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CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARYThis presentation, including any supporting materials, is owned by Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates and is for the sole use of the intended Gartner audience or other intended recipients. This presentation may contain information that is confidential, proprietary or otherwise legally protected, and it may not be further copied, distributed or publicly displayed without the express written permission of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
The Business Impact and Use Cases for Artificial Intelligence
Tracy Tsai
Research Vice President
1 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Disruption
10 years ago,we struggled to find10 ML-basedapplications ...
In 10 years, we willstruggle to find10 that don't.
2 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
1. How can we leverage AI in our business? What are the use cases ?2. What types of hardware deliver AI technologies? 3. What impact will AI have on technology providers and business users?
Key Issues
3 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
A Proliferation of Use Cases
Churn Management
Cross-Selling
CustomerSegmentation
...
B2B Propensityto Buy
Recognition
DynamicPricingRecommender
Systems
Cognitive/Smart Systems
PredictivePolicing
Smart Traffic
Fleet Optimization
QualityManagement
Drivers of Quality
Fluctuations
FailurePrediction
IT Ops. (Security)Workforce/HR
WorkflowFraud
Self-DrivingCars
& Robotics
DemandPrediction
Proxy Data
Google Flu TrendsInrix
Social Media
Automation
4 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
PredictiveClassificationExploratory
Computing VisionNatural Language Processing
Five Major Types of Deep Learning Usages
5 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Consumers Financial Health Care Transportation Legal MarketingInternetcompanies Workplaces
Autonomous Vehicle
Investment (Robobroker)
Medical diagnosis Smart Traffic Legal robot Customers' behavior
Search Content Generation
Drone/robots Banking (credit score)
Predictive Treatment Fleet Optimization Draft document Ad targeting Ranking Virtual agent for enterprises
AR/VR/Wearable
Accounting Healthcare advisor Self-Driving Bus Crime & Fraud Productsrecommendation
Ad targeting Conversational App
Virtual Personal Assistant
Insurances (underwriting)
Monitoring Drones Predict legal outcomes
Recommended products pricing
Face/Image recognition
Securities and confidential
Smartphone/PC/ Speaker
Fraud & Crime X-rays and MRI AR/VR/Wearable E-discovery Predictive customer service
Social network AR/VR
Home Appliances Facial ID ATM/Remote
Hearing or visually impaired to hear see
Failure Prediction Screen claims for personal injury
Predict customers' needs
Languagetranslation
Wearable
IP Camera/ Surveillance
Virtual customer assistant
Service robots Surveillancesystem
Capture relevant details
Social media Virtual agent Surveillance system
ML/DL Helps Cases with Large Data in a Narrowed Domain
6 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Five Commonalities across Vertical Use Cases
1. Tedious, repetitive, time consuming2. Difficulty processing excessive or complex data3. Performing critical and real-time decision making in a complex and fast
changing situation4. Instructional, manual-driven user interface and user experiences 5. Tasks that exceed or challenge human physical capabilities
7 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Purposes of Using Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning
27%
37%
49%
50%
55%
33%
46%
59%
58%
68%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Machine Automation (e.g. smartrobots,autonomous cars/equipment)
Predictive insights
Process Automation
Virtual Assistants
Smart Advisors
China WW
Base: Involved in decisions for IT Services & Sourcing. Use or plan to use AI/Machine Learning; n=703; Multiple responses allowed.A03. For what purpose(s) is your organization using or planning to use Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning? Source: Gartner Annual Enterprise Survey, 2016
76% use or plan to use AI/Machine Learning within 12 months
8 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.8 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
By 2021, 30% of net new revenue growth from industry-specific solutions will
include artificial intelligence (AI) technology
9 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Machine learningdepends
on
good-quality data
True story: bad data for "tank recognition"
10 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Actionable Plans
Identify use cases or old problems that AI can fix
Identify and prioritize use cases aggressively
Examine available resources for AI
Seek C-level support
Invest in recruiting the right talent and leadership
11 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Key Issues
1. How can we leverage AI in our business? What are the use cases? 2. What types of hardware deliver AI technologies?3. What impact will AI have on technology providers and business
users?
12 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
1. Processors (GPU, TPU, ASIC, FPGA, CPU) 2. HPC/Supercomputer infrastructure3. Communication network4. Personal devices 5. Connected home devices 6. AR/VR HMD7. Drones8. Robotics9. Automotive 10. Sensors and application components (audio, camera, LiDAR, etc)
Top 10 Types of Hardware for AI Delivery
Acceleratecomputationalperformance
AI-enabled autonomous endpoints
AI-enabled endpoints
13 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
DNNs Driving Non-Traditional Vendors to Develop their own Accelerators Not only Intel and NVIDIA, more AI solution providers are developing
customized accelerators/coprocessors to improve AI performance
Non-Chip Vendors:Microsoft's Altera FPGABaidu's Xilinx FPGAGoogle's TPUIBM TrueNorth chips
Chips Vendors:NVIDIA Drive PX, Jason, TeslaIntel Xeon Phi, Altera FPGA, Nervana, and MovidiusAMD Radeon Instinct GPU
14 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Devices Vendors Look to AI to Differentiate Their Offerings
By 2019, 20% of all smartphone interactions will
be done via a Virtual Personal Assistant
Windows Hello Facial Recognition on Surface Pro 4
By 2020, zero-touch UI will be available on 2 billion devices and Internet of Things (IoT) endpoints
Virtual agent for health, fitness or workplace safety
and productivity.
Boltt launched an AI enabled wearable with a virtual Trainer
Alexa on Huawei Mate 9 Google Assistant on Pixel
Apple Siri on iphones
15 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
AI-enabled Connected Homes Become Truly Smart Homes
Seeing
Listening, answering, reminding
Reasoning, analyzing
Learning, adapting, personalizing
Recommending to support decisions, or decision automation
AI technologies enable intelligent capabilities
Remove challenges of connected home
Eliminate most manual operation Reduce users' learning curve Enhance system decision quality Solve the issue of silo home
systems Make sense of connected home
applications
16 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
4 Strategic Alternatives for Businesses Applying Artificial Intelligence Technologies
4
1 3
2MODE 1
Fundamental necessary to
keep business running lowest
risk, lower operational
changes
MODE 2Exploring new
business, willing to take risk,
allowing failure, bigger
operational changes
Technology Innovation Traditional Products New Product Types
New ProductsNew Business Model
e.g.New AI-solutions as a service for vertical end users (B2B) or tech
providers (B2B2C)
Current ProductsNew Business Model
e.g.VCA new direct sales, partner with AI companies for solution sales, advisory
services – shopping, fitness, healthBusiness Innovation
Current ProductsCurrent Business Model
e.g.Add AI-powered features to your
existing products – conversational AI, facial recognition, predictive service
New ProductsCurrent Business Model
e.g.Expand AI-powered apps, services,
endpoints for vertical industries, connected home, or personal devices
17 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Key Issues
1. How can we leverage AI in our business? What are the use cases? 2. What types of hardware deliver AI technologies?3. What impact will AI have on technology providers and business
users?
18 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.18 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
By 2019, startups will overtake Amazon, Google, IBM and Microsoft in driving the
artificial intelligence economy with disruptive business solutions.
19 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Forces Driving the Growing Number of AI Startups
Thousands of AI startups
Plenty of VC
Talent from
academic institutes
Talent from big
companies
Governmentpolicy and
support
Market demand
for innovation
Startups more cost
competitive
Big companies acquire or
invest startup
20 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Identify Revenue Streams - Who Will Pay for AI?
Tech Providers (B2B2C)
Consumer (B2C)
Valueof AI
Governmentand Enterprise
(B2B)
21 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Most Important Service Provider Selection Criteria for AI/Machine Learning Technologies
13%
15%
16%
19%
19%
18%
16%
16%
15%
14%
16%
16%
14%
13%
14%
14%
16%
17%
44%
44%
46%
48%
51%
51%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Consultants that can help us leveragethe technologies for business benefits
To help educate us on what it cando for our business
Specialists with deep skills
To help us innovate new businessmodels or explore new revenue streams
To help us explore cost efficiencies
To help us implement (e.g.,installation,integration, testing, etc.)
Most important Second Third Sum
Base: Involved in decisions for IT Services & Sourcing. Use or plan to use AI/Machine Learning; Excluding DK; n=706A04. What are the top three characteristics that your organization considers most important in its selection of external service providers for Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning implementations? Source: Gartner Annual Enterprise Survey, 2016
22 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Make vs. Buy vs. Outsource
Outsourceservice providers
Makevia workbenches
1. Requires in-house skills2. Analytics is differentiator3. Agility and control are key
Buypackaged apps
1. Best ease of use2. Often "good enough"3. Best time to solution4. Little differentiation
HybridDelivery
1. In-house skills not avail.2. Packaged apps not avail.3. Give up IP for sake of speed
23 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Deep Learning Adoption Patterns
800-1000 organizations End users use tools for strategic advantage Service providers create custom-made solutions IT vendors create APIs, SaaS or packaged apps
50-100 firms Own tooling Absolute leaders
Let others come up with solutions! Evaluate solutions — understand costs Assess ongoing costs!
Advanced
Skilled End Users
Inexperienced End Users
Tools and APIs Only APIs
APIs, SaaS, packaged apps and
custom-made solutions
3-5K firms Have data scientists
APIs, SaaS, packaged apps and
custom-made solutionsTools and APIs
Most Gartner clients Have no data scientists on staff
24 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Conversational User InterfaceAmazon; Baidu; Facebook; Google: IBM;
IPsoft; Microsoft; NextIT; Salesforce
Virtual Personal AssistantApple; Google; IBM; Microsoft;
Nuance; Xaioi
Virtual Customer Assistants24/7; Artificial Solutions; Creative Virtual; eGain; IBM
Watson; Ipsoft; Microsoft; NextIT; Nuance: Xiaoi
AI-enabled Virtual Agent
Algorithm Market PlacesAlgorithmia; Apervita; FICO; IBM:
Microsoft(Azure); Teradata
Deep ReinforcementLearning
Google, NVIDIA, OpenAI
Cognitive ComputingAccenture; CognitiveScale; Deloitte; Digital
Reasoning; Google; IBM; Ipsoft; KPMG; Microsoft; Saffron (an Intel company)
Proactive SearchApple; Coveo; Google; HPE;
IBM Watson; Sinequa
General Purposes AI Solutions and Platform
DNNs Solutions
Natural Language ProcessingBrainspace;Clarabridge; CognitiveScale; Digital Reasoning; Microsoft; Narrative Science; SAS;
Yseop; Ipsoft, Nuance, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Baidu, Xiaoi, AiSpeech, VoiceBox, Unisound,
Natural Language Generation
Arria NLG; Automated Insights; BeyondCore;
Narrative Science: Yseop
Compute VisionAmazon; Apple; Baidu; Facebook;
Google; Herta Security; Luxoft; MathWorks; Microsoft, Megvii,
DeepGlint, Sensetime
Speech RecognitionNuance, ThinkIT, iFlyTek,
AiSpeech, Mobvoi, Unisound, SinoVoice,
AI-enabled Endpoints
Commercial UAVAeryon Labs: Amazon; Boeing: DJI; Facebook:
google (Titan Aerospace): Parrot: precisionHawk;
Skycatch: Trimble
Smart RobotsAethon; Amazon
Robotic;ARxIUM; Google; iRobot; Panasonic;
Rethink Robotics; SoftBankRobotics; Symbotic
Autonomous VehiclesContinental; Delphi
Automotive; General Motors; Google;
Mobileye; Nokia; Nvidia: RobertBosch; Uber; ZMP
Augmented RealityBlippar; Catchoom;
Daqri;Google;Kudan; Microsoft; Wikitude
Virtual RealityHTC, Mechdyne;
NextVR; Oculus VR; Samsung; Sony; Valve;
Virtual Heroes; WorldViz
DronesAIBOTIX;
AeroVironment; Measure; SenseFLy; Cyberhawek; AirShi;
Trimble; Kespry;
A Long List of AI Companies Reveals the New Era of AI in Next 10 Years
25 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Reinvent existing products with new value Answer questions - why do users need this; what issues are solved;
how easy it can be used Outsource solutions or partner with 3rd parties; if you lack required
skills or it takes time to build Provide incentives based on the impact of AI or IoT on the business Invest in recruiting the right talent and leadership Change from transaction sales to reoccurring revenue from buyers
or 3rd parties by offering add-on value services enabled by AI or IoT
Recommendations
26 © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Recommended Gartner Research
Conversational AI to Shake Up Your Technical and Business Worlds
Hype Cycle for Smart Machines, 2016
Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2016
Predicts 2017: Artificial Intelligence
Innovation Insight for Deep Learning
Machine-Learning and Data Science Solutions – Build, Buy or Outsource?
Market Guide: Virtual Customer Assistants
CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARYThis presentation, including any supporting materials, is owned by Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates and is for the sole use of the intended Gartner audience or other intended recipients. This presentation may contain information that is confidential, proprietary or otherwise legally protected, and it may not be further copied, distributed or publicly displayed without the express written permission of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
The Business Impact and Use Cases for Artificial Intelligence
Tracy Tsai
Research Vice President