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The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

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Page 1: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour
Page 2: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . .

2%

39%

42%

50%

50%

55%

57%

Land area

Population

Population 15-64

Labour Force

Formal employment

Non-agricultural formal

employment

Gross value added

• City economic & employment growth is critical for inclusive national economic growth

• Our cities are national assets

Page 3: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

. . . but the engines are slowing down

Metros economies are growing fastest(GVA annual % growth – AHI-Global Insight)

Metros are generating the most jobs(Employment change 2015 Q3 - 2016 Q3 (‘000) (STATS SA QLFS)

-112,000

-175,000

64,000

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

RSA

Metros

Rest of SA

5

65

-61

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

RSA Metros Non-metros

Page 4: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Metro governments have an important role to play in city economic

development

FOUNDATION - services

1. Infrastructure services

2. Regulatory and

administrative services

ACTIVATION - partnering

A. Internal (ED is transversal)

B. With private sector (local

growth coalitions)

C. Inter-governmental (co-

ordination & partnering)

PROMOTION

* Investment retention &

promotion

* Informal economic activities

* Public employment

innovation

* Township economies

* Transversal and partnership-

driven initiatives & projects

Competitive

Cities for Jobs

& Growth –

What, Who &

How

Page 5: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Economic Development in the Built Environment Performance Plan

Metros are asked to be clear on the following, especially in priority areas:

• Ensure effective provision and maintenance of the infrastructure services required

to support economic activity;

• Ensure effective and quick regulatory and administrative performance;

• Build and maintain effective local `growth coalitions’ (partnerships) with the private

businesses that will employ people and add value;

• Build and maintain close inter-governmental co-ordination on economic

programmes and services (with national and provincial departments and agencies,

such as the dti, PRASA, PORTNET, DHS, DoT, DED, provincial education, provincial

health, etc.)

• Promote and nurture private investment; and

• Implement well-considered economic development initiatives that will have a

positive impact in terms of value-added and job creation.

Page 6: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Indicators of `Productive City’ Outcomes

PC 1: Productive GVA

PC 2: Productive GVA per economically active person

PC 3: Commercial & industrial rateable value

PC 4: Commercial & industrial rateable value in priority areas

PC 5: Megawatt hours of electricity supplied per R b of city GVA

PC 6: Megalitres of bulk water supplied per R b of city GVA

PC 7: Tons of solid waste to landfill per R b of city GVA

Page 7: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Metro electricity reticulation networks are becoming less

reliable

• Inadequate network maintenance and investment

• Declining institutional ineffectiveness

• Governance failures

• Inadequate regulation

CITY ASSET MANAGEMENT: Deterioration in city electricity networks

negatively affects economic growth & job creation

Alternatives to municipal electricity are increasingly

attractive

• Solar, Wind, Gas, Rooftop photo-voltaic

Metros are selling less electricity than in 2007

• Rapidly increasing prices

• Low economic growth

• Greater energy efficiency

Electricity distribution model can no longer be sustained

• It will become much harder to cross-subsidise FBE

• Metros will need to get more from other revenue

sources (or a new source of revenue)

Major policy implications:

• Manage transition to a new business model for

electricity distributors;

• More progress on implementing cost-reflective tariffs;

• Transparent pricing of new energy sources

• Strengthen the voice of Eskom’s customers (12 largest

municipalities and EIUG)

• Policy, regulatory, institutional and pricing responses to

investments in rooftop PV

Page 8: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

CITY ASSET MANAGEMENT: Deterioration of city water & sanitation

networks negatively affects economic growth & job creation

Water network performance is deteriorating

• Inadequate network maintenance and investment

• Declining institutional ineffectiveness

• Governance failures

• Inadequate regulation

Lack of adequate sanitation in informal settlements is a

significant risk.

• still almost 1 million households without access to in-

house flush toilet in metro areas (more than in 1996)

Other water-related risks are also increasing

• Drinking water quality performance is uneven;

• River water quality is deteriorating and serious

• Water security is an increasing risk

• Seven metros have water restrictions in place

Poor municipal performance has multiple causes

• Infrastructure needs and investments are long term,

misaligned with short- and medium-term political cycles

and incentives;

• Difficulty in attracting correct skills

• Weak regulation

• Large contracts offer opportunities for patronage;

• Heavy reliance on grant financing for infrastructure

Major policy implications:

• Increase efficiency of water use;

• Increase debt-financing of water sector investments

• Improve financial & technical performance monitoring

• Improve procurement outcomes

• Promote innovative solutions to sanitation challenge

• Improve transparency and effectiveness of regulation

• Consider alternative institutional models

Page 9: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Regulatory & administrative performance

Doing Business 2018

Survey conducted in 2014, published in 2015

� Used standardized cases to focus on regulations of all levels of government, which affect formal domestic SMEs

� Captures local differences in regulations, enforcement and performance, and provides a way for locations to tell their story & compete globally

� Sub-national reports are available for many countries including Mexico, Russia, Morocco, China, Egypt, Indonesia, Pakistan, Kenya, India, Nigeria, etc.

� 9 x cities: JHB, CCT, ETH, TSH, EKU, NMB, BCM, MAN & MSU

� 4 x ports: Durban, Cape Town, Ngqura, Port Elizabeth

� 6 x indicators: Starting a business, Dealing with construction permits, Registering property, Enforcing contracts, Trading across borders

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

Starting a

business

Dealing with

construction

permits

Getting

electricity

Registering

property

Enforcing

contracts

Page 10: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Regulatory & administrative performance

Doing Business 2018

Next sub-national survey planned for late 2017, to be

published in 2018

� dti has been engaging national departments

� NT/CSP has hosted 3 x peer learning events

� Cities have prepared reform action plans

� WB experts have been engaging city administrations

Doing

Business in

South Africa

2015

Lessons from

peer learning

Getting

Electricity

Lessons from

peer learning

-

Dealing with

Construction

permits

Lessons from

peer learning

Registering

Property

Page 11: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Competitive Cities for Jobs & Growth:

What, Who & How

Application

form for

Executive

Partnering

Intervention

Offering to four metros: an executive partnering intervention

• Promotes dialogue and interactions among key stakeholders

• Supports discussions of key issues based on hard data

• Shares global experience on strategies for competitive cities

• Builds local capacity among key “agents of change”

• Helps build local, national and international networks

Requirements• Time (3 days, initially)

• Partners

• Capacity to absorb the intervention and follow-

through

• Contribution to costs

• Participation in preparatory research & planning

Page 12: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Township economies & informal economic activities

Project to run during 2017

• Pilot project to create jobs by facilitating property registration

• Research scope and impact of successful township economic

development interventions

• Peer learning events

• Learning products

Page 13: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Offering to two metros: investment promotion support

Investment promotion

Requirements• The work will be done by the metro, and

must be delivered on time• Capacity to absorb the intervention

Expected Result• a professional investment

promotion capacity & practices

Analysis of markets &

sectors

Metro value propositions

Investor support

Marketing messages

Stakeholder collaboration

Mission, vision and

values

Key performance

indicators

Promotion and comms

plan

Organization structure & mandate

How the strategy will be delivered.

1. Form a Strategy Leadership Team to oversee and guide the project.

2. Collect and capture baseline data and initial assessments

3. Strategy Leadership Team to explore various critical topics

Application

form for

Investment

promotion

support

Page 14: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour

Innovation in public employment schemes

Project to run during 2017

• Research scope and impact of existing public employment

programmes in the metros

• Assist four metros to develop innovative public

employment programmes

• Peer learning events

• Learning products.

Page 15: The cities are the engines of the SA economy _Centre... · The cities are the engines of the SA economy . . . 2% 39% 42% 50% 50% 55% 57% Land area Population Population 15-64 Labour