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THE ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE OFTHE
POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM
by Scott Goldsmith
Professor of Economics
prepared for
The Power Cost Equalization Blue Ribbon Panel
November 16, 1998
Institute of Social and Economic Research University of Alaska Anchorage
3211 Providence Drive Anchorage Alaska 99508
907-786-7710
I I I
I
J
THE ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE OF THE
POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
WHAT IS THE PROGRAM?
In FY 1996 the Power Cost Equalization (PCE) Program provided $19.202 million of financial assistance to electric utilities in 190 rural Alaska communities where the cost of electric power is greater than urban Alaska because of small market size, dependence on expensive fuel oil for generation, and the high cost of doing business in remote areas.
The PCE program is designed to pay a portion, currently 95 percent, of the legitimate electric generation costs between a floor and a ceiling, for a basic level of electric service for residential and commercial customers (including public schools) and community facilities. The floor is set at a level equal to the cost for electricity generation in urban areas, 9.5 cents in 1996, and the ceiling is set at the level of reasonable maximum cost for a small utility, 52.5 cents. In recent years PCE budget restrictions have kept payments to eligible utilities below 95 percent of legitimate costs.
Thus rural utility customers pay at least as much as urban consumers for their electricity, but a portion of the extra cost of generation is covered by the PCE program. Furthermore only the first 700 kwh per month of use by each residential or commercial customer is eligible for the program, and only 70 kwh per month for each community member for community facilities is eligible. As a result, only 38 percent of all electricity sold in PCE communities in 1996 qualified for assistance. In addition only legitimate costs are covered, as determined by Alaska Public Utilities Commission (APUC).
\VHO DOES IT SERVE?
The typical (median) community served by PCE has a popUlation of264. Bethel, with a popUlation of 5,195, is the largest, and only 8 other conmmnities (Unalaska, Nome, Kotzebue, Cordova, Dillingham, Craig, Naknek, and Haines) have a popUlation greater than 1,000. The total popUlation served is 75,767.
The assistance provided to the utilities is primarily targeted toward residential customers in the PCE communities. The average income ofPCE households is $49,825 compared to $65,054 for non PCE conununities. (Although the average income in the typical PCE
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 i
community is considerably less, $35,203, because average incomes are higher in the larger PCE communities.) The unemployment rate among PCE households is 15 percent compared to 8 percent for non PCE communities. 18 percent of families in PCE communities have incomes below the poverty level compared to 6 percent in non PCE communities.
The typical PCE utility generates about 652,000 kwh alUlUally, about the amount that Chugach Electric Association, the largest electric utility in the state, sells in a typical 6 hour period. The 9 largest utilities that serve the communities of greater than 1,000 population account for just over 50 percent of the generation of all the PCE utilities which in 1996 totaled 369 million kwh. The cost of electricity provided by the typical PCE utility is $.42 per kwh. This is the amount per kwh the residential customer would need to pay to cover all costs of production. Because of differences in size and location, some utilities have a lower cost, although none are as low as Anchorage where the average cost is about $.10 per kwh. At the other extreme some utilities report an average cost in excess of $.60 per kwh.
WHAT BENEFIT DOES IT PROVIDE?
The typical community gets $71 thousand per year in financial assistance through the PCE program, and this covers about 31 percent of the total costs of providing electricity.
About 68 percent of the total, $13.092 million, in FY 1996 supported sales to residential customers. Financial assistance under the PCE program reduces each eligible kwh of electricity to residential customers by an average of $.22. (87 percent of residential sales are eligible for PCE.) Residential customers in PCE communities still pay twice the urban average for electricity after the PCE assistance--$.20 for the average kwh. This is because not all consumption is eligible, not all reported costs are approved by the APUC, the program pays only 95% of legitimate costs between the floor and the ceiling, some utilities have costs above the ceiling, and the program has not been fully funded in recent years. The range of residential rates after application of the PCE assistance is from $.10 to $.35 per kwh.
Because of the high cost of electricity, even with PCE assistance, and the low household income, the average residential customer in the PCE communities uses 4,933 kwh of electricity in a year, about 65 percent as much as the typical customer in Anchorage, who uses 7,619. (The average in the typical PCE community is less, 3,921 kwh per year, because average consumption is higher in the larger PCE communities.)
In spite of lower consumption, residential monthly bills are higher in PCE communities, even with PCE. The average residential customer of a PCE utility has a monthly bill of $75, after receiving assistance, compared to $61 for Anchorage. (The average in the typical PCE community is less, $66, because average consumption is higher in the laTger PCE communities.) Without PCE the monthly bill would have been $121.
If the PCE residential customer used as much electricity as the average household in Anchorage, the typical utility average monthly residential bill would be $125 with PCE. In the
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 ii
absence ofPCE the monthly bill at the Anchorage rate of use with all utility costs paid by the customer would be $264, 433 percent of the Anchorage bill.
About 19 percent ofPCE assistance, $3.683 million in FY 1996, went to support electricity use in community facilities in PCE communities--an average of$2,537 per facility per year. This assistance reduced the cost of 98 percent of the electticity used for this purpose. Since local residents bear the cost of electricity used by these facilities, the savings for the average PCE household from this assistance was $158 per year.
The remaining 13 percent of PCE assistance, $2.407 million in FY 1996, helped pay for about 10 percent of the electricity used by the commercial sector, including the public schools.
WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF peE DISAPPEARED?
The typical PCE utility receives about $71 thousand ofPCE financial assistance annually which accounts for about 31 percent of the total cost of the providing electricity to the community. Elimination of that assistance would put many small utilities at financial risk and require electricity users to pay substantially higher electricity bills at the same time that it reduced the amount of electricity they used.
Without PCE the utilities would be forced to raise their rates substantially, and the resulting drop in sales would require further rate increases to generate sufficient revenues to cover all costs. Although reduced sales would lower costs because less fuel would be needed, a large share of utility costs are fixed. This results in the potential for a utility to fall into a "death spiral", in which continuously rising rates are never able to generate enough revenue to cover costs. A utility caught in a death spiral cannot survive without an extemal source of financial assistance.
The likelihood that a utility would fall into a death spiral is a function of how sensitive electricity sales are to the higher electricity prices necessitated by the elimination ofPCE. If a doubling of the price paid by customers reduced sales by 20 percent, death spirals would be unlikely. But if a doubling ofthe price reduce sales by 30 percent, utilities in half the conmmnities served by PCE would be unable to cover their costs through higher rates.
The burden of the loss ofPCE financial assistance to utilities would fall primarily on the residents ofthe communities cun-ently served by PCE. This burden would be a combination of higher electricity bills and less electricity use. Customers would be spending more for less electricity and have less income available for other needs. For a representative community like Elim, the residential price of electricity would increase 190 percent--from $.19 to $.55. Average annual consumption would fall by 38 percent--from 4,202 to 2,608 kwh. The average monthly residential bill would increase by 80 percent--from $66 to $119. Without PCE the average residential customer would be devoting 4.4 percent of household income directly to paying for electricity. Including payments in support of community facility electricity use, 6. I percent of household income would be devoted to payments for electricity.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 iii
Most of the remaining financial burden ofthe loss ofPCE would fall on commercial users of electricity, and the higher costs imposed on them would be passed on to customers as higher prices and back onto workers as lower wages. Some of the burden would thns fall on local residents and some would be shifted outside the PCE communities. Since the public schools are included in this category for purposes ofPCE, some of the burden, estimated at abont $1.406 million would fall on the state treasury.
The remainder ofthe financial burden would fall on state and federal government agencies operating in PCE communities. These government agencies do not qualify for PCE assistance so the rate they are charged covers the full cost of providing their electricity. However since elimination ofPCE combined with reduced sales would drive up the average cost of electricity for the PCE utilities, the rates charged to all customer classes would rise. State government agencies would pay about $.290 million in additional charges for electricity.
In addition to the quantifiable direct financial burden on local residents, utilities, and state government from the elimination ofthe PCE program, there are indirect burdens both for the PCE communities and for the state.
The public and private physical infrastructure necessary to deliver the educational, sanitation, health, transportation, and communication services to sustain rural Alaska communities, and enhance their opportunities for economic development, depends directly on the availability of a reliable and affordable source of electricity. Furthermore there are some special uses of electricity in rural areas that enhance the quality of life in ways urban residents often overlook, such as refrigeration for preserving subsistence harvested food and streetlights for additional safety during the long hours without sunlight in the winter.
The state which has paid for much ofthe investment in the public infrastructure in rural Alaska also has an interest in its continued ability to provide the services to sustain rural communities. Loss or deterioration of these services would be detrimental to the physical and psychological well being ofrural Alaskans and responding to the problems this would create would put an additional burden on state financial resources.
\VHAT IS THE ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE OF PCE ?
Elimination ofPCE assistance would draw $19.202 million out of the rural Alaska economy. This loss of purchasing power translates into a loss of $4.908 million in wages and 210 jobs (annual average) throughout Alaska. Because most of the PCE communities are too small to support much business activity locally, a large share of this loss would occur in urban Alaska.
(pcerep2. wpd) November 16, 1998 iv
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
THE ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE OF THE
POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM
I. DESCRIPTION OF THE POVVER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRA1V1 . . . . . . . .. 1.1
2. CHARACTERISTICS OF PCE COMMUNITIES AND UTILITIES ............. 2.1
3. PCE PROGRAlvI EFFECTS ............................................. 3.1
4. ELIMINATION OF PCE -- OVERVIEW ................................... 4.1
Utility Mechanism for Absorbing Loss ............................... 4.1 Death Spiral .................................................... 4.2 Sensitivity of Sales to Electricity Rates ............................... 4.3 Self Generation of Electricity ...................................... 4.5 Sensitivity of Utility Expenses to Sales ............................... 4.6 Impacts on Customers ............................................ 4.7
5. ELIMINATION OF PCE -- EFFECTS ON SOME REPRESENTATIVE COMlYfUNITIES ...................................................... 5.1
Elim--An Average Size PCE Dependent Utility ........................ 5.2 Nome--A Large PCE Utility ....................................... 5.3 Shageluk--A Small PCE Dependent Utility ............................ 5.4
6. ELIMINATION OF PCE - AGGREGATE EFFECTS ON UTILITIES AND CUSTOMERS ........................................................ 6.1
All PCE Utilities ................................................ 6.1 Overview Excluding the Largest PCE Utilities ......................... 6.2 Distribution of Effects ............................................ 6.2 Financially Vnlnerable Utilities ..................................... 6.3
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
7. ELIMINATION OF PCE -- ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE ........ , ........... 7.1
Overall Significance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 7.1 Urban Concentration ofJob and Wage Loss ........................... 7.2 Increase in Direct Costs to State Government . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 7.2 Increase in Indirect Costs to State Government ......................... 7.3
8. THE VALUE OF ELECTRICITY TO RURAL ALASKA ..................... 8.1
Special Uses of Electricity in Rural Alaska ............................ 8.1 Protecting the Public and Private Investment in Rural Alaska ............. 8.2
APPENDICES
A. PCE UTILITY AND COMMUNITY DATA .......................... A.1 B. DATA ON PCE PROGRAM EFFECTS .............................. B.1 C. COMMUNITY IMP ACTS OF ELIMINATION OF PCE--
SELECTED CASES ............................................. C.1
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
1. DESCRIPTION OF THE POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM
The Power Cost Equalization Program (PCE) was established in 1985 to help electric utility customers by paying a portion of the cost of electricity in high cost areas of the state where rates are often three to five times that of urban areas. Prior to 1985 assistance to rural customers was provided by the Power Cost Assistance Program and before that (1980) by the Power Production Assistance Program.
The program is based on the recognition that affordable electricity is clitical to the viability of rural Alaska. This idea is reflected in the PCE Program Manual which states:
PCE is a core element to insure the financial viability of centralized power generation in rural communities, and therefore increase the standards ofliving through the availability of communications, lighting, and the operation of a variety of infrastructures, including water and sewer systems, incinerators, etc.
According to the Statistical Report of the Power Cost Equalization Program for Fiscal Year 1996 $19.2 million in assistance was provided to 190 communities through 96 separate utilities (Figures 1.1 and 1.2). This represents a population of about 76 thousand and includes most of the electric utilities within the state. Almost all the electric utilities that do not participate in the program are located in the Railbelt or in maritime locations. These non PCE utilities have access either to low cost natural gas or to hydroelectric power (primarily from the Four Dam Pool facility) which allows their customers to enjoy low electricity rates. In contrast, almost all of the PCE utilities rely entirely on fuel oil for generation which must be transported to rural communities at great expense. (One of the requirements of program eligibility is that participating ntilities must produce more than 75 percent of their electrical consumption from diesel-fired generation.)
The PCE is administered by the Division of Energy within the Department of Community and Regional Affairs which also detennines the eligibility of customers, including community facilities. The Alaska Public Utilities Commission detem1ines if a utility is eligible to be in the program as well as the amount of assistance that will be provided to each utility for each eligible kwh.
The PCE payment is made to the utility based upon the allowable costs of providing electric power to residential, community facility, and commercial customers over and above the costs faced by urban utilities. The price of progam eligible electricity to PCE customers in these classes is higher than the price faced by customers of non PCE utilities, but lower than the published rates of the PCE utility.
Five classes of customer are recognized by the PCE program. These classes and the
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 1.1
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
eligible level of consumption for each are as follows:
Residential-- up to 700 kwh per customer per month eligible for PCE. This eligibility level exceeds the typical monthly usage of most residential customers, so most residential sales are eligible for the PCE payment.
Commercial- up to 700 kwh per customer per month eligible for PCE. Only the smallest commercial customers use less than 700 kwh per month so a large share of commercial sales are not eligible. The commercial class is defined to include the public schools.
Community Facilities - as a group can receive up to 70 kwh per month multiplied by the population. This limit is high enough so that in most communities all use by community facilities is PCE eligible. Examples of customers in this category include water and sewer facilities, charitable educational facilities, public outdoor lighting, and other community buildings whose operation is not paid for by the state or federal government or by a private commercial organization (not operated for profit and open to the public).
Government - state and federal offices and facilities, with the exception of schools, are ineligible to receive PCE
Other -- a category for miscellaneous sales in a few of the PCE communities. These sales are not eligible for PCE.
Because electricity use per month only up to a limit is eligible for PCE, the average price of electricity for each customer is the weighted average of the pricc for PCE eligible sales and the "fuJI published rate" for non eligible sales. The "full published rate" includes all utility costs without taking the PCE payment into account. For example Figure 1.3 shows the rate faced by a residential customer served by a hypothetical PCE utility. The charge for PCE eligible electricity each month is $.13 which the customer would pay for monthly use up to 700 kwh. Use above that amount would be at the "full published rate" of$.50. The average price of electricity for the cllstomer would be $.13 up to 700 kwh and gradually rise if monthly use exceeded 700 kwh.
The size of the PCE payment to the utility is based on a percentage (95 percent) of the eligible costs between a floor ($.095 per kwh) and a ceiling ($.525 per kwh) level (See Figure 1.4). Costs below the floor and above the ceiling are not eligible for the PCE payment. The maximum payment is $.4085 per kwh (95percent of the difference between $.525 and $.095). The floor is set at a level that reflects the cost of generation in urban Alaska (As such it may vary slightly from year to year.), and the ceiling is set at a level that reflects the maximum reasonable cost per kwh that a rural utility might face. Thus alJ customers ofPCE utilities will pay at least the amount, currently $.095, equal to the average cost of electricity in urban Alaska. The size of the PCE payment per kwh to the utility will in general vary with the cost of generation for the utility.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16,1998 1.2
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
Not all costs associated with providing electricity for eligible sales are eligible costs. The utility must meet efficiency standards and must submit its costs for review by the Alaska Public Utilities Commission (APUC). The APUC determines which costs are reasonable and the Division of Energy administers the payments based upon that determination.
A limit has been established on eligible fuel expenses based upon a minimum kwh generated per gallon of fuel use standard. This means that fuel use above the standard is not included in PCE eligible costs. This standard increases with the size ofthe utility and is higher for those utilities that have some hydroelectric generation. For example the standard for all diesel utilities which have annual sales between 500 thousand and I million kwh (the size of the typical PCE utility) is 10 kwh per gallon, or .1 gallon per kwh. If a utility ofthis size is only able to generate 8 kwh per gallon, .125 gallon per kwh, the expenses associated with the .025 gallon per kwh above the standard would not be an allowable cost in the formula for the determination of the PCE payment. (Efficiency improvement assistance such as general engineering and teclmical support for system upgrades, including the analysis of systems to determine appropriate efficiency improvements, is available thmugh the Division of Energy.)
In addition to efficiency standards only reasonable costs of operation and maintenance are eligible. These consist primarily of fuel expenses, salaries, insurance, taxes, maintenance supplies, and interest. Specifically excluded are profits as well as depreciation expenses for facilities of regulated utilities obtained by grants. The APUC reviews the costs for each utility and excludes duplicate and unnecessary costs.
Finally the size of the PCE payment is calculated based upon the lessor of utility costs or its full published rates. For many smaller utilities all customers pay the same rate, reflecting the fact that the cost of providing electricity to each class of cllstomer is about the same. Some utilities however have different rates for different classes of customers in recognition of the fact that costs of providing electricity vary by the type of customer. For these utilities the PCE payment is based on the rates for eligible customers if those rates are less than the average cost. Thus the PCE payment will reflect the costs to serve those customers as long as they are equal to or below the average cost of all customers. However the payment will not be based on rates that are above the average for all customers.
If there is not enough money to fully fund the PCE pmgram in a given fiscal year, all payments are reduced by the same percentage. Fiscal year 1996 was the fifth consecutive year in which there was a shortfall.
In summary there are several reasons why the electricity rates for the PCE communities will vary and will not all be at the floor established by the average cost of electricity in urban Alaska. First, all costs above the ceiling are disallowed. Second, some costs are disallowed because of efficiency standards. Third, some costs are disallowed because they are found to be unnecessaJY or duplicative. Fourth, only 95 percent of allowable costs are paid under PCE. Finally, the pmgram may not receive full funding for thc year, in which case the payment is prorated on a percentage basis across utilities.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 1.3
Power Cost Equalization
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 1.1 peE UTILITIES
November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
.,
.... f'
.I \I J
1.4
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 1.2 peE UTILITIES
FY96 peE Program Participating Utilities/Communities
Akhiok, City of Akiachak Ltd. Akiak City Council Akutan Electric Utili!y Alaska Power & T d.:phone
Alalna Healy Lake" Allakaket Hollis Beuks Hydaburg Eyansville Mentasta Chislochina Skagway Craig Tetlin Doluh Tak Haines Tanacross
Alaska Village Electric Coop. Alakanuk New Stuyahok Ambler Noatak Andreafsky Noor .... ik Anvik Nulato Brevig Mission Nunapitchuk Chevak Old Harbor Eek Pilot Station Elim pitkas Point Emmonak Quinhagak Gambell RUSS1'an Mission Goodnews Bay Sa~'oong3
Grayling Scammon Bay Holy Cross Selawik Hooper Bay Shageluk Huslia Shaktoolik Kaltag Shishmaref Kasigluk Shungn3k Kiana St. Mary"s Kivalina St. Michad Koyuk Stebbins Lower Kalskag Togi~k
Ma.rsh~lI Toksook Bay Mekoryuk Tununak Minto Upptr Kalskag Mouniain ViII>!gG Waks
Alutiiq Power Company Kat/uk
AndreanofEkclric Atka
Aniak. Light & Powcr Compan)' Atmautluak Tribal Utilities Beaver Jail'll Utilities Bethel Ulilities Corrorntion. Inc.
Belhe! Oscarville
Buckland, City of Chenega Bay IRA Village Council City of Chignik Chignik Lake EleClric Chitina Electric,lnc Cirde Electric, Inc. CoOiuan Cove Utility ,\ssn.
Coffmall Cove Whale Pass
Prior progr.,l.JlI panicip2111S not currently active:
Cordova Elewic Coop., Inc, Cordova Eyak
Diomede Joint Utilities Eagle POWer Company
Eagk Eagle Village
Egegik Light & Power Co. Ekwok Ekctric Elfin Cove Electric Utility
false Pass Electric Assn. Far North Utilities
Central Cirde Hot Springs
G& K,lnc. Cold Day
Ga!cn.l, City of Golovin Power Utilities Gustavus Ekclric Company Gwilchyaa Zhee Ulilities
Ft. Yukon Hughes Power & Light Igiugig Electric Company I-N·N Eketric Coopnative
Jliamna Nondalton Newhalcn
Ipnatchiaq Electric Company Deering
King Cove. City of Kipnuk Light Plant Kobuk VaHe)' Electric Coop. Kokhanok Village Council Koliganek Village Counci! Kotlik Electric Service Kot2.Cbue EleelTic Assn., Inc. Koyukuk, City of Kuiggluum KalJugvi~
Kwethluk Kwig Power Company
Kwigi!ingok Lar!;cn Bay Utilit), Comp~n)' Leyelock Electric Cooper.ni\·e Manley Utility Company Manokotak Power Com pan)' McGrath Light & Powa Middle Kuskokwim Electric Coop.
Chaulhbaluk Sleetmute Crooked Creek' Ston)' RiVer Red Deyil
Naknek Electric Association, Inc. King Salmon South N<lknek Naknek
Napakiak Ireinraq Powa Co. Napaskiak Electric Utility Natcrkaq Light Plant
Chefornak Nelson Lagoon Ekctric Coop., Inc.
Nightmute Powa Plant Nikolai Light & Powa Utility Nome Joint Utilit), System Northway POwer & Light Co.
North ..... :lY Northway Junction Northway ViUage
North Slope Borough Power & Light Anakutuvuk Pass Point Hope Atqasuk Point Lay Kaktovik Wainwright Nuiqsut
Nushagak Ekctric Coop .• Inc. Aleknagik Dillingham
Ouzinkie. City of Pedro Bay Village Council Pciican Utility Company Perryville. Native ViIIllge of Pilot Pilint Village Council Platinum, City of Port Heiden, City of Puvurnaq Power Campen)'
Kongiganak Ruby, City of Sand Point Electric, Inc. Shc/don Point Electric, Inc. Stevens Village Encrgy System St Gcorge Municipal Elewic Utility St, Paul Municipal Eketrle Ulility Takotna Community Association Tanalian Eleclric Cooperativc, Inc.
Port Alsworth Tanana Power CompJny Tatitlek Elewic Utilit)' Tc/id~ Village Utility Tella Power Company Tenakee Springs Ekclric Utility Thorne Ba)' Public Utility Tlingit-Haida Regiono! Eketric
Authority Angoon Chilbt Valley Covenant Life Hoonah Kake
Kesa~n
Klawock Klukwan Mosquito ukc Whitestone Logging
Camp Tuluksak TraditiOnlll Council Power
Utility Tuntutuliak Community Service Assn. Umnak. Power Company
Nikolski Unalakleet Valle), E!cclric Cooperative Unalaska Electric Utility Ungusraq POwer Company
Newtok Venetic Village Ekctric White /I.·fountein, City or . Yakutat, City of
An:tic Vii/age Electnc Company, Birch Creek Village Electric Utility, Chalkyitsik Villagc Energy System, Clarks Pail'll, City of and Rampart Vii/age Energy Systems.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16,]998 1.5
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 1.3
RESIDENTIAL CHARGE PER KWH AS MONTHLY USAGE INCREASES
I ~ $0.60 ,..----,--~---------, cr w n.
.-g-g .......... -,
~ $0.40 ... --..... --.. ~~-....... . ..... -----... -.---............ . cr :f o ~ ~ $0.20 f----. ----... . ... - .... -~--- --
~ D-a-D-a-D-a-D-D-O-D-D-a-D-D-D~ w o ~ $0.00 L...L.~-'--'-'-'~' -',--'--, -',-'-, -'-, --"-,--'-, -" . ..L' -,'c......L' --'-, _'-.L.....-'C-'
cr o 200 400 600 800 100 300 500 700
KWH PER MONTH
I_ MARGINAL <> AVERAGE I
1000 900
TOTAL RESIDENTIAL BILL AS MONTHLY USAGE INCREASES
..J $600 ,--.--------.----------,
..J co ..J « ~ $400 w o U5 w cr >- $200 - ... ..J I rz o 2 $0
o 100
200 400 600 800 300 500 700
KWH PER MONTH
III WITHOUT PCE <> WITH PCC]
November 16, 1998
1000 900
1.6
Power Cost Equalization
(pcerep2.wpd)
Economic Significance
FIGURE 1.4 THE peE FORMULA
Cos!s NOT covered
by PCE
Cos!s NOT covered
by PCE
UTILITY COSTS
/
Costs above
52.5¢/kwh
Cos!s PCE pays 95% between of the verifiable
*9.5¢/kwh I+-- and reasonable and 52.5¢fkwh cos!s in !his
Costs up to
*9.5¢fkwh
bracket
November 16, 1998 1.7
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(p cerep2. wp d) November 16, 1998 1.8
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
2. CHARACTERISTICS OF POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM COMMUNITIES AND UTILlTIES l
In FY 1996 the Power eost Equalization (peE) Program provided assistance through 96 electric utilities to 190 cOllllllunities in Alaska with a combined population of75,767. This represents 12 percent ofthe population of the state and the vast majority of electric utilities.
The commnnities served by peE are the smallest communities in the state and located in the most mral parts of Alaska (Figure 2.1)'. Populations vary from a high of 5,195 in Bethel to a low of 11 in Telida. The population of the median community (half the communities have more population and half the communities have less) is 264, and all but 9 have a population of less than 1,000. About one third of the population served by peE resides in the 9 largest peE cOlllllllmities, one third are in commlll1ities of 500 to 1000, and the remainder are in cOllllllunities of less than 500 (Figure 2.2).
The income in households in peE communities is less than the state average and less than that of communities not receiving peE (Figure 2.3Y. The annual income for the typical (average) household in all peE communities in 1989 (converted to 1996 $) was $49,825, and $40,540 excluding the largest peE communities". This was 77 percent of the average household income in non-peE communities ($65,054).
The average annual household income in the median peE community was $35,203 in 1996 dollars (Figure 2.4). This means that the annual average household income was higher than
, The infonnation for this and subsequent Sections of this report comes primarily from the Statistical RepOIi of the Power Cost Equalization Program for the fiscal year 1996. Complete infonnation was not reported for all participating utilities and some of the infonnation was judged to be inaccurate. However the Statistical Report does provide a reasonable description of the program and basis for the analysis of its effects. Complete infonnation was available for 134 communities, incomplete infonnation for 26, and less than a full year of infonnation for 10. This database of 170 communities was used for the descriptions and analysis. The descriptive infonnation presented in this report is based on the communities for which data was reported and thus the number of communities included in different figures will vary. The analysis of the community and aggregate effects in Sections 5. and 6. is based upon the communities for which complete infonnation was available.
, The data from which the graphs in this and subsequent Sections are derived is included as an appendix at the end of the report.
3 This economic information is from the US Census, 1990.
4 The typical household or customer described in this section resides in one of the larger PCE utilities and should be distinguished from a household or customer residing in the median PCE community.
(peerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.1
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
that amount in half the communities and lower than that amount in half the communities. Average household income was highest in Akhiok at $84,964 and lowest in Stony River at $9,141.
Other economic indicators show that the community average household income figure masks considerable variation in household circumstances within communities and the fact that a substantial share of the households in the PCE communities are economically disadvantaged. The unemployment rate in 1990 for the PCE communities in the aggregate was 15 percent, and excluding the largest of the PCE communities it was over 20 percent. In contrast the unemployment rate in the non-PCE communities was 8 percent. This suggests that a large share of income in PCE communities comes from public sources and this is supported by the fact that in 19902 percent of household income in PCE communities was from public assistance. Outside the largest PCE communities the share was over 3 percent compared to less than I percent in non-PCE communities.
In addition, as of 1990 nearly 18 percent of families in PCE communities were identified as having income levels below the poverty threshold as defined by the federal government. Excluding the largest PCE utilities the figure was 24 percent. This compares to less than 6 percent for the non-PCE communities. (The poverty thresholds for 1989 as determined by the Bureau of the Census varied by family size and number of related children but were not adjusted for differences in the cost ofliving among places. For example the threshold was $5,947 for a single adnlt over 65 living alone and $12,575 for a family of four with 2 children.) The percent of families below the poveriy threshold varied from 0 percent for some communities up to a high of 100 percent in Stony River (Figure 2.5).
PCE communities are scattered throughout rural Alaska, with the largest numbers in the interior and western parts of the state (Figure 2.6). About 35 percent ofPCE utility sales were in Southwest Alaska followed by 26 percent in ArcticlNorthwest Alaska and 20 perccnt in Southeast Alaska. Interior Alaska accounted for 13 percent of PCE sales and South Central Alaska accounted for the remaining 6 percent. In contrast 68 percent of non PCE sales took place in South Central Alaska with 16 percent in Southeast and Interior respectively. There was virtually no non-PCE activity in either ArcticlNorthwest or Southwest Alaska.
Because ofthe broad geographic distribution of the PCE communities throughout rural Alaska and their large number, it is easier to describe the PCE communities by saying that virtually every community in Alaska is a PCE served community except those served by the largest utilities in the state, or the few smaller utilities fortunate enough to have access to a relatively inexpensive source of fuel for electricity generation. Thus the utilities serving the Railbelt communities and the larger maritime communities, mostly in Southeast Alaska, are the main non-PCE utilities in the state.
In addition to small community size and marginal economics, the high cost offuel oil is another distinguishing feature of peE communities (Figure 2.7). The median repolied cost of fuel oil in FY 1996 among PCE utilities was $1.14. The range was from a low of$.71 fOT communities such as Tok and Naknek with relatively good transportation access, to a high of
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.2
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
$2.26 for Chignik Lake in Southwest Alaska. With the exception of a few utilities where a portion of electricity is generated by hydro power, all PCE electl~city comes from diesel generation.
Small community size, remoteness, and the high cost of fuel combine to result in high costs of electricity in the PCE communities. The full published residential rate faced by the average PCE utility customer was $.28 in 1996 compared to $.10 for the non-PCE utilities.5
Figure 2.8 shows that the full published residential rate for PCE utilities in 1996 varied from a low of about $.15 in several communities on the North Slope to a high of$.625 for several communities in the Interior of the state. The rate for the median PCE utility was $.42.
The higher revenue requirement per kwh sold for the PCE utilities was only partially offset by the PCE assistance so that eleclIic rates for the PCE utilities remained above non-PCE utilities after the PCE adjustment. The average PCE utility residential customer paid $.18 per kwh compared to $.10 for the customer in Anchorage or Fairbanks, and $.09 for the customer in Juneau. The range was from $.09 to $.41. The average PCE utility commercial customer paid $.26 per kwh compared to between $.07 and $.09 per kwh in the urban centers. Excluding the largest PCE utilities·the average commercial customer paid $.31 per kwh for electricity.
The result of higher electricity costs, combined with lower average household incomes, is that households in PCE communities spend a larger share of their income on electricity and use less than households in urban Alaska even with the PCE adjustment. The monthly electric bill for the average residential PCE customer was $75 (after of the PCE adjustment) compared to $61 in Anchorage and $71 in Fairbanks. The average residential bill in Juneau--$84-- is higher because of some residential electric space heating in that community.
The annual residential electricity bill for the average residential PCE customer was $896, varying ii-om a low of $188 to a high of $2,831. If we add to the average residential bill the cost that the average household pays for electricity indirectly to support the electricity consumption of local community facilities, the annual bill for the typical household increases to $1,088. The average annual residential bill is 1.9 percent of the average household income in PCE communities compared to between 1.1 and 1.5 percent of household income in non-PCE communities.
The monthly residential use for the average residential PCE customer is 411 kwh, ranging from a low of 115 to a high of 850 kwh. Electricity use in urban Alaska is considerably higher. In Anchorage the average monthly use is 635 kwh. In Fairbanks, where the climate is more similar to that o[most ofrural Alaska, the average monthly use is 722 kwh. In Juneau it is 960 kwh.
An impression ofthe cost of electricity in PCE communities can be derived from a calculation of the monthly bill for the typical residential PCE customer at the fully published
5 Alaska Electric Power Statistics, 1995.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.3
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
rate, based on the cost of generation, and the urban consumption level. If the typical PCE customer used 635 kwh in a month (the amount used by the average Chugach Electric Utility customer), his bill would be $178 compared to $61 for the urban consumer.
We have not surveyed rural residents to detennine electricity use patterns, but a typical monthly consumption of 411 kwh could consist of some combination of the following major appliances, based on standard consumption ratings:6
Kitchen Range Freezer Refrigerator Oil Fired Space Heater Lighting Television
Total
100 kwh 100 kwh 100 kwh 60 kwh 60 kwh 40 kwh
460 kwh
There has been a slight upward trend in electricity use per customer over time based on historical data from a sample of utilities (Figure 2.9). It may be that some of the increase is the result of more electIicity intensive new residential construction, however we were unable to verifY whether, for example, the appliances in new mID housing require more electricity than those in older residences. In any event the PCE sales per customer are still generally much below the levels of urban utilities in Anchorage and Fairbanks.
There is a definite seasonality associated with electricity use in the PCE utilities as reflected by the monthly pattern of sales in two typical communities (Figure 2.10). Sales in the summer months may be less than half the level of sales in the winter. This conesponds to the coldest and darkest time of the year when people are spending the most time inside.
There is great variation in the size of the PCE utilities measured by annual sales (Figure 2.11). Utility sales in half the communities exceed 651,507 kwh and are less in half. The largest utility, Bethel Utilities, had sales in 1996 of32,564,724 while the smallest, Telida, had sales of only 21,452. Cumulatively the 9 largest utilities accounted for more than half of the total sales of all the PCE utilities (Figure 2.12).7
A final distinguishing feature of the PCE utilities is the large share of total sales to residential customers, particularly if we exclude the largest PCE utilities (Figure 2.13). The
6 Provided by Alaska Village Electric Cooperative.
7 With the exception ofthc largest PCE utilities we found that many variables such as PCE per customer, share of revenues from PCE, residential share of total sales, and cost of generation were not conelated with size of utility.
(pccrep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.4
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
small share of sales to commercial customers reflects the fact that the economic base in many of these PCE communities small and underdeveloped. As a consequence there is little commercial activity to help support the costs of electricity generation and other infi'astructure needs in these communities. In the typical (median) PCE community 41 percent of kwh of sales go to residential customers. This percentage varies from a low of 11 percent for Bettles to a high of 85 percent for Tuluksak.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.5
Power Cost Equalization
f(f) W ....l ....l « 2 (f)
o ff(f) W (') rr: « ....l
~ Z => 2 2 a o w o n.
PCE COMMUNITIES POPULATION (PART 1.)
Bethel UU1itics Corp Inc. Unaraska Eteclric Uti~ty
NomeJolotUUlitySystem Kotzebue Electrle Association
Cordova Electric Cooperative, Inc. Nvshagak electric Coope!ative, Inc. (o~r:nghaml
Craig Nalu1el; Electric Association, Inc.
Haines Ughl& Power HoopetSay
Sand f:'J;~?J~ ~~~ H_h
S!<agNay King Co,~. City of
Yakutat Power 51. Paul MunlOpal Electrq1c Ubl,ty
Una'alJeel Va:I;;e'1 Electric CooperiJtNe Emmonak
Kla",'Ock Mountain V.Oage
109ial,; Point Hope
Kake
o
Kwethtuk, Inc. ;:;:;:;1 C",,"k Gwitc.hyaa Zhee U~Hes (fort Yukon)
Tt'(lme 6ay PubSc U~1ity Sela .... "\ Gom","
S"""'" AlaftarnA
""'''"'" NOONi\(
An;a~ light [. Power C<m~~~
KoC",k Ele<:tric Services Wahw.-righl SNsrrwel
Galena, Cilyo/ PdotSt.ation
Tooksook Bay AAiachal; Native Communit{ Electric CO.
McGr3:h light & Powe<' 5l Mary's
Stebbins Kip'l<.<k Ugh\ Plant
NlJO."lpiIChulr. Ka.sigluk
A~uta.n Elecliic U~l'ty Scammon Bay Ne-NStuyal1Qk
Kiana
j.N.N Ele~~kl~,J."C~~~ M"I'\O~o\;;lk Po .... er Company
Nuiqsut Hydablll9
Napasklak Ele<:tric UtJlity Tu!"tsa"; Trao.:ional Power U~1ity Na~erkaq light Plan! (CtJeiWnal;)
NuJa~ Tanana Power COmp;!r\)'
Kiva.'ina Sl Michael
Noatal: Nap3'Jak Irciruaq Power Company
ANa>; Power U~fi~es Tuauna\;;
OidHarbor Ambler
lo .... er Kalskag Tuntutll,ak O:lmmunity Service Assn.
Marsha'! Russian Misslon
Puvurnaq Power Company (Kongiganak) E<k
ArnMuvuk Pass HolyCross
EEm Koyuk
Kwig Power Company (Kwig;U;ngok) T e~er Power Company
Afm3l1'Jua\;; Joint UUb~es
---------------------------------------------
Thousands
1 2 3
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
4 5
2.6
Power Cost Equalization
Bre,is MissiOn UnqUSlaq Power Company (Ne-HIOk)
Ouzinl<ie·~Zf~ Hu!ofia
GoodneN$ Bay Coffman Ctlve
Shungna'lt Atqasult
G&K, Inc. (Cold Ba-i) MifI:O
MekOl}lJII Gr~yrmg
Rllb~a~~\1~ White MQuot;Jjn Ub1ities
Fefican Ub1itiy Company Shal-.lOO!i~
Sl GeorgeMuotdpal Electric Ub~ty Nightmule Power Plant
Upper Kalskag Venetie Vdlage Electm:
Koliganek V~Jage Counc;il Wa!es
Chignik Electric Shetdon Polnt. City of
Far North Ublibties (Centtal) Allal:a~el Energy Systems (Ala:na)
Golovin Power U~"~e5 Diomede Jo'nt Ubh~es
tpr>at~3Q E1eetrleCompany {Deering} Kokhanok WJage Couo'~
Gustaws Electric Company HoI~s
Eag~e Power ~;J
Ch;grJ(~~ k:~~~ ~~~~:~: Poinllay
p,tkas Po,nt larsen Bay Utr.ty Compa!1Y
CtJ,l~at V~ley Port Helden, C,tyo!
1:,~oIai Ughll. Po.-'er KOi'U~U~. C,lyo!
Chuathha!l11( Tatitlek Electric Ub~ty
Nortll-.... Jy Power I'. Ught Ter>3~ee Springs Pell)l'll1!e. CltyO!
eilclt:: Ublltie~ $leeetmute
Crooked Creer.;
SteL,~~~~~!'~r~~~~ H ... -or.; Electric
Beaver Joint U~Mes Andrearwf ElectriC Corporation (At~a)
Manley U(rl'~ty Company Mentasta
An,,<-
Pilot Point v£~~u~ Wha'ePass
f~se Pass Electric Assodation Tellin
Nelson l~~ ~~CE~tk/~-;:;~~Cy AAhiol:, City of
(pcerep2.wpd)
Hughes Power & light AJutiiq P,y"'erComp<my {K"'lu~l
Tanar,an ~:~~~C~'Vi~t;~~ Ta~olna Community A5s06ation
ChiS!O(t.:na Red Devil
StonyRNCf Chitina Erettric rnc.
Hearyla~e Platinum Power Pianl
Pedro Bay Vo!Iage Councij Kasaan
Umnal( Power Company (NE~QlsrjJ Settles
!g'uglg Electric Company Ter.da V,tlage UMity
PCE COMMUNITIES POPULATION (PART 2.)
o
------------------------.. ... ... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -.. .. .. -.. .. ... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. II .. .. .. .. .. " " .. .. .. .. .. • • O· o· O· J. J. J. J. J. I· I· 1-
Thousands
1 2 3
t __ Novem bel' 16, 1998
Economic Significance
4 5
2.7
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
l(/) w -' -' <{ :2: (/)
~ l(/) W (9 a: ::; ~ Z ::J :2: :2: o U w u [L
CUMULATIVE SHARE OF PCE POPULATION BY UTILITY (PART 1.)
~en~~$~~~r:c~1J~~~ Nome JOint Utility System
Kollebue EtectricAssOCiatlon Cordova Electric Cooperative, Inc.
Nushagal: Electric Cooperative, tne. ({);lSngham)
""'" Naknek Electric Association,tnc. Haines U>lht &. Power
Hooper Bay Sand Pomt Electric Company
TOI: (includes DOl lake) Hoonah
Skagway King Cove, Oly 0/
Yakutat Power 51. Paul Mun:dpat Etectrq1c Utility
Unalakleet Va1lkey Electric Cooperative Emmonak
Kla",'Ock Mountain Village
Togiak Po;nt Hope
Kake KW1llhtuk, fnc.
Chevak G· ... ·itchyaa Zllee Utilities (Fort Yukon)
Thome Bay Puoflc UtMy Sela,,;].;
Gambell Savoonga Ala~.anlJk
Angoon NOONik
Aniak Light.& PQ",',er ComcFu:~~.a~naCk
Kot11<. Electric Ser.OCes Wainwright ShiSrnaref
Galena. City 01 P~olSlation
T(){Iksook Bay AI,Jachal: Native Community Electrk: Co.
McGrath light & Power SI. Mar{s
Stebt)ins Kipnuk Ught Plant
Nunapitchuk Kasigluk
Akutall Electrlc U:~,ty Scammon Bay New Stuyahok
Ki<Jna I·N.N EJectric Cooperative
Bucl;t;;nd. City 01 ManokoT.3k Power Company
Nuiqsut Hyrlaburg
Napasl;lak Electric Ut,fl!y Tuluksak Traditional Po ..... er Ublity Nateri<aq Ught Plant (Chefornak)
Nulato Tanana P(I',I.-erCornpany
Kiva~na SI. Michael
Noatak Napakiak Irclnraq Power Company
Akiak Power UL~lies Tununak
Old Harbor AmOler
lo· .... er Kalskag Tuntutuliak Community Servke Assn.
Marshall Russian Mission
Puvumaq Power Company (Kongiganak) Eek
Ana~tuvuk Pass HolyCross
Er.m Koyuk
Kwig pO',·,er Company (K""ig~Sngok) Tel!er PONer Company
Atmautluak Jolnt Utilities Brevig Mission
UnqusraQ Power Olmpany (Ne ... 1ok)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
(pcerep2. wp d) November 16, 1998 2.8
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
r-------------------~·TG~~~iTIpmaJTt~2)r-------------------~
I
I i
I
I(f) w --' --' <t: 2 (f)
o lI(f) W (') n:: :)
~ Z :::l 2 2 o o w o [L
L_
CUMULATIVE SHARE OF PCE POPULATION BY UTILITY (PART 2.)
Ouzinkie, City of K81lag Husr ....
Goodney,-s Bay COffman Cove
Shull{lnak Atqasuk
G&K, !nc. (CQld Bay) Minto
MekOl)'Uk Grayrmg
Ruby, City of Kaktovik
""'hila MountaIn Utilities Pefic<J1l UtflitiyCompany
Shaktoolik Sl George I.\unlcip;:l! EtectrK: Uuljty
Nightmute Po-Net Plant Upper Kalskag
Venetie Vi!lage Electric KOliganek ViUag6 CQunol
Wales Chignik Electric
Sheldon POint, City of Far North Utmtities (Cen\l<ll)
All.3ka~el Energy Systems (Alatna) Golovin Po-.... er Utdlties Diomede Joint U~~ities
Ipnatchiaq Electric COmpany (Deering) Kokhanok Village COunCil
Gustavus Electric Company He'tis
Eagle Power Company Shageluk
Egegik lish! (. Power CO. Ch;grli\; lake Electric U~1ity, Inc.
Po-:nllay Pilkas Point
larsen Bay Ulmty COmpany Chi!l<al VaUey
Port HeIden, City of Mkol.a.i light & Power
KOj'Ul.uk. DIy of Chuathbaluk
Tatitlek Electric Utrlity Northway Po-.... er & light
Tenakee Springs PenyviUe. Dt)' of
Orc1eUtilities Sleeetmute
Crooked Creek
s!e:~~~~~1~t;~~~~Ot:s~~~ Hwok E1Cl:lIiC
Bea~er Joint Ulffities Andreanof Electric Corporation (Atka)
Mantey U~1itity Company Mentasta
Anvik Chenega Bay
P~ol PQinl VIllage Council Whale Pass
False Pass Electric Association Tellin
Ne:Son lagoon Electric Cooperative. tnc. Kobuk V3!1ey Electric Company
Akhiok. Diy of Hughes Power & light
Alu!i'q Power Company (KarM,) Tanarian Electric cooperative, Inc.
Elfin Cove Electric U(1~ty Takotna Communi!y Association
ChistQChina Red DevIl
Stony River Chitina Electric Inc.
HC<.Ilylake Platinum Po· ... ·er Plant
Pedro 6ayViIlage Couno1 Kasaan
Umnak Power CompaflY (Nikolski) Bettles
tgiuglg ElectriC Company TeEda Village Uti!1ly
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.9
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significauce
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.10
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 2.3
CHARACTERISTICS OF THE TYPICAL PCE HOUSEHOLD AND COMPARISON TO NON-PCE COMMUNITIES
peE COMMUNITIES
SUM/AVG
ALL EXCLUDING LARGEST
MIN MAX ALL
NON·PCE COMMUNITIES
ANCH FAlRBKS JUNEAU
................................ _--_ ............. -...................
Households (90) 18,737 11,593
Average Income Per HH (89) $39,001 S31,733 Average Income Per HH (96) $49,825 S40,540
Families (90) 13,827 B.9J8
Below Poverty with Children (90) 2,130 1,864 Below Poverty without Children (gO) 313 254
% Below Poverty (gO) with Chifdreo 15.4% 20.9%
vlilhoul Children 2.3% 2.8%
Unemployment Rate (90) 14.6% 20.2%
% of HH Income from PubticAssistance (SO) 2.0% 3.3%
Annual Eleclric Bill I Res Cust (96) sa96 SS50 Monthly Electric Bill! Res Cust (96) $75 $71
T ola! Electric Costj Res Cust (96) 51,088 $1,050
Electric Bill Share of HH Income (96) 1.9% 2.1% Electric Cost Share of HH Income (96) 2.4% 2.6%
Annual Use Per HH (96) 4,933 4,378
Monthly Use Per HH (96) 411 365
Residential Avg Rate $/kwh (96) SO.18 SO.19
Commercial Avg Rate $/kwh (9S) SO.26 SO.31
Fuel Price (96) SI.14
Residential Share of Sales (96) 42.0%
LARGEST PCE UTILITIES EXCLUDED TOK KOTZE8UE NAKNEK
9
$7,155
$9,141
0.0%
0.00/.
0.00/.
0.0%
$188
$'6
"' 0.6%
"' 1.379
115
$0.09
50,14
SO.71
10.9%
NUSHAGAK {DltllNGHAM} CRAIG
SKAGWAY
8ETHEL CORDOVA
HAINES
W:ALASKA
AVERAGE FOR DEMOGRAPHIC DATA IS ACROSS HOUSEHOLDS
1,437
$66,507
$84,965
100.0%
30.0%
69.00/.
22.00/.
S2,831
$236
"' 8.3%
"' 10.201
850
SO.41
SO.53
S2.26
84.9%
145,305
$50,922
$65,054
102,052
5,092
662
5.0%
0.6%
7.9%
0.7%
83,043
$52,809
$67,465
S728
$6.
"' 1.1%
"' 7,619
635
SO.10
$0.08
eEM AMLP
AVERAGE FOR ElECTRIC!lY USE OAT A IS ACROSS RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMERS (NOT THE AVERAGE UTILITY)
ElECTRIC COST PER RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMER INCLUDES RESIDENTIAL, COMMUNllY FACILITIES, AND OTHER
ELECTRIC BILL AND USE DATA BASED ON 134 PCE COMMUNrTlES WITH COMPLETE RECORDS FOR 1996.
SOURCE: 1990 CENSUS ALASKA ElECTRIC POWER STATISTICS, 1960 ·1995. PCE RECORDS FOR UTILITIES WITH COMPLETE REPORTS FOR FY 1996.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
26,831
544,593
$56,969
S652
". "'
1.5%
"' 8,670
722
50.10
$0.09
GVEA+ FMUS
9,958
S53,161
S67,915
SI,004
$64
"' 1.5%
"' 11,518
960
50.09
$Om
AEl&P
2.11
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
PCE COMMUNITIES AVERAGE HH INCOME IN 1989 (PART 1.)
[(fJ ill 5: o ---' o [-[OJ ill I (')
Akhiok Nelson Lagooo
Port Alsworth Sand Poinl larsen Bay
tt~d~J Unalaska Klukwan
King Co"e o,lli?Jl~aaa~
Ouzinkie Poinllay
SeUles Naknek Alqasuk
Sail'll Paul Craig
Kotzebue Nome
Poinl Hope
COffma~eg~ Bethel
Klawock Hoonah Haines
Skagway Per~~lle
Thorne Bay Gustavus
Galena Wainv,right
KaktoVIK Chignik Yakutat
Kake McGrath
P,lol Point
I.N.N-1g~NN~h~~~11
I N~f~~ >-1 Unalakleet L _ PO/I Heiden r- r.\ountain Village
Z ::J :'" :'" o o w o Q
Anaktuvuk Pass Noorvik
To' Marsha~1 Tatitlek Noatak
Kiana Atka
Crooked Creek
EI~~~~~ Egegik
Shungnak Central Pelican
Dot lako
S~:i~J~'ipin~ Akutan
Akiachak Red Devi! Emmonak
Pilka's Point KoU,k
Ambler Saink~b~~;
Fori Yukon Napaskiak
tJ~~~~~Y~R Karluk
Manley ~~Wt~~~~ Ho:lis
Chistochina
(pcerep2.wpd)
$0 $20
1996 $
Thousands
$40 $60
November 16, 1998
$80 $100
2.12
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I-(f) W
3 0 ---' 0 I-I-(f) W I (')
I , >-I-Z ::J 2 2 0 0 W
Ii 0 (L ,
I I I I i
I
PCE COMMUNITIES AVERAGE HH INCOME IN 1989 (PART 2.)
1996 $
Thousands $0 $20 $40 $60 $80
Chis!ochina Sleetmute
SelaWIK
Saini t.lp~g~~~ s~~~~i~~~
Nunapitchuk Chignik lake
~~~~~~~ Kokhanok
Grayling Pedro Bay
Telter TunlutuGak
Koyuk Platinum
Efim E,' 01dfa~ffZ
Telr.n Alakanuk
Russian Mission
C~u~r~~age~ Chevak Nutato
Tununak Kivalina Hughes Togiak
KI'r.?ailf''13~~ CheFornak
Pilot Station Toksook Bay Hooper6ay
Wales While Mountain
Husr.a
W:~~l~~~~ Mentasta la!<;e
Kwethluk
False~~~~ SC~:!~~
Kobuk Circle
Buckland Oiomede
Akiak Golovin
Ke~lake Shis ref Upper ~a~
Atrnautlua Venetie
KO~&~?i~ Tenakee Springs
chene~a~~r
Tafo~~ Gambell
Eag~~l~~~~ Menlo
Scammon Bay
~~Py'ht~~~~ Chitina
GoodnR';;'u~~k A1!a~akel
Mekoryuk Ekwok
lower~~~~ Stevens I:lage
Am~k
S10n~~~~~
L (pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
$100
2.13
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
PCE COMMUNITIES IN 1989 % HH BELOW POVERTY INCOME (PART 1.)
I-if) W I Cl I o I-I-if) W S o --'
~ Z ;::)
:2 :2 o o w o (L
0%
Whale Pass Golovin Nikolski
1~~;~ Akutan
T enakee ~~?gJ!~ Takotna Central
POlnllay BeWes
Emn Cove
Klwu~e~~ Akhiok
Chignik lake Nels0~~1::P~
Kasaan Port Alsworth
Naknek Gustavus
Hoonah Craig
Unalaska Larsen Bay
Ouzinkie Haines
Saint Pdu! Thome Bay
Skagway Shungnak
Cordova Wainv.Tighl
Coffman Cove Oot lake "", Circle
Point Hope
PII~r~~~~ Pelican
Nome Tok
O:tr.ngham Klawock
Belhel McGralh Yakutat Tanana
Kotzebue Unalakleet Sand Poinl
Chenega Bay Holhs
Anaktuvuk Pass
A~~~~~ At'"
Galena Noatak
Marshall Saint Mary's
NoOfVlJ.; Nuiqsut
~t~~~~ I-N.N(lI.Newh.~ondl Ania%
Shaktoolik False Pass
Kotlik The Northwa~'
Kaktovik Selawik Angoon
KaSigluk Tununak
Manley Hot Springs Emmonak
Brevig Mission Ruby
(pcerep2.wpd)
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
/a WITH CHILDREN o WITHOUT CHILDREN I
November 16, 1998 2.14
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
PCE COMMUNITIES IN 1989 % HH BELOW POVERTY INCOME (PART 2.)
I--(fJ W I <.9 I o I--I--(fJ W S o -'
~ Z :J 2 2 o o w o D-
0%
Ruby SaInt Michael
ChefofOpk Pjtka'ih'acr~J Old Harbor
Perryville HSdabur~
1fa~m~k Port Heiden
Mounlai~eViYl* El,m
Ch~~ra~I~~ Teller
P§~~~~~k Saini §fi~~~
KOlf!.!k Temo
Chitina Alakanuk
Kiana FjlJ Yukon
uckJand Eag e+EaqVl
E" Manokotak Shishmaref QuinhagClk
Met'~~ Tl?ts~b~a~~~
Russian MIssion Beaver Ambler
'.1,nlo Kwethluk
Kivahna Nunapotchuk
Akiak Crooked Creek
Menlasli'l~'t~ Napaskiak
NIkolai Kallag Nulato
H'1foVu~k VVhite Mountain
Togiak Kokhanok
Goodnews Bay upper~~~~~
Kwigil5ngok Red Devor
scamru1~k~~k Sheldon Point
ChUathbaluk
P{r~~n~t~ p~~r~I~lig~
Allakaket An~' Gambell
HofvCros5 Newtok
Stevens Village Ekwok
$;1\'oonga New Stuyahok
Slee mule At!Jl.?utluak
N~~~J~ lower Ka!skag
Hea!~l~t~ Stony ~iver
(pcerep2.wpd)
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
10 WITH CHILDREN o WITHOUT CHILDREN I
November 16, 1998 2.15
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.16
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
REGION /I
SOUTH EAST PGE 12 NO 6
SOUTH CENTRAL peE 5 NO 9
YUKON PGE 37 NO 2
ARCTIC I NORTHWES PGE 31 NO 2
SOUTHWEST PGE 44 NO 0
STATE peE 129 NO 19
NON-PCE COMMUNITIES
JUNEAU KETCHIKAN METLAKATLA PETERSBURG SITKA WRANGELL
FIGURE 2.6
ALASKA ELECTRIC UTILITIES REGIONAL ANALYSIS
RESIDENTIAL
AVERAGE REVENUE
SALES REVENUES GUST PER KWH ............ ---- --.. _--_ ..... ----- -------"--------- -----..... _.----
274,742 S27,790 26,849 SO.10 22,868 S5,251 4,055 SO.23
251,874 S22,539 22,794 SO.09
1,091.922 5114,647 137,429 SO.10 6,659 S1,754 1,207 SO.26
1,085,263 5112,893 136,222 SO.10
266.755 S30,341 32,998 SO.11 15,023 S5,605 3,962 SO.37
251,732 $24,736 29,036 $0.10
38,260 $8.636 6.229 $0.23 29,453 S7,896 4,972 $0.27
8,807 S740 1.257 $0.08
40,091 S11,619 7,365 $0.29 40,091 S11,619 7.365 $0.29
0 SO 0 ERR
1,711,770 S193,033 210,870 $0.11 114,094 $32,125 21,561 $0.28
1,597,676 5160,908 189,309 $0.10
FAIRBANKS GVEA
RESIDENTIAL PCE SHARES
SALES REV GUST
RESIDENTIAL NON·PCE SHARES
SALES REV GUST -----_ ...... _ .... -------_ ...... _------ .-.------------------------
20.0% 16.3% 18.8% 15.8% 14.0% 12.0%
5.8% 5.5% 5.6% 67.9% 70.2% 72.0%
13.2% 17.4% 18.4% 15.8% 15.4% 15.3%
25.8% 24.6% 23.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7%
35.1% 36.2% 34.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
ANCHORAGE CEA ANCHORAGE AMLP GLENNALLEN HOMER/SELDOVIA KODIAKJPORTUONS PALMER
FAIRBANKS FMUS (NOW COMBINED WITH GVEA)
BARROW DEADHORSE
PAXSON SEWARD VALDEZ
SOURCE; ALASKA ELECTRIC POWER STATISTICS, 1960·1995. ALASKA SYSTEMS COORDINATING COUNCIL AND STATE OF ALASKA. DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL AFFAIRS, SEPTEMBER 1996.
REVENUES ARE BASED ON FULL PUBLISHED RATES
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16,1998 2.17
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I PCE COMMUNITIES It\VERAGE PRICE OF DIESEL (PART 1.)
ti w I (')
I
f? I-(f) W S o --' >t: z ::J 2 2 o o w o (L
Nushagak Electric Cooperative, Inc. {Dimnghamj Tok {includes Dot lake
Naknek Electric Association. Inc. Nome Joinl Utility System
Far NOI1h UtilitiUes (Central) Craig
Haines light & Power Unalaska Electric Utility
Kasaan King Cove, City of
Mentasta Skagway
Minto Chislochina
Northway Power & Ugh! Hollis
False Pass Electric Association Chignik Electric
Eagle Power Company Kako
Thorne Bay Pub~c U\Jlily Angoon
Healy lake Ch~kat Valley
Kotzebue Electric Association Cordova Electric Cooperative, Inc.
Hoonah Alu\J1q PO'o'ler Company (Karluk)
Unalakleet Vallkey Electric Cooperative Coffman Cove Circle Utilities
Akutan Electric Utility
ManIChYti~~I~t~6~grn~ Hyrlaburg
Yakutat Power Bettles
Sand Point Electric Company Tuntutuliak Community Service Assn.
Tetlin Kwig Power Company (Kwigillingok)
SI. Michael Siebbins
White Mounlain U~li!ies Kaltag
Grayling Mountain Village
Anvik Scammon Bay
Hooper Bay Shaktoolik
Elim Tununak
Emmonak Russian Mission
Holy Cross Marshall
Alakanuk Mekoryuk
Pilol Station Nulato
St. Mary's Nunapitchuk
Tooksook Bay Ouzinkie. City of
Koyuk Chevak Togiak
Whale Pass lower Kalskag
Tenakee Springs
g;~~~~-Jsit~f New Stuyahok
Quinhagak E,k
Shageluk Umnak Power Company (NikOlSki)
Perryville, City of Gustavus Electric Company
Anclreanof Electric Corpornlion (Atka) !·N·N Electric Cooperative
Tuluksak TracliUonat Power Ut~j\y
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.18
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I PCE COMMUNITIES [AVERAGE PRICE OF DIESEL (PART 2.)
I(J) W I (9
I o lI(J) W ;5 o ..J
t z :J 2: 2: o o w o (L
Brevig Mission Savoonga
AkIak Power Utilities Tatitlek Electric Utility
Wares Unqusraq Power Company (Newtok)
Naterkaq Ught Plant (Chefornak) Pelican Utifitiy Company
Huslia G&K, Inc. (Cold Bay)
Golovin Power Utilities Stevens Village Energy Systems
levelock Electn'c Cooperative Diomede Joint Utilities
AtmauUuak Joint Utilities Old Harbor
Kivalina Aniak Ught & Power Compilny, Inc.
Kollik Electric Services Igiugig Electric Company
Shismaref Gwilchyaa Zhee UI'lities (FOlt Yukon)
51. Paul Municipal Eleclrqic Ut~ily Puvumaq Power Company(Kongiganak)
Gambell Kaktovik
Nightmute Power Plant Sheldon Poi~~~itor
Atqasuk Wainwright Point Hope
Port Heiden, City of larsen 6<1y U~lily Company
Akiachak Native Community Electric Co. P,lot Point Village Councit
Koyukuk, City of Beaver Joint Ul~lties
Napaskiak Electric Utility SI. Georf;e Municipal Electric Utility
Hughes Power & Ught Tanalian Electric cooperative. Inc •
Chenega Bay Bethel Utilities Corp Inc.
Nuiqsut Kiana
KwethlUk. Inc. McGrath Ught & Power
Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative, Inc. Takotna Community Association
Allakaket Energy Systems (Alatna) Red Devil
Sleeetmu!e Crooked Creek
Chuathbaluk Stony River
KipnUk Ught Plant Elfin Cove Electric Ulifity
Tanana Power Company Tener Power Company
Akhiok, City of Pedro Bay Village CounCil
Manokotak Power Company Venetie Village Electric
Egegik Ught & Power Co. Ekv.·ok Electric
Noorvik Selawik
Koflganek Village Council Ruby, City of
Anaktuvuk Pass Ipnatchlaq Electric Company (Deering)
Shungnak Platinum Power Plant NikolaI Ught & Power
Noalak Kokhanok Village Council
Ambler Buckland, City of
Telida Village Utility Chignik lEke Electric UWily. Inc.
(pcercp2.wpd)
2.00
November 16, 1998 2.19
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
tJi w I (9
I
~ I-if) W S o .-J
~ Z ::::J :2 :2 o U W U 0..
PUBLISHED RESIDENTIAL RATE BEFORE peE (PART 1.)
Nuiqsut Atqasuk Kaktovik
Wainl'rlight POint lay
PolItI Hope Anaktuvuk Pass
Pescan Utilltiy COmpany $ka\rMlY
Haines Ught & Power Hydaburg
"''' Ho:lis
Noma J~~~ ~"e.sBt~e~ Unata ska Electric Utility
Naknek Elec1Jic Association, Inc. COldova Electric COOperative. tnc.
Nushagak Eleclrlc Cooperative, Inc. (DElling ham) Kotzebue E!ectric Association
Tok (includes Dot lake) Yakutat Permr
Whale Pass Coffman Cove
Sethel Utilities C'Q(p Inc. Urlalakleel Var.key Electric Cooperative
Thome Say Pubf:c Ubllty Elfin COve EleclriC Ubhly Northway Power & light
Kipnuk light Plant Chignik ElectriC
TeUin Mentasta
Sheldon ~~~<;'t~~: Sand Poml Electric COmpany
Ouzinkie, CIty 01 Port Heiden, Dty 01
Perryville, OIy of KoUil> electric Services
r<>\lh!mu?ea~g;e?p%~: Gwitchyaa Zhee UtMes (Fori Yukon)
Sl Georg$.t~\U~~~la~;~~!'I~~!~~~ Akutan Electric Utir.ty
Ch~!rnc;~~~S~7n~~ Tanaroan Electric cooperative, Inc,
I<la ... mk Kake
Chilkat Vaney Hoonah Angoon Kasaan
Naterl<2q light Piant (Chefornak) Tenakee Springs
Sl Pr.f~~'b~~~k1!:!~~tr~~~~~ Tutuksak Traditional Power Utility
Kaltag Chlstoch,na
Shageluk McGrath light & PO' .... er
G&K, lAihf~t~:&1 Andreano! Electric Corporation (Atka)
GOlovin Power Utilities IpnatChiJq Electric Company (Deering)
Akiak Power Utilities Tatitlek Eleclllc Utility
Al!ataket E;:rg~ ;;tee~f~~~ Minlo
Sea\'cr Joint umWes EkwQk ElectriC
larsen Say u!J1ity Company GOodnege~k
GT~~~ Tununak
£Om Sl~~~
Russian Mission
CENTS PER KWH
o 20 40
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
60
2.20
Power Cost Eqnalization
I-if) W I o I o I-I-if) W S o ---"
~ z :::> 2: 2: o o w o D-
Marshall Pitkas Point Sl Michael
Nulato pr.ot Station
Stebbins Qulllhagak
False Pass EreclllcAssoCiation Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative, tne.
Alakanuk. Koyuk
ScaFllffiO(l Say
~~~~~:a~~k Upper Kalsl<ag lower Kalskag
Old Harbor Brevig Mis.siOO
An'" Nunapitchuk
Tanana Power Company Kasigluk.
E,k Diomede Joint Utilities
Aniak lJQht t.. Power Company,lnc. F3( North Ut)l;tilies (Central)
Shaktoolik
H°t.~~~~k HolyCross Gambe~
Kwethluk, Inc. Emmonak
levelock Eleclrlc Cooperative Mounlain V.:Iage
SaVOOflga Wales
Puvumaq Power Company (KOI'lgiganak) Napaskiak Electric Utif.ty
KO\l.IkUk, ely of Umnak Po-.... et Company (Niko/sll.i)
Shismaref Chignik lake Electric UWity, Inc.
Tuntutuliak Community Sel\'ice Assn. Noatak
'·N·N Electric Cooperative Gusta,'Us Electric Company
5el<l"'-1; Atmautluak JOint Utilities
Kivalill3 N_'" Kiall3
White MOUnlako Ulllities Ciltle Utilities
Takotna Community Association Healy la~e
Platinum PO'f.er Pl<lnt N,kola! l!ght& Power
Akiachak Native Community Electric CO. K()!;ganek Vdlage Coone>1
K .... ig Power Company(Kwignlingok) Egegik Ught & Power CO.
Venetie Village Electric Hughes Pov.'er & Ught
Ambler ShUflgnak
Bettles Kobuk Valley Electric Company Aluwq Po .... er Company (Karluk)
Tener Power Company Ruby, City of
UnquSr.lq Power Company (Newtok)
S!evel\~~~~~~~~JeS&~~~ Napakiak Ircinraq PowerCompaflY
Igiugig Etettri(; Company
p~r~:/0!'ffifil~o7n~;-~ Sleeetmule
Chuathbaluk. Red Devil
Stony River Crooked Creek
Tellda Vollalle Uti\:ty
(pccrep2.wpd)
Economic Significance
.8 (pal t-t)
~ =P~U~B~LI~S~H=E~D~R~E~S~ID~E~N~T~IA~L~R~A~TE
BEFORE peE (PART 2.) CENTS PER){IM-!
o 20 40 60
November 16, 1998 2.21
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
~ " u c
j!. m " ~ " ~ 0 ~ I-
" ~ u c ~ m
I ~
" ~ " I ~ 0 ~ I-
I , I I
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 2.9
l RESIDENTIAL SALES PER CUSTOMER J ANNUAL KWH
10
~ --4-'--~--'-'-----'" 8 -1---=H' -:' --~~ ~ -~ ~ 6
r-------.-------~::3 ~ -::--~-4
2 r-;c Tn-,~--/~ ---.-- ... -- ---_. ---- .-._---- .---
,-,-,-,-, 0
80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 ~
r:=:'" .AN~ -.4 BEAVER a CO[Dti
'J FORT YUKON -tr GALENA • FAIR8ANKS • GREATER ANCHORAGE
I RESIDENTIAL SALES PER CUSTOMER I ANNUAL KWH
10
~ .----- ~-~---------. '-... ----=t~ ------.----11 8 ----.- ._.'----'-_ ... - _.-- -. ....':: .... ~o...---- .-.- ___ 'd' ____ ., _____ ~.-
.~ ........ ........ ..------------.--0--' 6 - -- - - -- ----/-* -- - -
.~~---.-- ~·"X-----O_"...---"-~ ......... -.-. ~ __ ~- c----« -. 4 ~" _.~o ._._. ; __ .-.. -~
2 -- . -_.. - ,,-*----*~-*-~.
0 '----'--------'_-----'--------- t , , - , , ----'----------' ,
80 82 B4 86 88 90 92 94 • GIUG1G"G------:*CKK'OTZEBO',.E---~ •• K'lVlGJ[(1NGDK--_,Q",MCGRAiW---, * NEWTOK y PEOROBAY .. fAlR8At.'KS • GREATERANCHQRAGE I
RESIDENTIAL SALES PER CUSTOMER
8 -,-------
6
4
2
I I
I , I ! ;
! , ! ,
I ,
o w~~_~_~_~_~~_~~~~, _~_" __ ~~~ M U B4 H H 00 U B4
• 0l'l)l1lT -----;.;-.S"C1I1JIJO}fBAVV----;; •• I'eITErr- * lRORNes""'---' + TUlUKSAK • FAIRBANKS • GREATER ANCHORAGE
November 16, 1998
I , I I I , i , I
2.22
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
30
25
20 '" u
I c
S ro 15 '" ;:J
~ 0 .r: f-
10
5
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 2.10
!MONTHLY ELECTRICITY SALES I
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 MONTH
[ m KOBUK ~ IGIUGIG I
November 16, 1998 2.23
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
r-~~~~~~~~~J?flettRE 2.11 (parn)'~~~~~~~~~,
IANNUAL KWH SALES (PART 1.)1
I-(f) w S o -' o I-I-(f) W I (9
I ,
~ Z :::l 2 2 o o w o (L
ten~~s~gf:ct~t~~ Nome Jotnl Utility System
Cordova Electric Coopetative. Inc. Kotzebue Electric Associ<ltion
Nakoek ElectricAssociation, Inc.
"". Nushagak Electric Cooperativa, Inc. (DIllingham) Hames light (. Power
Tol< {includes Oot l<lke} Skagmy
Galena, City of Yakutat Power
Klawock
"''' Hoonah Sl Paul Municipal Etectrqic Utility
Unalal;leet ValrKey Electric Cooperative Point Hope Wainwright
San.d Point Electric Company G&K, Inc. (Cord Bay)
MCGfdth light & Power King Cove, 011' of
PeEcan UtffitiyCompany SL Mary's
Thome Bay Puhtic Utility Anaktuvuk Pass
GI'.i!chyaa Zheo UWitles (Fort Yukoo) Aniak light & POWN Company, Inc.
Mountain Village Nuiqsut AAg~
Emmonak Atqasuk
'·N.N Electric Cooperative Nunapitchuk
Togiak Northway Power & Ught
Kaklovilt Hooper Bay
Poinllay Hydaburg Gamben
Tarlan;;. Power Company Gustavus Elel;lric Compaoy
Selawik NooNik CIIe\lak
Klpouk Ughl Plaol Coffrrt<Jn Cove
Shismaref Kiana
Noatak Alakanuk Sa~"OOnga
Stebbins SI. George 1.1uniOpal Electric Utility
Shungnak Pto! Station Quinhagak
Amite! TooksookBay
Nulato Kwethluk, Inc . New Slu,-ahok
KiI.-a!ina Te~er Power Compaoy
Scammon Bay lower Kalskag
Maookolak Power Company Bettles
MarshaH Sl Michael
Kotlik Electric Services Egegik light & PO-Ncr Co .
Koyuk Port Heiden, City of
OUl.inkie, City of E'm
Tunuoak Old Harbor Mekoryuk
Eagle Power Col11par"IY
(pcerep2.wpd)
o
.. ---... ... -.. .. ... .. -.. .. ... I: .. .. .. ..
KWH SOLD
Millions
10 20 30
November 16, 1998 2.24
Power Cost Equalization
\-(f) w 5: o ---.l
~ \-(f) W I (')
I
~ Z ::J :2 :2 o o w o [L
Shaktoolik AkIak Power Utilities
Chignik Electric HolyCross
Kaltag Tuntutuliak Community Ser,i(:e Assn.
Akiachak Native Community Electric CO. Minto
White Mountain UWities Husr.a
Buckland, Oli' 01 Russian Miss!o.n
Napakiak lrcinraq Pow~~~p~~~ E,k
Allakaket Energy Systems (Alalna) Goodnews Bay
Tanarl,lll Electric coop.eratlve. Inc . Nalerkaq Light Plant (Chefornak)
Grayling larsen 8ay Utility Company
o-:omede JOInt Ubli~·es Wales
Atmautluak Joint Ubli!ies levetocll Electric Cooperntlve
!pnatchiaq Ete<;\rlc Company (Deering) Venetie Wlage Electric
Far North UMtities (Cenlr.ll) NapaSkiak Electric Ut·1ity
Brevi{} Mission Puvumaq Po .... ef Company (Koogtgarl3k)
Go!O'M Power Ulrnties Ch~l:.at VaUey
Ky,ig Power Company (Kv.igm,'ngok) TatitJelo; Electric UMly
Ho..1'$ p(:Ot PO;,,1 Village Council
Sheldon Point, City of Tena~ee Springs
Ne:son lagoon Electric Cooper.llive, Inc • N,Mlal light & Power
Anvil!;
Elnn C::We:;cC~%,f; Akutan Electric UtJlty
Mantey U!,h~ly Company Ko~ganek Wl.3ge CounCil
N'ghtmute Power Plant Unqusr<lq Power Company (NcY>1ok)
Chlgn,l; lake Electric UttMy, Inc. Mentasta
TeWn Andreanof Eleclnc COrpol<ltion (Atka)
Orde Ulol1ties ChiMa Electric fnc.
Shageluk Beaver Joint Ut'"ties
Akhiok, Cityol Whale Pass
Crooked Creek Chenega Bay
Takotna Community ASSOciation Stevens V,IIage Eneryy Systems
EkWok Elettric Tuluksak Tr<ldltional Po .... er UUllty
KokhanOk W1age Counca Chislod\ina
~~,~~\~~:;e~I;~~~rit~~~~ S!eeelmule
Hughes Poy .... er & light Chuathbaluk
Igiugig Electric Company Kasaan
Pedro Bay Wlage Couno! Alutiiq Power Company (Karluk)
Red DeVIl Stony River
Koyukuk, Cily of Umnak po-,,',er Company (Nikolski)
Platinum Power Plant Healy lake
Te~da Vl'Jage Ut<lily
(pcerep2.wpd)
o
6 • • • • :: • • • .. .. .. .. • .. .. .. II .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ~ .~ .. .. .. .. ~ .. .. .~
.~
.~ u~
.~ . -,JIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII,,-1= ,-
Economic Significance
!ANNUAL KWH SALES (PART 2.)1
KWH SOLD
Millions
10 20 30
t~_.~_ I j
November 16,1998 2.25
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
CUMULATIVE SHARE OF PCE UTILITY SALES BY UTILITY (PART 1.)
J--(J) ill ..J ..J «: 2: (J)
o J--J--(J) ill (9 0:: 5 ~ z ::> 2: 2: o o ill o ll.
Bethel Ub"lWes Corp Inc. Unalaska Electric Ullloty
Nome Joint Ut?ity System Cordova Electric Cooperative,lnc.
Kotlebue Electric Association Naknek Electric AssoCiatiml,lnc.
Oalg Nushagak Electric Coopcr.ltive,lnc. (Dillingham)
Haines Ugh! & Power Tok (illclu(les Oot lake)
Skagway Galena, City of Yakutat Power
KIaI'.1;lck Kake
Hoonah Sl Paul Mun!cipal ElectrQic Ublity
Unalakleet Valikey Electric COoperative POint Hope Wah .... ngh!
Sand Point Electric Company G&K, Inc. (Cold Bay)
McGratlllighl & Power KIng Cove, City of
Per:ca.n Utllitiy Cornp,HlY SlMary's
Tl10me 6ay Pubr:c UMty Anaktuvuk Pass
G .... itchyaa Zhee Utilities (Fort Yukon) Aniak Ughl & Pow~~~n~~~~~
Nuklsut
"""""" Emmonak Atqasuk
'·N-N Electric Coopera~ve NUrlapitchuk
Togiak Northway Power [. light
Kaktovik Hooper Bay
Point lay Hrdaburg
Gambell T3nana PO'n'erCompany
Gl.lstal'US EleClric COmpany Selav.ik Noorvik Chevak
Kipnuk light Plan! COffman COve
Shisrnaref Ki<lna
Noatak Alakanuk
S'1\'00n9a Stebbins
Sl George Municipa! Electric Utimy Shungnak
Pliot Station Quinhagak
Ambier TooksookBay
Nulato Kwethluk. Inc. NewStuY<lhOk
Kivalina Teller Power Company
Scammon Bay lo· .... er Kalskag
Manokotak Power Company Bettles
Marshall SI. Michael
Kol~k Electric Services Egegik Ught & Power Co.
Koyuk Port Heiden. City of
Ouzinkie. Cityn! Him
Tununak Old Harbor Mekoryuk
Eagle Power COmpany
(pcerep2.wpd)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
November 16, 1998 2.26
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
,------------FlretfRi~. -2,-(lTITTTfI-----------------,
I-If! W --' --' <{ 2 If! o I-I-If! W (9 0:: ::5
~ Z ::::J 2 2 o o w o (L
CUMULATIVE SHARE OF PCE UTILITY SALES BY UTILITY (PART 2.)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
ShilklOOt.l(.liiiiiiii~ii~iiiiiiiiiiiiii~iiiiii~ AkIak Power Utilities Chignik Eleclric
HolyCross K3lLag
T untu\urt<!k Community Service Assn. Akiachak Native Community Electric CO.
Minto \lJhite Mountalrl Utilities
Husr.a Bucld3nd, City of Russ;an MissiOn
Ruby. City of Napakiak lrcinraq Power Comp<lflY E,' Allakaket Energy Systems (Alatna)
Goodnelo\-"S Bay Tanahan Electric cooperative, Inc. Naterkaq Ught Plant (Chefornak)
Grayr.ng larsen Bay U!ility Company
o;omede Jolnl Utilities Wates
AlmautluakJoint U~ties levetock Electric Cooperative
tpnalchiaQ Eleclilc Company (Deering) Venetie Village Electric
Far North Utilitities (Centra!) Napaskiak Electrlc Utlfity
Brevig MiSsion Puvumaq Power COmpa fly (Koog,ganak)
Golovin Power l/'J1ities Chi!l<.at VaHey
K .... 'ig Power Company (Kwigtll<ogok) TaUt/ek Electric UtiT:ty
Hollis P,~OI Po;nl V~lage CounCil
Sheldon Point, Oty of Tenakee Springs
Nikolai light (. Po-'<"er Anvik
Penyville, City of Elf,n COve Electric Ut,/,ty
Akutan Electrk U\11,ly Manley Util"itity COmpany KO~'\lanek Village Council
Nightmute Power Plant Unqusraq Power COmpany (Ne"lo~)
ChignL" laka Electric Uu1,ty. Inc. Mentasta
TelflO Andreanol Electric Corporatioll (Atka)
Circla Ut>llties Chitina Electric Inc.
Shageluk Beaver Joint Utilities
Akhiok. Cily of Whale Pass
Crooked Cleek Chenega Bay
Ta~o!na Communi!)' Association Stevens Village Energy Systems
Ekwok Electric Tululsak Traditional Power Utility
KokhanOk WLlga Council Chlstochlna
Kotluk Valley Elecllic COmpany False Pass Electric Association
Sleeetrnulo Hughes PO-Net & Ught
Chuathbaluk Igiugig EleclricCompany
Kasaan Pedro 8ayVillage CounDl
A1uttiq PO'<"ef COmpany (Karluk) Red Oevil
Stony RiVer Koyukuk, City of
Unmak PO"...ar COmpany (NMlsf;l) Platinum Power Ptanl
Heatylake TeMa Vdlage Utility
100%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.27
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
PCE COMMUNITIES RESIDENTIAL SHARE OF SALES (PART 1.)
I-(f) W I (9
I o I-I-(f) w 5: o ..J
~ Z ::; :2' :2' o o w o (L
0%
Bettles G('Ilena, City of
G&K. [nc. (COld Bay) Unalaska Electric utility
P2~~~;~~ Naknek electric Association, Inc.
Sheldon Poinl, Clly of Tanana ~~[u~ra~~
CraIg
~~~aU~~t~rOf~~~~ Cordova Electric ~ooperative. Inc.
WaInwright Yakutat Power
Red Devi! Mentasta
Slevens Village Energy Systems SKagway
Venetie Vi!lars1~~e~~~ Telida Village ~ti!ity
Igiugig Eleclfic Company Hughes Power & liQhl
51. George Municipal Electric UtlT,Iy Kaktovik
Platinum pow~,u~~~~i Egi~m:~~~~~tt:~~nOy
Belhel UltMieSs9.0lPa'rVCs McGrath Ught 8. Power
Far North UtilWtles {Central) Kobuk Valley Electric Company'
Koyukuk, Clly of Chignik Electric
Nome Joint Utility System ToK (includes Dollak.e)
51. Paul MuniCIpal Eleclrqic Utility Akiak Power Ut,lities
Brevig Mission Diomede Joint U~1Ities
Point Hope Nushagak. Electric Coooerative,_ Inc. fOFlfingha.ml
Gwilchy:<!a Zhee Ullh~es (Fort Yukon Kotzebue Electric Associallon
Beaver Joint Utilities Stebbins
Nikolai Ught & Power Gambe!!
Healy lake Tilkotna Community Association
Noatak Chevak.
Port Heiden, City of larsen Bay Ut'h~ Com~any
\°'Mva\rne~ Ipnatchiaq Electric Company (Deering)
Ambler Umnak Power Company (N,kolski)
Mekoryuk
levelock Etectn~~~~kPe~~fiv~ SI. Mich<!et ""k,
Thorne Bay Pubftc Uli1itX Ruby, City or
Akutan Electnc Ufolity Klawock
sav~~\~~ Anvik
Tununak Chitina Electric Inc •
.8;~~'g~~ Allakaket Energy Syslems (Nama)
Nulato Elfin Cove Electric Utility
Golovin Power Utilities Unalakleet Vallkey Electric Cooperative
A!ul~q Power Company (Karluk) ~Vhite Mountain UI,\,ties
Klfl!1 Cove, City of" Manley Ut'.j!ily coro;~
(pcerep2.wpd)
25% 50% 75% 100%
November 16, 1998 2.28
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
,-------------------FIGURE~2~.1~3~(TIpaml~t~2)~------------------~
f(f) W I (?
I o ff(f) w 5: o -'
~ Z ~ 2: 2: o o w o (L
PCE COMMUNITIES RESIDENTIAL SHARE OF SALES (PART 2.)
0%
Haines Ught & Power Aniak light & Power Company. Inc,
Russian Mission Kaltag
Sleeetmule SelaWiK
U8fri{t~:~~~ Sand Point Electric c~~~~
Kasigluk Chenega Bar.
Emmona;.; Marshall
Kwethluk, Inc. Ouzinkie, City of Mounta:n Vitlage
Crooked Creek Tanalian Electric cooperative, Inc.
Manokolak Power Company Andreano! ElectriC Corporation (Atka)
Whale Pass Perryville, City of
Kiana Hooper Bay
I-N·N Electric Cooperative Pitkas Point
Wales Ellm
Nunapitchuk Shakloolik
Hus~a Tooksook Bay
Eagle Power Company Shageluk
Chuathbaluk Noorvl); Togiak
Tuntutuliak Community Service Assn, Pedro Bay Village Council
Goodnews Bay False P<lSS Electric Association
Holy Cross Sh!smaref
Quinhagak Coffman Cove
Pilol Station Old Harbor
Atmautluak Joint Ut,lilies N,ghtmule Power Plant
New Stuyahok Scammon Bay
Tatitlek Electric Ut~lly
Ki!e~~~~~g~~~~~ E,k
Chistochina Pilol Point Village Council
Buckland, City of Hydaburg
Kokhanok Village CounCIl Minto
Napakiak Ircinraq Power Company Angoon
Gustavus Electric Company Hollis
Akiachak Native Community Electric Co. Kotlik Electric Services
lower Kalskag Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative. Inc. Puvufnaq Power Company {Kongiganak)
Unqusraq Power Company (Newtok) Napaskiak Electric Utility
Koliganek Village CounCIl Chignik lake Electric Utirily, Inc.
Naterkaq Ught Plan! (Chefornak) Kwig Power Company (K ..... ig:lIingok)
EkwOk Electric Kasaan
Chilkat Vatley Tuluksak Traditional Power Utltity
20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 2.29
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
3. POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM EFFECTS
In FY 1996 $19,201,515 was disbursed under the Power eost Equalization Program (peE) to the 96 electric utilities serving 190 small rural Alaska communities. The amount received by each utility varied greatly, dependent upon a large number of factors including the level of sales of the utility and the cost of generation. Bethel Utilities received the largest distribution of $813,312 while the smallest went to Telida Village Utility, $5,467 (Figure 3.1).
The typical or median community disbursement (defined as the one for which half the communities served received larger and half received smaller amounts) was $71,363. The largest utilities received a large portion of the total disbursements. 15 ntilities received one-third of the total amount disbursed.
The disbursement to the ntility in the median community in 1996 was $1,059 per residential customer (Figure 3.2). This is the total disbursement to the utility in the community divided by the number of residential customers, but it exceeds the amount used to offset residential electricity costs by the portion of the peE disbursement that was nsed to offset the costs of providing electricity to commercial and community facility customers. The annual disbursement ranged from a low of$63 per household for the Pelican Utility to a high of$2,733 for the Telida Village Utility.
The size ofthe payment depended upon the share of total utility sales that were eligible for the peE disbursement. Eligible sales consist of portions of residential, community, and commercial sales, but exclude sales to government and any other entities (negligible). Residential and commercial sales are eligible up to 700 per month per customer so almost all residential sales are eligible and as well as a share of commercial sales determined by the average size of commercial customers. For large commercial customers such as the schools (included in the commercial class for purposes of peE rather than in the government class which consists of state and federal customers) only a portion of monthly sales are eligible in most places because of their large monthly use. Most sales to comIllunity facilities are also eligible since they are eligible up to 70 kwh per month per person in the community.
The share of sales eligible for peE is 57 percent for the typical utility and ranges from a low of II percent to a high of95 percent (Figure 3.3). Generally the utilities in communities with larger amounts of commercial activity, or state and federal government offices, have lower eligibility percentages.
The disbursement per eligible kwh for the typical utility was $.22 in 1996 (Figure 3.4). This was the amount actually paid rather than the higher amount requested by the utility based on their reported costs. The difference between the amount requested and the amount actually paid was the combined result of slight under funding of the program and the disallowal of some utility costs used in the fommla to estimate the disbursement per kwh. The disbursement ranged from a
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.1
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
low of$.02 per eligible kwh for Pelican to a high of$.40 in Sleetemute, Stony River, Red Devil, Crooked Creek, and Chuathbaluk.
The financial dependence of each PCE utility on PCE disbursements is measured by the share of total utility revenues contributed by the disbursement (Figure 3.5). The typical utility received 31 percent of its revenues from the PCE disbursement. The range of financial dependence using this measure was from a low of 5 percent for the city of Galena to a high of 60 percent for Akutan.
Most of the PCE eligible kwh sales go to households (Figure 3.6). For the typical utility 67 percent ofPCE eligible sales are residential sales. The range is from a low of33 percent for Telida to a high of 94 percent for Buckland. Furthennore the share of residential sales that is PCE eligible is 90 percent for the typical utility, ranging fi'om a high of 100 percent in several smaller communities to a low of 40 percent in Tatitlek (Figure 3.7).
The disbursement for each eligible residential kwh sold was $.22 for the typical utility ranging from a low of $.02 in Pelican to a high of $.41 in Crooked Creek, Stony River, Red Devil, Chuathbaluk, and Manley (Figure 3.8). The result of this disbursement was to reduce the residential rate on eligible kwh for the typical PCE utility from $.41 down to $.17. The rate adjustment varied by utility (Figure 3.9). The lowest average residential costs per kwh reported after the PCE adjustment were close to the $.095 floor established for the PCE program, but nearly half of all communities continued to report average costs for residential kwh of over $.20 after the adjustment, and several had average costs in excess of $.30.
As a result of the PCE disbursements and residential rate adjustments, annual average residential electricity sales were higher than they othenvise would have been (Figure 3.10). The average residential customer ofthe typical PCE utility had annual purchases of3,921 kwh. The range among the utilities was from a high of 10,20 I in Cold Bay down to a low of 644 for Koyukuk.
Because of the PCE disbursements the monthly residential bill was lower than it otherwise would have been for the level of bvh purchased by the average household (Figure 3.11). With the PCE adjustment the average monthly residential bill for the typical PCE utility was $66. The average monthly residential bill for the typical PCE utility in the absence ofthe PCE adjustment, for the same number of kwh, would have been $121. The range of typical monthly residential bills for the PCE utilities was from a low of $16 for Beaver to a high of $236 for Cold Bay.
Monthly bills would be much higher at urban consumption rates. If average monthly residential consumption were 635 kwh (the average for Chugach Electric Association in Anchorage) the typical residential customer bill for the median PCE community would be $125 rather than $66. Furthennore if that typical customer were paying the full published rate that covered all costs, and were consuming 635 bvh, his monthly bill would have been $264 (Figure 3.12). This monthly bill, representing an urban level of consumption combined with a rural cost of electricity, ranges from a low of $95 to a high of $635 per month. In contrast the monthly bill
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16,1998 3.2
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
for the average residential Chugach Electric Association customer was $61.
The resulting annual PCE disbursement for the average residential customer in the typical PCE utility was $696 (Figure 3.13). The range was from a low of $41 per residential customer in Pelican to a high of $1,725 in Chignik Lake. The PCE disbursement for the average community facility customer in the typical PCE community was $1,892. The PCE disbursement for the average commercial customer was $804. As one would expect there was considerable variation in these amounts by utility.
Most ofthe PCE disbursement directly benefits residential customers and community facilities. For the typical utility 87 percent ofPCE eligible kwh were paid to those two types of customers (Figure 3.14). The range was from a low of33 percent for Telida to a high of99 percent for Pitkas Point.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.3
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 3.1 (!Tart 1)
IPeE DISBURSEMENT BY UTILITY (PART 1·)1
Thousands
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800
Bethel UWities Corp Inc. COfdova EleclriC Cooperative, Inc.
Nushagak Electric Cooperative, Inc. (O'ffiogham) Kotzebue Electric Association
Hoonah Nome JOint Utility System
Sand Po,nt Electric Company CraIg
Gustavus Elect~ ~~~
Naknek Electric AsSOciation, Inc. Kake
'·N·N Electric Cooperative Emmonak
McGrath Ught to Power Tok [Includes Dol lake)
MOlinlain VIllage Aniak Ught &. POWN Comp<lny, Inc.
StMary's Noo.vilt Togiak
HaInes Ught & Power Unalaska Er~eV~:~~
r- Angoon
if) HeaperSa\,
W Noatak
Shtsmaref
S KIana Gambe~
0 Ambler
--' Un{ltalJeet Vallkey Electric Cooperative
0 G .... itchyaa Zllcc UI-Mies (Fort Yukon)
Nutato
r- Quinhagak Chevak
r- Tool;sook Bay if) Savoonga
W p,'ot Station
Yakutat PONer I Shungnak (!) Old Hartxlt
Alakanuk
I Kipnuk light Planl , New Stuyahok , Nunapitchuk
>- Stebbins
!::: Kasigluk I.larsha~
Z Sk,;3gway
~ 51. Pilui MuniCipal Eleclrqic Ul,llIy
Scammon Bay 2' NapalJak Ircinl'<lq Po-... ·er Company
2' Ktvafina Eagle Power Company
0 HolyCross
0 Galena, Ci~;~~
W Tetler Power Companl' AJ-Jachal\ Native Community Electric Co.
0 Minto
0.. Sl Michael Koyuk
Kotl.k Electnc Servlces Tununak
Shakloof.!<. Kaltag
lower Kalskag Husr<a
TaMfla PONerCompany N'orthway Po· .... er & light
Kwethluk, Inc. Grayling
Mekoryuk Chign<k.lako Electric Utility. Inc.
Eok K .... ig Power com~nl~~~i,~~~O:~
W.'lles Coffman Cove
King Cove. City of G&K, tnc. {Cold Bay} -AJ!a~a~et Energy Systems (Alalna:) -Tunluluvak Community Sej"l,';ce AssrI . .........
I Unqusr.!Q Power Company {Ne+tlok) -ManleyU!tlitil\,Company -I I
I
L (pccrep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.4
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
,-----------FIGURE 3.1 (part-.;fr----------------.
IPeE DISBURSEMENT BY UTILITY (PART 2.)1
Thousands
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800
$1. Gwge Municipal Electric UMty Thome Bay Public Utility -OUtinkle, City of -Mano~olak Power Comp<lny -HytlatJurg -Ruby, City of
Puvumaq Po-,,"'er Comp<lny (Kong19anak) Far North UMititios (Central)
Russian Missloo Koliganek Village Counca
!pna!chlaq Elecltlc Company (Oeering) \Vhite Mountain Utir.ties
Diomede JOint UtllitTes Egegik light & PO' .... erCQ.
levelock Electric Coope/CIWe Upper Kalskag
Napaskiak Electric Ut>~t:r' Brev~ Mission
Poml Hope Crooked Creek
ShagebJk Nikolai Ugh! & PO"Ner
Ko~-hanok V,:lage Councij
I- BeWes Chilkat Valley
(j) Nelson lagoon €Jeclric Cooper.l~ve, Inc. W AtmauUuak Jllinl Utilities
S Circle Utr~ties larsen Bay Utility Compafly
0 Gotovlo Poy>-cr UMlies
---' Tenakee SpJings AmiX
0 Wauwmght
I- Natel1<aq li{lht Plant {Chefornak} Chuathbaluk
I- P,tk<lS PO:nt (j) Chignik Electric
W Beaver Jotnt UhliGes
Kobuk Valley Electric Company I Tananan Electric coopeldGve, Inc. I
I (') Sleeetmute I
Nuiqsut
I I Akutan Electric UI",!y , AAal..tuvuk P .. ss , , Takotna Community Assod .. Gon - I
I
>- P,"(}t Po;;,t Vi~age Coono1 - I
!:: Pedlo Bay ViUage O,!uncTI - I Sheldon Point. Cory of ... I
z VeneGe ViUage Electric - I ~ Alqasuk -2: !(;akle.,).; ...
Bucl.tand. Cily of -2: Ch[s!ochina -I
Elflll CQve Electric Utilily -0 Nightmute Po-,o;er Plant ..... 0 Tell;" ...
ChiMa Electric tnc. -W Stony River -0 EI..""o)o; Electric ... Aldak Po,.,er U!~i!ies "" (L Hughes Po,o;er & light "'" Andreano! Electric CorpOIdWn (All<a) ...
tgiugig Electric Company .... Point lay ....
False Pass Electric AsSOO<llion ... Red DevJ ...
Kas.aan 1ft Alut;;q Power Company (Karluk) ..
Mentasta ... Stevens V~lJge Enelgy Systems ...
Umllak Power Compafly {N,koiSki) In INhale Pass ..
Ho':is '" Tutuksak Tlddi!ionat Power Utir.ry .. Ta~~ek Elf .. 'Ctric U:;oJly ..
Healy lake .. Chenega Bay ..
Port Helden, Colyof " Al;htok, Oty 01 .. Pef:cafl UGhtiy Comp,my ..
Pell)'\'i!le, C;I~' of ~~
KO\'1.lkuk. Cow of .-Platinum Po ... w Plant 1-TeMa Wlage UI;:;'y [-
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.5
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
r-----------][i'ffffiItE-3.2 (pal t 1)----------,
fif) w I (')
I o ffif) w S o -l , >t: z ~ 2' 2' o o w o (L
PCE PAYMENT DIVIDED BY RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMERS (PART 1.)
so
Per>Can u~"tiy COmpany Koyukuk, City of
Port Heiden, City of Tuluksak Traditional Power Utility
Skagway Nome Joint Utili!;, System
Platinum P& ... -erPtanl
Haines Light & Power !~~~~ Holrl$ PeO)V\lle, Cityof
Akiak Power UWities Thome Bay PubS, Ub!ity
SuclUand, CIty of Po,n! Hope
Akhiok. Cityof Tatitlek Electtlc Utlfity
Wa1n;o,Tight Kaklovilo;
King Cove, Ory of Nuiqsut
porntlay Chenega 8ay
Arlaktuwk Pass EkY.X1k Electric
Stevens Village Energy Systems Hydaburg
Bethel Utilities O:IIP tne. Venetie Vaage Electric
Tok (indudes Dot lake) Namek Electric AssOCiation, Inc.
Unalaska Electric U~lity Yakutat Power
Atqasuk ~rena. Oly of
Nushagak Electric Cooperative, rne, (DIllingham) ern. Chigwk Electric
Ten<lkee Spfings Chi!\<;al Vaffey
Kotzebue ereclliC Assodab'on Nate~aq Ught Plan! {Ct1efomak)
Kwethluk,lnc. Beaver Joint Ut,hties
Gwitchyaa Zhee Utilities (fort Yukon) l~apas1<jak Electri<: Uti:;ty
Manokotak Power Company Tetfin
t,lentasta UnalaUeel Vallkej' Electric Cooperative
T3nar,an Electric cO(lperative, tnc. Ruby. City of
PI:ol Point Vi!tage COll<lOl Nightmule PO' .... er Plarli
CoffrTl<ln Cove Aki3chak Native Commun1\y Electric Co.
Cordova Electric Cooperative, tnc. Sheldon Point, City of
False Pass ElectriC Association SI. Paul Municipal Ete(:lrq,c Utiflly
Whale Pass Kott,k Electric SelVices
Northway Power & light Akutan ElectriC Uta,ty
Tanana Power Company Chitina Electric Inc.
Andreano! Eleclri<: Corporation (Atka) Eaglo Power Company
Atmautluak Jo'nl Uhlities Elfin Cove Electric Uti1jty \Vhile MountaIn Utd,ties
Far North Ut"'~ties (Central) Egegil\ Ught [. Po-.... er Co.
KaS<.lan Ouzinkie. City of
PuvumaQ Power Company(Kongiganak} . Hooper Bay
$500 Sl.000
E,k Koliganek Viltage Counol
Tuntutu~ak Community Service Assn'l~~~~~~~~~§~~~L Allakaket Energy Systems (AJatna) Go!ovin Power UtHities
Alakanuk KlaWOCk
Manley Ut<itlty Company
Sl.500 $2.000 $2.500
~----------'J (JlcereJl2.WJlrl) November 16, 1998 3.6
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I-if) W I (9
I
o I-I-if) w 5: o -' ,
~ Z ::J 2' 2' o o w o (L
PCE PAYMENT DIVIDED BY RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMERS (PART 2.)
so S500 SI,OOO S1,500 52,000 S2,500
Manley UUfitity ~~k
Kipnuk light Plant
Takotll3 Commun<tyAssociation ~;;;;;;;;;;;;;;; Chistochina ! GOodne~e~k Brevi\) MiSsion
Kwig POV,-ef Compafly ~i'tlt~o'l~l Anvik. Huslia
larsen Bay WOoly Company Stebbins
Savoonga Quinhagak
Pedro Bay Village Counc~ Sleeetmute
Urnna;; Power Company /Nil;olskl) Kobuk Va~ey Electric Company
Russ;an Mission Hughes Power & Ughl
l!~~1fa1~~~ NewStll}-ahok
Angoon SI. Michael
Tununak ScamffiO(l Bay
Heal/Lake
Nelson lagoon ElectriC Cooperativ~'~; Kokhanok V~l<!ge Coune,\
Kasigluk PdotSlation
Se!a .... ik Old Harbof
KOike Sano Point Electric COmpany
Shisrnalef Kallag
Upper Kalsk3g Gusla.'tlS Electri;:: Company
Igiugig Electric COmpany 51. George MuniCIpal Electric Utility
levelock Electric Cooperative N,kOlalllght & PoYNer
Hoonah Koyuk
Diomede Joint U!i11ties Chuathbaluk
Teaer Power ~~~~YE
Napa!UaJ.; Irc,'nraq P(M'er d;;~~~;., 1.I'nlo
Wales Unqusraq Po',o.'er Company (Ne-,o.1ok)
El,m Sl Mary's
H;~a&~~~ TooJ.;sookBay
Mountain V.uage Nulato
Circle Utilities I·N·N Electric Coo~~:~~
A!utoiq Power CQmpany (Karluk) \pnalch'aQ Electric Company (Deering)
Emmonak. Aniak Ught e. PowerCompaoy, Inc.
SlonyRiver Kiana
McGr.>th light & P(M'er Kr-"iltina
Shaktootk Crooked Creek
Noorvik G&K, Inc. (Cold Bay)
Ambler Chignik lake Electric Uti5tY,/nc.
Noatak Shungnak
Bettles Red Dew
Ter,da Village Utility
I
J (pcerep2,wpd) November 16, 1998 3.7
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
IPeE ELIGIBLE SHARE OF SALES (PART 1·)1
f(f) W I CJ I
o ff(f) w 5 o -'
~ Z :::l 2: 2: o o w o (L
G&K, Inc. (Cold Bay) Gatena. City of
Unalaska Electric Utllily BetUcs
Poinllay Anaktuvuk Pass
PeEcan U~1itiy Company Atqasuk
Port Heiden, Cfty of Wainwright
Naknek Eleclric As$oc1a~on. tnc. Yakutat Pc". .. ef
POint Hope NuIQsut
Kaktovik Bethel Uti:itics CO!p Inc.
ernlg Tatitlek Electric Utility
KOl2ebue Electric MSoCiatioo Northway Power 2. Ught
Nome Jolnt UtiMy System Tol: [Illdudes Oolla~e)
Skal}V>'3y Cordova Elettrlc Cooperative, Inc.
Akiak Power Utilities Tanana Per'>""r Company
PeIlYI/me, CIty of Nushagak Electric Cooperativo, Inc. {Dillingham)
Sl Paul Munh;ipal E/ecuqlc U~lity Te!ter PO)'I.-er Company
Platinum Power Plant SL George MuniCipal Electric UMty
UnalalJeet Valikey Electric Cooperative Shungnak
KlaWOCk
"", King Cove, Oty of I>.lcGrath light & Power
E9C9ik ligh! & Power Co. Kasigluk
Tulul.sak Trad,tional Pov.'er Ulllity StMary'S
Andreanof Electric COrpor.ltion (Atka) RUSSl,afl Mission
Aniak Ugh! to Power Company, InC. Haines light & Power
Kivalina Tana:lan Electric COOpcr.:llive, Inc.
Alakanuk Chenega Bay
Venetie V,:lage Electric GamoeU Chevak
Sheldon PO:nt. aty or G .... itch,<la Zhee Util,ties (Fort Yukon)
Koyukuk, aly or Stehbins
Red Del'll Chignik Electric
Diomede Joint u~mies Mekoryuk
Nightmute Power Plant Coffman Cove
Stevens V,:!age Energy Systems Mountain V{.Iage
White Mountain U~")jties Sleeetmute
Thorne Bay PlIh~c Ul,loty sucJ..1and, Coly or
Bre..;g Mission Mentasta
Hooper Say P,lot Point Village Council
Kwethluk,lnc. larsen Bay UW,!y Company
Tuntutuliak CommuMy Service Assn. Upper Katskag
Savoonga Togiak
lpnatchiaq Electric Comp;1ny (Deering) Manokotak Po ... er Comp;1ny
Hoonah Tethn
Beaver JOint Utilities
(pcerep2.wpd)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
November 16,1998 3.8
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
r------------F:I:etffl:l1<;-:3.3 (pal t 2+----------,
f-(f) W I (9
I
~ f-(f) W S o ..J I
>t::: z => 2: 2: o o w o 0..
IPeE ELIGIBLE SHARE OF SALES (PART 2.)1
Beaver JOint Utilities Ambler
\\'hale Pass SL Michael
Koyo1o; New Stuyah01o;
Pitkas Point I·N·N Electric COoperative
Selawi1o; Noata1o;
Golovin Power Ublities
0% 20% 40% 60%
Scammon Bay An., Kiana
Stony River Tununa1o;
Igiug;g E1C(:tric Company levetock EIC(:lric Cooperative
pact Station Nunapltchuk
Alutiiq PONer Cornpany {l<arluk) illlllllllllllllllllll~ Atmautluak JOint U~lities
Shaktoolik Allakaket Energy Systems (Alalna)
Shismarel HUSrid
Angoon Far North Utilitities (Central)
"orr" Eagle Power Company Took5ook Bay
Quinhagak NelSon lagoon Electric Cooperative, Inc.
E,k Manley U:ilitity Company
Ouzinkie, aty or Hydaburg
Wales Noorvik
Emmonak Crooked Creek
Sand Point ElectriC Company Akhiok, City of
Goodnews Bay Aldachak Native Community Electric Co.
Kipnuk Ught Plant Marsha!!
Ertm Nuiato
N'kolai Ught & Power Kaltag
Hughes Power & Ught Chu<lthbaluk
Napasl;iak Electric Utility Kobuk Valley ElectriC Company
Rub~Dtyor I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~! HolyCross
T<lkotna Community Association Nap<lk;a~ Ircinraq Power Company
Ch~kat Valley Akutan Electric Utinty
Kot/i1o; Electric Services PUl'Umaq PONer CompanJ' (Koogiganak)
Umnak Power CompanJ' (Ni~o1skl) Gra)'ling
Chistocllina Gustavus Electric Company
Hea~lake Etfin Cove Electric Utility
Old Harbor False Pass Electric Associatioo
Circle U:,Mies Kotigane:.; \li!lage Counc<l
Chitina Electric Inc. Nalerkaq ligllt Plaot (Chefornak)
Shagelu1o; Tenakee Springs
Minto UnqusraQ Po ..... er CompaflY (Nc-NlOk)
Kokhaflok Wlage Council Lower Kalskag
Kasaan TeEda Village U\J"lity
Pedro Bay ViUage Council K .... .;g Power Company (Kwig"~ngok)
Chignik laJ..e Elecllic UtlEty,lnc. E!.-wok E1C(:triC
80% 100%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.9
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
IPeE PAYMENT PER ELIGIBLE KWH (PART 1.)/
f-(fJ W I (9
I o f-f-(fJ w 5: o --' ,
~ Z ::J ::;: ::;: o o w o (L
Pelican Utifltly Company Skagway
H<lifles LIght 8. PU ... -ef Unalaska Electric U~~tj
Nome Joint Utffity System Thome Say Public Uhllty
Point Hope Wainwrfghl
Kaklovi'k King Cove, City of
Nuiqsut 0.. Atqasuk
H1'{jaburg HoIlls
POint lay Anaktuvuk Pass
Naknek Electric Association, !nc. Yakutat Power Akhiok, City O'f
Port Heiden, Cily O'f Kotzebue Electric Association
Nushagak Electric Cooperative, Inc. (o,inngham) SI. Paul Municipal Elecuqlc Utility
Tok {includes Dol Lake) Bethel Utilities Corp Inc.
Perryville, City of Cordova ElectriC Coopeta~ve, Inc.
Galena, City of Buckland, City of
Akiak Power UW,ties Chenega Say
Una!aHeet Valikey Electric Cooper-Hive ElM Cove Electric UMty
"''hale Pass Nalerkaq light Pl;!nl (Ctlelomak)
CoffJTl.ln GolfO ChignIk Electri<;
Tali:lek Eh~ctri<; U~"lity Ekv.'Ok Electric
Chitina Electric Inc. Koyukuk, City of
Venetie V,l!.:lge Electrtc ';\entasta
ManOkOtak Power Company Akutan ElectIic Utility
Northway PO",.,'er & Ught KipnlJk light Plant Ou~inkie, aty of
G"",tchj"<la Zhee UI,lilies (Fort YuI..OI'l) False Pass Electric Association
T;3naoan Electric coopel<itive, Inc. P,tOt Pj);nt v.~ge Council
Tuluksak Tt;:!di('onal Po,,~r UI,My Sheldoll Polnl, CIty of
SI. George Muniop;31 Electlic UtlMy Tanana Power Company
RlJby, City of Stevens I/i!!;Jge Eneryy Systems
Tenakee Springs Kwethluk, tnc,
Sand Polnt Electric Company K __
Kake Hoonah Kasaan
Chilltal Valley Angoon
Tetlin KOthk Electric Services
Napaskiak Electric VI"'ty Nightmute Power Plant
Egegik light (. Power Co.
o 10 20
Chistochina AtmauHuak Jo,nt Utifi~es
Andleanof Electric Corporaltoll (Atka)
Puvumaq p,y .... erCompany (Kong
1
ganak) I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~l \'./hite Mountairl Ulittties larsen Bay UlIlityCompany
Golovin Power l}t,Mies Takotna Community Association
I.iinlo Kaltag
Kwig PO''''er Company (K .... ,S,rtflgok)
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
30 40
3.10
Power Cost Eqnalization Economic Significance
.------------------FJfG~U~RE~3~.4iv.rr~~'------------------~
IPeE PAYMENT PER ELIGIBLE KWH (PART 2.)/
L
f(f) W I CCJ I o ff(f) w 5 o ---'
~ Z :J :2 :2 o o w o (L
Kwlg Power Company (Kl'rignJingok) levelock Electric COOperative
T\lfltutuliak Community Service Assn. McGtalh light & Power Hughes Pov.'t:( & light
G&K, Inc. (Cold Bay) Far North Utilitities (Central)
N<kotallighl & Power Grayling
Urnnak Po· ... -er Company (JI.'ikoiskl) MarsllaU
Allakaket Energy Systems (Alalna) Nulato
SLMict1ael Nelson lagoon £tecLrlc COOpef1lwe, Inc.
New Stuyahok Toglc!k
Stebbins GOodnews Bay
Elim P~ot Statioo
SL Mary's Pitk.as Poinl
EmmonaJ.; Mekoryuk Tununak
Shaktoollk A1aJo:anuk
Koyuk Scammon 8ay
Pedro 8ayVillage Council Quinhagak HoliCross
Chevak Gam!.>e~
Hooper8ay TooksookSay
Russian Mission Platinum PO' ... ~r Plant
E<k Okl Harbor
AA"' Ipnalch;aq Electn'c Compa Ily {Deeringl An'ak light & Power Comparly.ln(;.
Mounlatn Village Wales
Lower Kalsl;ag Brevig Mission
Savoonga D:omede Joint UllF1ties
KasigluJ.; HusfI;J
Nunapitchuk Orde Ullli~·<!s
Upper Kalskag Igiugig El<!ctric Company
Akiachak Nati"e Community Electric Co. Shageluk Shlsrnaref
Kiana KoFganek Village CounClt
Eagle Power Company Kiv.3.~na
Atut"q Power Company {Karluk} Te~da Wlage Ullf:ty
Setav .. ik Noorvik
Kobuk Valley Electric Company Beaver Joint Ul<lities
!·N·N Electric Coope~tive UnqusraQ Power Company {Ne;o.10k}
Noat.3k Napakiak trcinraQ PONer Company
Shungnak Ambler
Ko~.hanok Village CounCil Betues
Gustavus Electric Company Teller PO>'ler Company
Chignik la~e Electric UtUily. Inc. Heatylake
Mantey U:.:itity Company Steeetmute Stony River
Red Dew Croo~ed Creek
ChuathbatuJ.;
(pcerep2.wpd)
o 10 20 30 40
November 16, 1998 3.11
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
SHARE OF UTILITY REVENUES FROM peE DISBURSEMENT (PART 1.)
Iif) W I C9 I o l-
t/) W S o -.J ,
~ Z =:> :2 :2 o o w o 0..
0%
Galena, City of Port Helden, City of
G&K, Inc. (OM Bay) Nome Jolnt Utillty System
Sl Paul MUnicipal Elecllqlc U~llty Yakutat Power
Naknek Electric AssOCia~on. fnc Wa!flwright
Point lay Tatit!ek EleclIk: U~1ity Al<.iak POI'I"{!( Utilities
Anakluwk Pass Atqasuk
Point Hope Thome Bay Pu!)!ic Utility
Kaktovik Perryvi11e, City of
Koll.ebue EleGlric Association Nuiqsut
TOk (includes Dot lake) A!<h;ok, City of
Bettles Nushagak Electric Cooperative, Inc. (O:'lingham)
Tanana PO' .... cr Company Ste~ens V'b'lage Energy Systems
Egegik light & PO"""er Co. Northway Power & light
I\'urlapitchuk Unalal<!ect Valtkey Electric CQoperatlve
Chenega Bay Bucldand,Otyof
K~lhruk, Inc. Platinum Power Plant
Tutuksak T!'3d,tionat PO"''C( Utll'ity SI. George Municipal Elecllic U~lity
White Mountain U\dities Kalle
Ruby, Olyof ChigniT< Electric
I.lanokotak Po-.· .. er Company Tanahan Electric cooperative, Inc.
H,.daburg Andreanof Electric Corpol'a!iOfl (Atka)
Te~er Po',.,-er Company Atmautluak J6nt Utilities
G"itchy;.a lhee Utilities (fort YU~Orl) HOllis
Venetie Vill<lge Electric T untutu~,ak Communi~{ SelVite Assn.
Mentasta Shur.gr.ak
McGrath Ught & Po-wet 19rugig Etectric Company
Koyukuk, ety of P~ot Po!r.t Viltage Counol
Gambell False Pass Electric Assod<l!ion
Sheldon POint, City of Ania\.; Ughl & Power Company, tnc.
SL Mary's Russ;a.n Misston
Mekoryuk Alakanuk
Hoonah Natert.aq light Pl.ant (Cheroma~)
Stebbins Kivar.na
Mountain Wlage levelock Electric Coop<!rative
Napaskiak Electric Utility Hoop<!rBay
Chevak ChWna Electric Inc.
lower Kalskag
(pcerep2.wpd)
20% 40% 60%
I I I I I
November 16, 1998 3.12
•
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
r------------I'lGURE-J~:Part 2)
SHARE OF UTILITY REVENUES FROM peE DISBURSEMENT (PART 2.)
I-(/) W I o I o I-I-(/) w 5: o -'
~ Z :::J :2' :2' o o w o 0..
, ,
,
Diomede JOint UtQties Telic/a VIllage U~My
Nightmute Power Plan Savoonga
Hughes Power & Ugh Red Devil
Bre'lig M,$S;on Togiak
Golovin Power Ut<lities Angoon
Takotna Community AssoCiation N",ko!<li light & PO-Net
Sleeetmule Sl Michae
NewStuy;;hok Far North Utlliti~es (Central)
Koyuk Scammon Say
Kiana Elfin Cove Electric Ut<l1ty
Shaktoo1ik PlotSlatmn
Anv"" Tununak
Tetlin AmOler
Selawik Ipnatchiaq Electric Comp;lrly (Deering)
Nelson lagoon Etec.:tric Cooperative. Inc. Emmonak
Pedro 8ayVJlage CourlC~ Akiachak Nawe Community Ell':ctric Co.
ShisfTl3ref 1001o.sool; Bay
Allakaket Energy Systems (Aratna) Wales
Quinhagak Eek
Stony Rivet I·N·N Electric Coopel<ltive
Sand Point E1ecln.; Comp;;!fly Kipnuk light Pion!
Marsha~ Ch,I:tat Vg1:ey
Huslia Noalak
Umnak Po;<.-er Company (N;1(otslJ) Chistochlna
Nulato K ... ,ig PO',</er Company (K"igillingo~)
Ekwok Electric Noorv:k
Manley U!,tlhty Com~ny GOodne-<'lS 6ay
E~.m
Tenal;eeSprings Kallal}
HolyCross Crooked Creek
Oeaver Joint Uti:,ties Atlltiiq Power ComparlY (Karluk)
Puvumaq Power Company (Kong;ganak) Grayling
Minto Kasaan
Chuathbaluk Eagle Power ComparlY
Ok! Harbor Kotlik Electric SeNices
Unql.lsraq Power Com~ny (Ne-mo~) Gustaws Electric ComparlY
HeatyLake ShagehJk
Akutan Electric Ub1ity
(pcerep2.wpd)
0%
I
I
20% 40% 60%
I ! I I I
:: ::
i
i
November 16, 1998 3.13
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
f-(f) W I (9
I o f-f-(f) W S o ---' , >-f--Z :::J :2 :2 o o w o (L
Ter«1a Voltage U@ty Mentasta
Hughes Power & light Unalaska Electric Ublity
Kobuk Val!ey Electric Company Slel'ellS Village Energy Systems
Chitina EJectric rnc.
RESIDENTIAL % OF TOTAL ELIGIBLE KWH (PART 1.)
20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ShelOOlI Po'nt, City of HealylClke
MkOlallfght & Power Igiugig Electric Company
Takotna Community AssOCiation Elfin Cove Electric WIly
G&K, tnc. (Cold Bay) Umnak PO'Ner Company ~~~~!~l
King Cove, City 01 BeWes
Ruby, City of Akutan Electric Utility
V.'hite Mountain UW,tles Far North UblWties (Cen!r.ll)
Stony River Gr<iyllng
CirCle Utilities
Akh~k.Cityof I!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!~~ Beaver JIi.n1 Utilities
Tener Power Company Andreanof Electric Co!'pO(ation (Atl<3)
Marshall Pedro Bay Village Couno1
Wales Tanana Power Comp.IIlY
Nutato SI. Paul MunlciP31 ElectrQic U~~ty
Kaltag Venetie Village Electric
Sand Point Electric Company Go~ovin PO' ... ·el U!,oties
Thome BOIl' Pu!)fic U:,My Chignik Electric
Noatak Amtller
Cordova Electric Cooperative. Inc. Emmonak Shungnak Shageluk
levelock Eletlric Cooperative Slag,,~y
Sl Gearye Municipal ElectriC Wwly Galena. Oly 01
SL Mary's Diomede Joint Utili~es
COm Sl Michael
Gambe~ Nal:.nek Electric Assoootion. Inc.
McGrath light & Power I.{;;.nley U:~ltJty Company
Egegik Ught & Po-... er Co. Unalakleet Val:I<ey Eledrtc Cooperative 0..,
Brevig Mission Anvil<.
Stebbtns NutiiQ Po,,-er Company (Karluk)
Tummak larsen Bay Utmty Company
False Pass Electric Assoootiofl I!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Ctool<ed Cfeek
Allakaket Enel{ly Systems (Alatna) Ipnalch1aQ Electric Company (Deering)
G .... itcnyaa Ztlee U'~1ities (Fon Yukon) Tenakee Springs Koyukuk, Olyol
Shaklool,J.; Akiak Power Utir.ties
\\fhale Pass Chi5lochina
Perean Uti~tiy Company Kipnuk Ught Plant
I·N·N Electric Cooperative Mountain Voltage
Ofd Harbor
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.14
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I--(J) W I (')
I o I--I--(J) W :s o --' ,
~ Z ::J 2' 2' o o w o (L
RESIDENTIAL % OF TOTAL ELIGIBLE KWH (PART 2.)
0% 20%
O~ H,,,'" !!!!~~~~~ Koyuk. Hoonah
Kokhanok Wlage COunCil Alakanuk
Tetlin HolyCross
Minto Chuathbafl;k
Goodnews Bay Outif1k1e,otyor
SelaWl1: Noorvik
Haines Ugh! & Power MekOfYUk Sidsmaref
Nome JOint Utility System Savoonga
Atqasuk Sleeetmute
lower Kalskag Tanali,an Et~lrfc coopel<ltive, Inc.
N°ra~l~~fe'c~~ b~~ Tooksook Bay
Kiana Yakutat Power
Pitkas Point Nushagak Electric Cooperative, (ne. (Oi1lingl'lam)
KaktOVll( Kotzebue Elecllic Association
Port n~~rnKitst~ Poi~~k
Cflevak Kmtina
PUlfUmaq Power Company (1<ongiganak) Nuiqsut
Ana~tuvuk Pass P,lot Station Quinhagak Wainwright
Kake Hyd.aburg
Platinum Power Plant Eagle pO)'n'cr Company
Akiachak Nativo CQmmunity Efectm; Co. GUSIaI'lJS Elecllic Q)mpany
""''''''' Napakiak Ircinr.lq Power Company Pilot PoinlV~l<Ige Gollno!
Tunhiluti<lk Commvnity SeNice Assn. Manokotak PO\'o'er Company
Nelson lagoon Eleclric Caoperative. Inc. Belhel lJIjI,ties Corp Inc.
Kot!.k Electric Services Coffman Cave
Anlak Ught & P(rNer Compan~lI!~~
Chignik lake ElectriC UhM),.!nc.
S~~~~7J:~k Eo' Tok (indudes Dot lake)
New Sluyahok Chenega sa)'
Hooper sa)' N'ghtmuie Power Plant
Russian Mission Unqusraq P<r"..,rCompany (NC',,1ok)
Kasaan Hams
Ekwok Electrlo:; Perryville, Oty of
Klawock Kwethluk. Inc.
POint Hope Kasigluk
Kv.1g Power Company (Kwigit'in{Jok) Kollg<lnek V,I!aQe Counc~ AtmauUua~ JOint Utilities
Tutuksak Traditional Power U~Tity Naterkaq light Plant (Chefomak)
IJapaskiak Electric Uti!ity Ch~l;at Valley
BuclUand.Cltyof
40% 60% 80% 100%
(pcerep2.wJld) November 16, 1998 3.15
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
1% RESIDENTIAL KWH peE ELIGIBLE (PART 1·)1
Koyukuk, City of Terd .. Village Utffity
Sheldon Point, City of Healy Lake
Venetie Vrllage Electric Pedro 6ayVdlage Council
Hughes Power & light Platinum POW{)( Plan!
Kobuk Valtey Electric COmpany Ekwok electric K ..... eth!t.Jk.lnc. Brevig Mission
AtmautluakJOInt Utilities Nunapitchuk
False Pass Electric ASSOCiation K .... -ig PO' .... er Company (Kwigillingok)
Chevak Chuathbaluk
Kokhanok Wlage Council to'Ner Kalskag
Far Noxth Ublltities (Centr.Jl) Grayling
Shageluk Unqusraq Power Compafly (Newtok)
Huslia
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
fif) w 5: o ---' o ffif) W I (')
Allakaket EnergySyslems (Alalna) I~~~~~i~~~~~~~i~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~i~f . Ok! Harb(){
OuzinkIe. City of Nulato
Savoonga Eagle PoNer Company
TenakeeSplings Mantey Ul1fotily Company
Akutan Electric Utility Circle Utilities
Hol:r'Oo&s Kaltag
Gustal'l)S Electric Company Noatak
TeUin Tununak Kivalina
Naterkaq Ught Plant (Chefornak) I , >t: z ::J :;: :;: o o w o (L
IpnatchiaQ Electri<: Company (Deering) Chignll<.lake Electric UUlty.lnc.
leve:ock Electlic Cooperawe Crooked Creek
BeWes Akhiok, CIty of
NJPJJ.Jak IrcinraQ Power Company Takolfla Community Association A1llliiQ POWN Company (Karluk)
Selawik Ruby, Cily of
Umnak P(Y.<,er Company (I\'il(olski) Minto
I<o!_ganek Villago Council Igiugig Electric Company
Anvik larsen Bay U~lity Company
Mekol)'uk l.Ianol.olak P(YNN Company
G .... itchyaa Zhee Ut<lities (fort Yukon) SI. Michael
Koyok Tool;sook Bay
Kotlik Electric SelVices I<iana
Diomede Joint UMties Egeg<l( light & Po ... w Co.
Upperl<a1skag RUSsian Mission
Nikolai Ughl e. Power Tanana Power CompallY
Elim E,k
Chignik. Electric Stebbins
Quinhagak Red DeVIl
HooperBay GOOdne-",-s Bay
Pitkas Point NoolVik
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.16
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
1% RESIDENTIAL KWH peE ELIGIBLE (PART 2·)1
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Sl Mary's NOOnh~ I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~;;;; Napaskiak Electric Utility Klal'o'{lc!l:
I(f) w 5: o -' o lI(f) W I (')
I
~ Z ::J 2' 2' o u w u (L
Ambler Chitina Electric Inc.
Sand POint Electric ~~~~
Aniak Ugh! &. PO' .... erCompany. tnc. Shungnak
Chistochina Seaver Joint Utilities
Northway Power & light Chenega Bay
Kasaan McGf<lth light &. Power
Sleeelmule Elrm COve Electric Uti~ty
Kasigluk Hoonah
Buckland, City of Gambe~
Point lay Galena, City of
Marsha~ New Stuyahok Sc<lffimOn Bay
Cordova Electric COOper-Hive,lnc. Kj"d3btJtg
Ho!fis Shismaref
Go,'ovin PO' ... ·er Utir,ties P~ol Station
Kake I·N·N Electric Cooperative
Shaklool>lo; Stony River
KJpnuk Ugllt Plant Akiachak Nall'le Community Electric Co.
St GeOfgc Municipal Electric UtiC,ty Tal: {inch.rdes Dol lake)
Whale Pass Ch]kal Val!ey
Slevens Vd!age Enatgy Systems Afakanuk
Tl.lfltulur""k O)mmlmity Service Assn. Nushagak Electric Cooperative. Inc. {O:!F.ngham}
Haines Ugh! t. Power Togiak
ThOme Bay Pull!ie UOllty Cra;g
Wales Angoon
PuvumaQ PO'<'>'Cf Company (Kongiganak) Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative. Ille.
Tanalian Electric cooperatwe, tne. Atqasuk
Mountain V,!1age Q)ffrnan Cove
Nightmute Power Plant Skagwa)'
A~iak Po .... er Ut,lities Nome Joint UI~'t)' System
Bethel Utill\ies Corp tne. Pdol Point v.~!age COllnOt
Ya~ulat Power Na~nek Electric Association, Inc.
Terrer PO-Ner Compan)' Perryvij~e, City of
SL Paul Mun;opal ElectrQlc Utilit)' KaktOVik
Anak!iNuk Pass Wainwright
Nuiqsut Point Hope
Kotzebue Electric Association Mentasta
Unalakleet Val!key Electric Coopefl'ltNe \Vhite Mountain L/tJ1ities
Andreanol Electric Corpora~on (Atka) Pelican Ut~jtiy Company Unalaska Electric Ublily
King Cove, City of Tuluksak Traditionat Power Ut~ity
Port Heiden. at)' of G&K, Inc. (Cold Bay) Tatitlek Electric UWity
(pcerep2. wpd) November 16, 1998
100%
3.17
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
.-----------mtrltRE 3.8 (parM-'r---------------,
I-(/) W I (9
I
o I-I-(/) w 5: o --'
~ z ::::> 2' 2' o o w o (L
I~_-
RESIDENTIAL PCE DEDUCTION PER ELIGIBLE KWH (PART 1.)
o
Pefican Ublitiy Company Sk<lgway
Nome Jo1n\ Utility System !~~iii Wainwright Nuiqsut
Kaktovil<. Atqasuk
P()Inllay Point Hope
Anaktuvuk Pass Unalaska Electric UlIlity
Haines light & Power Thome Bay PuWc U!inty
King Cove, City 01 HolliS Craig
Hydaburg Yakutat P<YHer Akhiok, City of
Nushagak Electrn: Cooperative, Jnc. {Oil~nghaml Port Helden, City 0
Ko!.?:ebue Ele~1riC ASSociation Naknek EtectriG AssOCiation, fnc.
Bethel ~;k~~%~~ SL Paul Munldpal Electrq:c Ut.!ity
Cordova E~~~n~~~~e~~~~~ Galena, City of Ekwok EteclriC
Unalakleet Val;key Electric Cooperative Whale Pass
CoffmarlCove Natell<3q light Plant {Chefornak}
Kipnuk light Plant Venetie Wlage ElectriC
KOliganek V.:Iage Counol
Chi!~~i'ffi~:;:~1~~ Menl3sta
Buckland, City of Tatitlek Ete,lric Utility
Manol:.otak Power Company Al:iak Po-I<er Uhf<ties
AJ\utan Electric Utolity Elfin Cove Electric Ulility
False Pass Eleclric Association
G'Mtchl"<la Z~~;~'~;t J'j~10i;~I?;~ Tanah;H1 Electric coopelative, Inc.
NOrthwa6:z?~~~,&ch~~1 Ruby, Oty of
P.~ot Poinl \JilIage Counc,1 Kwethluk. Inc.
Slevens Vi:lage Energy Syslems T;lO~na Power Company
Tutul.:.sak Tl'dd,(ional Power UI,I.ty TeWn
Sand Poinl Electric ~~g;~~
Klawock Angoon
Chi!1<at Valley Kasaan
Kake Koyukuk, City of
larsen Bat~~~~e~~~~~r Kouiio; Electric SeNices
Chenega Bay Nightmute Power Plant
Egeg'k Ugh! & Po-",er Co. Chis tach Ina
SL George Munldp<ll Electric UWity
Sh:a~~~ Andreano! Electric Corporation (~(ka)
PuvulOaq Power C~~~~% {~:~~~~:~l Golovin Power Utilities N;kolai Ught & Power
Takotnaf~s~~t~I~~g?t~ White Mountain U!;:,\ies
Minto
CENTS PER KWH
10 20 30
(p cerep2. wpd) November 16,1998
40
3.18
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I-(/) W I C9 I o I-I-(/) W S o -1 ,
~ Z :=J ::2' ::2' o o w o (L
RESIDENTIAL PCE DEDUCTION PER ELIGIBLE KWH (PART 2.)
Umnak PO'Ner Com8~J:SolJ~J Graylillg Chevak Togiak
Tuntutu~ak Community SeNlce Assn. McGrath light & Power
Tununak G&K, Inc. (Cold Bay)
",m Sl Mary's
Pitkas POint Igiugig Electric ~~:iX
Russl<ln Mission Marshag
Sav00IlG3 Sl Michael
PilolStaliOn Stebbins
Quinhagak Nulato
Far North Ublitities (Central) Alakanuk
Sca~o~k New Stuyahok
tt!~~~S~~ lcr...-erKatskag
O:d Harbor Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative, Inc.
Brevig Mission
'""" Kasigluk Nunapitchuk E,'
Circle Util,Iles Shaktwlc:
Aniak lighl &. Power Company, Inc. Platinum Power Plant
Hm~~' HolyCross
Gambea Pedro Bay Village Counol
Kwlg Po .... cr Company (K .... ;gilfil'lgok) Diomede JOint Utiltties
Emmonak levelock Electric Cooperatwc
ipnatchlaq Electric COmpany (Oeering) MOUntaln Vdlage
Alfaka~.el Energy Systems {Alalna} Wales
Shlsrnaref Hughes Power & Ught Eagle PO-Ner Co:r~~k
Seta",lt Chigo.'k lake Electric Utit.ty,loc.
Kivalina NOONik
Kokhanok VIllage Council Seaver Joint UIl1ities
KObur:~~~e~:Z~;~~~~ AIu~:Q Po'NN Company (Karluk)
Akia~~~~s;;a~~eO-~~~~~~J~~~~~ Gustavus Eleclr1c Company
Ambter Shungnak
Bettles Kiana
Heatylake Te:ler Pov."er Company
Telida VJl!age Utility
CENTS PER KWH
o 10 20 30 40
Stony River Napakiak Irdnraq pCroe~k~~~k 1~~§§§§§§~§~~§§§§§§§~§§~§§§§§~§§§§§§§§§~ Red DeVl1
Chuathbaluk Sleeetmute
Manley Ut,litityCompany
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.19
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
,-------------i?fflffltE 3.9 (pal t 1--\----------~
!AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL ELECTRICITY RATE BEFORE AND AFTER PCE (PART 1.)
P.z~~;~k Anakltl~~IJ,~~~
Nuiqsut Kaktovik
wain't~%i~ Point Hope
E§~~:~w~~~~~~~ Hydaburg
Homs Kolilk Electric Services Haines U~~~t:~;~
Northway Power & Ughl Craig
Ska~y Cordova Electric cogg~~riet~nv~
Beaver J~~r~b~~~ Chignik lake EI~!ric Utifity. Inc.
PeHcan Ub1itiy Company tpnatchi3% Electric Company weering)
and Point~te~~\i ~~~rz Gustavus EreelriC ~ompany.
ToJ.; {inC?UUd~~k&8.'~\~t Nushagak Electric Cooperative, tnc. (O.Uingham)
Naknek Electric Association. Inc. A!lakake\ Energy Systems (Alalna)
Kaltag Elfin Cove EI&tric Ulrlily
Huslia Chevak
Nightmute Power Plant Gl'.itchyaa Zhee Utilities (Fort Yukon)
Nome Joint Vtilitk Sre,lem Ch~~~a E.ra,~~ lower re:!Skag
KotzebUe Electric Association Brevig Mission
Noatak
Kln~;k~~~1 ~:%g: McGrath Ught & Power
Bethel Uti[lties Corp Inc.
S!. George Munici~:ln~~~Tn~Pal~~; GravHng
Unalaska Electric Ut,!ity Tununak
Old Harbor A!(ulan Electric Utility
Unalakleet VaHkey Electric Coo~ratlVe
(pcerep2.wpd)
Upper KJa~~~ Goodnews Bay
Kasaan Nulalo
Hoonah Russian MissIon
Diomede Joint Utilities Anvik
KO}'l!k M,oto Elim
Tooksook Bay Kak,
Selawllt; Quinhagak
Mentasta 51. Michael Savoonga
Chilka\ Valley 51. Mary's
Holy Cross Pltkas Point
Chenega Bay Stebbins
~~~;1~~
CENTS PER KWH
o 20 40 60
November 16, 1998 3.20
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
IA VERIAGE RESIDENTIIAL ELECTRICITY RATE BEFORE AND AFTER PCE (PART 2.)
Chislochlna E,k
Aflgoon Pifot Point VI1!age CQuno1
Aniak U~~t ~~1tJMn~t(Jlnt':11i Golovin Power Utilities
Me~~~ larsen Bay Utili~ Company
OO~~~~ Thorne Bay PuMe Umity
Tanafian Electric cooperative, Inc. Manokotak Power Company
I·N·N Eleclric Cooperative Scammon Bay
Pilot Station
M~~~~ New~~~~~
Kiana Garen~~b~!
Emmonak Chitina Electric Inc.
Ambler Shismaref
Nalerkaq light Plant (Cherornak) Shaktoolik
Kokhanok Village Council Cirde Utilities
Umnak powercompanYsW~~~~~J Chuathbaluk
levetock Electric Cooperative Netson lagoon Electric CooJ)cratlve. tnc.
Mantey UliMily Company Kohganek Village Council
Unqusraq Power Company (Ne1Hlok) Kobuk Valley Electric Company
Perry .... ille. City of Wales
Buckland, City of
I·~~t~~~d '0~~~ PlatinUm Power Plant
A1ut~q Power Company {Karluk} Red DeVl1
NaPt~j;~ t~~~~~e~?ri~eAs~~~gx Port ~~~~~ju~itrn~~
Andreanof Electric Corporation (Atka) Tanana Power Company
Tuluksak Traditional Power Utility Akiachak Native Commungk!~~c~1~S~c
Steeetmule Tuntuturrak Community Service Assn.
Atmautluak Join! Utilities Takotna CommunltyAssociation
Nap~~~a~ntfe~1~cdu~,Y.) K\Vig Power Company JK\VigitiingOkJ
H~,~~~~ ucrr;f& &p~~r Puvurnaq Power Company (~Ongiganak)
Stony Rl.v.er SI. Paul Municipal Eleclr~ic U~My
TeUer Power Company'
Akiak ~~~~'U1i'l;t~~ KOJ1lkuk. City of
Egegik li~hl & Power Co.
Igi'.1~i~ekCmic?ri°cmJlTIn~ VI/hile Mountain Uti!iUes
Pedro Bay Village Council
Venetie Vi~~~e .Et'f~~1 S!e~'ens Village Energy ~ystems
T elida Vilfage Uhlity
(pcerep2.wpd)
CENTS PER KWH
o 20 40 60
November 16, 1998 3.21
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
.------------lFi'fIGRFUFlHR:E-3.10 (palt-l)'-----------,
ti w S o -' o I-I-(f) W I o I
t z ::::> 2 2 o o w o (L
I4VERI4GE ANNUAL RESIDENTIAL SALES PER CUSTOMER (PART 1.)
Un~~~k!ntre~Cticd ~~~ Sl k~~;~~~~:~~ec~~~~
POint Hope Atqasuk
Yakutat Power Kaktovik
Walnwrlghl Nuiqsut
Ana~tuV\lk Pass
~~ra King COve, ~JJ
Naknek electric ASSociatiOn.Joe. COffman '-'lYe
UnatalJeet VaRkey EJectric Cooperative Cordova Electric COOperatlVe, fnc.
NI/shagak Electric COOperative, Inc. (O,1fingham) Hoonah
Hytlaburg
Non~i;!~'l~lylr~~ Sl George Municipal E~ectric Utility
Bethel Utmt<es Corp Inc. Sha~too/lk
Sf.;.agwal Tok Concludes Dol lake
Kipnuk light Plan Aniak Ugh! & PO"Ner Company, Inc.
Chlgnill ~~~~I:1c:1C h~~'~~.g; Tabtlek "f3eclric U~lily
Kta"'1lck Whale Pass
Shungnak Neisonl3Qoon Electric CooperatNe, fnc.
o
Mountain Vol\;lge Poinllay
Sand Point electric Company SEE NoOlVl~ Kasaan
Minto Port HejdenKl?~tn~
Kasigtuk Th!)me Bat Public UMly
O!)~~~~r; P,!!)! Po;nl V!1'..age CounCil
Kiana
NewSt~~~~ Nalerkaq Ught Pk1.nt ~{~~tokJ
Scammon Bay Ambler
Ho.:;'s Emmonak
NorVrnay PO-NCr & Light tpnatc.hiaq Electric Company (Deeringl
Pu~umaq Power Company (Kongiganak Holy Cross
Kv.ig Po .... -er CompaflY (K\\;g,llin."'l Andreanof Electric Corporation {Atka
QUlinlde, C;~~
Pell)"'J1e. City of S!. Mary's
Nightmute PO""'-er Pllnt Russian Mission
Cttistoc!lina Atn13uUuak Joint Uti!ities
'·N·N Electric Coopera~ve Tun!u!urtak COmmunity SeMco Assrl.
Tarla!ian '@rt~~t~o;~O~!~~~Ou~?~ SlIisrnarel
Koyuk Wales
Gambe~
levelOCk EIOCIYt~~;~~~
Thousands
2 4 6 8
! I I I I I I I I
55 ~ 55
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
10
3.22
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I-(J) ill S o -' o I-I-(J) ill I (9
I
~ Z ::J 2 2 o o ill o CL
(pcerep2.wpd)
URE 3.10 (pmt-2'I-----------,
AVERAGE ANNUAL RESIDENTIAL SALES PER CUSTOMER (PART 2.)
Thousands
o 2 4 6 8 10
November 16, 1998 3.23
Power Cost Equalization
I-if) W I (9
I o I-I-(J) W S o -' , >t::: z :::J :;:; :;:; o o w o 0..
Beaver JOInt Utilities Koyukuk, City of
P!~Snum POWel Plant HealyLa~e
Sheldon Polot.. City of E3g!e Pr:ffler Comparrf
Tetlin ShagellA
Tenakee Springs ManleyUUlitity Company
far NQrth Utilitities (Central) Alraka~et Enelgy Systems (Alalna)
Kobuk Va'Jey Elec\rk: Comparrf Bre-ig Mission
P%lLay Akvtan Electric Utility
Kotfik Electric SeNlees Gustct.us electric Company
C/llgnikElectric Mentasl3
G ... itchyaa ZIlee UHfi'es {Fort Yukon} Clleva.-k
HtJSrl3 Pe"canU~1itiy CompafTl
An'" Nort/I'H3i' PO'o'o'er & Ugh!
""''' Chuathbalulo; lO'o'<et Kalskag
UmnakPowerCompany{Nikolskij Kaltag
KolJlano\ VIllage Council T~'
sre.~ns ViUage Energy Systems Nl,II\apitchuk
Ipnatehiaq Eteetlic Company jDe-ering) Goodnews 8ay
Sa'iOOnga Sela ..... "
Grayling Old Harbor
OllzjrWe.C;~/of H<Jghes Power &. Ugh\
Chefleo;ja 8ay Elfin Cove Electric Utility
Stebbins Mekoryul; E,'
Steeetmute StMithae/
Golovin PQYo'er Utilities "/hale Pass
Olomede Jo'n\ Ublities Nightmute P<M'er Plan!
Ta\otna Community Association An;a1,.wrol; PM5
NJachak Native Comm"nity Ele<:tric Co. N"'a~
P,lkas Point Chill:atVa~ey
Hoope1' Say T"':"l.sak Trad!tionat PO"Nef Ubfity
Quinhagak Sl;ag.vay
Upper Katska9 Ala"anuJ,:
Sand Point Elec!I!c Company Atqasuk
Chitina Electric lne. Circle Ublities
NtJiqsl1l Vene~e V,i!age Electric
Koroganel; Village COunc>l Ch;g"'1<.la~e Ele<:lric UtOity. Inc.
Hytlaburg StonyRivef
Ha;nes Ught &. Power Koyu'<.
RvsslanMiss~n larsen 6ayU!lTity Company
WairMTighl Manokotak Power Company
Noatak Kipnuk light Plant
Ka~\ovLk "m
(pcerep2.wpd)
Economic Significance
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL BILL WITH peE DISTRIBUTION (PART 1.)
so S50 S100 $150
November 16, 1998 3.24
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
~ W I C)
I o f--f--(f) W
S o ..J , >!::: z ~ 2: 2: o o w o (L
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL BILL WITH peE DISTRIBUTION (PART 2.)
Sk~ay Bettles
"""be' Wales Kakwvik
Tana!lan Electrlc tOOpera!ive, Inc. Shismaref
Napakiak lIcioraq Power Company Crooked Creek
Rus.sIaoMissioo Chls!ochina
McGrath light!. Power SLMary's
Atqasuk EOm
CiteleU~Toties RedOe .. ,1
Manol:.olal; Power Company HolyCross
tJaTvlek Electrlc Assoclation,lnc. AndrcanofElectri, COrp::!ration (AtIca)
Emmonak Vef1e~e Village Electric
Tanana Power Company Poin\Hope
Kiprn.ik light Plant """",, Kasaan Galena. City of
Pilot Station Scamrnoo 6ay
Togiak Ne.'{ Stuyahok
Kasigluk TooMook6ay
NO<ltaJ,; Bethel Ubb:ies Corp Inc.
Larsen Bat UnlityCompany AJu~iq Po .... er Co<r9any (Kartuk)
NapaslJal; Electric Ubuty Minto
Kwethluk, tnc.
$0 $50
KlVafin3 Ur>a!alJeet Va1lkey Ete<;tric Coopefa~ve
Kiav.-oc;;'
Nushaga'<. Etc-Otic Cooperawe. Inc. (OilGngham) I!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!I! ~k,Cityof Nil<1)1al Ught & Power
Ruby. Cityo! Ig-'U'J'9 Electric Company
N!.'lson lagoon EJectticCoopeta~ve.lnc. EIo. .... 'OkEtectric
King Cove, Cityof Pedro BayViUage Council
NOONi;; False Pass Electric Associ3:ion
PCI<)'\'Il'C, Cityof NomeJoint Ubfity System
Chtgniklake Electric U!i!ity, Inc. UnquS,aQ PO' .... el Company (Newtok)
Thome Bay Public U~lity Mouol.aln wrage
Tuntu!ltiak ConllllUrOty ServiceAssII. Shungrl3k
White MOl<llwn U~!ities Aniak light & P,y .... er Compa!lY, Inc.
Hoo~h 1< ... 1g Power Compa!ly (I<wig;:'~ngok)
ShaldOO1<k Naterkaq Ught Plant (Chefornak)
Egegfk lIght& Power Co.
$100 $150
Puvumaq PO'Ner Company (l<ongLgan.a~) I<ake
Port Heiden, City of A_" Ya~vlat Power
I<otlebue Electric A.$sociatoon
l<o~a~Ir.VillageCouncir I~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~:::::::::::::::::::::! la~~ek Electric Ublity Atmautluak Joint Ublitics Ullalaska Electric Ublity
G&K, Inc. (Cotd Bay) Telida Village Uti~ty
Sl Paul Ml./licIpal Elecltqic Utility
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.25
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I-(f) W I C)
I o I-I-(f) w 5 o ---' ,
~ Z :::J 2' 2' o o w o (L
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL BILL AT ANCHORAGE USE RATE (PART 1.)
$0 $100 $200 $300
r.-AC:UJAC~-----------n-635-KWH~-MON+H----
.635 KWH I MONTH AT PUBLISHED RATE
$400
jEXCLUDES 6 UTILITIES WITH MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL USE PER CUSTOMER GREATER THAN ANCHORAGE I
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.26
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
1;) ill I (')
I o f-f-(f) ill S o --' , >t: z ~ 2' 2' o o ill o (L
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL BILL AT ANCHORAGE USE RATE (PART 2.)
so $100 $200 $300 $400
r.AC+UAC------------<U-635-KW1M-MONTH---------.
~ 635 KWH I MONTH AT PUBLISHED RATE
[CXCIUDES 6 UTILITIES WITH MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL USE PER CUSTOMER GREATER THAN ANCHORAGEI
(p cerep 2. wp d) November 16, 1998 3.27
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I-(/) W I (9
I o I-I-(/) W S o -1
~ Z ::::J :2 :2 o o w o 0..
ANNUAL PCE DISTRIBUTION FOR EACH RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMER (PART 1.)
Pe~can ~~~~~~~ Skagway
Port Heiden, CIty of Thome 8a~'f: df:~
Nome J~ ~~~&~e:;} Tuluksak Tradttioo31 Power Umlty Stevens v~~n~~TV;~tk~
Haines l/flht& p()W1:!(
so
Platinum POWllf Plant '!!i!!!i!!!i!!!i!!!!!! Unalaska Electtlc UNity ~ Mentasta "offi,
Perry .... ilIe. City of Tatitlek Electric Ub1ity
Venetie Village Electric Wainwright
Kaktovik PoinlHope
Nuiqsut potntlay
AnakllJWk Pass ctIenega Bay
Naknek Electric AsSociation,lnc. Buckland, City of
Galena, City 01 Chignik Electric
Hydaburg ern. Bethel Utilities Co!}) Inc.
Beaver Joint U!>Iities Sheldon pom!. City of
Ruby. City of Ekwok Eleclrlc
Tenakee Springs TOk (includes DOl lake)
Atqasuk i~~~~~~i~~~ Chitina Electric Inc.
Akutan Elettric Utjr,ty Yakutat Power
Nushagak Electric Cooperative, Inc. (04Iingham) Elfin Cove Electric Ut,r,ry
G .... itc.hyaa Zhao VI,Wes (Fort Yukon) Kotzebue Electric AssociatiOn
Unalakleet VaUkey E!ectric Cooperative Tetful
\Vhile Mountain Ulllilies Andreanof Electric CorporatiOn (Atka)
Far North Utir.tilies (Centra!) Tanana Power Company
SL Paul Mun1cipat Efectrq,c utility Cordova Electric Coopcl<lwe, Inc.
Takotna Community Association Hughes Power & Ught
Tanali.:Jn Electric coopel<ltive, fnc. Manokotak Power Company
Kwethluk, Inc. False Pass Electric Association Kobuk Valley Ele~~~T~~~
Whale Pass Naterkaq Ught Ptant (Chefornak)
PIlOt Poinl VtIlagf) Counc~ Umnak PowcrCompany (Nikolski)
Healy lake Akiachak Native Community EtectrlcCo.
Golovin POI'I'er Ulll,ties Coffman Cove
E~~rrJ'hr&;~e~~: Nightmute PO' .... er Plant
Napaskiak Electric Util,ty Igiugig Electric Company
Kotlik Electric Services NikolalUgh\ & Power
Allakaket Energy ~~t.kf/~t~~l Pedro Say Village Counol
Manley Uti"!]!,!y Company Eagle Power ~~~k
Puvumaq Po-.... er Company (KOI1lliganak) Brevig Mission
S500 $1.000 51.500
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.28
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
ANNUAL PCE DISTRIBUTION FOR EACH RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMER (PART 2.)
t;) W I (9
I o I-I-(f) w S o -' ,
~ Z => :": :": o o w o [L
Anvik KIpnuk. Light Plant
Crustoeh';na SteblYns
larseo Bay UIMI' Company
GOOd~~=, Tuntutuliak. Communtty Servke Assn.
Kasaan Eok
Tener PowerCompany KooperSay Sl Michae!
Kaltag Atmautluak Jolnt UMties
Sand Point Electric Company Pitkas Poll'll
Marsh.all Tununak Chevak.
Savoonga Gra~'fng
51. George MUII;cipat Etedric Uti!ity Cirde U!I1,ties
Steeetmute KIav.'Ock
Wa!es levelock Electric COOperative
Kot'ganek Village Counol Quinhagak
Kokhanok v.;~~~~ Diomede Joint Utilities
lQ\',~(i«Ilslo;ag Huslia
Oid Harbor GambeU Sel<lv.~k
Nutalo Tetida v.:tage Uttllty
Shage!uk Togiak
SL Maris K .... .;g Po ... er Company (Kv.-igi:lingok)
Hoonah Angooa
KW~ P~ol Station
Nunapitchuk Chuathbaluk
ShiSrndref RUS$lan MisSiOO
Emmonak Scammon 8al' New Stuyahok
Ka~e Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative, Inc.
Minto Upper Katslcag
A/ub"iQ Power COmpanl' (Karluk) G&K, Inc. (Cord Bay)
Mountain V;:/;lge Gustaws Electric Company
Holy Cross I·N·N Etectric COoperative
Ipnatch;aq Electric Company (Oeef.ng) McGrath Lighl t Power
Kas;g~k Napakiak Ircinraq Po-..... erCOmp<!ny
Toolt.sookBay Unqusraq Power Company (Nen1ok)
Red De",i! Shaktoo'ik
Kiana Croo~ed Creek
Bettles AnIak Ugh! & Power CompanY,lnc.
Kivalina Ambler NOONil<. Noatak
Shungnak Chignik lake Electric Uli'ity, Inc.
(pcerep2.wpd)
$0 $500 $1,000 $1,500
November 16, 1998 3.29
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
,--------~FIGURE,l:t4-(p1{rtt~---------,
tIi w I (9
I o I-I-(f) W S o ..J
~ Z ~ :2; :2; o o w o 0..
RESIDENTIAL PLUS COMMUNITY FACILITY % OF ELIGIBLE KWH (PART 1.)
Ter.da VlUaga Utility Red Devil
Far North Utifitities (Central) ChiMa El~tM Inc.
Bettles Elfin Cove Electric UMty
Heatylake Stony River
Manley Utilitity Company Cil'ctc UWities
Whale Pass Umnak PlYO'er Company (Nikolski) Tanalian Electric cooperative, Inc.
Hughes Power & light
Igiug;g EI~~k~~&:~~
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Chlstochina AJutiiQ Po-Ner Company (Karluk)
Sleeetmute KOi1,Jkuk, City of
Terrer Power Company Port Heiden, City of
Pedro Bay Village Council pact Point Vi!lage Council
Tenakee Springs Upper Kalskag
Takotna Community Associ<llion POint lay
Beaver Joinll)ti!ities
Elgie Pcw.~(Company I;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;l l:men Bay U!I!lty ComparlY GuSta~us ElectriC Company
Kobuk Vaney Electric Comp<Jny Anakluwk Pan
CtlUathooluk G&K. Inc. (CO!d Bay)
Skagway. Egegik light {. P'k";;i~£?k Tanana Power Company Tol: (includes Dot lake)
Atqasuk Kasaan
Holr1S
"""' I·N·N Electric Cooperati.·e Nightmute Power Plant
Penyvllte. Cill" of Norlhwal" PO-HerZ; light
Sand Poillt Electric C:lmpany Go!o.;n Power Ut~:ties Diomede Joint Utilities
"". Haines light Z; Power Andreano! Electric C:lrporati()n (Atka)
Mentasta Platinum Power Piant
Aniak light & PO'o'o"er Company, Inc. Gra,1iog
Galena,Otyof Nuiqsut
Cordol'<l Electric C:loperatlve,lnc. Wainwrighl Mekoryuk
Naknek Electric AsSociation, Inc. KOkh;mok. Village Counol
Shageluk False Pass Electric Association
Gwilchl-'<Ja Zhee Utilities (fort Yukon) She!don Point, at)' of
Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative, Inc. Akutan Electric Utility
Chenega Bay Nushagak Electric Cooperative,lnc. (Dillingham)
McGrath light & Power Tununak
Kof;ganek Wlage CounCil ~"''hile Mountain UtJ,ties
Klawock. Ambler Wales
Yakutat PO'o'o'er Russian MisSion
Slevens Wlage Energy Systems
100%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.30
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
,---------------~FlffG~U~REHr3H.lhH4(~),--------------~
f(f) W I (-')
I o ff(f) w 5: o -' , >-f-Z :=J :;: :;: o o w o 0..
IRESIDENTIAL PLUS COMMUNITY FACILITY % OF ELIGIBLE KWH (PART 2.)
Slevens VIllage Energy Systems Petcan U~1itiy Company
Tun\utuftJl: C<lmmunity Service Assn. Brevig Mission
Shak!ooIik Coffman Cove
Aklachak Native Community Electtlc Co. Ruby, City of
Unqusraq Pa .... er Compan:rt~~~~~~l HolyCross
fpnatchlaQ Electric Company (Deering) Ouzinkie, City of
Stebbins Tetrin
Sl Mary's Napakiak IrCinraq POW€r ~TI~~k
Kaltag leveklck Electric Cooperative
Chignik Electric Nikolai Ught e. Power
UnalaSka ElectriC Utility Thome Bay Putlf.c Utility
Kv.i{j Power C<lmpan~fo~~~b~~
Aliakaket Enel~r~~~/~~:~ Selawik
Savoonga Marshatt
Old Harbor Sl George MuniOpal Electric U(jIity
ClliIl<atValley King Cove, City of
Husr.a Scammoo Bay
Ka~e
Napaskiak Electric Utility Kiana
Chevak Hoonah
Atmautluak Joint U!~tties Nome Joint U4!,ly System
Bethel Ubl;~es Corp tnc. Elim
AAgOOO Shungnak
Unataf..teel Va'ikey Electric Cooperative Tooksook Bay
Quinhagak Mioto
Nulato Hwok Efel;(ric
Manokotak Power Qlmpany Nunapitchuk
G:~~~ Hydaburg
Akhiok, 01y 01 PuwmaQ PONer COmpany (Konglgaflak)
Point Hope NewSluyahok
Emmonak Venetie Vlliage Electric
KM;r.na Chignik lake Electric UWil\"lnc.
'ok Kotfil.; Electric Servi<.:es
Togiak Mountain V~ga
Natert.aq light Plant (enefomak) Hooper Say
Shismaref Tatitlek Electric U~"ty
Kipnuk light Plant Kwethluk, Inc.
Noorvik Buckland, Cily of
TUluksak Tr.ldLtional Power U:;!,ty KaMgluk
Noatak Sl Paul Muniopal Etectrqlc VbMy
Pilol Station Kotzebue £reCioe Association
la .... er Kalskag P,tkas POint
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.31
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 3.32
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
4. ELIMINATION OF THE POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM --OVERVIEW
UTILITY MECHANISM FOR ABSORBING LOSS
With the elimination ofthe Power Cost Equalization Program (PCE) pm1icipating electric utilities would immediately begin to charge residential, community facility, and commercial customers the full published rates for all electricity sales. The average cost of electricity to customers in the residential and community facility classes would increase dramatically because almost all residential and community class sales are presently made at much lower PCE rates. For example the typical utility residential customer Tate with PCE is about 44 percent of the full published rate which means the rate would increase 127 percent (56/44) to adjust to the full published rate. The average cost of electricity to commercial customers would typically increase by a smaller percent since only a portion of commercial class sales are made at the lower PCE rate. Shifting to fully published rates would not increase the cost of electricity to government and "other" customer classes because these customer classes are not eligible for PCE payments.
Customers would respond to the higher full published rates by cutting back on their electricity purchases. The reduction in purchases would be most pronounced for the residential and community facility classes since the average price per kwh would increase the most to these customer classes. The reduction for commercial class customers would be less pronounced since the increase from the average price with PCE to the published rates would not be as large. There would be no reduction in purchases by government and "other" class customers.
Faced with a reduction in sales the typical electric utility would reduce production and tTy to cut costs to eliminate its deficit and balance its budget. Although diesel fuel expenses vary with sales, most other utility costs such as personnel expenses, maintenance, interest on debt, and depreciation are fixed and cannot be reduced when sales decline, particularly in the short run. Because a large share of the utility costs are fixed, the average cost of producing electricity would increase when sales decrease, and as a result the utility would need to raise its rates above the full published rates in addition to cutting costs to bring revenues back into line with expenses.
The Tate increase necessitated by the reduction in sales would effect all customer classes, resulting in a further reduction in sales to all customer classes. This in tum would lead to a further rate increase, which would further reduce sales. This cycle of rate increases and sales reductions would continue until either an equilibrium level of sales had been reached where the utility was able cover all its costs at higher rates, or the utility was forced out of business because it could not cover its deficit with higher rates. If the utility were able to continue in operation, its sales would be lower, its rates higher, and its average cost of generation higher than when PCE was in force.
Figure 4.1 shows the current rates per kwh for each customer class for the PCE utilities as
(pccrep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.1
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
well as the rates that would result ifPCE were eliminated'. With PCE, the rate for PCE eligible kwh and the average kwh rate for the residential and community facility customers are almost the same. This is because almost all kwh in these customer classes are PCE eligible. In contrast, the PCE kwh rate for commercial customers is below the average rate because only a small portion of all commercial sales are PCE eligible. For the government and "other" customer categories no kwh are PCE eligible, and this is shown in the figure as a PCE eligible rate equal to the average kwh rate.
Elimination ofPCE would initially shift all rates up to the full published rates. This would be a more than doubling of the average rate for residential and cOlmnunity facility customers. The average rate for commercial customers would increase by about 6 cents and the average rate for government and "other" customers would not go up at all. The cycle of sales reductions and fmiher rate increases would result in post PCE rates coming to rest at higher levels than the published rates for all customer classes. The post PCE increases over the published rates are about the same for all customer classes. The total increase, comparing the average kwh rate with PCE and the post PCE rate, is greatest for residential customers followed by community facilities. The increase for commercial customers is not as great, and the increase for government and "other" customers is the smallest. However all customer classes share some of the burden of higher average costs of generation in the form of higher electricity rates in the post PCE environment.
DEATH SPIRAL
The cycle of higher rates leading to reductions in sales which in turn necessitate even higher rates may lead to a "death spiral" for the utility. In a "death spiral" the reduction in total costs from each unit reduction in sales is less than the reduction in total revcnues and rates can never be raised high enough to eliminate the deficit.
Whether a particular utility will fall into a "death spiral" or will be successful at finding a reduced level of sales together with higher rates that cover its costs depends primarily on three factors:
1. The more sensitive customer electricity purchases are to rate increases the more likely a utility will fall into a "death spiral". (This sensitivity is known as the price elasticity of demand, and the more negative its value the greater the sensitivity.)
2. The larger the number of customers that shift to self generation of electricity when faced with higher utility electric rates the more likely a ntility will fall into a "death spiral", and
3. The greater the share of utility costs that are fixed and thus cannot be reduced when sales decline, the more likely a utility will fall into a "death spiral".
7 These rates are averaged over all PCE utilities.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.2
Power Cost Equalization ECOIlonlic Significance
Figure 4.2 shows how the death spiral can occur. In the figure both the cost per kwh of electricity and the revenues per kwh of electricity are shown to increase as the level of sales declines. Initially when PCE is eliminated the utility has sales of about 660 thousand kwh and faces a deficit of about $.18 per kwh. This is because the cost per kwh is about $.37 compared to rates charged that generate about $.19 per kwh for the utility. The utility will increase rates to cover the deficit, but this will contract sales to between 450 and 525 thousand kwh depending on the sensitivity of sales to the rate increase up to $.37 per kwh. At this lower level of sales the average cost also is higher. For example at 500 thousand kwh of sales the average cost has risen to about $.43 per kwh.
In Figure 4.2 we see that there is an equilibrium level of sales for this hypothetical utility at which average cost equals average revenue, if sales are not velY sensitive to price, as illustrated by point A. Here the reduction in sales moves along the line II from the initial point.
. However with slightly higher sensitivity of sales, where the reduction in sales moves along the line SS from the initial point, average cost remains above average revenue no matter how much sales are reduced. In this case the utility would be in a "death spiral".
Figure 4.3 is an altemative way to show the idea of the "death spiral" by focusing on the size ofthe utility deficit. When the PCE disbursement is withdrawn fi"om the utility a deficit opens that must be eliminated by raising rates initially to the full published level. This will reduce sales and necessitate a further increase. The deficit will fall with higher rates, at least up to a point. If the deficit is gone by that point, the utility will survive. If the deficit is not gone the utility will fall into a "death spiral" since rates above that point will only serve to increase the size of the deficit. Figure 4.3 shows the relationship between the size of the rate increase abovc the published rates and the size of the utility deficit. Each higher line is based on a successively more sensitive consumer response to higher rates. For this hypothetical utility the deficit can be eliminated if the sensitivity is less than -.25. At higher sensitivities there is no rate that will eliminate the deficit. The utility falls into a "death spiral".
SENSITIVITY OF SALES TO ELECTRlCITY RATES
A regression analysis using data for 1996 shown as Figure 4.4 suggests that the electricity purchases ofthe average resiclential customer of a PCE utility are positively l'elated to household income and negatively related to the average price of electricity. Specifically the equation shows tbat an increase in the average electricity rate by 100 percent is associated with a reduction in purchases by 21 percent. S
For example for a PCE utility with typical characteristics, such as Alakaket, the
S Tbe coefficient on the price tenn in the double log equation represents the price elasticity [percent decrease in sales / percent increase in price]. In this regression it has a value of -.207. This result is significant at the 95 percent confidence level even though the total explanatory power of the equation is relatively low as reflected by the R square value of .32.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.3
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
residential rate for sales less than 700 kwh per month would increase from $.15 to a full published rate of $.39 if the PCE were eliminated. This represents a 160 percent rate increase which would, assuming a price elasticity of demand of -.2, result in a reduction in electricity use of32 percent for the typical residential customer (-20 percent multiplied by 1.6). This reduction in sales, combined with similar responses by other categories of customers, would require a further increase in the residential rate to $.47 to cover total costs at the lower level of sales. The total residential rate increase, fi-om $.15 to $.47 would be 213 percent and result in a reduction in sales to the typical residential customer of 43 percent (-20 percent multiplied by 2.13).
Rate increases of this magnitude are sure to have dramatic effects on consumption levels since they are large enough to negatively impact total household disposable income. Furthermore the statistical analysis is only suggestive since the large rate increases that would result from the elimination ofPCE are not reflected in the variation in cunent effective residential rates among the PCE utilities. The effective rates range from about $.1 0 to $.38 per kwh and do not include examples of the experience of consumers facing rates above $.40 per kwh. Consequently our estimated sensitivity of residential sales may be an underestimate.
Residential customers would respond to higher rates by reducing their use of appliances, getting rid of appliances, or terminating use of electricity altogether. We do not have any specific basis for estimating how many customers would stop using electricity altogether although utility spokesmen suggested that this would occur. Clearly the fact that a significant share of households are below the poverty level suggests that some residential customers would forgo electric service because they would be unable to pay their bill at the higher rate. This would further increase the sensitivity of utility sales to rate increases.
"Ve would not expect the response to higher rates to happen all at once. A portion would occur immediately because a higher rate effectively reduces the income of a household, but some of the effect would only show up gradually as appliances aged and were not replaced. A slightly Jlositive trend in average residential use over time from a subset of PCE utilities (described in Section 3.) suggests that the adjustment to the lower PCE rates has taken place over a period of years, and that the adjustment to higher rates would also take place over a period of years rather than immediately.
The substantial rate increase for community facilities would also result in a reduction in use, but we do not have any historical analysis of how electricity use has varied with price for this class of customer. We assume the electricity use by these facilities, as for residential customers, is not very sensitive to price, but that there would be some reduction in use if the rates increased substantially. This class of customers is more varied than residential and includes facilities such as offices, washeterias, and water and sewer facilities. Some of these require constant power, but electricity use could be reduced at some of these facilities. These facilities might also close if the price of electricity became prohibitive.
We would also expect that electricity use by commercial, govemment, and "other" customers would also be sensitive to rates, but we have not estimated the strength ofthat relationship.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.4
. ."
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
SELF GENERATION OF ELECTRICITY
Higher electricity rates would cause some customers to self generate their own electricity. The presence of this phenomenon increases the sensitivity of electricity sales to rate increases above the -.2 elasticity we have estimated and increases the possibility of a "death spiral".
Self generation would be a very expensive alternative for a residential customer because of the high cost of fuel, the investment required in generation equipment, a protective housing, and fuel storage facilities, the lower efficiency of operation compared to utility generation, and the time required to operate and maintain the system. In addition self generation imposes potential environmental costs on a community due to issues surrounding fuel handling and disposal of hazardous wastes.
Although the tlrreshold rate at which self generation becomes economic for a household depends not only on the costs but also on the use characteristics of the household, under almost all circumstances that threshold will be considerably above $1 per kwh and thus rule out self generation as an alternative. For example if the cost offuel to an individual is twice the bulk rate to the utility, the cost of a generator twice that of the utility per kW, and the efficiency is half that of utility generation, then the cost per kwh will easily be above $1 per kwh for self generation.
Of course if a utility were to fall into a "death spiral", some residential customers would self generate rather than do without electricity altogether, but it does not make economic sense to self generate as long as thc utility is in operation.
It is the non-residential customers that have a large electricity requirement that might self generate if electricity rates rose sufficiently. Schools, hospitals, and commercial businesses such as fish processors would be the most likely customers that might choose to self generate if the price of electricity increased, or ifthe reliability of electric service deteriorated. Some of these customers in some communities currently have backup capability in the event of a power outage by the utility, and they could self generate at the cost of running their facilities that are already in place. This could be economically advantageous to the large user at the same time that it loads higher costs onto those smaller customers left with the utility who do not have the capacity to self generate. This increases the vulnerability of small utilities to the "death spiral". In addition the combination of utility generation and self generation could raise the total cost of electricity generation within the community because ofthe loss of any economies of scale associated with a single generation source.
A strategic danger from a strategy of self generation under these circumstances would be that if the utility ceased operation because of a loss of sales and customers, there would cease to be backup generating capacity in the community.
The cost of self generation would be much higher for customers that do not cunently have installed backup capacity since they would need to purchase capacity, and it is unlikely that the full cost would be competitive with utility supplied electricity. However there would
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.5
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
undoubtedly be instances where the self generation threshold was low enough so that rate increase would result in some self generation. Furthennore the closure of a utility would likely force some large users to purchase equipment and generate their own power.
If a utility ceased operation some customers such as the hospitals, schools, water, and sewer facilities would self generate in order to continue operations. The cost of electricity from self generation would be higher than the price of utility electricity, and this higher cost would need to be passed on to customers or others. If there are facilities in a community that require electricity to operate, that electricity must be supplied and paid by some mechanism.
SENSITIVITY OF UTILITY EXPENSES TO SALES
Utility representatives indicated that fuel expenses are generally the only truly variable cost in their operations. The other main categories of expenses are personnel, administration including insurance, maintenance and repairs, depreciation, and interest. As long as the number of customers and the physical plant do not change, the expenses associated with operation and maintenance will not vary much with variation in the number of kwh sold. Forced reductions in these expenses would result in a deterioration in the quality of service and early retirement of facilities.
Fuel expense as a share of total costs varies across utilities. Overall it makes up a little less than 1/3 of the total, but it is less important for smaller utilities. Thus if fuel is the only variable expense, the capability ofreducing total expenses in response to a reduction in sales is limited and the average cost per kwh will be very sensitive to reductions in sales. For example for 1996 Elim reported sales of about 677 thousand kwh with expenses of $237 thousand resulting in an average cost of generation of about $.35 per kwh. Figure 4.5 shows how the average cost would rise as generation/sales declined. The higher line represents the response based on their actual cost structure where about 114 of total costs are fuel expenses. We see that the average cost increases at an increasing rate as generation/sales decline. As generation falls from 675 to 575 thousand kwh the average cost increases from $.35 to $.396 per kwh, an increase of $.046. As generation falls from 575 to 475 thousand kwh the average cost increases from $.396 to $.46, and increase of $.064.
The lower line shows the change in average cost in response to reduced generation if the fuel expense were 113 of the total rather than 1/4. This line would also represent a situation where fuel expense was 114 of the total but some other expenses could he reduced in response to a reduction in sales. We see that when a larger share of total costs are variable, the average cost of generation does not rise as fast with reductions in generation. However the difference is not very pronounced over a broad range of generation levels. At a generation level of 475 thousand kwh for example the average cost of generation in the case of more flexibility with respect to expenses (1/3 of total expenses) is $.45 compared to $.46 if only 114 of expenses are variable.
Some expenses submitted to the Alaska Public Utilities Commission by the PCE utilities are not allowed either because they are in excess of minimum efficiency standards or because
(Jlcerep2.wJld) November 16,1998 4.6
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
they are judged not to be necessary or reasonable. Under the pressure to reduce a deficit caused by the tennination of the PCE program some utilities might be able to reduce or eliminate some ofthese costs. Elimination of any of these costs would help to avoid a "death spiral". We did not conduct a detailed analysis to try to determine the extent of these disallowed costs or the categories of such costs. However we calculated that overall about 77 percent of submitted eligible costs were allowed and about 81 percent of eligible costs were allowed for the typical (median) utility. The range of percentages extended from a low of28 percent to a high of 100 percent. This suggests that the opportunity for cost reductions from the elimination ofthese disallowed costs is limited.
IMPACTS ON CUSTOMERS
Elimination ofPCE would force customers both to pay more for electricity and to use less. The tradeoff between the size of the increase in the bill and the size of the reduction in use depends upon how sensitive use is to the price of electricity. For the typical utility and customer we calculate that the monthly electricity bill might increase by 80 percent at the same time that use of electricity fell by 40 percent (consistent with an increase in the rate by 200 percent). If use were less sensitive to price the bill would increase by a larger percentage, but use would fall by a smaller percentage.
Figure 4.6 shows graphically how that tradeoff depends upon the sensitivity of use to the rate. Ifthere were no price sensitivity of use the entire burden would be in the foml of a monthly bill about 130 percent above the PCE level and a reduction in purchases of other goods and services to finance that higher bill. With increasing price sensitivity a portion of the burden is shifted away from a higher monthly bill toward lower monthly use. At a price elasticity of about -.35 the burden would consist entirely of a reduction in electricity use of about 65 percent with no increase in the electricity bill above the PCE level. If the price sensitivity were greater the total electricity bill would actually decline, but such a high level of price sensitivity for the typical residential customer is unlikely.
Residential customers will also indirectly pay a share of the increase in electricity rates experienced by community facility and commercial customers. These users will pass through a portion of any rate increases to their customers in the fonn of higher prices, or to their employees in the fonn of lower wages. In most cases these customers and workers are members of the households in the community.
The other customer classes of govenmlent and "other" will not experience rate increases as large as the residential, commercial, and community facility classes. Since govemment consists of state and federal govemment customers, increased electric bills will not directly effect the local economy or households. Most utilities do not have customers in the "other" category.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16,1998 4.7
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 4.1
, COST OF ELECTRICITY I RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMER
I SO.50 ,-----------,
I $0040
I ! SO.30 'I<
Il:' I ~ $0.20
i SO.10
!. SO.OO
"
peE KVVH AVG KWH PUBLISHED POST peE
,----------------------'
"ICOST OF ELECTRICITY . COMMERCIAL CUSTOMER
SO.50 r------------------,
, SOAO 1
! SO.30 I I< w
" '''' ~ SO.20 w o
SO.10
SO.OO peE K'.VH AVG KWH PUBl1SHEO POST peE
COST OF ELECTRICITY COMMUNITY CUSTOMER
SO.50 ,--------------,
SOAO
J:
~ SO.30 I< w
" '" ~ SO.20 w o
SO.10
SO.OO peE KWH AVG K\\'H PUBllSHED POST PCE
rC-osr6F ELECTRICITY I GOVT & OTHER CUSTOMER
SO.50 ,---.-.--.--.. ---.---------,
J:
~ SO.30
'" w
I
I I
II
I
" ~ SO.20 w o
SO.10
SO.OO'
1_. __ ._ peE KWH AVG KWH PUBLISHED POST peE
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.8
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 4.2
WHEN GENERATION DECLINES BOTH AVERAGE COST AND REVENUE INCREASE--BUT NOT EQUALLY
$1.00 ,--~-~---~------~-----~-----,
I .~ ~ $0.80 ..... ............... ~~.
w CL fif)
o o w (') $0.60
r2 w ;:;:
w
$0.40 ~ ::J Z w >
I w n::: w (')
, I
r2 ! w $0.20 I· ;:;:
I I
$0.00 I 0
.-J
100 200 300 400 500 Thousands
SALES I GENERATION IN KWH
600 700
I l~COST PER KW~-~~~~~.-D-E-M·A~ND~AT~.2~E~LA~S-T·~~~~~;;- !
1 .. _ ... _.~~~,=~=D=EM=A=N=D=AT=.2=5=E=LA=S=T=IC=IT=Y==.=D=E=M=A=N=D=A=T=.=3=EL=A=S=T:::IC=IT=Y=(=S=S:l.....~_.J
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.9
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 4.3
RAISING RATES REDUCES THE DEFICIT-UP TO A POINT
$40 ,-----~-------7
/ ~-~-------
$20 f-0 LL (f)
W -0 C
0 co $0 f-(f) ::J
W 0 (') .c 0 I-
::J CO
($20)
($40) 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200%
110% 130% 150% 170% 190% PERCENT OF PUBLISHED RATE
1_ ELASTICTfY -.3 -l:1.AS-TICTrY= .25
- ELASTICITY =.2 - ELASTICITY = .15
ITHE MORE RESPONSIVE SALES ARETa RATE INCREASES-,\ELASTICITYj l THE LESS LIKELY A UTILITY CAN WIPE OUT A DEFICIT
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.10
Power Cost Equalizatiou
w
'" ~ ~ w 0 iii w ~
of ~ z z < w
~ w ~
w
'" ~ ~ z w 0 iii w « ~
~ z z < w
~ w ~
(pcerep2.wpd)
Economic Significance
FIGURE 4.4
PRICE AND INCOME ELASTICITY OF PCE UTILITY RESIDENTIAL DEMAND
DOUBLE LOG REGRESSION
------
! "
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
.{I.207 0.089
0.445 0.065
3.254 134
0.320
[----
PRICE COEFFICIENT = PRICE ELASTICITY STANDARD ERROR OF COEFFICIENT
HOUSEHOLD INCOME COEFFICIENT = INCOME ELASTICIT STANDARD ERROR OF COEFFICIENT
CONSTANT OBSERVATIONS R2
RELATIONSHIP OF HH INCOME AND ELECTRIC SALES
.-.'
~---.---------. ---R
----.----
•
• •
,-
." " . __ • __ a ___ • • • , .. . _. -o.
•
SO S20 S40 S60 S80 Thousands
AVERAGE HH tNcm.1E
RELATIONSHIP O'F-AVG RESIDENTIAL PRICE AND ELECTRIC SALES
12,----
10 • • • 8 - --_ ..
I' • .. 6 -.--1.,..-- -• "" . • ..... • 4 -:w. rr ...
• -!Ie. ... 1b • 2
... •• 'II tt:\: ...... • . . - - . . I • •
0 SO.OO SO.10 $0.20 SO.30 SO.40 SO.50
1 AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL PRICE PER KWH
November 16, 1998 4.11
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 4.5
ICOST AS A FUNCTION OF GENERATION I $5.00
'" '" $4.00 I -.~, -- --.~- .. ~ ... --. . --- - -- --" .. _-._- ------- -_.
~ II a::
w $3.00 1--- _. -.- - - ---n. f--if) 0 0 $2.00 --- - .. .- .-- . -- - ._- -
W <.9
i2 w $1.00 -----~- -- ---- - -- -- --. -~
-'--0 __ . -
~
$0.00 ."--"-' '--h'.I',] '" . "',," .,-,-, """"",,,,,,'-"'1' '-,' , ""'''''-'," '''' -.... ".,.,,'.- ., 0 250,000 500.000 750,000 1,000,000
GENERATION (KWH)
1_ FUEL EXPENSE 1/4 OF TOTAL _ FUEL EXPENSE 1/3 OF TOTAL I [ELIMI
I !COST AS A FUNCTION OF GENERATIONll
! $0601
~ I , I I j
i ~ $0551-~ I
:!S0501" i [ III I I (L I
I l;; $0.45. I 18 -......::~ i
II ::l""""""=:"",,,,~1 375,000 475,000 575,000 675,000 I GENERATION (KWH) i
1'_--;FC;-U;;cE-;-L-"E~XP;C;;E'"'N~SC=E-:;-17;14=OFTClTAL _ FUEL EXPENSE 1/3 OF TOTA~I
[ELIMI L..-______ . ____ _
November 16, 1998 4.12
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 4.6
THE TRADEOFF OF A HIGHER ELECTRICITY BILL AND LESS ELECTRICITY USE
150% ,--~~~~~~------------~
~O.1 ...J 100% ---··---~~.16· ._ ..
~ "'.. 0.18
5 ~ ~ '"%0 ~. z .Q~ w (/) <{ w a: o z ~ o
\0.26
~ 0.28 \
0% f-I------------"\---i u 0.4
\ " 0.5
·50% L--__ ~~_L~~ __ ~~_~ ___ ~ __ J
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% % REDUCTION IN ELECTRICITY
I I WHERE THE CUSTOMER END~'-OP DEPENDS 6-1'1 -I [HIS SENSITIVITY TO PRICE INCREASE (PRICE ELASTICITY OF DEMAND)
'----.. _... .~-~
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.13
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 4.14
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
5. ELIMINATION OF THE POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM--EFFECTS ON SOME REPRESENTATIVE COMMUNITIES
Because each community is different we cannot predict the effect of the elimination of the Power Cost Equalization Program on each one. The chati below shows the wide range of characteristics among the PCE communities and utilities. No single community or utility can be identified as the minimum, median (50 percent above and 50 percent below that level), or maximum for all these characteristics.
Community / Utility Characteristic
Population Household Income
PCE Payment to Community Total Per Eligible KWH Per Residential Customer Share of Total Revenues
Sales (kwh) Fuel Price Residential/Total Sales
Residential Rate (kwh) Published PCE Eligible
Residential Sales/Customer (kwh) Monthly Residential Bill
WithoutPCE NetofPCE
Annual Average Residential Bill Actual Bill PCE Support
Minimum
11 $9,141
$5,467 $.02 $63 5%
21,452 $.71 11%
$.15 $.10
644
$24 $16
$188 $41
Median
264 $35,203
$71,363 $.22 $1,059 31%
651,507 $1.14 41%
$.42 $.17
3,921
$121 $66
$790 $696
Maximum
5,195 $84,964
$813,312 $.40 $2,733 60%
32,564,724 $2.26 85%
$.62 $.38
10,201
$320 $236
$2,831 $1,725
Source: 1996 Statistical Report of the Power Cost Equalization Program. Data based on all 170 reporting communities.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.1
Power Cost Equalization Economi c Significance
In this section we examine what the effect of elimination ofPCE is likely to be on three places. They have been chosen to be representative of the range of characteristics of the 190 communities served by PCE. Elim has many characteristics of the median PCE community, meaning that about half the communities are larger and half are smaller, although it is not the median in all characteristics. Shageluk is one of the smallest of the communities, and Nome is representative of the largest of the PCE communities. For comparative purposes we have included a similar analysis of several additional communities in an appendix.
The analysis in this section is based on the information for fiscal year 1996 reported by the utilities to the Division of Energy together with assumptions regarding the sensitivity of sales to rates and the sensitivity ofthe average cost of generation to the level of sales. Based on the discussion from the previous Section we make the following assumptions:
1. The price elasticity of demand for electricity among residential, community facility, and commercial customers is -.2. Elasticity is -.1 (sales are less sensitive to rates) for government and "other" customers.
2. No customers switch to self generation at higher rates. 3. Fuel expenses are the only variable cost for utilities.
ELIM--A TYPICAL PCE DEPENDENT UTILITY
Elim is representative of the typical PCE community and utility in many ways (Figure 5.1, part 4). The community has a popUlation of281, annual sales ai'e 677,326 kwh, the fuel price is $1.08 per gallon, and residential use per customer is 4,202 kwh per year. The cost of electricity generation is about 41 cents per kwh and the residential consumer, after the PCE adjustment, pays about 17 cents for an eligible kwh. The utility receives $941 annualIy on behalf of the average residential customer.
Elim differs from the average PCE utility in that it is more heavily dependent on PCE payments than most. 68 percent of its kwh are eligible for PCE and it receives 40 percent of its revenues from PCE.
With elimination of$l13 thousand ofPCE payments, rates increase and sales decline until an equilibrium is reached where revenues and expenses are balanced without PCE. The conditions under which this happens are shown in Figure 5.1, part 1.
The average residential rate increases from 19 to 55 cents, 190 percent. The impact on the typical household is a reduction in sales of 38 percent while the typical residential electric bill increases by 80 percent (Figure 5.1, part 3). The typical household is spending 4.4 percent of its income for 217 kwh per month. Including the cost of electricity for the operation of community facilities (paid by local residents), the typical household is paying 6.1 percent of its income for electricity generation. The average household cost of electricity, including community facilities is $1,954.
Total sales falls by 30 percent but expenses fall by only 7 percent because the only
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.2
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
variable cost is fuel. Consequently the cost of generation increases from 41 cents per kwh to 55 cents, an increase of 33 percent.
The burden on the community from the ternlination ofPCE depends upon the share ofthe added costs of electricity that can be shifted outside the community. We assume that local residents pay the entire cost of additional residential and community facility rates, 1/3 of the cost of a higher commercial rate, but none of the cost of a higher government rate (There are no sales in the "other" category.). As a result the local burden measured as the loss of household purchasing power is $73.5 thousand (Figure 5.1, part 2) which represents about 3.1 percent of the household income of the community. About $21 thousand of the burden is shifted outside the community.
Elim is able to fully recover its costs of operation at the higher rates through a combination of reduced fuel expenditures, a higher residential rate, and higher rates for other classes of cnstomers (Figure 5.1, part 3). However if the customer response to the higher rates is more pronounced (the price elasticity of demand is 30 percent rather than 20 percent), the utility would face a deficit that it could not eliminate through rate increases and it would fall into a "death spiral".
Figure 5.2 shows the outcome for Elim if customer lise is more sensitive to rates. The utility would have a deficit (negative balance) of$45 thousand out of total expenses of$254 thousand. Either raising or reducing rates would increase the size of this deficit. The deficit would need to be covered from an outside source if the utility were to remain financially viable.
Under this severe stress it is unlikely that the utility would be able to continue in operation.
NOME--A LARGE PCE UTILITY
Nome is the third largest PCE utility, after Bethel and Unalaska, in tC1111S of electricity sales and about 40 times larger than the typical (median) sized PCE utility (Figure 5.3). The community has a population of3,984, annual sales are 26,039,748 kwh, the fuel price is $.71 per gallon, and residential use per customer is 5,995 kwh per year. The cost of electricity is about 20 cents per kwh and the residential rate, after the PCE adjustment, for an eligible kwh is about 15 cents. The utility receives $200 annually on behalf of the average residential customer.
Nome is less dependent on PCE payments than all but a few PCE utilities. 33 percent of its kwh are eligible for PCE, but it receives only 8 percent of its revenues from PCE.
With elimination of$399 thousand ofPCE payments the average residential rate increases from 16 to 20 cents, 23 percent. Residential sales fall by 5 percent and the typical electric bill increases by 17 percent. The typical household is spending 1.8 percent of its income for 477 kwh per month. Including the cost of electricity for the operation of community facilities, the typical household is paying 2.1 percent of its income for electricity generation, in
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.3
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
spite of the fact that community facility usage falls 6 percent. The average household cost of electricity, including community facilities, is $1,373.
Total sales falls by 2 percent but expenses fall by only 1 percent because the only variable cost is fuel. Consequently the cost of generation increases 2 percent.
Because of the limited dependence of the utility on PCE, Nome is able to continue operations, but the typical residential customer experiences a 17 percent increase in his bill.
SHAGELUK--A SMALL PCE DEPENDENT UTILITY
Shageluk is one of the smallest communities served by a PCE utility. The community has a population of 144, millual sales are 254,361 kwh, the fuel price is $1.11 per gallon, and residential use per customer is 3,355 kwh per year. The cost of electricity is about 37 cents per kwh and the residential rate, after the PCE adjustment, is about 10 cents for an eligible kwh. The utility receives $915 annually on behalf of the average residential customer.
Shageluk differs from the average PCE utility in that it is more heavily dependent on PCE payments than most. About 80 percent of its kwh are eligible for PCE, and it receives 59 percent of its revenues from PCE.
With elimination of PCE the residential rate increases from 10 to 42 cents, 326 percent. Residential sales fall by 65 percent and the typical electric bill increases by 48 percent. The typical household is spending 1.4 percent of its income for 97 kwh per month. Including the cost of electricity for the operation of community facilities, the typical household is paying about 1.9 percent of its income for electricity generation, in spite of the fact that community facility usage falls 69 percent. The average household cost of electricity, including community facilities, is $663.
Total sales falls by 49 percent but expenses fall by only 15 percent because the only variable cost is fuel. Consequently the cost of generation increases from 37 cents per kwh to 62 cents, an increase of 67 percent.
At the higher rates this utility is not financially viablc. It has a deficit (negative balance) of $26 thousand out of a total budget of $80 thousand. This deficit cannot be reduced by raising or lowering rates. This utility could not survive without external financial assistance.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.4
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.5
Power Cost Equalization
WITH PCE
677,325
315,144 201,650 131,178 29,354
o
$279,695
$62,350 $174,912
$42,432
$0.41
$279,695
$59,602 $73.030 $22,Q38 $12,123
SO
$112,901
SO
SALES (KWH) .
Residential Commercial
Community Facility Goyernment
Other
EXPENSES ($)
Fuel Non Fuel
()t)", Cost f Kwh
REVENUES ($)
Residential Commercial
Commllnity Facility Government
Other
peE
BALANCE
peE I REVENUES Dependency Ratio
FIGURE 5.1 (part 1)
PCE IMPACT (PART 1.)
WITHOUT PCE
.476,826
195,597 180,973 71,660 28,396
o
$261,238
$43,893 $174.912
$42,432
$0.55
$261,226
$107,157 $99,145 $39,368 $15,556
SO
SO
(SI2)
ELIM
CHANGE AMOUNT 'I.
200,500
119.547 20,677 59,318
95. o
($18.457)
($18,457) SO SO
$0.13
($18,.168)
$47,555 $26,115 $17.330
$3,433 SO
($12)
!-37.9% I Household Impact -10.3% -45.2%
-3.3% ERR
-6.6%
-29.6% 0.0% 0.0%
32.7%
6.6%
I 79.8%! Household Impact 35.8% 78.6% 28.3%
ERR
Economic Significance
AVG PRICE I KW.c"'-____ _ Elasticity
$0.19 $0.36 $0.17 $0,41 $0,41
74 $32,242
$795 $1,069
Residential Commercial
Community Facility Government
Other
HOUSEHOLD DATA
H" IncomefHH
Electric Bill I Res Cust Electric Cost! Res Cust
2.5% Elecltic Bill Share of Income 3.4% Electric Cost Share of Income
4,202 Annual Use Per Res Cust 350 Month[y Use Per Res Cust
(pcerep2.wpd)
$0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55 $0.55
74 $32,242
$1,429 $1,954
4.4% 6.1%
2,606 217
$0.36 $0.19 $0.36 $0.13 $0.13
$634 $665
2.0% 2.7%
(1,594) (133)
189.7% 51.3%
226.1% 32.7% 32.7%
1990 Census 1990 Census
20% 20% 20% 10% 10%
79.8% Includes Residential Only 79.5% Residential, Community Facilities, Other, Defi
79.8% Includes Residential Only 79.5% Residential, Community Facilities, Other, Defi
-37.9% Includes Residential Only -37.9%
November 16, 1998 5.6
Power Cost Equalization
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 5.1 (part 2)
peE IMPACT (PART 2.) : COMMUNITY IMPACT
ELIM
Households
Total Household Income
Direct Financial Burden from peE Loss If All Borne by Community
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government OtM, Balance
Direct Financial Burden from peE loss If Some Shifted outside Community
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government
00", Balance
local Burdon Share
100% 33%
100% 0%
100% 100%
Percent Decline in HH Income from peE loss
Amount Shifted Outside Community
74
$2,385,936
$94,444
$47,555 $26,115 $11,330 $3,433
SO S12
$73,514
$47,555 $8,618
517 ,330 SO SO
S12
3.1%
$20,930
November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
5.7
Power Cost Equalization
FIGURE 5.1 (part 3)
PCE IMPACT (PART 3.) : FIGURES
ELiM
ELiM
$0,60 ,---'=========~ $0.'10
$0,20
SO.OO Residential Community Other
Commercial Govt
.AVG WITH?C€ oPUBUSHEORATE .WITHOUT peE
$120
$100
$60
" ~ c n
$60 " 0 0 ~
>-$<0
$20
$0 WITH peE
!-",CE"
NOPCE
----~o=R'EDUCEtrroELE5:PENDlTORES
• RESIDENTIAl RATES aNON.RE$IOENTtAl RATES
r AVERAGE RESIDENTiAL Bill ELIM
~
"
$2,000
$1,500
-:J. $1,000 J
I~
$500
$0
I
(pcerep2.wpd)
4
o WITH PCE NO PCE WITH PCE
November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
NOPCE
5.8
Power Cost Equalization
FIGURE 5.1 (part 4)
peE IMPACT (PART 4.) : COMMUNITY AND UTILITY CHARACTERISTICS
(pcerep2.wpd)
ELIM
UTILiTY
POPULATION
KWH SOLD
FUEL PRICE PER GALLON
SHARE OF KWH GENERATED THAT ARE ELIGIBLE FOR peE
UTILITY DEPENDENCY RATIO (peE PAYMENT fTOTAl REVENUES)
peE PAYMENT CALCULATED BY FORMULA
peE PAYMENT CALCULATED BY FORMULA PER HH
peE PAYMENT PER ELIGIBLE KWH (CENTS)
RESIDENTIAL KWH PER CUSTOMER (ANNUAL)
PORTION OF RESIDENTIAL SALES ELIGIBLE FOR peE
RESIDENTIAL SHARE OF TOTAL UTILITY KWH SALES
RESIDENTIAL RATE PER peE ELIGIBLE KWH BEFORE peE PCE
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL BILL
WITH peE
BEFORE peE peE WITH peE
SHARE OF peE PAID TO EACH CUSTOMER CLASS RESIDENTIAL COMMUNITY COMMERCIAL
peE PAYMENT PER CUSTOMER BY CUSTOMER CLASS RESIDENTIAL COMMUNITY COMMERCIAL
November 16, 1998
Elim AVEC
281
677.326
$1.08
68.1%
40.4%
$112,901
SI,526
24.5
4,202
91.4%
46.5%
41.3 24.2 17.1.
$145 $78 $66
62% 28%
9%
$941 S4,591 SI,139
Economic Significance
MEDIAN peE
264
651,507
$1.14
57%
31%
$71,363
$1,059
22.4
3,921
90%
41%
42 22 17
$121 $64 S66
67% 19% 13%
$696 $1,892
$804
5.9
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 5.2 (part 1)
PCE IMPACT (PART 1.)
ELiM (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
WITH WITHOUT CHANGE PCE PCE AMOUNT %
...............................
677,326 SALES (KWH) 398,249 279.077 ·41.2%
315,144 ResIdential 147,489 201,650 Commercial 174,532
167.655 t53.2% I Household Impacl 27.118 ·13.4%
131,178 Community FaCi!ity 47.667 83,511 ·63.7% 29,354 Government 28,581 793 ·2.7%
° Other ° ° ERR
$279,695 EXPENSES {51 5254,005 ($25,690) ·9.2%
562,350 Fuel 536,660 (525,690) ·41.2% 5174,912 Non Fue! 5174,912 SO 0,0%
$42,432 Other $42,432 SO 0,0%
SO.41 Costl Kwh SO.M 50,22 54.5%
5279,695 REVENUES (S) ... . $208,886. (570,809) 25.3%
$59,602 Residential 577,359 $17.757 129.8% I Household Impact 573,030 Commercial $91,544 518,514 25.4% 522,038 Community Facility $25,002 $2,964 13.4% $12,123 Government $14,981 $2,858 23.6%
SO Other SO SO ERR
5112,901 PCE SO
SO BALANCE ($45,119) ($4S,11S)
: <0.4% I peE I REVENUES Dependency RatiO
AVG PRICE f KWH Elasticity
SO.19 Residential $0.52 50.34 177.3% 30% $0.36 Commercial $0.52 50.16 4·1.8% 30% $0.17 Community Facility $0.52 50.36 212,2% 30% $0.41 Government $0.52 SO.II 27.0% 10% $0.41 Other 50.52 SO.11 27.0% 10%
HOUSEHOLD DATA
74 HH 74 1990 Census $32,242 IncomeJHH 532,242 1990 Census
5795 Electric BiUI Res Cus! 51,031 5237 29.8% Includes Residential Only 51,0$9 Ereclrlc Cost J Res Cust 51,365 5276 25.4% Residential, Community Facility, Other, and 0
2.5% Electric BiU Share of Income 3.2% 0.7% 29.8% Includes Residential Only 3.4% Electric Cosl Share of Income 4.2% 0.9% 25.4% Residential, Community Feoli\y, Other, and 0
4,202 Annual Use Per Res Cust 1,967 (2.235) ·53.2% Includes Residential Only 3S0 Monthly Use Per Res Cusl 161 (185) ·53.2%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.10
Power Cost Equalization
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 5.2 (part 2)
PCE IMPACT (PART 2.) : COMMUNITY IMPACT
ElIM (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
Households
Tolal Household Income
DIrect Financial Burden from peE Loss If All Borna by CommunIty
Residential Commercia! Communily Facility Government Other Balance
DIrect Flnanc/al Burden from peE loss If Some shIfted outside CommunIty
local Burden Share
Residential Commercial Commuility Facility GO'lernment Other Balance
100% 33%
100% 0%
100% 100%
Percent Oec~ne in HH Income from peE loss
Amount Shifted Outside Community
74
$87,211
$17.757 $18,514
$2,964 52.858
SO $45,119
$71,950
$17,757 $6,109 S2,964
SO SO
$45,119
3.0%
$15,262
November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
5.11
Power Cost Equalization
" u g , 0 ~ ~
FIGURE 5.2 (part 3)
PCE IMPACT (PART 3.) : FIGURES
ElIM (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
ELECTRICITY RATES EUM (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
S0.40
$0.20
$0.00 Residential Community Other
Commercia! Govl
.AVOVilnlPCE oPUBU$HEORATE
.~·\,lTHOUT peE
REPLACEMENT GF PCE LOSS ELiM (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
$120
S100
$SO
560
$40
$20
SO WITH peE NOPCE
~------=o REOUCWl'OELEXPE!'<OITORE uNON-RESIDEIHLl.l RATES
AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL BILL ELIM (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
$1,200
AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL USE EUfI,t (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
S
$1,000
I ~ $800
I ~ $400
lS2:: --------
WITHPCE NOPCE WITHPCE NOPCE
(pccrep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
5.12
Power Cost Equalization
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 5.2 (part 4)
PCE IMPACT (PART 4.) : COMMUNITY AND UTILITY CHARACTERISTICS
ELIM (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
UTILITY
POPULATION
KWH SOLD
FUEL PRICE PER GALLON
SHARE OF KWH GENERATEo THAT ARE ELIGIBLE FOR peE
UTILITY DEPENDENCY RATIO (peE PAYMENT fTOTAL REVENUES)
peE PAYMENT CALCULATED BY FORMULA
peE PAYMENT CALCULATED BY FORMULA PER HH
peE PAYMENT PER ELIGIBLE KWH (CENTS)
RESIDENTIAL KWH PER CUSTOMER (ANNUAl)
PORTION OF RESIDENTIAL SALES EliGIBLE FOR peE
RESIDENTIAL SHARE OF TOTAL UTllIlY KWH SALES
RESIDENTIAL RATE PER peE ELIGIBLE KWH BEFORE peE PCE WITHPCE
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL BILL BEFORE peE PCE WITHPCE
SHARE OF PCE PAID TO EACH CUSTOMER CLASS RESIDENTIAL COMMUNITY COMMERCIAL
PCE PAYMENT PER CUSTOMER BY CUSTOMER CLASS RESIDENTIAL COMMUNITY COMMERCIAL
November 16, 1998
Elim AVEC
281
677.326
$1.08
68.1%
40.4%
$112,901
$1,526
24.5
4,202
91.4%
46.5%
41.3 24.2 17.1
$145 $78 $66
62% 28%
9%
$941 $4,591 $1,139
Economic Significance
MEDIAN PCE
264
651,507
$1.14
57%
31%
$71,363
$1,059
22.4
3,921
90%
41%
42 22 17
$121 S64 $66
67% 19% 13%
$696 S1,892
$804
5.13
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 5.3 (part 1)
PCE IMPACT (PART 1.)
NOME
WITH WITHOUT CHANGE PCE PCE AMOUNT %
.. _--. ---- ---_. 26,039,748 SALES (KWH) 25,457,496 582,252 -2.2%
8.494,837 ResIdential 8,111.512 383,325 -4.5% I Household Impact 12,822,798 Commercial 12,740.224 82.574 -0.6%
1,763,500 Community Facility 1,652,176 111,324 -6.3% 2,958,613 Government 2,953,583 5,030 -0.2%
0 Other 0 0 ERR
$5,103,798 EXPENSES ($) $5,075,494 (S28,304) -0.6%
$1,265,819 Fuel $1,237,515 ($28,304) -2.2% $2,723,202 Non Fuel $2,723,202 SO 0.0% $1,114,777 Other $1,114,777 SO 0.0%
$0.20 Cost/Kwh $0.20 SO.OO 1.7%
$5,103,798 REVENUES ($) $5,074,494 ($29,305) -0.6%
$1,381,578 Residential $1,616,884 $235,306 L:::iiriJ Household Impact $2,476,263 Commercial $2,539,534 $63,271 2.5%
$267,188 Community Facility $329,331 $62,143 23.3% $579,888 Government $588,744 $8,856 1.5%
So Other SO SO ERR
$398.880 PCE SO
So BALANCE (S1,001) ($1,001) ,~---
:-~ PCE/REVENUES Dependency Ratio
AVG PRICE I KWH Elasticity ----~~---
$0.16 Residential $0.20 $0.04 22.6% 20% $0.19 Commercial $0.20 $O.ot 3.2% 20% $0.15 Community Facility $0.20 $0.05 31.6% 20% SO.20 Government $0.20 $0.00 1.7% 10% SO.20 Other $0.20 $0.00 1.7% 10%
HOUSEHOLD DATA
1119 HH 1119 1990 Census $63,993 Incomt1lHH $63,993 1990 Census
$975 Electric 8illl Res Cust $1,141 $166 17.0% Includes Residential Only $1,164 Electric Cost' Res Cust $1.373 $210 18.0% Residential, Community Fac~ily, Other, and Def
1.5% Electric Bill Share of Income 1.8% 0.3% 17.0% Includes Residential Only 1.8% Electric Cost Share of Income 2.1% 0.3% 18.0% Residential, Community Facility, Other, and Def
5,995 Annual Use Per Res Cust 5,724 (271) ·4.5% Includes Residential Only 500 Monthly Use Per Res Cust 477 (23) -4.5%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.14
Power Cost Equalization
FIGURE 5.3 (part 2)
PCE IMPACT (PART 2.) : COMMUNITY IMPACT
NOME
Households
Tolal Household Income
Direct Financial Burden from peE Loss If All Borne by Community
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government Other Balance
Dlrecl Financial Burden from peE Loss If Some shifted outside Community
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government Olher Balance
local Burden Share
100% 33%
100% 0%
100% 100%
Percent Decline in HH Income from peE loss
Amount Shifted Outside Community
1119
$71,607,826
$370,576
5235,306 $63.271 562.143 $8,856
SO $1,001
5319,329
$235,306 $20,879 562,143
SO SO
Sl,OOl
0.4%
$51,247
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
5.15
Power Cost Equalization
FIGURE 5.3 (part 3)
PCE IMPACT (PART 3.) : FIGURES
NOME
ELECTRICITY RATES NOME
$0.25.---'==========' $0.20
$0.15
$0.10
$0.05
$0.00 Residential Community Other
Commercial Govl
.AVG WITH peE aPUBLISHEORATE
.WITHOUT peE
S~O.-----------------------------,
$400
-2 $300 c ~
~ $200
$100
I I !
m .' I WITH peE NO peE J
• "CE -------D~.RE(iOC'Et}f(JEc_EXPtr;JOm:JRrs
• RESIDENTIAL RATES oNON·RESIDENTIAL RATES
Economic Significance
IIAVERf.:GE RESIDENTIAL BILL I NOME
$1,200
$1,000
AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL US~ NOME
• 6
:l $800 ,iii I~ $600 i~ I~ $400 .<
$200
so o WITH PCE NO PCE WITH PCE NOPCE
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.16
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 5.3 (part 4)
PCE IMPACT (PART 4.) : COMMUNITY AND UTILITY CHARACTERISTICS
(pcerep2.wpd)
NOME
UTILITY
POPULATION
KWH SOLD
FUEL PRICE PER GALLON
SHARE OF KWH GENERATED THAT ARE EliGIBLE FQRPeE
UTILITY DEPENDENCY RATIO (peE PAYMENT fTOTAl REVENUES)
peE PAYMENT CALCULATED BY FORMULA
peE PAYMENT CALCULATED BY FORMULA PER HH
peE PAYMENT PER ELIGIBLE KWH {CENTS}
RESIDENTIAL KWH PER CUSTOMER (ANNUAL)
PORTION OF RESIDENTIAL SALES ELIGIBLE FOR peE
RESIDENTIAL SHARE OF TOTAL UTILITY KWH SALES
RESIDENTIAL RATE PER peE ELIGIBLE KWH BEFORE peE PCE
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL Bill
WITH peE
BEFOREPCE peE WITHPCE
SHARE OF peE PAID TO EACH CUSTOMER CLASS RESIDENTIAL COMMUNllY COMMERCIAL
peE PAYMENT PER CUSTOMER BY CUSTOMER CLASS RESIDENTIAL COMMUNITY COMMERCIAL
November 16, 1998
Nome Joint Ulitit
3984
26,039,748
$0.71
33.3%
7.8%
$398,880
$356
4.6
5,995
72.5%
32.6%
19.6 5.0
14.6
S9a S17 sa,
71% 20% 9%
$200 $1,825
$163
MEDIAN PCE
264
651,507
$1.14
57%
31%
$71,363
$1.059
22.4
3,921
90%
41%
42 22 17
$121 $64 S66
67% 19% 13%
$696 $1,892
$804
5.17
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 5.4 (part 1)
PCE IMPACT (PART 1.)
SHAGELUK
WITH WITHOUT CHANGE PCE PCE AMOUNT % _._-_. ---_. ----------_ ..
254,361 SAlES/KWHI 1291612 124,749 -49.0%
124,119 ResldenUal 43,149 80,910 1-65.2%1 Household Impact 80,249 Commercial 71,064 9,185 -11.4% 49,993 Community Facility 15,399 34,594 -69.2%
0 Government 0 0 ERR 0 Other 0 0 ERR
$94,290 EXPENSES IS} $aO,310 (SI3,SSO) -14.8%
$28,505 Fuel $14,525 (S13.980) -49.0% $65,686 Non Fuel $65.?86 SO 0.0%
$99 Other S99 $0 0.0%
SO.37 Cost/Kwh $0.62 $0.25 67.2%
$94,290 REVENUES I$} $54,337 (539.953) -42.4%
$12,210 Residential $18,089 $5,B80 L4§,-ZYQJ Household Impact $21,397 Commercial $29,792 $8,395 39.2% $4,699 Community Facmly $6,456 $1,756 37.4%
SO Government $0 $0 ERR $0 Other $0 $0 ERR
$55,984 PCE $0
$0 BALANCE (S25,973) ($25,973)
159.4%1 PCE I REVENUES Dependency Ratio
AVG PRICE I KWH Elasticity
$0.10 Residential $0.42 $0,32 326.2% 20% $0.27 Commercia! $0.42 $0.15 57.2% 20% $0.09 Community Facility $0.42 $0.33 346.0% 20% $0.37 Government $0.42 $0.05 13.0% 10% $0.37 Other $0.42 $0.05 13.0% 10%
HOUSEHOLD DATA
39 HH 39 1990 Census $34,457 IncomeIHH $34,457 1990 Census
$330 Electric 8iH I Res Cust $489 $159 48.2% Includes Residential Only $457 Electric Cost I Res Cust $663 $208 45.2% Residential, Community facility, Other, and Deficit
1.0% Electric 8m Share of Income 1.4% 0.5% 48.2% Inctudes Residential Only 1.3% Electric Cost Share of Income 1.9% 0.6% 45.2% Residential, Community Facility, Other, and Deficit
3,355 Annual Use Per Res Cust 1,166 (2,188) -65.2% Includes Residential Only 280 Monthl:i Use Per Res Cust 97 (182) -65.2%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.18
Power Cost Equalization
FIGURE 5.4 (part 2)
PCE IMPACT (PART 2.) : COMMUNITY IMPACT
SHAGELUK
Households
Tolal Household Income
Direct Financial Burden from peE Loss If All Borne by Community
Residentia! Commercial Community Facility Government Other Balance
Direct Financial Burden from peE loss If Some shifted outside Community
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government Other Balance
Local Burden Share
100% 33%
100% 0%
100% 100%
Percent Decline in HH Income (rom peE loss
Amount Shifted Outside Community
39
$1,343,818
$42,004
$5,880 $8,395 $1,756
$0 SO
$25,973
$36,379
$5,880 $2,770 $1,756
SO $0
$25,973
2.7%
$5,625
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
5.19
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 5.4 (part 3)
PCE IMPACT (PART 3.) : FIGURES
SHAGELUK
ELECTRICITY RATES SHAGELUK
$0.50.---'==========---. $0.40 HIllllIlilIlIiIIHIIIII-
$0.30
$0.20
$0.10
$0.00 Residential Community Other
Commercia! Go'll
I_AVG WITH peE ClPUBL1$HEO RATE .\'.rlTHOUT PCE
rREPlACEMENT OF PCE lOSS I SHAGELUK
SM,-----------------,
$40 .
So WITH peE . ~~~------
• RESIDENTIAL RATES
I I ! I !
NO PC""E=-'.J---~ I o REDUCEO-rOELEXPER01TORES J o NON·REStDENTIAl RATES
!AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL Bill I AVERAGE RESIDENTiAL USE SHAGELUK i SHAGELUK
S60mo~==========~ 4 ~========:
::1 $400 ,ill ; z ~ $200
so WITH PCE WITH PCE NOPCE
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 5.20
Power Cost Equalization
(pcerep2.wpd)
FIGURE 5.4 (part 4)
PCE IMPACT (PART 4.) : COMMUNITY AND UTILITY CHARACTERISTICS
SHAGELUK
UTILITY
POPULATION
KWH SOLO
FUEL PRICE PER GALLON
SHARE OF KWH GENERATED THAT ARE ELIGIBLE FOR peE
UTILITY DEPENDENCY RATIO (peE PAYMENT I TOTAL REVENUES)
peE PAYMENT CALCULATED BY FORMULA
peE PAYMENT CALCULATED BY FORfvlULA PER HH
peE PAYMENT PER ELIGIBLE KWH (CENTS)
RESIDENTIAL K\'\IH PER CUSTOMER (ANNUAL)
PORTION OF RESIDENTIAL SALES ELIGIBLE FOR peE
RESIDENTIAL SHARE OF TOTAL UTILITY KWH SALES
RESIDENTIAL RATE PER peE ELIGIBLE KWH BEFORE peE PCE
MONTHLY RESIDENTIAL Bill
WITH peE
BEFORE peE PCE WITH peE
SHARE OF peE PAID TO EACH CUSTOMER CLASS RESIDENTIAL COMMUNITY COMMERCIAL
peE PAYMENT PER CUSTOMER BY CUSTOMER CLASS RESIDENTIAL COMMUNITY COMMERCIAL
November 16, 1998
Shageluk AVEC
144
254,361
$1.11
79.6%
59.4%
$55,984
$1.435
27.7
3.355
98.4%
48.8%
37.1 27.0 10.0
$104 $76 $27
60% 25% 15%
$915 $2,770 $1,675
Economic Significance
MEDIAN peE
264
651,507
51.14
57%
31%
571,363
$1,059
22.4
3.921
90%
41%
42 22 17
$121 $64 $66
67% 19% 13%
$696 51,892
$804
5.21
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
November 16, 1998 5.22
Power Cost Equalization Ecouomic Significance
6. ELIMINATION OF THE POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM--AGGREGATE EFFECTS ON UTILITIES AND CUSTOMERS
ALL peE UTILITIES
The effect of elimination of Power Cost Equalization (PCE) would be different for each community. We can however characterize and summarize the total effect of elimination ofPCE by aggregating all the PCE utilities together and treating them as one utility. The analysis in this section is based on information for fiscal year 1996 for utilities providing complete information and the following assumptions:
1. The price elasticity of demand for electricity among residential, community facility, and commercial customers is -.2. Elasticity is -.1 (sales are less sensitive to rates) for government and "other" customers.
2. No customers switch to self generation at higher rates. 3. Fuel expenses are the only variable cost for utilities.
Figure 6.1, part 1 shows that with the termination of $14.747 million ofPCE payments lO
the residential rate for the average household increases from 18 to 33 cents, 80 percent. Residential sales fall by 18 percent and the typical electric bill increases by 47 percent. The typical household is spending 2.9 percent of its income for 337 kwh per month. Including the cost of electricity for the operation of community facilities, the typical household is paying 3.6 percent of its income for electricity generation, in spite of the fact that community facility usage falls 25 percent. The average household cost of electricity, including community facilities, is $1,682.
Total sales falls by 10 percent but expenses fall by only 3 percent because the only variable cost is fuel. Consequently the cost of generation increases from 29 cents per kwh to 31 cents, an increase of 7 percent.
i\llost of the loss of$14.747 million ofPCE payments, $9.901 million, represents a loss in purchasing power D:om the residents of the PCE communities. $7.039 million is taken from residential customers, $6.830 million directly through higher bills, and $.209 million in the recovery of deficits for utilities facing a "death spiral". $3.368 million is taken from commercial customers, of which we assume 1/3 is paid by local residents and 2/3 is shifted outside the effected communities. $1.729 million is paid by community facilities, which is passed back in higher bills and taxes to local residents. $.467 million is paid by the state and federal
10 This analysis is based on the 134 utilities for which complete infonnation is available for 1996.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.1
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
government and the "other" category of customers. $2.353 million of the loss in PCE payments is absorbed through reductions in fuel purchases.
The residential impact is different for each ofthe utilities. For several the reduction in residential use is less than 20 percent while the increase in cost is less than 60 percent. At the other extreme a few have a reduction in residential use of over 60 percent with an increase in cost of nearly 60 percent. For a large share of the utilities the residential impact is a reduction in electricity use between 20 percent and 60 percent with an increase in cost of more than 60 percent (Figure 6.2).
OVERVIEW EXCLUDING THE LARGEST PCE UTILITIES
Excluding the 5 largest PCE utilities from the analysis (Nome, Kotzebue, Naknek, Nushagak, and Tok)", the impact of the termination ofPCE payments is more pronounced (Figure 6.3).
With elimination of$12.747 million ofPCE payments (excluding the 5 largest PCE utilities) the average residential rate increases from 19 to 40 cents, 107 percent. Residential sales now falJ by 24 percent and the typical electric bill increases by 57 percent. The typical household is spending 3.3 percent of its income for 277 kwh per month. Including the cost of electricity for the operation of community facilities, the typical household is paying 4.3 percent of its income for electricity generation, in spite of the fact that community facility usage falls 30 percent. The average household cost for electricity, including community facilities, is $1,745.
Total sales falls by 14 percent but expenses fall by only 4 percent because the only variable cost is fuel. Consequently the cost of generation increases from 35 cents per kwh to 39 cents, an increase of 11 percent.
DISTRIBUTION OF EFFECTS
The pattern of the distribution of effects of termination ofPCE across communities can be seen from a set of graphs generated from this aggregate analysis.
Residential electricity rates rise in all communities with the termination of the PCE. The increase is modest in a few communities, but double or triple in many. For most communities the residential rate after tennination ofPCE is more than $.40. There is little relation between the rates before and after tern1ination ofPCE(Figure G.4A and G.4B).
Residential consumption per customer falls in each community with the rate increase, but
J I Data for three large utilities--Bethel, Unalaska, and Cordova--was incomplete and these were among the utilities excluded from this aggregate analysis.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.2
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
the percent reductions in use are smaller than the percent rate increases. This reflects the assumption that use is relatively insensitive to the electricity price because electricity is important to the consumer, particularly at low levels of use (Figure 6.5).
In spite of reduced consumption residential electricity bills rise with the tennination of PCE. The increase is generally proportional to the size of the bill before PCE tennination but there is considerable variation across utilities (Figure 6.6).
The number of utilities the fall into a "death spiral" is small, as indicated by an operating deficit after adjusting to a lower level of operations (Figure 6.7).
One measure of loss to the community from the tennination of the PCE is the loss of purchasing power associated with higher electricity rates. Figure 6.8 shows the distribution of that loss across utilities as well as how it is distributed among the various classes of customers. For most communities the loss is less than $100 thousand, but in virtually all cases the direct burden falls mostly on households.
Another measure of the burden of the tennination of the PCE is the share of household income that is devoted to paying for electricity, including both the direct burden from a higher residential rate, and the indirect burden from a higher community facility rate. Figure 6.9 shows that this burden exceeds 15 percent in two communities and is greater than 5 percent in almost half. It is less than 2.5 percent in only about 20 percent of the communities.
FINANCIALLY VULNERABLE UTILITIES
Using the residual operating deficit after adjustment as the measure, only a handful of utilities appear to be financially vulnerable to the termination of the PCE program, if we assume that customer use of electricity is very insensitive to rates (price elasticity of -.2). As discussed in Section 4 of this report there may well be reason to believe that utility electricity demand many be more sensitive than this for several reasons.
First, the residential rate increases projected with the termination of the PCE program are outside the range of cunent rates that residential consumers face. The response to a doubling or tripling of the electricity rate could be qualitatively different from that of a smaller increase. This is particularly the case the larger the share of income that is allocated to paying for electricity. Second, some residential customers might choose to drop their utility connection altogether. Finally, some customers, most likely commercial or community facility customers, might choose to self generate. All of these factors suggest that the sensitivity of electricity sales to rate increases might be higher than -.2.
In order to investigate the sensitivity of PCE utilities in the aggregate to the assumption of the sensitivity of sales to price, we calculated the impact using -.3 as the price elasticity assumption for residential, conllmnity facility, and commercial sales. The result was a dramatic increase in the number of utilities that fell into a "death spiral" and were unable to adjust their
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.3
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
generation and rates to cover their costs. Figure 6.10 shows that 71 ofthe 134 utilities" were unable to avoid an aggregate deficit of $2.440 million. Figure 6.11 shows that for most of these financial vulnerable utilities the deficit represented more than 10 percent of their non-fuel expenses and consequently a significant share oftheir total expenses.
A strict interpretation of these results is that about half the PCE communities would lose utility electricity without some alternative source of external assistance. Because the analysis is aggregate, and we have been unable to review the results for each ofthe 134 individual communities, we conclude that the utilities in the aggregate are very vulnerable financially to the termination of the PCE program.
Figure 6.12 provides a summary of the aggregate effects in this case. The results net of the 5 largest utilities are reported in Figure 6.13.
12 This is all the communities for which complete information for 1996 was available.
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.4
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(p cerep2. wp d) November 16, 1998 6.5
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.1 (part 1)
PCE IMPACT (PART 1.)
ALL peE UTILITIES
WITH WITHOUT CHANGE PCE PCE AMOUNT %
--------
227,245,209 SALES (KWH) 205,339,824 21,905,385 ·9,6%
79,417,373 ResIdential 65,030,486 14,385,687 [is.1%] household impact 95,833,605 Commercia! 92,936,685 2.896,919 -3-:0% 18,185,622 Community Facility 13,713,074 4,472,548 -24.6% 28,548,517 Government 28,407,146 141,311 -0.5%
5,260,092 Other 5,252.433 7,659 -0.1%
$56,488,447 EXPENSES ( $) $64,344.587 ($2.143,860) ·3.2%
$19,008,858 Fuel $16,864,998 ($2.143,660) -11.3% $38,452,890 Non·Fuel 538,452,890 $0 0,0%
$9,026,699 00" $9,026,699
$0.29 CostlKwh $0.31 $0.02 7.1%
$66,488,447 REVENUES (S) $64,135,393 (SZ,353,053) 3.5%
$14.424.169 Residential $21.253.829 $6.829,660 I 47.3"] household impact $25,245,023 Commercial $28,612,574 $3,367.551 13.3%
$3,094,234 Community Facifity $4,823,179 $1,728,944 55.9% $8,008,811 Government $8,453,937 $445,125 5.6%
$959,517 Other $991,875 $22,357 2.3%
$14,746.592 PCE SO (S14,537,499)
BALANCE ($209,193) ($209,193)
Lfuil PCE I REVENUES Dependency Ratio
AVG PRICE I KWH Elasticity
$0.18 Residential $0.33 $0.15 79.9% 20% $0.26 Commercial $0.31 $0.04 16.9% 20% $0.17 Community Facility $0.35 $0.18 106.7% 20% $0.28 Government $0.30 $0.02 6.1% 10% $0.18 Other $0.19 $0.00 2.5% 10%
HOUSEHOLD DATA
13,055 HH 13,055 1990 Census $46,120 IncornefHH $46,120 1990 Census
$895 Eleclric 81111 Res Cust $1,320 $424 47.3% Includes Residential Only $1,148 Electric Cost I Ros Cust $1,682 $533 46.4% Residential, Community Facilities, Other, Dolic
1.9% Electric BiI! Share of Income 2.9% 0.9% 47.3% Includes Rosidential Only 2.5% Electric Cost Share of Income 3.6% 1.2% 46.4% Residential, Community Facilities, Other, Oelic
4,933 Annual Use Per Res Cust 4,040 (894) ·18.1% Includes Residential Only 411 Monthly Use Per Res Cust 337 (74) ·18.1%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.6
Power Cost Equalization
FIGURE 6.1 (part 2)
PCE IMPACT (PART 2.) : COMMUNITY IMPACT
Households
Total Household Income
Direct Financial Burden from peE Loss If All Borne by Community
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government Other Balance
Diroct Financial Burden from peE loss If Some shifted outslda Community
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government
QIh" Balance
local Burden Share
100% 33%
100% 0%
100% 100%
ALL peE UTILITIES
13,055
$602,100,503
$12,393,639
$6,829,660 $3,367,551 $1,728,944
$445,125 $22,357
$209,193
$9,901,448
$6,829,660 $1,111,292 $1,728,944
SO $22,357
$209,193
Percent Decline in Household Income (rom peE loss 1,6%
(pcerep2.wpd)
Amount Shifted Out of Community
Commercial Government
$2,701,365
52.256,259 $445,125
November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
6.7
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6. 2
IRESIDENTIAL IMPACT OF PCE LOSS EACH DOT IS ONE UTILITY
100%
80%
r'~, >-"' 0 u 60%
" .. -,-- -
W • • I • '" I • , <
I "' OC 40% u
I " " • I 20% I • I
J 0% 0% 20% 40% 60%
60'1 % lOSS OF ElECTRICITY
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.8
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16,1998 6.9
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.3 (part 1)
PCE IMPACT (PART 1.)
ALL BUT 5 lARGEST peE UTILITIES
WITH WITHOUT CHANGE PCE PCE AMOUNT Y. ................... ................... . ................... -... __ ..........
137,422.298 SALES (KWH) 118,548,381 18,873,917 -13.7%
51,386,222 Residentia! 39,013,445 12,372,777 [24.1%1 household Impact 52,921,689 Commercial 50,484,324 2,437,365 -4,6% 12,972.746 Community FaciJily 9,024,603 3,948,143 ·30,4% 14,881.549 Government 14,773,576 107,973 -0.7% 5,260,092 Other 5,252,433 7,659 -0.1%
547,707.305 EXPENSES ( $) $45,729,387 (51,977,9\8) -4.1%
$14,166,571 Fuel $12,188,653 (SI,977,918) ·14.0% 528,114,847 Non-Fuel $28,114,847 SO 0.0%
$5,425,887 Other $5,425.887
$0.35 Cost/Kwh 50.39 $0.04 11.t%
547,707,305 REVENUES (S) $45,521,029 ($2,tS6.276) 4.6%
$9,976.987 Residentiat 515,661,976 $5,664,969 [57.0%] household impact 516.501.196 Commercial 519,497,645 $2,996,447 18.2%
52,352,954 Community Facility $3,828,399 Sl,475.445 62.1% 55,159,175 Government $5,541,135 5381,960 7.4%
5959,517 Other $991,875 $22.357 2.3%
$12,747,474 PCE SO (SI2,539,116)
BALANCE ($20S.358) ($208,358)
'-~26:7%j PCE / REVENUES Dependency Rallo
AVG PRICEI KWH E!asticity
SO.19 Residential $0.40 50.21 105.8% 20% 50.31 Commercial $0.39 SO.07 23.9% 20r. $0.18 Community Faciloty 50.42 SO.24 133.9% 20% $0.35 Government 50.36 50.03 8.2% 10% 50.18 Olher $0.19 SO.OO 2.5% 10%
HOUSEHOLD DATA
9,912 IiH 9,912 1990 Census S40,211 IncomeJHH 540,271 1990 Census
58SO Electric Bill 1 Res Cust $1,334 S484 57.0% Includes Residential Only 51,133 Electric Cost I Res Cusl 51,745 5612 54.0% Residentlal, Community Facil,ties. Olher, Deficit
2.1% Electric B'II Share of Income 3.3% 1.2% 57.0% Includes Residential Only 2.8% Electric Cost Share of Income 4.3% 1.5% 54.0% Residential. Community Facilities, Other, De~cit
4.378 Annual Use Per Res Cust 3.324 (1,054) -24.1% Includes Residential Only 365 Monthly Use Per Res Cust 277 (88) -24.1%
(pcerep2.wJld) November 16, 1998 6.10
Power Cost Equalization
FIGURE 6.3 (part 2)
PCE IMPACT (PART 2.) : COMMUNITY IMPACT
Households
Total Household Income
DIrect Financial Burden from peE loss If All Borne by CommunIty
Residential Commercial Community Fadmy Government Other Balance
DIrect Financial Burden from peE Loss If Some shifted outsldo Community
Residential Commercial Community Faciflly Government Other Balance
local Burden Share
100% 33%
100% 0%
100% 100%
ALL BUT 5 LARGEST peE UTILITIES
9,912
$399,164,046
S10,561,198
$5,664,969 S2,996,447 51,475,445
$381,9W 522.357
$208,358
S6.171,619
S5,684,989 $988,827
$1,475,445 SO
522,357 5208,358
Percent Decline in Household Income from peE Loss 2.0%
Amount Shifted Outside Community
(pcerep2.wpd)
Commercial Go'{emmenl
$2,389,579
$2,007,619 $381,960
November 16, 1998
Economic Significance
6.11
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.4A (part 1)
IRESIDENTIAL RATE WITH PCE AND AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 1)1
$0.00 $0.20 $0040
P~ntlay i~~~~~~~::::::::::::::::::::::Cl Atqasuk Shageluk
Anaktuwk Pass Nu!qsut
Kaktovik WainWTfght iiiiiiiiiiiiiii.
TeUin Point Hope
Eagle Power Company She!don Point, City of
Hydaburg KOllll< Electric SelVlces
Northway Power 8. Ught Healy lake
Beaver Joinl Utilities
Sand Point Er~tric Company Kipnuk Ught Plant
Gustavus Beclric Company Tok (includes Dot Lake)
Nushagak Electric Coopera~ve. Inc. {Dillingham} Naknek Electric Association, Inc.
Allakaket Energy Systems (A/ama) Kaltag
E1fin Cove Electric Utiflty Husr.a
Chevak Nightmute Power Plant
Gwitchyaa Zheo Utifities (Fort Yukon) Nome Jo1'o\ Utility System
Chignik Electric Kotzebue Electric Association
Brevig Mission Noatak
Yakutat Power Mc~lh Ught 8. Power
Tenakee Springs Sl George Municipal Er~tric U~llty
Grayling Tununak
Old Harbor Unalakleet Valll;ey Electric Cooper-Hive
Goodnews Bay Kasaan Nulato
HOOnah Russian MIssion
Diomede Joint Utilities Anvik
Koyuk Minro
Etim Tooksook Bay
Ka" Selawik
Quinhagak Mentasta
SL MiChael Savoonga
Chilkal Valley HolyCross
Stebbins
Kivalina j555555555 Chislochina E"
'GRAPrl SHiJ"NS ES 1i!.'.A lEO AVERAGE RIllE wI! H PCE ».-0 ,WEAAGE RIllE AFIHI AOJUSIMENT
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16,1998
SO.60 $0.80
6.12
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.4A (part 2)
IRESIDENTIAL RATE WITH PCE AND AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2)1
SO.OO
Angoon Pilot PoInt Vil!age Council
Aniak light & PO'Nef Company, Inc. Far North Utifillties (Cenlr.ll)
Golovin Power Umities Mekoryuk.
Bettles Hooper Bay
Noorvik Thome say P\Jhlic Utility
Tanalian Electric cooperative. Inc. Manokotak Po ..... er Company
I-N·N Electric Cooperative ScammooBay
Pilot Station Togiak
Marshall New Stuyahok
Alakanuk Kiana
Galena, City of Gambell
Emmonak Chitina Electric Inc.
Ambler Shismaref
Nalerkaq Ught Plant (Chefomak) Sha~toolik
Umnak Power Company (Nikolski) Shungnak
Chuathbaluk levelock Electric cooperative
Nelson lagoon Electric Cooptlr.l.tive, Inc. Manley Utit;~ty Company
Unqusraq PO'Ner Company {Ne-.vtok} Perryvme. City of
Wales Mountain Village
CrookeQ Creek RedDe~il
Falso Pass Electric Association Port Heiden, City of
Kwethluk, Inc. Andceanof Electric Corporation (Alita}
Tanana Power Company Tuluksak Trad,tional Power UWity
Akiachak Native Community ElectriC Co. 5reeetmute
Tuntutuliak CommUflity 5eNice Assn. Atmautluak Joinl Utilities
Takotna Commuflity Association Gel<. Inc. (Cold Sa.y)
Napaskiak. Electric Utillly Kwig Power Company (Kwigillingok)
Hlighes power & Lighl NIkolai Ught & Power
5tonyRiver 51. Paul Municipal Eleclrqlc Utihty
Tener Pl)\o',·er Company Akhiok. elly of
Akiak Power Utilities Egegik lighl & power Co. Igiugig Electric Company
Tatitlek Electric Utitity While Mountain U~lities
Peero Bay Village Council Ruby,Cilyof
Stevens Village Energy Syslems
1"tRi'.PH SHOWS EsnMA"j'mA~'f~t>'XTTWif
~:r-.'O AVERPGE AA1E AFfER MlJUSrI,tE'iT
(pcerep2.wpd)
$0.20 $OAO SO.60 SO.80
November 16, 1998 6.13
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.4B (part 1)
IRESIDENTIAL RATE WITH peE AND AFTER EliMINATION OF peE (PART 1)1
i i I
I '-
$0,00
Anaktuvuk Pass Point lay
Nuiqsut Kaktovil<
Wainwright Atqasuk
Point Hope Hydaburg
Nome Joint Utility System Naknek Electric Association, Inc.
Kotzebue Electric Association Nusoagak Electric Cooperative, toe. (O!!lingham)
Yakutat Paller TOk (includes 001 lake)
Thome Bay Public Utifily Unalakleet Va1lkey Electric Cooperative
Northway Power 2. Ught Elfin Covo Eleclric Utility
Chignik Electric Port Heiden, City of
Perryvitte, City of Galena, Cily of
KipnUk Ugh! Plant Mentasta
SheldOn Point, City of G .... itchyaa Zl1ee Utitities (fort Yukon)
Nighlmule Pa .... er Plant Pilol Point Village Council
51. George Municipal Electric Utility Tetlin
SL Paul Municipal Electrqic Utility Tenatian Electric cooperati~'e, rnc Tuluksak Traditional Power Utility
Sand Point Electric Comp:aoy Kotlik Electric Services
Manokotak Power Comp:any Naterkaq light Plant (CnefOOlak)
Chitina Efecltic Inc. Ka"
Chilkat Valley G&K. Inc. (Cold Bay)
Hoonah Akhiok. City of
Angoon TaUtlek Electric Utility Akiak Power Utilities
Andreanof Electric Corpmation (Atka) Tenakee Springs
Kasaan Shageluk
McGrath light & Power Golovin Power Ut,!ities
Chistochina Tanana Power Company
False Pass Electric Association Kwethluk, Inc.
Allakaket Energy Systems (Alatna) lpnalchiaq Electric Comp:any (Oeering)
Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative,lnc. Alakanuk
Russian Mission Togiak
Stebbins While Mountain UMjties
Aniak light & POwerComparly, Inc. Napaskiak Electric Utility
GRAPH S>jo,',S ES110.\,.\1£0 AVERAGE M1E l',lTli PC. AAO AVERAGE PATE AFTER AD.rvsn'£Uf
(pcerep2.wpd)
$0.20 50.40 SO.60 SO.80
November 16, 1998 6.14
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.4B (part 2)
IRESIDENTIAL RATE WITH PCE AND AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2)1
SO.OO
Chevak. Levelock. Electric Cooperative
Kallag Gambell
MekOfyUk. Hooper Bay Pi!olStation
New Stuyahok Diomede Joint Utifities
SL /.1ichael Scammon Bay
Tuntutuliak. Community Service Assn. Atmautluak Joint Utilities
Mountain Village Far North UtifititieS (Central)
Umnak Power Company (Nikolski) Koyuk
Tununak Shalt/oonk
Egegik Ught & Power Co. Amik
Marshal! Eagle Po-Ner Company
Brevig Mission Quinhagak
8eaver Joint UWities Goodne-.... s Bay
savoonga Emmonak
Tooksook Bay Wales
Tai.tollla Community AssoCiatioo Eo'
BeWes Eum
Hughes power & light Nulato
Ntkolai light (I, Power Kivalina
Ruby. City of Grayling
Shismaref Ste."ens VIllage Energy Systems
SelaWIk Shungnak
Akiachak Native Community Electric Co. HlJstia Minto Kiana
HolyCross I·N·N Electric cooperative
Teiter Power Company Kwig Power Company (K .... igillingok)
GusL,m.lS Elewic Company Noorvik Aml)!er
Healy lake Noatak
Igiugig Electric Company Old Harbor
Pedro Bay Village CounCil Red Devil
Sleeetmule Stony RiO/er
Unqusraq Po-..... er Company (Newtok) Crooked Creek
r.ta-nley U!ili~~~~~~~~~
(pcerep2.wpd)
SO.20 S0.40 SO.60 SO.80
November 16, 1998 6.15
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.S (part 1)
RESIDENTIAL CONSUMPTION PER CUSTOMER WITH PCE AND AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 1)
0.00 2.00
Hea!ylake iii!IIIE; Beaver Joinl Utilities """"""~ Eagle Power Company ~ Man!ey UW!tlty Company
Chuathbaluk
Shageluk ~~~~~~fEi'f" Gustavus Electric company :':'.: Slevens Village Energy Systems
Far North Uli!itities (Central) Sheldon Point, City of
Tetlin Brevig Mission
Huslia Old Hamor Sleeetmute
AHakakel Energy Systems (A1alna) Crooked Creek
Tenakee Springs Hughes Power & Ughl
Stony River Unqusraq Power Company (Newtok)
Chevak Umnak Po ..... er Company (Nikolski)
Anvik Selawik
Akiachak Native Community Electric Co. Grayling
Takotna Community Association Noatak
Ig:u9:9 Electric Company Tununak
Ruby. City of Goodne-.'iS Bay
Savoonga Kaltag
Pedro Bay Village Couna! Eok
Menlasta Red Devil
Nulato f.iekoryvk
Kotl,k Electric SeC\ices Jpnatchiaq Electric Company (Deering)
Stebbins St Michael
Gwi!chyaa Zhee Utilities (Fort Yukon) Oiomedo Joint UtiTlties
Chignik Electric Nikolai lighl [. Power
Quinhagak HooporBay
Tuluksak Traditional P(Y<'Ier Utility Alakanuk
HolyCross Go(o'lin P(J'n'Cf Ublities
Akiak Power U~lities I·N·N Electric Cooperative
Kwethluk, Inc. Erim
Bettles AkhiOk, City of
Tanana PowerCompallY T,II" PO"" C~P'"
'v!arshalt
Thousands
4.00
Koyuk l~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~:; Shlsmarel ~§~~~~~~f'C=] Minto AmOler
6.00 8.00
i I
--------------------------------------~
(pcerep2. wpd) November 16, 1998 6.16
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.5 (part 2)
RESIDENTIAL CONSUMPTION PER CUSTOMER WITH PCE AND AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2)
0.00
Russian Mission Chllina Electric Inc.
False Pass electric Association Chilkal Valley Tooksook Bay
Egegik Ugh! & Power Co. Napaskiak Electric Utility
Kivalina Gambell
Wales levelock electric Cooperative
Emmonak NoONik
Kiana Chislochina
Manokotak Power COmpany \\ihite Mountain U~lities Northway Power & light
K ... .ig Po .... er Company (Kwigillingok) ScammooBay
Nightmute Po-.... er Plant Pilot Station
New Stuyahok Tuntutu:iak Community Service Assn.
Elfin Cove Electric Utitity Almau~uak Joint Utilities
Tog;ak Sand Point Electric Company
Tanal','3n Electric cooperative, tnc. Galena, Cityor
Shungnak Kasaan
McGrath Ught &. Power Andreanof Electric COrpor.!tion (Atka)
Aniak light & Power Company, Inc. Perryville, City of Mountain Village
Pilot Point Village Council Natertaq Ught Planl (Chefornak)
Ne:son lagoon Ele<:tric Coopeldtive.loc. KipnUk Ughl PI<lnl
5h<l~loo!ik
Point lay Thome Bay Pubtic Utility
Port Heiden, City of Hoonah
51. George Mun,cipa! Eleclric Utility Tok (includes Dot lake)
Tatitlek Electric UWity Kak,
Hydaburg Angoon
Nushagak EIe<:lriC Cooperative.loc. (Dillingham) Unalakleet Yankey Electric Coopeldtivo
Nome Joint Utility Syslem Naknek Ele<:tric Association, Inc.
Ana~tuvuk Pass Nuiqsut
Wainwright Atqasuk Kaktovik
Ya~utat Power Po,nl Hope
Kotzebue Electric Associalion 51. Paul Munlcip;:rl Eleclrq1c Utility
G&K, Inc. (Cold Bay)
(pcerep2.wpd)
ThOt.lsands
2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00
November 16, 1998 6.17
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
I
FIGURE 6.6 (part 1)
RESIDENTIAL BILL WITH PCE AND AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 1)
$0 '500 $1,000 $1,500
G&K. tnc. (Cold Bay) SL Paul Municipal Electrqic Utility
Tatitlek Electric Utility Kotzebue Electric Assodation
Angoon Shaktoolik
Port Heiden, City of Mountain Village
K>k. I~;;~~~~~~~~~~~~;;~!;! Yakutat Power 'Nhi!e MountaIn U61lties
Nelson lagoon Electric cooperative, Inc. Shungnak
Kwig Power Company (Kwi9~Jingok) Andreanof Eleclric Corporation (Atka)
AtmauUuak Joint Ublities TuntutuliaK Community Service Assn.
Hoonah Egegik light & Power Co.
Aniak Ught & Power Company, Inc. Unalakleet Vallkey Elecllic COOperative
Noorvik Naterkaq light Plant (Chefornak)
51. George Municipal Electric Uliflty Telfer Po-Her Company
Kiana perryville, Cily of
New Stuyahok Togiak
Napaskiak Electric Utility Nome Joint Utility System Thome Bay Public Utility
Ambler Wales
Naknek El~tric AssOCiatiOfl, Inc. P,!ot Statioo
Scammon Bay Emmonak
Kivalina P,!O! Point Village Council
Unqusraq PO-Ner Company (Newtok) McGrath Light & Power
Nushagak Electfic CoopeQtive, Inc. (Dillingham) Pedro Bay V,1!age Council
levelock ElectriC CoopeQtive Minto
$hismaref False Pass Electric Association
Po,nt Hope Tooksook Bay
Kasaan Gambell
Red Devil Ruby, City of
Akial: Power Utilities Alrniok, City of
j·N.N ElectfiCCoopeQtive lanalian Electric cooperati~e, Inc.
Nikolai Ught & Power Galena, City of
Igiugig Electric Company ,I~~i~~~~~~~~~~~i Marshal! Tok (includes Dot lake)
HolyCross Tanana PO',','erCompany
Kwethluk,lnc. ChistoCilina
BeWes
~I - __________________________________________________________ __
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
S2,ooo
6.18
, I
Power Cost Equalization
Crooked Creek 8im
Kaktovik Kipnuk light Plant
Noatak Manokotak PO'NerCompany
Wainwright RussIan Mission
Koyuk Stony River
Hydaburg Nuiqsut
Chitina Electric Inc. Atqasuk
Sand Point electric Company Alakanuk
OUinhag<lk Tuluksak TraoLtional PO' .... er UHlity
Hooper Bay Chllkar Valley
Nulato Akiachak Native Community Electric Co.
Anaktuwk Pass Takotna Community Association
Nightmute PO'Her Plant O:omede Joint Utilities Golovin Power Utilities
Sl Michael Sleeetmulo
E,' Mekol)'\Jk Srebbrns
Elfin Cove Electric Utility Hughes Power & light
Old Harbor Gra,iing Selawik
Sa~wnga Gooonews Bay
Ipnarchiaq electric Company (Deering) Slevens Wlage Eoerg,. Systems
Tum,mak Kaltag
Umnak Po',,"'er Company {N,kolski) Chuathnaluk
Northway Power 8. Ught Anvik
Huslia Chevak
G,o,ilchyaa Zhee UMities (Fort Yul(on) Mentasla
Chignik Electric Gust:I'IUS Eleclric Company
KotlIk Eleclric Services Point lay
Brelig M;S$.on Allakaket Energy Systems (Nalna)
Far North Utir.tities (Cen\J<ll) Manley Utilitity Company
Tenakee Springs Shageluk
Tetlin Eagle PO' .... 'er Company
Sheldon Point. City of Healy lake
Beaver Joint Utilities
Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.6 (part 2)
RESIDENTIAL BILL WITH PCE AND AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2)
,0 ,soo 51,000 51,500 52,000
l ______________________________ ~ _____ __
(pcerep2.wpd) Noyember 16, 1998 6.19
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.7 (part 1)
IUTILITY DEFICIT WITH ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 1 )1
Thousands
(SIOO) ($50) so
Gustavus EleclricCompany ~~ __ .. __ ....... _ .......... __ .. _ .... _ .. -::::::~:::::= Eagle Power Company
Shageluk Old Harbor Healy lake
Unqusraq Power Company (Newtok) Chuathbaluk
Nome Joint Utility System Chignik Electric Scammon Bay
Quinhagak p~~~,
Nuiqsut New Stuyahok
HolyCross White Mountain U\J1ities
Kwethluk, Inc. Pilot Station
Russian Mission SI. Michael
Stebbins Chevak
Shungnak Grayling
Golovin Power UhhUes Wales
Hooper Bay Emmonak
Galena, City of Crooked Creek
Manokotak Power Company Tok (includes Oot lake)
Hoonah Goodnews Bay
Hughes Power & light Bellies
Marsha" Yakutat Power
Kak, Kaltag
K .... /ig Power Company (Ky,igiUingok) Brevig Mission
Eliffi She:don Poln!, CHy of
Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative, tnc. SI. PaUl Municipal Electrqic Ulimy
Allakaket EnergySyslems (A!alna) Perryville, City of
Aniak Ught & Power Company, Inc. Sand Point Electric Company
Tenakee Springs Minto
Pilot Point Vil!age Counc~ Chlstochina
Akiachak Native Community Electric Co. Manley UWilily Company
Naknek Electric Association. loc. Wainwright
Ambler Tuluksak TradiHooal Po-Ner Utility
Nulato Anaktuvuk Pass
SI. George Municipal Electric Utility Point Hope
Chitina Electric Inc. False Pass Electric Association
Diomede Joint Utilities
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.20
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.7 (part 2)
IUTILITY DEFICIT WITH ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2)1
(S100)
Ruby, City of TeUin
TeUer Power Company Elfin Cove Elecln'c U\Jlily
Red Devil Kasaan
Far North Utililities (Central) Mentasta
Stevens Vil1age Energy Systems Nocthway Power & light
Noatak McGrath Ught & PO'NCr
G&K, Inc. (Cold 8ay) Akhiok, City of
Takotna Community Association Savoonga
E,' I·N·N Electric Cooperative
Alakanuk Togiak
Mountain Village Umnak Power Company (Nikolski)
Andreanof Eleclric COfporation (Atka) Gambell
Igiugig Eleclric Company Beaver Joint Utilities
lpnalchiaq Electric Company (Deering) Chilkat Valley
Kotzebue Electric Association Nushagak Electric Cooperative, Inc. (Oilftngham)
Sleeelmule Angooo
Kiana Tooksook Bay
Shismaref Akiak Power Uttrllics
Selawik Mekoryuk
Nikolallignt & Power AtmauUuak Joint Uti:ities
Nalerkaq light Plant (Chefornak) Stony River
H)'daburg Port Heiden, City of
Koyuk Unalakleet Vallkey Electric Cooperallve
Nightmute Power Planl Pedro Bay Village Council
Thorne Bay Public Utility Kipnuk light Plant
Gwitchyaa Znee Utilities (Fori Yukon) Tana!ian Electric cooperative, Inc.
Tununak Kaktovik
Anvik Egegik light & Power Co.
Kiva1\na Tuntutuliak Community Service Assn.
Tatitlek Electric Utility HuSlia
Kotrik Electric Services Napaskiak Electric Utilily
ShaktOOlik Tanana Power Company
AtqaSUk levefock Electric Cooper<ltive
(pcerep2.wpd)
Thousands
($50) so
November 16, 1998 6.21
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.8 (part 1)
ILOSS OF PURCHASING POWER WITH ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 1)1
Kotzebue EJectricAssodatlon Nushagak EfeclIic Cooperativo, Inc. (Dillingham)
Nome JoInt Uti!ily System Hoonah "'k,
Tok (includes Dot lake) Naknek Electric Association, Inc.
Sand Polnt Electric Company I·N·N Electric Cooperative
MountaIn Village Emmonak
Angoon TogiaK
Aniak Ught & po· .... er Company. Inc. McGrath Ught & Power
HO~~-r
so $100
Shismaref
Unalakleet Vililkey Electric COOperative ~~~~~~~~iiill!5~:::J Kiana Selawik Gambell
Pilot Statioo Yakutat Power
Gwilchyaa Zhee Utilities (Fort Yukon) Quinhagak
Ne-.... Stuyahok Tooksook Bay Scammon Bay
Amt>ler Akiachak Native Community Electric Co.
Gustavus Electric Company Alakanuk
Kipm;k Ught Plan! Savoonga
SL Paul Municipal Electrq'c Utihty !~~~~il~:~~:1J Kwig Po-.... er company {Kwig~lingok} Nulato
Chevak Marshall
Kwethluk, Inc. Stebbins
MnlO Galena. City or
Shungnak HolyCross
Kiv<3tioa ShaktOOlIk
Elim Telfer Power Company KotlIk Electric Services
NO<ltak Tuntutuliak Comnll/oily Servico Assn.
Koyuk Eek
SI. Michae! Napaskiak Electric U!i~ty
Hyda!)urg Old Harbor
NOrtlllvay Power & lighl Mekol)'Uk Tununak
t.1anokotak. Po· ... ·cr Company Tanana Power Company
Chilkal Valley Point Hope
AtmauUllak Joint Utilities Goodne-<'fS Bay
Thousands
$200
ERESIDENTtAl tI COMMERCIAL • COMMUNITY
$300
Q GOVERNMENT • OTl1ER
---.. _--------------------
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
$400
6.22
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.8 (part 2)
ILOSS OF PURCHASING POWER WITH ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2)1
Wales Thome Bay Puh!ic Utimy
Na!erkaq light Plant (Chefornak) Unqusraq Power Company (Newlok)
Nelson lagoon Electric Coopeldtive. fnc. Russian Mission
Kallag 51. George MuniCipal Electric UmHy
Egegik Ught & Power Co. Huslia
G&K, Inc. (Cord Bay) Ruby, eilY of
Wairwmghl levelock E!~tric Coope/ative
Grayling AJtakaket Energy Systems (A1alna)
so 5100
Thousands
$200
Tenakee Springs White Mountain Utilities
Oiomede Joint Utilities Golovin Power Utilities
Far North Utir.tities (Central) !!~!!i?¥im[!J Tanatian Electric cooperative, tnc.
Nuiqsut Nikolai Ught & Power
Anvik t.'lanley Utilitity Company
Brevig Mission PilOt Point Village CoonciJ
Ipnalchiaq Electric C~i~~~~.!fJ
Crooked Creek Anakll.lVUk Pass
Sleeetmute Kaktovik
Nightmute Power Plan! ChislOChina
Atqasuk Kasaan
Pedro Bay Village Council Bettles
Akiak Power Ublities Takotna Community AssociatiOll false Pass Electric Association
Tuluksak TrBd,tional Per .... er Utility Andreanof Electric Corpor.Jtion (Atka)
Point lay Chitina Electric Inc.
Elfin Cove Electric Utility Eagle PerNer COmpany
Tatitlek Electric Utility TeWn
Stony River Chuathbaluk
Igiugig E!~tric Company Sheldon Poll'll, City of
Beaver Joint Utilities Perryville, City of
Hughes Per .... er & Ught Port Heiden, City of
Slevens Village Energy Systems Red Devil
Umnak Po· .... erCOmpany (Nikolski) Mentasta Shageluk
Akhiok, City of Healy lake
(pcerep2.wpd)
!_ RESIDENTIAL 'II C01.WERClAl • co~wu:mY
November 16, 1998
S300 $400
Q GOVERNMENT • OTHER
6.23
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
0%
FIGURE 6.9 (part 1)
SHARE OF HH INCOME DEVOTED TO ELECTRICITY AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 1)
5% 10% 150/.
Nikolai light & Power
Stony River 1~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~f55555~::======: Kipnuk light PI<lnt levelock Electric CocoolCltiVO
Stevens Village Energy Systems Minlo Anvik
HoIJa;;g:~ Scammon Bay
Ruby, City of Shaktoolik
Wales Takotna Community Association
Umnak Power Company (Nikolski) Shismaref
AtmautluakJoint UtiHtios New Stuyahok
Pilol Station Kwig Power Company(Kwig~lingok)
Kivalina Tooksook Bay
Shungnak MekOl)'Uk
Togiak
White Mountain Utilities Goodnews Bay
False Pass Electric AsSociation Nulato
Emmonak Ambler
Elim Chitina Electric Inc.
Tatitlek Electric UWity Sl George Muniopal Electric U~llty.
Pedro Bay Village Counol Tuntutuliak Community Service Assn.
IgilJg:g Electric Company Diomede Joint Utilities HlJghes PQ'Her & Ughl Tetler Power Company
G&K. fnc. (Cold Bay) Katlag Koyuk
Golovin Power UWities MountaIn Villago
Natertaq Light Plant (Chefornak) Grayling
Unqusr.oq Power Company (Newtok) Allakaket Energy Systems (Alatna)
Savoooga Noorvik
Hooper Bay Kwethluk,lnc.
Quinhagak Akiak. Po-.... er Utilities
Mentasta Kiana
Marshall Russian Mission
Alakanuk SL Michael
Tununak
""" Egegik Ught & Power Co.
(fRCTIJlJES RESIDENTIAL AND COMMUNllY FACRITY ElECTRlQiY"u§e:)
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
20%
6.24
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.9 (part 2)
SHARE OF HH INCOME DEVOTED TO ELECTRICITY AFTER ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2)
0%
Andreanof electric Co!por.l.tion (Atka) !iiiiiii; Chlslochina Old Haroor
E" Noatak
Napaskiak Electric Uti~ty Hw,,,' Aniak Ugh! & PowerCompall¥, Inc.
ReciOevir lpoatchlaq Electtic company (Deering)
Selawik Stebbins
$Ieeelmute
""oon Brevig Missioo
Tuluksak Traditional Power Ublity /l.1anokotak Power Company
McGlath Ught & Power Unalakleet Valikey Electric Cooperative
Huslia Chevak
I-N-N Electric Cooperative Crooked Creek
Hydaburg !~~~~~ Yakutat Power Kotzebue Electric Association
Akiachak Native Community Electric CO. Tenakee Springs
Chuathbaluk Port Heiden, City of
Toome Bay Public Utility G .... itchyaa Zhee UGJities (FOft Yukon)
Galena. Cily of Pilol Point Village CounCil
Nelson lagoon Electric Cooper..'ltiva. Inc. Kotlik Electric seNlccs
Elfin COve Electric Uti/ity Tok (includes Dot Lake)
Naknek Electric Association, Inc. Perryville, City of
Beaver Joinl Utilities Akhiok, Cily of
Sheldon Point, City of Sand Point Electric Company
Nome Joinl UGI,ly System Bettles
Nuiqsut Tetlin
Kasaan Wainwright
Northway Power & Ught Kaktovik
Mantey UIi~lity Company ~;;; ChIgnik Electric Anakluvuk Pass
Point Hope Shageluk
Nushagak Electric Coopilf<ltive, Inc. (Dillingham) fat North Uli:itities (Cen(r.>l)
Atqasuk Eagle Power Company
Tanar.an E!ecllic coopef<ltive, Inc. Chltkat Valley
Gustavus Electric Company Healy lake
Poinllay
\INCLUDES RE"SloffiTlAl AND COMMUNI I Y fACILITY E:LECTRlctTY USE!
5%
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998
10% 15% 20%
6.25
Power Cost Equalization
(SlOO)
Gustavus Electric Company I-N-N Electric Cooperative
Sand Point electric eo:r~~k
NaoMk Emmonak
Eagle PO' .... et CWefi!k Nulato
Old Harbor Shismaref
Klana Tooksook Bay
Quinhagak HolyCross
Chevak Minto
Ambler Elim
Togiak Huslia
Shageluk Marshall
Ka!lag Pilot Station
-?~~0~~~ Manley Utilitity Company
Unqusraq Power Company (Newtok) Savoonga
Goodnews Bay Koyuk
New Stuyahok Kivalina
Eok Scammon Bay
Sf. Michael Crooked Creek
Shaktoolik
Ct;,~~~b~~r Kotflk Eleelnc Services
BreVoS Mission Mountain Wlage
Wales Stebbins
Kwig PO'Ner Company (Kwigillingok) Jpnalchiaq Electric Company (Deering)
Allakaket Enera~::r!j~~I(Cifr::;:l Anvik
Akiachak Native Community Electric Co. Angoon
Far North Ut,fitities (Central) Diomede Joint U!i~ties
Tenakee Springs Heaty lake
Tetlin Russian Mission
Alakanuk Kipnuk UShl Plant
Chlstochina Kasaan
S!eeetmule Mekoryuk
Hoonah Stony River
Naknek Electric Association, Inc. Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative, Inc.
(pcerep2.wpd)
Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.10 (part 1)
UTILITY DEFICIT WITH ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 1) PRICE ELASTICITY -.3
Thousands
(SSO) so
November 16, 1998 6.26
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.10 (part 2)
UTILITY DEFICIT WITH ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2) PRICE ELASTICITY -_3
Thousands
(S1OO) ($50) $0
urrmakPowercomY~k~&~~~~~ Akiak Power Utilities
Aniak Ught & Power Company, Jne. Stevens Village Energy Systems
Akhiok, City of Northway Power & light
Kwethluk, Inc. Igiugig Electric Company
Takotna Community Association Galena, City of
Poinllay ChIgnik Electnc
Manokotak Power Company Nuiqsut
Wainwright Tok (indudes Dot lake)
Unalakleet VaUkey Electric Cooperative Andreanof Electric Corporation (Atka)
NalerkaQ light Ptant (Chefornak) Atmautluak Joint Ut.lities
Point Hope Elfin Cove Electric UWily
Egegik Ught & Power Co. Thome Bay Public UW,ly
Pedro Bay ViUage Council False Pass Electric Assodalion
Kaktovik 6clUes
St, George Munlopal Electric Utdity Sheldon Point, Cily of
Napaskiak Eleclric U!i!ity Ruby, City of
Port Heiden, City of Mentasta
Pdot Point VIIrage Council Chitina Electric Inc.
Tuluksak Traditional PO' .... er Utitity White Mountain UtilIties
NIkolai Ught & Power Teller Power Company Hughes Power & Ught
Red Devil Gambell
Perryville. City of Chilkat Valley
Gwitchyaa Zhee UMiUes (FOfl Yukon) levelock Electric Cooperative
Nightmute Power Plant Kotzebue Etectric Association
AnaklulNk Pass Shungnak
Nome Joint Uti~ty System Tanana Power Company
Tunlulu~ak Community Service Assn. Hydaburg
Atqasuk Tanalian Eleciriccooperative.lnc.
G&K,lnc. (Cotd Bay) Golovin Power Utilities Tatitlek Electric UtIlity
Kake 51. Paul Municip<ll Elcctrqic Ulifily
McGrath Ught & Power Nushagak Electric Cooperative, Inc. (Dillingham)
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.27
Power Cost Equalization
Shageluk Healy lake
Gustavus Electric Company Eagle Power Company
Chuathbaluk Old Haroor
Unqusraq P~ .... e( Company (Newtok) Noatak
Minto Huslia
Gravling Beaver Joint Uti1ities
Crooked Creek KaUag
Manley UWitity Com&any
HoItl~~ Efim
Nulato Goodnews Bay
Kotfik ElectriC Services Tooksool< Bay
Tetlin E,k
Ipnatchiaq Electric Company (Deering) I·N·N Electric Cooperative
QUinhagak Tununak MarshaU Selawik Kasaan
Shlsmaref Brevig Mission
Ambler Allakaket EnergySYSlems (Alalna)
Kiana KOy\lk
Emmonak Sand Point Electric ~~~~
Anvik Wales
Pdol Station SI.Michael
Tenakee Springs Chistochina
Kwig Power Company {Kst~r~7~~}~
Scammon Bay Kivalina
New Stuyahok Savoonga
T()9iak Diomede Joint Ut,llties
Far North U~1itities (Central) Stony River
Akiachak Native Community Electric Co. Stebbins
RUSSian Mission Hooper Bay Steeelmute
Kipnuk Ught PIal'll Umnak Power Company !Nikotskl)
Mountarn Village Angoon
Nakanuk Mekoryuk
Nelson lagoon Electric Cooperative, Inc. Anaktuvuk Pass
(pcerep2.wpd)
0%
Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.11 (part 1)
UTILITY % DEFICIT WITH ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 1) PRICE ELASTICITY -.3
PERCENT OF NON-FUEL EXPENSES 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
November 16, 1998 6.28
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.11 (part 2)
UTILITY % DEFICIT WITH ELIMINATION OF PCE (PART 2) PRICE ELASTICITY -.3
Hoonah Akhiok, City of
Po1nllay Nuiqsut
Igiugig Electric Company Slevens Village Energy Systems Takoma Community Association
Kaktovik Elfin Cove Electric Utility
Akiak Power umities Andreano! Electric Corporation (Atka)
Pedro Bay Village Council F<Jlse Pass EleclricAssodation
Yakutat Power Wainwright
Chignik Electric Manokotak Power Company
Naknek Electric Association, Inc. Nalerkaq Ught Plant (Chefornak)
Kwethluk, Inc. Northway Power & Ugh! Atmauttuak Joint U~1ities
Sheldon Point, City of Point Hope
Aniak Ught & Power Company, fnc. Egegik lIgh! & Power Co. Pilol Point Village Council
Mentasta Unalakleet Va!lkey Electric Cooperative
Napaskiak Electric Utility Thome Bay Public Utility
Ruby, City of SeUles
SI. Ge<>rge Mlmicipal Electric Utility Port Heiden, City of
Chiti~:~t~~i~dYn~~ Tok (includes Dot lake)
Nome Joint u!Jmy System Kotzebue Electric Association
Telfer Power Company V'I'hile Mountain U!J!ities
Gambe!! Ka"
Gwitchyaa Zhee Utilities (Fort Yukon) G&I<, Inc. (Cold Bay)
N(kolai Ught 8. Power Tuluksak Traditional Power Utility
Tanana Power Company Shungnak
SI. Paul Municipal Electrqlc Utility Nushagak Electric Cooperative, Inc. {Dillingham)
McGrath Ught & Power Tuntutuliak Community Service Assn.
levelock Electric Cooperative Hydaburg
Hughes Power 8. Ught Perryville, City of
Red Devil Chilkat Valley
Tanalian Electric cooperative, Inc.
(pcerep2.wpd)
Golovin Power Utilities Tatitlek Electric Utifity
Nightmute Power Plant Atqasuk
0%
I
-
-
-
PERCENT OF NON-FUEL EXPENSES
10% 20% 40% 50%
! I I : I !
November 16, 1998 6.29
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6,12 (part 1)
PCE IMPACT (PART 1.)
ALL peE UTILITIES (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
WITH WITHOUT CHANGE PCE PCE AMOUNT '!.
227,245,209 SALES (KWH) 188,207,252 39,037,957 -17.2%
79,417,373 Residential 54,694,494 24,722,679 1·31.1% I household impact 95,833,605 Commercial 89,461,366 6,372,239 -6.6% 18,185,622 Community Facility 10,504,852 7,660,770 -42.2% 28,548.517 Government 28,301,619 246,898 -0.9%
5,260,092 Other 5,244,920 15,172 -0.3%
$66,488.447 EXPENSES ($) S62,685.730 (S3,802,717) -5.7%
$19,008,858 Fuel $15.206.141 (S3M2,717) -20,0% $38,452,890 Non-Fuel $38,452,890 $0 0.0%
$9.026,699 Other $9.026.699
$0.29 Cost/Kwh $0.33 $0.04 13.8%
$66,488,447 REVENUES (5) $60,246,153 (S6.242,294) 9.4%
$14,424,169 Residential 517.824.219 $3,400,050 123.6% I household impacl $25,245.023 Commercia! $29,046,845 $3,801,822 15.1%
$3,094,234 Community Facility $3,597,465 $503,230 16.3% $B,OOB,Bl1 Government $B,762,050 5753,238 9.4%
$969,517 Other $1,015.575 $46,057 4.8%
$14,746,692 PCE $0 ($12,307,115)
BALANCE (S2,439,577) (S2,439,577)
122.2% I PCE/REVENUES Dependency Ratio
AVG PRICE {KWH Elasticity
$0.18 Residential $0.33 SO.14 79.4% 30% $0.26 Commercial $0.32 $0.06 23.3% 30% $0.17 Community Facility $0.34 $0.17 101.3% 30% $0.2B Government $0.31 $0.Q3 10.4% 10% $0.18 00" $0.19 $0.01 5.1% 10%
HOUSEHOLD DATA
13,055 HH 13,055 1990 Census $46,120 InwmelHH $46,120 1990 Census
$896 Electric Bill {Res Cust $1,107 $211 23.6% Includes Residential Only 51.148 Electric Cost I Res Cust $1,394 $245 21.4% Residential, Community Facility, GUIer, and Oefic
1.9% Electric Bill Share of Income 2.4% 0.5% 23.6% Includes Residential Only 2.5% Electric Cost Share of Income 3.0% 0.5% 21.4% Residential, Community FaCility, Other, and Detic
4.933 Annual Use Per Res Gust 3,398 (1,536) ·31.1% Includes Residential Only 411 Monthly Use Per Res Gust 283 (128) ·31.1%
(pcerep2. wprl) November 16, 1998 6.30
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.12 (part 2)
PCE IMPACT (PART 2.) : COMMUNITY IMPACT
All peE UTILITIES (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
Households
Tolal Household Income
Direct financial Burdon from peE loss If All Borne by Community
Residential Commercial Community FaCility Government Other. Balance
Direct Financial Burden from peE Loss If Somo shifted outside Community
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government Other
loca18urden Share
100% 33%
100% 0%
100%
Percenl Decline from peE loss
Percent Oecline in Household Income from peE loss
Commercial Government Other
13,055
$602,100,503
$8,504,398
$3,400,050 $3,801,822
$503,230 $753,236
$46,057 $2,439,577
$5,203,939
$3,400,050 $1.254,601
$503,230 SO
$46,057
0.9%
$2.547,221 $753,238
$0
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.31
Power Cost Equalization
FIGURE 6.13 (part 1)
PCE IMPACT (PART 1.)
ALL BUT 5 LARGEST peE UTILITIES (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
WITH WITHOUT CHANGE peE peE AMOUNT % . -_.-... -.......... ........ -.......... ...... -................ _ ............
137.422.298 SALES (KWH) 103,449,676 33,972,622 -24.70/.
51,386,222 Residential 29,902,300 21,483,922 [41.6%! 52,921,689 Commercial 47.491.716 5,429,973 ·10.3% 12,972,745 Community Facility 6,119,677 6,853,059 -52,8% 14,881,549 Government 14,691,064 19{1,485 -1.3% 5.260,092 Other 5,244,920 15,172 -0.3%
$47,707,305 EXPENSES ( S) $44,181.886 (53,525.419) ·7.4%
514.166,571 Fuel $10,641,152 (S3,525,419) -24.9% 528,114,847 Non·Fuel S28,114,847 SO 0.0% 55.425,887 Other 55.425,887
$0.35 CostJ Kwh 50.43 50.08 23.0%
547,707,305 REVENUES ($) 541,742,554 (55,964,751) 12.5%
59.976.9B7 Residentia! 512,400,631 52.423,644 I 24.3%i 516,501,19B Commercia! 519,867,690 53,3&6,692 20.4%
52,352,954 Community FaCIlity 52,652,5S4 5299.63{) 12.7% 55,159,175 Government 55.805,874 5646.700 12.5%
5969,517 Other 51,015,575 546,057 4.8%
512.747,474 PCE SO (5 10,3{)8, 142)
BALANCE (52,439.332) (S2,439,332)
!'26.7%l PCE I REVENUES Dependency Ratio
AVG PRICE I KWH
50.19 Residential 50.41 50.22 113.6% 50.31 Commercia! 50.42 50.11 34.2% 50.18 Community Facility 50.43 50.25 139.0% 50.35 Government 50040 50.05 14.00/, 50.16 Other 50.19 50.01 5.1%
HOUSEHOLD DATA
9.912 HH 9.912· 540.271 IncomeJHH 540,271
5850 Electric Biltl Res Cust 51,056 5206 24.3% 51.133 Electric Cost I Res Cust 51,369 5236 20.8%
2.1% Electric Bm Share of Income 2.6% 0.5% 24.30/, 2.8% Electric Cost Share or Income 304% 0.6% 20.8%
4.378 Annual Use Per Res Cust 2,547 (1,SlO) ·41.80/, 365 Monthly Use Per Res Cust 212 (IS3) ·41.8%
(pccrcp2.wpd) Noyembcr 16, 1998
Economic Signiticance
household impact
household impact
Etas~city
1990 Census 1990 Census
300/. 30% 30% 10r~ 10%
Includes ResidenUal Only Residential. Community Facil,ty, Olher. and Deficit
Includes Residenlial Only ResidenUal, Community FaciMy, Other. and Deficit
Includes Residential Only
6.32
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 6.13 (part 2)
PCE IMPACT (PART 2.) : COMMUNITY IMPACT
Households
Tota! Household Income
Olrect FInancial Burden from peE loss If All Borne by Community
Residentia! Commercial Community Facir.ty Government Other Balance
DIrect Financial Burden from peE loss If Some shifted outside CommunIty
Residential Commercial Community Facility Government Olher
loc<il Burden Share
tOO% 33%
tOO% 0%
100%
Percent Decline from peE loss
ALL BUT 5 LARGEST peE UTILITIES (HIGH CUSTOMER RESPONSE)
9,912
$399,164,048
$6,762,723
52,423,644 $3,366,692
$299,630 $646,700 546,057
52.439,332
53,880,340
52,423,644 $1,111,008
$299,630 SO
$46,057
1.0%
Percenl Oedine in Household Income from peE loss
(pcerep2.wpd)
Commercial Government Olher
52.255.683 5646,700
SO
November 16, 1998 6.33
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
(pcerep2.wpd) November 16, 1998 6.34
Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
7. ELIMINATION OF THE POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM--THE ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE
OVERALL SIGNIFICANCE
For fiscal year 1996 the Power Cost Equalization Program (PCE) disbursed $19.202 million to utilities serving 190 communities in Alaska. We estimate that if that disbursement were eliminated there would be a loss of210 full time equivalent jobs in the state with an associated loss of payroll 0[$4.908 million (Figure 7.1). A large share of the job loss would occur in urban Alaska. These estimates include the multiplier effect of the reduction in purchasing power of users whose electricity rates increased.
The loss of revenues to the utilities from the elimination ofPCE would be recovered in two ways. A portion, estimated at $2.791 million, would be made up through a reduction in utility costs for the purchase and use of fuel oil. Since higher rates would reduce sales, less fuel oil would be required.
Most of the loss in revenues would need to be recovered from electricity users through higher rates. The m~ority, $11.446 million, would come from higher rates paid directly and indirectly by the households in the PCE communities. The largest portion is the $8.893 million paid directly through higher residential bills. Households would also bear the burden of the $2.252 million in additional electricity bills paid by community facilities. That is because these facilities must turn to community residents to pay their bills and they will pass on their higher costs in higher charges for services and higher taxes. We also assume that households will pay the deficit faced by those utilities that cannot cover their costs through higher rates, a total of S.272 million, as well as a small additional bill of $.029 million for the "other" category of user.
The remainder of the loss in revenues would become a financial burden for the other users of electricity. The state and federal governments would share a burden of $.580 million in additional expenses for electricity. Commercial users, including the public schools, would be responsible for $4.385 million of additional costs. Most of this portion of the lost PCE revenues would not be recovered fi'om local residents, but rather from state and federal government budgets and from businesses that would pass on their higher costs outside the PCE communities. However, some of the higher cost of doing business would be passed on to households in the PCE communities through lower wage rates, lower tax payments, lower rents, and higher prices for goods sold.
We estimate that the reduction in fuel oil purchases results in the loss of28 full time equivalent jobs and $.963 million in wages. These jobs are distributed among water transportation, wholesaling, petroleum refining, crude production, trade, and services.
We estimate that the loss of $11.446 million of purchasing power in PCE communities
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
results in a loss of 127 full time equivalent jobs and $2.752 million of wages. Each additional dollar spent on electricity is one less dollar spent for other purchases. The jobs lost from the reduction in these purchases are in transportation, trade and services.
We estimate that the increase in state and federal expenditures on electricity as well as the increase of business expenditures on electricity results in a loss of 55 full time equivalent jobs and a payroll of $1.193 million. Govemments recover the higher costs of electricity through an increase in taxes on households, or a reduction in the wages paid to govemment workers, the largest category of govemment operating cost. Private businesses pass the burden of higher electricity costs onto workers in the fom1 of lower paychecks. In both cases the purchasing power of Alaska residents is reduced by the amount of the higher electricity bills.
Sixty percent of the burden of higher electricity bills will be paid directly by the residents of the effected PCE communities. Twenty six percent will be paid by residents of the state, with the exact distribution unce11ain. The remaining fourteen percent will be absorbed by reduced fuel oil purchases made possible by reduced electricity sales.
URBAN CONCENTRATION OF JOB AND WAGE LOSS
Based on the distribution ofthe burden we estimate that a large share of the economic impact, probably more than half the loss in jobs and wages, would occur in urban Alaska. Although the largest share of the loss in purchasing power will occur in the PCE communities in rural Alaska, these small rural communities have very little economic infrastructure. Of the 58.893 million of purchasing power directly lost by households through higher electricity bills, about half would occur in 100 small communities with popUlations of less than 500 (Figure 7.2). In these small places there are few businesses and most shopping is done outside the community.
Few studies have estimated the leakage of purchasing power from small places, but a detailed household expenditure survey done in Kake, a community of700 (\990) confirms the idca that most purchasing power goes for purchases outside the local economy. That survey showed that less than one third of total household expenditures made by community residents took place in Kake and more than two thirds of purchases were made outside (Figure 7.3). Another piece of evidence of the small multiplier in rural Alaska is the low ratio of trade employment to total popUlation in the less populous census areas of Alaska. For example Anchorage has 116 trade jobs for every 1000 population while in the Lake and Peninsula Borough there are only 16 (Figure 7.4).
Some of the leakage goes to the regional centers, particularly Barrow, Nome, Kotzebue, Bethel, and Dillingham. However a large share makes its way (0 Allchorage and Fairbanks and (0 a lesser extent to the larger communities in Southeast Alaska.
INCREASE IN DIRECT COSTS TO STATE GOVERNMENT
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
Elimination of the PCE program would impose several types of costs on state government. These costs would partially or totaHy offset the savings that would result from program tennination. These costs include direct out of pocket costs £i'om higher electricity rates, additional costs for self generation of some state funded facilities, costs associated with reduced reliability of electricity, and additional health and social costs due to reduced availability of electricity in rural communities. The direct costs are the easiest to quantify.
Because state facilities in PCE communities would be impacted by higher rates, the elimination ofPCE would directly increase state expenditures for electricity. State government facility electricity use is not eligible for PCE, but these facilities do enjoy rates that reflect the spreading of the cost of generation among a larger number of kwh than would be the case without PCE. In the last Section we estimated that the total expenditures by government on electricity would increase by about 6 percent ifPCE were eliminated. We estimate that half of these additional expenditures, $.290 million, would be made by state government agencies.
The public schools, which are considered commercial users for the purposes ofPCE eligibility, would also find themselves facing higher rates and bills. Their bills would increase not only as a result of the increase in the average cost of electricity generation, but also because each school facility would lose the cunent PCE assistance available on the first 700 kwh per month of use (Figure 7.5). "Ve estimated that total expenditures for electricity by commercial users would increase 13 percent with the tennination ofPCE.
Based on reported expenditures on electricity by schools in PCE commnnities 12 we estimate that the additional financial burden on PCE community schools from tennination of the PCE would be $1.406 million, an increase of 13 percent in the electricity bill of the schools. Assuming this is paid out of the state education budget, the total increase in state expenses for electricity with the te11l1ination of the PCE program would be S 1.695 million (Figure 7.1).
INCREASE IN INDIRECT COSTS TO STATE GOVERNMENT
The indirect burden on state gove11lment from the elimination of PCE is more difficult to estimate but it could be considerable. There are at least three components ofthis indirect burden.
The first is the additional cost associated with providing electric power to state facilities through self generation in those cases wherc the local utility goes out of business. Were a PCE utility to cease operation because it could not cover its costs, the cost of altemative self generation for a state facility continuing to operate would be greater than that of the ntility.
The second cost wonld be the reduction in the reliability of electric power due to the erosion of the financial strength of the PCE utilities. Utilities trying to cover deficits will reduce
12 From the Alaska School Operating Cost Study, by the McDowell Group for the Legislative Budget and Audit Committee, 1998.
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
maintenance and this will lead to an increase in power outages and the need for additional standby capacity among users for whom such outages are costly. Reliability would also be compromised where a peE utility shut down and thus eliminated one source of electricity generation within a community for users such as schools and hospitals.
A third type of cost to the state would be associated with increases in the incidence of health and social related problems attendant a reduction in the availability and use of electricity in smalJ nIral communities. We have not quantified what the size of these costs might be, but we discuss some of the special benefits of electricity for nIral Alaska in the final section of this report.
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 7.1
POWER COST EQUALIZATION PROGRAM
ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE
TOTAL PCE PAYMENT IN 1996
Reduction in Fuel Oil Purchases
Added Financial Burden on Households in PCE Communities
Residential Bills Community Facility Bills Other Bills Balance to Offset Utility Deficits
Added Financial Burden on Government and Private Business
State and Federal Government Commercial (Includes Schools)
Note: Added Direct Financial Burden on State Budget to Offset PCE Loss
Government Facilities Commercial (Includes Schools)
(FY 1996)
CHANGE TO OFFSET LOSS
$19,201,515
$2.791,498
$11,445,571
$8,892,830 $2,251,241
$29,111 $272,389
$4,964,447
S579,593 $4,384,854
$1,695,447
$289,796 $1,405,651
LOST WAGES
LOST JOBS
.~------------------- .-----------
$4,908,035 210
$963,067 28
$2,751,515 127
$2,137,836 99 $541,198 25
$6,998 0 $65,482 3
$1,193,453 55
$139,334 6 $1,054,119 49
Lost Jobs and Wages include the multiplier effect of the loss of purchasing power associated with program elimination.
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
i--
I
FIGURE 7.2
LOST PURCHASING POWER CONCENTRATED IN SMALL PLACES
! $8.00 1-----------------------: •• ---, 1 1
a: w 5: o
1 0.. (') Z (j)
<{ if)
I c 1 ~ g
:J 2 0.. W > ~ -' :J 2 :J o
$6.00 c---I i 1
$4.00 :.. , ,
$2.00 - .
60 $ 0 . 0 0 ----.lc.::; "ii" .1111111111111
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 PLACES ARRANGED FROM SMALLEST TO LARGEST
if\lOKifBERS ABOVE BARS INDICATE POPULATION OF PLACEq __ J -----~
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 7.3 ~ <'
KAKE HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES BY LOCATION SURVEY RESULTS
WHERE $ SPENT $ %
KAI<E $381,342 31.9%
OTHER SE AK $394,814 33.0%
ELSEWHERE $420,296 35.1%
TOTAL $1,196,452 100.0%
SOURCE: KAKE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PROJECT, DAVID MARSHALL AND ASSOC., 1990.
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 7.4
TRADE EMPLOYMENT AND POPULATION FOR ALASKA CENSUS AREAS
TRADE JOB CENSUS WHOLESALE RETAIL TOTAL POPULATION PER AREA TRADE TRADE TRADE 1000 POP
- ------- ---------- - - -- ---- --------- ---------- ------ --------- ------- --- --- -. -----------
8,796 45,802 54,598 611,300 89.3
ANCHORAGE 6,188 23,261 29,449 254,849 115.6 FAIRBANKS 753 6,056 6,809 82,278 82.8
MATSU 257 2,437 2,694 52,448 51.4 DENALI 0 105 105 1,899 55.3 BRISTOL BAY BOROU 13 106 119 1,270 93.7
KETCHIKAN 209 1,293 1,502 14,599 102.9 JUNEAU 226 2,715 2,941 29,813 98.6 SKAGWAY 5 333 338 3,753 90.1 SITKA 36 729 765 8,733 87.6 HAINES 1 196 197 2,421 81.4 ALEUTIANS WEST 45 387 432 5,366 80.5 NORTH SLOPE 0 524 524 7,263 72.1 KENAI 447 2,991 3,438 48,098 71.5 KODIAK 68 815 883 13,547 65.2 VALDEZ 93 541 634 10,431 60.8 WRANGEL-PET 14 421 435 7,189 60.5 SOUTHEAST FRBKS 9 368 377 6,354 59.3 PRINCE OF WALES 18 369 387 6,876 56.3 YAKUTAT 1 39 40 833 48.0
NOME 5 426 431 9,178 47.0 DILLINGHAM 2 207 209 4,521 46.2 NORTHWEST 0 243 243 6,701 36.3 WADE HAMPTON 1 246 247 6,910 35.7 BETHEL 16 541 557 15,597 35.7 YUKON·KOYUKUK 17 151 168 6,355 26.4 ALEUTIANS EAST 6 46 52 2,238 23.2 LAKE AND PEN 5 23 28 1,780 15.7
UNDETERMINED 361 233 --- ------." - --.-- -- ---- - --- - ------- - ----------------- .--- --- ---------- -----.- - - -------
SOURCE: EMPLOYMENT AND EARNINGS SUMMARY REPORT 1996. ALASKA POPULATION OVERVIEW 1997 ESTIMATES. ALASKA DEPARTMENT OF LABOR
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
FIGURE 7.5
TYPICAL SCHOOL ELECTRICITY RATE WITH AND WITHOUT PCE
40 ~--------------------------------~
I 30
~ cr::: ~ 20 (f) fZ ill U
I +-+-+--+--+--+
10 1-,
! I
i o '- . 100 500 900 1300 1700
300 700 1100 1500 1900 MONTHLY KWH USED
I.WITH PCE rnWITHOUT PcEl
I
I I I
------'
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
8. THE VALUE OF ELECTRICITY TO RURAL COMMUNITIES
SPECIAL USES OF ELECTRICITY IN RURAL ALASKA
There are a number of special uses of electricity in rural areas that, while not unique, greatly enhance the quality oflife in ways that are often not obvious to urban dwellers. Among these uses are the following:
Streetlights. Streetlights are an important safety feature in communities with long winter nights. For example with streetlights children need not go to and return from school in the dark. Streetlights can also serve as a beacon to guide hunters and other travelers to the safety of the village.
Refrigeration. Refi'igerators and freezers provide a safe method of food storage in rural areas where subsistence is an important source of food, and where the supply of groceries is less than certain. The ability to refrigerate and freeze subsistence foods contributes to the general health and well being of the community by reducing the incidence of diseases associated with traditional methods of food storage.
Heat Circulation. Most space heating in rural Alaska is provided by fuel oil. However the distribution of heat is done by electric fans or circulating pumps. Without electricity the efficiency of space heating would be severely and adversely effected.
Supplementary Heat Supply. Electric space heaters and other appliances provide backup space heating capability in the event that the primary heating source breaks down.
Airport Lights. Airport lights expand the hours of operation of airports which are often the only means of transportation access in winter beyond the local community in rural Alaska.
\Vater Circulation. Water and sewer systems require continuous circulation to prevent freezing which would destroy their pipes and require costly replacement.
Hot \Vater. The availability of an ample hot water supply for washing and cleaning raises the general level of health in a community.
Interior lighting. Without interior electric lighting much winter activity takes place in semi-darkness. This reduces the productivity of work and may contribute to social problems.
Vehicle Heater Plug-In. Electric plug-in heaters keep vehicles warm enough in the winter to allow them to start in cold weather.
Compnters. Access to the outside world via the intemet provides infonnation, training,
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Power Cost Equalization Economic Significance
and the potential for job creation (ex. Marketing locally produced products).
PROTECTING THE PUBLIC AND PRIVATE INVESTMENT IN RURAL ALASKA
The state has a multi-billion dollar investment in infrastructure in rural Alaska that continues to grow each year. This investment is in the fonTI of capital grants, loans, and other fonns of assistance to local governments, school districts, and other organizations from both the state and federal governments, as well as expenditures for state owned facilities. Important components ofthis investment include the rural schools, sewer and water systems, airports, and hospitals and clinics. The commitment to building infrastructure in rural Alaska is underscored by the current program to provide clean water and sewer service to all rural communities in the state over the next few years. The rural electric utilities that have been financed by state grants are another important part of that infrastructure as well as an indicator of commitment.
In addition to public infrastructure there is a large private investment in infi·astructure and in the development of the economy of rural Alaska. For example the communications systems that link all communities in the state are an important investment in rural Alaska, enhancing the economic and social well-being of residents and providing 0ppoliunities for economic development.
All of this physical infrastructure is dependent on electricity to maintain the facilities, to deliver the educational, sanitation, health, transportation, and communication services that sustain rural communities, and to enhance the economic oppOliunities in rural Alaska. For example about 5 percent of the budget for the operation of selected rural schools goes to pay for electricity, about 4 percent of the budget for the operation of selected rural ai1llorts goes to pay for electricity, and about 18 percent of the budget for the operation of selected national guard amlories goes to pay for electricity. Anything that would increase the cost of electricity to these state purchased facilities would jeopardize the quality of their maintenance and their continued operation. In addition any changes that reduced the electricity generating capabilities in the communities that these facilities serve would adversely impact their operations. This includes the closure of electric utilities that forces other public facilities to self generate for their electric power needs.
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