23
The Business Case for PV BP 0802

The Business Case for PV

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: The Business Case for PV

The Business Case for PV

BP 0802

Page 2: The Business Case for PV
Page 3: The Business Case for PV
Page 4: The Business Case for PV

Representative Current PVSystem Costs

Grid Connected - No Batteries($/Watt DC)

Item ModuleHardwareInverterInstall Total

RetailHigh

6.10 (a)1.00 .751.759.60

RetailLow

4.30 (b)1.75 .752.409.20

Wholesale 3.50 (b)1.40 .502.407.80

(a) Crystalline Si (b) Thin film a-SiBased on typical small system (<5.0 kW), 2000 catalog pricesBP 0802

Page 5: The Business Case for PV

Total Installed PV System Costs – Representative Examples

Residential: Range = $9.00 - $12.00 per Watt or $9,000 - $12,000 per kW Example: 2.0 kWDC system = $18,000 - $24,000

Commercial: Range = $7.00 - $9.00 per Watt or

$7,000 - $9,000 per kW Example: 100 kWDC system = 100($9,000) = $900,000 500 kWDC system = 500($7,000) = $3,500,000BP 0403

Page 6: The Business Case for PV

PV System and Energy Costs ($/kWh)

($/Watt AC)

$10.50 8.50 6.00 4.50

Phoenix, AZ (6.5 PSH*)

0.26 0.21 0.15 0.11

Sacramento, CA (5.5 PSH*)

0.30 0.24 0.17 0.13

Spokane,WA (4.5 PSH*)

0.35 0.29 0.20 0.15

Phoenix,AZ (Tracker**)

0.20 0.17 0.13 0.10

Energy Cost (Cents/kWh)

* PSH = average annual peak solar hours from NREL weather data; fixed tilt at Lat** Single axis tracker increases generated energy by 34.4%; assume $1.00/W cost inc.

System Cost

BP 0802

Data based on computer simulation

Page 7: The Business Case for PV

Average Monthly Savings on Electric Bill per kW of PVDC ($/Month)

City Sun Electric Utility Costs per kWhHrs $0.08 $0.10 $0.12 $0.14 $0.16 $0.18 $0.20

Denver, CO 6.06 4.53 13.59 16.31 19.03 21.74 24.46 27.78

Kansas City, 5.01 8.76 10.95 13.14 14.24 16.27 19.71 20.34 MOMiami, FL 5.18 8.86 11.07 13.28 15.50 17.71 19.93 22.14

Phoenix, AZ 6.63 11.50 14.37 17.24 20.12 22.99 25.87 28.74

San Francisco 5.76 8.03 12.81 15.37 17.93 20.50 23.06 25.62 CASeattle, WA 3.97 6.82 8.52 10.22 11.93 13.63 15.34 17.04

Source: “Home Power Magazine”, April/May 2003, pg31. NOTE: Does not consider tiered or time of use rate structure, which will greatly increase the savings.

Page 8: The Business Case for PV

PV System CostsSMUD Experience - 2000

Item

Cost to SMUD ($/watt approx)Cost to retail customer ($/watt)Equiv. Energy cost (cents/kWh)Avg SMUD res rate (cents/kWh)

Cost

4.252.40 6.78-12

BP 0802

Page 9: The Business Case for PV

PV and Tiered Utility Rates

1015

1820

600 1,000 1,500

25EnergyCost(cents)

Energy (kWhrs)

PV currently competitive at peak and higher tiers

BP 0802

Based on Tiered rates for PG&E, Northern California

Page 10: The Business Case for PV

Source: Internet ExplorerClean Power Estimatorwww.clean-power.com/cec/default.asp

1.0 kW Residential System - Case Study

BP 0802

**

Page 11: The Business Case for PV

1.0 kW Case Study - System CostB

P 0

802

Page 12: The Business Case for PV

1.0 kW Case Study - System Cost (cont.)

BP 0802

Page 13: The Business Case for PV

1.0 kW Case Study - ProductionB

P 0

802

Page 14: The Business Case for PV

1.0 kW Case Study - EconomicsB

P 0

802

Page 15: The Business Case for PV

1.0 kW Case Study - Economics (cont.)

BP 0802

Page 16: The Business Case for PV

1.0 kW Case Study - Net Cash FlowB

P 0

802

Page 17: The Business Case for PV

5.0 kW Residential System - Case Study Is More Better ?

BP 0802

Page 18: The Business Case for PV

5.0 kW Case Study - ProductionB

P 0

802

Page 19: The Business Case for PV

5.0 kW Case Study - Monthly Economics

BP 0802

Page 20: The Business Case for PV

5.0 kW Case Study - The Cash Flow Black Hole

BP 0802

Page 21: The Business Case for PV

3.5 kW Case Study - Break Even

BP 0802

Page 22: The Business Case for PV

3.5 kW Case Study - Break Even

BP 0802

Page 23: The Business Case for PV

3.5 kW Case Study - Break Even

BP 0802