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The Four Enemies of Investing
• Inflation
• Taxes
• Your Broker
• Yourself
The Four Pitfalls of Investing
• Too Conservative
• Too Aggressive
• Market-Timing
• Poor Delegation
The Six Factors That Determine Your Portfolio’s Future Value
• The Amount You Save• The Length of Time It Compounds• Your Asset Allocation• Those Assets’ Annual Return• The Expenses You Absorb• The Taxes You Pay
Total Nominal Return IndicesJanuary 1802 – December 31, 2006
STOCKS$12.7 mil
BONDS $18,235
BILLS$5,060
GOLD$32.84
CPI$16.84
$0
$1
$10
$100
$1,000
$10,000
$100,000
$1,000,000
$10,000,000
1801 1811 1821 1831 1841 1851 1861 1871 1881 1891 1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
Source: Jeremy Siegel
The Oxford Asset Allocation Model
Real Estate Investment
Trusts5%
Gold Shares5%
High-Yield Bonds10%
High-Grade Bonds10%
Inflation Adjusted Bonds
10%U.S. Stocks
30%
International Stocks30%
The Gone Fishin’ Portfolio
Fund Symbol Allocation
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index VTSMX 15%
Vanguard Small Cap Index NAESX 15%
Vanguard Emerging Market Index VEIEX 10%
Vanguard European Index VEURX 10%
Vanguard Pacific Index VPACX 10%
Vanguard High Yield Corporate VWEHX 10%
Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade Bonds VFSTX 10%
Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities VIPSX 10%
Vanguard REIT Index VGSIX 5%
Vanguard Precious Metals and Mining Fund VGPMX 5%
Performance
Market Beating Returns
Year Gone Fishin’ S&P 500
2000 -6.14% -9.11%
2001 -2.73% -11.89%
2002 -5.41% -22.10%
2003 32.72% 28.68%
2004 15.28% 10.88%
2005 11.93% 4.91%
2006 16.99% 15.80%
2007 9.68% 5.49%
2008 -31.70% -38.49%
The Gone Fishin’ PortfolioExchange-Traded Funds
ETF Symbol Allocation
Vanguard Total Stock Market VTI 15%
Vanguard Small-Cap VB 15%
Vanguard European VGK 10%
Vanguard Pacific VPL 10%
Vanguard Emerging Markets VWO 10%
iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond HYG 10%
Vanguard Total Bond Market BND 10%
iShares Lehman TIPs TIP 10%
Vanguard REIT VNQ 5%
Market Vectors Gold Miners GDX 5%
The Effects of Taxes
Non-Tax Managed Tax Managed
Start $250,000 $250,000
5 $350,638 $421,265
10 $491,788 $709,855
15 $689,758 $1,196,147
20 $967,421 $2,015,578
25 $1,356,858 $3,396,366
30 $1,903,064 $5,723,074