The Future of the Global Economy to 20302

8/18/2019 The Future of the Global Economy to 20302

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the future of the globaleconomy to 2030alasdair keith richard o’brien michael prest


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contents

Introduction page 4

The Scenarios page 5

Future uncertainties

-Sustainability page 6

-People page 7

-Technology page 8

-Political models and stability page 9

-Economic outcomes page 10

What the Scenarios tell us page 11

Participants page 13

Rapid innovation

T e c h n o l o g y

Allocation of resources

Stifled innovation

C o n t r o l

F

r e em ar k e t


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Outsights is very grateful for the ideas and input ofall the participants in developing the main areas ofuncertainty and the draft scenarios at the workshopheld in London in early May 2008.

The full scenarios were then developed byOutsights based on the participants' insights andfurther Outsights research.

Participants' attendance does not imply

endorsement of the content of the scenarios bythemselves or their organisations.

Salman Ahmed Goldman Sachs

Stephen Browne International Trade Centre, Geneva

Simon Bryceson Simon Bryceson Communications Consulting

Robert Ciemniak Thomson Reuters

Peter Cornelius AlpInvest Partners

Tapan Datta Hewitt

Jeff Donahue BHP Billiton

Patrick Foley Lloyds TSB

Ifigenia Gioka BHP Billiton

David Goodhart Prospect Magazine

Tim Harford Financial Times

Ian Harwood Independent economist

Sarah Hewin Standard Chartered GroupCho Khong Shell

Julie Hoey Strategy Unit, Scottish Government

Jothi Jayadevan Outsights

Alasdair Keith Outsights

David Lascelles Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation

Paul Mortimer-Lee BNP-Paribas

Julie Mosmuller Outsights

Richard O'Brien Outsights

Michael Prest breakingviews.com

Alun Rhydderch Horizon Scanning Centre, Department for Innovation, Universities and Skills

James Watson Department for Business, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform

Stephen Yeo Centre for Economic Policy Research

participants

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Outsights on the Future of the Global Economy to 2030 © Outsights

www.outsights.co.uk


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The Future of the Global Economy to 20302