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Professor Timothy W Evans DSc.FRCP.FRCA.FMedSci National Director of Clinical Productivity Productivity & Efficiency Division Finance, Commercial and NHS Directorate Department of Health Richmond House, Whitehall, SW1A 2NS E: [email protected] T: 0207 210 6870 Follow us on Twitter @DH_Commercial The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation

The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

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Page 1: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Professor Timothy W Evans DSc.FRCP.FRCA.FMedSci National Director of Clinical Productivity Productivity & Efficiency Division Finance, Commercial and NHS Directorate Department of Health Richmond House, Whitehall, SW1A 2NS E: [email protected] T: 0207 210 6870 Follow us on Twitter @DH_Commercial

The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation

Page 2: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation

• Understanding the pressures

• Gaining recognition that clinical medicine has changed

• Use the resources you’re allocated to best effect

– The Carter Report

– Measuring productivity

– Applying the principles

• Thinking differently

– Concentrating the effort where its needed: a system wide approach

– The future hospital/health system

• Clinical engagement & leadership

Page 3: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Dunn et al, Deficits in the NHS, King’s Fund 2016

Page 4: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Dunn et al, Deficits in the NHS, King’s Fund 2016

‘..factors such as the growing and ageing population, patients’ rising expectations and an increased prevalence of long-term conditions have increased demand for NHS services but without an equivalent growth in spending to pay for it….’

Page 5: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Lafond S et al: Hospital finances & productivity: in a critical condition? Health Foundation 2015

Page 6: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation

• Understanding the pressures

• Gaining recognition that clinical medicine has changed

• Use the resources you’re allocated to best effect

– The Carter Report

– Measuring productivity

– Applying the principles

• Thinking differently

– Concentrating the effort where its needed: a system wide approach

– The future hospital/health system

• Clinical engagement & leadership

Page 7: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Changing patients, changing needs: Royal College of Physicians: data and conversations

• Two thirds of people admitted are over 65

• Quarter have diagnosis of dementia

• People over 85 account for 25% of beds days – an increase of 22% over the past ten years

• Yet the system continues to treat older patients as a surprise, at best, or unwelcome, at worse

• ‘A significant percentage of patients seen are over 80 yet those caring from them often have no geriatric training.’ (Regional conversation)

Page 8: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Mortality rate by hospital & day of admission: Wales*

The best configuration of hospital services for Wales: a review of the evidence. Welsh Institute for Health and Social Care * excl paediatrics and obstetrics & gynae

Page 9: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Caring to the end (NCEPOD report, 2009) • Health status on admission

Page 10: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Empowering clinicians to improve clinical productivity (1)

• Recognise that clinical medicine has changed:

• More can be done; no management of expectations

• ‘Isolated’ non stratified community-based care not helpful – A&E demand will continue to rise

• Trained doctors required to deliver service

• 7 day week essential for productivity

• Increased generalism required (demanded)

• Medical training and post graduate career structure may not be meeting needs of patients (‘greatest benefit to greatest number’)

Page 11: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation

• Understanding the pressures

• Gaining recognition that clinical medicine has changed

• Use the resources you’re allocated to best effect

– The Carter Report

– Measuring productivity

– Applying the principles

• Thinking differently

– Concentrating the effort where its needed: a system wide approach

– The future hospital/health system

• Clinical engagement & leadership

Page 12: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

• Trust support packs and potential savings opportunities identified (next)

• Lord Carter’s ongoing program of trust engagement (approx 40 visited)

• Professor Tim Briggs (GIRFT) & Professor Tim Evans appointed

• Developing the model hospital and new metrics (Weighted Activity Unit, based on the cost of one standard elective inpatient stay for the NHS. WAUs per trust calculated by summation of all types of activity weighted according to the national average cost of providing that activity; and everything included in reference costs eg non-elective work, outpatients, diagnostic tests).

• Understanding what good looks like for: – Clinical specialties (next slide) – Areas (eg outpatients, inpatients etc) – Processes (working patterns, job plans)

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

The interim report: What happened next:

Page 13: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

The Weighted Activity Unit (WAU)

• The type of treatments provided by acute trusts differ substantially (casemix).

• This makes it difficult to make robust comparisons between trusts using simple measures of output.

• Both in the UK and elsewhere (e.g. US, Australia), this issue is tackled by using a measure of cost-weighted output.

• Cost-weighting is used to adjust for differences in casemix between trusts.

• Lord Carter has pioneered the use of the Weighted Activity Unit (WAU).

• One WAU is the equivalent of an elective inpatient admission, based on the cost of providing that treatment (≈£3,500).

Page 14: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the
Page 15: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

Page 16: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Metrics and variation

• We worked with cohort of 32 to develop metrics

• ATC helped us identify the opportunity but we realised

we needed different perspectives

• Identified the key categories

Page 17: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Overview of the final report: £5bn savings

15 recommendations involving:

• Optimising application of

clinical resources

• Optimising use of non-

clinical resources

• Quality & efficiency

throughout care pathway

• Implementation &

engagement with trusts

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

Page 18: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

What we found:

• The greatest asset of the NHS is its staff

• £33.9bn of £55bn total spend is on clinical resources

• There is unwarranted variation across trusts amounting to £3.1bn - £3.8bn of potential savings

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

Overview: Optimising the use of human resources

Page 19: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the
Page 20: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

Definition:

• A delayed transfer of care from an acute or non-acute (including community and mental health) facility occurs when a patient is ready to depart from such care but still occupies a bed.

• A patient is ready for transfer when:

– A clinical decision has been made that patient is ready for transfer AND

– A multi-disciplinary team decision has been made that patient is ready for transfer AND

– The patient is safe to discharge/transfer.

Trusts highlight unplanned loss of income from cancellations

Healthcare Services purchased from the

independent sector by acute non-specialist

trusts

Page 21: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the
Page 22: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

Hip stem prosthesis average price, volume & brand (15 trusts)

Page 23: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the
Page 24: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Overview: Quality & efficiency along the patient pathway For each GIRFT specialty

• Appoint national lead

• Identify scope (Eg for general medicine ‘MAU’, ‘the take’, ‘ward cover’)

• Data bank (pre existing if possible, £1bn IT support)

• Assemble panel (GIRFT methodology) to decide ‘what good looks like’

• Develop dashboard (n=25, CQC compliant)

• Pilot & introduce across trusts (n=137)

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

Page 25: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Trauma & Orthopaedics Dashboard: • Standardised hip revision rate at 5

years • Oxford hip score case-mix

adjusted • Cemented fixation in over 65s • Average no. of nurses in theatre

for a primary arthroplasty (hip and knee combined calculation)

• Percentage of orthopaedic patients seen in one-stop-shop clinic.

The model hospital shows metrics by speciality to

demonstrate, for example:

• Effectiveness, through

metrics such as length of

stay and delayed transfers

of care.

• Productivity, through

numbers of admissions,

occupied bed days, medical

procedure time, theatre time

and other figures.

• Costs of care, presented in

ways such as cost of an

admission, cost per patient

day and volumes of high

cost items.

Page 26: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the
Page 27: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the
Page 28: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

• Level 1: Having a job plan • Level 2: Ensuring job plan compliance • Level 3: Improving productivity by

aligning business strategy with budget setting & job planning

• Level 4: Auditing plan(s) and adjusting according to service need

Job planning: The Levels of Attainment

Page 29: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Overview: Quality & efficiency along the patient pathway

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

Level 1: Information to be requested from September 2016:

• How many consultants are employed by your trust (absolute number, WTE)?

• How many of these have job plans for the current financial year (2016-17; number, %)?

• For those with job plans, overall how many sessions are they paid (mean plus range)?

• How many sessions are allocated to Direct Delivery of Care (DCC; mean, range)?

Page 30: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Overview: Quality & efficiency along the patient pathway (2)

Unwarranted Variation: final report

summary, January 2016

Level 2: Cross over metrics (for GIRFT dashboards), Spring 2017:

• How many consultants are (absolute no, WTE) working in the GIRFT specialties (n=18)?

• How many have job plans currently (financial yr 2016-17; no, %)?

• How many sessions are they paid (mean, range)?

• How many sessions for Direct Delivery of Care (DCC)?

Level 3: development of new metrics (Spring 2017):

• How many sessions for GIRFT consultants are allocated to supporting activities (SpAs; education, management research; mean, range)?

Product

• DCC/WAU at trust level (Level 1) (Autumn 2016)

• DCC/WAU at GIRFT specialty level (Level 2)(from Spring 2017)

• Analysis of SpA etc (Level 3)(from Summer 2017)

Page 31: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Empowering clinicians to improve clinical productivity (2)

• Use the resources you have to best effect: Carter report:

• There is unwarranted variability in delivery of care

• Comparator indices used internationally, WAU will facilitate inter trust comparisons and permits granular assessment

• In a typical trust, some 2.5% generate the income

• Knowing what they are doing and aligning this with the mission (and service lines) is essential

• A survey suggests this approach is applied variably

Page 32: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation

• Understanding the pressures

• Gaining recognition that clinical medicine has changed

• Use the resources you’re allocated to best effect

– The Carter Report

– Measuring productivity

– Applying the principles

• Thinking differently

– Concentrating the effort where its needed: a system wide approach

– The future hospital/health system

• Clinical engagement & leadership

Page 33: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013

•Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the adult inpatient with medical illness, with specific reference to organisation, processes and standards of care.’

•Guiding principles: Hospitals serve the needs of patients and must deliver:

•High quality care 24 hours per day, seven days a week

•Continuity of care for patients delivered with compassion

•Stable medical teams for patient care and education

•Effective relationships between medical teams & community

•Appropriate balance between specialist and general care

•Transfer realistically allocating responsibility for further action

Page 34: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

Medical Division: Patient Centred Care

Page 35: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

The Hospital of the Future & the Future Hospital Commission

Page 36: The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation€¦ · Report of the RCP Future Hospital Commission: Published 12th September 2013 •Aim: ‘Identify the optimal care pathway for the

The Carter Report: Themes & Implementation

• Starting a public dialogue on:

• Health care funding

• What can be achieved vs what should be done

• Considering greatest good to greatest number

• Integration of health care

• Local ownership

• Using resources to best effect

• Changing training and career tracks accordingly

• Clinically lead, honest, transparent