The GRIP - METREX Project

Universita di Ferrara 10th

May 2007

Dr Sebastian Carney

Research Strategy

InternationalClimate Policy

Adaptation

Coasts

Energy

InternationalDevelopment

EngineeringCities

IntegratedModelling

Directors

Professor Mike Hulme

Professor Andrew Watkinson

Professor Kate Brown

Professor John Shepherd

Engagement & Knowledge

Transfer

Directors

Professor Mike Hulme

Professor Andrew Watkinson

Professor Kate Brown

Professor John Shepherd

The consortium

Dr Sebastian Carney Tyndall Centre Manchester

Emerged from a sponsored project by: The Tyndall Centre

The Environment AgencyBeing developed under METREX

Aims

• Methodology– Applicable

across Europe• Consistency• Transparency• Quick

– Four Areas• Energy• Industrial Processes• Waste• Agriculture

Approach

• Calculations / Estimations– Three levels

• Data availability• Top Down• Bottom Up

Tools• One accounting tool,

– Potential to develop into an “all in one tool”• Results must be comparable

– Consistent measurement• Consistent format

– E.g. Energy & Emissions Units• Consistent reporting

– Set format, tables for quick compare and contrast• Years

– Backward compatibility– Forward hope

450 and 550ppmv for UK Carbon Emissions

Year

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Car

bon

Em

issi

ons

(MtC

)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Alternatively, if 7% continues until 2030…

550ppmv450ppmvNb CO2 E Higher¼

2007 70%88-100%

Energy Scenario Work

• Standard approach• Tyndall approach• GRIP approach (Tyndall)

The Scenario Tool

• Scenario Tool

2050: Emissions, Energy Consumption and Intensity by Stakeholder

-100.00%

-80.00%

-60.00%

-40.00%

-20.00%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

Acad

emic

1

Acad

emic

2

Acad

emic

3

Acad

emic

4

Acad

emic

5

Acad

emic

6

Acad

emic

7

Acad

emic

8

Acad

emic

9

Acad

emic

9

Acad

emic

: 10

Acad

emic

: 11

Acad

emic

: 12

Envi

ronm

ent A

genc

y 1

Envi

ronm

ent A

genc

y 2

Envi

ronm

ent A

genc

y 3

Envi

ronm

ent A

genc

y 4

Envi

ronm

ent A

genc

y 5

Indu

stry

1

Indu

stry

2

Indu

stry

3

Indu

stry

4

Indu

stry

5

NG

O 1

NG

O 2

NG

O 3

NG

O 3

NG

O 4

NG

O 5

Polic

y 1

Polic

y 2

Polic

y 3

Polic

y 4

Polic

y 5

Pres

sure

Gro

up 1

Pres

sure

Gro

up 2

Stakeholder

Per

cent

age

Cha

nge

Emissions Energy Electrical Energy Non-Electrical Energy Energy per Person change Energy per unit GDP

Questions