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3/26/2015 1 The Challenges and Opportunities in Using Data for Population Management L Gordon Moore MD Senior Medical Director 3M Health Information Systems Objectives Describe different data sources for population health management Identify strengths and weaknesses of several typical sources of data Provide examples of other provider systems’ data strategies

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Page 1: The Challenges and Opportunities in Using Data for Population …app.ihi.org/Events/Attachments/Event-2599/Document-4213/... · 2015-03-26 · 3/26/2015 1 The Challenges and Opportunities

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The Challenges and Opportunities in Using Data for Population Management

L Gordon Moore MD

Senior Medical Director

3M Health Information Systems

Objectives

Describe different data sources for population health management

Identify strengths and weaknesses of several typical sources of data

Provide examples of other provider systems’ data strategies

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Objectives

• This session will describe common challenges and possible solutions related to integrated data support for population management including investments in EMR and IT infrastructure, analytic limitations of existing IT systems , working with multiple EMRs, and providing timely and actionable data to clinicians to drive performance improvement

The Role of Data in Population Health Management

Modeling

– Cost trends

– Attributed populations

– Networks

Scorecard

– Total cost of care

– Quality

Opportunity

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Common Challenges

The EMR has what we need

The health plan will provide all claims data

We can analyze our data

– Cost

– Expertise

We know where to look for opportunity

Office of the National Coordinator for Health

Information Technology

“Electronic health information is also not sufficiently standardized to allow seamless interoperability, as it is still inconsistently expressed with vocabulary, structure, and format, thereby limiting the potential uses of the information to improve health and care.”

ONC Whitepaper Connecting Health and Care for the Nation: A 10-Year Vision to Achieve an Interoperable Health IT Infrastructure June 5, 2014

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Health information technology leaves a lot to be desired

Richardson, Joshua E., Joshua R. Vest, Cori M. Green, Lisa M. Kern, Rainu Kaushal, and the HITEC

Investigators. “A Needs Assessment of Health Information Technology for Improving Care Coordination in

Three Leading Patient-Centered Medical Homes.” Journal of the American Medical Informatics

Association, March 20, 2015, ocu039. doi:10.1093/jamia/ocu039.

A collection of medical concepts, organized to support synonyms and other lexical characteristics

• concept: a unique, definable idea or object that has a very specific, known meaning

Sodium

Lab ResultLab Test Chem 4

Potassium

ChlorideGlucoseGLUCGLC

Why is it so hard?Medical Vocabulary

© 3M 2014. All Rights

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Concept

Representation

Concept

Domain

Concept

Definition

Concept ID

a sensory

perception

a pulmonary

diagnosis

an upper

respiratory

viral infection

“I’m feeling

cold”

Chronic

Obstructive

Lung Disease

“I have a

cold”

68215 1005480 1005313

How machines understand concepts

COLDCOLDCOLD

© 3M 2014. All

Rights

Lab, Rx, Radiology, Dental, Demographics, etc.• 2.6 million concepts• 17.9 million representations• 15.9 million relationships

• A collection of medical concepts, organized to support synonyms and other lexical characteristics

• Concept: a unique, definable idea or object that has a very specific, known meaning

Lab Test

Chem 4

Sodium

Lab Result

Potassium

Chloride

Glucose

Concept-based Semantic Network

© 3M 2014. All Rights

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Lab Test

Chem 4

Sodium

is-a

Lab Result

Potassium

Chloride

Glucose

is-component-of

Knowledge Base / Relationships

© 3M 2014. All

Rights

Drugs

Antibiotics

Ampicillin

Analgesics

Penicillins Cephalosporins

Amoxicillin

is-a

Medication Knowledge Base

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Ampicillin

Ampicillin trihydrate

Ampicillin trihydrate250mg capsule (Allscripts 40 ea.)NDC

54569-1719-0

Ampicillin sodium

Ampicillin trihydrate250mg capsule

Ampicillin trihydrate500mg capsule

Ampicillin trihydrate250mg capsule (PD-Rx

100 ea.)NDC 55289-023-40

is-aContinuing from previous relationship

Medication Knowledge Base

Lots of languages in HIT

UMLS

LOINC

NDC

RxNorm

ICD-9-CM

ICD-10-CM

ICD-10-PCS

DRG

APC

APDRG

CPT

HCFA HCPCS

CDT

SNOMED CT

HL7

OMB Race/Ethnicity Standards

Commercial Interface Terminologies

Provider Taxonomy

Revenue Codes

© 3M 2014. All Rights

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… and more…

HL7 CVX

GEMs

Kaiser Permanente CMT

© 3M 2014. All Rights

HDD HIE

Crimson

EDW

Cerner

Siemens

LOINC

SNOMED

Point-to-Point Mapping for 9 sources = n(n-1)/2 = 36 mapsAdding 1 more source adds 9 maps

Challenge is not only in the creation, but the maintenance

all of these mappings

Mapping to a terminology server for 9 sources = n = 9 maps

Adding 1 source adds 1 map

Centralized maintenance and distribution of content

VS.

Epic

Siemens

HIE

CrimsonEDW

2

)1( −nn

maps

LOINC

SNOMED

RxNormRxNorm

Epic

Cerner

Interoperability is difficult

© 3M 2014. All Rights

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Epic

Cerner

Point-to-point mappingis difficult to maintain:102 sites – 5151 “fixes”

Centralized mapping is simple to maintain:1 “fix”

VS.

Cerner

RxNorm RxNorm

Crimson

HIE

HIE

LOINC

LOINC

SNOMED

SNOMED

HDD

EDW

Siemens

Epic

Siemens

EDWCrimson

If a Mapping Changes . . .

© 3M 2014. All

Rights

Claims and EMR

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A Registry Example

Diabetics in

registry, 7,000

Diabetics not in

registry, 26,000

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Th

ou

sa

nd

s o

f m

ea

su

re

s in

th

e d

ata

se

t

Th

ou

sa

nd

s

Registry Example –

frequency of specific findings

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Bernstein, Richard H. “New Arrows in the Quiver for Targeting Care Management: High-Risk versus

High-Opportunity Case Identification.” The Journal of Ambulatory Care Management 30, no. 1 (March

2007): 39–51

People with Diabetes Segmented by Total

Illness Burden

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Bernstein, Richard H. “New Arrows in the Quiver for Targeting Care Management: High-Risk versus

High-Opportunity Case Identification.” The Journal of Ambulatory Care Management 30, no. 1 (March

2007): 39–51

Rates of Hospital Admission per 1000

People with Diabetes

People with two or more conditions

Outcomes are Predicted Better by Total Illness Burden Than by Diagnosis Alone

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Some Real World Examples

Colorado Medicaid – Accountable Care Collaborative

Montefiore Care Management Organization

North Carolina Medicaid – Community Care of North Carolina

Data As Opportunity

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Patient reported data

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Patient-reported data is a strong predictor of

readmissions

“Higher patient satisfaction with inpatient care and discharge planning is associated with lower 30-day readmission rates even after controlling for hospital adherence to evidence-based practice guidelines.

Patient-centered information can have an important role in the evaluation and management of hospital performance.”

Boulding, William, Seth W Glickman, Matthew P Manary, Kevin A Schulman, and Richard Staelin. “Relationship between Patient Satisfaction with Inpatient Care and Hospital Readmission within 30 Days.” The American Journal of Managed Care 17, no. 1

(January 2011): 41–48.

Evans RG, Stoddart GL. Producing health, consuming health care. Soc Sci Med 1990;31(12):1347-63.

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Low confidence individuals also report the following: Adjusted Odds Ratio*

Hospitalization or ED for a chronic conditionᵻ 1.552

More than one hospitalization or ED visit** 1.865

Hospitalization or ED use perhaps unnecessary** 1.609

Time lost from work due to emotional or physical problem 4.049

Medication for chronic illness maybe causing some illnessᵻ 2.882

Do not have enough money to buy things for everyday life 2.787

Fair to poor info received from MD on chronic diseaseᵻ 2.566

Patient-reported confidence (a.k.a. “activation”)—a strong indicator of risk

All ORs were statistically significant

* Adjusted for Age, Sex, and 3M™ Clinical Risk Group (CRG) weightᵻ Based on a question asking about chronic conditions

** Based on a question asking about overnight hospital stays

Socio-Economic Status and Factors Supporting Good Health

Data Source: Demo Commercial Data, 2010/07 – 2011/06 and Census data

SES should be considered when developing patient interventions.

Technical notes:

• Treo Solutions Proprietary SES score, calculated using

census data at the zip code level based on income and

education levels.

• Darker regions signify a higher SES relative to the state

average.

Technical notes:

• Darker regions denote healthier counties, in quartiles within the

state.

• Based on CDC’s Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)

Health Factors Score, which reflects aspects of health behaviors,

clinical care, social and economic factors, and the physical

environment.

Data Source: www.countyhealthrankings.org

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L Gordon Moore MD

Senior Medical Director

3M Health Information Systems

[email protected]