Dr. Christina Whitfield, Director of Research and Policy AnalysisKentucky Community and Technical College System

The Growing Pressure to Use Workforce Data: What to Use, How to Use It

SHEEO Higher Education Policy Conference August 10, 2012Chicago, IL

$10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

Registered Nurses

Computer Support

Specialists

Radiologic Technologistsand Technicians

Medical Records and HealthInformation Technicians Paralegals and

Legal Assistants

Dental Hygienists

Respiratory Therapists

Veterinary Technologists and Technicians

PhysicalTherapistAssistants

Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians

Cardiovascular Technologistsand Technicians

Medical Equipment Repairers

Computer Specialists, All Other

Life, Physical & Social Science Technicians, Other

Biological Technicians

Civil Engineering Technicians

Environmental Science and Protection Technicians

Funeral Directors

Broadcast Technicians

Industrial Engineering Technicians

Interior Designers

Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technicians

Diagnostic Medical Sonographers

Engineering Technicians,Exc. Drafters, All Other

Chemical Technicians

Respiratory Therapy Technicians

Occupational Therapist Assistants

Nuclear Medicine TechnologistsEnvironmentalEngineeringTechniciansSocial Science Research Assistants

Agricultural and Food Science Technicians

Mechanical Engineering Technicians

Radiation Therapists

Fashion Designers

2010 Median Wage

2008

-201

8 Pe

rcen

t Cha

nge

KY Average Percent Change Line

High Wage&

High Demand

Low Wage&

Low Demand

High Wage&

Low Demand

KY 75th Percentile Wage Line ->Low Wage

& High Demand

ACCOUNTABILITY

KCTCS Strategic PlanHigh Wage, High Demand Completions

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-112,500

2,600

2,700

2,800

2,900

3,000

3,100

3,200

3,300

2,825

3,098

3,207

2,759

3,089

Note: Number of unduplicated credentials in programs cross-walked to a high wage, high demand occupation. KCTCS Data Base, Kentucky Occupational Outlook to 2014, Office of Employment and Training Occupational Wages.

KCTCS Strategic PlanWage Index

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-1075%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

95%

98%

92%

88%

85%

Note: Median wage of KCTCS completers earning $2500 or more in the second quarter after completion, indexed to the state median occupational wage. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match, Office of Employment and Training Occupational Wages.

Unemployment Insurance Match Ratesby College

43%

56%

83% 57%

59%62%

67%

67%

69%

69%

69%

70%

70%

71%

74%

74%

Note: 2010-11 completers, second quarter after completion.Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match.

Policy and Practice Considerations

• Impact of technical limitations of labor market information vary by institution

• Institutions must partner with local economic development entities and employers

• Many economic factors affecting employment outcomes are beyond institutional control

CURRICULUM REVIEW

Dynamic Skills Audit

• A means to gauge education supply against employer demand

• A methodology that incorporates traditional and real-time labor market information into a structured review of curriculum

• A way to determine how responsive course content is to employer requirements

Note: KCTCS is participating in a pilot project to develop Dynamic Skills Audits with Jobs for the Future.

10

Dynamic Skills Audit:Labor Market Assessment

DEMAND: Traditional LMIDEMAND: Real-time

LMISUPPLY:

College & Employment Indicators ANALYSIS / ASSESSMENT

Program of Study

2011 Jobs

2008 Jobs

2018 Jobs

10 Yr % Change

Projected Annual

Openings

2011 Median Annual Wage

2011 Jobs

2010 Jobs

2010-11 No. of

Students by

Program

2010-11 Graduates

by Program (KCTCS)

2010-11 All

Complet-ions

Job Placement/

Entered Employ-

ment

Ratio of 2011

Employed to 2011

Job Postings

Ratio of All

Complet-ions to

Projected Annual

Openings

Job Postings

minus Complet-

ions

RN 2,440 2,163 2,634 21.78% 83

$54,401 298 175 160 65 81 82.1% 8:1 1:1 217

CMM 1,130 2,895 2,478 -14.40% 60

$37,000 1,534 683 28 20 46 63.6% 45:1 1:1 1,488

Note: Labor Market Assessment for selected programs at Owensboro Community and Technical College.

Dynamic Skills Audit:Skills Matrix Development

Select Growth Occupation

Gather Skills and Credentials from

Employers

Compare Overlapping Skills

Analyze Skills and Certifications

Skills / Certifications Gap Analysis

12

Dynamic Skills Audit:Skills Matrix, Registered Nursing

Real-Time LMI Skills

Patient Care

Organizational Skills

SpanishSource: Burning Glass, www.onetonline.org

Policy and Practice Considerations

• Educational production one of many factors that may contribute to supply/demand mismatch

• Allows institutions to test data against anecdotal experiences shared by employers

• Requires a high degree of flexibility (how quickly can institutions respond to industry demands?)

PROGRAM REVIEW

Graduate Employment Profiles% NRG Employed

Median Wage % NRG Earning $2500/Q

Median Wage $2500+

Liberal Arts 60.7 $3,572 40.3 $5,100

Registered Nursing

81.4 $11,176 78.5 $11,277

Business Administration

72.3 $5,485 59.9 $6,158

Welding Technology

63.8 $5,313 50.0 $6,360

All 67.2 $5,306 53.8 $6,450

Note: 2009-10 graduates two quarters post completion. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

Graduate Employment ProfilesETA Common Measures

Entered Employment

Employment Retention

6-month Earning Increase

Median Wage $2500+

Registered Nursing

70.7 90.2 $13,739 $11,277

Business Administration

40.5 92.2 $4,759 $6,158

Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

Graduate Employment ProfilesEmployment by Industry

Registered Nursing

Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

Date of Participation 1st Quarter after Completion0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

47%

93%

53%

7%

HealthIndustries

OtherIndustries

HealthIndustries

OtherIndustries

Graduate Employment ProfilesEmployment by IndustryBusiness Administration

Note: 2003-4 graduates. Source: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

Date of Participation 1st Quarter after Completion0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

23% 18%

25% 19%

11% 15%

Manufacturing

Finance/Insurance

Retail

Graduate Employment Profiles:Low Wage/High Demand Programs

Cosmetology Child Care ProviderWage/Demand Quadrant

LW/HD LW/HD

% Employed 60 70Median Quarterly Wage

$3,080 $4,205

% Employed $2500+

42 55

Note: 2009-10 graduates, second quarter past completionSource: KCTCS Data Base, UI Wage Match

Policy and Practice Considerations

• Programs with poor employment outcomes may generate revenue for the institution

• Tenure and accreditation requirements may limit institutional ability to retrain and reassign faculty

• Programs with poor employment outcomes may serve a social/community service function