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THEGATEKEEPERSSTUDYUnlockingtheSecretsofFundResearch
2017
Gatekeeper/ˈɡeɪtkiːpə/1. anattendantemployedtocontrolwhogoes
throughagate2. Apersonorthingthatcontrols access to
something3. AnorangeandbrownEuropeanbutterfly
Assets• Q117:£997bn• 2010: £567bn• Q107:£444bn• 10-yeargrowth:+125%
Netsales• 2016:£20bn• Lastfiveyears:£62bn• Last10years:£146bn
THEUKFUNDINDUSTRY
Source:Broadridge FinancialSolutions
GATEKEEPERS
Source:Fundscape
IFAs~70-75%
Wholesalechannels
WMs~13%
Life&PensCOs~5%
D2Cp/forms>8%
Primarychannels
Banksetc<1%
Fundmanagers(direct)
Investors<1%
Gatekeepers50-70%
Life&PensionCOs Platforms60%
THESIZEOFTHEPIE
Source:Fundscape
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Q117
FOFs Pref fund deals MPs & CIPs Total platform sales
PlatformAUA(Mar2017):£520bnGrossplatformsalesin2016:£94bnNetplatformsalesin2016:£38bn
THESIZEOFTHEFUTUREPIE
Source:Fundscapeestimates
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Pessimistic Realistic Optimistic
£1.5trn
£1.2trn
£894bn
PessimisticCAGRto2021:18%RealisticCAGR:22%OptimisticCAGR:24%
7
ADVISERRISKS
• Platformduediligence
• Riskandreturnassessment
• Whoseassetallocationprocess?
• Analysisandmanagerselection
• Monitoringandreporting–benchmarking,charges,VFM
ASSETALLOCATIONRiskprofile5
OMW5 DT5
Cash 45% 0%Bonds 0% 35%Property 0% 7%UKequity 8% 26%Globalequity 47% 32%
HOWACTIVEISACTIVE?
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 5 10 15 20
Activ
e sh
are
3-yr tracking error
Trkrs11%
Diversifiedstock-picking50% Concentrated
stock-picking7%
Factor bets0%Closet trackers32%
Source:Morningstar,Cremers &Petajisto (2009),gbi2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
7010%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
25%
26%
27%
28%
# fu
nds
Annualised returns
UKEQUITYACTIVE
Redband=FTSEAllShareperformance.SourceFE,gbi2
SELECTIONCRITERIA
• Howtoselectifpastperformanceisnotacriterion?
• Benchmarking
• Nomore‘suitsyousir’comparators
• VFM
‘Costofmanagement’goesonresearchers’checklist
• UnitpriceofactivesharebenchmarksfundAMC
• Qualitativeassessment– selectivityprocess
12
ADVISERRISK
• Assessingsuitability
• Riskassessmentanddiscussion
• Designtheportfoliotomatch
• Assetallocationprocess
• Managerselection
• Monitoringandanalysis
• Reporting
OUTSOURCINGISNOTEASY
WHOARETHEY?
RATINGSAGENCIES
D2CBUY-LISTS
ADVISERBUY-LISTS
DFMs
METHODOLOGY
• Assumptions• TotalIAuniverseplusFCA-authorised funds• Twocohorts:listedandunlisted• Metrics• Alphaandbetavsector• Volatility• OCF• AUM,PTR,Fundlife,managertenure• SalesPerformanceBalanceratioTM
UNIVERSE• InvestmentAssociationuniverse:3,626• FCA-authorised foreignfunds:5,189
• 1,161listedfundsfromIAuniverse• 448listedFCA-authorised funds• 198fundgroups• Listedcohortrepresents18%ofinvestableuniverseand32%ofIAuniverse
COMMONDENOMINATORSACROSSGATEKEEPERS
• Positivealphaintheprevious3yearsandcurrentyear• Trackrecordoffiveyears• Fundmanagertenureof>4years• Assets>£200m• Assetgrowthevenlysplitbetweensalesandperformance(SPBratio)
=FUNDSCAPEFACTORS
TOPFIVEGATEKEEPERSBY10-YEARRETURNS
1. ISALtd– StarManagers2. Bestinvest BestofBreed3. ISALtd– GrowthPortfolio4. BrooksMacdonald5. Axa researchfundrange- Showcase
MOSTCONSISTENTPERFORMERS
Byreturnsoverone,three,fiveand10years
• ISALtd– Growthportfolio
• Bestinvest - BestofBreed
TOPFIVEGATKEEPERSBYFUNDSCAPEFACTORS
1. FundscapeFrontierFunds2. Bestinvest – BestofBreed3. InvestmentAdviser100Club4. HLWealth150+5. AJBellFavourite funds
TOPFUNDGROUPS
1. Schroders2. Fidelity3. Invesco4. M&G5. Jupiter6. Henderson7. OldMutual8. ColThreadneedle9. BlackRock10. StandardLife
1. Fidelity 68 2432. Schroders 61 2333. OM 69 2204. BlackRock 67 2035. Jupiter 34 1866. Invesco 42 1787. M&G 39 1608. ColThread 45 1539. Henderson 41 14810. Artemis 21 129
Q22015 Q12017
Funds #Apps
TOPFUNDS#PICKS
1. StewartAsiaPacLeaders2. BlackRockGold&Gen3. ArtemisIncome4. Axa Fram UKSel Opps5. M&GOptimalIncome6. NewtonGlobalIncome7. JupiterEuropean8. IPCorporateBond9. OMUKAlpha10. FSGlobalListedInfras.
1. StewartAsiaPacLeaders2. WoodfordEquityIncome3. Fundsmith Equity4. JupiterEuropean5. SchroderTokyo6. Liontrust SpecialSits7. ArtemisGlobalIncome8. M&GOptimalIncome9. Threadneedle Uk Eq Inc10. ArtemisIncome
Q22015 Q12017
SELECTIONFACTORSTOGETYOUNOTICED
Fivekeyconclusions
• Blahblah
CONCLUSIONS
HOWWECANHELPFUNDGROUPS
• Provideanongoingreviewoffundselectorsinthemarketandhowwelltheyhaveperformed
• Outlinethecriticalsuccessfactorsforbeingselectedinthischallengingenvironment
• Provideyou withvaluablecompetitorinsight,allowingyou tomonitoryour peersandbenchmarkyour progress
• Equipyouwiththenecessarytoolstohelpchallengefundselectionsandentrenchedpositionsonlists
INTERACTIVEDATA
Searchbyfundgroup
INTERACTIVEDATA
Searchbyfund
INTERACTIVEDATA
Searchbygatekeeper
INTERACTIVEDATASearchbysector
HOWWECANHELP• GatekeepersReportplusfulldataset
• £4000
• Quarterlyanalysis(annualdatapackages)• £2,000
• Bespokeanalysis
DISCOUNTCODE:SUMMERSPECIAL
INTHEFUTURE
• Moregatekeepers• Feedbackfromfundgroups• Feedbackfromintermediaries• Testingservice
THANKYOU