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Date: Mar. 10, 2012
The Coming Conflict In The Middle East
A label defined a dictator by any other definition is still a
falsehood. President (self-appointed) Assad
of Syria has labeled the dissidents in his country as
terrorists. Thats the new world-speak word for
enemies of the state, or being against the status quo. In 1968,
Mayor Daley called the rioting protesters
at the Democratic Convention pinkos, the anti-American label of
the day. Daley also called Sen.
Ribicoff (D-CT) who opposed Daleys tactic with the police, a Jew
son of a bitch on live camera. Daley
was on record as saying, ...that an order be issued by [the
police] immediately to shoot to kill any
arsonist or anyone with a Molotov cocktail in his hand, because
they're potential murderers, and to
shoot to maim or cripple anyone looting."
Assad is doing much the same thing but with much bigger weapons.
Faced with rising disapproval
and protest in his country, perhaps as a result of the on-going
Arab-spring, Assad has simply taken to
bombing, torturing, executing his citizens or anyone who is in
the way; women, babies, and children
included. And then those who are wounded he denies medical aid
preferring to target makeshift
hospitals. Six times the UN has tried to get the world powers to
censure this activity. Twelve times the
League of Arab Nations has sent observers to try and stop the
violence. All these attempts have been
rebuffed. In the UN, Syrias only, and I mean only, ally is
Russia. Whats Russias game? Oil and Irans
nuclear program. How are they linked? Heres how.
Israel and the US are opposed to allowing Iran to have a nuclear
weapons program. Israel has, on
occasion, targeted Irans scientists and facilities with
spy-killings and bombings. Israel is rightly
concerned that Iran will have a nuclear bomb capability as Iran
is on record as saying Israel should not
exist. However, lets turn to Zbigniew Brzezinski, the ex-US
National Security chief and now advising this
Administration (and the previous one, but no one remembers
that). What are his credentials for
assessing dangers in such areas of turmoil? When Gorbachev was
under house arrest and the coup was
underway in Moscow, Brzezinski was an advisor to ABC. On air he
was asked how dire this change was
for the USA. His response so shocked Diane Sawyer and team that
he was not consulted again for 5 days.
He said this, Do you see any aircraft over Moscow? No? Then the
coup has failed and will be over in five
days or less. While the rest of the world was certain the new
Moscow leaders would rain terror across
the world, Brzezinski was proved right. ABC somewhat sheepishly
had him back on and quasi-
apologized.
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Last week Brzezinski was quite clear on TV again, he explained
that Iran has no delivery system, no
miniaturization system, to make a deliverable atomic bomb. Even
if they make one, they cannot deliver
it effectively. And even if they could, an atomic weapon
unleashed on Israel would kill as many
Egyptians, Lebanese, Jordanians and Palestinians. This is hardly
a credible threat to the region. Did he
think then that such a weapons-program is not a danger? His
answer was classic Brzezinski. He explained
that everything that could be done with sanctions should be done
and unifying the regions Arab nations
(not to mention Pakistan, India and China) against a bomb
program should be encouraged.
Why then is Russia backing Iran and Syria? Firstly, Russia is
exporting some $2billion in nuclear
power plant technology and equipment to Iran. Russia sees
nothing wrong with that. Even if the residue
from those peaceful reactors could be transformed into bomb
fuel, thats a different program, one they
say they do not support in any way.
As for Syria, for the Russians, thats a two-step with Iran.
Russias oil is more expensive to extract
than Syrian and Iranian crude. Russia is also the largest
European and Asian exporter of natural gas.
Russia borrowed from China (bonds) and they are paying that back
as quickly as possible. If Iran and
Syria have sanctions running against them, oil prices will stay
high, paying off Russias budget deficit
while Russia is strengthening ties with allies. If Syria were to
fall, as Libya did, Russia, which is not part of
OPEC, would find that OPEC was once again controlling the price
of oil. Currently, the USA has a hand at
the OPEC table via Iraq, Libya, Tunisia, etc. In short, once we
got control of any part of OPEC, Russia
needed to ensure they had cards to match.
As 500,000 people in Homs in Syria are bombed back to the stone
age, it is worth thinking the price
we, as humanity, pay for stable oil prices. However, like Mayor
Daly, Assads time is coming and with his
fall from power, Russia may become more desperate to control the
worlds premier commodity. Some
would argue that new drilling in the US would alleviate this
crisis. Perhaps, but only if such drilling was
tied to removing the puppet strings we and the Europeans have
attached to the new free countries
rich in oil. Does anyone in their right mind think the oil execs
will agree to that, or the guys in Congress
getting fat donations? In the end, their greed and manipulation
may push us all to the brink in the
Middle East once again.
