANNEX A. COFOG expenditure by country, 2000-2011.....................................................................63ANNEX B. COFOG expenditure (% GDP) by country, 2000-2011.....................................................84ANNEX C. COFOG expenditure (% total public expenditure) by country, 2000-2011.....................102ANNEX D. Complete results from econometric estimations..............................................................119ANNEX E. Country profiles 2000-2011.............................................................................................125

1

Page 4: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

1. Introduction

The aim of the study is to analyze the impact of the recent economic recession 2008-09 on

the main components of public expenditure that influence drug policy in the European

countries (EU 27 + Norway). The cases of Croatia and Turkey will not be studied because not

enough data is available.

The focus is on the impact of recession on total current public expenditure (excluding

interest) and on areas such as law enforcement, health and social protection. An in-depth

analysis of the relevant sub-components of public expenditure is also required, including the

evolution of public expenditures on: police, law courts, prisons, medical products, outpatient,

hospital, public health services, sickness and disability and social exclusion.

Labelling the public expenditure as drug-related is not an easy task because such expenditure

is generally embodied in other programs or services with multiple objectives. A common

system of public expenditure classification is needed to make comparisons of expenditures

across countries and overtime. A consistent categorisation system is based on the

international Classification of the Functions of Government (COFOG) which is used in the

EMCDDA report of 2008. The table below summarises the findings for a set of countries

with available data for the fiscal year of 2005.

2

Page 5: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 1: Labelled expenditure reported by COFOG, 1st level (EUR million), 2005

CountryGeneral public services

DefencePublic order & safety

Econ. affairs

Housing & com. amenities

Health Education Social protection Total

Czech Rep. 5.8 11.1 16.9Ireland 11.3 29.0 13.5 37.2 85.8 176.8France 39.3 1.0 275.1 315.4Luxembourg 0.1 3.9 5.9 9.9Hungary 0.9 0.1 1.0Poland 40.0 67.0 107.0Portugal 0.1 4.4 64.6 69.1Slovakia 1.8 0.1 1.9Finland 8.0 8.0UK 64.9 352.0 923.3 19.2 13.2 1,372.6Source: EMCDDA (2008).

As is observed, the majority of the expenses on drug-related matters are located within the

component of health. In the sample of countries, this component contains on average, the

68% of the expenses. However, there are some important differences among countries. For

example, in France, Hungary, Portugal and Finland, more than 87% of the drug-related

expenses are in the health function. Another important component where we can find

expenditures on drug services is public order and safety. On average, 16% of these

expenditures are located in such component. The function of general public services contains

on average the 12% of drug-related expenditures. On average, 96% of the expenditures on

drug matters are mainly categorised within these three functions. Therefore, we will describe

the evolution of these public expenditure components.

Within each component, it is possible to observe sub-components. The table 2 contains the

distribution of drug-related expenditures in the component of public order and safety. For

Czech Republic, Ireland, Poland and Portugal, the expenditures on drug matters are mainly or

completely located in the sub-function of police services. In Luxembourg, all the drug-related

expenditures are in the public order and safety n.e.c., whilst that in United Kingdom, the 35%

3

Page 6: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

and 64% of these expenses are in the functions of prisons and public order and n.e.c.,

respectively.

Table 2: Labelled expenditure reported by COFOG, 2nd level, Public orderand safety (EUR million), 2005

Country Police services Law courts Prisons

Public order & safety

n.e.cTotal

Czech Rep 4.3 1.4 5.7Ireland 23.7 0.3 5 29Luxembourg 3.8 3.8Poland 40 40Portugal 4.4 4.4UK 2.8 140 254.2 397Source: EMCDDA (2008).

Within the component of health, the drug-related expenditures are mainly located in

outpatient services (29% in average) and in public health services (31% in average). Hospital

services account for the average of 15%, and the functions R&D health and health n.e.c have

each one the 10% in average. See table 3.

Table 3: Labelled expenditure reported by COFOG, 2nd level – Health (EUR million), 2005

Country Medical products

Outpatient services

Hospital services

Public health services

R&D health

Health n.e.c. Total

Czech Rep. 11.1 11.1Ireland 3.8 3.8France 87 162.3 25.8 275.1Luxembourg 0.3 5.2 0.2 0.1 5.8Hungary 0.9 0.9Poland 8.6 58.3 0.1 67Portugal 1 1.4 62.1 64.5Slovakia 0.1 0.1Finland 8 8UK 2 920.6   0.1 0.3 15.5 938.5

Source: EMCDDA (2008).

Although there are no systematic labelled drug-related expenditure data for recent years, we

can observe the evolution of the complete functions of general public services, public order

4

Page 7: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

and safety, and health in order to assess the potential effects of the economic 2008-09

recession.

The more complete data for England give us some clues about how the economic recession

hit the public expenditures on drug services (see table 4). In order to make comparisons over

time, we transformed the original data from nominal currency to real values using the series

of inflation (Eurostat, Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices) and the year 2006 as base

year. The overall expenses appear to experience a decline since 2006, although there are

some differences among the functions. If we set the periods 2008/09 and 2009/2010 as the

periods where the crisis hit public finances, we observe that the overall expenses on drugs

drop by 0.2%, whilst the component of general public services, health and education drop by

20%, 0.3%, and 6.9%, respectively. In contrast, the function of public order and safety and

social protection increased by 4.5% and 46.8%, respectively.

Table 4: Labelled public expenditure on drugs by COFOG category in England, (GBP million in 2006 prices)

COFOG category 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/101. General public services 83.1 72.9 71.8 57.4 3. Public order and safety 276.7 250.1 254.4 265.8 7. Health 601.6 597.5 608.5 606.6 9. Education 5.4 4.1 3.9 3.6 10. Social protection 49.8 30.3 7.2 10.5 Total 1,016.6 955.0 945.7 944.0

Source: EMCDDA (2010).

As mentioned in EMCDDA (2008), not all drug-related expenditures are identified as such in

national budgets or year-end reports, so that it is needed to estimate non-labelled drug-related

expenditure. This is done in the EMCCDA 2008 report but it is not possible to make direct

comparisons between countries due to some differences in the methodology applied.

However, it is interesting to note that these expenditures can be large (see tables 5 and 6).

5

Page 8: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 5: Non-labelled expenditure reported on public order and safety

Country Police Law courts Prisons TotalCzech Rep. 110.5 16.0 36.4 162.9France 571.2 13.1 270.2 854.5Luxembourg 4.4 1.0 13.9 19.3Hungary 16.5 6.9 7.6 31.0Poland 4.4 92.4 22.5 119.3Portugal 54.3 54.3Finland 20.8 4.7 32.6 58.1UK 3,321.0 171.0 416.6 4,908.6Norway 108.5 47.0 78.7 234.2

Source: EMCDDA (2008).

Table 6: Non-labelled expenditure reported on Health

Country Medical products

Outpatient services

Hospital services

Public health Total

Czech Rep 0.4 3.1 0.4 3.9France 349.6 287.1 636.7Luxembourg 2.1 3.5 0.1 5.8Austria 24.1 24.1Poland 2.1 0.8 2.8UK 17.8 32 129.4 179.2

Source: EMCDDA (2008).

Different from the labelled drug-related expenditures in the function of health, hospital

services is the sub-function that contains these expenditures. Furthermore, law courts gain

importance within the sub-functions of public order and safety. Like in the labelled

expenditures, police services are the most important sub-function for the non-labelled

expenditures.

2. The effects of the economic crisis on macroeconomic variables

Although there are diverse effects of the economic crisis of 2008-09, we focus on some of

them in order to build profiles by country and assess the possible effects on public

6

Page 9: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

expenditures in a further section. We will concentrate on the effects of the crisis on the GDP

growth rate, unemployment rate and public expenditures.

2.1 Effects on GDP

The real GDP growth rate was fluctuating around 2.5% for the 27 EU countries during 2000-

2007, but this dropped to 0.3% in 2008 and -4.4% in 2009. The sharp fall in the growth rate is

unprecedented and confirms the severity of the economic recession within Europe.

Furthermore, the fortune of the countries can be very heterogeneous. For example, figure 1

shows the growth rate for EU-27 countries during the period 1996-2011 and also the standard

deviation for each year. The standard deviation is a measure of variability of the growth rates

within the EU-27 countries. In 2009, it is observed that the great drop of the growth rate is

accompanied by major differences among countries. For example, in 2009 Latvia

experienced a fall of -17.7% whilst Poland grown at 1.6%. The Annex E of country profiles

(available online) contains the values and graphical representation of the evolution of real

GDP growth rate by country.

Figure 1: Real GDP growth rate and standard deviation for EU-27 countries

-5.0

-4.0

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

std dev

growth ra te

Source: Eurostat.

7

Page 10: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Although the variability experienced around 2009 is just a bit larger than that of 1997, notice

that the average growth for EU-27 is much lower. Indeed, in 2009, 25 countries exhibited a

negative growth rate whilst in year 1997 only 3 countries had negative growth. It is

interesting to note that the similar volatility between 1997 and 2009 is based in a similar

distribution of growth rates but with a different support. Figure 2 shows these distributions

for years 1997, 2006 and 2009.

Figure 2: Distribution of real GDP growth rates in EU-27

-20.0

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

Rea

l GD

P gr

owth

rate

1997

2006

2009

Source: Eurostat. Note: the points of each series indicate different countries.

The following table shows a ranking of countries according to the direct effects of the crisis

of 2008-09 on GDP growth and also a ranking according to the last available estimation of

growth. The countries most severely hit by the economic crisis in 2009 were the Baltic states,

with negative growth between -14.3% and -17.7%. Other countries badly impacted were

Croatia, Romania, Iceland, Hungary, Ireland, Slovenia and Finland with rates between -6%

and -8.4%. UK, Czech Republic, Turkey, Slovakia, Sweden, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg,

Bulgaria, Montenegro and Denmark experienced growth falls between -4.4% and 5.8%.

Although weak1, there is a negative relation between the ranking of 2009 and 2011, which

1 Spearman correlation: -0.2797, Prob > |t| = 0.15.

8

Page 11: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

indicates that the most impacted countries by the crisis will exhibit the highest growth rates.

Furthermore, the countries that showed the stronger growth rates over the period previous to

the crisis (2000-2007) are the ones most severely hit by the crisis. A Spearman correlation

between the rankings of years 2009 versus 2000-2007 reveals this (=0.52, Prob > |t| = 0.01).

For example, the largest growth rates during the period before the crisis were in the Baltic

countries (about 8.3%), and these same countries also experienced the largest decline in

growth during the crisis (about -15.6%).

Table 7: Real GDP growth rate and ranking by years of interest

Country2009 2011 2000/2007

Growth Ranking Growth Ranking Growth Ranking

Poland 1.6 1 4.3 4 4.1 11Norway -1.7 2 1.4 18 2.5 20Cyprus -1.9 3 0.5 24 3.8 13Malta -2.6 4 2.1 11 1.7 25Belgium -2.8 5 1.9 12 2.2 22Portugal -2.9 6 -1.6 27 1.5 28France -3.1 7 1.7 15 2.1 23Greece -3.3 8 -6.9 28 4.0 12Netherlands -3.5 9 1.2 19 2.2 21Spain -3.7 10 0.7 22 3.6 15Austria -3.8 11 3 8 2.5 19United Kingdom -4.4 12 0.7 23 3.1 18Czech Republic -4.7 13 1.7 14 4.7 9Slovakia -4.9 14 3.3 6 5.6 6Sweden -5 15 3.9 5 3.2 17Germany -5.1 16 3 7 1.6 26Luxembourg -5.3 17 1.6 16 4.7 8Bulgaria -5.5 18 1.7 13 5.8 4Italy -5.5 19 0.4 25 1.6 27Denmark -5.8 20 1 20 1.9 24Romania -6.6 21 2.5 10 5.7 5Hungary -6.8 22 1.6 17 3.6 14Ireland -7 23 0.7 21 5.6 7Slovenia -8 24 -0.2 26 4.4 10Finland -8.4 25 2.9 9 3.5 16Estonia -14.3 26 7.6 1 7.9 3Lithuania -14.8 27 5.9 2 8.6 1Latvia -17.7 28 5.5 3 8.5 2EU-27 -4.4   1.5   2.5  

Source: Eurostat.

2.2 Effects on unemployment

9

Page 12: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

The unemployment rate of the EU-27 countries was declining since 2004 up to 7.1% in 2008,

but this jumped to 9% in 2009 and 9.7% in 2010. The recession will have lasting

consequences in the labour market even the government-supported work-time reductions

minimized the upsurge in unemployment in some countries like Germany and Italy and

strong social safety nets cushioned the blow to households (IMF, 2011). See the Annex E for

the graphical representation of the evolution of the unemployment rates by country.

Figure 3: Unemployment rate for EU-27 countries (and +- 0.5 standard deviation)

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source: Eurostat.

Figure 3 shows the evolution of unemployment of EU-27 countries and the variability

observed through the standard deviation. The impact of the crisis on Europe has varied across

countries. As mentioned in IMF (2011), the labour hoarding exercised by firms contained

partially the deterioration of the labour market in most of Northern Europe; and in other

countries, part-time schemes helped to keep jobs. In contrast, a great majority of low-skilled

workers lost their jobs in countries like Spain and Ireland where the construction sector

activity fell significantly. Even worse, the youth unemployment has increased considerably in

10

Page 13: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

countries like Spain, which means a big blow to the accumulation of human capital of the

current youths (Bell and Blanchflower, 2011).

Table 8: Youth unemployment Rates (ages 15-24, in %)

Country 2000/07 2008 2009 2010 2011Greece 26.5 22.1 25.8 32.9 44.4Spain 20.8 24.6 37.8 41.6 46.4Portugal 16.7 20.2 24.8 27.7 30.1Italy 23.0 21.3 25.4 27.8 29.1Slovakia 32.5 19.3 27.6 33.9 33.5Ireland 8.3 13.3 24.0 27.6 29.1Latvia 18.5 14.5 36.2 37.2 31.0Bulgaria 26.4 11.9 15.1 21.8 25.0Hungary 15.0 19.9 26.5 26.6 26.1Cyprus 9.9 9.0 13.8 16.6 22.4Poland 35.9 17.2 20.6 23.7 25.8Lithuania 20.1 12.2 29.0 35.3 32.2France 19.6 19.3 24.0 23.6 22.8Sweden 17.9 20.2 25.0 24.8 22.8EU27 17.8 15.8 20.1 21.1 21.4Romania 19.6 18.6 20.8 22.1 23.7UK 12.7 15.0 19.1 19.6 21.1Estonia 18.2 12.1 27.5 32.9 22.3Slovenia 15.5 10.4 13.6 14.7 15.7Belgium 19.4 18.0 21.9 22.4 18.7Czech Rep 16.9 9.9 16.6 18.3 18.1Finland 20.0 16.5 21.5 21.4 20.1Luxembourg 11.6 17.3 16.5 15.8 16.4Malta 16.3 12.2 14.4 13.1 13.8Denmark 7.9 8.0 11.8 14.0 14.2Netherlands 7.1 6.3 7.7 8.7 7.6Austria 8.0 8.0 10.0 8.8 8.3Norway 10.1 7.3 9.2 9.2 8.7Germany 11.7 10.6 11.2 9.9 8.6

Source: Eurostat.

Similar to the overall unemployment rate, the youth unemployment rate (for individuals aged

15-24) of the EU-27 countries was declining since 2004 up to 15.8% in 2008, but this jumped

to 20.1% in 2009 and 21.4% in 2011. Table 8 shows how this rate has increased over the

economic recession. In some countries this type of unemployment has risen sharply. In the

Baltic countries, youth unemployment has risen from about 12.8% in 2008 to 34.2% in 2010,

although this has decreased to 28.5% in 2011. Other countries with a rapid deterioration of

this indicator are Spain and Ireland. For example, taking the years 2000-2007 as the reference

11

Page 14: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

period, unemployment youth rate is 3.5 and 2.2 times larger in Ireland and Spain in 2011. As

pointed by Bell and Blanchflower (2011): “in all these countries there have been sharp

declines in house prices over the Great Recession. A direct link to the youth labour market

may derive from the disproportionate number of the young who work in construction, which

has suffered particularly from the effects of property price bubbles.”

The first four columns of table 9 shows a ranking of countries according to the direct effects

of the 2008-09 crisis on unemployment rate and also a ranking according to the last available

estimation of unemployment. The reference period is the year 2008. Like in the case of GDP

growth and youth unemployment, the Baltic countries are the ones who have suffered the

worse impact of the crisis on the unemployment rate. Other countries badly hit between 2008

and 2009 were Spain (+6.7) and Ireland (+5.6) with percentage point increases in

parentheses. If the comparison is made between 2011 and 2008, it is observed that, again, the

Baltic countries show the worse scenario together with Spain, Ireland and Greece. The

unemployment rate in Spain increases by 10.4 percentage points between 2008 and 2011, in

Greece this is 10.0 and in Ireland is 8.1. There is a strong positive relation between the

ranking of 2009-2008 and 2011-2008, which indicates that the most impacted countries by

the crisis will still exhibit the worst labour scenario2. In the last four columns of table 4 the

reference period is the mean of the period 2000-2007, which allow us to see some changes in

trends. The changes are less pronounced, and even in some countries the unemployment rate

after the crisis is still lower than the rate of years 2000’s. However, it is clear from figure 3

that the crisis implied a sharp jump in the unemployment rate and broke the declining trend

observed during the 2000’s.

Table 9: Variation in the unemployment rate and ranking with different reference periods2 Spearman correlation: 0.7977, Prob > |t| = 0.00.

12

Page 15: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

w.r.t. 2008 w.r.t. 2000-07Country 2009 2011 2009 2011

Var. Ranking Var. Ranking Var. Ranking Var. RankingLuxembourg 0.2 1 1.0 2 1.5 19 1.2 16Germany 0.3 2 0.8 1 -1.6 4 -3.5 2Netherlands 0.6 3 1.4 14 -0.2 12 0.5 13Norway 0.7 4 1.3 11 -0.5 6 -0.4 9Belgium 0.9 5 1.0 3 0.2 14 -0.5 8Malta 0.9 5 1.1 4 -0.3 11 -0.7 7Austria 1.0 7 1.1 5 0.4 15 -0.2 10Italy 1.1 8 1.3 9 -0.3 10 0.3 12Poland 1.1 8 1.4 12 -8.6 1 -7.1 1Romania 1.1 10 1.3 10 -0.2 13 0.3 11Bulgaria 1.2 11 2.0 21 -6.4 2 -2.0 4Slovenia 1.5 12 1.9 19 -0.3 9 2.0 17Cyprus 1.6 13 2.1 22 1.0 17 3.5 21France 1.7 14 1.2 8 0.7 16 0.9 14Finland 1.8 15 1.2 7 -0.4 8 -0.8 6Greece 1.8 16 2.3 27 -0.4 7 7.8 26United Kingdom 2.0 17 1.4 16 2.5 21 2.9 18

Portugal 2.1 18 1.5 17 3.7 24 6.0 24Sweden 2.1 19 1.2 6 1.8 20 1.0 15Hungary 2.2 20 1.4 13 3.5 23 4.4 23Czech Republic 2.3 21 1.5 18 -0.9 5 -0.9 5

Slovakia 2.5 22 1.4 15 -4.7 3 -3.2 3Denmark 2.6 23 2.2 24 1.4 18 3.0 19Ireland 5.6 24 2.3 26 7.5 27 10.0 27Spain 6.7 25 1.9 20 7.8 28 11.5 28Lithuania 7.9 26 2.7 28 2.7 22 4.4 22Estonia 8.3 27 2.3 25 4.5 25 3.2 20Latvia 9.6 28 2.2 23 6.9 26 6.0 25EU-27 1.9 1.4 0.4 1.1

Source: Eurostat.

2.3 Effects on Public expenditure

After the economic crisis, the countries have embarked in different fiscal consolidation

programs, which are more focused on cutting spending compared to increasing revenues. As

mentioned in OECD (2011), fiscal consolidation in OECD countries is weighted two-thirds

towards spending cuts on average, and one-third towards revenue enhancements (see figure

4). Although measures that are more oriented to cut expenditure take more time to

implement, these are more effective in the long run. In Alesina and Giavazzi (2012) is argued

that fiscal adjustment trough spending cuts are less recessionary than those trough tax increases.

13

Page 16: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Furthermore, as noted by Trabandt and Uhli (2012), the majority of countries in Europe are

close to the maximum limit of their Laffer curves, meaning that increases in tax rates above this

limit, are more likely to reduce revenues instead of increasing them. In most countries, plans

focus predominately on reducing programme expenditures, so that we should expect a drop in

diverse government programs in the future.

Figure 4: Expenditure versus revenue-based measures in fiscal consolidation plans (2010)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Expenditure Revenue

Notes: Figures are the contribution to consolidation from expenditure and revenue measures, weighted by the incremental volume of consolidation across each year reported.Source: OECD (2011)

Since 2000, the government expenditure -measured as the percentage of GDP- has increased

in the majority of European countries. Most of this increase began around 2007 and 2008, i.e.

during the start of the economic crisis. Part of this increase is explained by the fall of GDP

and by the increase of the public expenditures intended to strengthen the financial system

stability and stimulate the economy in response to the crisis (OECD, 2011). The Annex D

contains the values and graphical representation of the evolution of the public expenditure as

percentage of GDP by country.

14

Page 17: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 5: Current expenditure excluding interest of general government for EU-27, % of GDP

42.0

43.0

44.0

45.0

46.0

47.0

48.0

49.0

50.0

51.0

52.0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: Eurostat.

Figure 5 shows the evolution of the current expenditure of general government to GDP ratio

for EU-27 countries. Since 2009, this ratio dropped in the majority of countries although with

sharp differences. Table 10 reports that between 2010 and 2009 this ratio (in percentage

points of GDP) dropped in 23 out of 28 countries, being Estonia (-4.8%), Bulgaria (-4.0%),

Lithuania (-2.9%), Sweden (-2.6%) and Greece (-2.5%) where this fall was more pronounced.

By contrast, some countries showed a modest positive variation between same years, which

can reflect the expenditure made by the government in order to contain the financial system

deterioration. Those countries are Spain (0.03%), Poland (0.8%), Slovenia (1.2%), Portugal

(1.7%) and Ireland (17.4%). Recall that all European countries have experienced a decline of

GDP growth, and some of them a sharp decrease, therefore, figures of table 10 can reveal the

statistical effect of having a denominator with lower values (GDP).

Table 10: Variation in current public expenditure (% GDP) with different reference periods

15

Page 18: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

  w.r.t. 2009   w.r.t. 2000-08

Country 2010 2011 2010 2011

  Var. Rank Var. Rank Var. Rank Var. Rank

Belgium -1.2 19 -0.4 4 2.9 17 3.6 11Bulgaria -4.0 27 -5.8 26 -1.3 27 -3.1 28Czech Rep -0.8 15 -1.4 12 0.3 23 -0.3 23Denmark -0.4 12 -0.5 5 4.5 13 4.4 9Germany -0.5 14 -2.9 22 1.5 22 -0.9 25Estonia -4.8 28 -7.2 28 5.5 8 3.1 13Ireland 17.4 1 -1.2 11 31.3 1 12.8 1Greece -2.5 24 -2.2 18 5.3 10 5.6 5Spain 0.0 5 -1.1 10 7.2 3 6.1 2France -0.2 8 -0.9 7 3.8 15 3.1 14Italy -1.5 20 -1.9 16 2.7 18 2.3 16Cyprus -0.1 7 -0.1 2 4.9 11 4.9 8Latvia -0.3 10 -5.3 25 6.9 5 1.9 18Lithuania -2.9 26 -6.3 27 5.8 7 2.4 15Luxembourg -1.8 23 -2.7 20 3.2 16 2.3 17

Hungary -1.6 22 -1.8 15 0.0 24 -0.2 22Malta -0.5 13 -0.5 6 -0.6 26 -0.6 24Netherlands -0.3 9 -1.6 13 5.5 9 4.2 10Austria 0.0 6 -2.1 17 1.9 21 -0.1 21Poland 0.8 4 -1.0 8 2.0 20 0.1 20Portugal 1.7 2 -0.4 3 7.2 4 5.0 7Romania -1.0 17 -1.7 14 4.2 14 3.4 12Slovenia 1.2 3 1.6 1 4.8 12 5.3 6Slovakia -1.6 21 -3.4 23 -0.4 25 -2.2 26Finland -0.4 11 -1.1 9 6.7 6 5.9 4Sweden -2.6 25 -3.7 24 -1.5 28 -2.6 27UK -0.9 16 -2.7 21 7.8 2 6.0 3Norway -1.0 18 -2.3 19 2.0 19 0.7 19EU-27 -0.4   -1.9     4.0   2.5  Source: Eurostat.

If the comparison of public expenditure to GDP ratio is made between 2011 and 2009, all

countries show a decline with the exception of Slovenia. The countries with the highest

contraction in this indicator, as GDP percentage points, are Estonia (-7.2%), Lithuania (-

6.3%), Bulgaria (-5.8%) and Latvia (-5.3%). There is a strong positive relation between the

ranking of 2010-2009 and 2011-2009, which indicates that the countries with the highest

public expenditure contracted by the crisis will still not exhibit recuperation in this indicator3.

A different reference period, like the overall period before the crisis (2000-2008), changes the

magnitude of the variation of the public expenditure, but this doesn’t change the ranking of

3 Spearman correlation: 0.70, Prob > |t| = 0.00.

16

Page 19: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

countries at a statistically significant level (the Spearman correlation is significant between

the rankings). This reference period does not allow us to clearly observe the effect of the

crisis on the public expenditure.

The ratio of public expenses over GDP measures jointly the effect of the crisis on GDP and

public expenses, therefore we prefer to observe the real growth rate of public expenditures

over time and analyse the effect of the crisis on such variable. Figure 6 shows the growth rate

of public expenditure in real terms. It is only between 2010 and 2009 that a sharp fall of the

growth rate of public expenditures is observed. Between 2002 and 2007, the average growth

rate of real public expenditures of EU-27 was about 2%, then in 2008 and 2009 this was 3.2%

and 4.3%, respectively. In 2010 this real growth rate is only 0.7% and in 2011 this

experiences a sharp decline to -2.3%. At the beginning of the crisis, not many cuts could be

implemented because of budgetary restrictions, but it is just later that we are able to observe

the drop of fiscal expenses once some consolidation plans could be implemented. We should

bear this “delay” in mind when analyse the effect of the crisis on drug-related public

expenditures. Table 11 reports the growth rate of real public expenditures between 2008 and

2011 by country. All in all, table 12 shows the growth rate of real public expenditures and the

yearly change of public expenditures when is measured as percentage of GDP. Again, among

the most affected countries are the Baltic and Mediterranean countries.

17

Page 20: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 6: Real growth rate of current expenditure excluding interest of general government for EU-27, %

-3.00%

-2.00%

-1.00%

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: Eurostat.

Table 11: Real growth rate of current public expenditure (in % w.r.t. previous year)

Countryaverage 2000-2008

2008 2009 2010 2011

EU27 2.2 3.2 4.3 0.7 -2.3Belgium 1.5 2.8 5.6 0.2 2.0Bulgaria 6.2 3.6 4.5 -8.8 -2.2Czech Rep. 3.5 0.9 4.7 -0.8 -1.1Denmark 1.2 1.7 4.4 2.5 -0.3Germany 0.2 1.7 4.5 2.3 -3.3Estonia 7.2 8.1 -1.7 -8.4 0.5Ireland 6.7 8.2 7.3 35.6 -27.1Greece 4.8 5.8 3.6 -10.0 -6.9Spain 4.1 5.4 7.9 -1.0 -3.1France 1.9 1.0 4.0 1.1 0.3Italy 1.1 0.2 2.5 -2.1 -1.3Cyprus 5.6 5.6 6.5 1.1 -0.3Latvia 7.2 0.8 -9.3 -1.0 -5.6Lithuania 6.8 7.3 -5.4 -4.3 -1.3Luxembourg 4.4 4.1 8.0 4.1 1.6Hungary 3.1 -2.2 -1.7 -2.4 1.2Malta 3.6 6.5 -4.1 1.5 2.9Netherlands 2.2 4.2 6.7 1.0 -2.0Austria 1.1 2.4 3.1 1.8 -2.2Poland 4.9 6.5 6.0 4.4 -1.4Portugal 2.0 0.0 9.9 5.1 -6.9Romania 8.7 13.2 -1.7 -3.1 1.3Slovenia 3.4 6.5 4.0 1.0 0.4Slovakia 1.6 6.2 11.5 0.0 -3.1Finland 1.7 3.0 3.8 1.0 0.9Sweden 1.0 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.9UK 4.9 7.1 2.8 -0.4 -3.6Norway 3.3 4.6 4.9 1.6 2.8

Source: Eurostat.

18

Page 21: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 12: yearly change of current public expenditures to GDP ratio (% w.r.t. previous year)

Country average 2000-2008 2008 2009 2010 2011

EU27 0.1 1.5 4.0 -0.4 -1.5Belgium 0.1 1.6 3.9 -1.2 0.7Bulgaria -0.4 -0.8 3.1 -4.0 -1.8Czech Rep -0.1 0.1 3.5 -0.8 -0.6Denmark -0.3 0.7 6.6 -0.4 0.0Germany -0.1 0.6 4.1 -0.5 -2.4Estonia 0.4 5.7 5.8 -4.8 -2.4Ireland 1.5 6.2 5.6 17.4 -18.6Greece 0.5 3.1 3.4 -2.5 0.3Spain 0.3 2.2 4.8 0.0 -1.1France 0.2 0.7 3.5 -0.2 -0.7Italy 0.3 1.0 3.3 -1.5 -0.5Cyprus 0.6 0.8 4.1 -0.1 -0.1Latvia 0.2 3.1 4.6 -0.3 -5.0Lithuania -0.2 2.6 6.5 -2.9 -3.4Luxembourg 0.2 2.9 5.5 -1.8 -0.9Hungary 0.2 -1.5 2.2 -1.6 -0.2Malta 0.5 1.3 -0.6 -0.5 0.0Netherlands 0.3 1.0 5.2 -0.3 -1.3Austria -0.3 0.7 3.3 0.0 -2.0Poland -0.2 1.0 1.4 0.8 -1.8Portugal 0.4 0.4 4.9 1.7 -2.1Romania 0.1 1.0 1.8 -1.0 -0.7Slovenia -0.3 1.9 4.8 1.2 0.5Slovakia -2.2 0.7 6.6 -1.6 -1.8Finland 0.1 1.8 6.9 -0.4 -0.7Sweden -0.4 0.8 3.2 -2.6 -1.1UK 1.4 4.0 3.6 -0.9 -1.8Norway -0.3 -0.6 6.4 -1.0 -1.2

Source: Eurostat.

3. The effects on the components of the public expenditure

The functions and sub-functions of the public expenditures more associated with drug-related

expenses are:

General public services (gf01)

Public order and safety (gf03)

Police services (gf0301)

Law courts (gf0303)

Prisons (gf0304)

19

Page 22: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

R&D Public order and safety (gf0305)

Public order and safety n.e.c (gf0306)

Health (gf07)

Medical products, appliances and equipment (gf0701)

Outpatient services (gf0702)

Hospital services (gf0703)

Public health services (gf704)

R&D Health (gf0705)

Social Protection (gf10)

The annex A contains the evolution of public expenses on those functions for the period

2000-2011. The values are expressed in Euros in real terms by using a price index based on

final consumption, which allows comparing expenditure over time.

3.1 General public services

The evolution of real expenditures in general public services can be observed in figure 7.

Although there is a positive trend over time (and a recovery from 2009), there are large

differences among countries. Table 13 shows the growth rates of this variable by country. For

instance, this type of expenditure increased by 22.6% in Slovakia and decreased by 51.7% in

Bulgaria between 2010 and 2009. For more details on the evolution of these expenditures, see

the annex A.

20

Page 23: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 7: Expenditure in general public services for EU-27 (millions of Euros in real terms, 2005=100)

640,000

660,000

680,000

700,000

720,000

740,000

760,000

780,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: Eurostat.

Table 13: Real yearly growth rate of expenditure in general public services (%)

Country average 2000-08 2009 2010 2011

UK 1.9 -5.1 22.6 3.8Slovakia -2.1 38.6 20.7 -5.6Portugal 1.9 14.9 16.3 -2.4Ireland 2.1 14.0 11.6 11.7Luxembourg 2.8 3.6 8.7 6.7Lithuania 8.0 -9.2 6.9 7.4Netherlands -0.9 -5.2 5.0 -5.5Romania 1.3 -15.8 5.0 11.0Poland 3.6 9.1 5.0 1.5Denmark -1.1 3.3 4.8 3.5Germany 0.1 -0.1 2.3 1.0Austria -0.4 2.5 1.3 -1.4Slovenia 2.6 4.1 1.2 7.4Sweden 0.1 -5.6 0.8 7.3Finland 1.0 1.7 0.5 3.0Spain 0.9 7.3 -1.0 6.4Czech Republic 5.3 8.6 -1.7 0.5Italy -0.3 -7.2 -2.0 3.8Norway 5.0 2.1 -2.2 -2.6Latvia 7.4 -6.2 -2.7 9.4France 0.2 -3.5 -2.7 3.5Greece 3.0 6.8 -5.1 -0.5Belgium -1.8 5.8 -6.2 -0.6Estonia 4.2 5.1 -7.0 9.1Malta 2.8 5.5 -8.8 6.5Cyprus 6.0 6.9 -9.7 3.9Hungary 0.7 4.7 -10.2 -4.0Bulgaria 5.1 44.0 -51.7 11.5EU-27 1.1 -0.4 1.8 2.5

Source: Eurostat.

21

Page 24: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

3.2 Public order and safety

The decline of this component occurs clearly between 2009 and 2010 (see figure 8) for

European countries, and in 2011 its value is lower than that of 2010. Similar to other

components there are substantial differences among countries (see table 14). Between 2009

and 2010, 13 countries experienced a fall in the real expenditures in public order and safety,

while that between 2011 and 2010 17 countries experienced this decline. For example,

between 2011 and 2010, the real decrease of public order and safety expenditure was stronger

in Greece (-12.7%), Czech Republic (-9.7%), Slovenia (-7.6%), Romania (-6.3%) and Cyprus

(-6%). Differently, Norway (4.2%), Luxembourg (5.1%) and Lithuania (6.8%) increased this

type of expenditure. It is also observed that the Baltic countries show the most notorious

drops in the period 2009/2008: Latvia (-26.6%), Estonia (-27.4%), Lithuania (-17.9%),

although they experienced a recovery in year 2011.

Figure 8: Expenditure in public order and safety for EU-27 (millions of Euros in real terms, 2005=100)

170,000

180,000

190,000

200,000

210,000

220,000

230,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: Eurostat.

22

Page 25: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 14: Real yearly growth rate of expenditure in general public order and safety (%)

Country average 2000-08 2009 2010 2011

Slovakia 2.7 10.6 12.9 -5.4Romania 14.2 -9.6 11.1 -6.3Luxembourg 5.3 3.8 8.4 5.1Cyprus 5.0 4.7 6.3 -6.0Finland 1.8 2.8 5.4 -1.4Spain 4.9 1.7 5.1 -4.2Sweden 2.2 1.2 4.9 0.7Lithuania 5.9 -17.9 3.5 6.8Slovenia 3.0 1.8 3.3 -7.6Norway 2.3 4.4 2.8 4.2France 3.0 7.0 1.2 1.1Poland 10.2 3.0 1.2 -2.4Belgium 3.2 3.6 1.2 -0.2Italy -0.1 6.0 1.1 -1.3Germany 0.2 4.5 0.4 0.7Portugal 2.5 7.4 -0.1 -4.8Malta 1.7 1.6 -0.5 1.2Estonia 6.7 -27.4 -0.7 1.6Austria 1.2 2.9 -0.9 -1.3Czech Rep 1.9 1.6 -1.0 -9.7Denmark 3.2 2.1 -1.6 1.2Netherlands 4.4 5.1 -2.1 -1.0Ireland 5.5 -3.0 -2.2 -3.0UK 5.2 1.8 -3.0 -5.5Hungary 4.2 -8.4 -3.7 3.2Latvia 7.3 -26.6 -6.8 0.4Greece 17.4 12.4 -9.7 -12.7Bulgaria 10.4 5.0 -10.5 -2.7EU-27 2.4 3.1 0.4 -2.1

Source: Eurostat.

Table 15 shows the real growth rate of sub-functions of public order and safety expenditures

according to the COFOG system. We will refer only to the sub-functions of police services,

law courts and prisons, which are the relevant ones for drug-related expenditures. Again, the

Baltic countries have in general the worst indicators, in particular periods 2009/2008 and

2010/2009. Furthermore, Bulgaria, Greece and Hungary also show important drops in

2010/2009. In general, attending only to the period 2010/2009, there are more countries

reducing expenses in polices services (15 over 25) than in another component. Similar to

figure 8, the expenditures of EU-27 in order and safety -measured as percentage of GDP- also

declines with the crisis (see figure 9).

23

Page 26: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 9: Public expenses in order and safety in EU27 (in % GDP, % total public expenditures and real growth rate), 2002-2011

3.80

3.82

3.84

3.86

3.88

3.90

3.92

3.94

3.96

1.70

1.75

1.80

1.85

1.90

1.95

2.00

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011%

Pub

Exp

en

% G

DP

%GDP % Pub Expen

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

real

grow

th ra

te

real gf03 growth rate

Source: Eurostat.

Furthermore, the relative importance of this component in total public expenditure is

decreasing since 2007. As a reference, annexes B and C contain the relative weights of each

component and subcomponent of these public expenditures with respect to GDP and the total

public expenditures by country and year. We don’t go further in the analysis of the evolution

of such ratios as this will confound the effects of the crisis in GDP and the corresponding

component. The next section of this study deals with the analysis of the effect of the crisis in

each component and subcomponent in an econometric framework.

3.3 Health

Like in the case of public order and safety, the expenditure in the sub-functions of health also

has mixed results. In general, there is an increase in real terms for the EU-27 countries but

some countries exhibit positive and large negative variations in health expenditure (see figure

10 and table 17). For example, between 2009 and 2008 the real expenditures in health

dropped between 7% and 17.2% in the Baltic countries. The other countries where this

24

Page 27: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

reduction occurred in the same period were Bulgaria (-9.7%), Hungary (-2.7%) and Malta (-

0.9%). If the comparison is made between 2010 and 2009, a total of 12 countries over 28

present a negative variation in the real expenditure of health, prominently Slovakia (-14.9%),

Latvia (-11.4%), Greece (-9.5%) and Romania (-6.3%).

Figure 10: EU-27: Expenditure in health for EU-27 (millions of Euros in real terms, 2005=100)

500,000

550,000

600,000

650,000

700,000

750,000

800,000

850,000

900,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: Eurostat.

25

Page 28: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 15: Real growth rate of expenditures in public order and safety sub-functions (%)

Country Police services Law courts Prisons R&D Public order and safety Public order and safety n.e.c.

2009 2010 2011 average 2000-08 2009 2010 2011 average

2000-07 2009 2010 2011 average 2000-08 2009 2010 2011 average

2000-08 2009 2010 2011 average 2000-08

EU-27                                        Belgium                    Bulgaria -2.3 -12.6 -2.8 8.5 -4.7 26.0 2.4 -7.3 -4.8 7.7   -40.4 12.5   477.0 460.4 -79.9 1363.9Czech Rep 0.3 -0.4 -11.4 1.6 3.8 -5.4 -1.6 1.8 4.6 -5.3 -6.3 1.1 25.5 -30.7 19.0 20.9 1.9 5.5 -5.4 4.6Denmark -1.7 -0.3 -0.5 3.3 8.5 -10.5 10.9 3.8 7.5 3.5 -2.5 2.9     -1.9 -3.5 6.5 12.5Germany 4.0 0.8 0.8 0.1 2.1 -0.3 0.4 0.4 5.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 11.5 1.8 4.8 4.6 15.4 0.1 3.6 1.0Estonia -10.5 -10.2 -5.9 4.9 -24.0 -30.0 -9.3 11.0 -59.8 -18.5 -8.8 25.2     -54.6 295.8 35.4 13.3Ireland -3.9 0.6 -3.4 5.0 -7.9 1.5 -6.6 9.1 -6.0 -8.1 -0.3 5.1     -13.9 -5.0 -10.7 9.7Greece 11.5 -14.0 -5.8 7.8 30.8 -31.9 -4.8 11.7 -43.6 -7.8 -2.1 25.9       -66.6 -62.0Spain 0.8 4.0 4.6 8.3 1.0 6.8 -4.2 8.6 5.6   -51.5 2.7 9.5 8.8France 8.1 0.3 1.1 2.2 7.9 0.3 0.3 1.9 8.4 9.4 2.5 1.3 0.1 48.2 -1.7 0.4 13.5 -0.1 3.9 1.5Italy 9.8 1.5 -5.4 -0.2 2.4 -1.9 8.7 -0.5 -4.0 7.2 -1.2 0.9     -18.4 -19.4 -5.0 2.4Cyprus 4.4 7.8 -7.5 5.0 2.3 -3.1 0.5 4.0 4.1 9.3 -0.3 6.7     -1.3 -9.5 -8.7 3.9Latvia -30.2 -5.2 0.5 -27.0 -22.5 -5.9 18.0 -7.7 -30.0 -18.4 9.0 -3.6     -18.5 -14.8 -28.4 -11.4Lithuania -13.1 -6.6 -5.0 3.4 -32.1 -3.8 -2.4 7.7 -12.1 -10.4 -1.4 6.3 -18.3 -20.8 -3.5 12.5 -20.1 74.4 43.0 30.5Luxembourg 3.1 10.3 0.5 5.9 6.9 7.5 -1.9 5.1 7.9 1.5 17.8 4.7 96.4 46.9 29.5 -14.8 4.7 0.0 9.1 127.0Hungary -9.5 -4.8 -0.4 4.3 -6.3 -7.3 1.5 5.9 -12.2 10.5 0.7 4.6   -21.0 24.1 -100.0 -11.1Malta 2.4 -0.9 -1.4 0.3 -1.8 -2.0 9.1 3.5 -2.8 3.4 0.1 5.0   -50.4      Netherlands 4.3 -6.2 -0.1 3.8 7.4 1.8 2.1 5.7 4.2 -4.0 -2.6 4.4 -3.8 0.5 -3.2 1.3 4.8 4.8 0.1 6.7Austria 2.3 -1.3 -1.6 1.0 6.0 -1.7 -0.4 0.9 0.6 3.3 -1.5 1.5 -1.7 4.0 2.2 2.3 3.4 1.7 7.1 2.3Poland 9.0 -0.5 -1.1 11.1 -5.8 0.9 -8.6 11.4 5.0 -1.3 3.7 7.8 -29.0 -8.0 -5.9 14.1 100.1 125.1 874.3 -35.7Portugal 8.0 -2.5 -4.7 2.0 2.8 5.4 -3.6 6.3 2.3 -0.7 0.3 1.0 7.1 -4.1 -10.2 17.3 -3.0 -4.1 -41.5 25.5Romania                    Slovenia 7.5 -1.2 -10.4 2.1 1.2 2.4 -6.1 4.2 10.5 11.1 -9.5 1.1   -16.9 -24.0 23.4 -8.4 9.1Slovakia                    Finland 0.4 7.6 -1.1 1.6 6.7 -0.7 -2.9 1.1 -1.1 -1.6 -3.1 1.5 -26.4 -2.0 -3.5   7.2 12.9 10.7 10.4Sweden -1.3 6.3 1.4 3.2 1.2 4.5 2.2 2.1 6.6 4.5 -1.1 4.7     11.4 -9.6 0.7 4.5UK 4.4 -2.3 -5.9 5.7 -1.9 -9.4 -2.1 4.5 -1.7 6.3 -14.0 6.8 -41.7 -25.2 -21.5 8.6 -0.1 -16.5 13.4 5.9Norway 3.9 5.8 3.1 2.9 2.2 -0.9 3.9 3.6 10.9 3.3 2.7 3.7 3.0 11.6 -4.7   -5.2 12.9 13.1 -5.0

Source: Eurostat.

26

Page 29: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 16: Real growth rate of expenditures in health sub-functions (%)

Country Medical pro., appl. and equip. Outpatient services Hospital services Public health services R&D Health

2009 2010 2011 average 2000-08 2009 2010 2011 average

2000-07 2009 2010 2011 average 2000-08 2009 2010 2011 average

2000-08 2009 2010 2011 average 2000-08

EU-27                                        Belgium                    Bulgaria 8.2 10.0 37.7 -3.7 -16.0 17.0 3.7 69.6 15.7 10.9 -16.9 40.0 -53.8 2.4 81.2 16.6    Czech Rep 9.7 -4.8 0.7 1.5 10.2 2.6 3.2 4.7 8.1 3.6 0.0 2.5 0.2 6.0 -0.3 14.8 1.3 -0.1 -13.8 -4.6Denmark -3.6 -1.6 -6.3 5.5 4.6 0.7 0.9 4.1 6.3 -0.7 -1.1 3.2 16.9 3.0 -2.7 4.9 -84.5 196.9 37.0 -9.9Germany 5.0 -0.9 -3.7 1.6 5.2 0.2 0.9 1.3 5.5 1.7 1.1 0.9 60.0 -32.3 2.8 -4.8 6.4 0.2 3.7 3.7Estonia 9.0 0.3 -2.1 9.1 -1.4 -5.9 -0.2 2.2 -9.6 -4.7 4.3 9.3 9.6 -16.7 -10.0 32.0 -33.7 62.1 -2.2 45.7Ireland -4.9 3.5 -8.0 14.6 0.8 -1.0 -11.6 11.6 1.6 -9.7 -2.1 3.0 76.5 -16.8 -75.9 7.6 -2.7 -1.8 -5.9 6.6Greece 5.1 -12.5 -20.8 20.8 -5.6 -17.2 -13.9 11.1 3.6 -4.0 -25.6 5.4        Spain 5.8 -2.1 4.0 8.8 -3.7 6.0     36.4 -27.5 4.4 16.0 6.5 16.9France 18.7 1.1 1.3 3.5 -3.5 2.7 2.1 3.3 2.5 2.5 3.5 2.0 73.9 -15.0 -5.1 6.7 -25.3 -1.7 -1.9 7.6Italy -0.4 -3.5 -9.5 2.7 4.1 1.6 -2.4 4.6 0.4 0.2 -1.5 3.5 -4.9 3.7 -2.6 3.2 -3.6 -0.6 -5.5 4.5Cyprus 3.4 1.2 2.0 5.6 9.4 -5.3 -0.8 5.4 6.7 3.0 1.6 4.5   -1.9 -3.3   89.0 -0.5 16.6 17.4Latvia -10.3 9.2 -0.9 16.1 -25.3 -36.4 3.2 1.2 -14.0 -11.3 2.5 -3.6 -46.2 -44.6 -15.1 -11.8 0.3 -48.8 -4.7 -14.8Lithuania 2.8 -7.9 -0.3 8.1 -9.1 2.4 1.3 11.6 -9.8 1.3 1.5 11.3 -24.7 -14.4 -0.1 49.4 -12.9 506.1 -7.4 10.3Luxembourg 5.3 1.4 -0.9 5.0 13.7 8.6 17.2 8.9 -39.1 72.5 -16.8 -1.8 267.9 -5.0 -3.9 7.9 28.5 1.6 3.2 28.9Hungary 2.5 -1.7 3.2 3.2 -2.2 17.6 0.9 4.5 -7.3 6.8 0.6 1.7 -7.0 -26.9 -3.5 3.0   40.0 -40.7Malta 96.8 -21.7 29.5 16.3 10.7 5.5 9.9 6.4 -17.3 13.6 -1.8 4.3 14.9 23.9 -9.2 -2.9    Netherlands 10.8 2.8 0.3 9.3 13.4 0.3 4.2 3.7 5.8 2.8 2.2 9.9 8.1 3.3 -1.7 2.0 2.3 1.8 2.8 2.1Austria -5.1 -1.2 -1.2 2.9 2.2 -0.4 -0.2 1.8 4.9 1.4 -4.7 0.3 0.8 3.8 -3.0 4.4 8.0 3.4 -2.1 3.1Poland -1.1 0.4 2.5 4.7 -8.5 12.8 -2.3 5.3 4.7 0.1 -1.6 10.0 158.0 -64.4 -30.6 61.1 -2.1 14.1 6.2 14.0Portugal 13.4 5.9 -4.7 6.2 19.9 0.6 -2.3 11.6 -22.2 -56.0 16.5 -7.1 0.8 11.9 3.6 14.8 -2.0 -11.0 -10.9 8.6Romania                    Slovenia 2.4 -2.5 -1.4 3.7 6.9 -1.2 -1.6 3.4 8.9 -6.7 -0.7 3.8 4.2 -0.5 -30.7 2.2 -8.6 19.0 319.1 5.9Slovakia                    Finland -4.8 -3.2 -0.6 4.9 5.6 1.9 2.3 5.4 4.0 1.9 0.7 3.9 3.1 5.1 3.1 7.9 -28.4 -6.0 0.6 3.7Sweden 0.0 0.5 -1.7 251.1 1.1 4.0 2.9 405.3 4.0 -2.1 3.4 102.6 18.6 -10.4 9.4 3368.1 4.0 25.3 4.5 10.8UK -29.1 -6.5 -1.2 261.5 4.2 -0.9 -2.7 126.1 6.9 -0.7 -2.4 5.1 46.0 37.0 -19.7 30.0 -5.9 115.0 -37.0 15.6Norway -1.6 2.4 -4.1 16.0 5.6 7.5 3.9 4.7 1.7 -1.1 4.1 5.0 15.2 2.1 3.9 3.4 5.7 -10.2 3.5 12.2Source: Eurostat.

27

Page 30: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 17: Real growth rate of expenditure in health (%)

Countryaverage 2000-08 2009 2010 2011

Bulgaria 15.0 -9.7 11.9 0.8Malta 3.9 -0.9 3.7 5.4Czech Rep 3.6 7.5 2.4 0.4France 2.8 3.5 2.4 2.3Hungary 2.8 -2.7 2.4 1.3Norway 3.7 3.0 2.2 3.3Cyprus 4.7 6.6 2.2 2.2Netherlands 7.1 8.8 2.1 2.4Belgium 3.2 5.8 1.3 2.7Sweden 3.4 2.6 1.2 3.0Luxembourg 5.4 7.4 1.1 -0.4Finland 4.4 3.3 1.1 1.3Austria 1.0 2.5 0.8 -3.1Germany 1.9 5.3 0.7 0.3Lithuania 8.3 -9.9 0.3 3.9Italy 3.5 1.4 0.2 -2.7Poland 8.0 4.3 -0.2 -2.3UK 5.9 6.9 -0.6 -2.5Denmark 3.5 5.4 -0.6 -1.2Slovenia 3.4 6.6 -3.1 -1.1Estonia 8.3 -7.0 -3.3 2.2Spain 5.5 8.6 -3.9 -4.8Ireland 7.5 3.7 -4.1 -6.3Portugal 2.1 9.2 -5.5 -1.6Romania 7.5 11.6 -6.3 -3.4Greece 12.3 1.2 -9.5 -22.3Latvia 10.6 -17.2 -11.4 5.0Slovakia 9.3 5.1 -14.9 -6.0EU-27 3.4 5.0 -0.1 -1.0

Source: Eurostat.

Alternative to the evolution of the public expenses in health, figure 11 shows the evolution of

this component measured as the percentage of GDP and of total public expenditures. In both

cases, a decline of this component can be observed between 2010 and 2009, which means a

shift in the increasing evolution of these expenses. The ratio public health expenditure to

GDP has continued decreasing in 2011 as the real value of health expenditure. However, in

that year public health expenditures increased its importance within total public expenditures.

28

Page 31: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 11: Public expenses in health in EU27 (in % GDP, % total public expenditures and real growth rate), 2002-2011

13.0

13.2

13.4

13.6

13.8

14.0

14.2

14.4

14.6

14.8

15.0

15.2

5.8

6.0

6.2

6.4

6.6

6.8

7.0

7.2

7.4

7.6

7.8

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011%

Pub

Exp

en

% G

DP

%GDP % Pub Expen

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

real

grow

th ra

te

real gf07 growth rate

Source: Eurostat.

The last report of the OECD on health (OECD, 2012) highlights the significant drop of health

expenses over European countries. This study indicates that this fall is caused by many

different types of policies. For example, in Ireland, “most of the reductions have been

achieved through cuts in wages or the fees paid to professionals and pharmaceutical

companies, and through actual reductions in the number of health workers. Estonia cut

administrative costs in the ministry of health and also reduced the prices of publicly

reimbursed health services.” Furthermore, there has been a break in the investment plans for

health related projects in countries like Estonia, Ireland, Iceland and Czech Republic. Other

measures have been implemented to increase efficiency: mergers of hospitals or ministries,

moving the speed path from hospitalization to out-patient care and promoting the use of

generic drugs. Furthermore, other policies are directed to increase the out of pocket payments

and hospital fees (Ireland and Czech Republic, respectively). The effects of these measures

can also be observed in figure 12. There is a sharp decrease of the growth rate of health

expenditures if we compare the period 2008-2000 and 20010-2009.

29

Page 32: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 12: Average annual growth in health spending across OECD countries in real terms, 2000-2010

0.0%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

2000-2009 2009-2010

Note: Growth rates for 2009/10 are not available for Australia, Japan, Luxembourg, Israel, Spain and Turkey.Growth rates for Chile calculated using the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Source: OECD Health Data 2012.

Table 16 shows the percentage change in the sub-functions of health expenditures according

to the COFOG system. Once more, the Baltic countries and Greece have the worst indicators.

In the period 2011/2010 there are more countries showing a negative growth of public health

expenditures than in the other reference periods. The diversity of impacts is related to

different measures implemented in each country. As mentioned before, the last report of the

OECD for health mentions some different policy that affects different components of public

health expenditure like hospital services (merge of hospitals), medical products (generic

drugs), etc.

3.4 Social protection

Expenditures in social protection have been increasing consistently during the last years in

Europe. However, the effect of the cuts implemented to cope with the crisis can be observed

30

Page 33: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

only in 2010. Overall, in many countries this expenditure has not fallen in real terms, and its

growth rate has suffered a sharp decline between 2009 and 2010. In figure 13 one can

observe that growth rate of social protection expenditure was 6.7% in 2009, only 1.0% in

2010 and -0.7% in 2011. Looking at the 2010/2009 period, the countries more affected are,

again, the Baltic countries: Lithuania (-11.6), Estonia (-5.3%) and Latvia (-3.2%). Other

countries with negative variation in the real social protection expenditure are Greece (-3.3%),

Hungary (-4.1%), Germany (-0.2%) and Bulgaria (-0.1%). The Baltic countries continued to

exhibit the worst impacts in social protection expenditure during the 2011/2010. Latvia,

Lithuania and Estonia have a growth rate of real public expenditure in social protection of -

5.9%, -5.7% and -4.2%, respectively. Annexes B and C contain the relative weight of the

social protection components with respect to total public expenditures and GDP by country

and year.

Figure 13: Expenditure in social protection for EU-27 (millions of Euros in real terms, 2005=100, and real growth rate)

1,800,000

1,900,000

2,000,000

2,100,000

2,200,000

2,300,000

2,400,000

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Millions of Euros

Growth rate

Source: Eurostat.

31

Page 34: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 18: Real yearly growth rate of expenditure in social protection (%)

Country average 2000-08 2009 2010 2011

Cyprus 6.8 8.8 7.7 2.9Poland 2.5 8.3 5.0 -2.8Denmark 1.5 5.0 3.8 -0.4Luxembourg 4.9 8.9 3.7 1.5Slovakia 0.8 13.4 3.4 -0.8Netherlands 1.4 6.8 2.8 0.4Spain 4.4 12.4 2.8 -1.3Norway 3.9 6.3 2.7 4.5Portugal 4.5 12.4 2.3 -2.2Ireland 7.0 15.4 2.1 0.1Slovenia 3.1 6.4 2.0 1.3Finland 1.4 7.1 1.7 1.1Austria 1.2 5.2 1.7 -1.5United Kingdom 3.2 7.5 1.6 -0.5France 2.3 4.7 1.5 1.2Romania 9.2 10.5 1.4 -2.2Malta 3.8 3.7 1.0 3.2Italy 1.5 4.8 1.0 -0.3Belgium 1.9 7.4 0.3 1.4Czech Republic 3.6 6.1 0.2 0.9Sweden 0.9 3.5 0.0 -0.9Bulgaria 5.8 17.8 -0.1 -1.6Germany -0.1 5.2 -0.2 -2.6Latvia 2.3 19.3 -3.2 -5.9Greece 3.9 5.5 -3.3 -0.4Hungary 4.7 -1.7 -4.1 -1.9Estonia 7.0 16.7 -5.3 -4.2Lithuania 6.7 9.8 -11.6 -5.7EU-27 1.9 6.7 1.0 -0.7

Source: Eurostat.

Even the growth rate of expenses in social protection has decreased in the years of the crisis,

note that the share of this component in the total expenditures has increased since 2008 (see

figure 14). This means that -at the total European level- social protection has suffered less

from fiscal cuts with respect to other components like health and order and safety.

32

Page 35: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 14: Public expenses in social protection in EU27 (in % GDP, % total public expenditures and real growth rate), 2002-2011

37.0

37.5

38.0

38.5

39.0

39.5

40.0

40.5

16.0

16.5

17.0

17.5

18.0

18.5

19.0

19.5

20.0

20.5

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

% P

ub E

xpen

% G

DP

%GDP % Pub Expen

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

real

grow

th ra

te

rea l gf10 growth rate

Source: Eurostat.

4. Estimation of the impact of the economic crisis

In this section, we estimate econometrically the impact of the economic crisis on government

expenditure and its components in EU-27 plus Norway. To do so, we employ the sample of

country-year observations with available information, i.e. panel data. The interested reader in

the modelling is referred to Box 1 for more details.

33

Page 36: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

34

Box 1: Estimations with panel data

The model to be estimated is the fixed effects model. The panel data feature of the sample allows us to address unobserved effects and hence make consistent estimations. If the variable of interest is y¿ (e.g. the public expenses), then the model can be set up as following:

y¿=c i+X¿ β+u¿ t=1,2 ,… .., T

The subscripts i and t refer to country and year. The explanatory variables are denoted by X ¿ and can vary across countries and time. Examples of these variables are GDP, public debt, unemployment, health indicators, etc. The idiosyncratic error is denoted by u¿. The unobserved effects are represented by c i, which means that each country contributes with its own heterogeneity. In order to apply fixed effects methods it will be necessary to take the first differences of the previous equation, i.e.:

∆ y¿=∆ X ¿ β+∆ u¿ t=2,3 , ... ,T

The level effect c i disappears allowing us to estimate the equation with fixed effects. It is needed that each country has at least two observations over time to be included in the analysis.

DataThere are two sources of data used in the analysis: 1) the database of EUROSTAT for public expenditures according to the COFOG system, macro variables and specific controls for public order and safety public (e.g. crimes rates); and 2) the database of the World Health Organization for Europe (WHO European health for All) from which we extract health related variables. Furthermore, the Gini indices were extracted from the Standardized World Income Inequality Database (SWIID).

The information of public expenditure and its components and the macro variables are available to many countries up to year 2011. Furthermore, the variables related to health from the World Health Organization dataset are available in the majority of cases up to 2010 (the last update of this database is January 2013) and for some countries up to 2011. However, the variables related to public order from Eurostat, like crime rates for example, are only available up to year 2010 (last update is March 2013). The sample consists of observations over the period 1999-2011. Due to the need to control for heterogeneity in the panel data specification, we use changes of the variable value with respect to the previous year. For instance, the variable indicating the poverty rate is

dpoverty2010=( poverty2010−poverty2009)

poverty2009

. All monetary variables are expressed in real terms,

therefore the variables that enter into the regression equations measure variation in real terms. Due to this specification, the maximum number of possible observations is 12 years times 28 countries,

Page 37: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

4.1 Effects on public expenditure and first level components

In this section public expenditure and each of its components at the first level of COFOG -

related to drug policy- are regressed against GDP growth rate, changes in poverty rates and

dummy variables indicating year 2010 and 2011, which will capture the effect of the crisis.

Recall that before we showed a decline in public expenditures only in 2010 and then a

pronounced drop in 2011. We perform panel data with fixed effects and robust standard

errors. The estimates are in table 19. Each column shows a different dependent variable. For

example, the model (1) shows the estimated coefficients of the regression of total public

expenditures (gf00). The model (2), (3) and (4) indicate the equations for the components of

public order and safety (gf03), health (gf07) and social protection (gf10), respectively. A

reader less familiar with econometrics is referred to box 2 for further explanation.

Table 19: Panel data estimates for public expenditures and first level of COFOG

  (1) (2) (3) (4)

 VariablesTotal pub.

expenditurePub. order and

safety Health Social protection

(gf00) (gf03) (gf07) (gf10)growth 0.2519* 0.7757*** 0.5937*** -0.3682***

(0.1395) (0.226) (0.176) (0.1017)poverty 0.1197*** 0.0749 -0.2182 0.0643

(0.0374) (0.0778) (0.2167) (0.0411)year2010 -2.4440* -2.3887* -6.1757*** -3.6843***

(1.3954) (1.2052) (1.1811) (1.0569)year2011 -4.6537*** -5.5030*** -4.9806*** -5.1172***

(0.69) (1.1304) (1.1736) (0.8803)constant 2.9383*** 2.1499*** 3.9871*** 5.0642***

(0.2746) (0.511) (0.383) (0.2462)N 250 250 250 250groups 28 28 28 28R2 (within) 0.1962 0.1824 0.1498 0.2471F 11.7168 9.7255 7.6782 16.6403rho 0.1415 0.0638 0.0538 0.2017

Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

35

Page 38: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

As expected, GDP growth rate affects positively and significantly the variations of total

public expenditures, public order and safety and health expenditures. This means that a

growing economy can afford more public expenditures. For example, if GDP growth rate

increases one percentage point, then the growth rate of the total public expenditure increases

0.25% in average. Furthermore, the expenses in public order and safety and health will raise

0.78% and 0.60%, respectively. Although the coefficient of GDP growth rate in the social

protection equation is negative and significant, this is not surprising. When an economy is

growing, more businesses are flourishing, poverty and unemployment rates are declining, and

therefore there will be less demand for welfare payments. Of course, another effect of GDP

growth on social protection expenses may be an increase of the welfare state due to the higher

wealth of the country. In our regressions, the effect that dominates is the first one. It is worth

to mention that part of the social protection expenses corresponds to automatic stabilizers

triggered by the economic crisis, being perhaps the unemployment benefits the most

important and closely related to the economic cycle. Even we “clean” social protection

expenses from expenses in unemployment benefits (COFOG1005) we still observe similar

effects to those table 19. In a further section, we will show more specifications for social

protection expenses net of unemployment benefits.

The effect of the crisis can be observed with dummy variables for year 2010 and 2011, which

refers to the variation of values of 2010 with respect to 2009, and 2011 with respect to 2010,

respectively. We prefer these dummies instead of one referred to year 2009 because the cuts

in expenditures produced by the crisis take more time to implement. This means that the

effect of the crisis is delayed for the case of variables measuring public expenditures, such as

social programs for example. Preliminary regressions run with the 2009 year dummy confirm

this idea.

36

Page 39: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

The results clearly show that the crisis had a negative effect on the variation of the total

public expenditure and on each component. The results of table 19 also show that the

coefficient of year 2011 is larger than that of 2010, which indicates that variations in values

occurred between year 2011 and 2010 are more important than variations occurred between

2010 and 2009. This is the case for total public expenditure, public order and safety and

social protection. In public health expenditures, the impact of the crisis is lower when one

moves from 2010 to 2011.

Furthermore, the variation of the poverty rate has a positive and significant effect on the total

public expenditure. The coefficient of poverty is not significant for the health and public

order equations because there are not direct links between poverty and those components. We

should expect that an increase of poverty and deprivation rates will induce a larger budget to

pay more welfare benefits to more families, and this is what happens in the regression of

social protection expenses but the coefficient is not significant, although p-value=0.129. We

also considered other specifications replacing the poverty rate with the unemployment rate

and young unemployment rate (persons under 25 years) and we also obtained that the effect

of the crisis is still negative and significant in each specification. Furthermore, in other

specifications not reported here, we find that total and youth unemployment rates affect

significantly and positively public expenses in social protection, as expected.

37

Page 40: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

4.2 Effects on second level components of the public expenditure

We examine the effects of other variables that can affect the changes of public expenses.

These variables are specific to each component; for example we add variables like crime rates

to the equation measuring public expenditures on public order, and so on. Unfortunately, the

dummy for year 2011 cannot be used because the right-hand side variables of the equations

for COFOG gf03, gf07 and their sub-components (second level) are available only up to year

2010.

4.2.1 Public order and safety (gf03)

This component includes the sub-components:

38

Box 2: Interpretation of estimations

Let’s take the first column of table 19, which shows the coefficients of the variables explaining the growth rate of real public expenditures (gf00):

Dependent variable: growth rate of real public expenditures (gf00)Coefficient of independent variables: GDP growth: 0.25 poverty: 0.12 year2010: -2.44 year2011: -4.65 constant: 2.94

The GDP growth rate measures the change of real GDP from one year to another, and hence a coefficient of 0.25 indicates that one additional percentage point of GDP growth increases the growth of real public expenditures by 0.25%. Similarly, if GDP growth drops by 1%, then real public expenditures is reduced by 0.25%. The positive sign of the coefficient means that the independent variable -in this case GDP growth- affects positively the dependent variable. A similar interpretation applies for the effect of poverty. When the poverty rate increases 1%, then real public expenditures is increased by 0.12%. The variable year2010 is a dummy variable, meaning that this takes value 1 when the countries in the sample are in year 2010 and zero otherwise. The same applies for year2011. The coefficients of both dummy variables are negative which means that being either in year 2010 or 2011 has a negative effect on the growth of real public expenditures. As the coefficient for year 2011 is of a larger negative magnitude than that of year 2010, real public expenses have fallen more in 2011 than in 2010. The constant is a variable to anchor the regression estimation and captures a fixed effect for all countries and years of the sample. These interpretations can apply straightforward for the other regressions reported in table 19 and other regressions.

Page 41: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Police services (gf0301)

Law courts (gf0303)

Prisons (gf0304)

R&D Public order and safety (gf0305)

Public order and safety n.e.c (gf0306)

There are many country-year points of data for dependent variables gf03, gf301, gf303 and

gf304, but few for gf305 and gf306. So, we perform regression estimations only for the three

first sub-components of public expenditure in public order and law. The results of the

regressions are in table 20. We cannot use a dummy variable for year 2011 in these

regressions because the public order and safety related variables (crime rates, prison

population, etc.) are only available up to 2010. Each regression shows the total number of

observations (country-year points) with available information.

Table 20: Panel data estimates for public expenditures on public order and safety

Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)Pub. order and safety(gf03)

Police services(gf0301)

Police services(gf0301)

Law courts(gf0303)

Law courts(gf0303)

Law courts(gf0303)

Prisons(gf0304)

Prisons(gf0304)

GDP growth 0.6825** 0.4215** 0.4527** 0.6243** 0.5983** 0.6681** -0.1195 -0.2587(0.2484) (0.1739) (0.1662) (0.2897) (0.2716) (0.2761) (0.4197) (0.4559)

year2010 -1.3523 -1.7586* -1.4076 -1.5633 -2.0871** -1.6890* -2.3172 -2.2501(1.1546) (0.9312) (1.0418) (0.9569) (0.9425) (0.9367) (1.4495) (1.3176)

total crime rate 0.1984** 0.1793*** 0.0978  (0.0813) (0.0481) (0.0683)  

police officers 0.0076 0.0613 0.0386 -0.0908 -0.0999 -0.0828 -0.1955 -0.1745(0.0548) (0.0693) (0.0812) (0.1613) (0.1581) (0.1610) (0.1549) (0.1313)

prisoners -0.0429 -0.0406 -0.0439 0.0166 0.0107 0.0240 0.0775 0.0552(0.0263) (0.0485) (0.0458) (0.0579) (0.0619) (0.0592) (0.0848) (0.0807)

violent crimes 0.0817*  (0.0428)  

robberies 0.0091 0.0333  (0.0264) (0.0239)  

drug trafficking 0.1203***(0.0394)

constant 2.1298*** 1.6796*** 1.9023*** 2.4424*** 2.6865*** 2.4198*** 4.3017*** 3.7300***(0.6374) (0.2943) (0.2846) (0.6484) (0.6101) (0.5950) (0.8956) (0.7890)

N 286 234 238 236 239 237 235 234groups 28.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000R2 (within) 0.1241 0.1146 0.0866 0.1130 0.1087 0.1074 0.0088 0.0283F 2.5919 4.6622 3.1996 8.7504 6.5930 5.3941 0.8929 9.0021rho 0.1435 0.3694 0.3730 0.1122 0.1115 0.1031 0.1215 0.1376Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

39

Page 42: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

The first column of table 20 contains the baseline regression of the public expenses on public

order (gf03). The GDP growth rate affects positively and significantly these expenses. An

increase of one percentage point in the GDP growth rate raises the expenses on public order

by 0.68%. As expected, total crime rate also affects public expenses positively and

significantly. An increase of one percentage point in these variables implies an increase of the

public expenses by 0.20%. The effect of the changes in the number of prisoners and police

officers is not significant. It is interesting to note that GDP growth rate has the most

important effect on gf03, even after controlling for factors that are specific to public order

and safety. The effect of GDP growth rate basically does not change when different

specifications are estimated for the equation of gf03; in particular we assess other measures

of crime rates like homicides and robberies rates (these results can be observed in the annex).

Note that, when significant, the dummy of year 2010 has the largest effect (negative) on

public expenditures on public order and safety. The second and third columns of table 20

show the coefficients for the sub-component of police services (gf0301). As before, the GDP

growth rate is positive and significant. An increase of one percentage point in the GDP

growth rate raises the expenses on police services by about 0.40%. However, the other

regressors are not significant, with the exception of violent crimes and the dummy of year

2010. An increase in violent crimes raises police services expenditures, although the effect is

small. For instance, an increase of one percentage point in the violent crime rate increases the

expenses on police services by 0.082%.

Columns 4, 5 and 6 of table 20 show the regressions for the sub-component of law courts

(gf0303). GDP growth rate is positive and significant across different specifications. The

increase of one percentage point in the GDP growth rate raises the expenditures by a figure

between 0.60% and 0.67%. Total crime rate also helps to explain changes in gf0303; but

40

Page 43: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

when this variable is replaced by different types of crimes, only homicides and violent crimes

have an impact statistically significant4. The last two columns of table 20 show the

coefficients for the equation on public expenses on prisons (gf0304). Only the number of

police officers are significant and with the expected sign. The GDP growth rate is not

significant in the determination of this kind of expenses (more specifications can be observed

in the annex). Interestingly, only the crime rate of drug trafficking is significant and positive

on this expenditure. This could be explained by the rise of offences related to drug trafficking

committed during the last years. Figure 15 shows the evolution of crime rates in Europe. Note

the sharp increase of drug trafficking in first place, and a more smoothed rise of violent

crimes.

Figure 15: Evolution of crime rates in Europe (1999=100) (simple means by country in EU27+ Norway)

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

total

homicides

violent

robbery

burglary

motor veh.

drug trafficking

Source: Eurostat.

Finally, in order to try to directly observe the effect of the crisis on the component, we

perform regressions without the order and safety related variables, so that both dummies for

4 If data on judicial staff would be available for most of our country-year points, we could be able to use this in the regressions. However, the availability of this data at the European Commission for the Efficiency of Justice (CEPEJ) is limited to some years.

41

Page 44: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

years 2010 and 2011 are included. Furthermore, we make use of other macro variables

available (poverty, unemployment, redistribution) with the aim of gaining explanatory power.

The results of these regressions are in table 21. We observe that GDP growth positively

affects all the components but only significantly for police services and law courts.

Furthermore, it is clear that the dummy variable for year 2010 and 2011 indicate that the

crisis contributed to the fall of the expenses in the components of public order and safety. The

effect of the crisis is larger in 2011 than 2010 for expenditure in police forces and prisons.

Contrary, expenditures in law courts are more heavily affected in 2010 than in 2011. The

addition of other macro variables do not help to better explain the model (none of these

variables is significant) but we observe that the effects of the crisis are robust to the inclusion

of those variables.

42

Page 45: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 21: Panel data estimates for public expenditures on public order and safety

     Police

services         Law courts         Prisons    

Variable (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14) (15)

growth 0.5669*** 0.5876*** 0.4093 0.4794** 0.4880** 0.8174*** 0.7455*** 0.3933 0.5209* 0.5737** 0.2043 0.2192 -1.2548 -0.7818 -0.1075

  (0.1575) (0.1670) (0.2926) (0.2233) (0.2141) (0.2268) (0.2428) (0.3150) (0.2890) (0.2325) (0.3994) (0.3999) (1.6717) (1.3130) (0.4143)

year2010 -3.3940** -3.5865** -3.2555** -3.4583** -4.1081** -7.4603*** -6.9840*** -7.1202*** -7.5583*** -8.4319*** -3.8868* -4.3892* -2.2616 -3.9694* -3.2267

(1.4290) (1.3390) (1.5395) (1.4310) (1.8636) (2.2121) (2.2605) (2.1498) (2.2398) (2.8876) (2.1828) (2.4348) (1.8063) (2.1990) (2.6330)

year2011 -5.2882*** -5.4287*** -5.5595*** -5.4934*** -3.4612* -2.6562 -3.9777* -3.8691** -4.7593** -5.1964** -6.5448** -6.1294**

  (1.1371) (1.4009) (1.1213) (1.0967) (1.7235) (1.9875) (1.9414) (1.8619) (1.9655) (2.1380) (3.1113) (2.8683)

poverty   0.0106   0.0456   -0.0405

    (0.1479)     (0.1135)     (0.1014)  unemployment   -0.0333     -0.0771     -0.2818  

    (0.0340)     (0.0489)     (0.2434)  

youth unemp.   -0.0214     -0.0562     -0.2048  

    (0.0239)     (0.0389)     (0.1939)  

redistribution   -0.0175   -0.0210   0.0322

    (0.0352)   (0.0604)   (0.0281)

constant 1.7809*** 1.9916*** 2.3254*** 2.1622*** 2.1518*** 2.9512*** 2.5662*** 3.8544*** 3.5889*** 3.8703*** 3.7036*** 4.2331*** 8.0752 7.0862* 4.4488***

  (0.4253) (0.4117) (0.7253) (0.5617) (0.4685) (0.5987) (0.5956) (1.0165) (0.9097) (0.4887) (1.1161) (1.1333) (4.8015) (4.1371) (1.0584)

N 277 218 274 274 221 275 216 272 272 220 275 218 272 272 219

groups 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 23.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 23.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 23.0000

R2 (within) 0.1437 0.1669 0.1544 0.1525 0.0769 0.1152 0.1452 0.1607 0.1565 0.0742 0.0107 0.0123 0.0540 0.0381 0.0028

F 21.3941 13.3347 24.3045 20.6620 3.5247 8.4024 4.8115 6.9440 6.5058 6.7919 4.3945 3.1329 4.2826 4.2262 1.7666

rho 0.1862 0.1707 0.1863 0.1832 0.3025 0.1225 0.0743 0.0761 0.0720 0.1689 0.0366 0.0350 0.0673 0.0516 0.0724Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

43

Page 46: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

4.2.2 Health (gf07)

This component includes the sub-components:

Medical products, appliances and equipment (gf0701)

Outpatient services (gf0702)

Hospital services (gf0703)

Public health services (gf704)

R&D Health (gf0705)

We tried many different regressors and specifications for the sub-components of health but

we were not successful in explaining the variability of these variables in our panel. Only the

regressions for the total component of health (gf07) have coefficients that are jointly different

from zero (the results of different specifications are in the annex). Perhaps, the decisions of

governments on specific health expenditures have not common elements in the countries of

our sample and respond to factors that we are unable to control for. We have tried all the

health related variables available and still our panels cannot explain the changes in

components of the public expenditures in health. Even with simple specifications of the sub

components of health against GDP growth rate and dummies for years 2010 and 2011

(together or separated) we obtain the correct sign for the dummy of the crisis yeas but the

variables are not jointly significant different from zero. The only exception is expenses in

hospital services (gf0703) where the dummy for year 2010 or 2011 is negative and

significant, and the variables of the equation are jointly significant different from zero. The

OECD report of health (OECD, 2012) mentions how countries have coped with the crisis

with very different measures to reduce health expenses. The examples include hospital

44

Page 47: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

mergers, increases of out of pocket payments, increases of hospital fees, among others.

Furthermore, table 22 shows how the available variables for health indicators are poorly

correlated with the sub-components of public health expenses.

Table 22: correlations of variables related to health in sample (with yearly variations)

  gf07 gf0701 gf0702 gf0703 gf0704 gf0705life expectancy at 65

cancer prevalence

hospital beds

out-of-pocket payment

neoplasms

share of public health expen.

gf07 1gf0701 0.0822 1gf0702 0.0226 0.8363* 1gf0703 0.3827* 0.6221* 0.8364* 1gf0704 0.0301 0.6410* 0.9499* 0.8936* 1gf0705 0.0358 0.0835 0.0673 -0.0201 0.0029 1life expectancy at 65 0.1215* -0.0071 -0.0359 -0.0134 -0.037 -0.0749 1cancer prevalence 0.0027 -0.054 -0.0662 -0.0428 -0.0638 0.0395 0.0567 1hospital beds 0.1047 0.0315 0.0407 0.0447 0.0245 -0.0044 0.0839 -0.1048 1out-of-pocket payment 0.1119 -0.0511 -0.0357 -0.0458 -0.029 -0.0467 0.0778 -0.0305 0.1228 1neoplasms 0.1006 -0.0286 -0.0277 -0.0381 -0.0189 0.0259 0.0027 0.062 -0.2857* -0.0063 1share of pub health exp. 0.1747* -0.0334 -0.038 -0.0137 -0.0487 -0.0049 0.0546 -0.0262 0.022 0.2280* -0.018 1** p<0.05

Paying attention only to the case of the total public expenses in health (gf07, see table 23), we

observe that GDP growth rate is positive and significant to different specifications. An

increase of one percentage point in this variable raises the expenses by about 0.42% to

0.61%. The share of public health expenditures in the total health expenditures (public plus

private estimated by WHO) is a measure of substitutability between private and public

expenses in health. Therefore, a positive sign implies that an increase of the private expenses

in health will reduce the total public expenditures in health (gf07).

45

Page 48: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 23: Panel data estimates for public expenditures on health (gf07)

Variable Total public expenditures in health  (1) (2) (3) (4)growth 0.4239** 0.5697*** 0.4800*** 0.6139***  (0.1604) (0.1718) (0.1571) (0.1646)hospital beds 3.0814 4.0906 2.5487 3.0946  (18.3870) (19.4251) (18.9416) (19.9785)neoplasms 20.9147* 19.7227    (11.7351) (13.3171)  share of public health expend. 34.6141*** 29.8354**    (11.9583) (11.9267)  year 2010 -4.7535** -5.4683** -5.1132*** -5.7454***  (2.1229) (2.3044) (1.3901) (1.4581)out-of-pocket payment -26.8540*** -25.8157***  (5.6434) (5.4043)life expectancy at 65 -48.2364 -42.1792  (52.4101) (48.8427)constant 3.3618*** 3.7017*** 4.2115*** 4.3787***  (0.7565) (0.7463) (0.5091) (0.5134)N 273 273 273 273groups 28.0000 28.0000 28.0000 28.0000R2 (within) 0.1284 0.1926 0.1098 0.1760F 7.6141 16.1477 8.8621 18.5315rho 0.0466 0.0593 0.0482 0.0581

Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

4.2.3 Social protection (gf10)

Table 24 reports the estimation results for public expenditures in social protection (gf10)5.

The first column contains the main factors affecting the expenses in social protection. As we

observed before, the GDP growth rate affects negatively these expenditures as a falling GDP

growth rate can trigger unemployment and deprivation rates and hence increase welfare

claims. For similar reasons, the poverty rate affects positively and significantly public

expenditures on social protection. The effect of long-term unemployment (over one year) has

the correct sign but is not significant. A variable indicating the level of redistribution is

constructed as the Gini coefficient computed with pre tax and transfer incomes minus the

Gini computed with post tax and transfer incomes (Redistr. = Ginipre-tax – Ginipost-tax). An

increase in this difference can be interpreted as the government is more successful in

reducing inequality. This means that the government is devoting more resources to

redistribute, which implies an expansion of social protection expenditures. The coefficient 5 The sub-component “social exclusion n.e.c” (gf1007) could be more closely related to public expenses on drugs monitoring but the equations for this sub-component don’t show jointly significant coefficients. In addition, this variable suffers of sample size problems as this contains less country-year points with information.

46

Page 49: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

estimated is positive and significant, which lends support to the previous argument. The

effect of the crisis (year 2010) on social protection expenses is negative and significant as

observed in a previous section. This indicates that the crisis had an effect in the funding of

social programs, which is plausible given the fiscal expenses cuts of some austerity plans.

Columns 2 to 4 of table 24 show some other specifications of the regression. Youth

unemployment rate affects positively public expenses. Total unemployment rate is also added

but its effects are not significant. Importantly, the negative effect of the crisis (coefficient of

year2010) is negative and significant over all these different specifications, which brings

robustness to this effect.

Table 24: Panel data estimates for public expenditures in social protection

Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)growth -0.3898** -0.1458 -0.1605 -0.1933 -0.4272*** -0.1481 -0.1287 -0.1779  (0.1439) (0.2086) (0.2114) (0.2259) (0.1366) (0.1665) (0.1684) (0.1827)long term unempl. 0.0048 -0.0178   -0.0127 -0.0373  

  (0.0167) (0.0235)   (0.0238) (0.0278)  poverty 0.0779* 0.0660 0.0670 0.0721 0.0672 0.0561 0.0545 0.0590  (0.0427) (0.0423) (0.0437) (0.0427) (0.0439) (0.0409) (0.0431) (0.0436)redistribution 0.0619* 0.0365 0.0382 0.0466      (0.0316) (0.0308) (0.0309) (0.0305)    year2010 -3.7173*** -2.8794*** -3.6492*** -3.9044*** -2.9984** -1.9495* -3.7129*** -3.8989***  (1.1438) (1.0232) (0.9875) (1.0311) (1.1062) (0.9736) (1.0300) (1.0438)year2011     -4.9682*** -4.3376*** -4.7992*** -4.8597***      (0.8611) (0.7177) (0.8564) (0.8791)youth unempl.   0.0735* 0.0560*     0.0830** 0.0515**      (0.0402) (0.0327)     (0.0313) (0.0247)  unemployment   0.0473   0.0391    (0.0317)   (0.0281)constant 4.8492*** 4.0589*** 4.1964*** 4.3518*** 5.1271*** 4.1348*** 4.2922*** 4.5058***  (0.2951) (0.5539) (0.5462) (0.5344) (0.3504) (0.4268) (0.4298) (0.4597)N 200 200 200 200 256 256 256 256groups 26.0000 26.0000 26.0000 26.0000 29.0000 29.0000 29.0000 29.0000R2 (within) 0.2310 0.2581 0.2530 0.2487 0.2533 0.2949 0.2710 0.2615F 11.3555 13.3850 15.0365 18.8723 12.2420 11.8313 14.3146 13.6946rho 0.2899 0.2428 0.2449 0.2523 0.2155 0.1736 0.1594 0.1682Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

Columns 5 to 8 of table 24 include a dummy for year 2011. We observe that the coefficient of

year 2011 is larger than that of 2010, which indicates that variations in values occurred

47

Page 50: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

between year 2011 and 2010 are more important than variations occurred between 2010 and

2009. In order to asses the effects of year 2011, the regressions of columns 5 to 8 don’t

include a measure for redistribution because this is only available up to year 2010.

It is possible that some of the changes in public expenses in social protection are automatic

responses to the economic cycle. For instance, most of European countries have schemes of

unemployment benefits which start to pay economic transfers soon after the lost of a job. Of

course, the increase of the unemployment due to the economic crisis has triggered these

payments. As those transfers are surely not related to drug expenses and can be of a

considerable amount, it is a good idea to estimate the impact of the crisis on the social

protection expenses net of those automatic stabilizers. So, we simply rest COFOG gf1005

(expenses in unemployment benefits) from gf10 (expenses in social protection). The results

are reported in table 25. The results are similar as before, we find an important and significant

negative effect of the crisis through the dummies of year 2010 and 2011. Different from

before, we find that expenditures in social protection are more responsive to redistribution

than to poverty (columns 1 to 4). All of these results reassure us that the crisis has impacted

negatively in social protection expenses, even after subtracting automatic stabilizers. Hence,

we should worry that drug related expenses contained in social protection expenditures can

also be negatively affected by the crisis.

48

Page 51: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table 25: Panel data estimates for public expenditures in social protection net of expenses in unemployment benefits

Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)growth -0.2824* -0.1974 -0.2126 -0.3141 -0.3144** -0.1400 -0.1088 -0.2468  (0.1457) (0.2338) (0.2343) (0.2419) (0.1374) (0.1808) (0.1891) (0.1839)long term unempl. -0.0089 -0.0153   -0.0233 -0.0363  

  (0.0157) (0.0158)   (0.0211) (0.0253)  poverty 0.0475 0.0443 0.0444 0.0478 0.0319 0.0283 0.0238 0.0273  (0.0354) (0.0349) (0.0355) (0.0355) (0.0365) (0.0349) (0.0365) (0.0372)redistribution 0.0544* 0.0464* 0.0475* 0.0556**      (0.0283) (0.0268) (0.0273) (0.0251)    year2010 -2.5091** -2.2877** -2.9763*** -2.8080*** -2.2974** -1.7126* -3.5490*** -3.4450***  (1.0113) (0.9119) (0.8185) (0.8394) (0.9060) (0.8675) (1.0667) (1.0733)year2011     -3.9356*** -3.6374*** -4.0556*** -4.1638***      (0.7516) (0.6693) (0.8082) (0.8557)youth unempl.   0.0224 0.0075     0.0468 0.0178      (0.0355) (0.0352)     (0.0323) (0.0251)  unemployment   -0.0127   -0.0087    (0.0317)   (0.0236)constant 4.4270*** 4.1810*** 4.2960*** 4.5341*** 4.7484*** 4.1721*** 4.2799*** 4.6654***  (0.3153) (0.5751) (0.5720) (0.5556) (0.3803) (0.4693) (0.4715) (0.4862)N 173 173 173 173 218 218 218 218groups 23 23 23 23 25 25 25 25R2 (within) 0.1517 0.1550 0.1499 0.1510 0.1942 0.2115 0.1816 0.1792F 8.5466 8.6620 9.3281 7.9006 6.9678 6.4491 7.4445 7.1644rho 0.2277 0.2044 0.2043 0.2326 0.1590 0.1299 0.1124 0.1366Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

5. A classification of countries

We have observed how the economic crisis has affected countries in some important

dimensions. The unemployment rates have increased together with the recession, in particular

the youth unemployment rate, which is worrying given the association between this variable

for the most exposed group to consumption of drugs. The growth of public expenses has

fallen as well, although the effects are only clear when the year 2010 is observed. It is

important to be aware of this, and it will be interesting to have a measure that can summarize

the effects of the crisis in order to obtain a sort of ranking and be able to group countries.

This could help to clarify how the effects of the crisis have spread over the countries in

49

Page 52: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Europe. A Principal Component Analysis (PCA) can easily be applied to some key variables

by country, which will allow us to build some groups.

The use of PCA is useful when we need to reduce multidimensional attributes to one

dimension without losing too much of the original information, which will make the analysis

more tractable. For example, it is common practice to us PCA to create an index of living

standard with the information of different variables available in a household survey.

Otherwise, it will be cumbersome to analyse the living standards looking at all the variables

at the same time. The idea of the PCA is that we look to combine different information from

individuals (countries in our case) to obtain a summary measure that can explain the

maximum amount of observed variability. This means that all the variables entering into the

analysis must be scaled somehow in a lower dimensional space, which is known as

multidimensional scaling. The PCA uses a linear transformation of all dimensions and creates

components. The first component is the one that retains the maximum amount of information

to explain the variability of the sample. The interest reader in more details of the PCA

procedure can consult Abdi and Williams (2010), Hatcher (1994) and the following box.

50

Page 53: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

51

Box 3: Principal Component Analysis (taken and edited from Hatcher, 1994)

Principal component analysis (PCA) is appropriate when you have obtained measures on a number of observed variables and wish to develop a smaller number of artificial variables (called principal components) that will account for most of the variance in the observed variables. The principal components may then be used as predictor or criterion variables in subsequent analyses.

PCA is a variable reduction procedure. It is useful when you have obtained data on a number of variables (possibly a large number of variables), and believe that there is some redundancy in those variables. In this case, redundancy means that some of the variables are correlated with one another, possibly because they are measuring the same construct. Because of this redundancy, you believe that it should be possible to reduce the observed variables into a smaller number of principal components (artificial variables) that will account for most of the variance in the observed variables.

Technically, a principal component can be defined as a linear combination of optimally-weighted observed variables. In order to understand the meaning of this definition, it is necessary to first describe how subject scores on a principal component are computed. In the course of performing a principal component analysis, it is possible to calculate a score for each subject on a given principal component. For example, consider a dataset with p variables describing the characteristics of each individual in the sample, which can have scores on 2 components. The subject’s actual scores on the p variables would be optimally weighted and then summed to compute their scores on a given component. Below is the general form for the formula to compute scores on the first component extracted (created) in a principal component analysis:

C1 = b11 (X1) + b12 (X2) + ... b1p (Xp)

C1 = the subject’s score on principal component 1 (the first component extracted)b1p = the regression coefficient (or weight) for observed variable p, as used in creating principal component 1Xp = the subject’s score on observed variable p.

The weights are produced by Eigen equations and are optimal weights in the sense that, for a given set of data, no other set of weights could produce a set of components that are more successful in accounting for variance in the observed variables. The weights are created so as to satisfy a principle of least squares similar (but not identical) to the principle of least squares used in multiple regression.

A principal component was defined as a linear combination of optimally weighted observed variables. The words “linear combination” refers to the fact that scores on a component are created by adding together scores on the observed variables being analyzed. “Optimally weighted” refers to the fact that the observed variables are weighted in such a way that the resulting components account for a maximal amount of variance in the data set.

In most analyses, only the first few components account for meaningful amounts of variance, so only these first few components are retained, interpreted, and used in subsequent analyses (such as in multiple regression analyses). You would assume that the remaining components accounted for only trivial amounts of variance. These latter components would therefore not be retained, interpreted, or further analyzed.

Page 54: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

We use the variables GDP growth rate, total unemployment rate, youth unemployment rate

and the growth rate of real public expenditures to perform PCA for EU-27 and Norway

during the years of recession. We use these variables because they have welfare implications

and are sensitive to the financial crisis. As it has been shown in previous sections, European

countries have experienced a fall (in levels or growth rate) in public expenditures after the

crisis, in particular in health and social protection, which have an important welfare

implication.

Table 26 reports the PCA scores when the following variables are used: GDP growth rate,

growth rate of real public expenditures, total and youth unemployment rates, all of them for

year 2011. As we order countries according to its scores, we can obtain a ranking of

countries. Note that by using variations between 2011 and 2010 for growth rates we can

observe sharper effects of the financial crisis on public expenditures and unemployment.

Recall that decreases in public expenditures are delayed with respect with the year of the

crisis (2008/2009). Furthermore, note that we use levels in unemployment rates instead of

changes which allow us to account for striking differences in labour conditions across

countries. In a previous section a great heterogeneity in total unemployment rate was

observed, and particularly in youth unemployment around and after the crisis.

52

Page 55: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

We can divide the countries in four groups in terms of their ranking and observe how badly

they are in the recession caused by the financial crisis. For example in the worst group are the

Lithuania, Slovakia, Latvia, Portugal, Ireland, Spain, and Greece. The countries that have

suffered less in the recession are Norway, Austria, Netherlands, Germany, Luxembourg,

Malta and Sweden.

Table 26: Principal component scores for EU-27 + Norway

Group Country Score  Norway 2.198  Austria 1.751  Netherlands 1.508Group 1 Germany 1.365  Luxembourg 1.324  Malta 1.198  Sweden 0.974  Belgium 0.914  Czech Republic 0.815  Denmark 0.810Group 2 Finland 0.784  Slovenia 0.650  Estonia 0.548  Romania 0.495  Cyprus 0.308  France 0.119  United Kingdom 0.099Group 3 Poland 0.011  Hungary -0.247  Bulgaria -0.303  Italy -0.356  Lithuania -0.868  Slovakia -1.118  Latvia -1.173Group 4 Portugal -1.646  Ireland -3.007  Spain -3.399  Greece -3.755

Table 27 reports the average values of the variables employed in the PCA according to the

groups previously formed with the PCA. Group 4 shows the worst indicators in all variables

for the recession years, and is the only one that has a negative growth rate in real public

expenditures. Group 2 has the highest growth rate of public expenditures, although this is

very close to that of group 1. The difference between groups 3 and 2 is not big in terms of

53

Page 56: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

total unemployment rate, but is significant in the case of youth unemployment. Furthermore,

the difference in youth unemployment between groups 1 and 4 is remarkably large. Estonia

has been different from the other Baltic countries in 2011 because is has experienced an

improvements in all its indicators, in particular in GDP growth (8.1%).

Table 27: Average values of macro variables by groups of countries (no weighted)

Group  GDP

growth rate 2011

Real Pub. Exp. Var. % 2011/2010

Total Unem.

rate 2011

Youth Unem. rate

2011

1 Norway, Austria, Netherlands, Germany, Luxembourg, Malta, Sweden 2.14 3.42 5.27 12.31

2 Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Slovenia, Estonia, Romania 2.67 3.56 8.20 18.97

3 Cyprus, France, United Kingdom, Poland, Hungary, Bulgaria, Italy 1.69 1.32 9.40 24.61

4 Lithuania, Slovakia, Latvia, Portugal, Ireland, Spain, Greece 1.10 -5.17 16.01 35.24

Total   1.90 0.78 9.72 22.79

An interesting exploratory task is to observe the evolution of the previously presented groups

(see next graphs). The measures are simple averages of the countries within each group. The

classification of the groups corresponds to that of table 27, i.e. group 4 is the worst ranked

and group 1 is the best.

54

Page 57: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 16: GDP growth rate by group of countries Figure 17: Unemployment rate by group of countries

-10.0

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

group 1

group 2

group 3

group 4

3.0

5.0

7.0

9.0

11.0

13.0

15.0

17.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

group 1

group 2

group 3

group 4

Figure 18: Youth unemployment rate by group of countries Figure 19: Growth rate of public expenditures by group of countries

8.0

11.0

14.0

17.0

20.0

23.0

26.0

29.0

32.0

35.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

group 1

group 2

group 3

group 4

-9.00-8.00-7.00-6.00-5.00-4.00-3.00-2.00-1.000.001.002.003.004.005.006.007.008.009.00

10.00

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

group 1

group 2

group 3

group 4

Figure 20: Public expenditures (% GDP) by group of countries

37.0

39.0

41.0

43.0

45.0

47.0

49.0

51.0

53.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

group 1group 2group 3group 4

55

Page 58: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Interestingly, group 4 (composed by Lithuania, Slovakia, Latvia, Portugal, Ireland, Spain and

Greece) is the one with the largest drop in economic growth, and at the same time this is the

group that showed the highest rates of GDP growth during the 2000’s (Figure 16). Similarly,

group 2 has also exhibited high GDP growth rates in previous years and dropped

considerably in 2009, but differently from group 4, they have recovered better in year 2011.

Groups 1 and 3 performed closely to each other.

Total and youth unemployment rates have dramatically jumped for group 4 (Figure 18). The

increase of youth unemployment rate in this group from 15.7% in 2007 to 35.2% in 2011 is

particularly harmful for the accumulation of human capital. Furthermore, group 4 exhibited

the largest growth of real public expenses in the years before the crisis, and suffered the most

severe fall in 2011 (Figure 19). During the period 2004-2008, group 4 has the largest average

growth rate of real public expenses (6.3%), but during 2011 this figure was only -7.7%, the

lowest among all groups. Regarding to the relative size of public expenditures with respect to

GDP, group 3 shows the biggest size since 2005. In 2010, all groups suffered a fall in the

public expenses-to-GDP ratio which continued in 2011.

When the components of public expenditures are considered, we also observe that group 4 is

the most severely hit by the crisis. Figures 21 to 24 show the average of the yearly growth

rate of public expenses by component. It is the case of health where we observe the most

dramatic variation in public expenses. During the 2000’s group 4 had an average growth rate

of public expenses in health of 8.0%, but during year 2010 this was -7.0%. In 2011, this

continued to be negative (-4.6%).

56

Page 59: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Figure 21: average of yearly growth rate of public expenditure in order and safety by group of countries

Figure 22: average of yearly growth rate of public expenditure in health by group of countries

2.4

5.14.4

6.7

1.8 2.4

0.5 0.4

1.4

-2.5-1.8

-3.3-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

group 1 group 2 group 3 group 4

2000-2007

2009-2010

2010-2011

4.04.8 4.5

8.0

1.7

-0.9

1.1

-7.0

1.60.3

-0.3

-4.6

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

group 1 group 2 group 3 group 4

2000-2007

2009-2010

2010-2011

Figure 23: average of yearly growth rate of public expenditure in social protection by group of countries

Figure 24: average of yearly growth rate of public expenditure in social protection net of unemployment insurance expenses by group of countries

2.2

3.7 3.7 3.9

1.7

0.3

2.1

-1.1

0.7

-0.6-0.2

-2.3-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

group 1 group 2 group 3 group 4

2000-2007

2009-2010

2010-2011

2.0

4.0 3.7

4.9

1.61.0

2.0

-2.0

1.3

0.40.0

-1.7

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

group 1 group 2 group 3 group 4

2000-2007

2009-2010

2010-2011

Figure 22 is interesting because we can observe that our classification of countries is

consistent with the impact on public health expenses. This calls to use these groups in our

estimation equations of section 4 and assess if this classification helps us to better explain the

impact of the economic crisis on public expenses in health. We tried two ways: one is

introducing dummy variables of the interaction between groups and the dummy for year

2010, and the other is performing regressions for each group. The idea of the first method is

to explore if there are interactions between the effects of the crisis (measured by the dummy

of 2010) and the groups. We also used this method because we cannot introduce dummies of

57

Page 60: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

groups directly into the estimation equations given that the fixed effects estimator will throw

away characteristics that do not change over time. The idea behind the second method is that

the difference in attributes among country groups is sharp enough so that it can be a good

idea to make separate estimations for each group. Again, only the estimation for the total

public expenses in health gives statistically significant and coherent results6. It is found that

the crisis affected more severely public expenditures in health in the worst ranked countries.

Unfortunately, beyond gf07 and gf0701 none of the specifications for the other sub-

components of health was satisfactory.

6. Conclusions

We first present the available data on key macroeconomics variables affected by the recent

economic crisis: growth, unemployment and public expenditure. We have also disaggregated

public expenditures according to COFOG classification and analysed those expenditures

related with drug issues: General public services, Public order and safety, Health and Social

Protection. Furthermore, we have presented the changes on the sub-functions of these

components that are more precisely related to drug public expenditures.

The analysed data allowed us to preliminarily establish some groups of countries that respond

differently in the economic crisis. For example, in almost all variables the Baltic countries

perform worse than the other European countries. This is confirmed by a Principal

Component Analysis that uses some macro economic variables that can capture the effects of

the crisis. The group worst ranked is conformed by Lithuania, Slovakia, Latvia, Portugal,

Ireland, Spain and Greece. The first group, i.e. the strongest one with respect to the effects of 6 Some regressions with public expenses in medical products, appliances and equipment (gf0701) as the dependent variable performed well, i.e. the dummy for year 2010 was negative and significant and the interaction between the dummy for group 4 and year 2010 was also significant and negative.

58

Page 61: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

the crisis is conformed by Norway, Austria, Netherlands, Germany, Luxembourg, Malta and

Sweden. In a graphical analysis we showed that the proposed classification of countries is

coherent with the different effects of the economic crisis.

In general, there is negative impact of the economic crisis on the public expenditure but this

is mainly observed in year 2010 and 2011. The reason is that at the beginning of the crisis,

not many cuts could be implemented because of budgetary restrictions. The idea is that

budgets are generally foreseen and approved in advance, so that the governments face limits

to manoeuvre and change committed expenses in short and medium run. It is just one or two

years later that we are able to observe the drop of fiscal expenses once some consolidation

plans could be implemented. The negative impact of the crisis is also observed in the

components of public expenses at the first level (public order and safety, health and social

protection). However, the results are mixed when the public expenditures at the second level

of classification are analysed. The sub-components of public order and safety show

significant effects of the crisis, particularly in the cases of police services (gf0301) and law

courts (gf303). The other component (prisons) has not conclusive effects. After an exhaustive

search for adequate specifications, we were unable to find an adequate equation for the

modelling of the sub-components of health. This may be explained by the fact the decisions

of governments on specific health expenditures differ a great deal in Europe. Each country

has coped with the crisis with very different measures to reduce health expenses. The

examples include hospital mergers, increases of out of pocket payments, increases of hospital

fees, among others. Finally, we find evidence that social protection expenses have declined

with the crisis.

59

Page 62: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Assessing the effect of the crisis in each component and sub-component is not an easy task

because each category has different sets of relevant controls. Furthermore, countries follow

different strategies to deal with cuts in each sub-component, which makes more difficult to

find a common and robust effect of the crisis across Europe. However, the results at the first

level of COFOG classification do show that there is a negative impact of the crisis.

Therefore, it is likely that drug-related public expenditures embodied in the relevant

components analysed will suffer from the crisis as well.

60

Page 63: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

References

Abdi, H., & Williams, L.J. (2010), “Principal component analysis”, Wiley Interdisciplinary

Reviews: Computational Statistics, 2, 433-459.

Alesina, A. and F Giavazzi, Editors, (2012), “Fiscal Policy after the Financial Crisis”.

[http://www.nber.org/books/ales11-1]

Bell, D. and D. Blanchflower (2011), “Youth Unemployment in Europe and the United

States”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 5673, April 2011.

EMCDDA (2008), “Towardsabetterunderstandingofdrug-relatedpublicexpenditureinEuro

pe”,Selected Issue 2008 EMCDDA Publishing, July 2008.

EMCDDA (2010), “United Kingdom drug situation: annual report to the European

Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction” EMCDDA, 2010.

Hatcher, Larry (1994) “A Step-by-Step Approach to Using SAS for Factor Analysis and

Structural Equation Modeling”, SAS Institute

IMF (2011), “Regional Economic Outlook. Europe: Strengthening the recovery ”, World

Economic and Financial Surveys, May 2011.

61

Page 64: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Trabandt, M and H. Uhli (2012), “How Do Laffer Curves Differ Across Countries?” In: Fiscal

Policy after the Financial Crisis, Alberto Alesina and Francesco Giavazzi, editors.

[http://www.nber.org/books/ales11-1]

OECD (2011), “Government at a glance 2011”, OECD Publishing.

OECD (2012), “Growth in health spending grinds to a halt”,

[http://www.oecd.org/document/39/0,3746,en_21571361_44315115_50655591_1_1_1_1,00.

html]

62

Page 65: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

ANNEX A. COFOG expenditure by country, 2000-2011

63

Page 66: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Total

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27 4,878,696

5,018,160

5,088,671

5,177,472

5,280,157

5,381,985

5,552,929

5,792,591

5,830,309

5,698,850 239,662 4.3% 37,718 0.7% -131,459 -2.3%

Belgium 138,404 139,105 140,067

143,922

148,842

147,658

157,399

150,052

153,119

157,376

166,178

166,564

169,890 8,803 5.6% 386 0.2% 3,325 2.0%

Bulgaria 6,553 7,249 7,452

7,551

7,946

8,402

8,668

8,801

10,740

11,131

11,629

10,607

10,369 497 4.5% -1,022 -8.8% -238 -2.2%

Czech Republic 35,914 36,077 39,490

42,182

48,013

43,350

44,998

46,137

47,738

48,163

50,425

50,018

49,472 2,262 4.7% -406 -0.8% -547 -1.1%

Denmark 102,106 102,838 104,432

105,888

107,232

109,143

109,466

110,737

111,368

113,220

118,178

121,096

120,716 4,958 4.4% 2,918 2.5% -381 -0.3%

Germany 1,039,375 988,608 1,052,345

1,061,610

1,065,220

1,047,214

1,043,450

1,039,931

1,033,001

1,050,539

1,097,546

1,122,498

1,085,527 47,006 4.5% 24,952 2.3% -36,971 -3.3%

Estonia 2,754 2,740 2,821

3,108

3,314

3,457

3,757

4,257

4,723

5,104

5,019

4,599

4,621 -85 -1.7% -419 -8.4% 21 0.5%

Ireland 39,835 40,061 45,256

48,086

49,174

51,565

55,177

59,308

65,418

70,780

75,919

102,912

75,036 5,139 7.3% 26,993 35.6% -27,876 -27.1%

Greece 72,686 73,649

75,929

80,274

84,927

86,097

92,104

100,103

105,917

109,744

98,792

91,996 3,826 3.6% -10,952 -10.0% -6,796 -6.9%

Spain 282,587 291,144 299,927

314,220

322,729

338,676

349,501

364,824

386,308

406,993

439,093

434,617

421,150 32,101 7.9% -4,476 -1.0% -13,467 -3.1%

France 813,400 822,231 837,106

866,957

882,369

899,764

920,351

933,888

954,441

964,443

1,003,360

1,014,446

1,017,951 38,917 4.0% 11,086 1.1% 3,505 0.3%

Italy 642,923 628,088 666,427

663,856

678,364

680,633

688,251

705,044

708,391

710,146

727,942

712,296

703,066 17,796 2.5% -15,646 -2.1% -9,230 -1.3%

Cyprus 4,059 4,288 4,603

4,898

5,554

5,583

5,864

6,064

6,259

6,607

7,035

7,111

7,093 428 6.5% 77 1.1% -19 -0.3%

Latvia 3,458 3,298 3,271

3,587

3,673

4,133

4,633

5,734

6,237

6,287

5,705

5,650

5,336 -582 -9.3% -55 -1.0% -314 -5.6%

Lithuania 5,235 5,419 5,353

5,400

5,699

6,267

6,968

7,537

8,723

9,359

8,853

8,473

8,361 -507 -5.4% -379 -4.3% -113 -1.3%

Luxembourg 9,158 9,377 9,542

10,877

11,519

12,082

12,573

12,766

12,937

13,466

14,542

15,144

15,389 1,076 8.0% 602 4.1% 245 1.6%

Hungary 34,599 34,394 36,193

41,107

40,995

42,493

44,475

47,807

45,860

44,839

44,061

42,992

43,516 -778 -1.7% -1,069 -2.4% 524 1.2%

Malta 1,818 1,871

1,956

2,203

2,080

2,148

2,207

2,239

2,384

2,287

2,321

2,388 -97 -4.1% 34 1.5% 68 2.9%

Netherlands 213,109 212,687 223,146

227,712

232,046

231,023

229,965

241,204

248,648

258,983

276,272

278,901

273,407 17,289 6.7% 2,629 1.0% -5,493 -2.0%

Austria 118,536 117,960 117,765

118,884

120,785

129,408

122,585

124,553

127,324

130,368

134,443

136,903

133,916 4,075 3.1% 2,460 1.8% -2,987 -2.2%

64

Page 67: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Poland 94,376

98,870

100,407

106,176

113,775

117,987

125,601

133,148

138,982

137,092 7,548 6.0% 5,833 4.4% -1,890 -1.4%

Portugal 59,872 61,752 65,204

66,005

67,836

69,920

71,830

70,823

71,264

71,281

78,357

82,319

76,678 7,076 9.9% 3,962 5.1% -5,641 -6.9%

Romania 20,814 21,471 21,640

22,248

22,579

25,049

26,808

31,499

38,306

43,370

42,612

41,278

41,827 -758 -1.7% -1,334 -3.1% 549 1.3%

Slovenia 10,903 11,191 11,739

11,925

12,307

12,730

13,015

13,504

13,824

14,716

15,298

15,452

15,511 583 4.0% 154 1.0% 59 0.4%

Slovakia 14,447 16,122 14,145

15,120

13,940

13,581

14,619

14,938

15,257

16,204

18,060

18,058

17,506 1,856 11.5% -2 0.0% -553 -3.1%

Finland 71,895 69,763 70,752

72,618

75,153

77,482

79,262

79,949

81,316

83,751

86,968

87,848

88,656 3,217 3.8% 880 1.0% 808 0.9%

Sweden 152,041 150,030 149,408

154,476

157,003

157,842

160,671

163,787

164,621

165,792

167,908

169,569

171,039 2,116 1.3% 1,660 1.0% 1,470 0.9%

United Kingdom 597,138 587,105

660,509

699,372

740,652

778,258

808,764

831,696

852,333

912,627

938,553

934,851

900,803 25,925 2.8% -3,702 -0.4% -34,048 -3.6%

Norway 85,971 88,063 92,155

95,933

98,874

100,218

102,233

106,168

110,425

115,487

121,184

123,129

126,612 5,697 4.9% 1,945 1.6% 3,483 2.8%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

General public services

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27 691,668

691,013

695,407

708,193

699,729

727,246

738,311

735,564

748,550

767,093 -2,747 -0.4% 12,986 1.8% -769,840 2.5%

Belgium 30,433 30,591 29,806

29,254

28,909

27,169

26,699

24,998

26,079

25,755

27,247

25,565

25,417 1,492 5.8% -1,682 -6.2% -23,925 -0.6%

Bulgaria 1,421 1,580 1,643

1,363

871

1,195

1,409

1,195

2,080

1,450

2,088

1,009

1,124 638 44.0% -1,079 -51.7% -486 11.5%

Czech Republic 3,214 3,215 3,592

4,108

4,746

4,718

5,413

4,677

4,918

4,948

5,372

5,281

5,308 424 8.6% -91 -1.7% -4,884 0.5%

Denmark 16,302 15,946 16,027

15,431

14,675

14,326

13,964

13,983

14,243

14,776

15,265

15,993

16,553 489 3.3% 727 4.8% -16,064 3.5%

Germany 142,726 134,957 132,871

136,096

137,175

135,248

134,490

135,154

137,742

143,150

143,039

146,277

147,671 -111 -0.1% 3,238 2.3% -147,782 1.0%

Estonia 270 277 260

328

314

278

319

395

418

362

380

354

386 19 5.1% -27 -7.0% -367 9.1%

Ireland 5,006 5,158 838 14.0% 794 11.6% -7,686 11.7%

65

Page 68: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

4,942 4,932 4,890 5,063 5,338 5,426 5,817 5,999 6,837 7,631 8,524

Greece 18,202 17,327

17,328

17,615

19,513

19,365

20,579

24,226

22,493

24,012

22,780

22,668 1,520 6.8% -1,232 -5.1% -21,148 -0.5%

Spain 43,165 42,246 43,803

44,025

43,578

42,177

43,135

44,570

45,291

46,687

50,117

49,600

52,764 3,430 7.3% -517 -1.0% -49,334 6.4%

France 119,239 119,589 118,680

118,964

118,610

121,824

124,148

112,369

122,287

120,538

116,318

113,167

117,158 -4,221 -3.5% -3,151 -2.7% -121,379 3.5%

Italy 132,661 130,990 134,424

132,170

128,930

124,436

126,210

123,057

127,086

128,596

119,382

116,960

121,388 -9,213 -7.2% -2,422 -2.0% -130,601 3.8%

Cyprus 1,014 1,096 1,159

1,195

1,394

1,380

1,491

1,526

1,679

1,701

1,819

1,643

1,707 118 6.9% -176 -9.7% -1,590 3.9%

Latvia 338 358 354

376

414

481

492

615

685

624

585

569

623 -39 -6.2% -16 -2.7% -662 9.4%

Lithuania 527 769 807

698

752

787

879

932

996

970

881

942

1,011 -89 -9.2% 61 6.9% -1,100 7.4%

Luxembourg 1,138 1,193 1,145

1,225

1,243

1,353

1,366

1,326

1,366

1,454

1,507

1,638

1,748 52 3.6% 131 8.7% -1,695 6.7%

Hungary 8,100 7,137 8,021

7,875

7,626

8,261

8,516

8,859

8,695

8,456

8,849

7,946

7,629 394 4.7% -903 -10.2% -7,235 -4.0%

Malta 302 283

297

291

346

326

342

337

367

387

353

376 20 5.5% -34 -8.8% -355 6.5%

Netherlands 35,432 34,411 32,852

31,706

30,894

30,905

31,233

30,975

31,267

32,444

30,754

32,298

30,515 -1,690 -5.2% 1,545 5.0% -32,205 -5.5%

Austria 17,776 17,832 18,341

17,728

16,878

16,904

17,298

17,592

17,865

17,083

17,511

17,744

17,504 429 2.5% 232 1.3% -17,075 -1.4%

Poland 12,791

13,868

14,804

15,276

15,515

15,635

15,815

17,254

18,108

18,380 1,439 9.1% 855 5.0% -16,941 1.5%

Portugal 8,605 8,746 9,206

8,963

9,654

9,960

10,321

10,384

11,273

10,052

11,546

13,425

13,104 1,494 14.9% 1,879 16.3% -11,610 -2.4%

Romania 5,476 4,400 3,856

3,405

2,801

2,915

2,612

2,911

4,343

5,162

4,344

4,562

5,065 -817 -15.8% 218 5.0% -5,882 11.0%

Slovenia 1,371 1,436 1,686

1,527

1,518

1,607

1,687

1,692

1,726

1,698

1,768

1,789

1,920 69 4.1% 21 1.2% -1,851 7.4%

Slovakia 2,294 2,851 2,419

2,407

1,881

2,030

2,337

1,912

1,668

1,707

2,366

2,854

2,695 658 38.6% 489 20.7% -2,036 -5.6%

Finland 10,270 10,009 10,186

9,693

9,984

10,251

10,568

10,571

10,709

11,228

11,414

11,470

11,810 185 1.7% 56 0.5% -11,625 3.0%

Sweden 24,440 25,656 22,252

23,809

21,743

21,443

22,333

23,492

23,907

24,076

22,729

22,906

24,579 -1,347 -5.6% 177 0.8% -25,927 7.3%

United Kingdom 74,006 73,251

70,281

68,115

67,500

75,363

80,970

85,474

86,315

86,637

82,241

100,819

104,607 -4,396 -5.1% 18,578 22.6% -109,003 3.8%

Norway 8,439 8,281 10,578

10,266

10,548

10,014

10,307

11,456

11,528

12,618

12,887

12,604

12,277 268 2.1% -283 -2.2% -12,008 -2.6%

66

Page 69: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Public order and safety

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27 189,064

195,051

199,762

203,449

207,045

212,655

217,616

224,267

225,237

220,546 6,650 3.1% 971 0.4% -4,691 -2.1%

Belgium 4,226 4,339 4,495

5,018

5,053

4,915

5,077

5,376

5,319

5,594

5,797

5,864

5,850 202 3.6% 67 1.2% -14 -0.2%

Bulgaria 348 366 511

488

564

614

626

677

809

801

841

753

732 40 5.0% -89 -10.5% -20 -2.7%

Czech Republic 1,959 1,966 1,903

1,903

2,060

2,081

2,209

2,281

2,332

2,313

2,351

2,326

2,101 38 1.6% -24 -1.0% -225 -9.7%

Denmark 1,756 1,810 1,903

1,936

1,974

2,048

2,117

2,146

2,199

2,336

2,385

2,347

2,376 49 2.1% -37 -1.6% 29 1.2%

Germany 35,420 35,150 36,067

36,563

36,029

35,887

35,880

35,917

35,767

36,127

37,747

37,889

38,161 1,620 4.5% 142 0.4% 272 0.7%

Estonia 201 202 197

221

232

223

240

261

302

354

257

255

259 -97 -27.4% -2 -0.7% 4 1.6%

Ireland 1,885 1,988 2,188

2,179

2,183

2,307

2,350

2,599

2,836

3,021

2,932

2,868

2,782 -90 -3.0% -64 -2.2% -86 -3.0%

Greece 1,096 1,889

2,002

2,776

3,090

3,076

3,024

3,242

3,441

3,867

3,491

3,049 426 12.4% -376 -9.7% -442 -12.7%

Spain 13,006 12,928 14,676

15,012

15,540

16,041

16,490

17,492

18,950

19,876

20,222

21,256

20,368 346 1.7% 1,034 5.1% -888 -4.2%

France 22,270 22,234 24,402

25,791

26,633

26,804

26,986

26,932

27,438

29,042

31,076

31,453

31,810 2,034 7.0% 377 1.2% 357 1.1%

Italy 27,097 27,145 26,534

27,548

28,612

28,052

28,238

27,761

27,805

26,773

28,382

28,705

28,334 1,610 6.0% 323 1.1% -371 -1.3%

Cyprus 217 225 234

249

284

285

287

302

313

333

349

371

348 16 4.7% 22 6.3% -22 -6.0%

Latvia 212 211 215

234

249

280

303

416

462

372

273

254

255 -99 -26.6% -18 -6.8% 1 0.4%

Lithuania 285 285 282

298

323

350

370

408

431

477

392

405

433 -85 -17.9% 14 3.5% 27 6.8%

Luxembourg 207 215 233

263

292

301

309

311

309

326

339

367

386 12 3.8% 29 8.4% 19 5.1%

Hungary 1,315 1,449 1,575

1,848

1,790

1,807

1,815

1,982

1,820

1,858

1,703

1,639

1,692 -155 -8.4% -63 -3.7% 53 3.2%

Malta 70 1 1.6% 0 -0.5% 1 1.2%

67

Page 70: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

73 74 79 77 76 75 77 80 81 81 82

Netherlands 7,562 7,851 8,397

9,119

9,423

9,533

9,488

10,188

10,721

11,153

11,717

11,471

11,355 564 5.1% -246 -2.1% -117 -1.0%

Austria 3,476 3,409 3,438

3,513

3,515

3,599

3,649

3,758

3,710

3,864

3,977

3,941

3,888 113 2.9% -36 -0.9% -53 -1.3%

Poland 3,185

3,750

3,719

4,182

4,710

5,105

5,656

5,824

5,892

5,751 168 3.0% 68 1.2% -140 -2.4%

Portugal 2,419 2,467 2,589

2,771

3,018

2,967

3,021

2,989

2,916

3,015

3,239

3,235

3,078 223 7.4% -4 -0.1% -156 -4.8%

Romania 867 1,252 947

1,265

1,250

1,367

1,683

2,122

2,454

2,480

2,241

2,490

2,333 -239 -9.6% 250 11.1% -157 -6.3%

Slovenia 406 441 469

485

510

519

479

511

518

524

533

551

509 10 1.8% 18 3.3% -42 -7.6%

Slovakia 803 840 878

890

673

842

788

842

844

947

1,048

1,183

1,120 101 10.6% 135 12.9% -64 -5.4%

Finland 1,918 1,952 1,996

1,940

2,050

2,044

2,138

2,111

2,137

2,249

2,312

2,437

2,402 63 2.8% 125 5.4% -35 -1.4%

Sweden 3,619 3,581 3,740

3,897

3,983

3,927

3,982

4,175

4,333

4,391

4,444

4,660

4,693 53 1.2% 216 4.9% 33 0.7%

United Kingdom 32,355 35,210

37,248

40,206

42,432

46,133

47,590

47,340

48,967

50,952

51,853

50,288

47,518 900 1.8% -1,565 -3.0% -2,770 -5.5%

Norway 2,026 2,062 2,089

2,341

2,287

2,308

2,196

2,288

2,402

2,474

2,583

2,654

2,765 109 4.4% 71 2.8% 112 4.2%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Police services

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20112009-2008  

2010-2009  

2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 238 233 356

322

384

387

355

411

449

441

431

376

366 -10 -2.3% -54 -12.6% -11 -2.8%

Czech Republic 1,066 1,063 1,037

1,021

1,124

1,125

1,187

1,238

1,231

1,221

1,225

1,220

1,081 4 0.3% -5 -0.4% -139 -11.4%

Denmark 959 972 1,016

1,032

1,070

1,096

1,107

1,130

1,171

1,285

1,263

1,259

1,253 -21 -1.7% -4 -0.3% -7 -0.5%

Germany 16,863 676 4.0% 134 0.8% 135 0.8%

68

Page 71: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

17,361 17,414 17,226 17,092 17,000 16,987 16,901 16,994 17,670 17,804 17,939

Estonia 104 101 100

110

113

127

143

153

180

155

139

124

117 -16 -10.5% -14 -10.2% -7 -5.9%

Ireland 1,153 1,196 1,300

1,241

1,228

1,319

1,367

1,513

1,649

1,768

1,699

1,709

1,651 -70 -3.9% 10 0.6% -58 -3.4%

Greece 1,262

1,339

1,788

2,034

2,024

2,015

2,124

2,048

2,283

1,962

1,848 235 11.5% -321 -14.0% -114 -5.8%

Spain 8,929 8,542 9,797

9,847

10,136

10,562

10,978

11,835

12,640

13,203

13,304

13,842 101 0.8% 538 4.0%    

France 13,975 13,951 14,691

15,514

15,949

15,922

15,909

15,704

15,907

16,922

18,291

18,340

18,540 1,368 8.1% 49 0.3% 201 1.1%

Italy 16,604 16,688 16,352

16,791

17,496

17,755

17,395

17,285

17,174

16,295

17,899

18,174

17,202 1,604 9.8% 275 1.5% -972 -5.4%

Cyprus 167 175 181

192

219

221

223

234

241

258

269

290

269 11 4.4% 21 7.8% -22 -7.5%

Latvia 277

202

141

134

135 -61 -30.2% -7 -5.2% 1 0.5%

Lithuania 152 139

140

147

149

159

173

180

197

171

160

152 -26 -13.1% -11 -6.6% -8 -5.0%

Luxembourg 106 120 132

146

160

171

168

169

166

176

181

200

201 5 3.1% 19 10.3% 1 0.5%

Hungary 792 862 916

1,150

1,069

992

1,012

1,195

1,104

1,101

997

949

945 -105 -9.5% -48 -4.8% -4 -0.4%

Malta 48

44

46

47

44

46

46

49

50

49

49 1 2.4% 0 -0.9% -1 -1.4%

Netherlands 3,433 3,616 3,775

3,997

4,081

4,159

4,065

4,454

4,602

4,775

4,978

4,671

4,667 204 4.3% -307 -6.2% -4 -0.1%

Austria 1,885 1,828 1,811

1,813

1,837

1,880

1,916

2,035

1,957

2,044

2,092

2,064

2,031 48 2.3% -28 -1.3% -33 -1.6%

Poland 1,344

1,575

1,618

1,820

2,024

2,190

2,515

2,741

2,727

2,698 226 9.0% -14 -0.5% -29 -1.1%

Portugal 1,568 1,606 1,708

1,695

1,839

1,870

1,877

1,837

1,824

1,864

2,013

1,963

1,871 150 8.0% -50 -2.5% -92 -4.7%

Romania            

Slovenia 194 207 233

246

259

264

224

234

224

227

245

242

216 17 7.5% -3 -1.2% -25 -10.4%

Slovakia            

Finland 838

894

891

933

874

881

916

919

989

978 3 0.4% 69 7.6% -11 -1.1%

Sweden 1,656

1,702

1,738

1,785

1,837

1,927

2,009

2,058

2,031

2,159

2,188 -27 -1.3% 128 6.3% 30 1.4%

United Kingdom 16,738 17,649

19,899

21,583

22,668

24,174

25,104

25,448

26,246

27,408

28,605

27,937

26,296 1,197 4.4% -668 -2.3% -1,641 -5.9%

Norway 929 952 47 3.9% 72 5.8% 41 3.1%

69

Page 72: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

985 1,063 1,000 986 1,063 1,107 1,163 1,195 1,242 1,313 1,355

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Fire-protection services

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 52 35 60

63

44

68

86

52

60

96

109

71

80

14 14.3% -39 -35.3% 9 12.7%

Czech Republic 244 246 236

245

256

276

284

306

314

312

319

321

265

7 2.1% 3 0.9% -56 -17.4%

Denmark 169 173 211

218

189

185

192

195

198

200

205

210

206

5 2.7% 6 2.7% -4 -2.1%

Germany 4,550 4,585

4,777

4,657

4,590

4,540

4,747

4,761

4,952

5,254

5,287

5,296

302 6.1% 33 0.6% 8 0.2%

Estonia 28 27 28

34

34

34

33

36

37

49

41

36

36

-9 -17.8% -4 -10.9% 0 0.6%

Ireland 223 229 249

268

261

275

273

280

297

328

378

330

338

50 15.2% -48 -12.7% 8 2.4%

Greece 308

325

418

453

440

425

501

481

584

435

388

102 21.3% -149 -25.5% -46 -10.7%

Spain 915 998 1,190

1,214

1,223

1,112

1,155

1,244

1,418

1,338

1,355

1,654

18 1.3% 299 22.1%    

France 2,281 2,424 3,497

3,753

4,022

4,118

4,396

4,700

4,918

5,175

5,247

5,323

5,374

72 1.4% 76 1.4% 51 1.0%

Italy 2,050 2,005 1,960

2,013

2,120

2,139

2,166

2,099

2,167

2,110

2,149

2,078

2,291

38 1.8% -70 -3.3% 212 10.2%

Cyprus 22 23 24

25

29

29

29

30

31

34

37

37

37

3 9.1% 0 0.9% 0 -0.6%

Latvia 38

34

28

28

23

-6 -17.5% 0 1.3% -5 -18.7%

Lithuania 32 28

41

44

47

53

65

65

71

61

58

60

-10 -14.0% -3 -4.8% 2 3.8%

Luxembourg 29 24 27

31

32

33

38

37

35

39

38

42

54

-1 -3.0% 4 9.8% 12 27.5%

Hungary 119 158 -7 -3.5% -1 -0.6% 51 25.3%

70

Page 73: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

253 207 184 197 197 222 203 208 201 200 250

Malta 3

3

3

4

4

4

4

4

5

4

4

1 18.5% 0 -4.9% 0 3.2%

Netherlands 982 1,077 1,173

1,221

1,324

1,345

1,376

1,548

1,528

1,528

1,630

1,710

1,621

102 6.7% 80 4.9% -89 -5.2%

Austria 381 370 342

403

406

426

436

425

440

479

490

479

450

11 2.3% -11 -2.2% -28 -5.9%

Poland 477

521

490

543

609

662

701

724

787

651

23 3.2% 64 8.8% -137 -17.4%

Portugal 197 183 177

182

163

185

189

191

188

202

254

272

261

52 25.8% 18 7.2% -11 -4.2%

Romania            

Slovenia 31 29 31

35

38

40

41

44

45

50

48

53

54

-2 -3.9% 5 9.8% 1 1.4%

Slovakia            

Finland 387

411

415

438

457

464

484

504

538

509

20 4.1% 35 6.9% -30 -5.5%

Sweden 646 762

793

806

686

691

710

686

692

711

726

717

19 2.8% 15 2.1% -9 -1.2%

United Kingdom 3,459 3,576

3,602 3,859

3,946

4,116

4,184

4,072

4,308

4,512

4,577

4,477

4,432

65 1.4% -100 -2.2% -45 -1.0%

Norway 304 305 295

323

327

345

398

435

450

476

496

482

518

21 4.4% -15 -2.9% 36 7.5%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Law courts

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 34 69 66

75

97

124

138

167

214

215

205

192

-10 -4.7%        

Czech Republic 316 315 302

294

320

315

351

342

356

365

379

359

353

14 3.8% -20 -5.4% -6 -1.6%

Denmark 322 347 346

351

371

388

391

419

434

449

487

436

483

38 8.5% -51 -10.5% 47 10.9%

Germany 9,411 203 2.1% -27 -0.3% 39 0.4%

71

Page 74: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

9,611 9,782 9,601 9,595 9,750 9,812 9,687 9,721 9,923 9,896 9,935

Estonia 19 19 17

17

19

27

28

30

36

45

34

24

21

-11 -24.0% -10 -30.0% -2 -9.3%

Ireland 222 238 280

300

314

349

326

389

446

475

437

444

414

-38 -7.9% 6 1.5% -29 -6.6%

Greece 319

339

447

473

487

460

481

654

856

583

555

201 30.8% -273 -31.9% -28 -4.8%

Spain 1,929 2,090 2,271

2,494

2,794

2,744

2,870

2,909

3,210

3,465

3,752

3,790

287 8.3% 38 1.0%    

France 3,466 3,410 3,603

3,803

3,895

3,986

3,927

3,851

3,891

4,091

4,415

4,430

4,442

324 7.9% 14 0.3% 13 0.3%

Italy 5,283 5,301 5,089

5,402

5,529

4,734

5,249

4,964

5,030

4,954

5,072

4,977

5,409

118 2.4% -95 -1.9% 432 8.7%

Cyprus 16 17 17

19

21

21

22

23

24

23

23

23

23

1 2.3% -1 -3.1% 0 0.5%

Latvia 76

70

55

51

61

-16 -22.5% -3 -5.9% 9 18.0%

Lithuania 55 67

65

72

80

85

90

97

96

66

63

61

-31 -32.1% -2 -3.8% -2 -2.4%

Luxembourg 45 45 49

58

65

59

60

63

66

70

75

80

79

5 6.9% 6 7.5% -1 -1.9%

Hungary 246 247 256

287

309

398

419

415

375

397

373

345

350

-25 -6.3% -27 -7.3% 5 1.5%

Malta 16

19

22

19

20

17

19

19

19

18

20

0 -1.8% 0 -2.0% 2 9.1%

Netherlands 1,008 1,136 1,264

1,433

1,498

1,521

1,535

1,539

1,640

1,638

1,760

1,793

1,830

122 7.4% 33 1.8% 37 2.1%

Austria 691 686 693

704

730

722

715

712

712

750

795

781

779

45 6.0% -13 -1.7% -3 -0.4%

Poland 1,008

1,261

1,227

1,411

1,621

1,762

1,895

1,786

1,801

1,646

-109 -5.8% 16 0.9% -156 -8.6%

Portugal 373 400 413

578

669

562

606

633

581

597

613

647

624

17 2.8% 33 5.4% -23 -3.6%

Romania            

Slovenia 121 141 147

148

152

159

165

156

164

174

176

180

169

2 1.2% 4 2.4% -11 -6.1%

Slovakia            

Finland 401

415

408

415

408

415

427

456

453

440

29 6.7% -3 -0.7% -13 -2.9%

Sweden - 780

801

799

800

787

866

922

899

910

950

971

11 1.2% 41 4.5% 21 2.2%

United Kingdom 7,698 8,961

8,771 9,301

9,952

11,431

11,388

10,904

10,700

11,196

10,985

9,955

9,747

-211 -1.9% -1,030 -9.4% -207 -2.1%

Norway 318 321 10 2.2% -4 -0.9% 17 3.9%

72

Page 75: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

326 379 389 390 418 404 427 433 442 439 456

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Prisons

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 23 20 27

30

38

35

36

38

43

41

42

39

37

1 2.4% -3 -7.3% -2 -4.8%

Czech Republic 198 199 191

189

206

204

224

215

221

215

225

213

200

10 4.6% -12 -5.3% -13 -6.3%

Denmark 286 290 312

299

307

339

392

368

359

364

391

405

395

27 7.5% 14 3.5% -10 -2.5%

Germany 2,420 2,576

2,565

2,528

2,584

2,550

2,369

2,356

2,351

2,474

2,469

2,468

123 5.2% -4 -0.2% -2 -0.1%

Estonia 40 39 40

50

51

18

21

21

24

80

32

26

24

-48 -59.8% -6 -18.5% -2 -8.8%

Ireland 252 287 304

323

311

291

329

369

378

385

362

333

332

-23 -6.0% -29 -8.1% -1 -0.3%

Greece - - 94

107

125

124

136

258

145

134

131

-112 -43.6% -11 -7.8% -3 -2.1%

Spain 1,020 867 961

947

937

972

1,050

1,208

1,431

1,600

1,533

1,665

-68 -4.2% 133 8.6%    

France 2,083 1,994 2,130

2,217

2,255

2,263

2,242

2,184

2,215

2,327

2,522

2,758

2,827

195 8.4% 236 9.4% 69 2.5%

Italy 3,081 3,074 3,055

3,272

3,391

3,347

3,357

3,345

3,366

3,321

3,187

3,414

3,374

-134 -4.0% 228 7.2% -41 -1.2%

Cyprus 9 8 9

10

11

11

11

12

14

15

16

17

17

1 4.1% 1 9.3% 0 -0.3%

Latvia 38

37

26

21

23

-11 -30.0% -5 -18.4% 2 9.0%

Lithuania 33 32

37

42

40

42

46

47

53

47

42

41

-6 -12.1% -5 -10.4% -1 -1.4%

Luxembourg 25 24 25

28

31

35

40

38

38

37

40

41

48

3 7.9% 1 1.5% 7 17.8%

Hungary 107 117 -18 -12.2% 14 10.5% 1 0.7%

73

Page 76: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

124 170 151 159 146 148 137 150 132 146 147

Malta 6

8

8

7

7

8

8

9

8

9

9

0 -2.8% 0 3.4% 0 0.1%

Netherlands 1,588 1,423 1,443

1,716

1,744

1,717

1,714

1,865

2,073

2,282

2,379

2,283

2,224

97 4.2% -95 -4.0% -59 -2.6%

Austria 314 308 316

314

304

313

331

327

368

354

357

368

363

2 0.6% 12 3.3% -6 -1.5%

Poland 342

377

381

405

450

484

535

562

554

575

27 5.0% -7 -1.3% 21 3.7%

Portugal 243 242 266

290

297

301

295

277

274

262

268

266

267

6 2.3% -2 -0.7% 1 0.3%

Romania            

Slovenia 26 25 29

28

27

26

26

27

25

28

31

34

31

3 10.5% 3 11.1% -3 -9.5%

Slovakia            

Finland 202

204

204

212

209

215

221

219

215

208

-2 -1.1% -4 -1.6% -7 -3.1%

Sweden 522

574

609

619

643

645

691

719

766

801

793

48 6.6% 35 4.5% -9 -1.1%

United Kingdom 3,772 4,348

4,246 4,758

5,141

5,603

6,065

6,025

6,741

6,726

6,609

7,025

6,040

-117 -1.7% 415 6.3% -985 -14.0%

Norway 232 229 232

240

236

246

266

283

310

319

354

366

375

35 10.9% 12 3.3% 10 2.7%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

R&D Public order and safety

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 32

7

4

5

    -3 -40.4% 1 12.5%

Czech Republic 1 1 1

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

1

1

1

0 25.5% 0 -30.7% 0 19.0%

Denmark - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Germany 171 200

239

235

243

250

248

244

241

268

273

287

28 11.5% 5 1.8% 13 4.8%

74

Page 77: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Estonia - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Ireland - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Greece - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Spain - 2 1

1

- - - - - - - - 0   0      

France 6 6 7

6

6

5

5

5

5

6

6

8

8

0 0.1% 3 48.2% 0 -1.7%

Italy - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Cyprus - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Latvia - - - - - 0   0   0  

Lithuania 1 3

4

4

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0 -18.3% 0 -20.8% 0 -3.5%

Luxembourg - - - - 0

- 0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0 96.4% 0 46.9% 0 29.5%

Hungary 1 1 1

1

- - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Malta - - - - - - - - - 0

0

0   0   0 -50.4%

Netherlands 52 51 55

57

55

57

55

52

55

57

55

56

54

-2 -3.8% 0 0.5% -2 -3.2%

Austria 21 21 22

25

24

26

27

24

25

26

25

26

27

0 -1.7% 1 4.0% 1 2.2%

Poland 3

3

3

3

6

7

6

4

4

3

-2 -29.0% 0 -8.0% 0 -5.9%

Portugal 9 22 12

13

15

14

22

15

16

17

18

17

16

1 7.1% -1 -4.1% -2 -10.2%

Romania            

Slovenia 0 0 0

0

1

- - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Slovakia            

Finland - - - - - - 4

3

3

3

-1 -26.4% 0 -2.0% 0 -3.5%

Sweden - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

United Kingdom 66 79

58 51

45

72

67

48

39

78

46

34

27

-33 -41.7% -11 -25.2% -7 -21.5%

Norway - - - - - - - - - 0

0

0

0

0 3.0% 0 11.6% 0 -4.7%

75

Page 78: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Public order and safety n.e.c.

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 2 8 2

- 2

0

12

9

12

8

47

262

53

39 477.0% 215 460.4% -209 -79.9%

Czech Republic 135 142 138

153

153

161

163

179

210

197

201

212

201

4 1.9% 11 5.5% -12 -5.4%

Denmark 19 27 19

35

36

39

34

35

38

40

39

37

40

-1 -1.9% -1 -3.5% 2 6.5%

Germany 1,734 1,735

1,786

1,781

1,783

1,790

1,754

1,818

1,869

2,157

2,158

2,237

288 15.4% 1 0.1% 78 3.6%

Estonia 10 16 12

10

15

17

15

20

25

25

11

44

60

-13 -54.6% 33 295.8% 16 35.4%

Ireland 35 39 56

47

68

72

56

48

65

65

56

53

47

-9 -13.9% -3 -5.0% -6 -10.7%

Greece - - 29

22

- - - - - 378

126

0   378   -252 -66.6%

Spain 214 429 455

509

450

651

437

295

252

271

278

304

7 2.7% 26 9.5%    

France 462 449 475

496

506

508

507

489

501

523

594

594

617

71 13.5% -1 -0.1% 23 3.9%

Italy 79 78 79

70

76

77

71

68

69

93

76

61

58

-17 -18.4% -15 -19.4% -3 -5.0%

Cyprus 3 2 3

3

4

3

3

4

4

4

4

3

3

0 -1.3% 0 -9.5% 0 -8.7%

Latvia 33

29

24

20

14

-5 -18.5% -3 -14.8% -6 -28.4%

Lithuania 11 12

13

13

35

31

34

42

59

47

82

117

-12 -20.1% 35 74.4% 35 43.0%

Luxembourg 0 1 0

0

3

3

3

4

4

4

4

4

5

0 4.7% 0 0.0% 0 9.1%

Hungary 50 65 26

34

77

61

42

3

1

1

1

- - 0 24.1% -1 -100.0% 0  

Malta - - - - - - - - - - 0

0   0   0  

Netherlands 500 548 688

694

721

733

743

730

823

873

915

958

959

42 4.8% 44 4.8% 1 0.1%

Austria 184 196 255

256

214

232

223

235

208

212

219

223

239

7 3.4% 4 1.7% 16 7.1%

76

Page 79: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Poland 11

14

- - - - 4

8

18

179

4 100.1% 10 125.1% 161 874.3

%

Portugal 29 14 12

13

35

35

33

35

33

75

73

70

41

-2 -3.0% -3 -4.1% -29 -41.5%

Romania            

Slovenia 33 39 29

29

34

29

23

50

59

44

34

42

38

-11 -24.0% 8 23.4% -4 -8.4%

Slovakia            

Finland 111

126

126

140

164

163

198

212

240

265

14 7.2% 27 12.9% 26 10.7%

Sweden - 20

27

31

36

24

26

25

23

26

24

24

3 11.4% -3 -9.6% 0 0.7%

United Kingdom 622 597

671 654

679

737

782

843

934

1,033

1,031

861

976

-2 -0.1% -170 -16.5% 115 13.4%

Norway 242 255 250

338

335

341

51

59

51

50

48

54

61

-3 -5.2% 6 12.9% 7 13.1%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Health

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27 671,470

698,006

719,616

743,398

774,906

792,494

818,644

859,913

858,727

850,209

41,269 5.0% -1,186 -0.1% -8,518 -1.0%

Belgium 17,325 17,865 18,574

18,768

20,453

20,753

21,016

20,808

21,559

22,839

24,156

24,474

25,128

1,316 5.8% 319 1.3% 653 2.7%

Bulgaria 528 628 456

950

1,081

1,125

1,107

1,036

1,123

1,315

1,187

1,328

1,339

-128 -9.7% 141 11.9% 11 0.8%

Czech Republic 5,926 5,839 6,267

6,642

7,060

7,038

7,220

7,568

7,987

8,092

8,695

8,904

8,937

603 7.5% 209 2.4% 33 0.4%

Denmark 12,445 12,633 13,120

13,641

13,799

14,283

14,916

15,662

16,380

16,913

17,823

17,712

17,498

910 5.4% -111 -0.6% -214 -1.2%

Germany 134,838 145,353 148,812

152,461

153,705

147,254

149,320

151,625

154,976

158,671

167,114

168,219

168,678

8,444 5.3% 1,105 0.7% 460 0.3%

Estonia 332 324 329

363

390

411

456

528

601

669

622

601

615

-47 -7.0% -20 -3.3% 13 2.2%

Ireland 6,624 7,095 8,465

9,396

10,087

10,866

10,634

11,166

12,124

12,554

13,022

12,494

11,711

469 3.7% -528 -4.1% -783 -6.3%

77

Page 80: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Greece 6,091 8,273

8,376

9,364

10,198

11,388

13,173

13,397

14,927

15,106

13,676

10,624

178 1.2% -1,430 -9.5% -3,052 -22.3%

Spain 36,830 38,866 39,847

41,855

43,828

47,776

51,585

53,719

56,218

59,587

64,709

62,176

59,211

5,123 8.6% -2,533 -3.9% -2,966 -4.8%

France 107,881 112,236 115,155

120,891

125,825

129,584

133,208

135,920

138,252

138,322

143,219

146,645

150,029

4,897 3.5% 3,426 2.4% 3,384 2.3%

Italy 76,839 81,917 87,337

89,314

89,717

96,173

99,689

102,644

101,535

104,835

106,271

106,526

103,653

1,436 1.4% 255 0.2% -2,873 -2.7%

Cyprus 315 308 347

380

421

409

414

444

439

468

499

510

521

31 6.6% 11 2.2% 11 2.2%

Latvia 329 347 302

371

358

404

557

731

746

741

614

544

571

-127 -17.2% -70 -11.4% 27 5.0%

Lithuania 650 564 680

667

736

781

1,037

1,027

1,163

1,249

1,126

1,129

1,173

-124 -9.9% 3 0.3% 44 3.9%

Luxembourg 1,018 1,023 1,205

1,223

1,320

1,449

1,573

1,537

1,580

1,615

1,735

1,754

1,748

120 7.4% 19 1.1% -7 -0.4%

Hungary 3,575 3,574 3,695

4,361

4,743

4,753

4,998

5,139

4,479

4,469

4,349

4,453

4,509

-119 -2.7% 104 2.4% 56 1.3%

Malta 219 222

260

276

281

309

320

304

293

291

302

318

-3 -0.9% 11 3.7% 16 5.4%

Netherlands 22,572 23,782 24,932

26,919

28,313

28,779

29,366

38,124

39,963

40,840

44,435

45,350

46,459

3,595 8.8% 915 2.1% 1,109 2.4%

Austria 19,072 18,985 16,072

16,701

17,911

18,261

18,697

19,157

19,762

20,505

21,027

21,202

20,548

522 2.5% 175 0.8% -654 -3.1%

Poland 9,291

9,499

9,779

10,815

12,025

12,720

14,672

15,307

15,271

14,918

636 4.3% -36 -0.2% -353 -2.3%

Portugal 8,691 9,221 9,728

9,939

10,149

10,682

11,054

10,468

10,588

10,456

11,418

10,784

10,609

962 9.2% -633 -5.5% -176 -1.6%

Romania 2,004 2,328 2,444

2,618

2,331

1,900

2,148

2,387

3,104

3,559

3,974

3,724

3,596

414 11.6% -250 -6.3% -128 -3.4%

Slovenia 1,525 1,545 1,637

1,684

1,718

1,784

1,813

1,899

1,928

2,053

2,189

2,121

2,097

136 6.6% -68 -3.1% -23 -1.1%

Slovakia 1,632 1,615 1,562

1,686

2,247

1,679

1,865

2,391

2,859

3,228

3,393

2,888

2,716

165 5.1% -505 -14.9% -172 -6.0%

Finland 8,077 8,287 8,653

9,158

9,683

10,223

10,784

11,172

11,365

11,925

12,317

12,449

12,610

392 3.3% 133 1.1% 160 1.3%

Sweden 16,234 16,546 17,830

18,840

19,612

19,610

20,062

20,592

21,391

21,969

22,548

22,810

23,490

580 2.6% 262 1.2% 680 3.0%

United Kingdom 85,502 90,514

97,071 104,731

111,056

121,940

127,369

134,069

137,627

143,537

153,401

152,490

148,681

9,864 6.9% -911 -0.6% -3,809 -2.5%

Norway 13,851 14,345 14,989

16,086

16,764

17,092

17,645

18,105

18,950

19,250

19,821

20,264

20,932

571 3.0% 443 2.2% 668 3.3%

78

Page 81: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Medical products, appliances and equipment

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 133

123

124

134

147

203

10 8.2% 13 10.0% 56 37.7%

Czech Republic 1,076 1,069 1,119

1,228

1,336

1,425

1,463

1,269

1,248

1,201

1,317

1,253

1,262

116 9.7% -64 -4.8% 9 0.7%

Denmark 700 713 774

863

882

894

908

954

1,136

1,115

1,075

1,058

991

-40 -3.6% -17 -1.6% -67 -6.3%

Germany 33,854 35,899

35,857

36,459

32,675

34,440

34,985

36,872

37,977

39,885

39,538

38,078

1,908 5.0% -347 -0.9% -1,461 -3.7%

Estonia 37 40 52

58

52

62

63

66

73

77

84

84

83

7 9.0% 0 0.3% -2 -2.1%

Ireland 618 713 882

991

1,070

1,200

1,419

1,605

1,736

2,095

1,993

2,062

1,896

-102 -4.9% 69 3.5% -166 -8.0%

Greece 1,449

1,708

1,968

2,728

2,637

3,759

3,819

5,075

5,335

4,670

3,697

261 5.1% -666 -12.5% -973 -20.8%

Spain 8,259 8,559 9,002

9,736

10,177

10,941

11,422

11,346

11,372

11,708

12,391

12,127

684 5.8% -264 -2.1%    

France 17,649 19,176 20,628

21,495

22,407

23,241

23,503

23,294

24,208

23,969

28,450

28,775

29,146

4,481 18.7% 325 1.1% 371 1.3%

Italy 9,464 10,754 13,822

13,499

12,549

13,182

12,820

12,985

12,008

11,430

11,387

10,987

9,948

-44 -0.4% -400 -3.5% -1,039 -9.5%

Cyprus 71 57 76

87

86

71

77

89

96

105

108

110

112

4 3.4% 1 1.2% 2 2.0%

Latvia 64

75

67

73

72

-8 -10.3% 6 9.2% -1 -0.9%

Lithuania 109 137

148

148

153

178

183

200

198

203

187

187

6 2.8% -16 -7.9% 0 -0.3%

Luxembourg 953 963 1,061

1,133

1,197

1,279

1,364

1,372

1,433

1,469

1,547

1,569

1,555

78 5.3% 22 1.4% -15 -0.9%

Hungary 983 954 1,024

1,109

1,236

1,360

1,493

1,612

1,287

1,252

1,283

1,261

1,301

31 2.5% -22 -1.7% 40 3.2%

Malta 15

18

19

23

33

56

67

22

44

34

44

22 96.8% -10 -21.7% 10 29.5%

79

Page 82: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Netherlands 2,865 3,671 3,853

4,002

4,221

4,231

4,293

5,879

6,265

6,025

6,675

6,862

6,884

649 10.8% 187 2.8% 22 0.3%

Austria 2,497 2,565 2,593

2,739

2,838

2,900

2,841

2,915

3,069

3,214

3,049

3,013

2,978

-164 -5.1% -37 -1.2% -35 -1.2%

Poland 131

145

135

149

168

183

169

167

168

172

-2 -1.1% 1 0.4% 4 2.5%

Portugal 1,461 1,463 1,899

1,647

2,649

3,039

3,164

1,870

1,839

1,869

2,119

2,245

2,139

250 13.4% 126 5.9% -106 -4.7%

Romania            

Slovenia 247 261 292

304

320

328

341

348

342

341

349

341

336

8 2.4% -9 -2.5% -5 -1.4%

Slovakia            

Finland 896

949

1,041

1,085

1,082

1,100

1,191

1,133

1,097

1,090

-58 -4.8% -36 -3.2% -7 -0.6%

Sweden 117 2,462

2,597

2,679

2,692

2,725

2,752

2,738

2,743

2,744

2,757

2,710

1 0.0% 13 0.5% -47 -1.7%

United Kingdom 83 56

1,373 1,921

1,993

2,032

2,023

2,141

2,449

1,288

914

854

844

-374 -29.1% -59 -6.5% -10 -1.2%

Norway 1,137 1,221 565

1,729

1,715

1,654

1,646

1,583

1,556

1,473

1,449

1,484

1,423

-23 -1.6% 35 2.4% -61 -4.1%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Outpatient services

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 42 69 209

31

105

299

260

235

279

343

288

337

350

-55 -16.0% 49 17.0% 12 3.7%

Czech Republic 1,143 1,138 1,199

1,250

1,436

1,460

1,496

1,531

1,619

1,710

1,885

1,934

1,996

175 10.2% 49 2.6% 62 3.2%

Denmark 1,694 1,736 1,787

1,835

1,893

1,943

2,025

2,096

2,357

2,432

2,543

2,561

2,585

111 4.6% 18 0.7% 24 0.9%

Germany 41,734 42,303

44,455

45,169

42,817

42,680

43,726

44,653

45,954

48,341

48,454

48,909

2,388 5.2% 113 0.2% 455 0.9%

Estonia 49 44 43

39

42

36

40

43

54

56

55

52

52

-1 -1.4% -3 -5.9% 0 -0.2%

80

Page 83: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Ireland 2,338 2,511 2,911

3,441

3,634

3,899

4,937

5,306

5,767

6,199

6,249

6,188

5,469

50 0.8% -61 -1.0% -719 -11.6%

Greece 890

895

1,006

1,188

1,106

1,508

1,456

1,761

1,662

1,376

1,185

-99 -5.6% -286 -17.2% -191 -13.9%

Spain 27,176 28,930 29,278

30,409

32,210

35,230

38,546

40,494

42,740

45,681

49,697

47,874

4,017 8.8% -1,824 -3.7%    

France 37,295 38,899 39,419

41,616

43,887

45,741

46,459

48,552

49,734

50,076

48,339

49,657

50,678

-1,737 -3.5% 1,318 2.7% 1,020 2.1%

Italy 21,601 23,925 25,032

26,120

26,586

28,231

30,556

30,966

31,179

32,271

33,604

34,148

33,338

1,333 4.1% 545 1.6% -810 -2.4%

Cyprus 12 12 13

14

16

16

16

17

18

19

21

20

20

2 9.4% -1 -5.3% 0 -0.8%

Latvia 161

163

122

77

80

-41 -25.3% -44 -36.4% 2 3.2%

Lithuania 167 205

196

210

226

320

303

343

378

343

352

356

-34 -9.1% 8 2.4% 5 1.3%

Luxembourg 25 22 24

28

35

38

44

44

51

51

58

63

74

7 13.7% 5 8.6% 11 17.2%

Hungary 727 708 741

849

977

970

963

938

919

1,053

1,030

1,212

1,222

-23 -2.2% 182 17.6% 11 0.9%

Malta 28

29

31

32

32

32

35

43

47

50

55

5 10.7% 3 5.5% 5 9.9%

Netherlands 8,213 7,766 8,325

9,148

10,158

8,340

9,746

10,400

10,790

10,917

12,382

12,423

12,944

1,465 13.4% 41 0.3% 521 4.2%

Austria 3,426 3,436 3,454

3,580

3,620

3,740

3,719

3,880

4,021

4,032

4,121

4,104

4,096

90 2.2% -18 -0.4% -7 -0.2%

Poland 3,762

3,092

3,556

4,074

4,502

4,476

4,939

4,517

5,097

4,979

-422 -8.5% 580 12.8% -119 -2.3%

Portugal 2,570 2,632 2,483

2,887

3,533

3,606

3,571

5,514

6,274

6,256

7,499

7,544

7,373

1,243 19.9% 45 0.6% -171 -2.3%

Romania            

Slovenia 516 526 551

566

563

593

602

634

657

693

741

732

720

48 6.9% -9 -1.2% -12 -1.6%

Slovakia            

Finland 3,689

3,893

4,108

4,362

4,590

4,813

5,054

5,335

5,439

5,566

281 5.6% 103 1.9% 128 2.3%

Sweden 133 202 7,405

7,769

8,109

8,138

8,395

8,815

9,329

9,740

9,845

10,236

10,532

105 1.1% 391 4.0% 296 2.9%

United Kingdom 709 401

4,837 6,711

7,368

7,835

8,302

9,000

9,015

9,200

9,584

9,495

9,242

383 4.2% -88 -0.9% -253 -2.7%

Norway 3,554 3,725 2,066

2,026

3,057

3,364

3,849

3,961

4,076

4,190

4,425

4,758

4,944

235 5.6% 333 7.5% 186 3.9%

81

Page 84: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Hospital services

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 272 215 104

530

635

689

747

587

618

628

726

805

670

98 15.7% 79 10.9% -136 -16.9%

Czech Republic 2,742 2,727 2,959

3,162

2,666

2,690

2,762

3,036

3,255

3,339

3,610

3,741

3,742

271 8.1% 131 3.6% 1 0.0%

Denmark 9,453 9,562 9,887

10,290

10,533

10,931

11,460

12,074

12,063

12,564

13,352

13,257

13,107

788 6.3% -95 -0.7% -150 -1.1%

Germany 57,420 58,223

59,252

59,110

59,078

59,430

60,476

61,007

61,879

65,283

66,409

67,116

3,404 5.5% 1,126 1.7% 707 1.1%

Estonia 234 227 223

254

281

296

332

399

448

509

460

438

457

-49 -9.6% -22 -4.7% 19 4.3%

Ireland 3,128 3,192 3,819

4,152

4,464

4,799

4,021

3,987

4,284

3,895

3,958

3,574

3,499

63 1.6% -384 -9.7% -75 -2.1%

Greece 5,120

4,939

5,352

5,179

6,759

6,977

7,226

7,123

7,379

7,083

5,270

256 3.6% -296 -4.0% -1,813 -25.6%

Spain            

France 50,665 51,731 52,644

54,548

56,355

57,313

59,592

60,341

60,481

60,492

61,977

63,502

65,695

1,485 2.5% 1,525 2.5% 2,193 3.5%

Italy 43,169 45,337 46,498

47,623

48,530

52,448

54,103

56,366

55,914

58,555

58,775

58,882

57,971

220 0.4% 107 0.2% -911 -1.5%

Cyprus 231 238 257

278

317

321

319

336

321

340

363

374

380

23 6.7% 11 3.0% 6 1.6%

Latvia 460

443

381

338

347

-62 -14.0% -43 -11.3% 8 2.5%

Lithuania 254 317

298

332

353

477

468

526

570

514

521

528

-56 -9.8% 7 1.3% 8 1.5%

Luxembourg 19 14 14

7

11

8

9

8

11

10

6

10

9

-4 -39.1% 4 72.5% -2 -16.8%

Hungary 1,467 1,494 1,456

1,701

1,915

1,797

1,844

1,902

1,655

1,658

1,537

1,641

1,650

-120 -7.3% 104 6.8% 9 0.6%

Malta 160

188

203

206

227

216

180

207

171

194

191

-36 -17.3% 23 13.6% -3 -1.8%

Netherlands 9,564 10,257 1,194 5.8% 611 2.8% 494 2.2%

82

Page 85: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

10,644 11,608 11,772 14,089 12,792 19,378 19,730 20,467 21,661 22,271 22,766

Austria 11,659 11,482 8,585

8,970

9,943

9,980

10,397

10,597

10,804

11,409

11,963

12,135

11,567

554 4.9% 172 1.4% -568 -4.7%

Poland 5,021

5,154

5,599

6,005

6,661

7,299

8,817

9,231

9,237

9,089

414 4.7% 6 0.1% -148 -1.6%

Portugal 4,526 4,996 5,191

5,249

3,726

3,783

4,063

2,767

2,093

2,023

1,573

693

807

-450 -22.2% -880 -56.0% 114 16.5%

Romania            

Slovenia 623 625 658

678

698

720

724

760

785

869

946

882

876

77 8.9% -64 -6.7% -6 -0.7%

Slovakia            

Finland 4,062

4,351

4,590

4,840

4,998

4,873

5,099

5,302

5,404

5,445

203 4.0% 102 1.9% 40 0.7%

Sweden 794 679 6,933

7,365

7,824

7,744

7,787

7,886

8,065

8,187

8,513

8,331

8,617

326 4.0% -182 -2.1% 286 3.4%

United Kingdom 83,688 88,463

88,873 94,032

99,536

109,697

114,158

120,284

123,503

130,569

139,526

138,574

135,231

8,957 6.9% -952 -0.7% -3,343 -2.4%

Norway 8,478 8,719 11,728

11,486

11,132

11,230

11,310

11,719

12,398

12,568

12,776

12,633

13,153

208 1.7% -144 -1.1% 520 4.1%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Public health services

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 46 78 41

17

27

32

38

30

35

68

31

32

58

-36 -53.8% 1 2.4% 26 81.2%

Czech Republic 586 569 598

606

1,253

1,195

1,199

1,471

1,592

1,532

1,536

1,629

1,624

4 0.2% 92 6.0% -4 -0.3%

Denmark 149 152 155

166

172

195

190

185

221

225

263

271

263

38 16.9% 8 3.0% -7 -2.7%

Germany 1,071 1,062

997

1,075

983

960

922

802

713

1,141

773

795

428 60.0% -368 -32.3% 22 2.8%

Estonia 1 2 5

4

5

4

5

1

3

3

3

3

2

0 9.6% -1 -16.7% 0 -10.0%

Ireland 231 350 31 76.5% -12 -16.8% -44 -75.9%

83

Page 86: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

464 391 414 447 21 23 24 40 70 59 14 Greece - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Spain 750 592 810

896

716

797

822

929

1,044

980

1,337

970

357 36.4% -367 -27.5%    

France 900 967 934

1,559

1,378

1,418

1,678

1,583

1,526

1,357

2,359

2,006

1,904

1,002 73.9% -353 -15.0% -102 -5.1%

Italy 584 654 685

739

544

760

681

709

658

685

651

675

657

-34 -4.9% 24 3.7% -17 -2.6%

Cyprus - - - - - - - - - - 0

0

0

0   0 -1.9% 0 -3.3%

Latvia 25

22

12

7

6

-10 -46.2% -5 -44.6% -1 -15.1%

Lithuania 2

4

7

16

17

18

22

23

17

15

15

-6 -24.7% -3 -14.4% 0 -0.1%

Luxembourg 8 9 20

8

5

6

7

6

7

7

27

25

24

19 267.9% -1 -5.0% -1 -3.9%

Hungary 156 156 206

243

258

241

248

215

191

189

176

129

124

-13 -7.0% -47 -26.9% -5 -3.5%

Malta 6

6

6

6

6

6

7

5

6

7

7

1 14.9% 1 23.9% -1 -9.2%

Netherlands 711 774 788

801

765

750

750

786

822

842

910

940

923

68 8.1% 30 3.3% -16 -1.7%

Austria 336 339 361

348

415

403

440

467

501

484

488

507

492

4 0.8% 19 3.8% -15 -3.0%

Poland 195

909

209

273

354

444

404

1,043

371

258

639 158.0% -671 -64.4% -114 -30.6%

Portugal 19 14 18

32

59

69

71

49

46

40

40

45

47

0 0.8% 5 11.9% 2 3.6%

Romania            

Slovenia 51 50 52

53

52

55

57

59

60

62

64

64

44

3 4.2% 0 -0.5% -20 -30.7%

Slovakia            

Finland 23

24

27

30

32

34

36

37

39

40

1 3.1% 2 5.1% 1 3.1%

Sweden 2 466

503

422

384

447

446

509

547

649

581

636

102 18.6% -68 -10.4% 55 9.4%

United Kingdom 38 70

106 119

110

143

307

238

217

251

367

502

404

116 46.0% 136 37.0% -99 -19.7%

Norway 443 424 443

471

495

515

486

513

574

593

683

698

725

90 15.2% 14 2.1% 28 3.9%

84

Page 87: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

R&D Health

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria            

Czech Republic 47 46 46

56

46

28

27

24

24

26

27

27

23

0 1.3% 0 -0.1% -4 -13.8%

Denmark 259 270 311

287

113

118

128

132

22

28

4

13

18

-24 -84.5% 9 196.9% 5 37.0%

Germany 1,049 1,188

1,329

1,269

1,287

1,290

1,318

1,310

1,387

1,477

1,480

1,534

89 6.4% 3 0.2% 54 3.7%

Estonia 3 0 1

1

3

6

7

12

16

14

9

15

15

-5 -33.7% 6 62.1% 0 -2.2%

Ireland 30 37 48

62

65

67

29

31

36

37

36

35

33

-1 -2.7% -1 -1.8% -2 -5.9%

Greece - - - - - - - - - - - 0   0   0  

Spain 134 143 172

226

227

285

286

334

413

527

611

651

84 16.0% 39 6.5%    

France 895 969 1,025

1,138

1,238

1,296

1,384

1,522

1,667

1,731

1,293

1,271

1,247

-438 -25.3% -22 -1.7% -24 -1.9%

Italy 634 686 680

712

755

789

706

809

896

923

890

884

836

-33 -3.6% -6 -0.6% -48 -5.5%

Cyprus 1 1 1

1

2

1

2

2

3

3

6

6

7

3 89.0% 0 -0.5% 1 16.6%

Latvia 0

0

0

0

0

0 0.3% 0 -48.8% 0 -4.7%

Lithuania 0 0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

4

3

0 -12.9% 3 506.1% 0 -7.4%

Luxembourg 3 4 4

5

6

14

12

14

15

21

27

27

28

6 28.5% 0 1.6% 1 3.2%

Hungary - - 0

0

0

0

- - - - - 13

18

0   13   5 40.0%

Malta - - - - - - - - - - 1

0   0   1  

Netherlands 812 885 919

934

939

911

898

890

925

977

1,000

1,018

1,046

23 2.3% 18 1.8% 29 2.8%

Austria 373 375 362

369

362

453

467

451

464

479

517

535

524

38 8.0% 18 3.4% -11 -2.1%

85

Page 88: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Poland 27

36

37

67

67

52

48

47

53

56

-1 -2.1% 7 14.1% 3 6.2%

Portugal 18 19 21

23

17

25

34

29

30

31

30

27

24

-1 -2.0% -3 -11.0% -3 -10.9%

Romania            

Slovenia 5 5 5

5

7

9

11

16

6

5

5

6

23

0 -8.6% 1 19.0% 18 319.1%

Slovakia            

Finland 129

124

134

133

127

161

156

112

105

105

-44 -28.4% -7 -6.0% 1 0.6%

Sweden - 147

142

133

206

240

255

260

275

286

358

374

11 4.0% 72 25.3% 16 4.5%

United Kingdom 334 380

628 760

781

764

877

928

975

1,108

1,043

2,242

1,413

-66 -5.9% 1,199 115.0% -829 -37.0%

Norway 95 101 37

103

94

112

67

77

77

77

82

73

76

4 5.7% -8 -10.2% 3 3.5%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Health n.e.c.

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 168 265 102

373

316

105

63

50

68

153

8

6

59

-145 -95.0% -1 -16.4% 53 815.7%

Czech Republic 333 290 345

340

323

240

273

237

248

284

320

320

288

36 12.8% 0 0.1% -32 -10.0%

Denmark 191 200 206

201

205

202

205

221

582

548

586

552

535

37 6.8% -34 -5.7% -17 -3.1%

Germany 10,225 10,137

10,571

10,624

10,415

10,520

10,198

10,332

10,761

10,988

11,565

12,246

226 2.1% 577 5.3% 681 5.9%

Estonia 9 10 6

6

6

7

9

8

8

11

11

10

6

0 -2.5% -1 -9.0% -3 -35.6%

Ireland 280 292 341

359

440

455

206

214

277

288

715

577

800

428 148.5% -139 -19.4% 223 38.7%

Greece 814

835

1,039

1,103

886

929

896

969

730

547

472

-239 -24.7% -183 -25.0% -75 -13.7%

86

Page 89: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Spain 512 642 585

588

498

524

509

617

648

691

672

555

-19 -2.8% -117 -17.4%    

France 476 495 503

533

560

574

592

627

635

698

801

1,433

1,359

104 14.9% 632 78.9% -74 -5.2%

Italy 1,386 561 620

620

754

763

823

809

880

971

964

949

903

-7 -0.7% -15 -1.6% -46 -4.9%

Cyprus - 0 0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

3

0 -1.3% 0 -1.9% 2 1398%

Latvia 36

38

32

48

67

-6 -15.9% 17 51.9% 18 37.2%

Lithuania 34 20

21

39

34

45

56

71

80

47

51

83

-34 -42.0% 4 9.1% 32 63.0%

Luxembourg 10 11 81

42

65

104

138

93

64

56

70

59

58

13 23.9% -11 -16.0% -1 -1.7%

Hungary 242 262 268

459

357

384

449

473

427

318

324

199

194

6 1.8% -125 -38.6% -5 -2.3%

Malta 12

19

18

15

10

10

14

16

23

16

20

6 38.4% -7 -31.1% 4 28.5%

Netherlands 408 430 403

426

458

458

887

789

1,430

1,612

1,807

1,836

1,895

195 12.1% 29 1.6% 59 3.2%

Austria 781 788 717

695

733

784

833

847

903

887

889

910

892

1 0.1% 21 2.4% -18 -1.9%

Poland 154

163

243

248

273

266

295

303

344

364

8 2.6% 42 13.8% 20 5.7%

Portugal 98 98 116

101

166

159

151

240

306

237

156

231

220

-81 -34.2% 75 48.0% -12 -5.0%

Romania            

Slovenia 84 77 80

79

77

79

76

81

78

82

84

96

97

1 1.7% 13 15.1% 1 1.1%

Slovakia            

Finland 359

342

323

334

341

384

390

397

366

363

8 2.0% -32 -8.0% -3 -0.7%

Sweden (4)

(104)

417

464

445

446

468

436

490

477

511

546

620

35 7.3% 34 6.7% 75 13.7%

United Kingdom 650 1,145

1,254 1,188

1,268

1,469

1,702

1,478

1,468

1,120

1,968

823

1,547

848 75.7% -1,145 -58.2% 725 88.1%

Norway 144 155 150

271

271

218

287

252

269

349

406

618

610

56 16.2% 212 52.3% -7 -1.2%

87

Page 90: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Social protection

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27 1,902,136

1,964,930

1,993,542

2,018,796

2,047,135

2,074,827

2,126,509

2,268,039

2,290,893

2,275,793

141,530 6.7% 22,854 1.0% -15,100 -0.7%

Belgium 48,303 48,179 49,128

51,044

52,501

54,352

54,493

55,191

55,465

57,013

61,239

61,409

62,246

4,226 7.4% 170 0.3% 837 1.4%

Bulgaria 1,980 2,314 2,486

2,452

2,508

2,624

2,557

2,788

2,923

3,239

3,817

3,814

3,752

578 17.8% -3 -0.1% -62 -1.6%

Czech Republic 10,707 11,229 11,597

12,962

13,214

12,558

12,877

13,510

14,514

14,588

15,475

15,513

15,659

886 6.1% 38 0.2% 147 0.9%

Denmark 42,701 43,162 44,176

45,086

47,000

47,947

48,150

48,223

48,151

48,694

51,107

53,034

52,837

2,413 5.0% 1,928 3.8% -197 -0.4%

Germany 463,308 461,060 463,775

470,447

476,991

474,539

474,520

470,000

459,648

459,470

483,269

482,385

469,750

23,799 5.2% -885 -0.2% -12,634 -2.6%

Estonia 818 810 823

863

940

1,035

1,094

1,192

1,297

1,493

1,742

1,649

1,580

249 16.7% -93 -5.3% -69 -4.2%

Ireland 12,840 10,662 11,944

13,494

14,128

15,222

17,506

18,710

20,693

22,826

26,347

26,902

26,931

3,521 15.4% 555 2.1% 29 0.1%

Greece 26,451 26,915

28,538

27,154

26,931

29,538

30,669

33,743

35,554

37,524

36,303

36,174

1,970 5.5% -1,221 -3.3% -129 -0.4%

Spain 93,949 97,012 99,506

104,749

108,852

113,151

117,316

122,318

128,603

138,017

155,145

159,477

157,382

17,128 12.4% 4,332 2.8% -2,096 -1.3%

France 328,839 326,526 332,486

342,826

355,007

363,939

371,774

387,306

396,171

402,668

421,787

428,277

433,303

19,120 4.7% 6,490 1.5% 5,026 1.2%

Italy 239,334 238,370 241,671

248,350

252,944

256,441

258,310

261,807

269,146

273,381

286,414

289,159

288,428

13,032 4.8% 2,746 1.0% -731 -0.3%

Cyprus 856 912 959

1,062

1,175

1,313

1,449

1,467

1,438

1,537

1,671

1,801

1,853

135 8.8% 129 7.7% 52 2.9%

Latvia 1,279 1,158 1,126

1,149

1,141

1,204

1,279

1,430

1,478

1,548

1,846

1,787

1,682

299 19.3% -59 -3.2% -105 -5.9%

Lithuania 1,765 1,749 1,702

1,676

1,774

1,924

2,072

2,213

2,740

3,092

3,395

3,002

2,829

302 9.8% -393 -11.6% -173 -5.7%

Luxembourg 3,788 3,912 4,119

4,504

4,886

5,026

5,260

5,422

5,461

5,794

6,311

6,546

6,643

517 8.9% 235 3.7% 97 1.5%

Hungary 10,797 10,744 11,026

12,363

13,270

13,947

15,081

16,187

15,954

16,201

15,931

15,284

14,992

-270 -1.7% -647 -4.1% -292 -1.9%

Malta 562 597

628

653

656

676

702

743

757

786

793

819

28 3.7% 8 1.0% 26 3.2%

Netherlands 75,548 75,262 76,885

78,288

79,962

80,439

79,740

80,730

82,106

85,488

91,271

93,848

94,242

5,783 6.8% 2,577 2.8% 393 0.4%

Austria 47,340 47,858 2,761 5.2% 956 1.7% -847 -1.5%

88

Page 91: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

48,052 49,654 50,187 50,322 50,502 51,116 51,796 52,843 55,604 56,560 55,713

Poland 39,109

41,637

41,419

41,459

43,757

43,700

45,317

49,088

51,561

50,110

3,771 8.3% 2,473 5.0% -1,451 -2.8%

Portugal 16,921 17,867 18,842

20,136

21,500

22,508

23,380

24,153

24,558

25,042

28,149

28,790

28,154

3,107 12.4% 641 2.3% -636 -2.2%

Romania 6,396 6,068 6,659

6,430

6,782

8,188

8,837

9,746

11,243

13,704

15,139

15,350

15,007

1,435 10.5% 211 1.4% -342 -2.2%

Slovenia 4,008 4,150 4,249

4,398

4,528

4,697

4,843

4,962

5,044

5,269

5,604

5,718

5,792

335 6.4% 114 2.0% 73 1.3%

Slovakia 4,487 4,482 4,633

5,010

4,454

4,376

5,080

5,050

4,728

4,712

5,345

5,525

5,479

633 13.4% 180 3.4% -45 -0.8%

Finland 30,641 29,352 29,638

30,814

31,949

32,915

33,445

33,672

34,313

34,709

37,163

37,811

38,209

2,453 7.1% 648 1.7% 399 1.1%

Sweden 62,248 63,307 62,960

64,090

67,349

68,546

68,591

69,176

68,331

67,570

69,935

69,948

69,288

2,365 3.5% 13 0.0% -660 -0.9%

United Kingdom 229,531 236,444

249,697 260,966

273,596

283,622

288,969

288,903

297,575

305,270

328,044

333,370

331,746

22,774 7.5% 5,326 1.6% -1,624 -0.5%

Norway 31,371 32,576 34,473

36,250

37,599

38,942

39,718

40,784

42,351

44,220

46,990

48,259

50,410

2,770 6.3% 1,268 2.7% 2,152 4.5%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Unemployment

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 141 151 183

31

97

80

73

76

64

85

24

20

21

-61 -71.5% -4 -16.3% 0 2.1%

Czech Republic 303 304 317

313

323

338

328

321

301

283

517

481

381

234 82.7% -36 -6.9% -101 -20.9%

Denmark 8,033 7,697 7,426

7,710

8,227

8,480

7,790

6,748

5,670

5,262

6,172

7,145

7,128

910 17.3% 973 15.8% -18 -0.2%

Germany 56,060 56,204

59,429

62,139

61,672

77,100

75,887

65,582

61,291

70,738

67,474

58,078

9,447 15.4% -3,264 -4.6% -9,396 -13.9%

Estonia 35 34 33

29

40

40

36

39

50

81

229

167

134

148 183.0% -62 -27.0% -33 -19.9%

Ireland 2,185 1,925 2,001 69.3% 790 16.2% -422 -7.4%

89

Page 92: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

1,850 1,900 1,901 1,886 1,873 2,032 2,250 2,886 4,887 5,677 5,255

Greece 1,275

1,376

1,249

1,603

1,526

1,533

1,814

1,625

2,086

1,953

1,980

461 28.4% -133 -6.4% 26 1.3%

Spain 10,639 10,915 11,604

12,960

13,273

13,941

14,301

14,987

15,881

20,520

29,922

30,479

9,402 45.8% 557 1.9%    

France 27,340 27,424 28,128

31,157

34,608

34,896

33,907

31,054

29,277

27,896

33,062

33,831

34,071

5,166 18.5% 770 2.3% 239 0.7%

Italy 7,055 6,070 5,844

6,491

6,760

7,205

7,521

7,640

6,899

7,645

11,382

12,146

11,979

3,738 48.9% 763 6.7% -167 -1.4%

Cyprus 53 56 57

62

64

72

80

81

76

80

87

101

111

7 9.3% 13 15.4% 10 9.9%

Latvia 55

59

143

108

59

83 139.8% -34 -24.0% -49 -45.1%

Lithuania 32 80

56

68

70

81

81

103

137

197

157

116

60 43.5% -40 -20.3% -40 -25.8%

Luxembourg 168 211 166

192

245

285

319

316

320

324

437

446

440

113 34.9% 9 2.1% -6 -1.3%

Hungary 540 456 398

376

387

419

458

458

526

580

626

661

614

47 8.0% 35 5.6% -47 -7.1%

Malta 18

38

32

30

30

30

25

26

28

28

28

3 9.8% 0 -1.1% 0 0.7%

Netherlands 8,737 7,903 8,033

8,898

10,277

10,574

10,456

9,322

8,123

7,499

10,367

10,504

9,783

2,869 38.3% 136 1.3% -721 -6.9%

Austria 2,851 2,638 2,621

3,070

3,268

3,182

3,175

3,218

3,242

2,897

3,613

3,763

3,563

715 24.7% 150 4.2% -199 -5.3%

Poland 1,939

1,989

2,463

2,155

2,511

2,749

2,181

2,452

2,652

1,936

271 12.4% 200 8.1% -716 -27.0%

Portugal 880 928 971

1,035

1,562

1,656

1,815

1,789

1,607

1,467

1,927

2,099

2,037

461 31.4% 172 8.9% -62 -3.0%

Romania            

Slovenia 267 217 212

190

182

208

205

150

124

118

210

266

314

92 78.0% 57 26.9% 47 17.8%

Slovakia            

Finland 3,992

4,294

4,329

4,107

3,840

3,597

3,385

4,399

3,870

3,340

1,014 30.0% -530 -12.0% -529 -13.7%

Sweden 18 592 5,617

5,557

5,858

6,249

6,258

6,075

4,607

3,643

4,700

5,248

4,642

1,057 29.0% 548 11.7% -606 -11.5%

United Kingdom 5,897 6,846

5,125 5,769

6,278

5,877

6,068

6,449

6,188

6,401

8,877

8,473

7,039

2,476 38.7% -405 -4.6% -1,433 -16.9%

Norway 907 1,071 1,180

1,384

1,764

1,842

1,504

953

687

621

1,166

1,398

1,228

545 87.7% 232 19.9% -170 -12.2%

90

Page 93: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

Social exclusion n.e.c.

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 41 82 55

58

49

49

42

31

19

2

3

4

-16 -87.5% 0 14.8% 1 44.2%

Czech Republic 443 465 479

557

554

730

462

482

410

406

462

503

529

55 13.6% 42 9.0% 26 5.1%

Denmark 2,363 2,590 2,934

2,880

2,851

2,915

2,622

2,067

2,373

2,417

2,724

2,891

3,043

307 12.7% 168 6.2% 152 5.3%

Germany 19,133 17,403

17,040

18,137

18,197

9,300

9,068

8,133

7,341

7,258

7,700

7,745

-83 -1.1% 442 6.1% 45 0.6%

Estonia 3 3 3

3

2

17

19

15

12

12

14

18

20

2 18.0% 4 30.3% 1 7.8%

Ireland 565 602 662

746

848

834

862

907

953

1,080

1,233

1,197

1,147

153 14.2% -36 -2.9% -50 -4.2%

Greece 89

71

69

76

136

133

134

171

192

92

185

20 11.9% -99 -51.8% 92 99.9%

Spain 2,039 1,226 1,148

2,145

2,345

2,694

2,727

2,362

2,374

2,182

2,332

2,404

149 6.8% 72 3.1%    

France 16,014 15,817 15,636

16,542

17,188

10,470

10,767

12,818

13,333

13,159

13,620

14,180

13,787

461 3.5% 559 4.1% -393 -2.8%

Italy 691 710 860

960

1,097

914

895

719

841

968

1,280

1,269

1,311

312 32.3% -11 -0.9% 43 3.4%

Cyprus 101 106 120

139

170

182

194

195

215

249

324

338

343

74 29.9% 14 4.3% 5 1.6%

Latvia 45

50

52

61

70

1 2.5% 10 18.4% 9 14.0%

Lithuania 44

43

43

46

57

75

147

169

18 31.8% 72 95.4% 22 15.2%

Luxembourg 143 144 158

162

219

221

231

227

225

229

260

277

283

31 13.6% 17 6.4% 6 2.1%

Hungary 1,091 1,080 911

1,079

1,053

1,192

1,441

1,668

1,341

1,164

1,228

653

633

64 5.5% -575 -46.8% -20 -3.0%

Malta 8

8

10

10

12

15

18

20

21

21

21

1 7.2% 0 -1.7% 0 -0.9%

Netherlands 6,691 6,775 539 5.5% 974 9.5% 11 0.1%

91

Page 94: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

7,035 6,868 6,448 6,385 6,632 8,771 8,998 9,722 10,261 11,234 11,245

Austria 1,762 1,793 1,743

1,837

1,622

1,647

1,872

1,871

1,967

2,131

2,247

2,310

2,353

116 5.5% 63 2.8% 43 1.9%

Poland 543

500

475

494

615

647

717

789

947

893

72 10.0% 159 20.1% -54 -5.7%

Portugal 420 413 389

413

370

376

424

435

453

520

608

602

578

88 16.9% -5 -0.9% -25 -4.1%

Romania            

Slovenia 136 140 146

165

184

212

215

209

183

175

213

235

231

37 21.1% 22 10.4% -4 -1.7%

Slovakia            

Finland 556

570

818

830

883

972

1,065

1,241

1,261

1,252

176 16.5% 20 1.6% -9 -0.7%

Sweden 5 739 2,489

2,431

2,588

2,579

2,565

2,523

2,628

2,765

2,947

3,118

3,151

182 6.6% 172 5.8% 32 1.0%

United Kingdom 13,170 18,171

18,526 18,596

18,820

18,256

16,751

15,140

21,407

26,300

30,674

32,920

33,635

4,375 16.6% 2,245 7.3% 715 2.2%

Norway 929 950 1,429

1,221

1,407

1,416

1,593

1,582

1,626

1,783

2,015

2,123

2,107

233 13.0% 108 5.3% -16 -0.7%

General government expenditure by function (COFOG) [gov_a_exp]

gf10 - gf1005

country 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009-2008   2010-2009   2011-2010  

EU27            

Belgium            

Bulgaria 1,839 2,163 2,303

2,420

2,412

2,544

2,485

2,712

2,859

3,154

3,793

3,794

3,731

639 20.2% 1 0.0% -63 -1.7%

Czech Republic 10,405 10,925 11,280

12,650

12,891

12,220

12,549

13,189

14,212

14,305

14,958

15,031

15,279

652 4.6% 74 0.5% 247 1.6%

Denmark 34,667 35,465 36,750

37,376

38,773

39,467

40,360

41,474

42,482

43,432

44,935

45,889

45,709

1,503 3.5% 954 2.1% -180 -0.4%

Germany 405,000 407,571

411,018

414,852

412,867

397,420

394,113

394,066

398,179

412,531

414,910

411,673

14,352 3.6% 2,379 0.6% -3,238 -0.8%

Estonia 783 776 790

834

900

995

1,057

1,154

1,247

1,412

1,513

1,482

1,446

101 7.2% -31 -2.1% -36 -2.4%

Ireland 10,654 8,737 1,520 7.6% -235 -1.1% 451 2.1%

92

Page 95: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

10,093 11,594 12,227 13,337 15,633 16,678 18,443 19,940 21,460 21,225 21,676

Greece 25,640

27,161

25,905

25,327

28,012

29,137

31,929

33,929

35,438

34,349

34,194

1,508 4.4% -1,088 -3.1% -155 -0.5%

Spain 83,310 86,097 87,902

91,788

95,579

99,210

103,015

107,330

112,722

117,497

125,223

128,998

7,726 6.6% 3,775 3.0%    

France 301,499 299,102 304,359

311,668

320,400

329,043

337,867

356,252

366,894

374,772

388,725

394,445

399,232

13,954 3.7% 5,720 1.5% 4,787 1.2%

Italy 232,280 232,301 235,826

241,858

246,184

249,236

250,789

254,167

262,248

265,737

275,031

277,014

276,450

9,295 3.5% 1,982 0.7% -564 -0.2%

Cyprus 804 856 902

1,001

1,110

1,241

1,368

1,385

1,362

1,457

1,584

1,700

1,742

127 8.7% 116 7.3% 42 2.5%

Latvia 1,423

1,488

1,704

1,679

1,622

215 14.5% -25 -1.5% -57 -3.4%

Lithuania 1,717 1,622

1,620

1,705

1,854

1,991

2,132

2,637

2,955

3,198

2,845

2,713

243 8.2% -353 -11.0% -132 -4.6%

Luxembourg 3,621 3,701 3,953

4,312

4,641

4,741

4,940

5,105

5,141

5,471

5,875

6,100

6,203

404 7.4% 225 3.8% 103 1.7%

Hungary 10,258 10,288 10,628

11,987

12,883

13,528

14,624

15,729

15,428

15,621

15,305

14,623

14,378

-316 -2.0% -682 -4.5% -245 -1.7%

Malta 579

590

621

626

646

672

718

732

757

765

791

26 3.5% 8 1.0% 26 3.3%

Netherlands 66,811 67,358 68,852

69,390

69,685

69,864

69,284

71,409

73,983

77,990

80,903

83,344

84,459

2,914 3.7% 2,441 3.0% 1,114 1.3%

Austria 44,490 45,220 45,431

46,584

46,919

47,140

47,326

47,898

48,554

49,946

51,992

52,797

52,150

2,046 4.1% 806 1.6% -648 -1.2%

Poland 37,170

39,648

38,956

39,304

41,245

40,950

43,135

46,636

48,909

48,174

3,500 8.1% 2,274 4.9% -735 -1.5%

Portugal 16,041 16,939 17,871

19,101

19,938

20,852

21,565

22,364

22,951

23,575

26,221

26,691

26,117

2,646 11.2% 470 1.8% -574 -2.1%

Romania            

Slovenia 3,741 3,933 4,038

4,208

4,345

4,489

4,638

4,812

4,919

5,151

5,394

5,452

5,478

244 4.7% 58 1.1% 26 0.5%

Slovakia            

Finland 26,822

27,655

28,586

29,338

29,831

30,716

31,324

32,763

33,941

34,869

1,439 4.6% 1,177 3.6% 928 2.7%

Sweden 62,230 62,715 57,342

58,533

61,492

62,298

62,333

63,101

63,725

63,927

65,235

64,700

64,646

1,308 2.0% -535 -0.8% -54 -0.1%

United Kingdom 223,634 229,598

244,572 255,197

267,319

277,744

282,901

282,454

291,388

298,869

319,167

324,898

324,707

20,298 6.8% 5,731 1.8% -190 -0.1%

Norway 30,464 31,506 33,292

34,866

35,835

37,101

38,214

39,831

41,664

43,599

45,824

46,860

49,182

2,225 5.1% 1,036 2.3% 2,322 5.0%

93

Page 96: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

ANNEX B. COFOG expenditure (% GDP) by country, 2000-2011

94

Page 97: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General government (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     46.65 47.23 46.78 46.76 46.25 45.59 47.10 51.05 50.62 49.13Austria 51.94 51.29 50.67 51.32 53.76 49.99 49.14 48.60 49.34 52.63 52.58 50.54Belgium 49.08 49.11 49.77 51.04 49.17 51.87 48.48 48.24 49.80 53.70 52.53 53.27Bulgaria 41.27 40.58 39.56 39.14 38.57 37.27 34.37 39.19 38.39 41.45 37.42 35.63Cyprus 37.07 37.96 40.00 44.56 42.42 43.12 42.57 41.33 42.13 46.25 46.17 46.12Czech Republic 41.65 43.90 45.60 50.00 43.28 43.01 41.97 41.04 41.15 44.68 43.84 43.24Denmark 53.67 54.19 54.57 55.07 54.55 52.79 51.59 50.81 51.52 58.09 57.66 57.63Estonia 36.12 34.80 35.77 34.82 33.98 33.60 33.60 33.98 39.67 45.48 40.69 38.30Finland 48.34 47.95 48.99 50.30 50.22 50.35 49.19 47.39 49.21 56.12 55.77 55.02France 51.69 51.66 52.87 53.40 53.26 53.57 52.98 52.61 53.28 56.77 56.57 55.90Germany 45.10 47.61 47.95 48.46 47.07 46.91 45.35 43.51 44.08 48.21 47.71 45.30Greece 46.74 45.37 45.09 44.74 45.52 44.60 45.25 47.50 50.60 53.95 51.45 51.79Hungary 47.76 47.84 51.51 49.66 49.06 50.10 52.19 50.69 49.24 51.43 49.81 49.61Ireland 31.21 33.16 33.47 33.17 33.58 33.84 34.37 36.85 43.05 48.70 66.09 47.53Italy 45.86 47.71 47.12 48.08 47.53 47.92 48.45 47.63 48.60 51.88 50.40 49.93Latvia 37.61 34.96 35.99 34.91 35.90 35.83 38.32 35.95 39.09 43.71 43.41 38.41Lithuania 38.87 36.64 34.57 33.04 33.22 33.23 33.46 34.63 37.25 43.71 40.82 37.40Luxembourg 37.59 38.13 41.55 41.80 42.57 41.54 38.58 36.26 39.13 44.64 42.85 41.95Malta 39.45 41.22 41.66 45.63 43.60 43.57 43.15 41.77 43.06 42.45 41.96 41.97Netherlands 44.17 45.35 46.21 47.10 46.09 44.79 45.54 45.27 46.22 51.42 51.16 49.82Norway 42.30 44.11 47.06 48.16 45.13 41.80 40.04 40.34 39.77 46.22 45.17 43.92Poland     44.26 44.68 42.62 43.44 43.86 42.19 43.23 44.61 45.42 43.58Portugal 41.62 43.16 43.06 44.68 45.42 46.56 45.22 44.36 44.80 49.75 51.48 49.35Romania 38.56 36.21 35.01 33.45 33.55 33.59 35.54 38.24 39.29 41.10 40.11 39.37Slovakia 52.14 44.46 45.06 40.13 37.67 37.98 36.52 34.21 34.92 41.53 39.97 38.17Slovenia 46.51 47.31 46.20 46.24 45.73 45.30 44.58 42.44 44.33 49.09 50.25 50.73Spain 39.19 38.66 38.91 38.41 38.89 38.44 38.35 39.21 41.46 46.25 46.28 45.15Sweden 55.09 54.52 55.60 55.67 54.18 53.85 52.71 50.95 51.74 54.94 52.33 51.23United Kingdom 36.80 40.24 41.36 42.21 43.05 43.80 44.02 43.70 47.66 51.30 50.36 48.58

95

Page 98: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General public services (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     6.61 6.50 6.39 6.40 6.13 6.16 6.26 6.48 6.50 6.61Austria 7.85 7.99 7.56 7.17 7.02 7.05 6.94 6.82 6.46 6.85 6.81 6.61Belgium 10.79 10.45 10.12 9.91 9.05 8.80 8.08 8.22 8.15 8.80 8.06 7.97Bulgaria 8.99 8.95 7.14 4.29 5.49 6.06 4.67 7.59 5.00 7.44 3.56 3.86Cyprus 9.48 9.55 9.76 11.19 10.48 10.96 10.71 11.09 10.85 11.96 10.66 11.10Czech Republic 3.71 3.99 4.44 4.94 4.71 5.17 4.25 4.23 4.23 4.76 4.63 4.64Denmark 8.32 8.32 7.95 7.54 7.16 6.73 6.51 6.50 6.72 7.50 7.61 7.90Estonia 3.66 3.21 3.78 3.30 2.73 2.85 3.12 3.01 2.81 3.44 3.13 3.20Finland 6.94 6.90 6.54 6.68 6.64 6.71 6.50 6.24 6.60 7.37 7.28 7.33France 7.52 7.32 7.26 7.18 7.21 7.23 6.37 6.74 6.66 6.58 6.31 6.43Germany 6.16 6.01 6.15 6.24 6.08 6.05 5.89 5.80 6.01 6.28 6.22 6.16Greece 11.71 10.67 10.29 9.82 10.46 10.03 10.11 11.50 10.74 11.80 11.86 12.76Hungary 9.91 10.60 9.87 9.24 9.54 9.59 9.67 9.61 9.29 10.33 9.21 8.70Ireland 4.02 3.62 3.43 3.30 3.30 3.27 3.14 3.28 3.65 4.39 4.90 5.40Italy 9.56 9.62 9.38 9.14 8.69 8.79 8.46 8.54 8.80 8.51 8.28 8.62Latvia 4.08 3.78 3.78 3.93 4.18 3.81 4.11 3.95 3.88 4.48 4.37 4.49Lithuania 5.51 5.52 4.47 4.36 4.17 4.19 4.14 3.96 3.86 4.35 4.54 4.52Luxembourg 4.78 4.58 4.68 4.51 4.77 4.51 4.01 3.83 4.23 4.63 4.63 4.76Malta 6.55 6.23 6.32 6.03 7.25 6.61 6.68 6.29 6.62 7.18 6.38 6.60Netherlands 7.15 6.68 6.43 6.27 6.17 6.08 5.85 5.69 5.79 5.72 5.92 5.56Norway 3.98 5.06 5.04 5.14 4.51 4.21 4.32 4.21 4.35 4.91 4.62 4.26Poland     6.00 6.27 6.28 6.25 5.98 5.59 5.44 5.78 5.92 5.84Portugal 5.89 6.09 5.85 6.36 6.47 6.69 6.63 7.02 6.32 7.33 8.40 8.43Romania 7.90 6.45 5.36 4.15 3.91 3.27 3.29 4.33 4.68 4.19 4.43 4.77Slovakia 9.22 7.60 7.17 5.42 5.63 6.07 4.67 3.74 3.68 5.44 6.32 5.88Slovenia 5.97 6.79 5.91 5.70 5.77 5.87 5.59 5.30 5.12 5.67 5.82 6.28Spain 5.69 5.65 5.45 5.19 4.84 4.74 4.69 4.60 4.76 5.28 5.28 5.66Sweden 9.42 8.12 8.57 7.71 7.36 7.49 7.56 7.40 7.51 7.44 7.07 7.36United Kingdom 4.59 4.28 4.03 3.85 4.17 4.38 4.52 4.43 4.52 4.50 5.43 5.64

96

Page 99: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Public order and safety (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     1.81 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.81 1.80 1.85 1.98 1.96 1.90Austria 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.48 1.42 1.46 1.56 1.51 1.47Belgium 1.53 1.58 1.74 1.73 1.64 1.67 1.74 1.68 1.77 1.87 1.85 1.83Bulgaria 2.08 2.78 2.56 2.78 2.82 2.69 2.64 2.95 2.76 3.00 2.66 2.52Cyprus 1.94 1.93 2.03 2.28 2.17 2.11 2.12 2.06 2.12 2.29 2.41 2.26Czech Republic 2.27 2.12 2.06 2.15 2.08 2.11 2.07 2.00 1.98 2.08 2.04 1.84Denmark 0.94 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.06 1.17 1.12 1.13Estonia 2.67 2.43 2.54 2.44 2.19 2.15 2.06 2.17 2.75 2.33 2.25 2.14Finland 1.35 1.35 1.31 1.37 1.32 1.36 1.30 1.25 1.32 1.49 1.55 1.49France 1.40 1.51 1.57 1.61 1.59 1.57 1.53 1.51 1.60 1.76 1.75 1.75Germany 1.60 1.63 1.65 1.64 1.61 1.61 1.57 1.51 1.52 1.66 1.61 1.59Greece 0.70 1.16 1.19 1.55 1.66 1.59 1.49 1.54 1.64 1.90 1.82 1.72Hungary 2.01 2.08 2.32 2.17 2.09 2.04 2.16 2.01 2.04 1.99 1.90 1.93Ireland 1.55 1.60 1.52 1.47 1.50 1.44 1.51 1.60 1.84 1.88 1.84 1.76Italy 1.98 1.90 1.96 2.03 1.96 1.97 1.91 1.87 1.83 2.02 2.03 2.01Latvia 2.41 2.29 2.35 2.36 2.43 2.35 2.78 2.66 2.31 2.09 1.95 1.84Lithuania 2.04 1.93 1.91 1.87 1.86 1.76 1.81 1.71 1.90 1.93 1.95 1.93Luxembourg 0.86 0.93 1.01 1.06 1.06 1.02 0.94 0.87 0.95 1.04 1.04 1.05Malta 1.53 1.61 1.57 1.64 1.62 1.54 1.46 1.44 1.45 1.51 1.46 1.44Netherlands 1.63 1.71 1.85 1.91 1.90 1.85 1.92 1.95 1.99 2.18 2.10 2.07Norway 0.99 1.00 1.15 1.11 1.04 0.90 0.86 0.88 0.85 0.99 0.97 0.96Poland     1.49 1.69 1.58 1.71 1.82 1.83 1.95 1.95 1.93 1.83Portugal 1.66 1.71 1.81 1.99 1.93 1.96 1.91 1.82 1.90 2.06 2.02 1.98Romania 2.25 1.58 1.99 1.85 1.83 2.11 2.39 2.45 2.25 2.16 2.42 2.20Slovakia 2.72 2.76 2.65 1.94 2.34 2.05 2.06 1.89 2.04 2.41 2.62 2.44Slovenia 1.83 1.89 1.88 1.92 1.86 1.67 1.69 1.59 1.58 1.71 1.79 1.66Spain 1.74 1.89 1.86 1.85 1.84 1.81 1.84 1.92 2.02 2.13 2.26 2.18Sweden 1.32 1.36 1.40 1.41 1.35 1.33 1.34 1.34 1.37 1.45 1.44 1.41United Kingdom 2.21 2.27 2.38 2.42 2.55 2.58 2.51 2.51 2.66 2.83 2.71 2.56

97

Page 100: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Police services (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.81 0.79 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.80 0.75 0.77 0.82 0.79 0.77Belgium                        Bulgaria 1.33 1.94 1.68 1.89 1.78 1.52 1.61 1.64 1.52 1.53 1.33 1.26Cyprus 1.51 1.49 1.57 1.76 1.68 1.64 1.64 1.59 1.64 1.77 1.88 1.75Czech Republic 1.23 1.15 1.10 1.17 1.12 1.13 1.13 1.06 1.04 1.09 1.07 0.94Denmark 0.51 0.53 0.53 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.58 0.62 0.60 0.60Estonia 1.34 1.23 1.27 1.19 1.25 1.28 1.21 1.30 1.20 1.26 1.10 0.97Finland     0.57 0.60 0.58 0.59 0.54 0.51 0.54 0.59 0.63 0.61France 0.88 0.91 0.95 0.97 0.94 0.93 0.89 0.88 0.93 1.03 1.02 1.02Germany 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.76 0.74 0.71 0.71 0.78 0.76 0.75Greece   0.78 0.79 1.00 1.09 1.05 0.99 1.01 0.98 1.12 1.02 1.04Hungary 1.20 1.21 1.44 1.29 1.14 1.14 1.30 1.22 1.21 1.16 1.10 1.08Ireland 0.93 0.95 0.86 0.83 0.86 0.84 0.88 0.93 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.05Italy 1.22 1.17 1.19 1.24 1.24 1.21 1.19 1.15 1.12 1.28 1.29 1.22Latvia               1.60 1.26 1.08 1.03 0.97Lithuania 1.09 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.79 0.76 0.77 0.72 0.78 0.84 0.77 0.68Luxembourg 0.48 0.53 0.56 0.58 0.60 0.56 0.51 0.47 0.51 0.56 0.57 0.55Malta   1.06 0.93 0.95 0.99 0.90 0.89 0.85 0.88 0.93 0.89 0.86Netherlands 0.75 0.77 0.81 0.83 0.83 0.79 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.93 0.86 0.85Norway 0.46 0.47 0.52 0.49 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.47 0.48 0.47Poland     0.63 0.71 0.69 0.74 0.78 0.78 0.87 0.92 0.89 0.86Portugal 1.08 1.13 1.11 1.21 1.21 1.22 1.17 1.14 1.17 1.28 1.23 1.20Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.86 0.94 0.95 0.97 0.95 0.78 0.77 0.69 0.68 0.78 0.79 0.71Spain 1.15 1.26 1.22 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.24 1.28 1.34 1.40 1.47  Sweden   0.60 0.61 0.62 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.66United Kingdom 1.11 1.21 1.28 1.29 1.34 1.36 1.35 1.35 1.43 1.56 1.51 1.42

98

Page 101: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Fire-protection services (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.17Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.20 0.32 0.33 0.21 0.31 0.37 0.20 0.22 0.33 0.39 0.25 0.27Cyprus 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.24Czech Republic 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.23Denmark 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10Estonia 0.36 0.35 0.39 0.36 0.33 0.30 0.29 0.27 0.38 0.37 0.32 0.30Finland     0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.28 0.32 0.34 0.32France 0.15 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30Germany 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.22 0.22Greece   0.19 0.19 0.23 0.24 0.23 0.21 0.24 0.23 0.29 0.23 0.22Hungary 0.22 0.33 0.26 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.24 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.29Ireland 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.20 0.24 0.21 0.21Italy 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16Latvia               0.22 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.16Lithuania 0.23 0.19 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.29 0.26 0.28 0.30 0.28 0.27Luxembourg 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.15Malta   0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08Netherlands 0.22 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.30 0.31 0.30Norway 0.15 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.19 0.18 0.18Poland     0.22 0.24 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.21Portugal 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.17Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.18Spain 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.18  Sweden 0.24 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.21United Kingdom 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.24

99

Page 102: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Law courts (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.28 0.31 0.30 0.29Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.39 0.36 0.39 0.48 0.57 0.59 0.65 0.78 0.74 0.73   0.66Cyprus 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15Czech Republic 0.36 0.34 0.32 0.33 0.31 0.34 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.34 0.31 0.31Denmark 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.24 0.21 0.23Estonia 0.25 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.27 0.25 0.24 0.26 0.35 0.31 0.21 0.18Finland     0.27 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.29 0.29 0.27France 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.24Germany 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.44 0.43 0.41 0.41 0.44 0.42 0.41Greece   0.20 0.20 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.23 0.31 0.42 0.30 0.31Hungary 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.46 0.47 0.45 0.41 0.44 0.43 0.40 0.40Ireland 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.23 0.20 0.23 0.25 0.29 0.28 0.29 0.26Italy 0.39 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.33 0.37 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.35 0.38Latvia               0.44 0.44 0.42 0.39 0.44Lithuania 0.39 0.46 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.32 0.30 0.27Luxembourg 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.24 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.23 0.21Malta   0.34 0.40 0.45 0.41 0.41 0.34 0.35 0.34 0.35 0.33 0.35Netherlands 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.30 0.29 0.33 0.33 0.33Norway 0.15 0.16 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.16Poland     0.47 0.57 0.52 0.58 0.62 0.63 0.65 0.60 0.59 0.52Portugal 0.27 0.27 0.38 0.44 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.36 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.40Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.59 0.59 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.52 0.50 0.52 0.56 0.59 0.55Spain 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.40 0.40  Sweden 0.00 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.30 0.29 0.29United Kingdom 0.56 0.53 0.55 0.57 0.63 0.62 0.58 0.55 0.58 0.60 0.54 0.53

100

Page 103: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Prisons (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.11 0.15 0.16 0.19 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.13Cyprus 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11Czech Republic 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.17Denmark 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.19 0.19Estonia 0.51 0.49 0.57 0.54 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.18 0.62 0.29 0.23 0.20Finland     0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.13France 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16Germany 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.10Greece   0.00 0.00 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.07 0.07 0.07Hungary 0.16 0.16 0.21 0.18 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.17Ireland 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.23 0.23 0.21 0.21Italy 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.24Latvia               0.22 0.23 0.20 0.16 0.16Lithuania 0.24 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.19 0.21 0.23 0.20 0.19Luxembourg 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.13Malta   0.14 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.15Netherlands 0.30 0.29 0.35 0.35 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.38 0.41 0.44 0.42 0.41Norway 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.13Poland     0.16 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.18Portugal 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.10Spain 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.18  Sweden   0.19 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.25 0.25 0.24United Kingdom 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.33 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.38 0.33

101

Page 104: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

R&D Public order and safety (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01Belgium                        Bulgaria               0.12   0.02 0.01 0.02Cyprus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Czech Republic 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Denmark 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Estonia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Finland     0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00France 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Germany 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01Greece   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Hungary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Ireland 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Italy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Latvia               0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Lithuania 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Luxembourg 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Malta   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00Netherlands 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01Norway 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Poland     0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Portugal 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Spain 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  Sweden   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00United Kingdom 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

102

Page 105: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Public order and safety n.e.c. (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.17 0.92 0.18Cyprus 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Czech Republic 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.18Denmark 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Estonia 0.21 0.14 0.11 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.10 0.39 0.50Finland     0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.16France 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03Germany 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09Greece   0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.07Hungary 0.09 0.03 0.04 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Ireland 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03Italy 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00Latvia               0.19 0.18 0.18 0.15 0.10Lithuania 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.19 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.23 0.23 0.40 0.53Luxembourg 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01Malta   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Netherlands 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.17Norway 0.12 0.12 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Poland     0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06Portugal 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.16 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.08 0.16 0.18 0.13 0.11 0.14 0.12Spain 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.07 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03  Sweden 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01United Kingdom 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.05

103

Page 106: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Health (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     6.42 6.57 6.62 6.71 6.79 6.71 6.94 7.58 7.46 7.33Austria 8.36 7.00 7.12 7.61 7.59 7.62 7.56 7.54 7.76 8.23 8.14 7.76Belgium 6.30 6.51 6.49 7.01 6.91 6.93 6.72 6.79 7.23 7.81 7.72 7.88Bulgaria 3.57 2.49 4.98 5.33 5.16 4.76 4.04 4.10 4.53 4.23 4.69 4.60Cyprus 2.67 2.86 3.11 3.38 3.11 3.05 3.12 2.90 2.98 3.28 3.31 3.39Czech Republic 6.74 6.97 7.18 7.35 7.03 6.90 6.88 6.87 6.91 7.70 7.80 7.81Denmark 6.59 6.81 7.03 7.09 7.14 7.19 7.30 7.47 7.70 8.76 8.43 8.35Estonia 4.27 4.06 4.18 4.10 4.04 4.08 4.17 4.33 5.20 5.64 5.32 5.09Finland 5.74 5.86 6.18 6.48 6.63 6.85 6.87 6.62 7.01 7.95 7.90 7.83France 7.06 7.11 7.37 7.61 7.67 7.75 7.71 7.62 7.64 8.10 8.18 8.24Germany 6.63 6.73 6.89 6.99 6.62 6.71 6.61 6.53 6.66 7.34 7.15 7.04Greece 3.92 5.10 4.97 5.22 5.47 5.90 6.47 6.36 7.13 7.43 7.12 5.98Hungary 4.96 4.88 5.46 5.75 5.49 5.63 5.61 4.95 4.91 5.08 5.16 5.14Ireland 5.53 6.20 6.54 6.80 7.08 6.52 6.47 6.83 7.64 8.35 8.02 7.42Italy 5.98 6.25 6.34 6.36 6.72 6.94 7.05 6.83 7.17 7.57 7.54 7.36Latvia 3.96 3.23 3.72 3.40 3.51 4.31 4.89 4.30 4.61 4.70 4.18 4.11Lithuania 4.05 4.66 4.27 4.26 4.14 4.95 4.56 4.62 4.97 5.56 5.44 5.25Luxembourg 4.10 4.81 4.67 4.79 5.10 5.20 4.64 4.43 4.69 5.33 4.96 4.76Malta 4.76 4.88 5.53 5.73 5.89 6.26 6.25 5.66 5.30 5.40 5.45 5.59Netherlands 4.94 5.07 5.46 5.75 5.74 5.72 7.20 7.28 7.29 8.27 8.32 8.47Norway 6.89 7.17 7.89 8.17 7.70 7.21 6.83 6.92 6.63 7.56 7.43 7.26Poland     4.36 4.29 4.15 4.42 4.64 4.55 5.05 5.13 4.99 4.74Portugal 6.21 6.44 6.48 6.68 6.94 7.17 6.68 6.59 6.57 7.25 6.74 6.83Romania 4.18 4.09 4.12 3.45 2.54 2.69 2.69 3.10 3.22 3.83 3.62 3.38Slovakia 5.22 4.91 5.02 6.47 4.66 4.85 5.84 6.41 6.95 7.80 6.39 5.92Slovenia 6.42 6.60 6.53 6.45 6.41 6.31 6.27 5.92 6.18 7.02 6.90 6.86Spain 5.23 5.14 5.18 5.22 5.49 5.67 5.65 5.71 6.07 6.82 6.62 6.35Sweden 6.08 6.51 6.78 6.95 6.73 6.72 6.63 6.62 6.86 7.38 7.04 7.04United Kingdom 5.67 5.91 6.19 6.33 6.75 6.90 7.10 7.06 7.50 8.38 8.21 8.02

104

Page 107: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Medical products, appliances and equipment (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 1.13 1.13 1.17 1.21 1.20 1.16 1.15 1.17 1.22 1.19 1.16 1.12Belgium                        Bulgaria             0.52 0.45 0.43 0.48 0.52 0.70Cyprus 0.49 0.63 0.71 0.69 0.54 0.57 0.62 0.63 0.67 0.71 0.71 0.73Czech Republic 1.23 1.24 1.33 1.39 1.42 1.40 1.15 1.07 1.03 1.17 1.10 1.10Denmark 0.37 0.40 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.52 0.51 0.53 0.50 0.47Estonia 0.53 0.64 0.67 0.54 0.61 0.56 0.52 0.53 0.60 0.76 0.75 0.68Finland     0.60 0.63 0.67 0.69 0.67 0.64 0.70 0.73 0.70 0.68France 1.21 1.27 1.31 1.36 1.38 1.37 1.32 1.33 1.32 1.61 1.60 1.60Germany 1.54 1.62 1.62 1.66 1.47 1.55 1.53 1.55 1.59 1.75 1.68 1.59Greece   0.89 1.01 1.10 1.46 1.37 1.85 1.81 2.42 2.62 2.43 2.08Hungary 1.32 1.35 1.39 1.50 1.57 1.68 1.76 1.42 1.37 1.50 1.46 1.48Ireland 0.56 0.65 0.69 0.72 0.78 0.87 0.93 0.98 1.27 1.28 1.32 1.20Italy 0.79 0.99 0.96 0.89 0.92 0.89 0.89 0.81 0.78 0.81 0.78 0.71Latvia               0.37 0.46 0.51 0.56 0.52Lithuania 0.78 0.93 0.95 0.86 0.81 0.85 0.81 0.79 0.79 1.00 0.90 0.84Luxembourg 3.86 4.24 4.33 4.35 4.51 4.51 4.15 4.02 4.27 4.75 4.44 4.24Malta   0.33 0.38 0.40 0.47 0.67 1.09 1.25 0.40 0.81 0.62 0.78Netherlands 0.76 0.78 0.81 0.86 0.84 0.84 1.11 1.14 1.08 1.24 1.26 1.25Norway 0.59 0.27 0.85 0.84 0.74 0.67 0.60 0.57 0.51 0.55 0.54 0.49Poland     0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05Portugal 0.99 1.26 1.07 1.75 1.97 2.05 1.19 1.14 1.17 1.35 1.40 1.38Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 1.08 1.18 1.18 1.20 1.18 1.19 1.15 1.05 1.03 1.12 1.11 1.10Spain 1.15 1.16 1.21 1.21 1.26 1.26 1.19 1.15 1.19 1.31 1.29  Sweden 0.04 0.90 0.93 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.85 0.86 0.90 0.85 0.81United Kingdom 0.00 0.08 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.05

105

Page 108: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Outpatient services (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 1.51 1.50 1.53 1.54 1.55 1.52 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.61 1.58 1.55Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.39 1.14 0.16 0.52 1.37 1.12 0.92 1.02 1.18 1.03 1.19 1.20Cyprus 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.13 0.13Czech Republic 1.31 1.33 1.35 1.50 1.46 1.43 1.39 1.39 1.46 1.67 1.69 1.74Denmark 0.91 0.93 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 1.08 1.11 1.25 1.22 1.23Estonia 0.58 0.53 0.45 0.44 0.36 0.36 0.34 0.39 0.43 0.50 0.46 0.43Finland     2.49 2.61 2.66 2.77 2.82 2.80 2.97 3.44 3.45 3.45France 2.45 2.43 2.54 2.66 2.71 2.70 2.75 2.74 2.77 2.74 2.77 2.78Germany 1.90 1.91 2.01 2.05 1.92 1.92 1.91 1.88 1.93 2.12 2.06 2.04Greece   0.55 0.53 0.56 0.64 0.57 0.74 0.69 0.84 0.82 0.72 0.67Hungary 0.98 0.98 1.06 1.18 1.12 1.09 1.02 1.02 1.16 1.20 1.40 1.39Ireland 1.96 2.13 2.39 2.45 2.54 3.03 3.07 3.25 3.77 4.01 3.97 3.46Italy 1.75 1.79 1.85 1.88 1.97 2.13 2.13 2.10 2.21 2.39 2.42 2.37Latvia               0.93 1.01 0.93 0.59 0.57Lithuania 1.20 1.40 1.26 1.22 1.20 1.53 1.35 1.36 1.50 1.70 1.69 1.59Luxembourg 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.18 0.18 0.20Malta   0.62 0.61 0.63 0.67 0.64 0.63 0.66 0.77 0.88 0.90 0.97Netherlands 1.61 1.69 1.86 2.06 1.66 1.90 1.96 1.96 1.95 2.30 2.28 2.36Norway 1.79 0.99 0.99 1.49 1.51 1.57 1.49 1.49 1.44 1.69 1.75 1.71Poland     1.76 1.40 1.51 1.67 1.74 1.60 1.70 1.51 1.67 1.58Portugal 1.77 1.64 1.88 2.33 2.34 2.31 3.52 3.91 3.93 4.76 4.72 4.75Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 2.19 2.22 2.19 2.11 2.13 2.10 2.09 2.02 2.09 2.38 2.38 2.36Spain 3.89 3.77 3.77 3.83 4.05 4.24 4.26 4.34 4.65 5.24 5.10  Sweden 0.07 2.70 2.80 2.88 2.79 2.81 2.84 2.89 3.04 3.22 3.16 3.15United Kingdom 0.03 0.29 0.40 0.42 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.46 0.48 0.52 0.51 0.50

106

Page 109: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Hospital services (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 5.06 3.74 3.82 4.22 4.15 4.24 4.18 4.12 4.32 4.68 4.66 4.37Belgium                        Bulgaria 1.22 0.57 2.77 3.13 3.16 3.21 2.29 2.26 2.16 2.59 2.84 2.30Cyprus 2.06 2.12 2.27 2.54 2.44 2.35 2.36 2.12 2.17 2.39 2.43 2.47Czech Republic 3.15 3.29 3.42 2.78 2.69 2.64 2.76 2.80 2.85 3.20 3.28 3.27Denmark 4.99 5.13 5.30 5.41 5.46 5.53 5.62 5.50 5.72 6.56 6.31 6.26Estonia 3.00 2.75 2.92 2.95 2.91 2.97 3.15 3.22 3.95 4.17 3.88 3.79Finland     2.74 2.91 2.98 3.07 3.08 2.84 3.00 3.42 3.43 3.38France 3.25 3.25 3.33 3.41 3.39 3.47 3.42 3.33 3.34 3.51 3.54 3.61Germany 2.62 2.63 2.68 2.69 2.66 2.67 2.64 2.57 2.60 2.87 2.82 2.80Greece   3.15 2.93 2.98 2.78 3.50 3.43 3.43 3.40 3.63 3.69 2.97Hungary 2.07 1.92 2.13 2.32 2.08 2.08 2.08 1.83 1.82 1.79 1.90 1.88Ireland 2.49 2.80 2.89 3.01 3.12 2.47 2.31 2.41 2.37 2.54 2.30 2.22Italy 3.31 3.33 3.38 3.44 3.66 3.77 3.87 3.76 4.01 4.19 4.17 4.12Latvia               2.65 2.76 2.92 2.60 2.49Lithuania 1.82 2.17 1.91 1.92 1.87 2.28 2.08 2.09 2.27 2.54 2.51 2.36Luxembourg 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.02Malta   3.53 4.00 4.20 4.31 4.61 4.22 3.36 3.74 3.17 3.51 3.35Netherlands 2.13 2.16 2.36 2.39 2.81 2.49 3.66 3.59 3.65 4.03 4.09 4.15Norway 4.19 5.61 5.63 5.42 5.06 4.62 4.42 4.53 4.33 4.87 4.63 4.56Poland     2.35 2.33 2.38 2.46 2.57 2.61 3.03 3.09 3.02 2.89Portugal 3.37 3.44 3.42 2.45 2.46 2.63 1.77 1.30 1.27 1.00 0.43 0.52Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 2.60 2.65 2.63 2.62 2.58 2.52 2.51 2.41 2.62 3.04 2.87 2.87Spain                        Sweden 0.25 2.53 2.65 2.77 2.66 2.61 2.54 2.50 2.56 2.79 2.57 2.58United Kingdom 5.54 5.41 5.56 5.67 6.07 6.18 6.37 6.33 6.82 7.63 7.47 7.29

107

Page 110: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Public health services (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.44 0.23 0.09 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.13 0.23 0.11 0.11 0.20Cyprus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Czech Republic 0.66 0.67 0.66 1.30 1.19 1.15 1.34 1.37 1.31 1.36 1.43 1.42Denmark 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.13 0.13 0.13Estonia 0.02 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02Finland     0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02France 0.06 0.06 0.10 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.13 0.11 0.10Germany 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.03Greece   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Hungary 0.22 0.27 0.30 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.23 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.15 0.14Ireland 0.27 0.34 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.01Italy 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05Latvia               0.15 0.14 0.09 0.05 0.04Lithuania   0.01 0.02 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07Luxembourg 0.04 0.08 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.08 0.07 0.07Malta   0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.12Netherlands 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.17Norway 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.23 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.26 0.26 0.25Poland     0.09 0.41 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.16 0.14 0.35 0.12 0.08Portugal 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.21 0.14Spain 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.14 0.10  Sweden 0.00 0.17 0.18 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.16 0.17 0.21 0.18 0.19United Kingdom 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02

108

Page 111: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

R&D Health (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.20Belgium                        Bulgaria                        Cyprus 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.05Czech Republic 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Denmark 0.14 0.16 0.15 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01Estonia 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.08 0.13 0.12Finland     0.09 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07France 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.07 0.07 0.07Germany 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06Greece   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Hungary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02Ireland 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Italy 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06Latvia               0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Lithuania 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02Luxembourg 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.08Malta   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02Netherlands 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.19 0.19 0.19Norway 0.05 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03Poland     0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Portugal 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.08Spain 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07  Sweden 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.11 0.11United Kingdom 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.08

109

Page 112: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Social protection (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     18.19 18.49 18.33 18.23 17.93 17.58 18.04 19.99 19.89 19.62Austria 21.07 20.93 21.17 21.32 20.90 20.59 20.17 19.77 20.00 21.77 21.72 21.03Belgium 17.00 17.23 17.65 18.00 18.10 17.96 17.83 17.47 18.04 19.79 19.37 19.52Bulgaria 13.17 13.54 12.84 12.35 12.05 11.00 10.89 10.67 11.17 13.60 13.46 12.89Cyprus 7.88 7.91 8.68 9.42 9.98 10.65 10.30 9.49 9.80 10.99 11.69 12.05Czech Republic 12.96 12.89 14.01 13.76 12.54 12.31 12.29 12.48 12.46 13.71 13.60 13.69Denmark 22.53 22.92 23.23 24.14 23.97 23.22 22.46 21.97 22.16 25.12 25.25 25.23Estonia 10.67 10.15 9.93 9.87 10.17 9.78 9.41 9.33 11.60 15.79 14.59 13.09Finland 20.34 20.09 20.79 21.38 21.34 21.24 20.72 20.00 20.40 23.98 24.00 23.71France 20.53 20.52 20.91 21.49 21.54 21.64 21.97 21.84 22.25 23.87 23.88 23.79Germany 21.03 20.98 21.25 21.70 21.33 21.33 20.49 19.36 19.28 21.23 20.50 19.60Greece 17.01 16.58 16.95 15.13 14.43 15.30 15.07 16.01 16.98 18.45 18.91 20.37Hungary 14.92 14.57 15.49 16.07 16.10 16.99 17.67 17.64 17.79 18.59 17.71 17.09Ireland 8.31 8.75 9.39 9.53 9.91 10.74 10.84 11.66 13.88 16.90 17.28 17.06Italy 17.41 17.30 17.63 17.93 17.91 17.98 17.99 18.10 18.71 20.41 20.46 20.48Latvia 13.21 12.03 11.53 10.85 10.46 9.89 9.55 8.52 9.62 14.14 13.73 12.11Lithuania 12.55 11.65 10.73 10.28 10.20 9.88 9.82 10.88 12.31 16.76 14.46 12.65Luxembourg 15.68 16.46 17.21 17.73 17.71 17.38 16.39 15.31 16.84 19.38 18.52 18.11Malta 12.20 13.15 13.38 13.53 13.75 13.71 13.72 13.86 13.68 14.58 14.34 14.39Netherlands 15.63 15.63 15.89 16.23 16.05 15.53 15.24 14.95 15.26 16.99 17.22 17.17Norway 15.65 16.50 17.78 18.31 17.54 16.24 15.38 15.47 15.23 17.92 17.70 17.49Poland     18.34 18.82 17.58 16.96 16.87 15.62 15.60 16.45 16.85 15.93Portugal 12.04 12.47 13.14 14.16 14.62 15.16 15.42 15.29 15.74 17.87 18.00 18.12Romania 10.90 11.14 10.12 10.05 10.97 11.07 11.00 11.22 12.41 14.60 14.91 14.12Slovakia 14.50 14.56 14.93 12.82 12.14 13.20 12.35 10.60 10.15 12.29 12.23 11.95Slovenia 17.25 17.12 17.04 17.01 16.87 16.86 16.38 15.48 15.87 17.98 18.60 18.94Spain 13.06 12.83 12.97 12.96 12.99 12.90 12.86 13.05 14.06 16.34 16.98 16.87Sweden 23.25 22.98 23.07 23.88 23.53 22.99 22.26 21.15 21.09 22.88 21.59 20.75United Kingdom 14.82 15.21 15.43 15.59 15.69 15.65 15.29 15.26 15.94 17.93 17.96 17.89

110

Page 113: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Social exclusion n.e.c. (% GDP)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.79 0.76 0.78 0.69 0.68 0.76 0.74 0.75 0.81 0.88 0.89 0.89Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.47 0.30 0.28   0.22 0.21 0.16 0.11 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.01Cyprus 0.92 0.99 1.13 1.36 1.38 1.43 1.37 1.42 1.59 2.13 2.19 2.23Czech Republic 0.54 0.53 0.60 0.58 0.73 0.44 0.44 0.35 0.35 0.41 0.44 0.46Denmark 1.35 1.52 1.48 1.46 1.46 1.26 0.96 1.08 1.10 1.34 1.38 1.45Estonia 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.16 0.17 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.13 0.16 0.16Finland     0.38 0.38 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.57 0.63 0.80 0.80 0.78France 0.99 0.96 1.01 1.04 0.62 0.63 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.77 0.79 0.76Germany 0.87 0.79 0.77 0.83 0.82 0.42 0.40 0.34 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.32Greece   0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.09 0.05 0.10Hungary 1.50 1.20 1.35 1.28 1.38 1.62 1.82 1.48 1.28 1.43 0.76 0.72Ireland 0.47 0.49 0.52 0.57 0.54 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.66 0.79 0.77 0.73Italy 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.09Latvia               0.26 0.31 0.40 0.47 0.50Lithuania         0.23 0.21 0.19 0.18 0.23 0.37 0.71 0.76Luxembourg 0.58 0.63 0.62 0.80 0.78 0.76 0.68 0.63 0.67 0.80 0.78 0.77Malta   0.17 0.18 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.30 0.34 0.36 0.39 0.38 0.36Netherlands 1.41 1.43 1.39 1.31 1.27 1.29 1.66 1.64 1.74 1.91 2.06 2.05Norway 0.46 0.68 0.60 0.69 0.64 0.65 0.60 0.59 0.61 0.77 0.78 0.73Poland     0.25 0.23 0.20 0.20 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.31 0.28Portugal 0.28 0.26 0.27 0.24 0.24 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.33 0.39 0.38 0.37Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.58 0.59 0.64 0.69 0.76 0.75 0.69 0.56 0.53 0.68 0.76 0.75Spain 0.17 0.15 0.27 0.28 0.31 0.30 0.25 0.24 0.22 0.25 0.26  Sweden 0.27 0.91 0.88 0.92 0.89 0.86 0.81 0.81 0.86 0.96 0.96 0.94United Kingdom 1.14 1.13 1.10 1.07 1.01 0.91 0.80 1.10 1.37 1.68 1.77 1.81

111

Page 114: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

ANNEX C. COFOG expenditure (% total public expenditure) by country, 2000-2011

112

Page 115: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

General public services (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     14.18 13.77 13.67 13.68 13.25 13.51 13.30 12.70 12.84 13.46Austria 15.12 15.57 14.91 13.97 13.06 14.11 14.12 14.03 13.10 13.03 12.96 13.07Belgium 21.99 21.28 20.33 19.42 18.40 16.96 16.66 17.03 16.37 16.40 15.35 14.96Bulgaria 21.79 22.05 18.05 10.96 14.23 16.26 13.58 19.37 13.02 17.95 9.51 10.84Cyprus 25.57 25.17 24.40 25.11 24.71 25.42 25.16 26.83 25.75 25.86 23.10 24.07Czech Republic 8.91 9.10 9.74 9.88 10.88 12.03 10.14 10.30 10.27 10.65 10.56 10.73Denmark 15.51 15.35 14.57 13.69 13.13 12.76 12.63 12.79 13.05 12.92 13.21 13.71Estonia 10.13 9.22 10.56 9.46 8.04 8.48 9.29 8.86 7.08 7.57 7.69 8.35Finland 14.35 14.40 13.35 13.28 13.23 13.33 13.22 13.17 13.41 13.12 13.06 13.32France 14.54 14.18 13.72 13.44 13.54 13.49 12.03 12.81 12.50 11.59 11.16 11.51Germany 13.65 12.63 12.82 12.88 12.92 12.89 13.00 13.33 13.63 13.03 13.03 13.60Greece 25.04 23.53 22.82 21.94 22.98 22.49 22.34 24.20 21.24 21.88 23.06 24.64Hungary 20.75 22.16 19.16 18.60 19.44 19.15 18.53 18.96 18.86 20.08 18.48 17.53Ireland 12.87 10.92 10.26 9.94 9.82 9.67 9.15 8.89 8.48 9.01 7.42 11.36Italy 20.86 20.17 19.91 19.01 18.28 18.34 17.45 17.94 18.11 16.40 16.42 17.27Latvia 10.85 10.82 10.49 11.26 11.64 10.62 10.72 10.98 9.92 10.25 10.08 11.68Lithuania 14.19 15.07 12.93 13.19 12.56 12.61 12.37 11.42 10.36 9.95 11.11 12.09Luxembourg 12.72 12.00 11.26 10.79 11.20 10.86 10.39 10.56 10.80 10.36 10.82 11.36Malta 16.60 15.12 15.18 13.22 16.62 15.18 15.49 15.06 15.38 16.91 15.20 15.73Netherlands 16.18 14.72 13.92 13.31 13.38 13.58 12.84 12.57 12.53 11.13 11.58 11.16Norway 9.40 11.48 10.70 10.67 9.99 10.08 10.79 10.44 10.93 10.63 10.24 9.70Poland     13.55 14.03 14.74 14.39 13.64 13.25 12.59 12.96 13.03 13.41Portugal 14.16 14.12 13.58 14.23 14.24 14.37 14.66 15.82 14.10 14.74 16.31 17.09Romania 20.49 17.82 15.30 12.41 11.64 9.74 9.24 11.34 11.90 10.19 11.05 12.11Slovakia 17.68 17.10 15.92 13.49 14.95 15.98 12.80 10.93 10.54 13.10 15.81 15.39Slovenia 12.83 14.36 12.80 12.34 12.62 12.96 12.53 12.48 11.54 11.55 11.58 12.38Spain 14.51 14.60 14.01 13.50 12.45 12.34 12.22 11.72 11.47 11.41 11.41 12.53Sweden 17.10 14.89 15.41 13.85 13.59 13.90 14.34 14.52 14.52 13.54 13.51 14.37United Kingdom 12.48 10.64 9.74 9.11 9.68 10.01 10.28 10.13 9.49 8.76 10.78 11.61

113

Page 116: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Public order and safety (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     3.88 3.89 3.93 3.93 3.92 3.95 3.92 3.87 3.86 3.87Austria 2.89 2.92 2.96 2.91 2.78 2.98 3.02 2.91 2.96 2.96 2.88 2.90Belgium 3.12 3.21 3.49 3.40 3.33 3.23 3.58 3.47 3.55 3.49 3.52 3.44Bulgaria 5.05 6.86 6.47 7.09 7.31 7.23 7.69 7.54 7.20 7.23 7.10 7.06Cyprus 5.24 5.08 5.08 5.11 5.11 4.90 4.98 5.00 5.04 4.96 5.21 4.91Czech Republic 5.45 4.82 4.51 4.29 4.80 4.91 4.94 4.89 4.80 4.66 4.65 4.25Denmark 1.76 1.82 1.83 1.84 1.88 1.93 1.94 1.97 2.06 2.02 1.94 1.97Estonia 7.38 6.97 7.11 7.01 6.44 6.40 6.12 6.40 6.93 5.11 5.54 5.60Finland 2.80 2.82 2.67 2.73 2.64 2.70 2.64 2.63 2.69 2.66 2.77 2.71France 2.70 2.92 2.97 3.02 2.98 2.93 2.88 2.87 3.01 3.10 3.10 3.12Germany 3.56 3.43 3.44 3.38 3.43 3.44 3.45 3.46 3.44 3.44 3.38 3.52Greece 1.51 2.57 2.64 3.46 3.64 3.57 3.28 3.24 3.25 3.52 3.53 3.31Hungary 4.21 4.35 4.50 4.37 4.25 4.08 4.15 3.97 4.14 3.86 3.81 3.89Ireland 4.96 4.84 4.53 4.44 4.47 4.26 4.38 4.33 4.27 3.86 2.79 3.71Italy 4.32 3.98 4.15 4.22 4.12 4.10 3.94 3.93 3.77 3.90 4.03 4.03Latvia 6.40 6.56 6.53 6.77 6.76 6.55 7.26 7.41 5.92 4.78 4.50 4.79Lithuania 5.26 5.26 5.53 5.67 5.59 5.31 5.42 4.94 5.09 4.42 4.78 5.17Luxembourg 2.29 2.44 2.42 2.53 2.49 2.46 2.44 2.39 2.42 2.33 2.43 2.51Malta 3.87 3.91 3.78 3.59 3.71 3.54 3.38 3.45 3.36 3.56 3.49 3.43Netherlands 3.69 3.76 4.00 4.06 4.13 4.13 4.22 4.31 4.31 4.24 4.11 4.15Norway 2.34 2.27 2.44 2.31 2.30 2.15 2.16 2.18 2.14 2.13 2.16 2.18Poland     3.37 3.79 3.70 3.94 4.14 4.33 4.50 4.37 4.24 4.20Portugal 4.00 3.97 4.20 4.45 4.24 4.21 4.22 4.09 4.23 4.13 3.93 4.01Romania 5.83 4.38 5.69 5.54 5.46 6.28 6.74 6.41 5.72 5.26 6.03 5.58Slovakia 5.21 6.21 5.89 4.83 6.20 5.39 5.63 5.53 5.84 5.80 6.55 6.40Slovenia 3.94 4.00 4.07 4.14 4.07 3.68 3.78 3.75 3.56 3.48 3.56 3.28Spain 4.44 4.89 4.78 4.82 4.74 4.72 4.79 4.91 4.88 4.61 4.89 4.84Sweden 2.39 2.50 2.52 2.54 2.49 2.48 2.55 2.63 2.65 2.65 2.75 2.74United Kingdom 6.00 5.64 5.75 5.73 5.93 5.88 5.69 5.75 5.58 5.52 5.38 5.28

114

Page 117: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Police services (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 1.55 1.54 1.52 1.52 1.45 1.56 1.63 1.54 1.57 1.56 1.51 1.52Belgium                        Bulgaria 3.21 4.78 4.26 4.83 4.61 4.09 4.67 4.18 3.96 3.70 3.55 3.53Cyprus 4.08 3.93 3.92 3.95 3.96 3.80 3.86 3.85 3.90 3.83 4.08 3.79Czech Republic 2.95 2.63 2.42 2.34 2.60 2.64 2.68 2.58 2.54 2.43 2.44 2.18Denmark 0.95 0.97 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.05 1.13 1.07 1.04 1.04Estonia 3.70 3.53 3.54 3.42 3.67 3.80 3.59 3.81 3.03 2.76 2.71 2.53Finland     1.15 1.19 1.15 1.18 1.09 1.08 1.09 1.06 1.13 1.10France 1.70 1.76 1.79 1.81 1.77 1.73 1.68 1.67 1.75 1.82 1.81 1.82Germany 1.71 1.65 1.64 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.64 1.62 1.61 1.59 1.65Greece   1.71 1.76 2.23 2.40 2.35 2.19 2.12 1.93 2.08 1.99 2.01Hungary 2.51 2.53 2.80 2.61 2.33 2.27 2.50 2.41 2.46 2.26 2.21 2.17Ireland 2.98 2.87 2.58 2.50 2.56 2.48 2.55 2.52 2.50 2.24 1.66 2.20Italy 2.66 2.45 2.53 2.58 2.61 2.53 2.45 2.42 2.29 2.46 2.55 2.45Latvia               4.44 3.22 2.47 2.37 2.52Lithuania 2.80 2.59 2.60 2.58 2.37 2.28 2.30 2.07 2.10 1.93 1.88 1.81Luxembourg 1.28 1.38 1.34 1.39 1.41 1.34 1.32 1.28 1.31 1.25 1.32 1.30Malta   2.57 2.23 2.07 2.26 2.06 2.07 2.04 2.04 2.18 2.13 2.04Netherlands 1.70 1.69 1.76 1.76 1.80 1.77 1.85 1.85 1.84 1.80 1.67 1.71Norway 1.08 1.07 1.11 1.01 0.98 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.03 1.02 1.07 1.07Poland     1.42 1.59 1.61 1.71 1.78 1.86 2.00 2.06 1.96 1.97Portugal 2.60 2.62 2.57 2.71 2.67 2.61 2.59 2.56 2.61 2.57 2.38 2.44Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 1.85 1.98 2.06 2.10 2.08 1.72 1.73 1.62 1.55 1.60 1.56 1.40Spain 2.93 3.27 3.13 3.14 3.12 3.14 3.24 3.27 3.24 3.03 3.18  Sweden   1.11 1.10 1.11 1.13 1.14 1.18 1.22 1.24 1.21 1.27 1.28United Kingdom 3.01 3.01 3.09 3.06 3.11 3.10 3.06 3.08 3.00 3.05 2.99 2.92

115

Page 118: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Fire-protection services (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.31 0.29 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.36 0.34 0.35 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.34Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.49 0.80 0.83 0.55 0.81 0.99 0.59 0.56 0.86 0.94 0.67 0.77Cyprus 0.53 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.49 0.50 0.49 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.52Czech Republic 0.68 0.60 0.58 0.53 0.64 0.63 0.66 0.66 0.65 0.63 0.64 0.54Denmark 0.17 0.20 0.21 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17Estonia 0.99 1.01 1.10 1.02 0.97 0.88 0.85 0.79 0.97 0.81 0.79 0.79Finland     0.53 0.55 0.54 0.55 0.57 0.57 0.58 0.58 0.61 0.57France 0.29 0.42 0.43 0.46 0.46 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.52 0.52 0.53Germany 0.46 0.44 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.49Greece   0.42 0.43 0.52 0.53 0.51 0.46 0.50 0.45 0.53 0.44 0.42Hungary 0.46 0.70 0.50 0.45 0.46 0.44 0.46 0.44 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.58Ireland 0.57 0.55 0.56 0.53 0.53 0.49 0.47 0.45 0.46 0.50 0.32 0.45Italy 0.32 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.33Latvia               0.61 0.54 0.49 0.50 0.43Lithuania 0.60 0.53 0.75 0.77 0.74 0.76 0.87 0.74 0.76 0.69 0.68 0.72Luxembourg 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.30 0.29 0.27 0.29 0.26 0.28 0.35Malta   0.17 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.19 0.16 0.18 0.16 0.20 0.18 0.19Netherlands 0.51 0.53 0.54 0.57 0.58 0.60 0.64 0.61 0.59 0.59 0.61 0.59Norway 0.35 0.32 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.39 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.41Poland     0.51 0.53 0.49 0.51 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.54 0.57 0.47Portugal 0.30 0.27 0.28 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.32 0.33 0.34Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.26 0.26 0.29 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.31 0.34 0.35Spain 0.34 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.37 0.33 0.31 0.38  Sweden 0.43 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.42United Kingdom 0.61 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.53 0.52 0.49 0.51 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.49

116

Page 119: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Law courts (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.58 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.56 0.58 0.57 0.56 0.58 0.59 0.57 0.58Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.96 0.88 0.99 1.22 1.47 1.59 1.89 1.99 1.93 1.76   1.85Cyprus 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.32Czech Republic 0.87 0.76 0.70 0.67 0.73 0.78 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.75 0.72 0.71Denmark 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.36 0.40Estonia 0.70 0.62 0.56 0.57 0.79 0.75 0.71 0.76 0.87 0.67 0.51 0.46Finland     0.55 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.52 0.52 0.50France 0.41 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.44Germany 0.95 0.91 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.90 0.88 0.92Greece   0.43 0.45 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.50 0.48 0.62 0.78 0.59 0.60Hungary 0.72 0.71 0.70 0.75 0.94 0.94 0.87 0.82 0.89 0.85 0.80 0.81Ireland 0.59 0.62 0.62 0.64 0.68 0.59 0.66 0.68 0.67 0.58 0.43 0.55Italy 0.84 0.76 0.81 0.82 0.70 0.76 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.77Latvia               1.22 1.12 0.96 0.91 1.14Lithuania 1.01 1.26 1.20 1.27 1.27 1.22 1.19 1.12 1.03 0.74 0.74 0.74Luxembourg 0.48 0.51 0.53 0.56 0.49 0.48 0.49 0.51 0.52 0.51 0.53 0.51Malta   0.84 0.96 0.99 0.93 0.94 0.79 0.85 0.80 0.82 0.79 0.84Netherlands 0.53 0.57 0.63 0.65 0.66 0.67 0.64 0.66 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.67Norway 0.36 0.35 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.41 0.38 0.39 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.36Poland     1.07 1.27 1.22 1.33 1.42 1.49 1.51 1.34 1.30 1.20Portugal 0.65 0.63 0.88 0.99 0.80 0.84 0.89 0.82 0.84 0.78 0.79 0.81Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 1.26 1.25 1.24 1.24 1.25 1.27 1.16 1.19 1.18 1.15 1.17 1.09Spain 0.72 0.76 0.79 0.87 0.81 0.82 0.80 0.83 0.85 0.85 0.87  Sweden 0.00 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.49 0.53 0.56 0.54 0.54 0.56 0.57United Kingdom 1.53 1.33 1.33 1.34 1.47 1.41 1.31 1.26 1.23 1.17 1.06 1.08

117

Page 120: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Prisons (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.26 0.29 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.27 0.37 0.39 0.47 0.42 0.41 0.43 0.40 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.36Cyprus 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.24 0.24Czech Republic 0.55 0.48 0.45 0.43 0.47 0.50 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.43 0.40Denmark 0.28 0.30 0.28 0.29 0.31 0.36 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.33Estonia 1.42 1.40 1.60 1.55 0.51 0.56 0.50 0.52 1.57 0.64 0.57 0.52Finland     0.28 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.23France 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.28Germany 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.23 0.22 0.23Greece   0.00 0.00 0.12 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.24 0.13 0.14 0.14Hungary 0.34 0.34 0.41 0.37 0.37 0.33 0.31 0.30 0.34 0.30 0.34 0.34Ireland 0.72 0.67 0.67 0.63 0.56 0.60 0.62 0.58 0.54 0.48 0.32 0.44Italy 0.49 0.46 0.49 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.44 0.48 0.48Latvia               0.61 0.58 0.45 0.37 0.43Lithuania 0.62 0.60 0.68 0.74 0.64 0.61 0.62 0.54 0.57 0.53 0.50 0.50Luxembourg 0.25 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.29 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.27 0.31Malta   0.34 0.41 0.38 0.33 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.36Netherlands 0.67 0.65 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.75 0.77 0.83 0.88 0.86 0.82 0.81Norway 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.30Poland     0.36 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.41 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.42Portugal 0.39 0.41 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.41 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.34 0.32 0.35Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.23 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.20Spain 0.30 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.33 0.37 0.39 0.35 0.38  Sweden   0.35 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.39 0.42 0.43 0.46 0.47 0.46United Kingdom 0.74 0.64 0.68 0.69 0.72 0.75 0.72 0.79 0.74 0.70 0.75 0.67

118

Page 121: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

R&D Public order and safety (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Belgium                        Bulgaria               0.30   0.06 0.04 0.05Cyprus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Czech Republic 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Denmark 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Estonia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Finland     0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00France 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Germany 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03Greece   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Hungary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Ireland 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Italy 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Latvia               0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Lithuania 0.03 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Luxembourg 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Malta   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01Netherlands 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Norway 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Poland     0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Portugal 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Spain 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  Sweden   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00United Kingdom 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00

119

Page 122: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Public order and safety n.e.c. (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.17 0.22 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.18Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.11 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.13 0.10 0.11 0.07 0.40 2.47 0.51Cyprus 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04Czech Republic 0.39 0.35 0.36 0.32 0.37 0.36 0.39 0.44 0.41 0.40 0.42 0.41Denmark 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03Estonia 0.58 0.41 0.31 0.45 0.50 0.41 0.47 0.53 0.48 0.22 0.96 1.29Finland     0.15 0.17 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.20 0.24 0.24 0.27 0.30France 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06Germany 0.18 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.21Greece   0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.14Hungary 0.19 0.07 0.08 0.19 0.14 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Ireland 0.10 0.12 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.10 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.05 0.06Italy 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01Latvia               0.52 0.46 0.41 0.36 0.27Lithuania 0.20 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.56 0.44 0.45 0.48 0.63 0.53 0.97 1.41Luxembourg 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03Malta   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Netherlands 0.26 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.33 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.35Norway 0.29 0.27 0.35 0.34 0.34 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05Poland     0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.13Portugal 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.05Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.35 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.23 0.18 0.37 0.43 0.30 0.22 0.27 0.25Spain 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07  Sweden 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01United Kingdom 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.11

120

Page 123: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Health (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     13.76 13.91 14.14 14.36 14.68 14.72 14.74 14.85 14.73 14.92Austria 16.09 13.65 14.05 14.83 14.11 15.25 15.38 15.52 15.73 15.64 15.49 15.34Belgium 12.84 13.26 13.04 13.74 14.05 13.35 13.87 14.08 14.51 14.54 14.69 14.79Bulgaria 8.66 6.12 12.59 13.61 13.39 12.77 11.77 10.46 11.81 10.21 12.52 12.92Cyprus 7.19 7.54 7.77 7.58 7.32 7.06 7.32 7.01 7.08 7.09 7.17 7.35Czech Republic 16.18 15.87 15.74 14.70 16.23 16.05 16.40 16.73 16.80 17.24 17.80 18.06Denmark 12.28 12.56 12.88 12.87 13.09 13.63 14.14 14.71 14.94 15.08 14.63 14.50Estonia 11.82 11.66 11.68 11.77 11.89 12.14 12.41 12.73 13.11 12.39 13.08 13.30Finland 11.88 12.23 12.61 12.88 13.19 13.61 13.97 13.98 14.24 14.16 14.17 14.22France 13.65 13.76 13.94 14.26 14.40 14.47 14.55 14.49 14.34 14.27 14.46 14.74Germany 14.70 14.14 14.36 14.43 14.06 14.31 14.58 15.00 15.10 15.23 14.99 15.54Greece 8.38 11.23 11.03 11.67 12.01 13.23 14.30 13.38 14.09 13.76 13.84 11.55Hungary 10.39 10.21 10.61 11.57 11.18 11.24 10.75 9.77 9.97 9.87 10.36 10.36Ireland 17.71 18.70 19.54 20.51 21.07 19.27 18.83 18.53 17.74 17.15 12.14 15.61Italy 13.04 13.11 13.45 13.23 14.13 14.48 14.56 14.33 14.76 14.60 14.96 14.74Latvia 10.53 9.24 10.34 9.74 9.77 12.03 12.76 11.97 11.79 10.76 9.62 10.70Lithuania 10.41 12.70 12.35 12.91 12.46 14.88 13.63 13.33 13.35 12.72 13.32 14.03Luxembourg 10.91 12.63 11.24 11.46 11.99 12.51 12.04 12.22 11.99 11.93 11.59 11.36Malta 12.07 11.85 13.27 12.55 13.51 14.37 14.49 13.56 12.31 12.72 13.00 13.32Netherlands 11.18 11.17 11.82 12.20 12.46 12.77 15.81 16.07 15.77 16.08 16.26 16.99Norway 16.29 16.26 16.77 16.96 17.06 17.26 17.05 17.16 16.67 16.36 16.46 16.53Poland     9.84 9.61 9.74 10.19 10.57 10.78 11.68 11.50 10.99 10.88Portugal 14.93 14.92 15.06 14.96 15.28 15.39 14.78 14.86 14.67 14.57 13.10 13.84Romania 10.84 11.30 11.77 10.32 7.58 8.01 7.58 8.10 8.21 9.33 9.02 8.60Slovakia 10.01 11.04 11.15 16.12 12.36 12.76 16.00 18.74 19.92 18.78 15.99 15.51Slovenia 13.80 13.94 14.12 13.96 14.02 13.93 14.06 13.95 13.95 14.31 13.72 13.52Spain 13.35 13.29 13.32 13.58 14.11 14.76 14.72 14.55 14.64 14.74 14.31 14.06Sweden 11.03 11.93 12.20 12.49 12.42 12.49 12.57 12.99 13.25 13.43 13.45 13.73United Kingdom 15.42 14.70 14.97 14.99 15.67 15.75 16.12 16.15 15.73 16.34 16.31 16.51

121

Page 124: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Medical products, appliances and equipment (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 2.17 2.20 2.30 2.35 2.24 2.32 2.34 2.41 2.46 2.27 2.20 2.22Belgium                        Bulgaria             1.52 1.15 1.11 1.15 1.39 1.96Cyprus 1.32 1.65 1.77 1.56 1.27 1.32 1.46 1.54 1.59 1.54 1.54 1.58Czech Republic 2.96 2.83 2.91 2.78 3.29 3.25 2.75 2.62 2.49 2.61 2.51 2.55Denmark 0.69 0.74 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.83 0.86 1.02 0.98 0.91 0.87 0.82Estonia 1.46 1.84 1.88 1.56 1.80 1.67 1.55 1.55 1.51 1.67 1.83 1.79Finland     1.23 1.26 1.34 1.37 1.35 1.35 1.42 1.30 1.25 1.23France 2.33 2.46 2.48 2.54 2.58 2.55 2.49 2.54 2.49 2.84 2.84 2.86Germany 3.42 3.41 3.38 3.42 3.12 3.30 3.36 3.57 3.61 3.63 3.52 3.51Greece   1.97 2.25 2.45 3.21 3.06 4.08 3.81 4.79 4.86 4.73 4.02Hungary 2.77 2.83 2.70 3.01 3.20 3.36 3.37 2.81 2.79 2.91 2.93 2.99Ireland 1.78 1.95 2.06 2.18 2.33 2.57 2.71 2.65 2.96 2.63 2.00 2.53Italy 1.71 2.07 2.03 1.85 1.94 1.86 1.84 1.70 1.61 1.56 1.54 1.41Latvia               1.03 1.19 1.17 1.29 1.36Lithuania 2.01 2.55 2.74 2.59 2.44 2.55 2.42 2.29 2.11 2.30 2.21 2.23Luxembourg 10.27 11.12 10.42 10.39 10.59 10.85 10.75 11.07 10.91 10.64 10.36 10.10Malta   0.79 0.92 0.88 1.09 1.54 2.53 3.00 0.93 1.92 1.48 1.86Netherlands 1.73 1.73 1.76 1.82 1.83 1.87 2.44 2.52 2.33 2.42 2.46 2.52Norway 1.39 0.61 1.80 1.73 1.65 1.61 1.49 1.41 1.28 1.20 1.21 1.12Poland     0.14 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.13Portugal 2.37 2.91 2.50 3.91 4.35 4.41 2.64 2.58 2.62 2.70 2.73 2.79Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 2.33 2.48 2.55 2.60 2.58 2.62 2.58 2.47 2.32 2.28 2.20 2.17Spain 2.94 3.00 3.10 3.15 3.23 3.27 3.11 2.94 2.88 2.82 2.79  Sweden 0.08 1.65 1.68 1.71 1.71 1.70 1.68 1.66 1.65 1.63 1.63 1.58United Kingdom 0.01 0.21 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.29 0.14 0.10 0.09 0.09

122

Page 125: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Outpatient services (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 2.91 2.93 3.01 3.00 2.89 3.03 3.12 3.16 3.09 3.07 3.00 3.06Belgium                        Bulgaria 0.95 2.81 0.41 1.32 3.56 3.00 2.66 2.59 3.08 2.48 3.18 3.37Cyprus 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.28 0.28Czech Republic 3.15 3.04 2.96 2.99 3.37 3.32 3.32 3.39 3.55 3.74 3.87 4.04Denmark 1.69 1.71 1.73 1.77 1.78 1.85 1.89 2.12 2.15 2.15 2.12 2.14Estonia 1.62 1.53 1.25 1.27 1.05 1.07 1.00 1.14 1.09 1.10 1.13 1.12Finland     5.08 5.18 5.30 5.50 5.74 5.92 6.03 6.13 6.19 6.28France 4.73 4.71 4.80 4.97 5.08 5.05 5.20 5.21 5.19 4.82 4.90 4.98Germany 4.22 4.02 4.19 4.24 4.09 4.09 4.20 4.32 4.37 4.40 4.32 4.51Greece   1.21 1.18 1.25 1.40 1.28 1.64 1.45 1.66 1.51 1.39 1.29Hungary 2.06 2.05 2.06 2.38 2.28 2.17 1.96 2.00 2.35 2.34 2.82 2.81Ireland 6.27 6.43 7.16 7.39 7.56 8.95 8.95 8.82 8.76 8.23 6.01 7.29Italy 3.81 3.76 3.93 3.92 4.15 4.44 4.39 4.40 4.54 4.62 4.79 4.74Latvia               2.58 2.59 2.13 1.37 1.50Lithuania 3.08 3.83 3.63 3.69 3.60 4.59 4.02 3.93 4.04 3.88 4.15 4.26Luxembourg 0.23 0.26 0.26 0.31 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.39 0.38 0.40 0.42 0.48Malta   1.51 1.46 1.39 1.54 1.47 1.47 1.57 1.80 2.07 2.15 2.30Netherlands 3.65 3.73 4.02 4.38 3.61 4.24 4.31 4.34 4.22 4.48 4.45 4.73Norway 4.23 2.24 2.11 3.09 3.36 3.76 3.73 3.69 3.63 3.65 3.86 3.90Poland     3.99 3.13 3.54 3.84 3.96 3.79 3.93 3.39 3.67 3.63Portugal 4.26 3.81 4.37 5.21 5.16 4.97 7.78 8.80 8.78 9.57 9.16 9.62Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 4.70 4.69 4.74 4.57 4.66 4.63 4.70 4.75 4.71 4.84 4.74 4.64Spain 9.94 9.76 9.68 9.98 10.40 11.03 11.10 11.06 11.22 11.32 11.02  Sweden 0.13 4.96 5.03 5.16 5.16 5.22 5.38 5.67 5.87 5.86 6.04 6.16United Kingdom 0.07 0.73 0.96 0.99 1.01 1.03 1.08 1.06 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03

123

Page 126: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Hospital services (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 9.73 7.29 7.55 8.23 7.71 8.48 8.51 8.49 8.75 8.90 8.86 8.64Belgium                        Bulgaria 2.97 1.39 7.01 7.99 8.20 8.61 6.67 5.76 5.64 6.24 7.59 6.46Cyprus 5.56 5.58 5.68 5.71 5.75 5.44 5.54 5.13 5.15 5.16 5.26 5.36Czech Republic 7.56 7.49 7.50 5.55 6.21 6.14 6.58 6.82 6.93 7.16 7.48 7.56Denmark 9.30 9.47 9.72 9.82 10.02 10.47 10.90 10.83 11.10 11.30 10.95 10.86Estonia 8.30 7.89 8.18 8.49 8.56 8.85 9.38 9.49 9.96 9.16 9.53 9.89Finland     5.59 5.79 5.92 6.11 6.25 5.99 6.09 6.10 6.15 6.14France 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.39 6.37 6.47 6.46 6.34 6.27 6.18 6.26 6.45Germany 5.81 5.53 5.58 5.55 5.64 5.70 5.82 5.91 5.89 5.95 5.92 6.18Greece   6.95 6.50 6.67 6.10 7.85 7.57 7.22 6.73 6.72 7.17 5.73Hungary 4.34 4.02 4.14 4.67 4.23 4.15 3.98 3.61 3.70 3.49 3.82 3.79Ireland 7.97 8.44 8.63 9.08 9.31 7.29 6.72 6.55 5.50 5.21 3.47 4.66Italy 7.22 6.98 7.17 7.15 7.71 7.86 7.99 7.89 8.25 8.07 8.27 8.25Latvia               7.37 7.05 6.68 5.98 6.49Lithuania 4.69 5.92 5.52 5.82 5.63 6.85 6.20 6.03 6.09 5.81 6.15 6.32Luxembourg 0.15 0.15 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.07 0.06Malta   8.57 9.61 9.20 9.88 10.58 9.78 8.05 8.68 7.48 8.37 7.99Netherlands 4.82 4.77 5.10 5.07 6.10 5.56 8.03 7.93 7.90 7.84 7.99 8.33Norway 9.90 12.73 11.97 11.26 11.21 11.06 11.04 11.23 10.88 10.54 10.26 10.39Poland     5.32 5.21 5.58 5.66 5.85 6.19 7.02 6.93 6.65 6.63Portugal 8.09 7.96 7.95 5.49 5.41 5.66 3.91 2.94 2.84 2.01 0.84 1.05Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 5.58 5.60 5.68 5.67 5.65 5.56 5.63 5.68 5.91 6.18 5.71 5.65Spain                        Sweden 0.45 4.64 4.77 4.98 4.91 4.85 4.82 4.90 4.94 5.07 4.91 5.04United Kingdom 15.07 13.46 13.45 13.44 14.10 14.12 14.46 14.49 14.31 14.87 14.82 15.01

124

Page 127: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Public health services (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.29 0.31 0.29 0.34 0.31 0.36 0.37 0.39 0.37 0.36 0.37 0.37Belgium                        Bulgaria 1.08 0.56 0.23 0.33 0.39 0.43 0.35 0.32 0.61 0.27 0.30 0.56Cyprus 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Czech Republic 1.58 1.52 1.44 2.61 2.76 2.67 3.19 3.34 3.18 3.05 3.26 3.28Denmark 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.20 0.22 0.22 0.22Estonia 0.07 0.17 0.14 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05Finland     0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05France 0.12 0.11 0.18 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.14 0.24 0.20 0.19Germany 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.07Greece   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Hungary 0.45 0.57 0.59 0.63 0.57 0.56 0.45 0.42 0.42 0.40 0.30 0.28Ireland 0.87 1.03 0.81 0.84 0.87 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.06 0.02Italy 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.08 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09Latvia               0.40 0.35 0.21 0.12 0.11Lithuania   0.04 0.07 0.12 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.20 0.18 0.18Luxembourg 0.09 0.21 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.18 0.17 0.16Malta   0.35 0.31 0.28 0.30 0.30 0.28 0.29 0.21 0.26 0.31 0.28Netherlands 0.36 0.35 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.34Norway 0.48 0.48 0.49 0.50 0.51 0.48 0.48 0.52 0.51 0.56 0.57 0.57Poland     0.21 0.92 0.21 0.26 0.31 0.38 0.32 0.78 0.27 0.19Portugal 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.06Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.45 0.44 0.45 0.42 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.29Spain 0.20 0.27 0.29 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.24 0.30 0.22  Sweden 0.00 0.31 0.33 0.27 0.24 0.28 0.27 0.31 0.33 0.39 0.34 0.37United Kingdom 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.04

125

Page 128: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

R&D Health (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.35 0.38 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.38 0.39 0.39Belgium                        Bulgaria                        Cyprus 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.09 0.08 0.10Czech Republic 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.10 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05Denmark 0.26 0.30 0.27 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01Estonia 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.11 0.16 0.19 0.28 0.33 0.27 0.19 0.33 0.32Finland     0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.20 0.19 0.13 0.12 0.12France 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.13 0.13 0.12Germany 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.14Greece   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Hungary 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.04Ireland 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.04Italy 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12Latvia               0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00Lithuania 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.04Luxembourg 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.11 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.18Malta   0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04Netherlands 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.36 0.36 0.38Norway 0.12 0.04 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06Poland     0.03 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04Portugal 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.15Spain 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.15  Sweden 0.00 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.21 0.22United Kingdom 0.06 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.24 0.16

126

Page 129: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Social protection (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27     38.99 39.16 39.18 38.99 38.77 38.55 38.30 39.15 39.29 39.93Austria 40.57 40.80 41.77 41.55 38.89 41.20 41.04 40.68 40.53 41.36 41.31 41.60Belgium 34.64 35.07 35.47 35.27 36.81 34.62 36.78 36.22 36.23 36.85 36.87 36.64Bulgaria 31.93 33.36 32.47 31.57 31.23 29.50 31.68 27.22 29.10 32.82 35.96 36.18Cyprus 21.27 20.83 21.69 21.15 23.52 24.70 24.19 22.97 23.26 23.76 25.32 26.12Czech Republic 31.13 29.37 30.73 27.52 28.97 28.62 29.28 30.40 30.29 30.69 31.01 31.65Denmark 41.97 42.30 42.58 43.83 43.93 43.99 43.55 43.24 43.01 43.25 43.80 43.77Estonia 29.55 29.17 27.76 28.35 29.94 29.11 28.01 27.46 29.25 34.71 35.85 34.18Finland 42.07 41.89 42.43 42.51 42.48 42.20 42.12 42.20 41.44 42.73 43.04 43.10France 39.71 39.72 39.54 40.23 40.45 40.39 41.47 41.51 41.75 42.04 42.22 42.57Germany 46.64 44.07 44.31 44.78 45.31 45.48 45.20 44.50 43.74 44.03 42.97 43.27Greece 36.39 36.54 37.58 33.83 31.71 34.31 33.30 33.71 33.57 34.19 36.75 39.32Hungary 31.24 30.46 30.08 32.37 32.82 33.91 33.86 34.79 36.13 36.16 35.55 34.45Ireland 26.61 26.39 28.06 28.73 29.52 31.73 31.55 31.63 32.25 34.70 26.14 35.89Italy 37.95 36.26 37.41 37.29 37.68 37.53 37.13 37.99 38.50 39.35 40.60 41.02Latvia 35.13 34.42 32.05 31.07 29.13 27.60 24.94 23.70 24.62 32.36 31.63 31.52Lithuania 32.28 31.79 31.04 31.13 30.70 29.74 29.35 31.41 33.04 38.35 35.42 33.84Luxembourg 41.72 43.17 41.41 42.42 41.60 41.83 42.47 42.22 43.03 43.40 43.22 43.17Malta 30.94 31.91 32.11 29.66 31.53 31.47 31.80 33.19 31.77 34.36 34.18 34.29Netherlands 35.39 34.45 34.38 34.46 34.82 34.67 33.47 33.02 33.01 33.04 33.65 34.47Norway 36.99 37.41 37.79 38.03 38.86 38.85 38.41 38.35 38.29 38.78 39.19 39.81Poland     41.44 42.11 41.25 39.05 38.46 37.04 36.08 36.87 37.10 36.55Portugal 28.93 28.90 30.51 31.69 32.19 32.55 34.10 34.46 35.13 35.92 34.97 36.72Romania 28.26 30.77 28.90 30.04 32.69 32.97 30.94 29.35 31.60 35.53 37.19 35.88Slovakia 27.80 32.75 33.14 31.95 32.22 34.75 33.80 30.99 29.08 29.60 30.59 31.30Slovenia 37.08 36.20 36.88 36.79 36.89 37.21 36.75 36.49 35.80 36.63 37.01 37.34Spain 33.32 33.18 33.34 33.73 33.41 33.57 33.53 33.29 33.91 35.33 36.69 37.37Sweden 42.20 42.14 41.49 42.90 43.43 42.69 42.24 41.51 40.76 41.65 41.25 40.51United Kingdom 40.27 37.80 37.31 36.94 36.44 35.73 34.74 34.91 33.45 34.95 35.66 36.83

127

Page 130: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Social exclusion n.e.c. (% public expenditures)

Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011                         EU27                        Austria 1.52 1.48 1.54 1.34 1.27 1.53 1.50 1.54 1.63 1.67 1.69 1.76Belgium                        Bulgaria 1.13 0.73 0.73   0.58 0.57 0.48 0.29 0.17 0.02 0.03 0.04Cyprus 2.47 2.61 2.83 3.06 3.25 3.31 3.22 3.44 3.78 4.60 4.75 4.84Czech Republic 1.29 1.21 1.32 1.15 1.68 1.03 1.04 0.86 0.84 0.92 1.01 1.07Denmark 2.52 2.81 2.72 2.66 2.67 2.40 1.87 2.13 2.13 2.30 2.39 2.52Estonia 0.10 0.12 0.10 0.06 0.48 0.50 0.36 0.26 0.23 0.28 0.40 0.43Finland     0.77 0.76 1.06 1.05 1.10 1.20 1.27 1.43 1.44 1.41France 1.92 1.87 1.91 1.95 1.16 1.17 1.37 1.40 1.36 1.36 1.40 1.35Germany 1.94 1.65 1.61 1.70 1.74 0.89 0.87 0.79 0.70 0.66 0.69 0.71Greece   0.12 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.09 0.20Hungary 3.14 2.52 2.63 2.57 2.80 3.24 3.49 2.92 2.60 2.79 1.52 1.46Ireland 1.50 1.46 1.55 1.72 1.62 1.56 1.53 1.46 1.53 1.62 1.16 1.53Italy 0.11 0.13 0.14 0.16 0.13 0.13 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.18 0.18 0.19Latvia               0.72 0.80 0.91 1.08 1.31Lithuania         0.70 0.62 0.57 0.53 0.61 0.85 1.73 2.02Luxembourg 1.54 1.66 1.49 1.90 1.83 1.84 1.77 1.74 1.70 1.79 1.83 1.84Malta   0.42 0.43 0.47 0.50 0.54 0.70 0.82 0.83 0.93 0.90 0.86Netherlands 3.19 3.15 3.02 2.78 2.76 2.88 3.64 3.62 3.75 3.71 4.03 4.11Norway 1.08 1.55 1.27 1.42 1.41 1.56 1.49 1.47 1.54 1.66 1.72 1.66Poland     0.58 0.51 0.47 0.47 0.54 0.55 0.57 0.59 0.68 0.65Portugal 0.67 0.60 0.63 0.55 0.54 0.59 0.61 0.64 0.73 0.78 0.73 0.75Romania                        Slovakia                        Slovenia 1.25 1.24 1.38 1.50 1.66 1.65 1.55 1.32 1.19 1.39 1.52 1.49Spain 0.42 0.38 0.68 0.73 0.80 0.78 0.65 0.61 0.54 0.53 0.55  Sweden 0.49 1.67 1.57 1.65 1.63 1.60 1.54 1.60 1.67 1.75 1.84 1.84United Kingdom 3.10 2.80 2.66 2.54 2.35 2.07 1.82 2.51 2.88 3.27 3.52 3.73

128

Page 131: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

ANNEX D. Complete results from econometric estimations

129

Page 132: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table D1: Descriptive statistics of the sample (variables expressed in variation with respect to the value of previous year)

Variable 2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   Total    mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sdgeneral government (gf00) 1.28 3.90 3.20 4.80 4.49 3.78 3.79 4.23 2.69 4.61 3.76 3.59 4.50 5.67 4.79 6.18 4.10 3.24 3.37 4.56 0.81 7.61 -2.03 5.47 2.90 5.25general public services (gf01) 2.70 11.92 0.73 9.24 -0.36 8.45 -1.31 10.43 4.07 9.19 3.87 6.26 1.57 9.40 7.54 16.20 -0.33 8.56 4.49 12.31 0.11 12.90 3.40 4.98 2.23 10.53public order and safety (gf03) 4.22 8.96 6.95 16.34 6.31 7.49 5.05 9.87 3.30 6.10 2.60 5.70 5.91 8.40 4.26 5.94 3.76 6.13 0.18 9.55 0.91 5.28 -1.78 4.38 3.43 8.59police services (gf301) 2.42 4.56 6.96 12.56 3.43 7.39 6.09 8.54 2.68 4.32 1.40 6.03 4.76 5.78 2.73 5.28 1.79 8.20 0.47 8.92 -0.97 6.13 -2.79 3.77 2.30 7.46

fire-protection services (gf302) 0.02 13.09 12.12 22.03 8.11 10.84 1.62 10.96 4.64 12.50 4.84 6.91 2.79 11.45 3.79 6.40 6.44 13.83 3.39 10.63 -1.03 11.42 0.25 11.30 3.85 12.39

law courts (gf303) 10.97 25.41 3.71 7.97 8.28 9.66 9.67 8.96 3.96 13.78 3.91 4.97 2.33 8.15 5.21 7.89 4.52 8.75 -0.26 12.34 -3.73 9.46 0.31 6.49 3.87 11.46prisons (gf304) -1.10 8.35 6.07 9.16 9.08 10.86 4.11 7.79 -1.74 15.22 5.73 6.70 2.27 6.27 5.36 7.04 15.80 47.91 -3.90 17.03 -0.07 8.31 -0.95 6.12 3.40 17.85

R&D Public order and safety (gf305) 22.72 50.49 3.54 41.66 3.80 12.46 -16.70 40.60 -

14.02 60.39 -1.11 30.68 29.75

66.95 -2.83 20.83 13.08 34.68 1.88 35.32 -1.41 26.43 -2.62 18.66 2.03 39.30

public order and safety n.e.c. (gf306) 48.85 106.28 -7.62 33.38 7.78 35.40 62.36 184.82 -0.29 47.46 478.1

12317.0

4 5.04 36.56 2.83 24.01 8.01 30.89 21.97 102.8

2 36.69 117.12 34.83 189.6

4 59.53 686.90

health (gf07) 3.32 6.13 4.73 11.66 10.46 20.32 5.95 7.14 2.27 7.79 6.95 8.86 6.61 9.44 4.62 7.56 5.12 5.21 2.69 6.48 -0.95 5.12 -0.77 5.16 4.22 9.60

medical prod, appl. and equip. (gf0701) 2.55 13.81 239.50 687.92 18.36 44.24 6.43 13.14 5.43 11.16 6.04 10.44 7.18 20.59 3.55 8.76 -1.53 19.15 5.52 21.10 -1.26 6.48 0.41 11.44 21.10 188.42

outpatient services (gf0702) 4.73 22.67 245.73 820.33 2.66 21.94 18.90 48.83 11.00 38.02 6.65 11.27 6.87 12.93 6.71 7.05 6.53 6.79 2.19 9.86 0.57 10.54 0.78 5.98 23.34 224.25

hospital services (gf0703) -1.41 9.80 50.40 211.50 22.04 89.96 6.37 15.03 2.40 8.65 5.53 10.57 2.85 14.89 2.38 11.87 3.59 6.79 -1.18 12.18 1.05 19.87 -1.38 8.26 7.07 62.66

public health services (gf0704) 14.61 31.49 1520.31

6340.26 7.55 36.73 29.35 84.14 8.28 33.70 6.82 33.68 -3.84 21.8

3 12.77 32.45 5.72 25.59 29.33 68.19 -7.26 21.59 -4.92 25.85 114.56

1679.47

R&D Health (gf0705) 3.86 25.72 11.62 28.95 16.57 44.54 11.66 51.46 16.91 35.07 1.26 36.34 9.76 19.38 2.58 29.62 5.66 13.95 -2.29 30.88 41.47 118.2

6 16.46 71.17 11.47 51.15

social protection (gf10) 0.57 5.99 3.18 3.35 4.68 4.14 3.47 4.12 3.62 4.84 3.97 4.58 3.69 3.41 3.61 5.90 4.76 5.15 8.41 4.73 0.76 3.59 -0.60 2.39 3.37 4.92

social exclusion n.e.c. (gf1007) 887.70

3733.23 16.24 55.99 7.86 21.01 3.62 15.64 37.36 167.0

0 3.61 22.22 1.44 14.99 2.06 14.47 5.20 13.96 9.07 21.93 6.23 25.38 7.52 22.10 66.84 960.02

poverty rate -1.14 4.54 0.58 6.43 -1.49 8.96 2.35 6.75 2.51 6.24 -1.39 6.63 2.50 10.41 -0.94 8.61 0.72 6.10 0.61 4.53 -0.52 7.11 3.09 5.58 0.68 7.13

unemployment rate -5.36 11.10 -2.95 9.13 3.89 12.54 4.72 13.99 3.15 9.57 -3.05 10.54 -9.74 10.02

-12.00 9.19 -0.10 16.83 40.54 39.63 12.06 14.19 -0.95 13.27 2.70 20.94

youth unemployment rate (<25 years) -5.75 10.76 2.91 14.93 2.59 11.80 8.35 15.75 4.60 12.62 -1.25 13.54 -9.26 10.98

-10.43 10.59 4.09 19.93 39.56 37.13 8.51 13.26 0.67 13.78 3.91 20.97

long term unemployment rate (>1 year) -2.97 24.01 -5.03 15.46 1.99 15.29 5.73 18.02 6.70 15.02 -2.73 14.29 -9.98 15.15

-17.25 12.24 -

10.83 18.75 30.15 50.88 46.70 39.18 7.45 17.47 4.41 29.65

growth rate of real GDP 4.64 1.98 2.72 2.41 3.02 2.12 3.10 2.67 4.23 2.26 4.07 2.47 4.94 2.38 4.76 2.47 1.22 2.67 -5.47 3.91 1.80 2.54 2.05 2.83 2.58 3.73gini coefficient (after transfers & taxes) -0.38 2.60 0.22 1.79 0.56 1.86 0.58 2.17 0.49 2.56 -0.03 2.67 -0.25 2.40 -0.08 2.02 -0.38 1.53 -4.19 20.62 -6.52 22.94     -0.80 9.07gini coefficient (before transfers & taxes) 1.16 3.82 0.20 3.11 1.19 2.92 0.69 2.95 1.60 2.91 -0.15 3.57 0.43 3.30 -0.34 2.56 -0.16 2.49 -0.29 1.30 -0.56 2.60     0.35 2.97

crime rate x 100,000 inhab. 3.52 22.11 -3.24 19.54 -1.51 24.27 8.82 77.93 -2.96 18.62 -4.40 26.88 -4.51 33.34 3.36 26.78 -3.86 18.66 -3.61 19.67 -2.02 19.85     -0.97 32.26

drug related crime rate x 100,000 inhab. 4.18 33.60 28.81 49.82 6.74 19.27 5.16 30.85 9.35 25.11 10.36 15.79 5.50 23.01 10.09 21.06 6.40 17.65 6.04 30.73 4.60 14.27     8.88 27.54

number of police officers x 100,000 inhab. 1.29 3.02 0.19 3.57 0.14 1.74 -0.28 3.82 0.76 2.07 2.11 11.39 0.50 2.54 0.15 4.28 -2.14 12.49 1.57 5.57 1.36 8.92     0.51 6.49

number of prison pop. x 100,000 inhab. 0.76 11.83 4.68 8.83 3.01 6.81 1.66 7.24 5.10 12.03 2.24 7.12 0.47 10.71 1.28 10.28 3.97 14.87 0.78 7.14 3.29 6.11     2.48 9.70

life expectancy at 65 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02cancer incidence x 100,000 inhab. 0.02 0.06 0.03 0.08 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.02 0.05hospital beds x 100,000 inhab. -0.01 0.02 -0.01 0.08 -0.02 0.04 -0.02 0.02 -0.01 0.02 -0.02 0.03 -0.01 0.03 -0.01 0.02 -0.01 0.02 -0.04 0.09 -0.02 0.04 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 0.04out-of-pocket payment on health 1/ 0.03 0.14 0.01 0.07 -0.01 0.08 -0.04 0.11 0.08 0.29 -0.01 0.09 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.07 -0.01 0.06 0.01 0.05     0.01 0.12neoplasms discharges x 100,000 inhab. 0.04 0.15 0.02 0.09 0.02 0.07 0.04 0.11 0.02 0.05 -0.02 0.07 0.00 0.07 0.02 0.08 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.08 -0.01 0.07     0.01 0.09share of public health expenditure in total 2/ 0.03 0.07 0.02 0.06 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.08 0.01 0.07 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.06 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.04 -0.01 0.05 -0.01 0.06     0.01 0.06

130

Page 133: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

1/ This is private households' out-of-pocket payment on health as % of total health expenditure. 2/ This is public sector health expenditure as % of total health expenditure, WHO estimates.

131

Page 134: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table D2: Panel data estimates for public expenditures on public order and safety

 Variables     Total          Police services      

  (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)growth 0.6825** 0.6525** 0.6579** 0.6734** 0.6553** 0.6548** 0.4448** 0.4420** 0.4215** 0.4527** 0.4387** 0.4557**  (0.2484) (0.2490) (0.2573) (0.2549) (0.2444) (0.2639) (0.1749) (0.1702) (0.1739) (0.1662) (0.1673) (0.1865)year2010 -1.3523 -1.7586* -1.4076 -1.5633 -2.0871** -1.6890* -2.3172 -2.2501 -2.1127 -2.2630 -2.4922* -2.3304*  (1.1546) (0.9312) (1.0418) (0.9569) (0.9425) (0.9367) (1.4495) (1.3176) (1.3525) (1.3827) (1.2889) (1.3266)total crime rate 0.1984** 0.0056    (0.0813) (0.0852)  police officers 0.0076 0.0135 0.0289 0.0196 0.0227 0.0161 0.0285 0.0365 0.0613 0.0386 0.0434 0.0369  (0.0548) (0.0606) (0.0675) (0.0613) (0.0644) (0.0633) (0.0845) (0.0854) (0.0693) (0.0812) (0.0854) (0.0848)prisoners -0.0429 -0.0533* -0.0440 -0.0452 -0.0522* -0.0488 -0.0496 -0.0466 -0.0406 -0.0439 -0.0419 -0.0449  (0.0263) (0.0273) (0.0327) (0.0279) (0.0266) (0.0292) (0.0434) (0.0437) (0.0485) (0.0458) (0.0419) (0.0449)homicides 0.0101   0.0053    (0.0087)   (0.0114)  violent crimes 0.1014*   0.0817*    (0.0521)   (0.0428)  robberies 0.0239   0.0091    (0.0214)   (0.0264)  motor vehicle theft -0.0617**   -0.0478**    (0.0225)   (0.0185)  drug trafficking 0.0186   0.0037  (0.0250)   (0.0205)

constant2.1298***

2.4088***

2.0816***

2.2774***

2.1657***

2.2613***

1.9223***

1.9616*** 1.6796*** 1.9023***

1.7884***

1.9757***

  (0.6374) (0.6006) (0.5992) (0.6087) (0.5877) (0.5125) (0.3003) (0.3221) (0.2943) (0.2846) (0.3297) (0.2711)N 286 289 282 287 291 284 237 240 234 238 242 236groups 28.0000 28.0000 28.0000 28.0000 28.0000 28.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000R2 (within) 0.1241 0.0988 0.1166 0.0965 0.1154 0.1010 0.0839 0.0894 0.1146 0.0866 0.1094 0.0937F 2.5919 2.0988 3.4134 1.7904 3.7182 4.8880 3.7945 2.9695 4.6622 3.1996 3.0306 5.7266rho 0.1435 0.1349 0.1432 0.1347 0.1658 0.1346 0.3742 0.3746 0.3694 0.3730 0.3920 0.3745Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

132

Page 135: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table D3: Panel data estimates for public expenditures on public order and safety

 Variables     Law courts           Prisons        (13) (14) (15) (16) (17) (18) (19) (20) (21) (22) (23) (24)growth 0.6243** 0.5983** 0.6042** 0.6681** 0.6201** 0.5569** -0.1195 -0.0859 -0.2120 -0.0561 -0.0628 -0.2587  (0.2897) (0.2716) (0.2755) (0.2761) (0.2691) (0.2568) (0.4197) (0.4117) (0.5275) (0.3729) (0.4084) (0.4559)

year2010-5.7975***

-5.7345***

-4.8094***

-5.7682***

-5.9059***

-5.3963*** -2.1000 -2.4791 -0.1769 -1.5505 -2.5366 -1.7713

  (1.7070) (1.5041) (1.2794) (1.6047) (1.5561) (1.5909) (1.5801) (1.6193) (2.3410) (1.4195) (1.5311) (1.5928)total crime rate 0.1793***           0.0978            (0.0481)           (0.0683)          police officers -0.0908 -0.0999 -0.0558 -0.0828 -0.0773 -0.0753 -0.1955 -0.2155 -0.0903 -0.1941 -0.1921 -0.1745  (0.1613) (0.1581) (0.1134) (0.1610) (0.1584) (0.1585) (0.1549) (0.1530) (0.1065) (0.1432) (0.1581) (0.1313)prisoners 0.0166 0.0107 0.0241 0.0240 0.0162 0.0206 0.0775 0.0664 0.0608 0.0881 0.0746 0.0552  (0.0579) (0.0619) (0.0551) (0.0592) (0.0591) (0.0523) (0.0848) (0.0863) (0.0789) (0.1003) (0.0853) (0.0807)homicides   0.0174*           0.0070            (0.0099)           (0.0187)        violent crimes     0.1850*           0.4878            (0.1033)           (0.3730)      robberies       0.0333           0.0701            (0.0239)           (0.0889)    motor vehicle theft         -0.0229           -0.0266            (0.0255)           (0.0539)  

drug trafficking           0.0605          0.1203***

            (0.0386)           (0.0394)

constant 2.4424*** 2.6865*** 1.9259*** 2.4198*** 2.5031*** 2.2067***4.3017***

4.3445***

2.6537*** 3.8523***

4.0871***

3.7300***

  (0.6484) (0.6101) (0.6485) (0.5950) (0.5747) (0.6231) (0.8956) (0.8791) (0.8166) (0.7053) (0.9938) (0.7890)N 236 239 233 237 241 235 235 238 232 236 240 234groups 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000R2 (within) 0.1130 0.1087 0.1684 0.1074 0.1056 0.1298 0.0088 0.0085 0.0930 0.0103 0.0083 0.0283F 8.7504 6.5930 3.4355 5.3941 4.8027 6.5178 0.8929 1.6656 5.4179 1.4841 6.6532 9.0021rho 0.1122 0.1115 0.1167 0.1031 0.1156 0.1438 0.1215 0.1208 0.1147 0.1164 0.1244 0.1376Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

133

Page 136: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table D4: Panel data estimates for public expenditures on health

Variable Total Medical products, appliances and equipment Outpatient services  (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)growth 0.4239** 0.5697*** 0.4800*** 0.6139*** 1.4234 0.2053 0.9855 -0.1240 0.8380 -0.5904 0.2124 -1.0633  (0.1604) (0.1718) (0.1571) (0.1646) (1.7781) (1.3285) (1.6750) (1.3512) (0.9142) (2.0195) (1.2097) (2.2660)hospital beds 3.0814 4.0906 2.5487 3.0946 -187.8962 -163.7607 -192.1827 -159.4197 -588.3713 -531.4642 -598.0880 -532.1667

  (18.3870) (19.4251) (18.9416) (19.9785)(482.1974) (406.9369)

(488.6550) (405.8772) (752.7038) (646.4924) (760.5040) (644.3447)

neoplasms 20.9147* 19.7227   -33.1980 13.5507   17.6176 27.1896    (11.7351) (13.3171)   (44.3831) (42.7940)   (20.3696) (33.6266)  share of public health expend.

34.6141*** 29.8354**   -80.4054 -76.6432   108.5450 115.1640  

  (11.9583) (11.9267)  (329.7768)

(323.7222)   (245.7769) (247.6767)  

year 2010 -4.7535** -5.4683**-5.1132*** -5.7454*** -37.7077 -45.5566 -34.8329 -35.8373 -20.0965 -38.7135 -32.0987 -37.8551

  (2.1229) (2.3044) (1.3901) (1.4581) (33.2854) (34.0164) (22.2883) (23.3636) (22.4851) (33.1057) (22.3158) (29.8752)

out-of-pocket payment  -26.8540***

-25.8157***   437.7017 425.1463   686.6752 666.0587

    (5.6434) (5.4043)   (447.1389) (433.6980)   (728.7955) (711.7525)life expectancy at 65   -48.2364 -42.1792   -176.6969 -156.0877   8.8320 -13.2024

    (52.4101) (48.8427)  (197.5415) (236.2033)   (160.5377) (309.6658)

constant 3.3618*** 3.7017*** 4.2115*** 4.3787*** 21.4424*23.4123*** 24.6070**

26.6867*** 13.6552 18.2446 16.0048 20.5408**

  (0.7565) (0.7463) (0.5091) (0.5134) (11.7342) (7.8522) (10.7370) (7.2320) (17.0124) (11.5543) (13.2563) (8.7921)N 273 273 273 273 219 219 226 226 227 227 234 234groups 28.0000 28.0000 28.0000 28.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000 25.0000R2 (within) 0.1284 0.1926 0.1098 0.1760 0.0034 0.0232 0.0042 0.0235 0.0093 0.0449 0.0107 0.0447F 7.6141 16.1477 8.8621 18.5315 1.1988 0.3911 1.1061 0.6373 1.2725 0.4366 0.9090 0.3885rho 0.0466 0.0593 0.0482 0.0581 0.0769 0.0816 0.0722 0.0766 0.0814 0.0867 0.0723 0.0774Robust standard errors are in parenthesis. * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01.

134

Page 137: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

Table D5: Panel data estimates for public expenditures on health

Variable Hospital services Public health services R&D Health  (13) (14) (15) (16) (17) (18) (19) (20) (21) (22) (23) (24)growth 0.2373 0.3255 0.2802 0.3983 1.0587 -7.1674 -4.8654 -12.3245 0.3150 0.6588 0.0853 0.2614  (0.2272) (0.6032) (0.3469) (0.6945) (3.25) (12.25) (5.75) (15.1) (1.1669) (1.4156) (1.0766) (1.2604)hospital beds -252.9351 -231.0163 -252.3481 -229.0861 -5164 -4726 -5231 -4714 217.8528 226.4550 223.3011 218.7916  (239.9440) (223.0393) (241.4911) (222.1545) (6000) (5194) (6119) (5217) (198.9098) (174.0319) (179.7495) (166.5636)neoplasms 32.2158* 25.2982   -13.8 -81.3   68.1172 46.2760    (17.9446) (15.0424)   (167) (353)   (47.1853) (47.7198)  share of public health expend. 161.9123* 157.6580*   1583 1633   41.5743 -0.5615    (80.2600) (80.2209)   (1854) (1917)   (92.9741) (56.4981)  year 2010 -4.9729 -11.6694 -6.5734 -9.9559 -2.464 -165.5 -174.39 -231.59 100.5972 101.1136 33.3560 33.8923  (7.8081) (7.8113) (8.3344) (9.2432) (98.34) (216.7) (163.6) (233) (68.9385) (67.9702) (33.3715) (32.8429)out-of-pocket payment   89.7339 87.6967   5150 5033   -81.1023 -64.3271    (194.5179) (189.6143)   (5806) (5695)   (52.2835) (39.5918)life expectancy at 65   -133.1369 -155.8073   -441.4 -842.5   -20.7067 -26.2299    (110.9937) (115.8478)   (908) (2554)   (131.6849) (135.2664)constant 1.3150 3.1077 3.6844 5.3010 8.0297 44.8 39.39 77.26 9.0007 8.7238 12.2320** 11.6624**  (5.4058) (4.4716) (4.1348) (3.2371) (146.98) (104) (123.7) (84.92) (6.2775) (5.8526) (5.2293) (4.8778)N 217 217 223 223 210 210 214 214 192 192 197 197groups 24.0000 24.0000 24.0000 24.0000 23.0000 23.0000 24.0000 24.0000 22.0000 22.0000 22.0000 22.0000R2 (within) 0.0368 0.0289 0.0373 0.0299 0.0144 0.0500 0.0160 0.0503 0.1774 0.1880 0.0629 0.0721F 4.0403 1.1855 4.9549 1.1178 0.2409 0.1771 0.2666 0.2459 1.0454 2.6374 0.5225 2.2044rho 0.0730 0.0772 0.0639 0.0673 0.0999 0.1038 0.0804 0.0837 0.1479 0.1535 0.1461 0.1518

135

Page 138: The impact of economic recession on public …€¦ · Web viewThe impact of economic recession on public expenditure on drug policy in the EU (2000-2011) August, 201 3 Javier Olivera,

ANNEX E. Country profiles 2000-2011

Available online in Excel sheets

136