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The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective

The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

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Page 1: The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

The Challenge of Poverty Reduction:Contributions of a Population Perspective

Page 2: The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

Background

Falling Poverty Rates

55.6 (2002) to 41% (2013)

• Increase in absolute numbers (276 to 391 M)

• Slower progress

• Momentum of poverty

• Large share of world’s poor

Page 3: The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

Why the Slow Progress?

• Poverty unavoidable

• Weak commitment

• Limited resources

• Partial understanding– (Micro) economic

– Demographic

Gains from a Population Perspective

Page 4: The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

What is Poverty?• NOT an attribute of

people or places …

• But of key life events ..

• Many of which are demographic

Child health

Orphanood

Early marriage

Divorce

Widowhood

Page 5: The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

Family size/ structure

Early child health

Demographic structure and dividends

Where Does Poverty Come From?

Page 6: The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

How to Reduce National Poverty?

The Aggregation Problem

The Momentum Problem

Page 7: The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

How to Target Effectively ?

RATIONALES

• Statistical

• Economic

• Socio-political

• Demographic

Page 8: The Challenge of Poverty Reduction - United …...The Challenge of Poverty Reduction: Contributions of a Population Perspective Background Falling Poverty Rates 55.6 (2002) to 41%

Summary of Payoffs from a Population Perspective

1. Demographic differentiation

2. Risky demographic events

3. Lifetime experience of poverty

4. Demographic rationale for targeting (youth &women)

5. Demographic dividend

6. Agenda Integration (SDG+Agenda 2063+AADPD)

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