The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    1/12

    Journal of Operations Management 30 (2012) 521532

    Contents lists available at SciVerse ScienceDirect

    Journal ofOperations Management

    j ournal homepage: www.elsevier .com/ locate / jom

    The effects ofSix Sigma on corporate performance: An empirical investigation

    Scott M. Shafer a,, Sara B. Moeller b,1

    a Wake ForestUniversity, Schools of Business,Winston-Salem, NC 27109, United Statesb University of Pittsburgh, Katz Graduate Schoolof Business andCollege of Business Administration, Pittsburgh, PA 15260,United States

    a r t i c l e i n f o

    Article history:

    Received 22 July 2011

    Received in revised form

    13 September 2012

    Accepted 18 October 2012

    Available online 29 October 2012

    Keywords:

    Six sigma

    Event study

    Process improvement

    Corporate performance

    a b s t r a c t

    The purpose ofthis study is to investigate the impact ofadopting Six Sigma on corporate performance.

    Although there is a fairly large and growing body ofanecdotal evidence associated with the benefits of

    implementing Six Sigma, there is very little systematic and rigorous research investigating these benefits.This research extends previous research in several important ways including utilizing a sample of84 Six

    Sigma firms that represent a wide variety ofindustries and firm characteristics, utilizing rigorously con-

    structed control groups to ensure the validity ofour comparisons and conclusions, and investigating the

    impact ofadopting Six Sigma on corporate performance over a ten year period. To carry out this investi-

    gation, the event study methodology is employed. The ten year period consists ofthree years prior to Six

    Sigma implementation, the event year corresponding to the year Six Sigma is adopted, and six years post

    Six Sigma implementation. To assess the impact ofadopting Six Sigma on corporate performance we uti-

    lize commonly used measures including Operating Income/Total Assets (OI/A), Operating Income/Sales

    (OI/S), Operating Income/Number ofEmployees (OI/E), Sales/Assets (S/A), and Sales/Number ofEmploy-

    ees(S/E). The sample Six Sigma firms are compared to different benchmarksincluding the overall industry

    performance and to the performance ofcarefully selected portfolios of control firms. The results ofthe

    study indicate that adopting Six Sigma positively impacts organizational performance primarily through

    the efficiency with which employees are deployed. More specifically, enhanced employee productivity

    results were observed in both static analyses that assessed the performance of the sample Six Sigma

    firms relative to their control groups at discrete points in time and dynamic analyses of the Six Sigma

    firms rate ofimprovement relative to the rate ofimprovement oftheir control groups. Benefits in termsofimproved asset efficiency were not observed. Finally, there was no evidence that Six Sigma negatively

    impacts corporate performance.

    2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    1. Introduction

    The Six Sigma methodology was created by Motorola in the mid

    1980s. Over time it has evolved into a comprehensive approach for

    improving business performance. Key elements of the Six Sigma

    approach include a clear focus on the customers needs, the use

    of performance metrics, a focus on improving business processes

    often through the reduction of inherent variation in the processes,

    clearly defined process improvement specialist roles, the use ofdata-driven and highly structured problem solving methodologies,

    and ultimately the generation of tangible business results (Hahn

    et al., 1999; Linderman et al., 2003; Schroeder et al., 2008). Pande

    et al. (2000, p. xi) provide a representative definition of Six Sigma

    as:

    Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 336 758 3687.

    E-mail addresses: [email protected] (S.M. Shafer), [email protected]

    (S.B. Moeller).1 Tel.: +1 412 6480137.

    A comprehensive and flexible system for achieving, sustain-

    ing, and maximizing business success. Six Sigma is uniquely

    driven by close understanding of customer needs, disciplined

    use of facts, data, and statistical analysis, and diligent attention

    to managing, improving, and reinventing business processes.

    SixSigmais a particularlytimely topic andappears to be gaining

    momentum in practice (Linderman et al., 2003; Schroeder et al.,

    2008). Perhaps one factor driving the current popularity of Six

    Sigma is the growing body of anecdotal evidence touting the ben-

    efits high profile organizations have reported from their Six Sigma

    initiatives. For example, in the three years ending in 2001, GE esti-

    mated that it saved $8 billion as a result of its Six Sigma initiatives

    (Arndt, 2002). In the following year, GE budgeted $600 million for

    SixSigmaprojectsand targeted an additional $2.5 billion in savings.

    As another example, Bank of America claimed benefits in excess

    of $2 billion and increased customer delight by 25% in less than

    three years through its Six Sigma initiatives (Jones, 2004). Impor-

    tantly, Bankof Americasexperiencedemonstratesthe applicability

    of Six Sigma beyond traditional manufacturing processes. Indeed,

    Honeywell found that the average savings it achieved from service

    0272-6963/$ seefrontmatter 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rightsreserved.

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jom.2012.10.002

    http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_4/dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jom.2012.10.002http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/02726963http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jommailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_4/dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jom.2012.10.002http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_4/dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jom.2012.10.002mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.elsevier.com/locate/jomhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/02726963http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/scratch_4/dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jom.2012.10.002
  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    2/12

    522 S.M. Shafer,S.B. Moeller / Journal of Operations Management 30 (2012) 521532

    projects were double that of manufacturing projects (Bossidy and

    Bonsignore,1999). Motorola,the inventor of theSix Sigmamethod-

    ology, estimated that over the 20 plus years it has deployed Six

    Sigma it hasdocumented savings in excess of $20billion (Motorola,

    2011). Six Sigma has also been credited as an important contribu-

    tor to its winning the Malcom Baldrige Award for Quality in 1988

    (Hahn et al., 1999).

    Although there is fairly large and growing body of anecdotal

    evidence associated with the benefits of implementing Six Sigma,

    there is very little systematic and rigorous research investigating

    these benefits. Linderman et al. (2003) argue that although Six

    Sigma has hada substantial impact on industry,the academic com-

    munity lacks theory as a basis for research on Six Sigma. Antony

    (2004) agrees andnotes that the despite the huge impact Six Sigma

    has had on industry, the academic community lags behind in its

    understanding of it. Schroeder et al. (2008) further argue that

    research is needed to determine the impact Six Sigma has on per-

    formance improvement.

    The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact adopting

    Six Sigma has on corporate performance. To accomplish this objec-

    tive we studythe performance of organizations thathave publically

    announced or have received other publicity about their adoption

    of Six Sigma. Beyond providing a clear adoption date, such public

    disclosures may also serve as a proxy regarding the organizations

    commitment to Six Sigma in a similar fashion tothe way Hendricks

    and Singhal (1997) usedquality award winners as a proxy foreffec-

    tive TQM implementation.

    The results of the study indicate the adoption of Six Sigma posi-

    tively impacts organizational performance primarily through the

    efficiency with which employees, but not assets, are deployed.

    There is no evidence that Six Sigma negatively impacts corporate

    performance. In addition,the results suggest thatbetter performing

    firms adopt Six Sigma and they continue their performance advan-

    tage after adoption. Furthermore, the performance advantage for

    the Six Sigma firms in terms of employee productivity tended to be

    largerafter adopting SixSigmaand tendedto increase as additional

    experience was gained with Six Sigma. The benefits of adopting

    Six Sigma were observed in both the static analysis that assessedthe performance of the sample Six Sigma firms at discrete points

    in time and the dynamic analysis of the Six Sigma firms rate of

    improvement on many different benchmarks.

    This research extends previous research in several important

    ways. First,we evaluate a variety of differentbenchmarks to ensure

    that the benchmark choice is not driving the results. At one end of

    the spectrum of benchmarks, we take a nave viewpoint and use an

    industryadjustedperformanceof oursample SixSigma firms. At the

    other end of the spectrum, we follow Barber and Lyon (1996) and

    compare a sample Six Sigmafirms performance to the performance

    of theclosest matched firmand a portfolioof control firms matched

    to it on the basis of industry, year, and similar past performance.

    On all of the benchmarks, we do many robustness tests including

    when and how we match the sample firm to the benchmark andacross all of these variations, our results are consistent.

    Second, we investigate the impact of Six Sigma on operating

    performance over a ten year period. Investigating the long-term

    effects of adopting Six Sigma addresses important gaps in the

    literature. To carry out this investigation, the event study method-

    ology is employed. The ten year period consists of three years

    prior to Six Sigma implementation, the event year corresponding

    to the year Six Sigma was adopted, and six years post Six Sigma

    implementation. Pre-implementation performance data is used for

    performance matching Six Sigmasamplefirms withcontrol firmsas

    well as to investigate the role past firm performance plays in moti-

    vating firms to adopt Six Sigma. A six-year post-implementation

    period is used given an expected lag between Six Sigma imple-

    mentation and the realization of performance benefits. Previous

    research has indicated a two and a half year or longer lag between

    implementing total quality management(TQM) and improved per-

    formance (GAO, 1991; Powell, 1995). Likewise, Hendricks and

    Singhal (2001a, b) suggest a three to five year period to implement

    an effective TQM program. The ten year period was also chosen

    so that short-term and longer-term patterns in the performance

    of the sample Six Sigma firms could be investigated. For example,

    one of the most interesting results observed was that the Six Sigma

    firms outperformed their matched portfolios in year 3 intermsof

    Operating Income/Total Assets (OI/A), Operating Income/Number

    of Employees (OI/E), and Sales/Number of Employees (S/E), then

    experienced a significant decline in performance prior to adopting

    Six Sigma on these three measures, and finally exhibited a quick

    rebound in year +1 upon adopting Six Sigma.Likewise, as an exam-

    ple of longer term patterns, the performance advantage for the

    Six Sigma firms in terms of employee productivity tended to be

    larger after adopting Six Sigma andtended to increase as additional

    experience was gained with Six Sigma.

    Third, beyond extending the research investigating the impact

    of SixSigmaon firmperformance, an additional contributionof this

    research is to provide performance benchmarks for organizations

    that have adopted or are considering adopting Six Sigma. Also, the

    inclusion of commonly used measures of corporate performance

    including OI/A, Operating Income/Sales (OI/S), OI/E, Sales/Assets

    (S/A), and S/E facilitate comparisons with previous research.

    This paper is organizedas follows. Section 2 reviewsthe existing

    empirical research related to process improvement methodologies

    and firm performance. Section 3 provides the theoretical devel-

    opment for Six Sigmas impact on corporate performance, our

    research hypotheses, and the performance variables included in

    the study.Following this, our research methodology is discussed in

    Section 4. Ourempirical results are presentedand discussedin Sec-

    tion 5. Finally, the paper is concludedin Section 6 with a discussion

    of limitations and avenues for future research.

    2. Review of empirical evidence of quality and process

    improvement initiatives on corporate performance

    While Six Sigma is the latest process improvement methodol-

    ogy,the influence of earlier process improvement methodologies in

    its development, particularly TQM and JIT/lean, are readily appar-

    ent. In this section we critically review the empirical research

    investigating process improvement methodologies on corporate

    performance in order to understand what has been studied and

    then based on this understanding highlight the gaps in the litera-

    ture addressed by the present study.

    While there is a substantial body of empirical research

    investigating quality and process improvement initiatives on cor-

    porate performance, rigorous research investigating the impact

    of Six Sigma on corporate performance has been limited (Foster,

    2007). This is supported by observing that only two of the 23research contributions encountered in the literature review for

    this study investigated the impact of Six Sigma on corporate

    performance. Approximately half the studies investigating the

    impact of various process improvement approaches on corpo-

    rate performance utilized event studies and the other half utilized

    surveys.

    Fortunately, rigorous empirical research investigating the

    impact of Six Sigma is beginning to emerge including the use of

    event studies (Goh et al., 2003; Foster, 2007) and surveys (Lee

    and Choi, 2006). While limited in quantity, this research tends

    to contradict much of the anecdotal evidence because an over-

    whelmingly positive relationship between Six Sigmaand corporate

    performance has not been found. For example, Foster (2007) found

    the impact of Six Sigma on operating and financial performance

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    3/12

    S.M. Shafer, S.B. Moeller / Journal of OperationsManagement 30 (2012) 521532 523

    was mixed. Significant main effects were found for cost per dollar

    sales, EBITDA, sales, S/E, and number of employees while signifi-

    cant main effects were not found for free cash flow per share, asset

    turnover, return on assets (ROA), return on investment (ROI), and

    total assets. A significant limitation of the study is that the perfor-

    mance of the Six Sigma firms was compared to a random sample

    chosen from the Fortune 500as opposed to carefully selecting con-

    trol groups. Barber and Lyon (1996) highlight the importance of

    performance matching sample firms with control firms to ensure

    that test statistics are well specified. Furthermore, the sample size

    of 24 Six Sigma firms and the fact that only firms that announced

    their adoption of Six Sigma from 1996 to 1998 limits the gener-

    alizability of the results. For example, if differences exist between

    earlier adopters of Six Sigma and more recent adopters then the

    firms included in the study would not provide a representative

    sample of all organizations that have adopted Six Sigma.

    Utilizing structural equation modeling, Lee and Choi (2006)

    investigated how four Six Sigma management activities impact

    process innovation, quality improvement, and corporate compet-

    itiveness improvement. The results of the study indicated that all

    fourmanagement activitieshave a positive impact on process inno-

    vation. Furthermore, the results indicated that process innovation

    significantly affects quality improvement which in turn affects cor-

    porate competitiveness. Key limitations of this study are that only

    a single organization was studied and as is the case with all survey

    based research, there may be a self-report bias.

    Of the process improvement approaches researched to date,

    TQM has been researched the longest and accounts for almost half

    of the empirical studies reviewed. In contrast to the studies inves-

    tigating Six Sigma, the TQM event studies have generally found

    a positive relationship between TQM and corporate performance

    (Hendricks and Singhal, 1997; Easton and Jarrell, 1998; Hendricks

    and Singhal, 2001b; Eriksson and Hansson, 2003). Hendricks and

    Singhal (1997) found strong support for thehypothesis that quality

    award winning firms outperformed a control sample on operating

    income-based measures. In another studyof quality awardwinning

    firms, Eriksson and Hansson (2003) found that the quality award

    recipients outperformed the competitor they were matched to interms of change in sales during the implementation period and

    post implementation outperformed their matched competitor on

    changein sales andreturn on assets. Easton and Jarrell (1998) found

    strong evidence of overall improvement in operational and finan-

    cial performance over the long-term. More specifically, across all

    the variables investigated, more than half the TQM sample firms

    outperformed their control group in terms of exceeding analysts

    forecasts. Hendricks and Singhal (2001b) extended their previ-

    ous research and investigated the role several firm characteristics

    play in moderating the impact implementing effective TQM pro-

    grams has on financial performance over a four to five year period.

    The results indicated that smaller firms do significantly better

    than larger firms and firms that received awards from indepen-

    dent organizations significantly outperformed firms that receivedsupplier-based awards. The results of the study provided weak

    support that less capital intense firms outperform more capital

    intense firms and that more focused firms outperform more diver-

    sified firms. Finally, there were no significant differences observed

    between early and late adopters of TQM.

    A key strength of many of the TQM event studies are the use

    of quality award winning firms which helps ensure only sam-

    ple firms that effectively implemented TQM were included in the

    study (Hendricks and Singhal, 1997, 2001b; Eriksson and Hansson,

    2003). A key weakness of the TQM event studies is that TQM

    sample firms were not performance matched with control firms

    (Hendricks and Singhal, 1997, 2001b; Eriksson and Hansson, 2003)

    or were matched in unconventional ways (Easton and Jarrell,

    1998).

    In addition to the use of event studies, the impact of TQM on

    corporate performance has been investigated with other method-

    ologies. For example, twenty of the highest scoring Malcolm

    Baldrige National Quality Award applicants from 1988 and 1989

    were studied by the United States General Accounting Office at the

    request of Congressman Donald Ritter (GAO,1991). Thestudyfound

    that in almost all 20 cases, the companies had improved employee

    relations, productivity, customer satisfaction, market share, and

    profitability. Key limitations of the study include the small sample

    size andthe fact that theresults were notbasedon rigorous statisti-

    calanalysis. Like theTQM event studies discussedearlier,a strength

    of the study was the use of quality award winners which serves as

    a proxy for having implemented an effective TQM program.

    Surveys have also been used to investigate TQM. Adam (1994)

    surveyed manufacturing firms and found a significant relationship

    between the quality improvement approach and operating and

    financial performance. Powell (1995) found that TQM firms out-

    performed non-TQM firms which in turn provided evidence that

    TQM provides economic value to organizations. Powell also found

    that long time adopters tended to be more satisfied with their TQM

    programs. Handfield et al. (1998) found that customer satisfaction

    was a primary driver of financial performance. A key implication

    associated with this finding is that the financial returns associated

    with investments in quality may be highly dependent on customer

    satisfaction. Samson and Terziovksi(1999) investigated theissueof

    whether elements of TQM could be used to predict organizational

    performance and if so which elements are the best predictors of

    organizational performance. Three of the elements of TQM: lead-

    ership, human resources management, and customer focus were

    found to be significant andpositively related to organizational per-

    formance. Planning and process management were not found to be

    significantly related to organizational performance, while informa-

    tion andanalysis was found to be significant andnegatively related

    to performance. Other surveys have found a positive relationship

    between theextent to which TQMpractices were implemented and

    firm performance (Douglas and Judge, 2001; Kaynak, 2003). While

    these surveys each provide important insights it is also worth not-

    ing that survey results are limited by the respondents memory,ability to respond, and honesty. Furthermore, there is always the

    concern that those that responded to the survey are not represen-

    tative of the general population of interest.

    Nair (2006) performed a meta-analysis on 23 quality manage-

    ment empirical studies over the period of 19952004. The results

    of the meta-analysis support the hypotheses that quality manage-

    ment practices are positively related to aggregate performance and

    that this relationship is influenced by moderating factors. Interest-

    ingly, while the results supported a positive relationship between

    the use of quality information tools and aggregate performance,

    support for a direct relationship between quality information tools

    and financial or operational performance was not found. Quality

    information tools are widely used as part of Six Sigma programs.

    Beyond TQM, a number of studies have also investigated therelationship between ISO 9000 certification and firm performance.

    On one side, Terziovski et al. (1997) and Singels et al. (2001) were

    unable to find evidence that ISO certification was related to orga-

    nizational performance. In contrast, Terziovski et al. (2003) found

    a positive relationship between organizational performance and

    managements motives for adopting ISO 9000 and Corbett et al.

    (2005) found that ISO 9000 manufacturing firms achieved signif-

    icantly better financial performance three years after obtaining

    certification, however, the magnitude and timing of the improved

    performance depended on theway thecontrol group wasspecified.

    Given ISO 9000s focus on documenting processes as opposed to

    improving them per se, the mixed results across the studies inves-

    tigating the adoption of ISO 9000 and organizational performance

    are not surprising.

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    4/12

    524 S.M. Shafer,S.B. Moeller / Journal of Operations Management 30 (2012) 521532

    Finally, the research conducted to date has generally found a

    positive relationship between lean/just-in-time (JIT) and corpo-

    rate performance. Using the event study methodology, Huson and

    Nanda (1995) foundthat adopting JIT resulted in increasedearnings

    per share driven primarily by a 24% increase in inventory turnover.

    In another event study, Balakrishnan et al. (1996) reported simi-

    lar results finding that the JIT sample firms substantially increased

    theirinventoryturnoverand decreased WIP inventory as a percent-

    ageofsalesthroughtheadoptionofJIT.Inafinaleventstudy,Kinney

    and Wempe (2002) found that both components of returnon assets,

    asset turnover and profit margin, improved for the JIT adopters

    compared to the non-adopters. These researchers also found that

    improved margins were the primary driver of the improvements in

    ROA and that the improvements in ROA were concentrated among

    the early adopters of JIT indicating a first-mover advantage.

    The relationship between JIT/lean and corporate performance

    has also been investigated through survey based research. Shah

    and Ward (2003) combined 22 lean practices into four lean bun-

    dles: JIT, continuous improvement, total preventive maintenance,

    and human resource management. A positive association between

    each lean bundle and operational performance was found and,

    in total, the lean bundles explained 23% of the variation in oper-

    ational performance. Fullerton et al. (2003) found statistically

    significant relationships between measures of profitability and the

    degree to which JIT practices were used. Cua et al. (2001) investi-

    gated the relationships between manufacturing performance and

    multiple process improvement approaches related to continuous

    improvement including TQM, JIT, and total productive mainte-

    nance. The results of the study supported the hypothesis that

    higher levels of manufacturing performance can be attained when

    multiple continuous improvement approaches are simultaneously

    implemented.

    2.1. Literature synthesis

    The literature related to the impact of Six Sigma on corpo-

    rate performance is largely anecdotal in nature and tends tooverwhelmingly cite the benefits of Six Sigma on corporate perfor-

    mance (e.g. Benitez et al., 2007; Craven et al., 2006; Daniels, 2009;

    Deshpande et al., 2004; Dudman, 2005; Johnson, 2005; Jones, 2004;

    Mukherjee, 2008). However, not all the empirical evidence is posi-

    tive. Chakravorty (2010) cites research suggesting that almost 60%

    of Six Sigma initiatives at corporations do not generate the desired

    results.

    Furthermore, in reviewing the literature on quality and process

    improvement methodologies, there is a lack of rigorous research

    investigating Six Sigma in comparison to the volume of research

    conducted in other areas despite the substantial interest in Six

    Sigma from industry. In addition to this lack of research, the

    research conducted to date suffers from significant shortcomings.

    For example, the scope of the Six Sigma studies to date has beenquite limited. Fosters (2007) event study included only 24 Six

    Sigmaorganizations and Leeand Chois (2006) study surveyed only

    employees of Samsung. Furthermore, in contrast to the empirical

    TQMand JIT/lean research,the SixSigmastudies have notgenerally

    found an overwhelmingly positive relationship between Six Sigma

    and corporate performance. This is somewhat surprising given the

    extentto which SixSigma practices overlap with andperhaps com-

    plement TQM practices. For example, Zu et al. (2008) concluded

    that Six Sigma includes practices distinct from TQM practices and

    thatthese distinct Six Sigmapractices complementtraditional TQM

    practices in terms of improving corporate performance. Thus, the

    purpose of this study is to build on the limited empirical research

    on Six Sigma and rigorously investigate the impact adopting Six

    Sigma has on corporate performance.

    3. Theorydevelopment, research hypotheses, and

    performance variables

    Six Sigma is theoretically different from other process improve-

    ment methodologies so investigating its effect on performance

    is valuable. However, because of its similarities with other pro-

    cess improvement approaches, particularly TQM, there has been

    an ongoing debate related to the extent to which it differs from

    TQM (Schroeder et al., 2008). In terms of similarities between Six

    Sigma and TQM, Schroeder et al. (2008) note the following:

    Both TQM and Six Sigma emphasize the value of obtaining cus-

    tomer input and the use of quality function deployment in

    product/service design. Both Six Sigma and TQM emphasize process ownership and hav-

    ing clearly defined processes. Both approaches recognize the importance of top management

    leadership and support. Involving employees is emphasized by both approaches. How-

    ever, the approaches differ in the employees involved. In

    particular, Six Sigma tends to rely on process improvement

    specialists while TQM emphasizes involving all employees, espe-

    cially shop floor employees. Both approaches recognize the importance of collecting and

    reporting quality data. Considerableemphasisis given to understanding theneedsof the

    customer in both Six Sigma and TQM.

    In terms of differences between Six Sigma and TQM, Zu et al.

    (2008) identified three new practices associated with Six Sigma:

    Six Sigma has well-defined process improvement specialist roles

    (e.g. Green Belt, Black Belt, Master Black Belt) that are supported

    with extensive training. Others have also highlighted the use

    of full-time specialist roles as a key characteristic of Six Sigma

    (Schroeder et al., 2008; Antony, 2004). Six Sigma utilizes a structured process improvement method-

    ology called DMAIC in combination with a well-defined set oftools that are applied at various phases of the DMAIC methodol-

    ogy. The acronym DMAIC refers to the five phase in a Six Sigma

    process improvementproject: define, measure, analyze,improve,

    and control. An important focus of Six Sigma is the use of process

    improvement metrics to monitor process performance and set

    improvement goals. Six Sigma advocates the use of several new

    process performance metrics such as defects per million opportu-

    nities (DPMO) and process sigma as well as the use of traditional

    process performance metrics such as process capability and

    rolled throughput yield.

    Using exploratory and confirmatory factory analyses, Zu et al.

    (2008) found that these three Six Sigma practices were imple-mented as distinct practices from seven traditional quality

    management practices also considered in the study. Based on the

    significant relationships observed in the structural model devel-

    oped by Zu et al. (2008), a model of the relationships between the

    adoption of Six Sigmaand organizational performance is presented

    in Fig. 1. The three new Six Sigma practices which are highlighted

    in the figure as dashed boxes illustrate not only how Six Sigma is

    different from TQM, butalso how Six Sigma impacts corporate per-

    formance. The seven TQM practices also investigated by Zu et al.

    (2008) are not included in Fig. 1 for clarity of presentation and

    because they are beyond the scope of the present study.

    The model presentedin Fig.1 is consistentwith otherdefinitions

    of Six Sigma in the literature. For example, Schroeder et al. (2008)

    defineSix Sigmaas an organized, parallel-meso structureto reduce

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    5/12

    S.M. Shafer, S.B. Moeller / Journal of OperationsManagement 30 (2012) 521532 525

    Top

    Management

    Support

    Six Sigma

    Focus on

    Metrics

    Six Sigma

    Role

    Structure

    Six SigmaImprovement

    Procedure

    Product/

    Service

    Design

    Process

    Management

    Quality

    Performance

    BusinessPerformance

    Fig. 1. Theoretical model of relationship between Six Sigma and organizational performance.

    variation in organizational processes by using improvement spe-

    cialists,a structuredmethod, andperformance metrics withthe aim

    of achieving strategic objectives. Importantly, all three Six Sigma

    practices shown in Fig. 1 are key elements of this definition.

    Beyond identifying the elements of Six Sigma, the definition

    offered by Schroederet al. (2008) describes the goalassociated with

    Six Sigma, namely, to reduce the variation inherent in organiza-

    tional processes and as such clarifies how the Six Sigma practicesshown in Fig. 1 contribute to corporate performance. Accordingly,

    Six Sigma seeks to improve business processes by studying and

    reducing the inherent variation present in the process. Less pro-

    cess variation boosts quality performance by allowing the process

    to obtain more consistent outcomes in terms of quality, lead times,

    yield rates, and so on.

    Of course, and is shown in Fig. 1, reducing process variation and

    improving quality performance are simply the means to an end.

    Fundamentally, the overarching goal is enhanced business perfor-

    mance including higher sales, increased market share, increased

    operating income, improved return on assets, and so on. For exam-

    ple, improved process execution resulting in less process variation

    leads to higher quality performance which in turn could provide a

    competitive advantage that translates into increased market shareand higher revenues. Likewise, less process variation can help to

    reduce waste and inefficiency which in turn leads to lower costs

    and higher profitability.

    Based on these insights and the model shown in Fig. 1, we offer

    two hypotheses related to the impact of Six Sigma on business

    performance. First, we hypothesize that implementing Six Sigma

    will improve the organizations profitability. To assess profitability

    and to be consistent with Zu et al. (2008), we rely on Operating

    Income (OI) before depreciation, interest, and taxes as opposed to

    net income (NI). OI is calculated as sales minus total cost (cost of

    goods sold + selling andadministrative expenses). OI provides a rel-

    atively clean measure of the cash that is generated from operations

    sinceit is not impacted by decisions made on how to treat depreci-

    ation and amortization, by interest charges which are impacted bythe capital structure of the firm, or by taxes that can be influenced

    by a variety of decisions. However, two factors OI does not control

    for are the affect that capital expenditures (particularly mergers

    and acquisitions) have and the size of the firm. Therefore, in order

    to retain this clean measure of cash flows while at the same time

    controlling for capital expenditures and firm size, we normalize OI

    by dividing it by the average of total assets (A), sales (S), and num-

    ber of employees (E). Thus, we assess the impact of Six Sigma on

    profitability based on OI/A (orreturn on assets, ROA), OI/S (orreturn

    on sales, ROS), and OI/E. According to Barber and Lyon (1996), ROA

    is the most commonly used measure in studies aimed at detecting

    abnormal operating performance.

    Second, consistent with Zu et al. (2008), we hypothesize that

    implementing Six Sigma will increase the organizations revenues.

    Like OI, to control for capital expenditures and firm size, we nor-

    malizeS by dividing it by theaverage of total assetsand thenumber

    of employees. Thus, we assess the impact of Six Sigma on revenues

    based on S/A and S/E.

    Zu et al. did not investigate Total Costs as a separate factor and

    investigating it in the present study would not provide additional

    insight since it can be derived from OI and S which are already

    included (i.e.,totalcost= S OI). Essentially then,this study focuseson the impact Six Sigma has on an organizations the top line (S)

    and bottom line (OI).

    4. Research methodology

    4.1. Sample firm selection

    In searching the web for organizations that adopted Six Sigma,

    a list of approximately 400 organizations that were reported

    adopters of Six Sigma was discovered. This list became the starting

    point for identifying the sample Six Sigma organizations for this

    study. Systematically, follow-up Google queries, searches of each

    organizations website and annual reports, and queries of publi-

    cation databases were executed for each public organization onthe list in an effort to identify the date when the organization

    adopted Six Sigma.One advantage to studying Six Sigma compared

    to other process improvement methodologies such as TQM or lean

    is that with Six Sigma there is typically a clear start date as Six

    Sigma is often initiatedwith some type of formal training program.

    Ultimately, we were able to find public announcements or arti-

    cles discussing the year that Six Sigma was adopted for 88 of the

    public organizations on the list. Of these 88 organizations, Com-

    pustat financial data was available for 84 of the firms and these 84

    firms comprised our sample Six Sigma firms. Because the disclo-

    sures used to identify the adoption date tended to coincide with

    the actual adoption of Six Sigma, the inclusion of the sample Six

    Sigma firms in this study is unrelated to their ultimate success or

    lack of success with Six Sigma. Thus, while public disclosures maybe related to an organizations commitment to its Six Sigma ini-

    tiative, there is no bias toward including only firms that have had

    success with Six Sigma.

    Table 1 provides distribution data on when the 84 sample firms

    adopted SixSigma. Approximately 45% of thesample firms adopted

    Six Sigma in 2000 or 2001 and 81% adopted it between 1998 and

    2002. It is interesting to observe the decline in identifying firms

    announcing or receiving otherpublicityregardingtheir adoption of

    Six Sigma post 2001. This may reflect a perception that Six Sigma

    hasbecome more mainstream andtherefore less worthyof a formal

    announcement.

    The 84 sample Six Sigma firms included in this study represents

    a diverse set of firms. In particular, the sample firms represent 57

    distinct 4-digit SIC codes and 27 unique 2-digit SIC Codes. Table 2

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    6/12

    526 S.M. Shafer,S.B. Moeller / Journal of Operations Management 30 (2012) 521532

    Table 1

    Distribution of theyear when samplefirms adopted Six Sigma.

    Year Number of firms Percentage of firms

    1986 1 1.2

    1988 1 1.2

    1990 1 1.2

    1994 2 2.4

    1995 1 1.2

    1997 5 6.0

    1998 13 15.51999 8 9.5

    2000 16 19.0

    2001 22 26.2

    2002 9 10.7

    2003 3 3.6

    2004 2 2.4

    19862004 84 100

    Table 2

    Summary financial data for Six Sigma sample firms in year Six Sigma adopted.a

    OI S A E

    (000,000) (000,000) (000,000) (000)

    Mean 3851 18,001 51,036 59.6

    Median 1380 10,072 9569 35.5

    Std Dev 7005 26,987 120,304 74.3Max 37,895 183,691 665,287 373.8

    Min 1391 506 454 1.9

    a OI,S, and A in each samplefirms event year adjustedto equivalent 2004 dollars

    using CPI, The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, http://www.minneapolisfed.

    org, May 23,2011.

    provides summary financial data on the sample firms based on the

    year the firms adopted Six Sigma. All financial data were obtained

    from the Compustat Annual Industrial File.

    The research methodology employed in the present study

    overcomes the shortcomings of other methodologies. To begin,

    corporate performance is assessed on the basis of publically avail-

    able and audited data thereby eliminating biases that may exist

    in self-reported data. Also, with surveys it is not clear if the wayrespondents interpret survey questions influences their responses.

    Another limitation associated with survey research is that it is

    assumed that respondents have the knowledge to answer items

    when in fact they may not. With interviews, the quality of the

    data and its interpretation are highly dependent on the skills of

    the interviewer.

    4.2. Time period of analysis

    To investigate the impact of Six Sigma on corporate perfor-

    mance, a study period of ten years was employed. This ten year

    periodconsistedof theevent year or year the company adopted Six

    Sigma, a three year pre-implementation period prior to the event

    year, and a six year post-implementation period following theevent year. Including the three-year pre-implementation period

    permits investigating whether there are performance differences

    between the sample Six Sigma firms that may have influenced

    their implementing Six Sigma in the first place and also investi-

    gating the relationship between pre-implementation performance

    and post-implementation performance. Another important reason

    for assessing performance pre-implementation is so performance

    matched control groups can be constructed to ensure that our test

    statistics are well-specified (Barber and Lyon, 1996).

    The six year post-implementation period is chosen to ensure

    that the Six Sigma firms were given adequate time to realize

    the benefits of adopting Six Sigma. While there is little research

    addressing the lag between adopting Six Sigma and the realiza-

    tion of benefits from doing so, the research on TQM suggests a two

    to three year lag period. For example, the study by the US GAO

    found an average lag of approximately 2.5 years from the time

    when the companies initiated their focus on quality until the per-

    formance improvements became evident (GAO, 1991). Easton and

    Jarrell (1998) found no statistically significant effects in terms of

    unexpected performance for NI/S, NI/A, and OI/S one and twoyears

    after the event year in their study of TQM and corporate perfor-

    mance. However, the unexpected average performance over years

    three to five on these three variables was statistically significant.

    In the Easton and Jarrell (1998) study, the lag in improved perfor-

    mance is even more understated since the event year was defined

    as six months after the first major TQM initiative.

    For the purpose of this study, fiscal years are converted into

    event years in order to pool observations over time. By convention,

    event year 0 corresponds to the fiscal year a given sample firm

    adopted Six Sigma, eventyear1 corresponds to the yearpreceding

    the year Six Sigma was adopted, and event year +1 corresponds to

    the year following the year Six Sigma was adopted.

    4.3. Assessing corporate performance

    In an ideal world the impact of implementing Six Sigma on

    a firms performance would be assessed by comparing how thecompany performed both with and without Six Sigma. Unfortu-

    nately making this type of assessment is not possible and therefore

    assessing the impact of Six Sigma on a firms performance requires

    the identification of relevant performance benchmarks. We evalu-

    ate a variety of different benchmarks to ensure that the benchmark

    choice is not driving the results.

    Atone endof thespectrumof benchmarks, we takeanaveview-

    point and use an industry adjusted performance of our sample Six

    Sigma firms. We calculate this by subtracting the industry median

    performance from the performance of our sample firms. Indus-

    try median performance is used because of the non-normality of

    the financial data. Industry medians are created by first computing

    the 4-digit, 3-digit, 2-digit, and 1-digit SIC industry classifications

    medians excluding sample firms. Then the sample firm SIC code ismatched to the most detailed industry level median which has at

    least five other companies in the industry classification.2

    There are several benefits associated with using industry

    adjusted performance. First, because organizations in different

    industries face unique challenges and market conditions, adjus-

    ting a firms performance relative to its industrys performance

    permits comparisons across industries. Second, assessing a firms

    performance relative to its industry provides an evaluation of the

    company relative to a large sample of its competitors. Third,indus-

    try adjusted performance is a very nave measure which relies

    upon minimal assumptions. Across all performance measures in

    year 1, the average number of firms included in a given Six

    Sigma sample firms industry was 61.4 with a range of six to

    590.

    At the other end of the continuum, we also compare a sam-

    ple Six Sigma firms performance to the performance of the closest

    matched firm and a portfolio of control firms matched to it on the

    basis of industry, year, and similar past performance. Because the

    results were similar with either the best match or the portfolio of

    matching firms, we report the results of the portfolio of matching

    firms.

    Matching control firms on the basis of similar pre-event per-

    formance helps on several dimensions (Barber and Lyon, 1996).

    First, it helps to control for the endogeneity problem because the

    levelof performance may be due to managerial ability,firm-specific

    2

    We also match on 4-digit only andobtain similar results.

    http://www.minneapolisfed.org/http://www.minneapolisfed.org/http://www.minneapolisfed.org/http://www.minneapolisfed.org/
  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    7/12

    S.M. Shafer, S.B. Moeller / Journal of OperationsManagement 30 (2012) 521532 527

    Table 3

    Six Sigma firms median industry adjusted performance by event year.

    Event year OI/A OI/S OI/E

    ($000/employee)

    S/A S/E

    ($000/employee)

    N Median N Median N Median N Median N Median

    3 76 0.0290*** 76 0.0363*** 76 11.3375*** 77 0.0538 77 37.5602***

    2 77 0.0258*** 77 0.0471*** 76 11.5158*** 78 0.0429 77 26.0943***

    1 79 0.0258*** 79 0.0487*** 79 11.3365*** 80 0.0046 80 23.7185***

    0 82 0.0264*** 82 0.0442*** 79 13.2159*** 83 0.0240 80 35.2630***

    +1 83 0.0353*** 83 0.0449*** 83 17.3888*** 84 0.0086 84 33.5807***

    +2 83 0.0391*** 83 0.0404*** 83 18.7008*** 84 0.0121 84 40.8392***

    +3 83 0.0380*** 83 0.0418*** 82 13.4381*** 84 0.0420* 83 45.7888***

    +4 83 0.0313*** 83 0.0329*** 82 12.1594*** 84 0.0195 83 49.6187***

    +5 82 0.0278*** 82 0.0346*** 81 11.7895*** 82 0.0303 81 55.6561***

    +6 81 0.0269*** 81 0.0327*** 79 15.0333*** 81 0.0516 79 59.7682***

    * Significant at 10%level, sign test formedian two-sidedtail.** Significant at 5% level,sign test formedian two-sided tail.

    *** Significant at 1% level,sign test formedian two-sidedtail.

    choices or theset of investmentopportunities. Bymatchingon per-

    formance, a researcher can control for various factors, unrelated to

    an event, that affect the operating performance of assets (Barber

    and Lyon, 1996, p. 366).

    Second, matching on pre-event performance eliminates thereversion to the mean effects that are common in accounting

    data. Finally, matching sample firms with control firms based on

    performance is also important to help ensure that our test statis-

    tics are well specified. Barber and Lyon concluded that selecting

    control firms on the basis of pre-event performance is the only

    way to ensure that the test statistics are well specified and that

    matching on pre-event performance is considerably more impor-

    tant than selecting control firms on the basis of industry and/or

    size.

    The portfolio of same 4-digit SIC industry and year control firms

    were selected based on similar performance on the variable being

    assessed in the year prior (event year 1) and four years prior

    (event year 4) to the sample firm adopting Six Sigma.3 Because

    the results were similar with either event year match, we focuson the year 1 match. Similar performance was operationalized

    as the control firms performance being within 10% of the sample

    firms performance in eventyear1.4 Barber andLyon (1996) found

    that using a 90110% performance filter yields well-specified test

    statistics. Note that because performance was matched separately

    for each performance measure, the composition of the portfolio of

    performance matched control firms for a given sample firm could

    vary across the five performance measures. Across all performance

    measures in year 1, the average number of firms included in a

    given Six Sigma sample firms matched portfolio was 4.4 with a

    range of 134.

    Finally, forthe purposes of this study,our benchmarks area con-

    servative measure of performance because it is possible that other

    firms included in the benchmark may have also implemented Six

    Sigma or other process improvement programs. Along these lines,

    if adopting Six Sigma does indeed enhance organizational perfor-

    mance, then including other Six Sigma firms in the benchmark

    3 We also matched on 4-digit, 3-digit, 2-digit and 1-digit industry and found

    similar results.4 Because some of our measures are a very small percentage, we expanded the

    match to include anythingwithinan absoluteone percentif theratio is between10

    and +10 percent. In other words, if the sample firms operating income to sales is

    three percent, thematching firmratio is between twoand four percent. Not includ-

    ing these expanded matches reduces our sample size but it does not change the

    results. In addition, we required control firms to have five years of data, event year

    1 through +3.

    wouldenhance the overall benchmark performance and reduce the

    sample Six Sigma firms adjusted performance.5

    5. Empirical results

    5.1. Six Sigma firms industry adjusted performance

    Tables 3 and 4 summarize the industry adjusted performance

    for the Six Sigma sample firms.

    In Table 3 the industry adjusted performance is calculated by

    subtracting the sample firms median industry performance from

    its individualperformance. Positive industry adjusted performance

    indicates thatthe sample firm outperformed its industry.For exam-

    ple,themedianOI/AofasampleSixSigmafirmintheyearSixSigma

    was adopted (event year 0) was 0.0264 higher than its median

    industry OI/A. Also note that the difference between the sampleSix

    Sigma firm and its industry was used as opposed to using the per-

    centage change in order to avoid problems with having a negative

    denominator which can occur when OI is used. The percentchangehas no meaning when the denominator is negative and removing

    sample firms with a negative OI could bias our results.

    Because the sample firms median industry performance is

    subtracted from its individual performance, industry adjusted per-

    formance is effectively a paired difference. Histograms of the

    industry adjusted performance measures were non-normal and

    not symmetric as is often the case with financial data, and there-

    fore the non-parametric Wilcoxon sign rank test was used to

    test the hypotheses that the industry adjusted performance was

    equal to zero. Statistically significant results are reported on the

    basis of two-tailed tests. The use of non-parametric tests in this

    study is supported by Barber and Lyon (1996) who found that

    non-parametric tests are more powerful than their parametric

    counterparts.As Table 3 illustrates, the Six Sigma sample firms outperformed

    their respective industries on all of the performance variables

    except S/A across all event years including both the years prior to

    implementing Six Sigma and the years post Six Sigma implemen-

    tation. Thus, firms that adopted Six Sigma, on average, performed

    better than the industry prior to their announcement and they

    maintained their significantly better performance after adoption.

    Specifically, while they do not generate more sales per assets, they

    5 Though the results are not reported, we also winsorized and trimmed the data

    and found similar results. We winsorized at the2.5 and97.5percentileswhichsets

    the observationsbelow the 2.5percentile and above the 97.5percentile equal to the

    values at the2.5 and 97.5 percentiles,respectively. We similarlytrimmed thedata.

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    8/12

    528 S.M. Shafer,S.B. Moeller / Journal of Operations Management 30 (2012) 521532

    Table 4

    Industry adjusted rate of improvement.

    Time period OI/A OI/S OI/E

    ($000/employee)

    S/A S/E

    ($000/employee)

    N Median N Median N Median N Median N Median

    3 to 1 76 0.0097 76 0.0041 76 1.3027 77 0.0099 77 8.8337

    1 to +1 79 0.0055 79 0.0035 79 0.5119 80 0.0502* 80 7.7962

    1 to +3 79 0.0099 79 0.0026 78 2.3733** 80 0.0017 79 13.6938**

    +1 to +3 83 0.0077 83 0.0023 82 2.0001 84 0.0074 83 14.4206**

    +1 to +6 79 0.0075 79 0.0045 77 2.5371 80 0.0072 78 20.0235***

    3 to +6 72 0.0044 72 0.0012 70 6.7310*** 73 0.0511 71 22.9155***

    * Significant at 10%level, sign test formedian two-sided tail.** Significant at 5% level,sign test formedian two-sided tail.

    *** Significant at 1% level,sign test formedian two-sided tail.

    didgeneratemoresalesper employee andare more efficientat gen-

    erating operating income relative to assets, sales and employees.

    Furthermore, the Six Sigma firms performance advantage over

    the industry generally increased in the short-term period immedi-

    ately after implementing Six Sigma compared to the period prior

    to Six Sigma implementation. For example, referring to Table 3, the

    average industry adjusted S/E over the period 3 to 1 was 29.12.

    In contrast, the average industry adjusted S/E over the periods +1

    to +3 was 40.07 indicating a larger performance gap after imple-menting Six Sigma. Similar improvements in the performance gap

    were also observed for OI/A and OI/E. Over the longer-term period

    of +4 to +6, the Six Sigma firms continued to increase their perfor-

    mance advantagein terms of S/E. In particular, theaverage industry

    adjusted S/Eover theperiods +4to +6increasedto 55.01(compared

    to an average of 29.12 over 3 to 1 and 40.07 over +1 to +3).

    In terms of OI/A and OI/E, the Six Sigma firms outperformed their

    industry over the period +4 to +6 by a larger margin than during

    the pre-implementation period of3 to 1, but by a smaller mar-

    gin than the short-term period of +1 to +3 immediately following

    Six Sigma adoption.

    In contrast to the static analysis summarized in Table 3, Table 4

    provides a dynamic comparison between the rate of improvement

    of the sample Six Sigma firms and the median industry rate of improvement. This provides a direct test whether Six Sigma firms

    improve performance after adoption. More specifically, Table 4

    summarizes the industry adjusted rate of improvement across var-

    ious time periods by calculating the difference between the change

    ina given sampleSix Sigmafirms performance over thetimeperiod

    andthe changein medianindustry performance over thesametime

    period. A positive industry adjusted rate of improvement indicates

    that the sample Six Sigma firms rate of improvement was greater

    than the overall industrys rate of improvement over the specified

    time period.

    As illustrated in Table 4, in the pre-implementation period

    comprised of event years 3 to 1, the sample firms rate of

    improvement was not statistically different with the industry on all

    five performance measures. So prior to the adoption of Six Sigma,the sample firms were not on a different performance trajectory

    than the industry. Thus, the adoption of Six Sigma was not moti-

    vated by a change in performance in the two years prior.

    Once Six Sigma was adopted, we find evidence that the sample

    firms rate of improvement in utilizing employees was significantly

    better than the industry. Over event year 3 to +6 and 1 to +3

    the sample Six Sigma firms outperformed their industries on both

    employee productivity measures OI/E and S/E (see Table 4). Cor-

    respondingly, the sample Six Sigma firms rate of improvement in

    terms of OI/A, OI/S and S/A was not statistically different from their

    respective industries.

    More specifically, the sample Six Sigma firms rate of improve-

    ment was greatest relative to their firms respective industry

    rate of improvement on S/E. The sample Six Sigma firms rate of

    improvement on S/E was significantly greater than their respective

    industries rate of improvement in the short term periods 1 t o + 3

    and +1 to +3 at a 5% level of significance and longer term over the

    periods +1 to +6 and 3 to+6 ata 1%level ofsignificance. The sam-

    ple Six Sigma firms also had a greater rate of improvement on the

    other employee productivity measure, OI/E, over the short term

    period 1 to +3 at the 5% level of significance and over the long

    term period 3 to +6 at the 1% level of significance. Differences in

    the rate of improvement between the sample Six Sigma firms andtheir respective industries were not observed for OI/A and OI/S.

    Statistically significant results in terms of the rate of improvement

    of S/A were also generally not observed except for the period 1

    to +1 where the sample Six Sigma firms rate of improvement was

    greater at the 10% level of significance.

    Aside from S/A, we did not find other significant improvements

    in the short run as measured by the 1 to +1 event year period.

    This is consistent with the relatively long time it takes to roll out

    Six Sigma programs.

    So relative to their industry, we find the Six Sigma firms are

    better performers both prior to and after the adoption of Six Sigma.

    In terms of the rate of improvement, the results suggest that the

    adoption of Six Sigma significantly improves the efficiency with

    which an organization deploys its employees but it does not affectits efficiency in deploying assets or operating income relative to

    sales.

    5.2. Six Sigma firms performance relative to matched portfolios

    of control firms

    Tables 5 and 6 summarize the performance for the Six Sigma

    sample firms relative to the performance of matched portfolios of

    control firms. In Table 5 the sampleof SixSigmafirms adjusted per-

    formance is calculated by subtracting the median performance of

    its matched portfolioof control firmsfrom its performance. Positive

    portfoliomatched performance indicates that the sample Six Sigma

    firm outperformed its matched portfolio of control firms. For exam-ple, the sample Six Sigma firms OI/A was a median 0.0014 higher

    than their respective matched portfolio of control firms in the year

    Six Sigma was adopted (event year 0). Like the industry adjusted

    analysis, the difference in performance between the sample firm

    and its matched portfolio of control firms was used as opposed to

    calculating the percent change to avoid the negative denominator

    problem.

    Paired differences were created by subtracting the sample firms

    matched portfolios performance from its performance. For the

    same reasons as discussed for the industry adjusted data, the non-

    parametric sign test was used to test the hypotheses that the

    differencesbetween the sample firmsand theirportfolios of control

    firms were equal to zero. Statistically significant results are again

    reported on the basis of two-tailed tests.

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    9/12

    S.M. Shafer, S.B. Moeller / Journal of OperationsManagement 30 (2012) 521532 529

    Table 5

    Six Sigma firms medianadjusted performance basedon portfolio of matched control firms by eventyear.

    Event year OI/A OI/S OI/E

    ($000/employee)

    S/A S/E

    ($000/employee)

    N Median N Median N Median N Median N Median

    3 39 0.0131* 39 0.0006 31 2.1602* 40 0.0409 44 15.9693*

    2 43 0.0079 41 0.0012 33 0.9961 43 0.0317 46 13.1148***

    1 48 0.0003 46 0.0012 37 0.3529 46 0.0029 48 0.5978

    0 48 0.0014 46 0.0023 37 2.7288** 46 0.0023 48 7.6650

    +1 48 0.0125** 46 0.0063 37 7.7801** 46 0.0202 48 19.0194***

    +2 48 0.0114** 46 0.0101* 37 6.7384*** 46 0.0675 48 26.7210***

    +3 48 0.0036 46 0.0097** 37 9.6990*** 46 0.0004 48 25.6801***

    +4 48 0.0018 46 0.0121*** 36 10.3645*** 44 0.0090 46 35.8037***

    +5 45 0.0144 42 0.0130** 34 14.5282*** 40 0.0080 43 29.8120**

    +6 42 0.0032 39 0.0279*** 32 14.6827* 39 0.0254 41 35.6440**

    * Significant at 10%level, sign test formedian two-sidedtail.** Significant at 5% level,sign test formedian two-sidedtail.

    *** Significant at 1% level,sign test formedian two-sidedtail.

    Table 6

    Adjusted rate of improvement based on portfolio of matched control firms.

    Time period OI/A OI/S OI/E

    ($000/employee)

    S/A S/E

    ($000/employee)

    N Median N Median N Median N Median N Median

    3 to 1 39 0.0144* 39 0.0031 31 2.3375** 40 0.0272 44 12.9774*

    1 to +1 48 0.0140** 46 0.0041 37 7.1443** 46 0.0212 48 11.7228**

    1 to +3 48 0.0037 46 0.0117** 37 11.4627*** 46 0.0057 48 26.0909***

    +1 to +3 48 0.0038 46 0.0140 37 3.6265* 46 0.0071 48 20.6390***

    +1 to +6 42 0.0145 39 0.0048 32 8.5194 39 0.0030 41 17.2024**

    3 to +6 33 0.0048 33 0.0342*** 27 11.2845 35 0.0290 37 12.3567

    * Significant at 10%level, sign test formedian two-sidedtail.** Significant at 5% level,sign test formedian two-sidedtail.

    *** Significant at 1% level,sign test formedian two-sidedtail.

    While statistically significant differences were observed

    between the performance of the sample Six Sigma firms and their

    performance-matched portfolios of control firms in various event

    years, as expected fewer statistically significant results were foundin comparison to the industry adjusted results discussed earlier. For

    example, the lack of significant results in year 1 is expected due

    to fact that control firms were selected based on their performance

    relative to the sample firms performance in event year 1. Refer-

    ring to the results in Table 5, prior to implementing Six Sigma, the

    sample firms were generally at parity with their control firm port-

    folios while they outperformed their respective industries in the

    industry adjusted analysis. Notable exceptions to this (see Table 5)

    include slightly significant results at the 10% level for OI/A, OI/E,

    and S/E in year 3 and S/E at the 1% level in year 2. Likewise, in

    theyear of implementation (eventyear 0),the samplefirms were at

    parity on allperformance measures exceptfor OI/E at the 5% level.6

    While generally at parity prior to adopting Six Sigma, over the

    short-term the sampleSix Sigma firms made gains on several of the

    performance variables. For example, the sample Six Sigma firms

    OI/A was significantly higher at the 5% level in years +1 and +2.

    Likewise, the sample firms had significantly higher OI/S at the 10%

    level in year +2 and in year +3 at the 5% level. In terms of OI/E,

    the sample Six Sigma firms outperformed their matched portfolio

    in year +1 at the 5% level and in years +2 and +3 at the 1% level.

    Finally, the sample Six Sigma firms outperformed their matched

    portfolios on S/E in years +1, +2, and +3 at the 1% level.

    6 In unreported analysis, we matched on year 4, rather than year 1, perfor-

    mance and though there were some minor differences in the pre-adoption period,

    the post-adoption results and rates of improvement results are unchanged.

    Turning to long-term performance, the sample Six Sigma firms

    did not outperform their matched portfolio on either asset pro-

    ductivity measure, namely, OI/A and S/A. Significant results for S/A

    were also not found in the industry adjusted analysis. The sampleSixSigmafirmsoutperformed their matchedportfolio on OI/S atthe

    1%level in years +4and +6and in year+5 atthe 5%level. Similar to

    the industry adjusted analysis,the sample SixSigma firms also out-

    performed theirmatched portfolios on both employee productivity

    measures (OI/E and S/E) in all years +4 through +6.

    Overall, though the results are generally a bit weaker, similar to

    the industry adjusted analysis we find firms that adopt Six Sigma

    have higher performance in terms of employee productivity. Fur-

    thermore, in both the industry adjusted analysis and the matched

    portfolio analysis, the firms that adopt Six Sigma did not outper-

    form their respective benchmarks in terms of their sales to asset

    efficiency. Finally, while the Six Sigma firms outperformed their

    industry in allyearsinvestigated in terms of OI/S, evidence of better

    performance relative to their matched portfolios was not observed

    until event year +2 with the results generally becoming more sig-

    nificant as additional experience was gained with Six Sigma.

    In contrast to the static analysis summarized in Table 5 com-

    paring the performance of the sample firms to matched portfolios

    of control firms at particular points in time, Table 6 provides a

    dynamic comparison between the rates of improvement of the

    sample firms and their respective matched portfolios of control

    firms. In particular, Table 6 summarizes the portfolio adjusted

    rate of improvement across alternative time periods by calculat-

    ing the difference between the change in a sample Six Sigma firms

    performance over the time period and the median change in its

    portfolios performance over the same time period. A positive port-

    folio adjusted rate of improvement indicates that the sample Six

    Sigma firms rate of improvement was greater than the rate of

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    10/12

    530 S.M. Shafer,S.B. Moeller / Journal of Operations Management 30 (2012) 521532

    improvement of their matched portfolios of control firms over the

    specified time period.

    As illustrated in Table 6, in the pre-implementation period con-

    sisting of event years 3 to 1, the sample Six Sigma firms rate of

    improvement is significantly lower than the rate of improvement

    of their respective matched portfolios in terms of OI/A, OI/E, and

    S/E. Since Table 5 shows that the sample firms outperformed the

    portfolio in event year 3 on these measures, the previously well

    performing sample firms were experiencing a decline in their rel-

    ative performance in the two years prior to adopting Six Sigma.

    In addition, for only these three performance measures there is a

    quick significant improvement in performance from the 1 to +1

    period. So for sample firms that outperformed the portfolio in year

    3, they experience a significant decline in performance prior to

    Six Sigma then a similar quick rebound upon adopting Six Sigma.

    This result raises an interesting question regarding to the extent

    to which contextual factors may influence the lag between adopt-

    ing Six Sigma and its impact on organizational performance. In the

    present case, firms that outperformed their matched portfolio in

    event year 3 entered a downward trajectory and then experi-

    enced a quick bump in performance immediately after adopting

    Six Sigma. This evidence is consistent with better performing firms

    having an advantage when it comes to reaping the benefits of

    adopting Six Sigma and/or better performing firms react faster at

    the first signs of deteriorating performance.

    The significantlyhigher rate of improvement forSix Sigma firms

    relative to the matched portfolio for operating income and sales

    per employee are generally consistent with the industry adjusted

    results. Specifically, the sample Six Sigma firms had a greater rate

    of improvement relative to their matched portfolio in years 1 to

    +3 on OI/Eand S/E atthe 1% levelandthe +1to +6period for S/E at

    the 5% level.

    In contrast to the industry adjusted results, we also find sig-

    nificant improvement in operating income to sales. Specifically, in

    the 1 to +3 period OI/S is significantly higher at the 5% level. Also,

    over theentireten year periodstudiedfromeventyears3to+6the

    sample firms rate of improvement exceeded the matched portfolio

    rate of improvement on OI/S at the 1% level.

    5.3. Results summary

    The purpose of this research was to investigate the impact the

    adoption of Six Sigma has on corporate performance. The results of

    the study indicate Six Sigma positively impacts organizational per-

    formance primarily through the efficiency with which employees

    are deployed. The benefits of adopting Six Sigma were observed in

    both the static analysis and the analysis of the Six Sigma firms rate

    of improvement when the sample firms were compared to both

    their industries and a portfolio of performance matched firms.

    The results of the static analysis provide evidence that firms

    that adopt Six Sigma are strong performers. The clearest evi-

    dence of this was observed in the industry adjusted analysis wherethe sample Six Sigma firms outperformed their respective indus-

    tries on all performance measures except S/A in all years prior to

    adopting Six Sigma and in all years studied post adoption. Further-

    more, while the results were not as strong, the sample Six Sigma

    firms also outperformed their matched portfolios of control firms.

    More specifically, while the Six Sigma firms tended to be at par-

    ity with their matched portfolio prior to adopting Six Sigma, they

    outperformed theirmatched portfolioin the yearsfollowingimple-

    mentation on OI/A (event years +1 and +2), OI/S (event years +2

    through +6), OI/E (event years +1 through +6), and S/E (event years

    +1 through +6). Again, there was no difference in S/A.

    In contrast to the static analysis, in the dynamic analysis of

    the Six Sigma firms rate of improvement, the strongest evidence

    that Six Sigma firms achieve a greater rate of improvement was

    observed in comparisonto theirmatchedportfolios of control firms.

    One of themost interesting results observed wasthat the SixSigma

    firms outperformed their matched portfolios in year 3 intermsof

    OI/A, OI/E, and S/E, then experienced a significant decline in per-

    formance prior to Six Sigma on these three measures, and finally

    exhibited a quick rebound upon adopting Six Sigma. This evidence

    is consistent with previously better performing firms having an

    advantage when it comes to reaping the benefits of adopting Six

    Sigma and/or better performing firms reacting faster at the first

    signs of deteriorating performance.

    We also found evidence that the sample firms rate of improve-

    ment in terms of employee productivity was significantly better

    thantheir industries andmatchedportfolios. The sample Six Sigma

    firms rate of improvement relative to the benchmarks perfor-

    mance was most persistent in terms of S/E where statistically

    significant results were found over the periods 1 to +3, +1 to +3,

    and +1 to +6 in both the industry adjusted and matched portfolio

    analysis. Statistically significant results were also found for OI/E in

    both the industry adjusted and matched portfolio analysis over the

    period 1 to +3. Thus, the results of this study indicate that Six

    Sigmas greatest impact was on the efficiency with which employ-

    ees are deployed. In both the industry adjusted analysis and the

    performance-matched analysis, the Six Sigma firms outperformed

    their respective benchmark groups on both OI/E and S/E in all

    years afterimplementing Six Sigma. Furthermore, the performance

    advantage for the Six Sigma firms on both employee productivity

    measures tended to be larger after adopting Six Sigma and tended

    to increase as additional experience was gained with Six Sigma.

    Other results of the study further support increasing benefits

    from Six Sigma as experience is gained. In the performance-

    matched portfolio analysis, there was no difference between the

    sample firms and their portfolio of firms on OI/S until event year

    +2 with the results generally becoming more statistically signifi-

    cant (i.e., lowerp-values) as additional experiencewas gained with

    Six Sigma. As another example, the rate of improvement increased

    as additional experience was gained with Six Sigma on S/E in the

    industry adjusted analysis (see Table 4).

    In total, the results suggest that better performing firms adoptSix Sigmaand thatthey continue theirperformance advantageafter

    adopting SixSigma. Furthermore,the results suggest that SixSigma

    has its greatest impact on employee productivity and not on asset

    productivity. Finally, therewas no evidence thatadoptingSix Sigma

    negatively impacts corporate performance.

    6. Limitations and future research directions

    6.1. Limitations

    As an empirical research study,it is appropriate to highlight and

    discuss the key limitations associatedwith the study. First, it should

    be noted that the source of the data for the study was Compustat.While Compustat data is a widely used and highly regarded source

    of data, errors in the data and missing data items could have an

    impact on the results obtained in the study.

    Second, the focus of our study was on firms that publically

    announced or have received other publicity about their adoption

    of Six Sigma. While such publicity could serve as a proxy for the

    sample firms commitment to Six Sigma, no attempt was made

    to assess the effectiveness to which the sample Six Sigma firms

    implemented Six Sigma. This is in contrast to several of the TQM

    studies where the sample firms only consisted of quality award

    winners as a proxy for effective TQM implementation. Thus, any

    statistically significant results regarding superior performance of

    the sample Six Sigma firms are conservative to the extent that the

    sample included firmsthat did not implementSix Sigmaeffectively.

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    11/12

    S.M. Shafer, S.B. Moeller / Journal of OperationsManagement 30 (2012) 521532 531

    In particular, observing statistically significant differencesbetween

    the Six Sigma sample firms and their industries or their matched

    portfolios becomes more difficult as the percentage of sample Six

    Sigma firms that effectively implemented Six Sigma decreases.

    Third, our sample of Six Sigma firms only included firms that

    publically announced or received other publicity about their adop-

    tion of Six Sigma. Thus, it is possible that these firms are not

    representative of all firms that have adopted Six Sigma.

    Fourth, all empirical research on operational systems encoun-

    ters the challenge of finding direct measures for performance

    outcomes. Our choice of performance measures was driven by our

    theoretical framework and the measures used in past research.

    Fifth, though we did analyze prior performance trends, we did

    notexplicitly control fora firms motivation foradopting SixSigma.

    There are clearly a variety of endogenous factors, including moti-

    vation that could influence why a firm chooses to adopt Six Sigma

    and that also impact performance. For instance, the adoption of

    Six Sigma may be motivated by recent poor financial performance,

    as a complement to a successful TQM implementation, or perhaps

    because firms with better management tend to adopt Six Sigma.

    Theissue of endogeneity is a serious issue butany study of this type

    suffers from thesame problem. In this paper we use many methods

    to attempt to manage endogeneity in order to isolate Six Sigma as

    the important factor and we are careful to appropriately interpret

    our results. However, as with all empirical research, it is a balanc-

    ing act. While knowing a firms motivation for adopting Six Sigma

    might be insightful, we are not concerned that not controlling for

    thisbiased our results basedon the performance matching research

    ofBarber and Lyon (1996).

    Finally, as with all studies of this type, adopting Six Sigma may

    serve as a proxy for unobservable firm characteristics. As such, this

    type of research is not prescriptive and does not imply that merely

    adopting Six Sigma guarantees improved firm performance.

    6.2. Future research issues

    As an early research study addressing the relationship betweenSixSigma andcorporate performance, there arenumerousavenues

    for extending this research that would contribute to our under-

    standing of the impact Six Sigma has on corporate performance.

    To begin, research is needed that investigates firm characteristics

    such as firm size, capital intensity, degree of diversification, indus-

    try, and the maturity of Six Sigma implementation. For example,

    do larger firms have an advantage in deploying Six Sigma because

    it is easier for them to absorb the training cost and dedicating

    full-time resources to process improvement activities? Likewise,

    given the evidence from the study that Six Sigma facilitates the

    deployment of employees, are highly capital intensive firms able

    to reap benefits similar in magnitude to less capital intensive

    firms? Lastly, are theredifferences in performance between various

    industries?Research is also needed to investigate the relationship between

    how Six Sigma was implemented and corporate performance. For

    example, in this study, the extent to which Six Sigma was imple-

    mented throughout the firm was not controlled for. Logically we

    would not expect to observe the same magnitude of benefits for

    firms that adopted Six Sigma across the entire enterprise versus

    others that implemented it more narrowly in a limited number of

    divisions, geographies, or plants. Another implementation issue in

    need of additional research relates to whether there aredifferences

    in performance between early and late adopters of Six Sigma. In a

    related vein, does the previous adoption of other process improve-

    ment initiatives such as TQM, ISO 9000, and/or lean moderate the

    relationship between the adoption of Six Sigma and corporate per-

    formance? Is there a difference in performance between firms that

    have integrated their Six Sigma initiatives with lean versus firms

    that have kept them separate or only adopted Six Sigma?

    Related to these research issues, another important area of

    research is to investigate the relationship between an orga-

    nizations motivation for adopting Six Sigma and corporate

    performance. For example, can patterns be observed suggesting

    that some firms adopted Six Sigma during periods when they were

    outperforming the industry while other firms adopted Six Sigma

    during periods when they were underperforming the industry? If

    so,is there a difference in performance between themore proactive

    firms versus the more reactive firms? And even more fundamen-

    tally, is there a difference between the types of firms that benefit

    from adopting SixSigmaversus those that donot? Addressing these

    research issues would provide important insights to managers and

    researchers on the relationship between Six Sigma and corporate

    performance.

    References

    Adam Jr., E.E., 1994. Alternative quality improvement practices and organizationperformance. Journal of Operations Management 12 (1), 2744.

    Antony, J., 2004. Some pros and cons of Six Sigma: an academic perspective. TQM

    Magazine 16 (4), 303306.Arndt, M., 2002. Quality isnt just for widgets. BusinessWeek,72 (July 22).Barber,B.M., Lyon,J.D., 1996.Detecting abnormaloperatingperformance: the empir-

    ical power and specification of teststatistics. Journal of FinancialEconomics 41,359399.

    Balakrishnan, R., Linsmeier,T.J., Venkatachalam, M., 1996. Financialbenefits fromJITadoption:effects of customer concentration and cost structure. The AccountingReview 71 (2), 183205.

    Benitez, Y., Forrester, L., Hurst, C., Turpin, D., 2007. Hospital reduces medicationerrors usingDMAIC and QFD. Quality Progress, 3845, January.

    Bossidy, L.A., Bonsignore, M.R., 1999. To our shareonwers. Honeywell 1999 AnnualReport.

    Chakravorty, S.S., 2010. Where process-improvement projects go wrong. The WallStreet Journal, 25, January.

    Cua, K.O., McKone, K.E., Schroeder, R.G., 2001. Relationships between implementa-tionof TQM, JIT,and TPMand manufacturingperformance.Journalof OperationsManagement 19 (6), 675694.

    Corbett,C.J.,Montes-Sancho,M.J.,Kirsch,D.A.,2005.The financialimpactof ISO9000certificationin theUnited States:an empiricalanalysis. ManagementScience51

    (7), 10461059.Craven, E.D., Clark, J., Cramer, M., Corwin, S.J., Cooper, M.R., 2006. New

    YorkPresbyterianHospitaluses six sigma to build culture of quality and inno-vation. Journal of Organizational Excellence, 1119, Autumn.

    Daniels,S.E.,2009. Contactsthat count: project improvesmembercall rate, nets$3.3million in savings. Quality Progress, 4247, January.

    Deshpande,D.P., Halder, S.,Choudhary,A., Raychaudhuri, A.,Biswas, S.,2004. DMAICapproach brings breakthrough results. Six Sigma Forum Magazine, 2429,February.

    Douglas, T.J., Judge Jr., W.Q., 2001. Total quality management implementation andcompetitive advantage: the roleof structural control and exploration.JournalofOperations Management 44 (1), 158169.

    Dudman, L., 2005. Big improvements for small parts. Quality Progress, 6772,December.

    Easton, G.S., Jarrell, S.L., 1998. The effects of totalquality management on corporateperformance: an empirical investigation. Journal of Business 71 (2), 253307.

    Eriksson, H., Hansson, J., 2003. The impact of TQM on financial performance. Mea-suring Business Excellence 7 (1), 3650.

    Foster Jr., S.T., 2007. Does Six Sigma improve performance? Quality ManagementJournal 14 (4), 720.

    Fullerton,R.R.,McWatters,C.S., Fawson,C., 2003. An examination of therelationshipbetween JIT and financial performance. Journal of Operations Management 21(4), 383404.

    GAO, 1991. Management practices. 1991. U.S. companies improve performancethrough quality efforts. Report to the Honorable Donald Ritter, House of Repre-sentatives GAO/NSIAD-91-190.

    Goh, T.N.,Low,P.C., Tsui,K.L., Xie, M.,2003.The impact of Six Sigma implementationon stock price performance. TQM andBusinessExcellence 14 (7), 753763.

    Hahn, G.J., Hill, W.J., Hoerl, R.W., Zinkgraf, S.A., 1999. The impact of Six SigmaImprovementa glimpse into the future of statistics. The American Statistician53 (3), 208215.

    Handfield, R., Ghosh, S., Fawcett, S., 1998. Quality-driven change and its effects onfinancial performance. Quality Management Journal 5 (3), 1330.

    Hendricks, K.B., Singhal, V.R., 1997. Does implementing an effective TQM programactually improve operating performance? Empirical evidence from firms thathave won quality awards. Management Science 43 (9), 12581274.

    Hendricks, K.B., Singhal, V.R., 2001a. The long-run stockprice performance of Firms

    with effective TQM Programs. Management Science 47 (3), 359368.

  • 8/10/2019 The Effects of Six Sigma on Corporate Performance- An Empirical Investigation

    12/12

    532 S.M. Shafer,S.B. Moeller / Journal of Operations Management 30 (2012) 521532

    Hendricks, K.B., Singhal,V.R., 2001b. Firmcharacteristics,total qualitymanagement,and financial performance.Journal of Operations Management 19 (3),269285.

    Huson, M., Nanda, D., 1995. Theimpact of just-in-time manufacturing on firm per-formance in theUS. Journal of Operations Management12 (34),297310.

    Johnson, K., 2005. Six Sigma delivers on-time service. Quality Progress, 5759,December.

    Jones Jr., M.H., 2004. Six Sigma. . .at a Bank? Six Sigma Forum Magazine, 1317,February.

    Kaynak, K., 2003. The relationship between total quality management practicesand their effects on firm performance. Journal of Operations Management 21,405435.

    Kinney, M.R.,Wempe, W.F., 2002. Further evidence of theextent andorigins of JITsprofitability effects. The Accounting Review 77 (1), 203225.

    Lee, K.-C., Choi, B., 2006. Six Sigma management activities and their influence oncorporate competitiveness. Total Quality Management 17 (7), 893911.

    Linderman,K., Schroeder,R.G.,Zaheer,S.,Choo,A.S.,2003.Six Sigma: agoal-theoreticperspective. Journal of Operations Management 21 (2), 193203.

    Motorola, 2011. Motorola Six Sigma business improvement programs. (accessed 15.07.11).

    Mukherjee, S., 2008. A dose of DMAIC: hospitals six sigma and lean efforts benefitpatients and profitability. Quality Progress, 4451, August.

    Nair, A., 2006. Meta-analysis of the relationship between quality managementpractices and firm performanceimplications for quality management theorydevelopment. Journal of Operations Management 24, 948975.

    Pande, P.S., Neuman, R.R., Cavanagh, R.R., 2000. The Six Sigma Way. McGraw-Hill,New York, NY.

    Powell, T.C., 1995. Total quality management as competitive advantage: a reviewand empirical study. Strategic Management Journal 16, 1537.

    Samson, D., Terziovksi, M., 1999. The relationship between total quality man-agement practices and operational performance. Journal of OperationsManagement 17, 393409.

    S chr oe der , R.G ., Linder man , K. , Liedtke , C ., C hoo , A. S. , 20 08. Six S igma: def-inition and un der lying th eo ry. J ou rn al o f Ope ratio ns Man agemen t 26,536554.

    Shah, R., Ward, P.T., 2003. Lean manufacturing: context, practice bundles, and per-

    formance. Journal of Operations Management 21 (2), 129149.Singels, J., Ruel, G., van de Water, H., 2001. ISO 9000 series certification and per-

    formance. International Journal of Quality and Reliability Management 18 (1),6275.

    Terziovski, M., Samson, D., Dow, D., 1997. The business value of quality manage-mentsystemscertificationevidencefrom Australia and NewZealand. Journal ofOperations Ma