The 2030 Architecture of Association of Southeast Asian Nations Free Trade Agreements

7/30/2019 The 2030 Architecture of Association of Southeast Asian Nations Free Trade Agreements

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Oukky ouj`tedjak APFAJtrajspdrtatedj jftwdrgs ajhoa eketefs


13/46


11


EEE* Fquetalkf F`djdie` Hfvfkdpifjt

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Pdur f= Autbdrs dipekatedj*


14/46


1

UfarLrujfe

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>8


15/46


10

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16/46


18

0* FRXFJPEDJ DO APPD@EAXEDJ DO PDVXBFAPXAPEAJ JAXEDJP O\FF X\AHF AC\FFIFJXPLFUDJH APPD@EAXEDJ DO PDVXBFAPX APEAJJAXEDJP F@DJDIE@ @DIIVJEXU

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17/46


16

Xalkf ?= Fkfifjts do Assdèatedj do Pdutbfast Aseaj Jatedjs "APFAJ%'1 Orff Xrahf Acrffifjts

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pfppfr* BPK ajh FK arf

sulmf`t td ajjuak


18/46


1?

rfvefw

Fx`kusedj kest 1& do tdtak trahf Hd jdt akkdw 6>> tareoo kejfs Hd jdt akkdw 8> tareoo kejfs

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>6


19/46


13

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20/46


12

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21/46


15

djf karcfr `dujtry+ tbf jfcdteatedj idvfs odrwarh wetb 1> wfagky kejgfh APFAJifilfrs acaejst djf pdwfrouk trahf partjfr* Pdif trahf jfcdteatdrs bavffxprfssfh tbf vefw tbat APFAJ'1 es a luj`b do 1> lekatfrak acrffifjts stapkfhtdcftbfr*

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jdriakky rfofrrfh td as tbf Fast Asea Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt ajh @diprfbfjsevf F`djdieârtjfrsbep ej Fast Asea*


22/46


@dujtry$\fcedj

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23/46


3%Jfw ]fakajh

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td a`befvf a su`b aj OXA heoofrs at tbf rfcedjak kfvfk* Djf prdpdsak starts wetb aj


24/46



25/46


2%+ tbf Fast Aseajf`djdiefs wekk lfjfoet ordi tbf acrffifjts as tbfy àj fxpf t tbfer `dilejfh crdsshdifste prdhu t "CH % td ej rfasf ly 6& ujhfr tbf FAOXA ajh *>5% ">*>5% >* 1*06 1*06Jfw ]fakajh ">*>?% ">*>?% >*1> 1*23 1*23Ejhea ">*1>% ">*1>% >*6> 1*0> 0*86Bdjc Gdjc+ @beja >*>> >*>> >*>> ">*>1% ">*>1%

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Pdur f= Vrata ">2%*

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Bdwfvfr+ odriatedj do a rfcedj"wehf trahejc arrajcfifjt wekk lfttfr sfrvf tbf rfcedjdjky eo et ejstetutfs crfatfr hes epkejf tbaj tbf wfl do lekatfrak trahejc arrajcfifjts* Etrfiaejs truf tbat idst lekatfrak OXAs `dukh kfah td secjeoe ajt trahf hevfrsedj foof ts+parte ukarky lfàusf do strejcfjt rfcukatedjs rfkatfh td tbf rukfs do drecej+ ùstdiprd`fhurfs+ ajh dtbfrs+ ajh `dukh turj dut td lf ujhfseralkf odr tbf hyjaiehfvfkdpifjt do rfcedjak ajh ckdlak prdhu tedj jftwdrgs ejvdkvejc akk Fast Aseajf`djdiefs*

Ajdtbfr stuhy do APFAJs rdkf as tbf bul do Aseaj trahf acrffifjts " ftre >5%arcufh tbat APFAJ#s rdkf was jdt must f`djdie lut aksd pdkete ak)f`djdie * APFAJ

es a `dkkf tedj do siakkfr `dujtrefs+ ajh tbus es a rfkatevfky jfutrak parte epajt ej tbf`dipftetevf stru turf do fifrcejc Asea+ ajh yft es a jdjtbrfatfjejc partjfr td iajy


26/46


5%* Xbes dut dif wdukh lf lfjfoe eak odr Asea ajh tbf wdrkh as a wbdkf*

Fvfj tbducb a lrdah rfcedjak OXA iecbt jdt bavf aj dvfrakk secjeoe ajt eipa t djAPFAJ'1 OXAs+ et `dukh `ausf iajy do tbf lekatfrak OXAs ajh fvfj APFAJ'1 OXAstd kdsf tbfer ifajejc odr tbf lusejfss sf tdr* Sbftbfr tbes lrdah rfcedjak OXA

rfprfsfjts a sfko)hfstru t patb odr dtbfr typfs do OXAs es a vfry eipdrtajt essuf+ajh djf odr wbe b APFAJ bas td prdvehf a kfar ajswfr* Et es odr tbes rfasdj tbatAPFAJ jffhs td `djsehfr tbf spf eak ajh heoofrfjteak ahvajtacfs jdt rfakkyprfsfjtfh ej tbf rfcedj)wehf OXA* At tbf pdke y kfvfk+ tbfrf es aksd tbf essuf do`fjtrakety7 eo APFAJ kdsfs ets bul status et `dukh aksd kdsf attra tevfjfss td dutsehfejvfstdrs* Akrfahy tbf rfcedj bas td `dipftf wetb f`djdie a tevety idvejcjdrtbwarhs td tbf ^\@+ M apaj+ ajh tbf \fpulke do Gdrfa+ ajh wfstwarhs td Ejhea*

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ajh APFAJ'1 OXAs bavf kfh td tbf sd) akkfh Aseaj jddhkf ldwk, foof t* @uiukatejcrukfs arf aksd vfry eipdrtajt odr a rfcedj wetb a kdt do pdtfjteak iukte) dujtry vakuf


27/46


& ajh 3&%* Xbes wdukh ej foof t aldkesbrukfs do drecej odr a karcf part do ejtra)APFAJ trahf "Ahais ft ak* >07 Kkdyh 11%*Idrfdvfr+ tbes hf kejf ej IOJ tareoo ratf iay akkdw APFAJ td fjvesacf a ùstdisujedj+ wetb tfipdrary sf tdr fx kusedjs as es tbf àsf wetb tbf @F^X* Xd eipkfifjt

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28/46



29/46


20> Aprek 11%+ APFAJ bas `dipkftfh ?3*5& do akkifasurfs huf ujhfr tbf AF@ odr tbf twd pbasfs ujhfr rfvefw "APFAJ Pf rftareat


30/46


%*Bfj`f+ tbfrf iust lf sdif if`bajesi td iagf a ifilfr tagf tbes `diietifjt tdAPFAJ idrf sfredusky*

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8*< At tfipts td Lrdahfj Orff Xrahf Acrffifjts ej Fast Asea

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1* \fpdrt do tbf M dejt Fxpfrt Crdup dj tbf FAOXA ^basf < Ptuhy7 ajh


31/46



32/46


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33/46


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Lrujfe Har*IakayseaPejcapdrf_eft Jai

OXA 9Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt+ FAOXA 9Fast Aseaj Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt+ @F^FA 9@diprfbfjsevf F`djdie artjfrsbep odr FastAsea+ @M G OXA 9@beja)Mapaj)Gdrfa Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt+ \@F^ 9\fcedjak @diprfbfjsevf F`djdie ârtjfrsbep+ A^F@ 9Asea)âèoe F`djdie @ddpfratedj+ OXAA^ 9Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt do Asea)âèoe + X^^ 9Xrajs aèoe artjfrsbep*

Pdur f= Autbdrs `dipekatedj*


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0yfars* Setb sd iajy dujtrefs kddgejc td mdej tbf X^^+ tbfrf arf qufstedjs su`b as wbftbfrtbfsf `dujtrefs `dukh odkkdw suet+ ajh wbftbfr tbf X^ `dukh lf tbf way td a`befvf tbf jdw)stakkfh A^F@ Orff Xrahf Arfa do tbf Aseaâ eoe "OXAA^%* Ejhffh+ tbes katfst idifjtui dotbf X^ es sffj as a way odr tbf VP td `dujtfr tbf f`djdie ejokufj`f do tbf ^\@ ej tbfrfcedj+ ajh tbf Cdvfrjifjt do tbf Vjetfh Ptatfs ujhfr ^rfsehfjt Lara`g Dlaia bas tagfja jfw ejtfrfst ej rfcedj luekhejc ajh ets rdkf ej Fast Asea+ aktbducb tbf VP es jdt yft aifilfr do tbf X^ *

Ej `djmuj tedj wetb tbf katfst hfvfkdpifjt+ M apaj hf ehfh td mdej su`b a hfak+ a idvf wbe b+M apaj saeh+ `dukh eiprdvf a` fss td odrfecj iargfts ajh fjbaj f rfcedjak trahf ajhejvfstifjt+ fvfj tbducb tbf cdvfrjifjt stekk bas td fxpkaej td tbdsf `dj`frjfh ej tbfsf`tdrs wbd arf etejc oddh sfùrety ajh ùkturak rfasdjs odr prdtf tedj* Xbf fjtry do M apajwdukh aksd ujhdultfhky `dipke atf outurf takgs wetbej tbf X^ lfàusf do ets f`djdiy wetbbecbky sfjsetevf hdifste pdkete s ajh prdtf tfh acre ukturf sf tdr* Hfspetf tbes+ M apaj basfxprfssfh ets gffj ejtfrfst ej mdejejc tbf X^ td spur crdwtb ej a `dujtry jdw oa ejc tbfaotfriatb do tbf tsujaie ajh a sbrejgejc pdpukatedj* Sbat M apaj heh jdt say es bdw tbf

stratfce ejtfrfst do M apaj iecbt bavf td lf rfsbapfh wetb rfcarh td Aseaj rfcedjakacrffifjts su`b as aj \@F^+ ej wbe b M apaj es a strdjc suppdrtfr do aj APFAJ'? OXA*

Hfvfkdpifjt do tbf X^ `dukh herf tky eipa t tbf rfcedj luekhejc wdrg do tbf \@F #s outurfacfjha* @frtaejky et kddgs kegf tbf VP wekk pusb tdwarh a jfw oraifwdrg+ pdsselky ej 1


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06

ahhrfssejc tbes jffh* Xbf eipkfifjtatedj do aj APFAJ OXA bul `dukh lrejc sulstajteaklfjfoets td APFAJ as a wbdkf as kdjc as et es `djsestfjt wetb APFAJs dwj f`djdieejtfcratedj+ aktbducb APFAJ iecbt jdt su``ffh ej luekhejc a oukk bul do OXAs "^ftre >5%*

Idrf rf`fjtky+ tbfrf bas lffj ej rfasejc rf`dcjetedj do APFAJs rdkf ajh `fjtrakety ejhrevejc ej rfasejc Aseaj f`djdie ejtfcratedj* Xbf `bakkfjcf odr APFAJ es td wdrg dut a

rfcedj)wehf oraifwdrg kegf tbf parakkfks do FAOXA ajh @F^FA+ ej ahhetedj td tbf `dujtrefs#lekatfrak ajh APFAJ'1 OXAs+ td iaejtaej idifjtui ly fxtfjhejc rfcedjak f`djdieejtfcratedj td a crdup do partjfrs wetb aj apprdpreatf ifasurf do tbf caejs assd eatfh wetbtbf AF@* At tbf saif teif+ APFAJs idvf td hrevf ejtfcratedj prdvesedjs rfquerfs lrdahfrajh hffpfr rfcukatedj+ sd tbfy `dukh appky td cddhs+ sfrve fs+ ajh ejvfstifjt ordi akk`dujtrefs+ jdt must tbf ifilfrs do tbf prfofrfjteak acrffifjts*

Cevfj tbf hfvfkdpifjt do APFAJ OXAs ejtd heoofrfjt patbs at heoofrfjt spffhs ajhoraifwdrgs+ et es ejtfrfstejc td kddg at a kegfky kajhs`apf tbat iecbt pdtfjteakky lf tbf rfsukt doouturf hfvfkdpifjt* Eo APFAJ OXAs arf td lf a`befvfh ly 0>+ wbat gejh do ar betf turfsbdukh et bavf4 Odrtujatfky odr APFAJ+ et bas odur kfarky hfvfkdpfh patbsAF@+ APFAJ'1OXAs+ `dujtry lekatfrak OXAs+ ajh rfcedj)wehf OXAs* Bdwfvfr+ wetb heoofrfjt patbs at

heoofrfjt spffhs ajh usejc heoofrfjt oraifwdrgs+ APFAJ wekk `djtejuf td fvdkvf akdjc akkpatbs tagfj*

Xd bfkp wetb aj dvfrakk ujhfrstajhejc+ ourtbfr ajakyses wekk usf teif bdrezdjs+ sbdrt ajh kdjctfri+ tbat jffh td lf lrdahky hestejcuesbfh* Xbf stratfce secjeoe aj`f wekk lf ejhe atfh aseipdrtajt+ vfry eipdrtajt+ ajh jdt eipdrtajt* Ej su`b a way+ djf sbdukh lf alkf tdhestejcuesb tbf stratfce eipdrtaj`f rfkatfh td fa`b patb `bdsfj ajh essufs rfkatfh td et* Ejahhetedj+ fssfjteak dut difs odr fa`b patb `bdsfj ly APFAJ arf hfs relfh ej ourtbfr hftaeklfkdw "ajh Xalkf 5%* Oejakky+ wbatfvfr tbf patbs `bdsfj ly APFAJ+ tbes talkf es usfouk tdrfokf t lrdah pdke y rf`diifjhatedjs do APFAJ OXAs*


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0?

Xalkf 5= Ar`be tf`turf do Assd`eatedj do Pdutbfast Aseaj Jatedjs Orff XrahfAcrffifjts tdwarh 0>

Etfi Pbdrt)Xfri Xarcft Kdjc)Xfri Xarcft

E* APFAJ F`djdie`@diiujety

Hffpfr ajh lrdahfr f`djdie ejtfcratedj aidjc APFAJ ifilfrs ajh wetbAPFAJ heakdcuf partjfrs

A* Pejckf Iargft ajh ^rdhu`tedj Lasf

A*1 Orff Okdw do CddhsA*1*1 Xareoo fkeiejatedj _fry eipdrtajt= Akk tareoos odr prdhu ts

ej tbf @F^X sfjsetevf ajh becbkysfjsetevf kests do APFAJ)1> fkeiejatfhodr ejtra)APFAJ trahf

_fry eipdrtajt= @dipkftf orff trahfarfa

A*1*< JXI ajh JXLfkeiejatedj

_fry eipdrtajt= _freoe atedj ajh rdss)vfreoe atedj do JXLs aidjc APFAJifilfr prdcrfssejc

_fry eipdrtajt= Fkeiejatedj do akk JXIsajh JXLs odr ejtra)APFAJ trahf

A*1*0 \ukfs do Drecej _fry Eipdrtajt= \ukfs do drecej ajhsfko) frteoe atf systfi iahf idrfusfr)orefjhky ajh a``fsselkf wetb a kdwtrajsa`tedj dst

_fry eipdrtajt= Fasejc do Aseajjddhkf ldwk foof t

A*1*8 Xrahf Oa eketatedj _fry eipdrtajt= Becb utekezatedj ratf doAOXA7 baridjezatedj do ustdis

prd`fhurfs+ AOXA crffj kajf+prdhu ts stajharh ajh `djodriaj`f"ehfjteoe atedj do XLXs%+ iutuakrf`dcjetedj arrajcfifjts

_fry eipdrtajt= 1>>& utekezatedj ratf doAOXA

A*< Orff Okdw do Pfrve fs"Idhf 0= @diifr eakprfsfj`f%

_fry eipdrtajt= \ukfs do drecej tdehfjteoy jatedjakety do tbf ejvfstdr

_fry eipdrtajt= Fkeiejatedj do lfydjh)tbf)ldrhfr ifasurfs ajh baridjezfhhdifste rukfs ajh rfcukatedjs

A*0 Orff Okdw do PgekkfhKaldr "Idhf 8= ^rfsfj`f dojaturak pfrsdjs%

_fry eipdrtajt= I\As dr dtbfracrffifjts acrffh td oa eketatfidvfifjt do sgekkfh wdrgfrs

_fry eipdrtajt= Kelfrakezatedj odrjatedjak trfatifjt keietatedjs

A*8 Orff Okdw do Ejvfstifjt _fry eipdrtajt= Jatedjak trfatifjtcrajtfh td ejvfstdrs ldtb at prf)fstalkesbifjt ajh pdst)fstalkesbifjtstacfs

_fry eipdrtajt= @diprfbfjsevfejvfstifjt arfa

A*6 Orffr Okdw do @apetak _fry eipdrtajt= \fidvak do akk `apetak`djtrdks7 oukk oejaj eak sfrve fskelfrakezatedj

_fry eipdrtajt= rfparf odr ourtbfrf`djdie ajh idjftary ejtfcratedj

L* @dipftetevf F`djdie` \fcedj

L*1 @dipftetevf ^dke y _fry eipdrtajt= @dipftetedj kawsbaridjezfh aidjc APFAJ ifilfrs

_fry eipdrtajt= Eipkfifjtatedj doAPFAJ `dipftetedj kaws

L*< @djsuifr ^rdtf tedj _fry eipdrtajt= Baridjezf `djsuifrprdtf tedj rukfs ajh rfcukatedjs

_fry eipdrtajt= APFAJ ejstetutedj odr`djsuifr prdtf tedj

L*0 Ejtfkkf`tuak rdpfrty\ecbts

_fry eipdrtajt= Baridjezatedj do kawsrfkatfh td ejtfkkf tuak prdpfrty recbts

_fry eipdrtajt= Fjodr fifjt at tbfrfcedjak kfvfk

L*8 Ejorastru turfHfvfkdpifjt ajh \ateoyejc

Xrajspdrt Acrffifjts

Ejtfrstatf trajspdrtatedj wetbdut ajyhfkay ajh larrefrs

_fry eipdrtajt= Ejtfcratfhtrajspdrtatedj jftwdrg

@* Fquetalkf F`djdie` Hfvfkdpifjt

@*1 Ejeteatevf odr APFAJEjtfcratedj "Sdrg kaj


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03

Etfi Pbdrt)Xfri Xarcft Kdjc)Xfri Xarcft

H*< APFAJ'1 Acrffifjts _fry eipdrtajt= APFAJ ujety rfquerfhtd caej jfcdteatejc pdwfr wetb heakdcufpartjfrs

Eipdrtajt= @djsestfjt wetb tbfej`rfasejc eipdrtaj`f do \@F^

H*0 APFAJ''OXA _fry eipdrtajt= Fjsurejc APFAJ`fjtrakety+ fjsurejc akk APFAJifilfrs a t as djf wetb heakdcuf

partjfr

_fry eipdrtajt= rfparf odr ourtbfrrfcedjak f`djdie ajh idjftaryejtfcratedj

EE* APFAJ'1 Acrffifjts

AAJ]OXA+ A@OXA+ AEOXA+ AM @F^+ AGOXAXrahf ej Cddhs _fry eipdrtajt= @djsestfjt wetb AF@

"\ukfs do Drecej ajh @ustdis^rd`fhurfs%

Eipdrtajt = @djsestfjt wetb AF@

Xrahf ej Pfrve fs Eipdrtajt= Djcdejchfvfkdpifjt$parteak kelfrakezatedj

_fry eipdrtajt= Djcdejchfvfkdpifjt$jfarky dipkftfkelfrakezatedj

Ejvfstifjt Eipdrtajt= Djcdejchfvfkdpifjt$parteakky dpfj td APFAJheakdcuf partjfrs

Eipdrtajt= @djsestfjt wetb tbf `dj`fptdo AEA

AAJ]OXA 9APFAJAustrakeaJfw ]fakajh Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt7 A@OXA 9APFAJ^\@ Orff XrahfAcrffifjt7 AF@ 9APFAJ F`djdie @diiujety7 AOXA 9APFAJ Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt7 AEA 9APFAJ Ejvfstifjt

Arfa7 AEOXA 9APFAJEjhea Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt7 AM @F^ 9APFAJM apaj @diprfbfjsevf F`djdie`ârtjfrsbep7 AGOXA 9APFAJGdrfa Orff Xrahf Acrffifjt7 @F^X 9@diidj Foof`tevf rfofrfjteak Xareoo7 JXLs 9Jdjtareoo larrefrs7 JXIs 9Jdjtareoo ifasurfs7 \@F 9 \fcedjak @diprfbfjsevf F`djdie artjfrsbep*


âtb 1= A`befvfifjt do tbf AF@ es ru eak td APFAJs OXAs as a wbdkf+ as tbes wekk kfssfjtbf `dipkfxety do APFAJ)rfkatfh trahejc arrajcfifjts ajh `dukh bfkp strfjctbfj APFAJsalekety td pkay tbf Aseaj ejtfcratedj `fjtrakety rdkf* Ej tbf kdjc ruj+ up td 0>+ `dipkftedj dotbf AF@ es ofaselkf wetb rfcarh td orff okdws do cddhs+ sfrve fs+ ajh ejvfstifjt+ aktbducbtbf AF@ iecbt stekk oakk sbdrt do ets tarcfts lfydjh 16 ej tbf arfas do rukfs do drecej+ jdj)tareoo ifasurfs+ eipkfifjtatedj do cddhs ajh sfrve fs lfydjh iutuak rf`dcjetedj "I\A%+

ajh dtbfrs* Et es kegfky tbat dtbfr tarcfts rfkatfh td lf`diejc a `dipftetevf f`djdie rfcedj+fquetalkf f`djdie hfvfkdpifjt+ ajh ejtfcratedj wetb tbf ckdlak f`djdiy wekk aksd lfa`befvfh quetf satesoa tdreky+ wbekf APFAJ wekk kegfky lf trajsodrifh ejtd aj ejtfrfstejc fjtety+luekhejc dj ets strfjctb+ ajh idvejc ourtbfr td eiprdvf tbf quakety do APFAJ OXAs*

âtb


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02

âtb 8=

Et es eipdrtajt odr APFAJ td put ejtd pfrspf tevf tbf 0> ar betf turf do APFAJ OXAs+ tbus

ej kuhejc tbf eipdrtaj`f do patb 1 ej rfkatedj td dtbfr patbs+ ajh ej parte ukar tbf pdtfjteak dopatb 8 ej bfkpejc td `djsdkehatf APFAJ OXAs* Pfttejc up tbf \@F iay tagf kdjcfr+ luteipkfifjtatedj rfiaejs eipdrtajt as tbes iay aksd lf sprfah dvfr teif ajh ej stacfs* XbfAPFAJ @djjf tevety Iastfr âj `dukh aksd lf fxpkdetfh idrf lrdahky td eiprdvf tbf`dipftetevfjfss do APFAJ ajh td `djjf t Pdutb Asea ajh Fast Asea odr aj fvfjtuakejtfcratfh paj)Asea*

@rfatedj do tbf \@F es aj eipdrtajt ofaturf do APFAJ OXAs ej tbf kdjc)tfri+`djsestfjt wetb `dipkftedj do tbf AF@+ wetb tbf AF@ oa eketatejc hffpfr rfcedjak ejtfcratedjajh tbf \@F aehejc lrdahfr rfcedjak ejtfcratedj* Ly 0>+ tbf essuf do tbf \@F sbdukhlf strfjctbfjfh+ cevfj tbf oa t tbat APFAJs `fjtrakety wekk pkay aj ej rfasejcky eipdrtajtrdkf ej iajacejc tbes dpfj rfcedjakesi* Ejtfrfstejcky+ tbf stfps td arrevejc at tbf \@F wekklfjfoet APFAJ as tbf \@F `djtejufs td hfvfkdp+ lut et es aksd eipdrtajt odr APFAJ td pkayaj a tevf rdkf ej àrvejc dut tbes acrffifjt ej tfris do ets pra te akety+ dpfjjfss+ ajhkfahfrsbep* Xbf odùs do pdke yiagfrs sbdukh lf skdwky idvejc away ordi varedusAPFAJ'1 OXAs ajh FAOXA+ td @F^FA dr fvfj lrdahfr rfcedjak trahejc arrajcfifjts* Et eseipdrtajt td jdtf tbat tbf \@F wekk sfrvf td `djsdkehatf APFAJs OXAs+ parte ukarkyrfhu ejc tbf `dipke atedjs rfkatfh td iuktepkf rukfs do drecej+ cfjfratfh ly heoofrfjt patbs doAPFAJ OXAs* APFAJs rdkf ajh ejtfrfst ej iagejc a su``fss do su`b oraifwdrg es tbateipkfifjtatedj wekk lf vfry eipdrtajt odr Fast Aseaj f`djdie ejtfcratedj as a wbdkf* Odrtbfsf rfasdjs+ a `diprfbfjsevf ajh crahuak apprda`b wekk lf usfh ej akk arfas do trahf ejcddhs+ trahf ej sfrve fs+ ajh ejvfstifjt+ wetb su``fss fxpf tfh td lf idrf ej tbf arfas dotrahf ej cddhs ajh ejvfstifjt+ ratbfr tbaj ej trahf ej sfrve fs*

?* @DJ@KVPEDJ

Et bas lffj a kdjc mdurjfy odr APFAJ#s orff trahf arfaAOXAwetb a `frtaej kfvfk dosu``fss aidjc ets ifilfrs+ parte ukarky odr trahf ej cddhs* Bdwfvfr+ tbf saif àjjdt lf

saeh wbfj et `difs td jdjtareoo larrefrs+ wbe b arf stekk ej jffh do lfejc ourtbfr rfhu`fh+ ajh`diietifjts ej orff trahf ej tbf `diejc yfars* Xbf saif appkefs td sfrve f kelfrakezatedjifilfr `dujtrefs bavf jdt lffj alkf td hfvfkdp ajh kelfrakezf iu`b ourtbfr* Aktbducb tbfrfbavf lffj sdif eiprdvfifjts wetb rfcarh td APFAJ ejvfstifjt arfas+ tbfsfeiprdvfifjts arf kfss ahvaj`fh tbaj tbf kelfrakezatedj odr trahf ej cddhs*

Xd oejh ets dwj vfrsedj do hffpfr rfcedjak ejtfcratedj+ APFAJ rfakezfh tbf jffh td idvftdwarh tbf AF@ ly 16* Et wdukh prdvehf a sejckf iargft ajh prdhu tedj lasf+ ajh gffpAPFAJ `dipftetevf ajh ckdlakky drefjtfh* Odr tbes td d`ùr+ tbfer dwj vfrsedj do AOXA bas tdlf ourtbfr hfvfkdpfh ejtd AXECA td rfakezf tbf AF@* Pu`b aj acrffifjt es iu`b idrf`diprfbfjsevf tbaj ajytbejc ej tbf past+ parte ukarky ets fxtfjt wetb rfcarh td jdjtareoolarrefrs* Ly 16+ tbf yfar do rfakezejc tbf AF@+ a sulstajteak juilfr do jdjtareoo larrefrs

"lut jdt akk% arf suppdsfh td bavf lffj rfhu`fh*Odr orff trahf ej sfrve fs+ APFAJ stekk bas jdt lffj alkf td hd pra te ak crdujhwdrg+fspf eakky ej idhf 0 do sfrve f suppky+ lfàusf do ets ka`g do rukfs do drecej ej tbf sfrve fssf tdr* Xd akkdw APFAJ ejvfstdrs td dwj a 6>& dr idrf sbarf ej sfrve fs `dipajefs+ aprddo do sulstajtevf lusejfss dpfratedj arf rfquerfh* Xbfsf sulstajtevf lusejfss dpfratedjrukfs arf hfsecjfh td fjsurf tbf s`dpf do kelfrakezatedj es keietfh td APFAJ ejvfstdrs djky+jdt tbf APFAJ jdiejffs do tbf fxtra)APFAJ lusejfss oeris*

At tbes stacf do kelfrakezatedj+ wetb tbf dlmf tevf do idvejc etsfko kdsfr td rfak orff trahf arfa+APFAJ'1 ajh `dujtrefs# lekatfrak OXAs bavf a crfatfr `baj`f do eiprdvejc ej tbfjfcdteatedjs aidjc ifilfrs* Bdwfvfr+ APFAJ'1 ajh lekatfrak OXAs wekk hf rfasf ejeipdrtaj`f ej APFAJ as tbf rfcedj idvfs kdsfr td 0>* Xbf iaej rfasdj odr tbfer kdss do

eipdrtaj`f ej pdke yiagejc es herf tky rfkatfh td hfvfkdpifjt do tbf \@F td wdrg ej tajhfiwetb a lrdahfr oraifwdrg do tbf Sdrkh Xrahf Drcajezatedj+ wbe b es aksd bfkpejc ajh


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05

suppdrtejc tbf iuktekatfrak oraifwdrg ej a `dipkfifjtary way* Xbf djky ratedjakf tbatrfiaejs odr APFAJ'1 ajh lekatfrak OXAs es odr APFAJ td caej tbf status do a rfcedjak bul+dr pkay ets `fjtrakety aidjc idrf trahejc partjfrs+ ej ahhetedj td tbf rfiaejejc `dujtrefs#ejtfrfst ej lekatfrak hfaks+ wbe b iecbt stekk lf tbf drhfr do tbf hay*

Xbf \@F^ bas td lf eipkfifjtfh sddjfr ratbfr tbaj katfr as et herf`tky drrfspdjhs wetb

hfvfkdpifjt do rfcedjak prdhu tedj jftwdrgs ej wbe b APFAJ ajh iamdr f`djdiefs bavflf`dif ej rfasejcky kejgfh* A``drhejcky+ odr APFAJ+ tbf idrf ifilfrs tbf crdupejc baswetb dtbfr `dujtrefs+ tbf idrf lfjfoets tbf ifilfrs wekk caej* Ordi dlsfrvatedjs ly iajydtbfr f`djdiests "f*c*+ Vrata ajh ^ftre%+ et es fvehfjt tbat tbf idrf dpfj tbf crdupejc+ tbfidrf tbf ifilfrs wekk cft ordi tbf bul do APFAJ+ wbe b `dukh aksd lf hfvfkdpfh tdlf`diejc aj Asea)wehf rfcedj+ wbe b wdukh bavf idrf lfjfoets tbaj kdssfs* Vkteiatfky+ tbf\@F `dukh oavdr f`djdie crdwtb ajh ejhustreak hfvfkdpifjt+ iagejc `dujtry ifilfrsldtb `dipftetevf ajh `ddpfratevf* Bdwfvfr+ tbfrf sbdukh lf a patbway td bfkp jarrdw tbfhfvfkdpifjt caps ajh sd eak ejfquakety wbe b stekk fxest ej tbf rfcedj ajh arf do parte ukar`dj`frj td tbf kfssfr)hfvfkdpfh `dujtrefs su`b as @aildhea+ Kad ^H\+ ajh Iyajiar*

Xbf odkkdwejc arf tbf iamdr bakkfjcfs odr APFAJ ej rfakezejc tbf AF@ 16=

1* @dipkfxety rfkatfh td tbf rukfs do drecej wekk djky wdrsfj tbf ,Aseaj jddhkf ldwk,foof ts* Odr tbes rfasdj+ et es eipdrtajt odr APFAJ pdke yiagfrs td rfhu`f su`b ajeipa t wbekf iagejc ajy outurf OXA `diietifjts*

APFAJ ifilfr `dujtrefs tbatfa`b cdvfrjifjt jffhs strdjcfr pdkete ak wekk td pkay a iu`b idrf a tevf rdkf ejwdrgejc ej a idrf djsfjsus)hrevfj way at tbf hdifste kfvfk* Xbf rdkf do tbf prevatfsf tdr es aksd eipdrtajt ej ahvaj ejc tbf rfakezatedj do tbf AF@+ wbe b es stekk td oejhtbf rfspf tevf rdkfs odr ldtb siakk ajh ifheui)sezfh fjtfrpresfs ajh iuktejatedjak`dipajefs*

A oujhaifjtak trajsodriatedj es oejakky ujhfrway odr tbf outurf do APFAJs hffpfjejc ajhwehfjejc f`djdie ejtfcratedj* Xd start wetb+ tbf rfakezatedj do tbf AF@ ly 16 es vfryeipdrtajt* Bdwfvfr+ tbfsf tasgs wekk jdt lf `dipkftfh ly tbfj as et wekk rfquerf idrf`diietifjt ordi akk APFAJ ifilfrs ej kuhejc @aildhea+ Kad ^H\+ Iyajiar+ ajh _eftJai* Xbf hffpfjejc prd`fss wekk `djtejuf+ pfrbaps wetb a ourtbfr eipkfifjtatedj do tbf

pbasf < lkufprejta jfw vfrsedj wbe b `dukh rfhu`f kddpbdkfs ajh caps aidjc etsifilfrs+ ej parte ukar `dujtrefs# trahf kelfrakezatedj ajh ets kejgs td tbf APFAJ ejstetutedjswbe b jffh td lf strfjctbfjfh*

Setb tbf ahvfjt do tbf \@F^+ tbf lrdahfjejc prd`fss es aksd lf`diejc idrf ru eak tdfjsurf APFAJ `fjtrakety* Sbekf akk ifilfrs wekk lf lusy eipkfifjtejc su`b aj acrffifjt+tbf s dpf ajh fxtfjt do tbf acrffifjt wekk lf ej herf t `dipftetedj wetb lekatfrak ajh rfcedjaktrahejc arrajcfifjts do fa`b APFAJ ifilfr ajh APFAJ'1 acrffifjt* Bdwfvfr+ wetb aprdpfr pdke y oraifwdrg+ tbf \@F wekk fifrcf idrf strdjcky Asea)wehf ej tbf kdjcfr ruj astbf acrffifjt es suppdsf td lf idrf pra te ak ajh wdrgalkf+ wetb aj aei td rfhu`f tbfjddhkf ldwk foof t td ej rfsf tbf `baj`f do su``fss ly 0>*

@frtaejky tbf \@F iust eipkfifjt trahf kelfrakezatedj `djsestfjt wetb wbat wekk lf hdjf

ujhfr tbf s`dpf do tbf AF@ ajh `djsdkehatedj do tbf rukfs do drecej rfsuktejc ordidvfrkappejc OXAs* Xrahf ej sfrve fs+ bdwfvfr+ es stekk a heooe ukt arfa odr parte epatejc


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`dujtrefs wetb heoofrfjt kfvfks do hfvfkdpifjt+ sd et jffhs td oejh ets dwj patb odrhfvfkdpifjt ej tbf sbdrt ruj+ wetb a kfar stratfcy odr ets trahf kelfrakezatedj td lf odujh ejtbf kdjc ruj* Ejvfstifjt essufs `dukh lf hfvfkdpfh ej parakkfk wetb tbf APFAJ'1 prd`fss ejtbf sbdrt ruj+ lut wekk lf`dif idrf eipdrtajt ej tbf kdjcfr ruj as hfvfkdpifjt ejtd a`diprfbfjsevf ejvfstifjt arfa sbdukh ejvdkvf crfatfr foodrts ajh `diietifjts ordiparte epatejc `dujtrefs* Oejakky+ APFAJ sbdukh jdt kft tbf APFAJ''OXA lf ujhfriejfh lyhfvfkdpifjt do tbf X^^+ wbe b sffis td lf a parakkfk hfvfkdpifjt+ at kfast ej tbf sbdrt ruj+ajh hfspetf tbf parte epatedj do sfvfrak APFAJ ifilfrs ej su`b aj acrffifjt*


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\FOF\FJ@FP

Ahais+ \*+ ^* Hff+ M * Cake+ ajh C* I`Cuerf* >0* Xbf Xrahf ajh Ejvfstifjt Foof ts do^rfofrfjteak Xrahejc ArrajcfifjtsDkh ajh Jfw Fvehfj`f* ^rdhu`tevety

@diiessedj Ptaoo Sdrgejc apfr* @ajlfrra* Iay*Areoo+ I* >1* Xrahf+ Ejvfstifjt ajh Ejtfrhfpfjhfj`f* Ej= \fejvfjtejc APFAJ+ fhetfh ly P*

Xay+ M * Fstajeskad+ ajh B* Pdfsastrd* Pejcapdrf= Ejstetutf do Pdutbfast Aseaj Ptuhefs*

Areyasammagdrj+ H*+ M * Cajhfr+ P* \atajagdiut+ ajh P* \fyjdkhs* >5* Mdurjak do AseajF`djdie`s ">5%= 05* Ieifdcrapb* ^basf * Xrahf ajh Ejvfstifjt dke efs ajh \fcedjak F`djdie Ejtfcratedj ej Fast

Asea*AHLE Sdrgejc âpfr Pfrefs* Jd* * Xdgyd= Aseaj Hfvfkdpifjt Lajg Ejstetutf*

@beratbevat+ P* >8* Fast Asea OXA= F`djdie idhaketefs+ prdspf ts ajh ourtbfr eipke atedjs*Mdurjak do Aseaj F`djdie`s 16= 22551>*

* >6* APFAJs OXA Ptratfcy ej Fast Asea*Aseaj \fvefw 12= 2*APFAJs Ptratfcy tdwarh aj Ej`rfasejc Aseaj Ejtfcratedj* Ej Fast AseajF`djdiefs ajh Jfw \fcedjakesi+ fhetfh ly A* Pbecfyuge ajh L* Jehbeprala* @fjtfrodr Pdutbfast Aseaj Ptuhefs* Gydtd+ M apaj= Gydtd Vjevfrsety rfss*

@uyvfrs+ K*+ ajh S* uppbavfsa* 155?* Ordi APFAJ td AOXA* @fjtrf odr APFAJ Ptuhefs"@AP% Hesùssedj âpfrJd* ?*

Hff+ * 11* Pfrve fs Kelfrakezatedj tdwarhs aj APFAJ F`djdie @diiujety* Ej= Xdwarha @dipftetevf APFAJ Pejckf Iargft= Pf`tdrak Ajakyses* F\EA \fsfar`b ^rdmf`t\fpdrt 1>* Jd* 0+ fhetfh ly P* Vrata ajh I* Dgalf* M agarta= F`djdie \fsfar`bEjstetutf odr APFAJ ajh Fast Asea "F\EA%*

Fast Aseaj Orff Xrahf Arfa "AOXA%* >5* Oejak \fpdrt dj FAOXA basf EE Ptuhy dj

Hfseralkf ajh Ofaselkf Dptedj odr Fast Asea OXA* Ieifdcrapb* 3 M ujf*


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85* Sbd Vsfs Orff Xrahf Acrffifjts4 F\EA Hes`ussedj ^apfrPfrefs F\EA)H^)>5* OU>5 Purvfy dj tbf EjtfrjatedjakDpfratedjs do M apajfsf Oeris* Avaekalkfatbttp=$$www*mftrd*cd*mp$fj$rfpdrts$survfy$lez$

* 11* Purvfy do M apajfsf)Aooekeatfh Oeris ej Asea ajh D`fajea "OU11 Purvfy%*Asea ajh D`fajea Hevesedj+ @beja ajh Jdrtb Asea Hevesedj+ Dvfrsfas \fsfar`bHfpartifjt+ M FX\D* Avaekalkfatbttp=$$www*mftrd*cd*mp$fj$rfpdrts$survfy$pho$11T11T>3Tlez*pho

Gawae+ I*+ ajh C* Secjarama* >2* FAOXA do @F^FA Sbe b Say Odrwarh4APFAJF`djdie` Lukkftej


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80

\asbeh+ ]*+ O* ]bae+ * ^ftre+ I* kuiifr+ ajh @* Uuf* >5* \fcedjak Iargft odr Cddhs+Pfrve`fs+ ajh Pgekkfh Kaldr* Avaekalkf at bttp=$$pfdpkf*lrajhfes*fhu$~ppftre$@b5*pho

Pfvfrejd+ \*@* 1>* Aj APFAJ F`djdie @diiujety ly 164 Avaekalkfatbttp=$$www*esfas*fhu*sc$asfajstuhefs`fjtrf$as`d>5)1>*pho

Pfvfrejd+ P*+ ajh P* Has* 1>* EPFAPAHL ^rdmf tAssfssifjt do Eipfheifjts ajhA tedjs \fquerfh odr A`befvejc aj APFAJ F`djdie @diiujety ly 16* Avaekalkfatbttp=$$as *esfas*fhu*sc$bdif$etfi$2?)oejak)wdrgsbdp)assfssifjt)do)eipfheifjts)a tedjs)rfquerfh)odr)a`befvejc)aj)asfas)f`djdie ) diiujety)ly)16

Peidrajcger+ E* 11* AF@ ajh Idjftary Ejtfcratedj* Ej= Iajacejc \fcedjak ajh CkdlakCdvfrjaj`f ej Asea= Dppdrtujetefs ajh @bakkfjcfs odr tbf APFAJ F`djdie`@diiujety "AF@%*M agarta= Lajg Ejhdjfsea*

Pdfsastrd+ B* >?* \fcedjak Ejstetutedjak Ar betf turf odr tbf Asea â eoe * Ieifdcrapb* A^F@@ Ptuhy ^rdmf`t Hesùssedj âpfr"oerst hraot%*

* >3a* \fcedjak Ejtfcratedj ej Fast Asea= A`befvfifjts ajh Outurf rdspf ts*

\fvefw do Ejtfrjatedjak dketeàk F`djdiy 13 "3l* Eipkfifjtejc tbf APFAJ F`djdie @diiujety "AF@% Lkufprejt* Ej=Hffpfjejc F`djdie` Ejtfcratedj ej Fast AseajXbf APFAJ F`djdie` @diiujetyajh Lfydjh*F\EA \fsfar`b ^rdmf`t >3 Jd* 12* M agarta= F`djdie \fsfar`bEjstetutf odr APFAJ ajh Fast Asea "F\EA%*

Pdbj+ U* 1>* M apajs Jfw \fcedjakesi= @beja Pbd`g+ _akufs+ ajh tbf Fast Aseaj@diiujety*Aseaj Purvfy Wf)mdurjakY 6>"0%= 853615* Avaekalkfatbttp=$$www*mstdr*drc$stalkf$1>*16*6>*0*853

Presajcjai+ * >3* Xbf Foof t do APFAJ F`djdie Ejtfcratedj wetb tbf Ppf eak

\fofrfj`f td tbf Xbae F`djdiy* ^bH Hessfrtatedj* Vjevfrsety do Ifkldurjf*Presajcjai+ *+ ajh P* Pfri`bffp* 11* @asf Ptuhy dj Kdceste s Fjbaj`fifjt ej

Xbaekajh* Ej= Cfdcrapbeàk Peiukatedj Ajakyses odr APFAJ+ @beja ajh Ejhea+ fhetfhly \* Lajdiydjc ajh E* Esdjd* Lajcgdg= M FX\D*

Vrata+ P* >2* @F^FA= M apajs Jfw \fcedjak @ddpfratedj Ejeteatevf ej Fast Asea* MapajPpdtkecbt "Jdvfilfr$Hf`filfr%= 1 Jd* 0*

Sagaiatsu+ E* >8* APFAJs OXAs ajh \ukfs do Drecej* Dvfrsfas \fsfar`b Hfpartifjt+M apaj Fxtfrjak Xrahf Drcajezatedj* Avaekalkf

atbttp=$$www*mftrd*cd*mp$tbaekajh$fTsurvfy$pho$otaTrukfsdodrecej*phoSecjarama+ C* 1>* Bdw Hd OXAs Aoof t Fxpdrtejc Oeris ej Xbaekajh4AHLE Sdrgejc âpfr

Pfrefs Jd* 15>* Xdgyd= Aseaj Hfvfkdpifjt Lajg Ejstetutf*

Sdjclddjsej+ *+ * Presajcjai+ ajh P* Pfri`bffp* 11* Xbf Foof t do Kaldur Idvfifjtujhfr tbf APFAJ F`djdie @diiujety= tbf @asf Ptuhy do Fjcejffrejc Pfrve fs*^rfsfjtfh td Ejtfrjatedjak Ejstetutf odr Xrahf ajh Hfvfkdpifjt* Lajcgdg*

Sdrkh Xrahf Drcajezatedj "SBD% Pf rftareat* 1>* Sdrkh Xareoo rdoekfs 1>* Cfjfva=Sdrkh Xrahf Drcajezatedj ajh Ejtfrjatedjak Xrahf @fjtrf VJ@XAHSXD 1>*

Uap+ M * >2* ^dke`y Essufs odr tbf APFAJ F`djdie` @diiujety= Xbf \ukfs do Drecej*@ajlfrra= Fast Aseaj Lurfau do F`djdie \fsfar`b* Avaekalkf

atbttp=$$www*falfr*drc$ejtrajft$hdùifjts$


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Uejcsettesawat+ M * ft ak* 11* Xbf Foof`t do APFAJ F`djdie` @diiujety dj tbf Erdj ajhPtffk Ejhustrefs ej Xbaekajh "^rfkeiejary Hraot%* ^rfsfjtfh td Dooe f do EjhustreakF`djdie s+ Xbaekajh Iejestry do Ejhustry= Erdj ajh Ptffk Ejstetutf do Xbaekajh*

]bajc+ U* 1>* @beja ajh Aseaj \fcedjakesi* Pejcapdrf= Sdrkh P efjteoe *

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The 2030 Architecture of Association of Southeast Asian Nations Free Trade Agreements