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Paul Mahony, 26 th May 2014 The Electric Cow If livestock’s emissions came from electricity, would most environmentalists listen? terrastendo.net © Paul Mahony 2014

The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

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Page 1: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Paul Mahony, 26th May 2014

The Electric CowIf livestock’s emissions came from electricity, would most

environmentalists listen?

terrastendo.net©P

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Page 2: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

If cows ran on electricity, how much would we use in

order to produce a beef steak?

The Electric Cow©

Paul M

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Page 3: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

First, some background

©P

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Page 4: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Key reasons for livestock’s impact

Scale

Inherent inefficiency

Greenhouse gases and other warming agents

Land clearing and degradation

©P

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Page 5: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Key reasons for livestock’s impact

Scale

Inherent inefficiency

Greenhouse gases and other warming agents

Land clearing and degradation

Inter-related

©P

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Page 6: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

We’ll focus on the inefficiency of livestock as a

food source

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Page 7: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Inherent inefficiencies

The figures depicted have been provided in beef industry material.

Even a conversion factor of, say, 7 or 8 kg of grain per kg of end

product would represent a grossly inefficient system.

©P

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Page 8: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Inherent inefficiencies

The figures depicted have been provided in beef industry material.

Even a conversion factor of, say, 7 or 8 kg of grain per kg of end

product would represent a grossly inefficient system.

©P

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Page 9: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Inherent inefficiencies

The figures depicted have been provided in beef industry material.

Even a conversion factor of, say, 7 or 8 kg of grain per kg of end

product would represent a grossly inefficient system.

©P

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Page 10: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Inherent inefficiencies

The figures depicted have been provided in beef industry material.

Even a conversion factor of, say, 7 or 8 kg of grain per kg of end

product would represent a grossly inefficient system.

©P

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Page 11: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

What if we wanted to feed the same number of people

under each system?

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Page 12: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Inherent inefficiencies

The figures depicted have been provided in beef industry material.

Even a conversion factor of, say, 7 or 8 kg of grain per kg of end

product would represent a grossly inefficient system.

©P

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Page 13: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

More land

Inherent inefficiencies

The figures depicted have been provided in beef industry material.

Even a conversion factor of, say, 7 or 8 kg of grain per kg of end

product would represent a grossly inefficient system.

©P

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Page 14: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

More land

More fertiliser

Inherent inefficiencies

The figures depicted have been provided in beef industry material.

Even a conversion factor of, say, 7 or 8 kg of grain per kg of end

product would represent a grossly inefficient system.

©P

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Page 15: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

More land

More fertiliser

More energy

Inherent inefficiencies

The figures depicted have been provided in beef industry material.

Even a conversion factor of, say, 7 or 8 kg of grain per kg of end

product would represent a grossly inefficient system.

©P

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Page 16: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Chicken meat is better, but . . . still a poor feed conversion ratio

Inherent inefficiencies©

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Page 17: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

1.7

Inherent inefficiencies©

Paul M

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Page 18: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

1.7

Yield (meat from live weight) 72.25% = 2.35 kg feed per kg meatInherent inefficiencies

©P

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Page 19: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Yield (meat from live weight) 72.25% = 2.35 kg feed per kg meat

©P

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1.7

Page 20: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Yield (meat from live weight) 72.25% = 2.35 kg feed per kg meat

©P

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Page 21: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Yield (meat from live weight) 72.25%

= 2.35 kg feed per kg meat

©P

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Page 22: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Yield (meat from live weight) 72.25%

= 2.35 kg feed per kg meat

= a return of 43% (or nutrition loss of 57%)

©P

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Page 23: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Yield (meat from live weight) 72.25%

= 2.35 kg feed per kg meat

Any management team

promoting this level of

efficiency for a conventional

business would be shown the

door!

= a return of 43% (or nutrition loss of 57%)

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Page 24: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Livestock

Certain livestock-related emissions figures are effectively

omitted from official figures in Australia and elsewhere

because relevant factors are:

©P

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Page 25: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Livestock

(a) omitted entirely from official figures

e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon

Certain livestock-related emissions figures are effectively

omitted from official figures in Australia and elsewhere

because relevant factors are:

©P

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Page 26: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Livestock

(a) omitted entirely from official figures

e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon

(b) classified under non-livestock headings

e.g. livestock-related land clearing reported under

“land use, land use change and forestry”

Certain livestock-related emissions figures are effectively

omitted from official figures in Australia and elsewhere

because relevant factors are:

©P

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Page 27: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Livestock

(a) omitted entirely from official figures

e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon

(b) classified under non-livestock headings

e.g. livestock-related land clearing reported under

“land use, land use change and forestry”

(c) considered but with conservative calculations

e.g. methane’s impact based on a 100-year, rather

than 20-year, “global warming potential”

Certain livestock-related emissions figures are effectively

omitted from official figures in Australia and elsewhere

because relevant factors are:

©P

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Page 28: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Back to the electric cow©

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Page 29: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

If cows ran on electricity, how much would we use in

order to produce a beef steak?

Back to the electric cow©

Paul M

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Page 30: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Specifically, what figure would we arrive at if it was based

on their current level of greenhouse gas emissions?

©P

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Page 31: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

To get some idea, we’ll compare their emissions

performance to:

©P

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• Australian aluminium smelting, which

consumes vast amounts of electricity

• Australian electricity generation, which comes

largely from coal

Page 32: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Firstly, aluminium©

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“Aluminium is the ultimate proxy

for energy”

Marius Kloppers, former CEO of

BHP Billiton

“To phrase it in terms of the

industry joke, aluminium is

congealed electricity.”

Mining Weekly.com

Page 33: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Aluminium smelting has at times consumed 16%

of Australia’s electricity

. . . for less than 1% of gross domestic product

. . . and less than 0.1% of jobs.

©P

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Page 34: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

That percentage may have reduced due to smelter

closures and a reduction in emissions intensity from

20 tonnes of greenhouse gas per tonne of product in

1999 to 15.6 tonnes in 2011, but its contribution is

still extremely significant.

©P

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Page 35: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

The emissions intensity of Australian aluminium

smelting has been 2.5 times the global average, as

the electricity is primarily coal-fired, including brown

coal from the Latrobe Valley in Victoria.

©P

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Page 36: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

The emissions intensity of Australian aluminium

smelting has been 2.5 times the global average, as

the electricity is primarily coal-fired, including brown

coal from the Latrobe Valley in Victoria.

©P

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Emissions intensity represents the unit weight of

CO2-equivalent greenhouse gases per unit weight of

end product for any given commodity.

Page 37: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

37

Let’s compare the emissions intensity of

aluminium smelting to that of various plant-based

food products, i.e.:

- sugar,

- wheat,

- other grains,

- carrots,

- potatoes,

- apples and

- soy beans.

©P

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Page 38: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Plant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

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Here are emissions intensity figures for various

plant-based food sources

Page 39: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Plant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

Let’s then see how steel production and

aluminium smelting compare

(rounded up to zero decimal places).

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Page 40: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Plant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

©P

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Page 41: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

3

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Plant-based foods from sugar to soybeans Steel

©P

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Page 42: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

3

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Steel & AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

©P

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Page 43: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

3

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Steel & AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

We’ll now consider beef production, but first we

need to change the scale of the chart.

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Page 44: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

3

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Steel & AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

©P

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Page 45: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

45

©P

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Page 46: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

46

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium

©P

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Page 47: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

47

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium

©P

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Page 48: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

48

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Grass-fedbeef

Mixed-grazing

beef

©P

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Page 49: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

49

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Grass-fedbeef

Mixed-grazing

beef

The first figures are global average figures based on

carcass weight, published by the Food & Agriculture

Organization of the United Nations in Dec, 2013.

©P

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Page 50: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

50

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Grass-fedbeef

Mixed-grazing

beef

©P

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Page 51: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

51

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

56

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

©P

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Page 52: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

52

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

56

102

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

©P

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Page 53: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

53

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

56

102

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

Now let’s consider emissions intensity based on the weight

of the retail product (representing the yield), rather than

the weight of the carcass.

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Page 54: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

54

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

56

102

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

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The emissions relating to the cow haven’t changed, but the “end

product”, retail meat obtained from the carcass, is lighter than

the carcass itself, so the emissions intensity increases.

Page 55: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

55

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

56

102

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

©P

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56

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

102

©P

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57

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

102

140

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

©P

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58

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

102

140

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

Now let’s adjust for a 20-year “global warming

potential” (GWP) for methane, but first an

explanation.

©P

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Page 59: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

59

The emissions of different gases can be aggregated by

converting them to carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2-e). It

is like a common denomination for greenhouse gases.

©P

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They are converted by multiplying the mass of emissions

by the appropriate global warming potentials (GWPs).

GWPs represent the relative warming effect of a unit

mass of the gas when compared with the same mass of

CO2 over a specific period.

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60

CO2-e equivalent (CO2-e) emissions from livestock

20-year “Global Warming Potential” (GWP)

Traditional reporting of

methane’s global warming

potential has understated its

shorter-term impact, as it

breaks down in the

atmosphere much faster

than carbon dioxide.

The IPCC’s 100-year GWP

for methane was increased

to 34 (with carbon cycle

feedbacks) in 2013.

The figure for a 20 year

timeframe is 86.

NASA reports figures of 33

for 100 years and 105 for 20

years.

©P

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61

CO2-e equivalent (CO2-e) emissions from livestock

20-year “Global Warming Potential” (GWP)

Methane’s shorter-term

impacts can become long-

term to the extent that they

contribute to us reaching

climate change tipping points

with catastrophic and

irreversible consequences.

©P

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62

CO2-e equivalent (CO2-e) emissions from livestock

20-year “Global Warming Potential” (GWP)

Methane’s shorter-term

impacts can become long-

term to the extent that they

contribute to us reaching

climate change tipping points

with catastrophic and

irreversible consequences.

©P

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ahon

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Meaningful action in regard

to key sources of methane

can represent a significant

mitigation measure with a

relatively fast response time.

Page 63: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

63

CO2-e equivalent (CO2-e) emissions from livestock

20-year “Global Warming Potential” (GWP)

Methane’s shorter-term

impacts can become long-

term to the extent that they

contribute to us reaching

climate change tipping points

with catastrophic and

irreversible consequences.

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

Meaningful action in regard

to key sources of methane

can represent a significant

mitigation measure with a

relatively fast response time.

To repeat: Methane’s shorter-te

rm impacts can become long-term

to the extent that th

ey contribute to us reaching climate change

tipping points with catastrophic and irreversible consequences.

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64

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

102

140

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

So now we’ll insert figures based on a 20-year GWP©

Paul M

ahon

y 2

014

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65

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

102

140

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

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66

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

160

102

140

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

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67

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

160

102

140

291

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

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68

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

160

102

140

291

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

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69

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

160

102

140

291

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

On that basis, the global average emissions

intensity of beef from grass-fed cows is more than

18 times that of Australian aluminium smelting.

©P

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Page 70: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

70

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

160

102

140

291

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

As mentioned, Australian aluminium smelting has

been 2.5 times as emissions intensive as the

global average.

©P

aul M

ahon

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71

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

160

102

140

291

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

The “20-year GWP” figures are based on the global average

percentage split of the various factors contributing to beef’s emissions

intensity.

©P

aul M

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Page 72: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

72

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

160

102

140

291

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

As methane’s percentage contribution would be lower in mixed

systems than in grazing systems, they may be over-stated for the

former (160 kg) and under-stated for the latter (291 kg).

They are intended to be approximations only.

©P

aul M

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73

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

5677

160

102

140

291

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium Mixed-grazing

beef

Grass-fedbeef

The figures also vary by region.

As stated, those shown here are the global average.

©P

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Page 74: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

74

Here’s how meat from small ruminants (primarily

sheep & goats) compares

©P

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Page 75: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

75

Here’s how meat from small ruminants (primarily

sheep & goats) compares

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

3

16

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Steel Aluminium Sheep - Mixed - Carcass

Sheep - Mixed - Retail Sheep Mixed Retail - 20 Yr GWP Sheep - Grazing - Carcass

Sheep - Grazing - Retail Sheep Grazing Retail - 20 Yr GWP

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

©P

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76

Here’s how meat from small ruminants (primarily

sheep & goats) compares

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

3

23 24

16

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Steel Aluminium Sheep - Mixed - Carcass

Sheep - Mixed - Retail Sheep Mixed Retail - 20 Yr GWP Sheep - Grazing - Carcass

Sheep - Grazing - Retail Sheep Grazing Retail - 20 Yr GWP

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

©P

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77

Here’s how meat from small ruminants (primarily

sheep & goats) compares

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

3

23

35

24

16

36

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Steel Aluminium Sheep - Mixed - Carcass

Sheep - Mixed - Retail Sheep Mixed Retail - 20 Yr GWP Sheep - Grazing - Carcass

Sheep - Grazing - Retail Sheep Grazing Retail - 20 Yr GWP

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

©P

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78

Here’s how meat from small ruminants (primarily

sheep & goats) compares

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

3

23

35

24

86

16

84

36

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Steel Aluminium Sheep - Mixed - Carcass

Sheep - Mixed - Retail Sheep Mixed Retail - 20 Yr GWP Sheep - Grazing - Carcass

Sheep - Grazing - Retail Sheep Grazing Retail - 20 Yr GWP

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

©P

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79

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

3

23

35

24

86

16

84

36

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Steel Aluminium Sheep - Mixed - Carcass

Sheep - Mixed - Retail Sheep Mixed Retail - 20 Yr GWP Sheep - Grazing - Carcass

Sheep - Grazing - Retail Sheep Grazing Retail - 20 Yr GWP

Steel & Aluminium

Sheep from grazing systems

Sheep from mixed systems

Some of the emissions from small ruminants are

attributed to milk and fibre, reducing the meat figure

©P

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Page 80: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

80

Let’s see how the global emissions intensity of chicken and

pig meat compares, based on retail weight and a 20-year

GWP.

©P

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SOME FURTHER COMPARISONS

Page 81: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

81

SOME FURTHER COMPARISONS

Let’s see how the global emissions intensity of chicken and

pig meat compares, based on retail weight and a 20-year

GWP.

Firstly, we’ll revert to the original scale on the chart.

©P

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82

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

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83

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 316

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uct

Plant-based foods, steel & aluminium

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

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Page 84: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Emissions Intensity

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

3

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Steel & AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

©P

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0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

3

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Steel & AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

©P

aul M

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y 2

014

To make some room, we’ll remove soy beans and steel

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0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8 0.9

3

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Steel & AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to soybeans

©P

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ahon

y 2

014

Page 87: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to apples

©P

aul M

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y 2

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Page 88: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to apples

©P

aul M

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Now we’ll add pig and chicken meat.

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0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to apples

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

Page 90: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8

7.6

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to apples Chicken

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

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0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8

7.6

13.6

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Pig AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to apples Chicken

©P

aul M

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y 2

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0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8

7.6

13.6

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Pig AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to apples Chicken

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

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0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.50.8

7.6

13.6

16

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

kg

CO

2-e

/ k

g p

rod

uc

t

Pig AluminiumPlant-based foods from sugar to apples Chicken

The emissions intensity of chicken and pig meat is very

poor relative to plant-based alternatives.

©P

aul M

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Page 94: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

94

The emissions intensity of Australian beef

production is lower than the global average due

primarily to higher productivity (more meat per

cow), relatively high feed digestibility and a

reduction in livestock-related land clearing since

the end of 2006.

©P

aul M

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y 2

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Page 95: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

95

The land clearing may increase following the

recent overturning by the current Queensland

government of a ban imposed by the previous

government on broad scale land clearing.

©P

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Page 96: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

96

The land clearing may increase following the

recent overturning by the current Queensland

government of a ban imposed by the previous

government on broad scale land clearing.

©P

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Page 97: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

97

The UNFAO has not produced emissions intensity

figures for specialised beef in Australia.

©P

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Page 98: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

98

The UNFAO has not produced emissions intensity

figures for specialised beef in Australia.

©P

aul M

ahon

y 2

014

For our next comparison, we’ll consider figures

produced by Australia’s Department of the

Environment.

Page 99: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

99

The UNFAO has not produced emissions intensity

figures for specialised beef in Australia.

©P

aul M

ahon

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014

For our next comparison, we’ll consider figures

produced by Australia’s Department of the

Environment.

Let’s see how the aggregate emissions of cows

and other livestock animals compare to those of

Australian electricity generation, taking into

account only methane emissions in respect of the

animals.

Page 100: The Electric Cow - WordPress.com › 2016 › 12 › the...Livestock (a)omitted entirely from official figures e.g. tropospheric ozone and black carbon (b)classified under non-livestock

Background: Around 90 per cent of Australia’s electricity

is generated from traditional fossil fuels, with 69 per cent

from coal and 19 per cent from natural gas.

©P

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a includes wind, hydro, solar PV and bioenergy; b includes multi-fuel power plants

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In terms of gross domestic product, Australia’s economy

was ranked number 12 of 214 nations by The World Bank

as at 8th May, 2014.

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a includes wind, hydro, solar PV and bioenergy; b includes multi-fuel power plants

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Australia’s per capita emissions are amongst the highest

in the world.

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a includes wind, hydro, solar PV and bioenergy; b includes multi-fuel power plants

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Around 90 percent of Australia’s emissions from fossil fuel

electricity generation come from black and brown coal.

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Electricity emissions: Australian Government, Dept of the Environment, “National Inventory Report 2012 Volume 1”, Fig. 3.2

CO2-e emissions from electricity generation by fossil fuels, 1990-92, p. 50.

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104

CO2-e emissions (Gg) 2012: Coal-fired electricity

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215,725175,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Coal-fired electricity

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105

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215,725175,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Coal-fired electricity Methane from animalagriculture

CO2-e emissions (Gg) 2012: Coal-fired electricity

and methane from animal agriculture based on 20-year GWP

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106

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215,725193,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Total electricity

CO2-e emissions (Gg) 2012: All electricity generation

and methane from animal agriculture based on 20-year GWP

Methane from animalagriculture

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107

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215,725193,000

On this basis, if the newly developed electric cows, sheep,

chickens, pigs and other livestock animals were to require

the amount of electricity that would create their current

level of greenhouse gas emissions, then we would not be

generating enough for them to operate, even if all other

activities using electricity ceased!

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108

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215,725193,000

The reported methane emissions are from: enteric

fermentation (released primarily through belching); manure

management; and savanna burning.

There appears to be no allowance in Australia’s livestock-

related greenhouse gas inventory for the following non-

methane factors that are considered by the FAO: manure

applied to feed crops (N2O); Fertilizer and crop residues

(N2O); feed (CO2); and land use change (pasture expansion)

(CO2).

Australia’s greenhouse gas inventory does include N20

emissions from manure management and savanna burning.

Notes:

- CO2 = carbon dioxide; CH4 = methane; N2O = nitrous oxide

- The UN FAO treats “manure management” and “applied and deposited manure” as separate

categories. It appears the Australian figures included “deposited manure” in “manure management”.

- We have applied 57% of savanna burning to livestock production, in line with material

commissioned by the former Australian Greenhouse Office.

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109

Methane’s share of beef’s global average emissions is 44%(Enteric fermentation 42.6% and manure management 1.4%)

Enteric 42.6%

Manure (3 categories) 23.1%

Feed & fertiliser 17.4%

LUC – Pasture 14.8%

Energy 0.9%

LUC – Soybean 0.7%

Postfarm 0.5%

Total 100%

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110

Buying locally hardly helps

Postfarm

emissions

(transport and

processing) only

account for 0.5%

of the total.

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Enteric 42.6%

Manure (3 categories) 23.1%

Feed & fertiliser 17.4%

LUC – Pasture 14.8%

Energy 0.9%

LUC – Soybean 0.7%

Postfarm 0.5%

Total 100%

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James Hansen – Essential Measures©

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James Hansen – Essential Measures©

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Massive reforestation and action on soil carbon will be critical

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Chicken 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Beef mixed 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Beef grass fed 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Fish 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Tofu 100g

Soy Nuts 50g

Kidney Beans 50g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Soymilk 400g

Alternative Diets (updated October 2014)

Plant foods’ emissions for this and subsequent slides are from an Oxford study released in June, 2014. Some

are slightly higher than figures used in earlier slides but still significantly below the animal-based figures.

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Chicken 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Beef mixed 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Beef grass fed 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Fish 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Tofu 100g

Soy Nuts 50g

Kidney Beans 50g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Soymilk 400g

Alternative Diets (updated October 2014)

Plant foods’ emissions for this and subsequent slides are from an Oxford study released in June, 2014. Some

are slightly higher than figures used in earlier slides but still significantly below the animal-based figures.

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Emissions:

2.00 kg

Chicken 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Beef mixed 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Beef grass fed 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Fish 200g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Cow’s milk 400g

Emissions:

3.24 kg

Emissions:

3.68 kg

Emissions:

34.17 kg

Emissions:

60.34 kg

Tofu 100g

Soy Nuts 50g

Kidney Beans 50g

Broccoli 50g

Carrot 50g

Potato 150g

Almonds 50g

Banana 150g

Orange 150g

Oats 80g

Quinoa 100g

Spinach 100g

Dried Apricots 65g

Avocado 50g

W'meal Bread 130g

Soymilk 400g

Alternative Diets (updated October 2014)

Plant foods’ emissions for this and subsequent slides are from an Oxford study released in June, 2014. Some

are slightly higher than figures used in earlier slides but still significantly below the animal-based figures.

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Alternative Diets (updated October 2014)Greenhouse gas emissions (kg per day)

Key distinguishing ingredients shown

Plant foods’ emissions for this and subsequent slides are from an Oxford study released in June, 2014. Some

are slightly higher than figures used in earlier slides but still significantly below the animal-based figures.

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What about chickens and fish?

While emissions from diets featuring chicken and

fish are comparable to the plant-based alternative,

those two commodities in their own right are

around three to four times as emissions intensive.

Fish photo© Furzyk73 | Dreamstime.com - Tinca Tinca, Doctor Fish, The Tench Photo; Chicken photo courtesy of aussiechickens.com.au

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What about chickens and fish?

They also involve other massive environmental

problems, including destruction of oceanic

ecosystems and waste from around 60 billion

chickens bred and slaughtered annually.

Fish photo© Furzyk73 | Dreamstime.com - Tinca Tinca, Doctor Fish, The Tench Photo; Chicken photo courtesy of aussiechickens.com.au

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119

Dr Andrew Glikson, earth and paleoclimate scientist at Australian National

University

Some thoughts to conclude©

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120

“Contrarian claims by sceptics,

misrepresenting direct observations in

nature and ignoring the laws of physics,

have been adopted by neo-conservative

political parties.”

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Dr Andrew Glikson, earth and paleoclimate scientist at Australian National

University

Some thoughts to conclude

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121

“A corporate media maintains a

‘balance’ between facts and fiction.”

“Contrarian claims by sceptics,

misrepresenting direct observations in

nature and ignoring the laws of physics,

have been adopted by neo-conservative

political parties.”

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Dr Andrew Glikson, earth and paleoclimate scientist at Australian National

University

Some thoughts to conclude

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122

“The best that governments seem to do

is devise cosmetic solutions, or promise

further discussions, while time is

running out.”

“A corporate media maintains a

‘balance’ between facts and fiction.”

“Contrarian claims by sceptics,

misrepresenting direct observations in

nature and ignoring the laws of physics,

have been adopted by neo-conservative

political parties.”

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Dr Andrew Glikson, earth and paleoclimate scientist at Australian National

University

Some thoughts to conclude

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123

“The best that governments seem to do

is devise cosmetic solutions, or promise

further discussions, while time is

running out.”

“A corporate media maintains a

‘balance’ between facts and fiction.”

“Contrarian claims by sceptics,

misrepresenting direct observations in

nature and ignoring the laws of physics,

have been adopted by neo-conservative

political parties.”

“GOOD PLANETS ARE HARD TO COME BY!”

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Dr Andrew Glikson, earth and paleoclimate scientist at Australian National

University

Some thoughts to conclude

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124

“The best that governments seem to do

is devise cosmetic solutions, or promise

further discussions, while time is

running out.”

“A corporate media maintains a

‘balance’ between facts and fiction.”

“Contrarian claims by sceptics,

misrepresenting direct observations in

nature and ignoring the laws of physics,

have been adopted by neo-conservative

political parties.”

©P

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Dr Andrew Glikson, earth and paleoclimate scientist at Australian National

University

Some thoughts to conclude

References and supplementary slides follow

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125

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ReferencesMethane GWP Chart: Smith, K., cited in World Preservation Foundation, “Reducing Shorter-Lived Climate Forcers through Dietary Change: Our best chance

for preserving global food security and protecting nations vulnerable to climate change“,

http://www.worldpreservationfoundation.org/Downloads/ReducingShorterLivedClimateForcersThroughDietaryChange.pdf

Shindell, D.T., Faluvegi, G., Koch, D.M., Schmidt, G.A., Unger, N., Bauer, S.E., “Improved Attribution of Climate Forcing to Emissions“, Science 30 October

2009: Vol. 326 no. 5953 pp. 716-718 DOI: 10.1126/science.1174760, https://www.sciencemag.org/content/326/5953/716.figures-only

Sanderson, K., “Aerosols make methane more potent”, Nature, Published online 29 October 2009 | Nature | doi:10.1038/news.2009.1049,

http://www.nature.com/news/2009/091029/full/news.2009.1049.html

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Fifth Assessment Report, 2014, http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/, cited in Romm, J., “More Bad News For

Fracking: IPCC Warns Methane Traps More Heat”, The Energy Collective, 7th October, 2013, http://theenergycollective.com/josephromm/284336/more-bad-

news-fracking-ipcc-warns-methane-traps-much-more-heat-we-thoughtSanderson, K., “Aerosols make methane more potent”, Nature, Published online 29

October 2009 | Nature | doi:10.1038/news.2009.1049, http://www.nature.com/news/2009/091029/full/news.2009.1049.html

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, “Tackling climate change through livestock: A global assessment of emissions and mitigation

opportunities”, Nov 2013, http://www.fao.org/ag/againfo/resources/en/publications/tackling_climate_change/index.htm;

http://www.fao.org/docrep/018/i3437e/i3437e.pdf

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, “Greenhouse gas emissions from ruminant supply chains: A global life cycle assessment”, Nov

2013, http://www.fao.org/ag/againfo/resources/en/publications/tackling_climate_change/index.htm; http://www.fao.org/docrep/018/i3461e/i3461e.pdf

United States Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service, Agricultural Handbook No. 697, June, 1992 (website updated 10 September, 2013),

“Weights, Measures, and Conversion Factors for Agricultural Commodities and Their Products”, http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/ah-agricultural-

handbook/ah697.aspx#.U0ihR6Ikykw

Hamilton, C, “Scorcher: The Dirty Politics of Climate Change”, (2007) Black Inc Agenda, p. 40

Australian Aluminium Council Ltd, “Climate Change: Aluminium Smelting Greenhouse Performance”, http://aluminium.org.au/climate-change/smelting-

greenhouse-performance (Accessed 14th April, 2014)

Turton, H. “Greenhouse gas emissions in industrialised countries Where does Australiastand?”, The Australia Institute, Discussion Paper Number 66, June

2004, ISSN 1322-5421, p. viii, https://www.tai.org.au/documents/dp_fulltext/DP66.pdf

Carlsson-Kanyama, A. & Gonzalez, A.D. “Potential Contributions of Food Consumption Patterns to Climate Change”, The American Journal of Clinical

Nutrition, Vol. 89, No. 5, pp. 1704S-1709S, May 2009, http://www.ajcn.org/cgi/content/abstract/89/5/1704S

George Wilkenfeld & Associates Pty Ltd and Energy Strategies, “National Greenhouse Gas Inventory 1990, 1995, 1999, End Use Allocation of Emissions

Report to the Australian Greenhouse Office, 2003, Volume 1”, Table S5, p. vii

Glikson, A., “As emissions rise, we may be heading for an ice-free planet”, The Conversation, 18 January, 2012,

http://theconversation.edu.au/as-emissions-rise-we-may-be-heading-for-an-ice-free-planet-4893 (Accessed 4 February 2012)

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ReferencesAustralian Government Department of Industry, “The Australian Aluminium Industry”,

http://www.innovation.gov.au/INDUSTRY/AUSTRALIANALUMINIUMINDUSTRY/Pages/default.aspx (accessed 18th April, 2014) (Industry output 2010/11

1,938,000 tonnes)

Australian Government Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, “Australian food statistics 2011–12”, Table 2.4 Supply and Use of Australian

Meats, p. 58, http://www.daff.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0007/2269762/daff-foodstats-2011-12.pdf (Beef and veal production 2010/11 2,133,000 tonnes)

Australian Government, Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics, “2013 Australian Energy Update”, Fig. 3 Australian electricity generation, by fuel type,

p. 10, http://www.bree.gov.au/sites/default/files/files//publications/aes/2013-australian-energy-statistics.pdf

Electricity emissions: Australian Government, Dept of the Environment, “National Inventory Report 2012 Volume 1”, Fig. 3.2 CO2-e emissions from electricity

generation by fossil fuels, 1990-2012, p. 50.

Campbell, K., "Energy crunch constraining aluminium expansions”, 27 February, 2006, www.miningweekly.com, http://www.miningweekly.com/article/energy-

crunch-constraining-aluminum-expansions-2006-02-27

The World Bank, GDP Ranking, 8th May, 2014, http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/GDP-ranking-table

Pie chart: Figure 7, p. 24, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, “Tackling climate change through livestock: A global assessment of

emissions and mitigation opportunities”, Nov 2013, http://www.fao.org/ag/againfo/resources/en/publications/tackling_climate_change/index.htm;

http://www.fao.org/docrep/018/i3437e/i3437e.pdf

Beef’s efficiency diagram derived from W.O. Herring and J.K. Bertrand, “Multi-trait Prediction of Feed Conversion in Feedlot Cattle”, Proceedings from the

34th Annual Beef Improvement Federation Annual Meeting, Omaha, NE, July 10-13, 2002,

www.bifconference.com/bif2002/BIFsymposium_pdfs/Herring_02BIF.pdf, cited in Singer, P & Mason, J, “The Ethics of What We Eat” (2006), Text Publishing

Company, p. 210

Chicken’s feed conversion figures: Australian Chicken Meat Federation, Industry facts and figures, http://www.chicken.org.au/page.php?id=4 (accessed 7th

May, 2014).

Chicken yield figure: USDA Agricultural Handbook # 697 “Weights, Measures and Conversion Factors for Agricultural Commodities and Their Products”,

June 1992, http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/ah-agricultural-handbook/ah697.aspx, updated 10 Sep, 2013

Hansen, J; Sato, M; Kharecha, P; Beerling, D; Berner, R; Masson-Delmotte, V; Pagani, M; Raymo, M; Royer, D.L.; and Zachos, J.C. “Target Atmospheric

CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim?”, 2008.

Acknowledgement: An earlier comparison between electricity generation and methane emissions was reported by Prof. Barry Brook and Geoff Russell in

“Meat’s Carbon Hoofprint”, Australasian Science, Nov/Dec 2007, pp. 37-39, http://www.control.com.au/bi2007/2810Brook.pdf

Australian Government, Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics, “2013 Australian Energy Update”, Fig. 3 Australian electricity generation, by fuel type,

p. 10, http://www.bree.gov.au/sites/default/files/files//publications/aes/2013-australian-energy-statistics.pdf

Electricity emissions: Australian Government, Dept of the Environment, “National Inventory Report 2012 Volume 1”, Fig. 3.2 CO2-e emissions from electricity

generation by fossil fuels, 1990-92, p. 50.

Scarborough, P., Appleby, P.N., Mizdrak, A., Briggs, A.D.M., Travis, R.C., Bradbury, K.E., & Key, T.J., "Dietary greenhouse gas emissions of meat-eaters,

fish-eaters, vegetarians and vegans in the UK", Climatic Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-014-1169-1

Cover images: Plug © Antonio Mirabile | Dreamstime.com; Cow © Pavelmidi1968 | Dreamstime.com

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Supplementary slides

Land clearing

Nutrition

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128

Land Clearing in Australia

Total area cleared since European settlement approx. 1 million sq. km.

Approx. 70% or 700,000 sq km (9% of Australia’s land area) is due to livestock.

Cleared native vegetation and protected areas

Cleared native vegetation

Native vegetation

Protected areas

Sources: Map - National Biodiversity Strategy Review Task Group, “Australia’s

Biodiversity Conservation Strategy 2010–2020”, Figure A10.1, p. 91Other figures derived from Russell, G. “The global food system and climate

change – Part 1”, 9 Oct 2008, www.bravenewclimate.com, which utilised:

Dept. of Sustainability, Environment, Water, Population and Communities,

State of the Environment Report 2006, Indicator: LD-01 The proportion and

area of native vegetation and changes over time, March 2009; and

ABS, 4613.0 “Australia’s Environment: Issues and Trends”, Jan 2010; andABS 1301.0 Australian Year Book 2008, since updated for 2009-10, 16.13 Area of crops

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129

Land clearing in Australia

Original Map: Copyright 2010 Melway Publishing Pty Ltd. Reproduced from Melway Edition 38 with permission.

10 km

If we assumed that the land north of a 10 km line running east from the middle of

Melbourne was covered by forest and other wooded vegetation.

How far north would we go to clear as much land as was cleared in Queensland

between 1988 and 2008?

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130

Original Map: Copyright 2010 Melway Publishing Pty Ltd. Reproduced from Melway Edition 38 with permission.

10 km

Land clearing in Australia©

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131

Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008Approximately 78,000 square kilometres

Source:

Derived from Bisshop, G. & Pavlidis, L, “Deforestation and land

degradation in Queensland - The culprit”, Article 5, 16th Biennial Australian

Association for Environmental Education Conference, Australian National

University, Canberra,

26-30 September 2010

Original map: www.street-directory.com.au. Used with permission.

(Cairns inserted by this presenter.)

Cairns

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132

Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008Approximately 78,000 square kilometres

Source:

Derived from Bisshop, G. & Pavlidis, L, “Deforestation and land

degradation in Queensland - The culprit”, Article 5, 16th Biennial Australian

Association for Environmental Education Conference, Australian National

University, Canberra,

26-30 September 2010

Original map: www.street-directory.com.au. Used with permission.

(Cairns inserted by this presenter.)

Cairns

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133

Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008Approximately 78,000 square kilometres

Source:

Derived from Bisshop, G. & Pavlidis, L, “Deforestation and land

degradation in Queensland - The culprit”, Article 5, 16th Biennial Australian

Association for Environmental Education Conference, Australian National

University, Canberra,

26-30 September 2010

Original map: www.street-directory.com.au. Used with permission.

(Cairns inserted by this presenter.)

Cairns

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134

Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008Approximately 78,000 square kilometres

Source:

Derived from Bisshop, G. & Pavlidis, L, “Deforestation and land

degradation in Queensland - The culprit”, Article 5, 16th Biennial Australian

Association for Environmental Education Conference, Australian National

University, Canberra,

26-30 September 2010

Original map: www.street-directory.com.au. Used with permission.

(Cairns inserted by this presenter.)

Cairns

©P

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135

Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008Approximately 78,000 square kilometres

Source:

Derived from Bisshop, G. & Pavlidis, L, “Deforestation and land

degradation in Queensland - The culprit”, Article 5, 16th Biennial Australian

Association for Environmental Education Conference, Australian National

University, Canberra,

26-30 September 2010

Original map: www.street-directory.com.au. Used with permission.

(Cairns inserted by this presenter.)

Cairns

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136

Land clearing in Australia – Queensland 1988 -2008Approximately 78,000 square kilometres

Source:

Derived from Bisshop, G. & Pavlidis, L, “Deforestation and land

degradation in Queensland - The culprit”, Article 5, 16th Biennial Australian

Association for Environmental Education Conference, Australian National

University, Canberra,

26-30 September 2010

Original map: www.street-directory.com.au. Used with permission.

(Cairns inserted by this presenter.)

Cairns

78,000 sq km

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137Sources: Mahesh Sankaran, et al, “Determinants of woody cover in African savannas”, Nature 438, 846-849 (8 December

2005), cited in Russell, G. “Burning the biosphere, boverty blues (Part 2)”, www.bravenewclimate.com

Rainforest destruction in Africa

The vertical lines primarily represent the Guinea Savanna, which was once forest and is maintained as savanna through regular burning, primarily to enable cattle grazing.

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138Sources: Mahesh Sankaran, et al, “Determinants of woody cover in African savannas”, Nature 438, 846-849 (8 December

2005), cited in Russell, G. “Burning the biosphere, boverty blues (Part 2)”, www.bravenewclimate.com

MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/firemaps/

Rainforest destruction in Africa©

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139Sources: Mahesh Sankaran, et al, “Determinants of woody cover in African savannas”, Nature 438, 846-849 (8 December

2005), cited in Russell, G. “Burning the biosphere, boverty blues (Part 2)”, www.bravenewclimate.com

MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/firemaps/

Rainforest destruction in Africa©

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140

Rainforest destruction in South America

Black carbon information: Presentation by Gerard Bisshop, World Preservation Fund presentation to Cancun Climate

Summit, Dec, 2010 “Shorter lived climate forcers: Agriculture Sector and Land Clearing for Livestock” (co-authors Lefkothea Pavlidis and Dr Hsien Hui Khoo). MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center -http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/firemaps/

Winds transport black carbon from the Amazon to the Antarctic

Peninsula.

47% to 61% of black carbon in Antarctica comes from pasture

management in the Amazon and

Africa.

Black carbon melts ice rapidly by

absorbing heat from sunlight.

http://rainforests.mongabay.com/amazon/amazon_map.html

http://www.world-maps.co.uk/continent-map-of-south-america.htm

MODIS Rapid Response Team, NASA Goddard Space Flight

Center - http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/firemaps/

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141Source: Modis fire map, NASA

Burning in Australia

To put Australian savanna burning into context, the 2009 Black Saturday bushfires in the state of Victoria burnt around 4,500 hectares. In comparison, each year in northern Australia where 70% of our cattle graze, we burn 100 times that area across the tropical savanna.

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Protein©

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Bull elephant © William Manning | Dreamstime.com

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Protein Content

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

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Onio

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Carr

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Aspara

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Bro

ccoli

Caulif

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Tom

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Beans

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Sugar

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Peanuts

Apple

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Protein©

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Trophic levels: a worrying trend

Bonhommeau, S. et al., “Eating up the world’s food web and the human trophic level”, Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1305827110 (2013), cited in Hoag, H., “Humans are becoming more carnivorous”, Nature, 2 December, 2013 doi:10.1038/nature.2013.14282, http://www.nature.com/news/humans-are-becoming-more-carnivorous-1.14282

Trophic levels “represent a synthetic metric of species’ diet, which describe

the composition of food consumed and enables comparisons of diets

between species”.

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