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The 4D LINT Model of Function Allocation: Spatial-Temporal Arrangement and Levels of Automation Christopher D. D. Cabrall 1 , Thomas B. Sheridan 2 , Thomas Prevot 3 , Joost C. F. de Winter 4 , and Riender Happee 1 1 st International Conference on Intelligent Human Systems Integration Intelligence, Technology and Automation V 9:00 to 9:30 am, Tuesday, Jan 09, 2018 1 Cognitive Robotics, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands 2 Mechanical Engineering and Applied Psychology Emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA 3 Airspace Systems, Uber, San Francisco, CA, USA 4 BioMechanical Engineering, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands

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Page 1: The 4D LINT Model of Function Allocation: Spatial-Temporal Arrangement and …intelligent-vehicles.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/... · 2018-01-18 · The 4D LINT Model of Function

The 4D LINT Model of Function Allocation: Spatial-Temporal Arrangement and Levels of Automation

Christopher D. D. Cabrall1, Thomas B. Sheridan2,

Thomas Prevot3, Joost C. F. de Winter4, and Riender Happee1

1st International Conference on Intelligent Human Systems Integration

Intelligence, Technology and Automation V

9:00 to 9:30 am, Tuesday, Jan 09, 2018

1Cognitive Robotics, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands 2Mechanical Engineering and Applied Psychology Emeritus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA 3Airspace Systems, Uber, San Francisco, CA, USA 4BioMechanical Engineering, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands

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Where I am coming from

5.5 hr drive

1.5 hr drive

“Aerospace Highway”

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Where I am coming from

5.5 hr drive

1.5 hr drive

“Aerospace Highway”

1940’s - Chuck Yeager breaks sound barrier, Bell X-1

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Where I am coming from

5.5 hr drive

1.5 hr drive

1950’s – Bell X-15, highest and fastest manned flights

“Aerospace Highway”

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Where I am coming from

5.5 hr drive

1.5 hr drive

1960’s – Orbiter Space Shuttle

“Aerospace Highway”

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Where I am coming from

5.5 hr drive

1.5 hr drive

1970’s – Lockheed Martin Skunk Works Stealth planes

“Aerospace Highway”

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Where I am coming from

5.5 hr drive

1.5 hr drive

1990s, 2000s – X-35 JSF (joint strike fighter), F-35 Lightning, Helmet Mounted Displays

“Aerospace Highway”

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Where I am coming from

5.5 hr drive

1.5 hr drive

2000s, 2010s – White Knight and Space Ship One, first commercial space access

“Aerospace Highway”

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Where I am coming from = a legacy and lasting impact

To Be or Not To Be … Humans or Computers?

• “Tomorrow's space explorer will no more yield his place to canines or automatons than

would Mallory would have been content to plant his flag on Everest with an artillery shell"

- Al Blackburn, a founding member, 3rd president of SETP Society of Experimental Test Pilots

Blackburn, A. W. “Flight Testing in the Space Age.” SETP Quarterly review 2, no. 3 (Spring 1958): 3 - 17

(1978) (today)

It’s not a simple

black/white

(all or none)

issue

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4D LINT model

human computer

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computer

4D LINT model

human

Agent Identity? … between human and computer

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computer

4D LINT model

human

remote

remote

local

local

Agent Location (relative to veh.)? … between local and remote

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computer

4D LINT model

human

remote

remote

local

local

Agent Number (relative to veh.) … degree of centralized control

1 4

1 3

1 2

1 1

1 0

Vehicle(s) Agent(s)

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computer

4D LINT model

human

remote

remote

local

local

1 4

1 3

1 2

1 1

1 0

2 1

10 1

100 10

1000 100

Agent Number (relative to veh.) … degree of centralized control

Vehicle(s) Agent(s)

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computer

4D LINT model

human

remote

remote

local

local

1 4

1 3

1 2

1 1

1 0

2 1

10 1

100 10

1000 100

Agent Number (relative to veh.) … degree of centralized control

Vehicle(s) Agent(s)

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computer

4D LINT model

human

remote

remote

local

local

Agent Changes over Time? … optimal/supervisory control

Adaptive/Adaptable

per dynamic contexts:

cost/value functions

Allocation

authority

agent/arbiter

point of control

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4D LINT model Agent Changes over Time? … optimal/supervisory control

Adaptive/Adaptable

per dynamic contexts:

cost/value functions

Allocation

authority

agent/arbiter

point of control

Inner

Control Loop

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4D LINT model Agent Changes over Time? … optimal/supervisory control

Adaptive/Adaptable

per dynamic contexts:

cost/value functions

Allocation

authority

agent/arbiter

point of control

Outer

Control Loop

Performance

Objectives

Telemetry

Equipment/Signals

Transport

Service

Performance

Measures

Functional

Allocation

Authority

“who”/”what”

control agent

fatigue, road works

highway, urban

adaptive triggers

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4D LINT model a functional allocation solution space model for a vehicular control agent’s

Location, Identity, and/or Number optimized over Time

point of control

Over time, the point of

control can move between

various positions across

the 3D solution space

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4D LINT model a functional allocation solution space model for a vehicular control agent’s

Location, Identity, and/or Number optimized over Time

point of control

Over time, the point of

control can move between

various positions across

the 3D solution space

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4D LINT model a functional allocation solution space model for a vehicular control agent’s

Location, Identity, and/or Number optimized over Time

point of control

Over time, the point of

control can move between

various positions across

the 3D solution space

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4D LINT model a functional allocation solution space model for a vehicular control agent’s

Location, Identity, and/or Number optimized over Time

point of control

Over time, the point of

control can move between

various positions across

the 3D solution space

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

point of control

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

Navigator

Captain Co-Pilot

Flight Engineer

“a” = a team of local human agents for single vehicle with lower levels of automation

Vickers VC10 Long Haul Jet Airliner Volvo Trucks, dual control Euro 6 FE The dual-control system, developed in consultation with Volvo’s

Australian customers in the waste segment, gives the driver the control

and close visibility that left-hand drive provides when picking up bins, as

well as the confidence to drive at higher speeds on a highway in a right-

hand drive position

also e.g., driver training instruction?

Built/Released = 1960s

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“b” = a team of local comp. agents for single vehicle with higher levels of automation

Cormorant Air Mule

Flight Engineer = VCS

Vane Control System

Navigator = FMS

Flight Management System

Captain/Co-pilot = FCS

Flight Control System

Driving Software Applications

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“b” = a team of local comp. agents for single vehicle with higher levels of automation

Cormorant Air Mule

Flight Engineer = VCS

Vane Control System

Navigator = FMS

Flight Management System

Captain/Co-pilot = FCS

Flight Control System

Driving Software Applications On May 24, 2016, it was revealed that the US Patent and

Trademark office had awarded a patent that allowed a vehicle to

be controlled using a portable device, like an iPhone or iPad. The

patent describes how the device could unlock the car doors or

even start the engine, and also allows for multiple devices to

control the car at any one time. Here are some of the operations

Apple reveals the iPhone could perform:

Unlocking the doors; Starting the engine; Activating the audio or

audiovisual entertainment system; Activating GPS; Activating the

dashboard console; Turn on passenger lighting; Adjust seats; Turn

on headlights; Open the sun roof; Turn on windshield wipers;

Activate automatic parking; Activate wireless communications

Read more at http://www.trustedreviews.com/news/apple-car-

news-rumours-driverless-price-release-date-electric-

2923865#mfZaSAyYTecuVb6d.99

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“c” = a team of remote comp. agents for single vehicle with higher levels of automation

BADR-B Satellite

Autonomous mission control

supercomputers

V2I Comms, IoT, Smart City/Highways

Columbus Ohio, US Route 33 (2017)

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“d” = a team of remote human agents for single vehicle with lower levels of automation

RQ-4 Global Hawk

Ground Pilot 1 = launch/recovery

Ground Pilot 2 = mission control

Ground Pilot 3 = sensors operation

Tele-Driving: Remote Operated Driving

https://www.wired.com/2017/01/nissans-self-driving-teleoperation/

Zoox

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“d” = a team of remote human agents for single vehicle with lower levels of automation

RQ-4 Global Hawk

Ground Pilot 1 = launch/recovery

Ground Pilot 2 = mission control

Ground Pilot 3 = sensors operation

Tele-Driving: Remote Operated Driving

https://www.wired.com/2017/01/nissans-self-driving-teleoperation/

Zoox

“Democratic Driving”

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“~d” = a team of remote human agents for single vehicle with high levels of automation

RQ-4 Global Hawk

Ground Pilot 1 = launch/recovery

Ground Pilot 2 = mission control

Ground Pilot 3 = sensors operation

Tele-Driving: Remote Operated Driving

https://www.wired.com/2017/01/nissans-self-driving-teleoperation/

Zoox

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“e” = a single remote human agent for multi vehicles with lower levels of automation

Small package UAV deliveries

by remote human operator Remote valet garage parking attendant

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“e” = a single remote human agent for multi vehicles with lower levels of automation

Small package UAV deliveries

by remote human operator Remote valet garage parking attendant

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“f” = a single remote operator for multiple vehicles with high levels of automation

Lockheed Martin

Vehicle Control System VCS-4586

Centralized driving

traffic flow management

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“g” = a single local comp. agent for multiple vehicles with high levels of automation

Formation flying with a designated lead

aircraft: Georgia Tech ¼ Piper Cubs

2014, Demo

In one of the first autonomous demonstrations, the Georgia Tech

Research Institute (GTRI) has successfully commanded three fully

autonomous, collaborating UAVs. The machines flew in close formation

at the same altitude, separated by approximately 50 meters as they

executed figure-eight patterns. The research is part of GTRI’s efforts to

improve the capabilities for autonomous systems collaborating as

teams, thereby reducing the load on human operators

https://cdait.gatech.edu/news/gtri-successfully-commands-multiple-

uavs-perform-autonomous-formation-flight

Computer Computer

Truck Platooning:

computer leader, low/high tech followers

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“h” = a single local human agent for multiple vehicles with low levels of automation

Australian Leonard Fuller mid-air

plane adhesion, piloted safely to ground

The Avro Ansons after landing safely, having collided in mid-air and locked

together, 29 September 1940. Pilot of upper able to use his own flaps/ailerons

and functioning engine of lower aircraft to continue to fly to safety.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1940_Brocklesby_mid-air_collision

Human Computer

Truck Platooning:

human leader, low tech followers

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“h” = a single local human agent for multiple vehicles with low levels of automation

Australian Leonard Fuller mid-air

plane adhesion, piloted safely to ground

The Avro Ansons after landing safely, having collided in mid-air and locked

together, 29 September 1940. Pilot of upper able to use his own flaps/ailerons

and functioning engine of lower aircraft to continue to fly to safety.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1940_Brocklesby_mid-air_collision

Human No one

Truck Platooning:

human leader, low tech followers

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Example concept solutions via cubic regional areas within the solution space depicted from 4D LINT

“i” = Adaptive/Adaptable outer loop allocation authority optimization

F-16 Auto-GCAS

(Ground Collision Avoidance System)

This newly declassified video footage from the head-up-display of a U.S. Air

Force Arizona Air National Guard F-16 records the dramatic moment when its

unconscious pilot is saved from certain death by the aircraft’s Automatic

Ground Collision Avoidance System

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WkZGL7RQBVw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2oD2knMmang

Driver State Monitor:

Ford, heart attack sensing seat

Existing Ford systems such as Lane Departure Warning, Lane Keeping Aid,

Active City Stop, Driver Alert and Speed Limiter could potentially be activated

when the Ford heart rate monitoring seat senses an attack is imminent.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2800101/car-seat-knows-

heart-attack-ford-plans-monitor-heart-activity-cars-alert-authorities-

necessary.html#i-b00ffa6690028eff

“should be available by 2020”

Ford's European Research and Innovation Centre in Aachen,

Germany and Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochschule

(RWTH) Aachen University

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Discussion: solution space map

4D LINT

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Discussion: solution space map • Functional allocation flexibility from alternatives

• IHMC, 2nd place success at DARPA Robotic Challenge

• (Matt Johnson) lessons learned: including … Human Robot System Design

• Cognitive Task/Work/System Analysis

• Abstraction Hierarchy, Decision Ladders, Strategies Analysis (different actors, actions, at different times/places in the work)

4D LINT

Drop the tool and initialize

door grasping sequence

… or …

save time by use tool

as wedge to lever door handle

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Discussion: solution space map • Functional allocation flexibility from alternatives

• As different technology areas mature at different rates, seems logical

to expand/explore solution spaces for more robust application/opportunities

• MABA-MABA (Fitts’ List, 1951) = Men Are Better At – Machines Are Better At

analogy for Location, Number, and Time adaptive dimensions = tradeoffs for control allocation

LABA-RABA (local/remote), FAVABA-MAVABA (few/more), ASABA-FASABA (adaptive/fixed)

Where along the hype curve is … ?

- Automated driving

- Autonomous driving

- Generalized AI, Big Data, IoT,

- Neural Nets, etc.

4D LINT

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The End

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Backup Slides

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Concluding Remarks

4D LINT

Jun. 2015

I personally derived a “hidden” idea simply from

considering these LINT dimensions: … Tele-driving

low(est) barriers, high(est) returns

$$$

humans < automation < humans (prof.) (+ automation)

Jan. 2017 Didn’t know existed until

putting together these slides

wizard-of-oz designs (faking what you don’t have), safety oversight on demo/tests, shortcomings of Autonomous development

1

2

3

4 5

6

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Notation Scheme A dot delineated coordinate array for standardized communication

Location . Identity . Number (vehicles/agents)

(Time = a range along a dimension)

o Manual present day driving

• 1.1.1

o SAE levels of automated driving

• 1.1-5.1

o Assistive control sharing/switching

1 local human, 1 local computer, 1 vehicle

• 1.1-2.1/2 (fixed simultaneous control, number of agents = 2)

• 1.1-5.1/1-2 (adaptive switching of control, number of agents = 1-2)

4D LINT solution space

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Notation Scheme A dot delineated coordinate array for standardized communication

Location . Identity . Number (vehicles/agents)

(Time = a range along a dimension)

o Varying levels of human tele-remote control e.g., in vehicle, line of sight, same time-zone, across the world

• 1-4.1.1

• 1-4.1-5.1 (as above, w/ diff levels of automation)

• 1-4.1-5.1/1-3 (as above, w/ diff team sizes for 1 vehicle)

o Remote centralized autonomous full city network e.g., in vehicle, line of sight, same time-zone, across the world

• 3.5.100000/1 (for 100,000 vehicle capacity per 1 computer/server)

4D LINT solution space