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ARTICLE IN PRESS Health & Place 12 (2006) 19–37 The ecological relationship between deprivation, social isolation and rates of hospital admission for acute psychiatric care: a comparison of London and New York City Sarah Curtis a, , Alison Copeland a , James Fagg a , Peter Congdon a , Michael Almog b , Justine Fitzpatrick c a Department of Geography, Health Research Group, Queen Mary College, University of London, London, UK b Wagner Graduate School of Public Service, New York University, USA c London Health Observatory, London, UK Received in revised form 28 June 2004 Abstract We report on comparative analyses of small area variation in rates of acute hospital admissions for psychiatric conditions in Greater London around the year 1998 and in New York City (NYC) in 2000. Based on a theoretical model of the factors likely to influence psychiatric admission rates, and using data from the most recent population censuses and other sources, we examine the association with area indicators designed to measure access to hospital beds, socio-economic deprivation, social fragmentation and ethnic/racial composition. We report results on admissions for men and women aged 15–64 for all psychiatric conditions (excluding self-harm), drug-related substance abuse/ addiction, schizophrenia and affective disorders. The units of analysis in NYC were 165 five-digit Zip Code Areas and, in London, 760 electoral wards as defined in 1998. The analysis controls for age and sex composition and, as a proxy for access to care, spatial proximity to hospitals with psychiatric beds. Poisson regression modeling incorporating random effects was used to control for both overdispersion in the counts of admissions and for the effects of spatial autocorrelation. The results for NYC and London showed that local admission rates for all types of condition were positively and significantly associated with deprivation and the association is independent of demographic composition or ‘access’ to beds. In NYC, social fragmentation showed a significant association with admissions due to affective disorders and schizophrenia, and for drug dependency among females. Racial minority concentration was significantly and positively associated with admissions for schizophrenia. In London, social fragmentation was associated positively with admissions for men and women due to schizophrenia and affective disorders. The variable measuring racial/ethnic minority concentration for London wards showed a negative association with admission rates for drug dependency and for affective disorders. We discuss the interpretation of these results and the issues they raise in terms of the potential and limitations of international comparison. r 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Psychiatric inpatient admissions; New York; London; Ecological analysis; Deprivation indices www.elsevier.com/locate/healthplace 1353-8292/$ - see front matter r 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.healthplace.2004.07.002 Corresponding author. Tel.: +44-171-975-5400; fax: +44-207-975-5500. E-mail address: [email protected] (S. Curtis).

The ecological relationship between deprivation, social isolation and rates of hospital admission for acute psychiatric care: a comparison of London and New York City

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  • ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Health & Place 12 (2006) 1937

    in London, 760 electoral wards as dened in 1998. The analysis controls for age and sex composition and, as a proxy for

    www.elsevier.com/locate/healthplace

    1353-8292/$ - see front matter r 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    doi:10.1016/j.healthplace.2004.07.002

    Corresponding author. Tel.: +44-171-975-5400; fax: +44-207-975-5500.

    E-mail address: [email protected] (S. Curtis).access to care, spatial proximity to hospitals with psychiatric beds. Poisson regression modeling incorporating random

    effects was used to control for both overdispersion in the counts of admissions and for the effects of spatial

    autocorrelation. The results for NYC and London showed that local admission rates for all types of condition were

    positively and signicantly associated with deprivation and the association is independent of demographic composition

    or access to beds. In NYC, social fragmentation showed a signicant association with admissions due to affective

    disorders and schizophrenia, and for drug dependency among females. Racial minority concentration was signicantly

    and positively associated with admissions for schizophrenia. In London, social fragmentation was associated positively

    with admissions for men and women due to schizophrenia and affective disorders. The variable measuring racial/ethnic

    minority concentration for London wards showed a negative association with admission rates for drug dependency and

    for affective disorders. We discuss the interpretation of these results and the issues they raise in terms of the potential

    and limitations of international comparison.

    r 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    Keywords: Psychiatric inpatient admissions; New York; London; Ecological analysis; Deprivation indicesThe ecological relationship between deprivation, socialisolation and rates of hospital admission for acute psychiatric

    care: a comparison of London and New York City

    Sarah Curtisa,, Alison Copelanda, James Fagga, Peter Congdona,Michael Almogb, Justine Fitzpatrickc

    aDepartment of Geography, Health Research Group, Queen Mary College, University of London, London, UKbWagner Graduate School of Public Service, New York University, USA

    cLondon Health Observatory, London, UK

    Received in revised form 28 June 2004

    Abstract

    We report on comparative analyses of small area variation in rates of acute hospital admissions for psychiatric

    conditions in Greater London around the year 1998 and in New York City (NYC) in 2000. Based on a theoretical

    model of the factors likely to inuence psychiatric admission rates, and using data from the most recent population

    censuses and other sources, we examine the association with area indicators designed to measure access to hospital beds,

    socio-economic deprivation, social fragmentation and ethnic/racial composition. We report results on admissions for

    men and women aged 1564 for all psychiatric conditions (excluding self-harm), drug-related substance abuse/

    addiction, schizophrenia and affective disorders. The units of analysis in NYC were 165 ve-digit Zip Code Areas and,

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 193720Introduction: background to the analysis

    In the USA and the UK, mental health care for most

    patients is provided according to a model emphasising

    care in the community, rather than long-term care in

    residential institutions. Nevertheless, inpatient psychia-

    tric care in acute hospitals continues to play an

    important role in community-based systems and con-

    sumes signicant health care resources to meet the costs.

    Policy making and nancial planning for mental health

    services therefore require information on the factors

    associated with use of psychiatric inpatient care.

    In this paper, we discuss the signicance of ecological

    analyses for mental healthcare planning. By means of a

    comparative study of small area variations in the rate of

    psychiatric inpatient use by local populations, we

    illustrate the ecological factors that relate to psychiatric

    inpatient use in New York City (NYC), USA, and

    London, UK. While their health systems vary signi-

    cantly and there are some differences in their social

    geographies, these cities have several features that justify

    an international comparative study, considering them

    separately from the rest of the country as a whole. They

    are both global cities, they are atypical of average

    conditions prevailing in the rest of the country, they

    show considerable internal diversity and they have

    complex healthcare systems. Both cities face challenges

    in providing services for seriously mentally ill people.

    Both have health information systems providing routine

    data on admissions, as well as other sources of small

    area data on socio-economic conditions, that allow a

    similar approach to ecological variation in psychiatric

    hospital use.

    The ecological analyses presented here concern

    patterns of health care use by geographically dened

    populations. This approach does not aim to explain or

    predict service use by individual patients and one should

    not assume that individual mental health care users have

    characteristics like the population average in their area

    of residence. On the other hand, there is a large body of

    evidence from health geography demonstrating that

    individual and ecological characteristics may interact,

    such that conditions in small areas may have signicance

    for individual experience of illness and health services

    use (Macintyre et al., 1993; Kearns and Joseph, 1993;

    Jones and Moon, 1993; Duncan et al., 1996; Curtis and

    Jones, 1998, Diez-Roux, 1998).

    Ecological studies may also illustrate differences

    between local communities in service use, which are

    signicant for the organization and nancing of mental

    health services. In the UK, most psychiatric services

    used by the population are provided by the National

    Health Service (NHS), a comprehensive, integrated

    system in which local NHS trusts use budgets allocated

    by central government to commission services for the

    population in a specic area. Access to health care issignicantly affected both by the amount of NHS

    resource allocated for a local population and by the

    ways that this resource is managed at the local level to

    commission services. A founding principle of the NHS is

    that services should be provided equitably in proportion

    to need for populations in all parts of the country. The

    information produced in geographical analyses therefore

    can help target mental health care resources or inter-

    ventions to areas where they are most needed (e.g.,

    Smith et al., 1996; Glover et al., 1998; DH, 2003).

    The organization of US health care system is more

    diversied and care of individual patients may be funded

    by one or more of a range of different, independent

    private insurance schemes, or publicly funded by

    Medicaid or Medicare (McAlpine and Mechanic,

    2000). Access to services is therefore largely dependent

    on the health care plan providing coverage for the

    patient and the system does not allow for national

    control of resource allocation to different areas. Never-

    theless, there is constant emphasis in health policy on

    the requirement to manage health care in order to make

    it more cost-effective. Therefore, a focus on small area

    variations in mental health care use may have relevance

    for mental health service planning in the US situation.

    For example, recommendation 2.4 of the Presidents

    New Freedom Commission on Mental Health (2003: p. 8,

    44) proposes the production of comprehensive State

    Mental Health Plans to increase exibility of resource

    use, expand options and arrays of services and supports,

    and encourage states and localities to develop compre-

    hensive health care strategies. It seems likely that, in

    order to produce these plans, States and local govern-

    ments will need to be informed about local variations in

    current mental health care resource use and to judge

    whether these variations appear to be justied on

    grounds of cost-effectiveness in meeting the needs of

    patients with mental illness.

    Whereas ecological associations do not necessarily

    provide explanations for differences in use of health

    services between areas, they can be used to predict local

    differences in use of psychiatric care and, as argued

    above, they may help to inform service planning and

    provision in different urban settings. A large body of

    theoretical and empirical evidence from the UK, the

    USA and elsewhere suggests that several types of

    ecological factors are associated with varying use of

    psychiatric care at the small area level. It may be

    possible to argue that such associations are suggestive of

    direct or indirect causal processes producing variation

    among populations in different places in need for, and

    access to psychiatric care. In North America these

    relationships were discussed by Dear and Wolch (1987),

    who proposed a general model of the service-dependent

    ghetto, describing the typical geographical concentra-

    tion of mental health service users. In NYC, Schweitzer

    and Kierszenbaum (1978) examined variations in

  • admission rates in Brooklyn (Kings County) and Almog

    et al. (2004) reported time trends in small area variation

    in NYC during the 1990s. In the UK, hospital admission

    rates have been examined using ecological analysis by

    Giggs (1986) in Nottingham, by Dean and James (1981)

    in Plymouth, and by several groups of authors in

    London and the surrounding area (Thornicroft, 1991;

    Harvey et al., 1996; Glover et al., 1998; Johnson et al.,

    1998). Congdon et al. (1998) also found associations

    between socio-economic conditions and small area

    variation in rates of use of community services for

    serious mental illness in London. Nationwide analysis of

    small area variation in psychiatric hospital use was also

    reported by Carr-Hill et al. (1994) and Smith et al.

    (1996). There are examples of similar studies in cities in

    other parts of Europe (Dekker et al., 1997 for

    Amsterdam; Driessen et al., 1998 for Maastricht;

    Maylath et al., 1999, 2000 for Hamburg; Thornicroft

    et al., 1993 for Verona).

    There is some variability in the ndings reported, and

    this may be partly due to differences among these studies

    an

    ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 1937 21in the type of urban setting, the type of statistical

    approach used to test for ecological associations and the

    measures of social conditions and of hospital use

    examined. Some studies have shown that in the same

    setting, admission rates for different types of psychiatric

    condition have different ecological relationships with

    social indicators (Thornicroft et al., 1993; Tansella et al.,

    1993; Harrison et al., 1995; Boardman et al., 1997;

    Koppel and McGufn, 1999). For example, hospitaliza-

    tion rates due to disorders related to schizophrenia or

    substance abuse are more consistently associated with

    socio-economic deprivation than affective or neurotic

    disorders1.

    1For example, in Verona, Italy, Thornicroft et al. (1993) and

    Tansella et al. (1993) showed that while indicators of area

    deprivation predicted rates of mental health service use for

    schizophrenic conditions, these associations were not consis-

    tently related with use of services for neurotic disorders.

    Harrison et al. (1995) showed that for districts in North West

    England, deprivation was more strongly associated with area

    variation in admission for psychotic disorders than for non-

    psychotic conditons. In North Staffordshire, Boardman et al.

    (1997) analysed the ecological relationship at ward level

    between deprivation indicators and standardized admission

    rates for schizophrenic, affective, neurotic, substance abuse

    disorders and found that both psychotic and non-psychotic

    conditions were signicantly and positively associated with

    deprivation indicators. The correlations were weaker for

    affective disorders than for other causes of admission. A study

    in Cardiff by Koppel and McGufn (1999) found associations

    between psychiatric admission rates at ward level and

    composite measures of deprivation as well as with specic

    poverty measures like unemployment. These varied by cause of

    admission in that drug related disorders and schizophrenia

    showed stronger associations than affective and neurotic

    disorders.affordable accommodation and where some specialist

    psychiatric and social support services are available.

    Breeder and drift effects operating together are thought

    to cause greater concentrations of people with severe

    mental illness in areas where on average the population

    is relatively poor, accommodation is cheap or where

    communities lack strong social support systems and

    social cohesion.

    Varying access to care may also affect the pattern.

    This is supported by the nding that populations living

    close to hospitals are more likely to use them than

    populations living at a greater distance (the distance

    decay effect in hospital use). Thus some local popula-

    tions within a city may have higher levels of hospitaliza-

    tion just because they are closer to the supply of beds.

    Historically, large hospitals in major cities like London

    and New York were established in inner city areas, andwe

    (usople tend to be excluded from some (usually

    althier) parts of the city and will move towards other

    ually poor inner city) areas where they can ndtor

    peereby deprived environments with high levels of

    omie cause or exacerbate mental illness. Commenta-

    s also refer to drift effects, by which mentally illcau

    whsal pathways may operate through breeder effects,LaSome researchers have also compared the predictive

    power of different social indicators. For example,

    Thornicroft (1991) and Koppel and McGufn (1999)

    demonstrated that certain specic area indicators that

    are updated annually, such as small area unemployment

    rates, predict psychiatric admissions as effectively as

    composite socio-economic indicators that require de-

    cennial census data. This may be important for service

    planning because during the period between censuses,

    social indicators that can be regularly updated may

    more accurately reect changing socio-economic condi-

    tions at the local level.

    Taken together, these empirical studies suggest that at

    the local level, within cities, several groups of ecologi-

    cal factors are often positively associated with higher

    levels of psychiatric hospital use. These are:

    relatively high levels of poverty and socio-economicdeprivation in the local population; relatively high levels of social fragmentation andindividual isolation in the local community (also

    described by Durkheim (1897) as anomie); locally high concentrations of minority ethnic groups; close spatial proximity of the area to hospitals withpsychiatric beds.

    Explanations for these associations are thought to be

    complex, and they may be summarized as a combination

    of different processes (as discussed for example by Smith

    and Hanham, 1981; Giggs, 1988, Dear and Wolch, 1987;

    Dohwenrend et al., 1992; Takahashi and Gaber, 1998;

    mont et al., 2000; Almog et al., 2004). One set of

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 193722they are now often located in relatively deprived areas,

    so that socio-economic factors and proximity to beds

    may be spatially correlated. Some ecological studies of

    varying hospitalization rates therefore include indicators

    of spatial proximity to services (eg Carr-Hill et al., 1994;

    Smith et al., 1996; Almog et al., 2004; Maylath et al.,

    1999) and try to establish whether associations with

    socio-economic conditions are independent of spatial

    proximity to the supply of beds.

    Access to primary and ambulatory services may also

    be variable for the populations of small areas, which

    may affect their use of hospitals. The Commission on

    Mental Health in the US observed that:

    Too often the short term inpatient care and

    emergency services in hospitals are used as the rst

    contact for uninsured and underinsured populations.

    (Commission on Mental Health, 2003, p. 71).

    The comments by the commission seem to conrm that

    emergency inpatient hospital care is being used as a rst

    response service for some people with mental illness

    because of lack of access to ambulatory care alternatives.

    This may occur in the event of crises arising when mental

    illness has not been managed effectively in the commu-

    nity. It raises questions about whether such use of

    inpatient care is effective or efcient in a mental health

    system based on a model of care in the community.

    Commentators from European countries have also

    commented that community mental health services need

    to be better developed and that high levels of hospitaliza-

    tion in some areas may be compensating for a lack of

    access to other forms of social or community support

    (Johnson et al., 1998; Maylath et al., 1999).

    This is all the more important because it seems that

    such variation in use of inpatient and outpatient care

    relates to poverty and to race or ethnic group. Several

    observers have criticized the US mental health care

    system for what is apparently a lack of access to good

    ambulatory mental health care for poor patients without

    insurance cover (e.g. Frank and Morlock, 1997; Grob,

    1994). This is reported especially for black Americans,

    and may be partly related to differences in the way that

    health services diagnose and treat patients from this

    racial group. Jones and Gray (1986) suggested that there

    are discrepancies in the pattern of psychiatric diagnoses

    for black and white patients such that there may be

    relative overdiagnosis for black patients of schizophre-

    nia-related disorders, and an overdiagnosis of whites

    for personality and affective disorders. This seems to be

    associated with relatively low usage of outpatient care

    and high rates of use of inpatient services by black

    populations, often funded by the Medicaid program

    (Snowden, 1999; Dixon et al., 2001; Wang & Demler,

    2002). For example, Dixon et al. (2001) report a large

    study of service use for schizophrenia in the populationunder 65 years of age, and found that, although

    incidence of diagnosed schizophrenia and associated

    use of hospital care were relatively high among black

    Americans, whites were about 1.5 times as likely as

    blacks to have received outpatient care and 1.3 times as

    likely to have received individual therapy. Reports of

    relatively high rates of psychiatric illness requiring

    hospital treatment among African-Carribean British

    men include: Van Os et al., (1996), Callan (1996),

    Harrison et al. (1997), Bhui and Bhugra (2001).

    Thus if ecological studies reveal that in certain areas

    the rate of acute hospital use is relatively high, this could

    be open to different interpretations. Such variations

    might be appropriate if the prevalence, nature and

    severity of mental illness in some areas necessitate higher

    rates of inpatient care to provide effective medical

    treatment. On the other hand, they might reect varying

    access to hospital beds and to effective primary and

    ambulatory care which might prevent admission. The

    latter scenario suggests that there may be some inap-

    propriate use of inpatient services as a rst resort and as

    an alternative to ambulatory, community-based-care.

    Method to compare geographical differences in

    hospitalization rates in New York City and London

    We aimed to make a comparative empirical study to

    investigate the relationships discussed above in NYC

    and London. We analysed small area data, for both

    cities, on acute admissions of men and women aged

    1564, collated for selected psychiatric conditions, which

    we have dened as far as possible in similar terms for

    both cities. We have examined the relationship between

    local admission rates and a set of predictor variables,

    which we also attempted to dene in similar ways for

    both cities.

    Hospitalization data for NYC were derived from

    administrative data in the Statewide Planning and

    Research Co-operative System (SPARCS) produced by

    the New York State Department of Health. The data

    used here represent almost all psychiatric admissions of

    NYC residents to non-federal public, non-prot and

    proprietary general hospitals in New York State

    included in the SPARCS system. Admissions to

    Veterans Administration hospitalizations as well as

    those outside of New York State are not included in

    this analysis. For London, the data were derived from

    the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES), which are

    compiled for all parts of the country and record all

    episodes of inpatient psychiatric care funded by the

    National Health Service. The relatively small proportion

    of hospital use that is privately funded is excluded

    because suitable data are not available. The HES data

    used here were for residents of Greater London.

    We focus on acute admissions (lasting less than 90

    days) for which the main cause of admission is classied

  • as one of categories 290319 inclusive of the World

    Health Organization (WHO, 1978) International Classi-

    fication of Diseases Version 9 (ICD-9), three-digit

    classication. We refer to these here as all psychiatric

    conditions (though they exclude, for example, self-harm

    categories associated with para-suicide). All psychiatric

    conditions are therefore a broad category, including

    admissions due to drug and alcohol dependency, organic

    problems such as Alzheimers disease, mental retarda-

    tion and developmental disorders, as well as illness due

    to schizophrenia and affective disorders. We have also

    psychiatric beds and socio-economic conditions within

    the area. These data were derived from the most recent

    population censuses (for the year 2000 in US and 2001 in

    UK) and also from other UK sources discussed below.

    The demographic data for NYC ZCAs were derived

    from the 2000 population census giving the numbers of

    males and females in 5-year age groups. For London,

    ward level population estimates for 1998 produced by

    the London Research Centre were used to estimate

    person-years for the relevant period. These population

    data were used in combination with the admissions data

    to calculate expected numbers of admissions for each

    ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 1937 23examined the pattern for selected, more specic causes

    of mental illness: schizophrenic conditions (coded 295 in

    the ICD-9 3 digit classication), affective disorders

    (coded 296), and drug dependency (coded 304). We have

    selected these because other ecological studies (reviewed

    above) found that while they were all correlated with

    small area social structure, the different diagnoses

    showed varying associations with socio-economic vari-

    ables. Although we aimed for consistency in diagnostic

    cause of admission there is some difculty due to

    changes in classication between ICD version 9, used in

    the NYC data, and ICD version 10 (WHO, 1992), used

    in the London data2.

    In NYC data were collated for 165 ve-digit Zip Code

    Areas (ZCAs). Total population size ranges from 4226

    to 106,154. In London the spatial units were 760

    electoral wards (as dened in 1998) population ranges

    from 2257 to 21,162. We examined admissions for men

    and women separately in the age groups 1564. Hospital

    stays/episodes exceeding 90 days were excluded from the

    analysis because we are interested in acute psychiatric

    care (which can be seen as part of the spectrum of care

    provided in a community based care model involving

    ambulatory services and relatively brief inpatient stays

    when necessary). The data for NYC are for the 12-

    month period April 1999March 2000. In London

    hospitalization rates are lower than in New York and

    the spatial units are smaller, and as a consequence the

    counts of admissions are fewer, so we combined data for

    the 3-year period: April 1996March 1999.

    Admissions data for small areas were linked to

    information relating to the demographic prole of area

    populations, the proximity of areas to hospitals with

    2The following ICD-10 codes were used, in the London

    admissions data, to approximate ICD-9 categories in the NYC

    data. This conversion was based on: NHSCCC (2000).

    All psychiatric causes: ICD-10 categories F00-99 (approx-

    imating to 290-319 of ICD-9).

    Schizophrenic disorders ICD-10 codes F20, F21X, F23,

    F25, F25x (approximating to ICD-9 295).

    Affective psychoses:ICD-10 codes F30-F39 (approximating

    to ICD-9 296).

    Drug dependency: ICD-10, F11F16, F18, F19 (approx-

    imating for ICD-9 304).New York ZCA or London ward. This is the number

    that would occur if the annual rate of admissions for

    each sex and age group in the small area were the same

    as in the general population of the whole city where it is

    situated. This information is used to produce age

    standardized admission ratios (SARs) for men and

    women (comparing the observed and expected admis-

    sions to show whether small area rates of admission are

    higher or lower than expected given their demographic

    prole). The reference population for SARs of NYC

    ZCAs is therefore the general population of the ve

    NYC counties, while for London the reference is the

    population of Greater London.

    To measure spatial proximity to psychiatric beds we

    used data on the location and number of psychiatric

    beds in hospitals. These were supplied for NYC by New

    York State Department of Health and for London by

    the Adult Mental Health Service Mapping project,

    University of Durham, UK (http://www.dur.ac.uk/

    service.mapping/). We used the postcode of individual

    hospitals to derive an approximate estimate of geo-

    graphic location (based on the centroid of the small area

    in which it was situated). This information was used to

    generate two measures of spatial proximity to psychia-

    tric beds for each small area. One indicator shows

    whether or not there is a hospital with psychiatric beds

    located within the small area (this measures proximity to

    psychiatric beds for the population located in the

    immediate vicinity of the hospital). The second is a

    general measure of spatial access opportunity3 to all

    beds in the city, based on a gravity model (Carr-Hill

    3The access opportunity measure used here was calculated

    as follows:

    Ai SkBkgdik=SmPmgdmk;where Ai is the access score for ith Zip Code Area; Bk the no. of

    psychiatric beds at kth hospital; dik and dmk the distances from

    kth hospital to ith and mth Zip Code Areas, respectively; Pm the

    population in mth Zip Code Area; and g is a function of

    distance. An inverse function of distance is used to reect the

    distance decay effect on access. Following Carr-Hill et al.

    (1994) the function used is g(d)=e0.2d.For further discussion of gravity models in the analysis of

    hospital distribution, see (Congdon, 1996b).

  • et al., 1994). This assumes that the population of every

    area competes for access to all the available beds in the

    city, and that in each area, mentally ill people are more

    likely to use beds which are geographically closer than

    beds which are further away. As discussed above, it was

    important to examine local variations in the supply of

    psychiatric beds because in both London and NYC many

    hospitals have been located in what are now poorer inner

    city areas and, as discussed above, this may confound the

    association with social and economic variables.

    We would have liked to include information on use of

    outpatient services, which might have been indicative of

    use of alternatives to inpatient care, but these data were

    not available for this research. This limitation is

    considered in the discussion that concludes this paper.

    We used three composite indicators of socio-economic

    conditions to reect deprivation, anomie and concentra-

    tion of racial/ethnic minority groups. As shown in the

    theoretical and empirical evidence summarized above,

    these represent different population factors likely to be

    independently associated with psychiatric admissions.

    The deprivation indicators for NYC and London

    were based on components4 dened in similar ways.

    Most previous analyses of socio-economic factors

    associated with psychiatric hospital use in Britain (e.g.

    Glover, 1998; Carr-Hill et al., 1994) have used census-

    based socio-economic indicators. For our analysis of

    London wards, we employed the Index of Multiple

    Deprivation (IMD) which is disseminated by the Ofce

    of the Deputy Prime Minister (ODPM) and is widely

    used to measure local variation in deprivation and to

    inform area-based social policy (DETR, 2000). Several

    of the elements of this indicator are derived from sources

    that do not depend on the decennial census and can be

    compiled on an annual basis for wards throughout the

    country. Moreover, unlike the population census (which

    does not provide direct information on income poverty),

    the IMD indicator includes several measures of relative

    numbers of the population qualifying for welfare

    benets because of low income, disability or unemploy-

    ment. It also includes detailed measures of educational

    qualications of the local population, housing depriva-

    tion, morbidity and disability and access to essential

    services. However, the IMD does not include data on

    racial/ethnic composition of the population or variables

    relating to anomie. The following analysis shows the

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    4The indicator of deprivation for London wards which we

    have adopted here was compiled for the Ofce of the Deputy

    Prime Minister from a variety of sources and includes

    components relating to several different domains. These are

    dened as follows (IMD, 2000):

    Income domain:

    Adults (and children) in income support households, 1998.

    Adults (and children) in income-based job seekers allowance

    (footnote continued)

    HE, 1997-8.

    KS2 primary school performance indicators, 1998.

    Primary school children with English as an additional

    language, 1998.

    Absenteeism at primary school, 1998.

    Housing domain:

    S. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 193724households, 1998.

    Adults (and children) in family credit households, 1999.

    Adults (and children) in disability working allowance

    households, 1999.

    Non-earning, non-IS pensioner and disabled Council Tax

    Benet recipients, 1998.

    Employment domain:

    Unemployment claimant counts, 199899.

    People out of work but in TEC government supported

    training.

    People aged 1824 on New Deal options.

    Incapacity benet recipients aged 1659, 1998.

    Severe disablement allowance claimants aged 1659, 1999.

    Health deprivation and disability domain

    Mortality ratios under 65, 199798

    Proportion of population receiving attendance allowance or

    disability living allowance, 1998.

    People of working age receiving incapacity benet or severe

    disablement allowance, 199899.

    Age/sex standardized morbidity ratio (self reported long

    term limiting illness), 1991 census.

    Proportion of births with birthweight o2500 g, 199397.Education skills and training domain:

    Working age adults with no qualications, 199598.

    Children aged 16+ not in full time education, 1999.

    Proportions of 17-19 year olds not successfully applied forHomeless households in temporary accommodation,

    19978.

    Houshold overcrowding 1991 census.

    Poor private sector housing.

    Access domain:

    Access to a post ofce.

    Access to food shops.

    Access to a GP.

    Access to a primary school.

    To produce an indicator of deprivation for ZCAs NYC

    (data from 2000 census), z-score transformations of the

    following variables were used:

    % population over 16 years old unemployed.

    % with income less than $10,000.

    inverse of median income in 1999.

    % of households qualifying for social security payments.

    % households with supplemental income.

    % households with public assistance income.

    % population over 25 years of age with less than 9th grade

    educational level.

    % population aged 2164 with a disability.

    % individuals over 18 years below poverty level.

    % housing units with more than 1 person per room.

    % housing lacking complete plumbing facilities.

    % housing lacking kitchen facilities.

  • value of the IMD measure as predictor of admissions

    and whether better prediction can be obtained by using

    social isolation and ethnicity indicators in addition to

    the IMD measure. Another advantage of the IMD

    measure, for the purposes of this study, is that several of

    the components are dened in a similar way to variables

    in the US census for 2000. Footnote 4 lists the census

    data selected for NYC ZCAs to approximate, as far as

    possible, the IMD index. In the IMD index the

    component variables are standardized and weighted

    according to the results of a factorial analysis. For the

    NYC deprivation measure we standardized the variables

    (z-scores) and combined the resulting components

    without weighting them.

    The indicators of anomie used in London and

    NYC5 were previously employed in ecological

    studies of variation in suicide rates in London by

    themselves as belonging to the white racial/ethnic

    category, because there may be other minority groups

    with distinctive patterns of use of mental health care,

    which are not as frequently reported in the literature

    (Burr, 2002; Lu et al., 2002).

    Poisson regression modeling incorporating random

    effects was used to control for both overdispersion in the

    counts of admissions and for the effects of spatial

    autocorrelation6. The analysis was carried out in the

    WINBUGS analysis package (Spiegelhalter et al., 2000).

    This employs Bayesian modeling, which is more suitable

    than conventional Poisson modeling for data from small

    areas that includes small counts. The dependent variable

    in these models was the count of the observed number of

    inpatient events (admissions). The expected number of

    events was included as an offset term to standardize for

    the effect of age and sex. This means that the outcome

    variable can be interpreted as the ratio of observed to

    expected events (the Standardized Admission Ratios

    described above). The deviance was examined in relation

    to the number of units in the analysis to check for

    overdispersion7.

    The analysis produced mean values for beta coef-

    cients for the predictor variables in the model. These

    were used to assess the signicance of association

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    6We have chosen to use a regression model that takes spatial

    auto-correlation into account, in preference to a more conven-

    tional Poisson regression model. The Poisson model is often

    S. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 1937 25Congdon (1996a, 1997, 2001) and in Britain by Whitley

    et al. (1999). We have included components which

    separately measure the proportions of the population

    who live alone, who are not married (which at the

    population level we take to represent household level

    isolation), who live in privately rented accommodation

    or who had moved in the 12 months preceding the

    census (reecting residentially mobile populations that

    may generally be less likely to form stable neighbour-

    hood ties).

    We included a variable labelled race, to reect the

    concentration of minority racial/ethnic populations. For

    this we used census data for London and NYC on self-

    dened racial or ethnic category. We used data on the

    proportion of the population who identied themselves

    in the census as belonging to black or African racial/

    ethnic groups (which we have selected because of the

    large literature suggesting that this group tend to have

    particularly high rates of hospital admission for some

    psychiatric disorders). In addition, we have included the

    proportion of the population who did not identify

    5Indicators of social isolation or social fragmentation were

    calculated by combining standardized (z-score) transformations

    of the following components:

    For ZCAs in New York City (data from 2000 population

    census):

    % population living alone.

    % population not unmarried or separated.

    % population in rented accommodation.

    % population who moved house in the previous year.

    For wards in London (data from 2001 population census):

    % population living alone.

    % population not unmarried or separated.

    % population in rented accommodation.

    Measure of racial composition, NYC:

    % of population in households with people of Black or

    African American race (alone or in combination)

    % of population in households with people of white race

    (alone or in combination).suitable for data made up of counts, but here there are possible

    problems of overdispersion in the count data (Cameron and

    Trivedi, 1990). With spatially dened units there are likely to be

    issues of spatial correlation in the extraneous variation (e.g.

    Cliff and Ord, 1981). This was apparent in this analysis, because

    we found that a conventional Poisson model gave deviances

    considerably exceeding the degrees of freedom, indicating that

    the signicance of the regression coefcients of independent

    variables may be overstated. Solutions may be to introduce the

    random effects either multiplicatively (e.g. leading to a negative

    binomial) or to additively in the regression link. Here we have

    adopted the mixed model of Besag et al. (1991) which adds two

    kinds of random effects in the regression link, one spatially

    structured, the other being spatially unstructured effects. Our

    approach differed from the Besag et al. model because spatial

    effects were modelled via the specication of Sun et al. (1999),

    which involves a specic spatial correlation parameter.7To conrm that the model is appropriate to the data

    structure we have examined the size of the deviance at the

    posterior mean of the coefcients, which should be similar to

    the number of degrees of freedom in the model. The degrees of

    freedom in a model without random effects is Np where

    N=165 and p is the number of independent variables (constant

    included). In a model with random effects the degrees of

    freedom is problematic because the number of parameters has

    to be estimated. Here we have estimated the effective number of

    parameters in deriving the Deviance Information Criterion

    (Spiegelhalter et al., 2002) which indicates the goodness of t of

    the model.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 193726between the predictor variable and the rate of admission

    (dependent variable). The ratio of the mean beta value

    to the standard deviation indicates the signicance of the

    association. Where the mean of the beta coefcient has a

    value more than 1.96 the standard deviation, and where

    the 95% credible interval (the condence interval in

    Bayesian analysis) does not include zero, the association

    is signicant (indicated by in the tables of results).The sign of the coefcient shows whether the correlation

    is positive or negative. Relatively high ratios of mean to

    standard deviation indicate that there is a relatively large

    variability in admission ratios associated with variation

    in the predictor variable. We also report the deviance at

    posterior mean and the deviance information criterion

    (DIC), which are indicators of the goodness of t of the

    model and the rho coefcient, indicating the degree of

    spatial auto-correlation in the regression errors (Sun

    et al., 1999).

    Results: local variation in hospitalization for psychiatric

    conditions in NYC and London

    The patterns of admissions show some variation

    between New York and London. For example, crude

    Fig. 1. ODPM index of deprivarates of admission per 1000 men aged 1564 are much

    higher in New York than in London (25/1000 compared

    with 11/1000). Admission rates for women are more

    similar between the two cities (11/1000 in NYC and 8/

    1000 in London). The large differential between male

    and female rates of admission in NYC is most evident

    for admissions due to conditions such as drug depen-

    dency. (Male admission rates for ICD-9 304 are three

    times those for women). These results suggest differences

    between the two cities in treatment of some psychiatric

    conditions, or possibly variations in prevalence of these

    conditions in the population.

    Fig. 1 shows a ward level map for London of

    variation in the deprivation indicator, showing more

    deprived areas (shaded darker) especially in central and

    in eastern areas, as well as in some western areas. Ward

    level SARs for all psychiatric causes for males aged

    1564 in London are shown in Fig. 2, and the higher

    levels of admission follow a broadly similar spatial

    pattern to that for higher levels of deprivation. Almog et

    al. (2004) reported a similar spatial association between

    poverty and admission rates in NYC. Figs. 3 and 4,

    which show patterns for admissions in London due to

    affective disorders and for schizophrenia, demonstrate

    that there are some differences in the geographical

    tion 2000; London wards.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 1937 27pattern of admission rates according to the type of

    diagnosis considered.

    Tables 1 to 4 record the results from the regression

    analyses for each city and for males and females,

    respectively.

    The regression analyses of male admission rates for

    NYC are shown in Table 1. In most of the models, the

    measure of access showing that there was a hospital

    located in the same ZCA had a positive and signicant

    association with admission rates. Admissions due to

    drug dependency, however, were positively associated

    with the alternative indicator measuring spatial access to

    beds across the city as a whole. After controlling for the

    access indicators, deprivation was signicantly and

    positively associated with all the causes of admission

    considered here for males in NYC. The association with

    deprivation was stronger (larger beta coefcient) for

    admissions due to drug dependency than for affective

    disorders or schizophrenia. For males in NYC, anomie

    (social fragmentation) showed a signicant association

    with admissions due to all causes and admissions due to

    affective disorders and schizophrenia but not for drug

    dependency. Racial minority concentration was signi-

    cantly and positively associated with admissions for

    Fig. 2. SARs for all psychiatric causes;schizophrenia but not for affective disorders or drug

    dependency admissions for males.

    Admissions for women in NYC (Table 2) showed

    similar associations with predictor variables, except that

    beta coefcients for the access variables show weaker

    associations which are not always signicant. Also the

    anomie indicator was signicantly and positively related

    to admissions for drug dependency, which was not the

    case for male admissions.

    Results for London (Tables 3 and 4) showed variable

    associations with the measure of access opportunity.

    Most of the signicant associations were positive,

    especially for admissions due to schizophrenia and drug

    dependency, reecting relatively high rates for wards

    which are closer to the overall supply of hospitals with

    psychiatric beds across the city. However, for affective

    disorders, there was no important association with the

    overall access opportunity measure, and female admis-

    sion rates for affective disorders were signicantly lower

    in wards within which psychiatric hospital beds are

    located.

    Independently of the measures of access, deprivation

    was positively associated with admission rates in

    London for all the types of psychiatric conditions

    London, males 1564, 19961999.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 193728considered here and for both males and females. Anomie

    was associated positively with admissions for men and

    women due to schizophrenia and affective disorders, and

    for all psychiatric conditions, including these. How-

    ever, for drug dependency the association was insignif-

    icant. When controlling for deprivation and anomie, the

    variable measuring racial/ethnic minority concentration

    for London wards showed a negative association with

    admission rates for drug dependency and for affective

    disorders. For schizophrenia the association showed no

    signicant association independent of deprivation and

    social fragmentation. This was unexpected, given the

    evidence from the UK reviewed above concerning

    relatively high rates of admission for African and

    Carribean Black men due to conditions such as

    schizophrenia. In our data, the association between

    racial composition and deprivation in London wards is

    quite strong (Pearsons R=0.46), so it is possible that

    the strong association with deprivation is masking a

    positive link with ethnic composition in these data.

    Alternative variables relating to ethnicity were also

    tested in the model (e.g. a variable which specically

    indicated the proportion of the population belonging to

    Black African and Caribbean groups), and they gave

    similar results. We discuss the interpretation of this

    nding below.

    Fig. 3. Standardized admission ratios: acute psychiatric admissioDiscussion

    There are other examples of international compara-

    tive studies of psychiatric care in urban settings (e.g.,

    Goldberg and Thornicroft, 1998) and some have

    employed a standardized methodology to improve the

    potential for comparative measurement of variations in

    psychiatric care (e.g., Becker et al., 1999). However, we

    are not aware of other studies that have taken such a

    standardized approach to comparison of psychiatric

    hospitalization in NYC and London. This paper

    demonstrates that there are some limits to the scope

    for direct statistical comparisons using a common

    approach to ecological analysis of hospitalization for

    these two cities. For example, there are differences

    between the two cities in: the average size of the small

    areas for which analysis is feasible; the ways in which

    causes of admission are coded (using different versions

    of the ICD); and the inclusion of data on hospitaliza-

    tions paid by commercial insurance in NYC, which is

    not provided by HES data for London. There are slight

    differences in the years for which data have been

    collected (though we do not consider this large enough

    to affect the comparison). Also, the socio-economic data

    available from sources like the census are similar, but

    not dened in exactly the same way. Furthermore, some

    ns, London wards c. 1998: males 1564, affective disorders.

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 1937 29socio-economic variables may have different social

    meaning in the two cities, even though they appear to

    be dened in rather similar ways. For example, the

    ethnic/racial categories do not relate to groups with

    exactly the same origins.

    It is also important to note that this analysis has

    considered data on hospital admissions. Some of these

    will be repeat admissions of the same patients for

    ongoing mental health problems and they are therefore

    not indications of the incidence or prevalence of mental

    illness in the population. Furthermore, service use is not

    a very reliable indication of the pattern of mental illness

    in the population, and this is not an aetiological study of

    factors that may be causing psychiatric conditions. We

    have not reported here analyses which take into account

    variations in length of stay in hospital which are also

    relevant in assessing the health care burden associated

    with different patient groups. However, in a separate

    paper we show that local variation in the volume of

    hospital use (beddays) in NYC shows associations with

    socio-economic conditions and proximity to services

    that are broadly similar to those found for admissions

    (Almog et al., 2004). For this analysis we only had

    inpatient data available and we were not able to include

    data on rates of use of outpatient hospital services or

    other forms of ambulatory psychiatric care. The

    Fig. 4. Standardized admission ratios: acute psychiatric admissaddition of such data would give a clearer impression

    of the spectrum of mental health services consumed by

    local populations and we plan further research to derive

    this information from other sources and include these in

    later analyses. It is also important to note that, as this

    study relies on routine data sources, any biases in data

    recording will affect the results. One possible problem

    here concerns the possible under-enumeration of resi-

    dent populations in some areas of large cities, which

    would tend to result in inated calculations of admission

    rates. Under-enumeration may be particularly proble-

    matic in areas with large numbers of marginalized and

    highly mobile populations, so this might partly explain

    our ndings of higher admission rates in deprived areas.

    On the other hand, the rates of under-enumeration

    would need to be very large (well in excess of 30%) to

    fully account for the differences we report here between

    observed and expected rates of admission.

    Allowing for these caveats about the comprehensive-

    ness and comparability of the data, some interesting

    observations can be made about the results of the

    analyses reported here.

    For admissions of men due to schizophrenia and drug

    dependency (in London and in NYC), we found that the

    rate of hospitalization is partly determined by supply of

    hospital beds. This is consistent with commentaries on

    ions, London wards c.1998: males 1564, Schizophrenia.

  • ARTIC

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    PRESS

    Table 1

    Regression results for males 1564 in NYC (controlling spatial autocorrelation)

    Dependent variable

    (cause of

    admission)

    Deviance at

    posterior mean

    DIC rho Variable *Signicant b-coeff; mean Standard

    deviation

    Credible interval

    0.025 0.975

    All psychiatric 163.5 320.6 0.944 Constant 0.420 0.067 0.540 0.283Access opportunity 0.092 0.061 0.029 0.205Whether hospital in

    area

    * 0.258 0.058 0.134 0.378

    Deprivation * 0.051 0.005 0.041 0.062

    Anomie * 0.050 0.017 0.017 0.081

    Race * 0.049 0.023 0.007 0.092

    ICD-9 304 162.2 304.9 0.956 Constant 0.529 0.129 0.773 0.274Drug dependence Access opportunity * 0.237 0.095 0.039 0.418

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.054 0.086 0.120 0.230

    Deprivation * 0.072 0.008 0.056 0.088

    Anomie 0.041 0.029 0.019 0.094Race 0.034 0.031 0.030 0.094

    ICD-9 295 161.0 301.5 0.816 Constant 0.353 0.077 0.500 0.186Schizophrenia Access opportunity 0.007 0.101 0.180 0.196

    Whether hospital in

    area

    * 0.267 0.098 0.083 0.464

    Deprivation * 0.028 0.007 0.015 0.041

    Anomie * 0.065 0.024 0.015 0.110

    Race * 0.153 0.028 0.094 0.203

    ICD-9 296 162.5 280.6 0.844 Constant 0.191 0.047 0.286 0.099Affective disorders Access opportunity 0.081 0.054 0.186 0.027

    Whether hospital in

    area

    * 0.212 0.067 0.088 0.353

    Deprivation * 0.025 0.005 0.016 0.035

    Anomie * 0.075 0.020 0.033 0.110

    Race 0.030 0.019 0.007 0.067

    S.

    Cu

    rtiset

    al.

    /H

    ealth

    &P

    lace

    12

    (2

    00

    6)

    19

    3

    730

  • ARTIC

    LEIN

    PRESS

    Table 2

    Regression results for females 1564 in NYC

    Dependent variable

    (cause of

    admission)

    Deviance at

    posterior mean

    DIC rho Predictor variable *Signicant b-coeff; mean Standard

    deviation

    Credible interval

    0.025 0.975

    All psychiatric 166.20 308.69 0.96 Constant 0.211 0.080 0.381 0.075Access opportunity 0.015 0.056 0.104 0.121Whether hospital in

    area

    0.090 0.052 0.014 0.197

    Deprivation * 0.041 0.005 0.031 0.049

    Anomie * 0.065 0.015 0.037 0.098

    Race * 0.034 0.017 0.000 0.069

    ICD-9 304 165.90 290.89 0.92 Constant 0.572 0.161 0.888 0.270Drug dependence Access opportunity 0.144 0.105 0.080 0.334

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.021 0.098 0.172 0.209

    Deprivation * 0.066 0.009 0.049 0.084

    Anomie * 0.065 0.029 0.010 0.121

    Race 0.062 0.037 0.004 0.137ICD-9 295 165.20 297.78 0.78 Constant 0.231 0.061 0.348 0.105Schizophrenia Access opportunity 0.075 0.088 0.225 0.123

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.177 0.106 0.025 0.392

    Deprivation * 0.027 0.007 0.013 0.041

    Anomie * 0.070 0.024 0.023 0.118

    Race * 0.070 0.028 0.017 0.125

    ICD-9 296 164.90 278.02 0.93 Constant 0.148 0.040 0.226 0.067Affective disorders Access opportunity 0.051 0.048 0.141 0.048

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.077 0.060 0.035 0.203

    Deprivation * 0.028 0.004 0.021 0.036

    Anomie * 0.066 0.015 0.036 0.095

    Race 0.011 0.016 0.042 0.020

    S.

    Cu

    rtiset

    al.

    /H

    ealth

    &P

    lace

    12

    (2

    00

    6)

    19

    3

    731

  • ARTIC

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    PRESS

    Table 3

    Regression results for males 1564 in London

    Dependent variable

    cause of admission

    Deviance at

    posterior mean

    DIC rho Predictor variable *Signicant Mean Standard

    deviation

    Credible interval

    0.025 97.5%

    All psychiatric 754 1366 0.95 Constant 0.201 0.026 0.254 0.148Access opportunity 0.052 0.030 0.005 0.111Whether hospital in

    area

    0.035 0.041 0.047 0.114

    Deprivation * 0.594 0.032 0.533 0.655

    Anomie * 0.151 0.026 0.098 0.199

    Race * 0.148 0.030 0.209 0.093ICD-9 304 630 932 0.92 Constant 0.311 0.051 0.411 0.208Drug dependence Access opportunity * 0.266 0.057 0.146 0.372

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.086 0.062 0.031 0.211

    Deprivation * 0.444 0.085 0.306 0.628

    Anomie 0.051 0.057 0.153 0.063Race * 0.128 0.053 0.231 0.023

    ICD-9 295 718 1185 0.83 Constant 0.495 0.064 0.657 0.390Schizophrenia Access opportunity * 0.131 0.067 0.017 0.297

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.058 0.084 0.225 0.104

    Deprivation * 0.731 0.061 0.612 0.846

    Anomie * 0.338 0.069 0.190 0.450

    Race 0.096 0.059 0.202 0.037ICD-9 296 723 1141 0.89 Constant 0.321 0.051 0.430 0.215Affective disorders Access opportunity 0.014 0.074 0.100 0.194

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.023 0.076 0.177 0.121

    Deprivation * 0.694 0.086 0.515 0.836

    Anomie * 0.211 0.059 0.091 0.312

    Race * 0.267 0.052 0.365 0.159

    S.

    Cu

    rtiset

    al.

    /H

    ealth

    &P

    lace

    12

    (2

    00

    6)

    19

    3

    732

  • ARTIC

    LEIN

    PRESS

    Table 4

    Regression results for females 1564 in London

    Dependent variable

    (cause of

    admission)

    Deviance at

    posterior mean

    DIC rho Predictor variable *Signicant b-coeff; mean Standard

    deviation

    Credible interval

    0.025 0.975

    All psychiatric 751 1346 0.95 Constant 0.214 0.052 0.350 0.113Access opportunity * 0.099 0.058 0.006 0.252

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.023 0.049 0.122 0.072

    Deprivation * 0.552 0.046 0.465 0.642

    Anomie 0.081 0.046 0.007 0.164Race * 0.239 0.037 0.311 0.170

    ICD-9 304 466 662 0.92 Constant 0.432 0.098 0.657 0.248Drug dependence Access opportunity * 0.374 0.100 0.176 0.559

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.091 0.097 0.294 0.095

    Deprivation * 0.500 0.139 0.237 0.751

    Anomie 0.062 0.097 0.256 0.117Race * 0.278 0.082 0.446 0.126

    ICD-9 295 687 1086 0.90 Constant 0.424 0.070 0.579 0.281Schizophrenia Access opportunity * 0.163 0.082 0.035 0.374

    Whether hospital in

    area

    0.061 0.083 0.228 0.097

    Deprivation * 0.611 0.067 0.474 0.739

    Anomie * 0.202 0.073 0.060 0.331

    Race 0.080 0.053 0.186 0.022ICD-9 296 755 1209 0.92 Constant 0.251 0.042 0.329 0.158Affective disorders Access opportunity 0.035 0.063 0.076 0.175

    Whether hospital in

    area

    * 0.186 0.087 0.365 0.029

    Deprivation * 0.604 0.076 0.464 0.751

    Anomie * 0.135 0.052 0.035 0.235

    Race * 0.268 0.047 0.359 0.180

    S.

    Cu

    rtiset

    al.

    /H

    ealth

    &P

    lace

    12

    (2

    00

    6)

    19

    3

    733

  • ARTICLE IN PRESSS. Curtis et al. / Health & Place 12 (2006) 193734hospital service use in London (Smith et al., 1996;

    Johston et al., 1998) and also agrees with ndings by

    Maylath et al. (1999) for Hamburg. We also found that

    this does not apply equally to all types of condition

    because for affective disorders in London (and also for

    females in NYC) the indicators of spatial access do not

    show a positive relationship with rates of hospitalization

    when socio-economic factors are included in the model.

    In this respect our ndings differ from those of Maylath

    et al. (1999). This raises a question about whether

    proximity to supply is really an important factor for all

    types of hospital use, or only for certain mental illnesses

    such as schizophrenia and drug dependency.

    Another key point from our analysis is that there are

    signicant independent associations between the socio-

    economic characteristics of the local population and the

    rate of hospitalization. These associations are indepen-

    dent of variations in the local supply of beds. It seems

    possible that poverty and anomie are rather consistently

    related to psychiatric hospital use in large cities around

    the world. However the signicance of relationships with

    socio-economic variables differs according to the cause

    of admission. This might be partly because some

    diagnoses tend to give rise to more admissions than

    others, which might affect the statistical signicance of

    results based on larger or smaller counts. However, our

    results may reect real differences in the geography of

    admissions for different conditions. Such differences

    might be due to admissions policy, bed availability and

    treatment of different conditions, or variations in the

    aetiology of different types of mental illness (or at least

    the social conditions which precipitate admission). The

    results suggest that poverty is more predictive for drug

    dependency while anomie (social fragmentation) is more

    strongly associated with affective disorders. These

    ndings are broadly similar in both cities and are fairly

    consistent with research from other cities, reviewed in

    the introduction.

    Ethnic/racial composition of the population also has

    an independent association for schizophrenia admis-

    sions in New York City, but not in London. Our results

    for New York City are consistent with other research

    that has highlighted high rates of diagnosed schizo-

    phrenia and associated hospital use among Black and

    African populations. Also, we have shown that the

    variables representing the racial composition of the local

    population are particularly important for admissions

    due to schizophrenia in New York, but less so for other

    conditions. However, our results for the race variable in

    London, showing that Schizophrenia SARs are not

    signicantly higher in areas with large Black and African

    populations, seem contrary to some other studies which

    have indicated high rates of hospitalization for African

    Caribbean populations in Britain. We also found that

    SARs for drug-related and affective disorders are

    negatively associated with populations with largeminority groups. It is possible that the ecological data

    in London do not pick out Black Carribean and African

    populations very effectively. For example, census data

    for London do not show such extreme concentrations of

    Black and African populations as are found in NYC.

    In the data we have used for London wards, the

    proportion of Black and African residents does not

    exceed 62%, however 15% of NYC ZCAs have

    concentrations in excess of this gure, and in some

    ZCAs, concentrations occur of over 80% or even 90%,

    so it may be easier to detect the experience of Black and

    African populations using ecological data in New York.

    Our results for London may also be due to intercorrela-

    tions between poverty and race at the ecological level,

    so that higher rates of admission among individuals of

    Black Caribbean or African origin is not detectable

    once poverty, proximity to hospitals and spatial

    auto-correlation effects are taken fully into account.

    Most of the previous ecological studies in London

    showing high rates of admission in areas with

    greater concentration of minority ethnic groups were

    based on older data and so it is also possible that there

    has been some change in the pattern of admissions

    over time. Our results suggest that areas with

    large populations from Black, African and Asian

    minority ethnic groups are now more distinguished

    from the White majority population by their relatively

    low use of hospital care for affective disorders and drug

    dependency (especially among women). Our results

    suggest that relationships between ethnic composition

    of the population and use of psychiatric hospitals may

    be continguent on other factors and variable between

    cities.

    The ecological relationships shown here show broadly

    similar associations for admissions for males and

    females. However, there are some differences in the

    strength of the associations with some variables.

    Because we have examined cause specic admissions, it

    seems unlikely that these differences are simply due to

    variations in the types of mental illness for which men or

    women are hospitalized. For example, deprivation

    appears to be more strongly associated with male

    admissions generally and in New York this is most

    evident for drug-related diagnoses, while in London the

    difference is more apparent for schizophrenia and for

    affective disorders.

    The application of these results for service planning

    would probably be interpreted somewhat differently in

    London and in NYC. In Britain, ecological models of

    the type we have discussed here are used to predict the

    demand for psychiatric inpatient care and to direct NHS

    resources for mental health services. Differences in

    relative levels of poverty seem to have the biggest

    impact on admission rates and we have shown that, for

    London, it is possible to predict local rates of admission

    using the IMD measures of poverty and deprivation that

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    The ecological relationship between deprivation, social isolation and rates of hospital admission for acute psychiatric care: a comparison of London and New York CityIntroduction: background to the analysisMethod to compare geographical differences in hospitalization rates in New York City and LondonResults: local variation in hospitalization for psychiatric conditions in NYC and LondonDiscussionAcknowledgementReferences