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The Great NorthernThe Great NorthernPipeline DebatePipeline Debate
Stephen J. WuoriStephen J. Wuori
Group Vice PresidentPlanning and Development
Arctic Gas Symposium
November 30, 2001Houston, Texas
Enbridge Midcoast Energy Inc. operates gas gathering, distribution and processing facilities in nine states
Enbridge:
North & South America
Northern Pipeline DevelopmentThe Bottom Line
Project economics must be positive and robust
The Core Producers will direct the development
Political / Social issues must be resolved
Either pipeline route can be effectively constructed and operated
Only one pipeline route will be developed in the near term
North American Natural Gas Reserves Northern
Frontier ArcticIslands
EasternCanada
Eastern US
Gulf of Mexico
Gulf Coast
US Heartland
Rockiesand West
WesternCanada
Base Map Source: Cambridge Energy Research Associates
Expected Regional Gas Balances and Flow Changes – 2000 to 2010
Net Change in Supply/Demand Balance (bcf/day)
Incremental Gas Flows (bcf/day)
XX
3.7
-0.7
1.3
1.56.3
0.3
0.8
.
2.1
1.1
-2.5
0.2
-2.5
-1.40.0
-0.8
0.4
0.5
-2.31.5 -2.2
0.1
-2.61.0
-0.7
1.5
1.2
0.2
4.2
4.2
1.90.6
0.5
0.8
Who’s Who and the Routes
Prudhoe Bay
Fort St. John
Inuvik
Norman Wells
Fort Simpson
W hitehorse
Zama
Fort McMurray
Northern RouteMackenzie Valley Pipeline Southern Route
Edmonton
Anchorage
Yellowknife
Fairbanks
CalgaryVancouver
Pt. Thomson
Alaska Gas Producers (AGP)
State of Alaska
Alaska Others
MD Core Producers(MD 4)
MD Explorers (MD Others)
NWT Others
Route Cost & Toll Comparison
Enbridge is route neutralSafety and environmental excellence is a baseline
requirement
Alaska to Lower 48 Market South North
Total Project Cost (US$billions) 17.2 15.1
Notional tolls (US$/mcf) 2.39 2.07
(Far North O&G Conference on Sept. 20, ’01)
Both Routes are•Constructable•Operable
Mackenzie Valley (Stand Alone)
Total Project Cost (US$billions) 2.3
Notional tolls (US$/mcf) 0.95
Prudhoe Bay
Inuvi
k
Norman Wells
Anchorage
Whitehorse
Yellowknife
Edmonton
Prudhoe Bay
Inuvi
k
Norman Wells
Anchorage
Whitehorse
Yellowknife
Edmonton
“Northern” Pipeline Challenges
Unique “Northern” P/L Issues
Enbridge Northern Expertise
Experience Applied to the Future
Enbridge is route neutral
Northern Expertise
Enbridge has substantial experience constructing and operating northern infrastructure projects….
AlaskaInuvik
Norman Wells
Zama
Inuvik Gas
Norman Wells Pipeline
Over the TopEnbridge Proposed Location Near to Shore
The “Measured Approach”
Build two smaller lines “consecutively”
in the same right-of-way
The “Measured Approach”
BENEFITS
– Cost estimates 48-inch vs. 2x36-inch within 7%
– Reduced project risks
– Socio-economic benefits
– Improved schedule for first gas to market
– Pipeline capacity better matched to market needs
Build two smaller lines “consecutively”
in the same right-of-way
Success requires: Continental decision-making
Robust project economics
A Producer decision to proceed
Common understanding
Cooperation of all stakeholders
The Great NorthernThe Great NorthernPipeline DebatePipeline Debate
Stephen J. WuoriStephen J. Wuori
Group Vice PresidentPlanning and Development
Arctic Gas Symposium
November 30, 2001Houston, Texas