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The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell School of Earth Sciences The Ohio State University Newark, OH 43055

The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

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Page 1: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú

as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers

Diminish Runoff

Daniel N. Leavell

School of Earth Sciences

The Ohio State University

Newark, OH 43055

Page 2: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell
Page 4: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

Principal Cordilleras of the Andes Mountains in Perú

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Page 6: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell
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Data Source-NSIDC and WGMS

Alpine Glacier Mass Balance

Art-Robert A. Rohde, Globalwarmingart.com

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REDUCCION EN AREA 18 CORDILLERAS

EN 27 AÑOS

REDUCCION EN 21.85 %

2041.85

1595.6

446.248

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

1960 1962-70 1980 1990 1997-98

Area Reduccion Km2 446.248

Area Km2 2041.85 1595.6

Fuente: UGRH- INAGGA

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PERU

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Lima from Space

N

Page 11: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell
Page 12: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell
Page 13: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell
Page 14: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell
Page 15: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell
Page 16: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

8.8 million population

2% growth rate

9 mm/yr precipitation

Surface water supply

Dry season flow

Río Chillón: 0 m3/s

Río Rímac: 20 m3/s

Río Lurín: 0 m3/s

Lima is a rapidly

growing city,

outgrowing its

resource base

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Atarjea Water Treatment Plant

Page 19: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

Source:

SEDAPAL

Page 20: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

Lima’s Water Supply

Source - SEDAPAL

78 % Surface Water

22 % Ground Water

Page 21: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

Rio Rimac

above Lima at

Chosica

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Rio Montaro

Basin

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Precipitation - Junin Highlands

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Marca II

Marca

III

Marca I

Marca IV

Continental

Divide

Lago

Junin

50 km

Rio Blanca

Rio Santa Eulalia

Page 27: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

Cordillera Central

and

Nevado Sullcon

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www.allthemountains.com

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Yuracmayo

Reservoir 48Mm3

Rio Blanca Tributary to

Rio Rimac

Page 30: The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate ... · The Future of Water Supply in Coastal Perú as Climate Change and Shrinking Glaciers Diminish Runoff Daniel N. Leavell

Marca III

Marca IV

Marca I

Marca II

Lima (100 km)

5 km

Lima’s Water Supply

Enhancements:

Existing and Proposed

www.allthemountains.com

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Marca I, III and IV

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Marca IV - Huascacocha

Completed 2011

78 Mm3 storage

2.8 m3/s supply

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Storage basins

of

Marcapomacocha

235 Mm3 storage

in the Rio Montaro

Headwaters

Transferred by Tunnel

To the Santa Eulalia Basin

77 Mm3 storage

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Marcapomacocha

Transandean Tunnel

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Marca II

Marca

III

Marca I

Marca IV

Continental

Divide

Lago

Junin

50 km

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Disminución de los Caudales Naturales de los Ríos

por el Calentamiento Global

Source- SEDAPAL, 2009

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Marca II and the Cordillera Central

Yuracmayo

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The pressure of population growth, combined with a

decreasing abundance of available water, will become

problematic for the modern civilization of Perú, unless

plans are made today to cope with these changes and

plan for a sustainable future.

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The Rios Rimac and Montaro are marginally adequate to meet

today’s needs for agriculture, industry, power generation and

domestic supply.

Present climate trends suggest that demand for water in both river

basins will exceed supply in the near future.

The Marca IV and Marca II projects will supply a total of 7.2 m3/s

additional volume.

Currently Marca II is on hold and discussions in Perú suggest that

it may be replaced with desalination supply.

Increasingly, Lima and coastal Peru will have to rely on water

from the sea.

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The present contribution of glacial meltwater to the storage

reservoirs may not continue to mid-century.

Prolonged drought could greatly complicate supply.

Lima must address inefficiencies in the distribution system to

prevent waste (~40 %).

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Muchas Gracias

Thank You