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The Association of European Airlines (AEA)35 member airlines:
Network carriers with a global reach11,865 flights a day
615 destinations in 165 countries380 million passengers
7 million tonnes of cargo426,000 employees
2,660 aircraftTotal turnover of €79 billion
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Growth - The Industry's LifebloodTraffic to/from & within Europe
[RPK bn]
6 years6 years
8 years
13 years
13 years
Traffic doubles
Notes:(b) The analysis is based on OAG data and it therefore excludes non-scheduled services.(c) No Frills airlines defined as bmibaby, Buzz, Debonair, easyJet, Go, Ryanair, Virgin Express
EU European Commission publication: "Updating and development of economic and fares dataregarding the European Air Travel Industry": EU1 - Summer 2002 update, comparing summerschedule 2000 with summer schedule 1992; EU2 - July 1992 from 2000 Annual Monitoring Report,Summer 2002 from OAG schedules; EU3 - Winter 2001 Fares Report, comparing January 2001with January 1993.
AIR TRANSPORT LIBERALISATION IN EUROPE: KEY INDICATORS
1993 2002 Source
Number of EU Scheduled Airlines 124 131 AEANumber of EU domestic routes 813 910 EU1Number of domestic routes with more than one carrier 106 199 EU1Weekly Seats on EU domestic routes (in thousands) 2,910 4,097 EU1Yearly ASKs on EU domestic routes (in billions) 74 105 EU1Share of EU domestic ASKs on routes with more than one carrier 34% 68% EU1Number of Intra-EU (international) routes 692 1,202 EU1Number of Intra-EU routes with more than two carriers 61 217 EU1Weekly Seats on Intra-EU routes (in thousands) 2,345 4,603 EU1Yearly ASKs on Intra-EU routes (in billions) 107 244 EU1Share of Intra-EU ASKs on routes with more than two carriers 42% 52% EU1No-Frills Airline share of total ASKs 0.40% 11.6% EU2
Change in Business Fares on Intra-EEA routes (nominal) €233 €309 EU3Change in Economy Fares on Intra-EEA routes (nominal) €209 €263 EU3Change in Promotional Fares on Intra-EEA routes (nominal) €123 €108 EU3
85,000
90,000
95,000
100,000
105,000
110,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Air France-KLMLufthansa-Swiss
Consolidation does not Affect Employment
[Number of employees]Air France - KLM merger
Lufthansa - Swiss merger
European market is moving…
Source: AEA
AEA members as of September 2008
privatisation
privatisation
privatisation
Major restructuring,privatisation
…towards consolidation
In negotiation
AEA members as of September 2008
Source: AEA
0
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7
8
1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
[ % growth]
Timeline of crises since 1961 (GDP growth)
The background: A new crisis ahead…
Source: World Bank, IMF
Oil
Cris
is
Oil
Cris
is
Eco
nom
ic C
risis
Eco
nom
ic C
risis
Eco
nom
ic C
risis
911,
Gul
f War
II, S
AR
S
Asi
an
Fi
nanc
ial C
risis
Estimate2008 -Estimate2008 -
‘World Recession’ = 3% or less GDP growth
2009: 2.2%
2008: 3.7%