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THE FUTURE OF THE AUTOMOBILE for Personal Transportation June 14, 2011 Sorry, but this is not the future of the automobile ! 1 PAUL B. WILBUR PRESIDENT & CEO APTERA MOTORS

The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

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Page 1: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

THE FUTURE OF THE AUTOMOBILEfor Personal TransportationJune 14, 2011

Sorry, but this is not thefuture of the automobile !

1

PAUL B. WILBURPRESIDENT & CEOAPTERA MOTORS

Page 2: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

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35

20

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Standard

Higher Std

U.S. CAFÉ Standards for Passenger Cars…

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Today!

Revolution

Evolution (?)

Very few changes in fuel economy overthe past 20 years

Page 3: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

The Aptera approach is based on

“first principles”

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No, not Angus MacKenzie…This is Sir Isaac Newton! It’s back to Newtonian physics…

Page 4: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

The automobile and Physics 101

A vision for all vehicles in the future –

must consider all of the forces on a vehicle…

Aerodynamic down force

Weight & Grade

(effects of gravity)

Motive Force

Aero drag

Braking forces

Rolling resistance

Other friction related

Aerodynamic Lift

FRONT

4

The Auto Union Type C-16 “Silver Arrow”

Page 5: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

The automobile and Physics 201

The power required for a vehicle to overcome

the force of aerodynamic drag is …

Since energy used is a function of the cube of velocity times

the form of the drag area. The faster we go, the power

required also goes up by the cube of the velocity…

aerodynamics become mission critical, esp. in freeway driving

Where r is the density of air – so we aren’t going to impact that one too much…

Power Drag = ½ ρ v3 CD A

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Page 6: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

Power accelerate = ((1/2 m v2)/t)

Where m = mass; v = final speed; t = time

The automobile and Physics 301

The power required to accelerate a vehicle …

Energy to accelerate is a function of the mass of the vehicle and how

anxious the driver is to get where he’s going.

The faster we go is a squared function of the power that must be used.

Therefore, Low Mass is critical, especially in City based start and stop

driving and that is most of the driving that most Americans do… 6

Page 7: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

The Final Physics Class - Ph962

Reduce the FRICTIONAL LOSSES and there are many…

7

Page 8: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

There are 4 essential „building blocks‟ that

must be considered critical in the design

of future, more efficient passenger vehicles.

NOW - If we can’t change the speeds that we drive

or the way we accelerate away from a stop light,

we MUST find our energy savings in the fundamental -

physical attributes of the automobile …

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Page 9: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

A Physics Lesson for all OEMs

Fully composite, monocoque body (not CF) which is 3X stronger than steel

Coefficient of drag roughly ½ of all

existing vehicles on the road today

Recapturing “energy” during

deceleration using electric drive!!!

instead of an ICE drive train.

To reduce frictional losses everywhere (electric motor is 94% efficient, 1 speed direct

drive transaxle with electric park pawl, high efficiency wheel bearings, brake pads with spring back function, low RR tires, electric steering, electric compressor vs serpentine belts, etc.)

APTERA believes these factors are absolutely critical to consider

when designing the next generation of ultra fuel efficient vehicles:

1. Low mass materials

2. Aerodynamic forms

3. Regenerative braking(true power train efficiency)

4. Lower rolling resistance

Aptera‟s Engineering Approach

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Page 10: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

The Aptera Formula

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• Aerodynamics - Drives energy consumption at high speeds

• Weight - Drives energy consumption at low speeds

• Safety - A requirement in the vehicle purchase decision

Page 11: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

Aptera‟s Mission

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To design, manufacture and sell vehicles that set

a new benchmark in “energy efficiency”!

– Argonne National

Labs certified this level

of “fuel efficiency” in

our “proof of

concept” vehicle in

September of 2010.

– On the same basis:

• Nissan Leaf achieves - 99 MPG-e (as an electric)

• Chevy Volt achieves - 93 MPG-e (electric

only) but only 37 MPG

(in gas mode)

All Aptera vehicles > 200 MPG-e (EPA)

Page 12: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

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Where must we look for fuel economy as

the CAFÉ standards rise significantly?Market penetration of new technologies for light-duty vehicles, 2008 and 2035 per EIA

0 20 40 60 80 100

Percent market share

Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2010

Material substitution

Camless valve activation

Turbocharging

Advanced transmission

Aggressive shift logic

Drag reduction

Accessory improvements

2008 2035

Not needed for a one speedtransaxle electric vehicle

N/A for an EV – ICE engines only

N/A for an EV – ICE engines onlyAnyone for Mr. Fusion?

N/A for an EV w/ 1 speedTrans unless CVT optimized to peak electric motor specs.

Page 13: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

“One thing is clear: the

era of easy oil is over.

What we all do next

will determine how

well we meet the

energy needs of the

entire world in this

century and beyond.”

– David J O‟Reilly, Chairman & CEO, Chevron

Corp, July 2005

Don’t Laugh

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“The Stone Age ended before the world ran out of stone and the oil age will end before the world runs out of oil! ”

-Paul Wilbur, CEO Aptera, July, 2009

Page 14: The Future of the Automobile - Automotive News · The automobile and Physics 201 The power required for a vehicle to overcome the force of aerodynamic drag is … Since energy used

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The Automobile Company of the Future