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The fiscal policy of 2013-14 has been calibrated with two fold objectives - first, to aid economy in growth revival; and second, to bring down the deficit from 2012-13 level so as to leave space for private sector credit as the investment cycle picks up. the current financial year, Budget 2013-14 provides for a measured increase in plan expenditure by 6.6 per cent over the budgeted estimates of last year. However, this marks an increase of 29.6 per cent over the revised estimates of 2012-13. A growth of 10.8 per cent has been provided for Non-plan expenditure in BE 2013-14 over RE 2012-13 keeping in view the requirements for Defence, Subsidies, Interest payments, Finance Commission Grants and increase in salaries and pensionary payments etc. This would result in overall expenditure increase of 16.3 per cent in BE 2013-14 over RE 2012-13. As a result of these measures, fiscal deficit is estimated to come down to 4.8 per cent of GDP, in keeping with the revised roadmap for fiscal consolidation announced by the government. As percentage of GDP, total expenditure is estimated to remain at same level in BE 2013-14 as in RE 2012-13 at 14.3 per cent. Tax to GDP ratio estimated at 10.7 per cent of GDP in BE 2012-13 is estimated to fall to 10.4 per cent of GDP in RE 2012-13, due to slowdown in economic growth. Tax to GDP ratio is estimated to increase to 10.9 per cent in BE 2013-14, with the growth of 19.1 per cent over RE 2012-13. Substantial growth of 32.8 per cent has been provided for non-tax revenue in BE 2013-14 as compared to RE 2012-13. However, this has to be seen against the fact that RE 2012-13 was substantially lower than BE 2012-13 due to shortfall from 2G spectrum sale. Compared to BE 2012-13, an increase of 4.6 per cent has been provided which is as per the trend for Non-tax receipts over last several years. Tax Policy 19. During the fiscal consolidation period, the tax- GDP ratio improved significantly from 9.2 per cent in 2003-04 to 11.9 per cent in 2007-08. This has been achieved through rationalization of the tax structure (moderate levels and a few rates), widening of the tax base, and reduction in compliance costs through improvement in tax administration. The extensive adoption of information technology solutions and reengineering of business processes has also fostered a less intrusive tax system and encouraged voluntary

The Fiscal Policy of 2013

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compliance. These measures resulted in increasedbuoyancy in tax revenues till 2007-08 and helped inachieving fiscal consolidation through revenuemeasures alone.

it was estimated that tax

receipt as percentage of GDP would improve to 10.7per cent in 2012-13. With moderation of growth ratein 2012-13, the tax-GDP ratio has been revised to10.4 per cent. Continuing on the path of fiscalconsolidation with a view to narrow the gap ingovernment spending and resources, the tax-GDPratio has been targeted at 10.9 per cent in theBE2013-14 with a growth rate of 19.1 per cent. Thisincludes additional resource mobilization, whilemaintaining pro-growth stance.Indirect Taxes21. In keeping with the overall thrust of fiscal policy,

in the realm of indirect taxes also, the stance during2013-14 would be in favour of further fiscalconsolidation, stability in duty rates, rationalization of duty structure by way of withdrawal of certainexemptions without increasing the tax burden oncommon man. This is in line with the medium termobjective of enhancing the tax-GDP ratio both throughbase expansion as well as administrative improvement.22. In the medium term, the most significant stepfrom the point of view of broadening the tax base andimproving revenue efficiency through better compliance is the introduction of Goods and Services

Tax (GST). As far as Central taxes viz. Central Exciseduties and Service Tax are concerned, a fair amountof integration has already been achieved, especiallythrough the cross-flow of credits across the two taxes.It would be possible to realize full integration of thetaxation of goods and services only when the StateVAT is also subsumed and a full-fledged GST islaunched.23. There are several specific proposals in theBudget 2013-14 to recalibrate the tax effort on indirecttaxes so that fiscal consolidation may be achieved inthe short term. The important and revenue significant

proposals include:Increase in excise duty on mobile phones of retailsale price exceeding ` 2000 from 1 per cent to6 per cent.Increase in excise duty on SUVs from 27 per cent to 30 per cent.Increase in basic customs duty on high endmotor cars from 75 per cent to 100 per cent.Increase in excise duty on cigarettes.

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Increase in basic customs duty on Set Top Boxesfrom 5 per cent to 10 per cent.Imposition of basic customs duty on steam coalat 2 per cent and CVD at 2 per cent. Onbituminous coal, basic customs duty is beingreduced from 5 per cent to 2 per cent and CVD

from 6 per cent to 2 per cent.Increase in basic customs duty on raw silk from5 per cent to 15 per cent.

Levy of export duty on bauxite and unprocessedilmenite at 10 per cent and on upgraded ilmeniteat 5 per cent.Increase in excise duty on marble slabs and tilesfrom ` 30 per square metre to ` 60 per squaremetre.To allow one time voluntary complianceencouragement scheme by way of waiver of 

interest and penalty, to stop filers, non-filers, nonregistrantand service providers who have notdisclosed true liability in the returns filed by themduring the period from October 2007 toDecember 2012.Imposition of service tax on all air-conditionedrestaurants.24. Government had earlier revised the customsduty on standard gold bars from 4 per cent to 6 per cent, with a view to contain the impact of gold importson the Current Account Deficit. It is expected that thedecision will also have a favourable impact on revenue

collections in the immediate future. It is Government'sobjective to provide non-adversarial tax administrationby simplifying, rationalizing and modernizing customs,central excise and Service tax procedures.Direct Taxes25. Government policy on Direct taxes has been toachieve growth while maintaining a regime of moderate tax rates. Tax collection is the product of two factors - tax rates and tax base. There will be nochange in the rate of personal income tax and therate of tax for the domestic and foreign companies inrespect of income earned in the financial year 

2013-14. Additionally, surcharge has been proposedunder various categories. The administrative and information technologyinitiatives are:Extensive use of technology is being made for collection of information without intrusivemethods. 360 degree profiling of taxpayers andpotential taxpayers is being done for gatheringinformation regarding their sources of incomeand spending habits. Information technology

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tools are being developed for exhaustivecollection of information and maintenance of database. Information collected from returns of income and other sources is collated andspecific targeted action can be taken against taxevaders.The large tax payer units are being expanded.The CPC at Bangaluru has become fullyfunctional and CPC-TDS at Vaishali Ghaziabadhas also gone live recently.28. Tax buoyancy has come down to less than one,meaning thereby that tax collection has failed to keeppace with the growth in GDP. This is more pronouncedin the corporate tax collection than in Personal Incometax collection. It is mainly due to the fact that netprofitability of businesses and trade has beendiminishing on account of rising inflation as comparedto real GDP growth rate and higher cost of funds

borrowed. These factors of inflation do not affectwages which mainly contributes to personal incometax collection.the Government is also moving toward alignment of administered interest rates with the market rates.Interest rates on small savings are now linked withyields in secondary market for dated securities. Theinterest rates for every financial year are notifiedbefore 1st April. Collections under various smallsaving schemes, net of withdrawals, during thefinancial year form the source of funds for NationalSmall Savings Fund (NSSF). The net collection is

invested in Central and State Government Securitiesas per the recommendation of the Committee on SmallSavings constituted in July, 2010. Redemption of these securities is reinvested in Central and StateGovernment Securities in 50:50 ratio at prevailing rateof interest.

In terms of debt financing, the borrowingsstrategy during 2013-14 will continue to rely ondomestic sources with external sources financing only2.4 per cent of the fiscal deficit. About 97.6 per centof GFD of ` 5,42,499 crore would be financed from

the domestic sources. Borrowing strategy will continueits focus on raising resources through on marketoriented instruments to meet both the short-term andmedium term borrowings requirements of theGovernment.

Railway Budget50. Railway Budget is presented separatelyhowever, the earnings and expenditure and all other 

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major financial figures are incorporated in the GeneralBudget. Government support is provided to Railwaysin the form of Gross Budgetary Support (GBS) and areturn on this investment, called Dividend, is paid everyyear. The rate of Dividend is determined by theRailway Convention Committee and is presently

proposed at 4 per cent. There has been no default inthe payment of dividend in the last ten years. Railwayrevenues are primarily earned through two major trafficstreams, passenger and freight. Some earnings arealso contributed by parcels, commercial utilization of land, siding charges, advertisement and dividend paidby Railways' PSUs. The earnings are utilized to meetthe operating expenses called Ordinary WorkingExpenses (OWE) and pensionary charges. Theremaining surplus is used to pay dividend and balanceis ploughed back as plan investment for meeting safetyand development needs of the system.

some correction has been carried out in2012-13 in the budget and subsequently in January,2013. It is likely to generate additional revenues of nearly ` 7000 crore in 2013-14.53. The plan investment in railways is fundedthrough GBS, internal resources and extra budgetaryresources (EBR). The 12th Five Year Plan for railwayshas been approved at ` 5.19 lakh crore, targetinginvestment of ` 1.94 lakh crore through GBS, ` 1.05lakh crore of internal resources and ` 2.20 lakh croreof EBR.

POLICY EVALUATION54. The mid-year course fiscal correction led tocomplete policy reversal from fiscal expansionarymodel to that of fiscal consolidation. While, in theinitial year of global financial crisis in 2008-09, fiscalexpansionary policies helped in reviving the growth,subsequent developments called for contraction of 

government spending. This became especially truewith the growing impact of twin deficits, which loomedlarge on the horizon and there was much debate on

government's rising fiscal deficit putting inflationarypressures leading to tightening of monetary policymeasures. It was felt that the fiscal expansionarypolicy will drive economic growth domestically andoffset the impact of global crisis was valid in the initialyears. However, developments since 2009 haveshown that sharp reduction in fiscal deficit coupledwith loosening of monetary policy may be theprescription more suitable in present context.

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55. Against this backdrop, Government announcedroadmap for fiscal consolidation with a view to limitgovernment spending and provide enough room for encouraging private investment along with continuingreforms process to attract capital investment / inflows.The strategy was to provide confidence to market,

reduce inflationary pressure and create room for easing of monetary policy. Government workedtowards this goalpost in later part of 2012-13 andintends to take forward the process in 2013-14. Theexpenditure and revenues have been thus targetedat realistic levels to retain net market borrowing of thegovernment within comfortable levels. With netborrowing increasing by 3.6 per cent y-o-y basis, therewill be sufficient room for banking sector to providefunds for private investments.56. Having carried out base correction in 2012-13to contain public spending and followed with major 

decisions such as deregulation of diesel prices,capping subsidized LPG etc. the fiscal policy for 2013-14 is aimed at further consolidation of thesemeasures by providing realistic increase in the Planand Non-plan expenditure. Resource mobilization hasalso been given due care to narrow the existing gapbetween potential and actual tax to GDP ratio. Thestrategy adopted for revival of the economy has thetwin objectives of containing government spending toachieve the projected fiscal deficit targets and to carryforward the reforms process to kick start a freshinvestment cycle and revive the growth process.

MEDIUM TERM FISCAL POLICY STATEMENTA. FISCAL INDICATORS  – ROLLING TARGETS AS PERCENTAGE OF GDP(at current market prices)Revised Budget Targets for Estimates Estimates2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-161. Effective Revenue Deficit 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.02. Revenue Deficit 3.9 3.3 2.7 2.0

3. Fiscal Deficit 5.2 4.8 4.2 3.64. Gross Tax Revenue 10.4 10.9 11.2 11.55. Total outstanding liabilities2

at the end of the year 45.9 45.7 44.3 42.3