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1 THE 9 TH EFG HERMES ANNUAL LONDON CONFERENCE 9 12 September, 2019

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Page 1: THE 9 EFG HERMES ANNUAL LONDON CONFERENCEvinhhoan.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/190930_THE-9TH-EFG-H… · 100 400 700 1,000 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Years since base date GDP Per

1

THE 9TH EFG HERMES

ANNUAL LONDON

CONFERENCE

9 – 12 September, 2019

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CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING

STATEMENTS

2

All statements contained in this report that are not statements of historical fact constitute “forward-looking statements”. Some of these statements can be identified by

forward-looking terms, such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “can”, “could”, “estimate”, “anticipate”, “project”, “expect”, “intend”, “may”, “plan”, “aim”, “will” and “would” or similar

words. However, these words are not the exclusive means of identifying forward-looking statements. All statements regarding our expected financial condition and results

of operations, business, plans and prospects are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include statements as to our business strategy, revenue

and profitability (including, without limitation, any financial or operating projections or forecasts), planned projects and other matters discussed in this document regarding

matters that are not historical fact. These forward-looking statements and any other projections contained in this report involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties

and other factors that may cause our actual financial results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future financial results, performance or

achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements or other projections.

Forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs and assumptions, which in turn are based on currently available information. Our outlook is predominantly based on

our interpretation of what we consider to be the key economic factors affecting our business, the global economy and the sectors we operate in. Although we believe the

assumptions upon which these forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, any of these assumptions could prove to be inaccurate, and the forward-looking

statements based on these assumptions could be incorrect. Actual results may differ materially from information contained in the forward-looking statements as a result of

a number of factors, many of which are beyond our control. Accordingly, investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements in this

report. These statements speak only as of the date of this report or the respective dates indicated in this report, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any of

them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

3

We have a traditional wooden house at all of our major locations for employees

meetings and social events.

1. Vietnam: the next ascending dragon 4

2. Pangasius: the irreplaceable whitefish 9

3. Vinh Hoan: the global pangasius leader 16

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4

1. VIETNAM: THE NEXT ASCENDING DRAGON

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100

400

700

1,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Years since base date

GDP Per Person (Rebased)

China (1977=100) Vietnam (1990=100)

VIETNAM: THE NEXT ASCENDING DRAGON

5

Source: Maddison Project Database (MPD) 2018, 1990$ benchmark version

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Manufacturing, 2.0%

Agriculture, 0.3% Retail trade, 0.7%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

Sector Percentage Contribution to GDP Growth in 1H 2019Size of circle indicates the sector's share of GDP

(Total: 5.73%)

LED BY MANUFACTURING AND AGRICULTURE GROWTH…

6

Source: General Statistics Office: Note: Q1 finalized and Q2 estimate

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…AND A LARGE, AFFORDABLE, AND YOUTHFUL WORKFORCE

7

2nd largest labor

market in ASEAN

Source: PwC, Statista, The World Factbook

Manufacturing labor

cost per hour

China:

US$5.8

Vietnam:

US$2.9

Median Age

30.5(China: 37.4)

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…TO CREATE A SEAFOOD POWERHOUSE

8

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Export Value by Country1 (US$bn)

Source: ITC (2018); Note: 1. 03 Fish and crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic invertebrates under the Harmonized System (“HS”); 2. Frozen fish and other items, including 0303, 0305, 0301, 0302, 0308 under HS

Vietnam Main Seafood Exports1

Fillet

US$2.6bn

Crustaceans

US$2.0bn

Molluscs

US$0.6bn

Frozen Fish2

US$0.5bn

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2. PANGASIUS: THE IRREPLACEABLE WHITEFISH

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ASIA’S AQUACULTURE REVOLUTION

10

Key investible

aquaculture

species in Asia

Crustaceans

Molluscs

Whitefish

Source: FAO, World Bank; Note: 1. million metric tons

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Global Capture Fisheries vs. Aquaculture1

Aquaculture Capture fisheries

0

20

40

60

80

100

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Aquaculture production by Region1

E Asia & Pacific S Asia

Europe & Central Asia LatAm & Caribbean

MENA N America

Sub- Saharan Africa

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PANGASIUS: THE IRREPLACEABLE WHITEFISH

11

Products Per Capita

(pound)

Tilapia 1.08

Alaska Pollock 0.78

Pangasius 0.71

Cod 0.66

Catfish 0.53

U.S. Per Capita

Whitefish Consumption

Products Per Capita

(kg)

Cod 2.33

Alaska pollock 1.59

Hake 0.96

Pangasius1 0.50

EU Apparent Whitefish

Consumption

Products Volume

(Ton)

Cod 61,400

Haddock 30,200

Pollock 42,100

Pangasius 9,400

UK Whitefish Market

Source: National Fisheries Institute, EUMOFA, Kantar Panel Data; Note: 1. and other freshwater catfish

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PANGASIUS: YOUR EVERYDAY FISH

12

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asian catfish

basa

catfish

cream dory

panga

pangasius

river cobbler

striped catfish

sutchi

swai

tra

vietnamese catfish

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WHY PANGASIUS?

14

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PANGASIUS AS AN AQUACULTURE SPECIES

• No “knock-out” disease like Early Mortality Syndrome (“EMS”) in shrimp

• Easy to breed, robust and grows rapidly

• Farming in its native habitat unlike most aquaculture species

• Well-suited for intensive aquaculture

• Can be raised sustainably

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3. VINH HOAN: THE GLOBAL PANGASIUS LEADER

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No. 1 pangasius player globally

$388.8m net revenue1

21.8% EBITDA margin1

0.00 only zero anti-dumping duty exporter to the U.S.

7,000 approximately number of employees

3.6x Enterprise Value / EBITDA1

4.3x Price / Earnings1

Source: Capital IQ; Note: 1. LTM, VND/USD = 23,256

VINH HOAN IN NUMBERS

• Ho Chi Minh City

• Ho Chi Minh City

Dong Thap ProvinceLong An Province

An Giang Province Ben Tre Province

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18

1997 Truong Thi Le Khanh founded Vinh Hoan

2007 Listed on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange

2010 Became the leading pangasius player globally

2011 Established Vinh Wellness

2012 Nil U.S. anti-dumping duty since POR9 (2011-2012)

2012 First ASC certified pangasius producer

2015 First BAP four stars pangasius producer

2018 Became a USDA-approved exporter

2019 Established Vinh Hoan Hatchery

HISTORY

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SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

19

Truong Thi Le Khanh1

39,575,14242.8%

Vinh Hoan Corp(HOSE: VHC)

Share Outstanding: 92,403,943

Dragon Capital2

7,366,2208.0%

Mitsubishi Corp1

6,000,0006.5%

Others2

39,462,581 42.7%

Note: 1. as of 20 May 2019; 2. updated 20 Aug 2019

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MANAGEMENT

Truong Thi Le Khanh

Founder & Chairwoman

Nguyen Ngo Vi Tam

Chief Executive Officer

Truong Tuyet Hoa

Sales Director

Nguyen Thi Kim Dao

Finance Director

Vo Phu Duc

Wellness Director

Dang Thi Thuong

Sustainability Director

Phan Thi Bich Lien

Thanh Binh DT Director

Le Thi Dieu Thi

Quality Director

Huynh Duc Trung

Permanent Director

Ho Thanh Hue

Production Director

Le Thi Sau

Vinh Phuoc Director

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NO. 1 PANGASIUS EXPORTER GLOBALLY

25Source: VASEP, Note: export revenue from customs in US$m

166

207 228

251 270

345

70

120

170

220

270

320

370

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Export Value (US$m)

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MAIN MARKETS

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FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS

27

• EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement

Remove pangasius tariffs for the EU (from 5.5% over 3 years)

Expected to be rectified / receive consent in 2019 or 2020

• “No Deal” Brexit

Nil tariff for pangasius (from 5.5%) under the draft Customs Tariff (Establishment)

(EU Exit) Regulations

Source: http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/press/index.cfm?id=1437, http://bit.ly/2lEWpvF

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1H 2019 FINANCIAL REVIEW

28Source: Capital IQ; Note: VND/USD = 23,256

• Weaker volume to the U.S. due to

“wait-and-see” approach by customers

while waiting for the Apr-19 anti-

dumping duty announcement. Market

also took time to digest excess

inventory in 1H 2019

• Pangasius products contributed 68% of

sales, followed by by-products (14%),

wellness (7%), value-added (1%), and

others (10%)

• U.S. is the main market for pangasius

products (59%), followed by China

(16%), Europe (14%), Canada (3%) and

Others (8%)

• Raw materials cost savings contributed

EBITDA margin improvement to 20%

from 17% YoY

• Improved cash position due to improved

one-off financial income

• Continued cash generation from core

business, with additional unutilized

credit lines

• Higher capex attributed to pangasius

processing capability upgrades to

improve cost efficiency

• 2H capex will not materially affect

overall net debt position

• Additional by-products facility under

construction to improve pangasius

carcass value

• Additional cold store facility under

construction to scale up to capture

growth opportunities

173.9 164.0

1H 2018 1H 2019

-6%

Revenue (US$m)

29.2 32.2

1H 2018 1H 2019

+10%

EBITDA (US$m)

4.7

(1.5)

1H 20191H 2018

Net Debt/(Cash)

(US$m)

Capex (US$m)

2.8

5.5

1H 20191H 2018

+97%

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2019 PERFORMANCE GUIDANCE

29Source: 2018 Annual Report; Note: VND/USD = 23,256

• 1H 2019 net profit was approximately US$31.3m

• Reaffirm 2019 profit guidance of approximately

US$54.0m previously released in the 2018 Annual

Report

• Raw material cost savings, wellness contribution, and

improved operational efficiency will contribute to higher-

than-expected margins

• Profits partly offset by lower-than-expected sale volume

and average selling price

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THANK YOU

If you have any questions or would like to subscribe to our monthly newsletter,

please contact Investment Relations Department at [email protected].