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David HochschildCommissioner
California Energy Commission
THE DAWN OF THE CLEAN ENERGY ERA
Renewable Energy Represented 65% of New US Electric Generation Capacity in 2015
2
RenewablesFossil Fuels
11,298 MW
5,974 MW
Source: FERC Energy Infrastructure Update, January‐December 2015
3
Since 2001, California’s GDP Has Grown by 28% While Emissions Have Fallen by 8%
Metric Associated 2014 Value
GDP 2.31 trillion
Population 38.7 million
GHG Emissions 441.5 MMTCO2e
GHG Emissions Per Capita 11.4 metric tons CO2e per person Source: CA Air Resources Board
GDP
Population
GHG Emissions
GHG Emissions Per Capita
‐30%
‐20%
‐10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Chan
ge Since 200
0
Year
Winning the Game Despite an Uneven Playing Field:Federal Subsidies Have Favored Fossil Fuels
5Source: What Would Jefferson Do?DBL Investors, September 2011
Federal Energy Subsidies
1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
PRODUCTION TAX
CREDIT (PTC)
INVESTMENT TAX
CREDIT (ITC)
OIL DEPLETION ALLOWANCE
(ODA)
1926: OIL DEPLETION ALLOWANCE ENACTED
2006: INVESTMENT TAX CREDIT ENACTED
ONGOING
1992: PRODUCTION TAX CREDIT ENACTED
SET TO EXPIRE 2022
SET TO EXPIRE 2020
*PTC Expired 6 times and Extended 7 times
2013 2020 2030
California Moves to 50% Renewables
20%33%
50%
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Source: Graphics based on data from the American Council On Renewable Energy (ACORE)Renewable Energy in the 50 States (2013/2014 Editions)http://www.acore.org/publications/50states/ 8
(MW capacity)
California Leads the US in Renewables Installed. What lessons have been learned?
California Advancing Energy Efficiency
California Advancing Energy Efficiency
2012: The Commission’s plug‐in charger
efficiency standards begin saving Californians $300M / year
2009: The Energy Commission’s TV efficiency standards
take effect, saving Californians $1 billion / year
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The Falling Cost of Clean Energy Technologies
Source: DOE Report, Revolution Now, The Future Arrives for Five Clean Energy Technologies, 2015
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Percen
tage of C
ost
Year
Indexed Cost Reductions Since 2008
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2001 2002 2006 2008 2011 2014
SMALL HYDRO
GEOTHERMAL
BIOMASS
WIND
SOLAR
California Making Rapid Progress on Renewable Energy
13Source: California Energy Commission, Tracking Progress Report
“The people who say it can’t be done should get out of the way of the people
who are doing it”‐ Chinese proverb
14
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The World’s Largest Thin Film Solar PV Project
Desert Sunlight Solar Project550 MWRiverside County, CA
The World’s 3rd Largest Silicon PV Project
Solar Star Project579 MWKern County, CA
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The World’s Largest Solar Thermal Power Plant (Tower)
Ivanpah Solar Thermal Project393 MWSan Bernardino County, CA
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The World’s Largest Solar Thermal Power Plant (Trough)
Solar Energy Generating System (SEGS)354 MWSan Bernardino County, CA
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Geysers Geothermal Power Plant955 MWLake County, CA
The World’s Largest Geothermal Power Plant
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The World’s Largest Wind Project
Alta Wind Energy Center 1550 MWKern County, CA
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California Leads the Nation in Biomass Energy Generation
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Honey Lake Biomass Plant Lassen County, CA
Case Study in Reducing Impacts:Vasco Wind Energy Center Repowering
432 small turbinesremoved and replaced with
34 new turbines
RESULT: Energy production tripled& avian mortality cut by 70%
Vasco Wind Energy Center, 78MWContra Costa County
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Largest Manufacturing Plant in CA Produces Electric Vehicles
Tesla employs over 15,000 people
Tesla FactoryFremont, CA
ALMOST 250,000 ELECTRIC VEHICLES IN CALIFORNIA
TODAY23
New Solar Home Construction Growing Rapidly
Zero Energy CommunityRocklin, CA
27% of new homes in Southern CA
built with solar
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More Californians Work in the Solar Industry Than for All Utilities Combined
Sources:Solar Foundation, 2015 Solar Jobs Census U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Form 10‐K, 2014http://www.sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/companysearch.html
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Solar Jobs IOU/POU Jobs
SDG&E PG&E SCE POU
56,800
75,600
Solar Expected to be half of all Renewable Energy in California by 2020
Source: CPUC RPS Report
The Future of Energy Storage: 1.3 GW by 2020
27$5 B Tesla Battery Factory under construction
Storage as the Great Facilitator
• CEC has invested $34M into 60 different energy storage projects throughout California
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29
The Latest Solar Customers: The President and the Governor
Toward the Electrification of Almost Everything and 100% Renewables
30
31
Stanford University Converts Space and Water Heating from
Natural Gas to Electricity
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Reduces water use and GHG emissions by 2/3and annual energy bills by 1/3
Now Selling: The All‐Electric Home
33
CityVentures all‐electric homesBellflower, CA
Companies Committing to 100% Renewable Energy
34
Over 30 US military bases in CARepresenting approximately $130B annually to the California Economy
35Source: California Energy Commission, 2014Geographic Information Systems Data
Navy: 50% Renewables by 2020
Marines: Zero FossilFuels on Basesby 2025
High Speed Rail is Coming to California and it will be 100% Powered by
Renewables…
36
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
1899 1908 1917 1926 1935 1944 1953 1962 1971 1980 1989 1998 2007 2016
Billion
sRapid Growth of the Clean Energy Economy:
Market Cap of General Motors vs. Tesla
107 years for GMto become$50 billion company
107 years for GMto become$50 billion company
12 years for Teslato become$34 billion company
12 years for Teslato become$34 billion company
Based on market value as of 8/5/15
GM Founded 1908
TeslaFounded2003
37
More Cleantech VC Investment into CA than all of Europe and China Combined
Source: Next 10 California 2014 Green Innovation Index
$1.03billion
$1.02billion
$5.69billion
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
Europe (EU‐28) China California
$ Billion
s
California and the Drought
39
Drawing Lessons From Successful Campaigns: The Story of Acid Rain
40
Reduction in Acid Rain
Source: National Atmospheric Deposition Program, 2014http://nadp.sws.uiuc.edu/ntn/annualmapsByYear.aspx
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1985 2012
The Ozone Hole
Source: NASA Ozone Hole Watch, 2014http://ozonewatch.gsfc.nasa.gov/monthly/SH.html
42
1979 2013 2050(expected)
Smoking in the US
43
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), 2014
http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/tables/trends/cig_smoking/index.htm
1965: Health warnings required on packaging
1983: Cigarette tax doubles
1988: U.S. Bans Smoking on Airplanes
Smoking Rate Falls to
15%
1970: Advertisements banned from TV
1998: CA Bans Smoking in Bars
2014: CVS Stops cigarette sales at 7,600
retail pharmacies
1992: U.S. Bans Sale to Minors
% of Americans Who Smoke
iPhone was first released in 2007
What Can the Climate Change Movement Learn from the Marriage Equality Movement?
05
101520253035404550
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
States
States Where Same‐Sex Marriage is Allowed
The Largest Tree in the World
47
Sequoia National ParkCalifornia
48
