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The anticipatory revolutions of
the Earth
Bronislaw Szerszynski
• how can we locate the phenomenon of anticipation in human and non-human systems in the deep-time context of planetary development?
• are there key transition points in the Earth’s ability to produce entities and processes with different modes of anticipation?
• can we see anticipation as an ‘Earthly power’
theory 1 – memory, matter & anticipation
• Henri Bergson on duration
• recollective vs. habit memory
• memory, forgetting & anticipation
• noise (Serres) and the ‘shape of time’ (Kubler)
theory 2 – emergence & self-organisation
• dissipative structures (Prigogine)
• self-organising criticality (Bak)
• causal topologies (Deacon)
Deacon’s causal topology
Dupuy’s ‘projected time’
theory 3 – revolutions of the Earth
candidate revolutions
1. planets in orbit
2. intraplanetary turbulence
3. material cycling
4. living organism
5. Gaian biosphere
6. animal motility
7. What next?
1 – exterior differentiation & equilibrium
2 – interior differentiation & turbulence
3 – dissipative cycles
4 – the living organism
5 – the Gaian biosphere
6 – the motile animal
7 – and then?
• humans - consciousness? language? culture?
• technology and the technosphere?
• alternative anticipatory modes and ‘shapes of time’